🕰️ Time Machine
SIGI — Selective Insurance Group
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 11/09/2026
Last price (Close)
90.34 -0.24%
Next window · Cycle 120 · in window
11/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 45 · 08/09/2026
since -0.62%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 20/03/2026
72.78
Days: 120 trading / 175 calendar · return since: +24.13%
Last major high · 06/07/2026
100.40
Days: 48 trading / 67 calendar · return since: -10.02%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 06/07/2026 @ 100.40 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 04/09/2026 | -7 (±2) | Passed |
| High 06/07/2026 @ 100.40 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 08/09/2026 | -3 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 20/03/2026 @ 72.78 | Cycle 120 | Trading | 📅 11/09/2026 | +0 (±3) | In window |
| Low 20/03/2026 @ 72.78 | Cycle 180 | Calendar | 📅 16/09/2026 | +5 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 06/07/2026 @ 100.40 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 29/09/2026 | +12 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 06/07/2026 @ 100.40 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 04/10/2026 | +23 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 20/03/2026 @ 72.78 | Cycle 144 | Trading | 📅 15/10/2026 | +24 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 06/07/2026 @ 100.40 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 10/11/2026 | +42 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● NR7 Compression 09/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 08/09/2026
● NR7 Compression 04/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 04/09/2026
● Failed Breakdown 20/08/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 04/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.49% · Win 56% · DD -4.72%20 days: Avg +0.04% · Win 56% · DD -5.58%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/09/2025 | 81.04 | neutral | -1.65% | -3.38% | +1.42% | -5.10% | +1.42% |
| 2024 | 04/09/2024 | 90.81 | neutral | -3.59% | +1.18% | +1.86% | -3.59% | +2.74% |
| 2023 | 05/09/2023 | 97.21 | neutral | +3.62% | +5.55% | +7.69% | +0.00% | +8.52% |
| 2022 | 02/09/2022 | 79.15 | neutral | +3.79% | +4.26% | +5.42% | +0.00% | +5.42% |
| 2021 | 03/09/2021 | 83.37 | near 52w high · volume x1.7 | -3.77% | -9.07% | -10.21% | -10.21% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 04/09/2020 | 59.43 | neutral | -8.62% | -16.62% | -9.94% | -18.16% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 04/09/2019 | 79.03 | near 52w high | -4.47% | -4.54% | -6.15% | -6.15% | +0.56% |
| 2018 | 04/09/2018 | 63.80 | near 52w high | -1.41% | +1.41% | -5.24% | -5.24% | +2.82% |
| 2017 | 05/09/2017 | 47.55 | volume x1.7 | +4.73% | +7.78% | +15.46% | -1.79% | +15.56% |
Passed 08/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.06% · Win 30% · DD -3.75%20 days: Avg +0.55% · Win 50% · DD -4.74%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 08/09/2025 | 79.73 | neutral | -3.29% | -1.38% | +5.61% | -3.54% | +5.61% |
| 2024 | 09/09/2024 | 89.58 | neutral | +2.85% | +2.10% | +1.46% | -2.27% | +4.76% |
| 2023 | 08/09/2023 | 97.80 | neutral | +1.90% | +7.39% | +6.76% | +0.00% | +8.05% |
| 2022 | 08/09/2022 | 82.30 | neutral | -0.53% | -1.37% | +3.66% | -3.34% | +4.01% |
| 2021 | 08/09/2021 | 82.14 | near 52w high · volume x1.8 | -4.43% | -6.25% | -5.62% | -8.86% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 08/09/2020 | 58.34 | neutral | -9.05% | -14.62% | -9.38% | -16.63% | +0.48% |
| 2019 | 09/09/2019 | 76.06 | volume x3.3 | -1.21% | -1.46% | -0.24% | -2.48% | +0.91% |
| 2018 | 07/09/2018 | 64.35 | near 52w high | +1.94% | -0.85% | -6.00% | -6.05% | +1.94% |
| 2017 | 08/09/2017 | 48.60 | neutral | +6.17% | +7.41% | +12.14% | +0.00% | +13.07% |
| 2016 | 12/09/2016 | 40.40 | near 52w high | -2.60% | -1.58% | -2.85% | -4.21% | +1.44% |
In window 11/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.36% · Win 40% · DD -2.98%20 days: Avg +1.82% · Win 50% · DD -3.57%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 11/09/2025 | 79.70 | neutral | -1.76% | -1.59% | +4.04% | -3.50% | +5.72% |
| 2024 | 11/09/2024 | 87.55 | neutral | +4.95% | +4.16% | +6.16% | +0.00% | +7.18% |
| 2023 | 11/09/2023 | 99.61 | neutral | +1.81% | +5.90% | +4.89% | +0.00% | +6.08% |
| 2022 | 12/09/2022 | 82.15 | neutral | +0.45% | -3.16% | +5.06% | -3.16% | +5.06% |
| 2021 | 10/09/2021 | 80.35 | neutral | -3.70% | -1.63% | -2.69% | -6.83% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 11/09/2020 | 54.85 | neutral | -7.00% | -10.30% | -2.11% | -11.32% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 11/09/2019 | 75.50 | neutral | -0.08% | -0.01% | -1.06% | -1.76% | +1.66% |
| 2018 | 11/09/2018 | 62.90 | near 52w high | +2.86% | +0.40% | -0.60% | -3.88% | +4.29% |
| 2017 | 11/09/2017 | 50.30 | neutral | +2.09% | +4.27% | +7.36% | -0.99% | +9.24% |
| 2016 | 12/09/2016 | 40.40 | near 52w high | -2.60% | -1.58% | -2.85% | -4.21% | +1.44% |
Upcoming 16/09/2026 · Low Cycle 180/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.29% · Win 70% · DD -2.44%20 days: Avg +2.09% · Win 70% · DD -3.24%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/09/2025 | 76.91 | neutral | +1.83% | +5.41% | +9.58% | +0.00% | +9.58% |
| 2024 | 16/09/2024 | 92.13 | neutral | -0.73% | +1.27% | +3.95% | -2.05% | +3.95% |
| 2023 | 15/09/2023 | 99.66 | volume x3.3 | +5.39% | +3.52% | +2.88% | +0.00% | +6.03% |
| 2022 | 16/09/2022 | 81.39 | volume x2.0 | -0.52% | +0.01% | +9.92% | -2.26% | +9.92% |
| 2021 | 16/09/2021 | 77.73 | neutral | +0.53% | -2.83% | +0.48% | -3.69% | +2.21% |
| 2020 | 16/09/2020 | 53.61 | neutral | -9.27% | -3.95% | -2.31% | -9.27% | +3.47% |
| 2019 | 16/09/2019 | 75.14 | neutral | -0.25% | +0.07% | -1.30% | -1.30% | +2.14% |
| 2018 | 17/09/2018 | 65.25 | near 52w high | -4.21% | -6.36% | -11.63% | -11.63% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 15/09/2017 | 51.60 | near 52w high · volume x3.3 | +1.16% | +4.36% | +6.49% | -0.68% | +6.49% |
| 2016 | 16/09/2016 | 39.29 | near 52w high | +3.05% | +1.45% | +2.90% | -1.50% | +4.30% |
Upcoming 29/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.22% · Win 70% · DD -2.10%20 days: Avg +1.16% · Win 40% · DD -3.46%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/09/2025 | 79.34 | neutral | +6.13% | +3.89% | -3.11% | -3.50% | +6.23% |
| 2024 | 30/09/2024 | 93.30 | neutral | -2.58% | +2.65% | -1.85% | -2.58% | +5.99% |
| 2023 | 29/09/2023 | 103.17 | near 52w high | +1.20% | -0.62% | -0.41% | -2.14% | +3.62% |
| 2022 | 29/09/2022 | 82.24 | neutral | +3.73% | +7.98% | +14.91% | -1.02% | +14.91% |
| 2021 | 29/09/2021 | 77.05 | neutral | +0.61% | +0.39% | +1.19% | -2.84% | +4.43% |
| 2020 | 29/09/2020 | 50.55 | neutral | +4.59% | +4.45% | +6.90% | +0.00% | +11.43% |
| 2019 | 30/09/2019 | 75.19 | neutral | +0.92% | -1.37% | -4.64% | -4.64% | +2.07% |
| 2018 | 28/09/2018 | 63.50 | near 52w high | -4.74% | -7.89% | -2.61% | -9.20% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 29/09/2017 | 53.85 | near 52w high | +1.21% | +2.04% | +9.94% | +0.00% | +9.94% |
| 2016 | 29/09/2016 | 39.82 | near 52w high | -2.81% | +0.68% | -8.71% | -8.71% | +1.71% |
Upcoming 04/10/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.94% · Win 60% · DD -2.62%20 days: Avg +0.30% · Win 60% · DD -4.77%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/10/2025 | 83.51 | neutral | -2.07% | -2.83% | -9.78% | -10.61% | +0.92% |
| 2024 | 04/10/2024 | 93.84 | neutral | +0.11% | +5.16% | -1.52% | -4.04% | +5.38% |
| 2023 | 04/10/2023 | 104.84 | near 52w high | -2.41% | +1.53% | +1.64% | -3.70% | +1.96% |
| 2022 | 04/10/2022 | 85.60 | volume x1.6 | +1.46% | +5.55% | +11.59% | -1.52% | +14.58% |
| 2021 | 04/10/2021 | 74.86 | neutral | +1.72% | +3.45% | +4.10% | +0.00% | +7.48% |
| 2020 | 05/10/2020 | 53.52 | neutral | +3.64% | -4.86% | +0.13% | -4.86% | +5.25% |
| 2019 | 04/10/2019 | 76.75 | neutral | -2.78% | -1.79% | -9.58% | -9.94% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 04/10/2018 | 60.50 | neutral | -3.67% | -1.01% | +5.62% | -4.69% | +10.12% |
| 2017 | 04/10/2017 | 54.40 | near 52w high | +0.46% | +1.10% | +8.36% | -0.74% | +9.56% |
| 2016 | 04/10/2016 | 38.95 | near 52w low | +0.26% | +3.08% | -7.57% | -7.57% | +3.98% |
Upcoming 15/10/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.14% · Win 40% · DD -3.90%20 days: Avg +2.02% · Win 60% · DD -4.82%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 15/10/2025 | 82.86 | neutral | -2.03% | -9.91% | -4.51% | -10.67% | +1.35% |
| 2024 | 15/10/2024 | 96.26 | neutral | -3.05% | -6.45% | +3.72% | -6.45% | +5.17% |
| 2023 | 16/10/2023 | 104.62 | near 52w high | -1.97% | -0.65% | -2.23% | -3.04% | +2.18% |
| 2022 | 14/10/2022 | 89.46 | neutral | +2.84% | +8.50% | +2.09% | -0.78% | +9.64% |
| 2021 | 15/10/2021 | 78.58 | neutral | +0.01% | -0.27% | +2.14% | -1.92% | +3.67% |
| 2020 | 15/10/2020 | 52.82 | neutral | +5.93% | +2.08% | +11.69% | -3.60% | +15.98% |
| 2019 | 15/10/2019 | 74.31 | neutral | -2.07% | -3.42% | -8.21% | -8.40% | +1.98% |
| 2018 | 15/10/2018 | 57.66 | neutral | +5.43% | +11.12% | +10.41% | +0.00% | +15.54% |
| 2017 | 16/10/2017 | 54.80 | near 52w high | +0.46% | +6.30% | +6.57% | -0.73% | +9.12% |
| 2016 | 14/10/2016 | 40.43 | near 52w high | -1.43% | -8.73% | -1.51% | -12.56% | +0.17% |
Upcoming 10/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.87% · Win 60% · DD -2.36%20 days: Avg +0.94% · Win 60% · DD -3.06%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/11/2025 | 78.57 | neutral | -0.49% | -0.11% | +0.01% | -1.82% | +1.63% |
| 2024 | 11/11/2024 | 101.24 | neutral | -2.75% | -2.18% | -4.58% | -4.83% | +1.23% |
| 2023 | 10/11/2023 | 102.07 | neutral | +0.08% | +1.58% | +0.07% | -2.65% | +2.91% |
| 2022 | 10/11/2022 | 93.60 | neutral | -1.22% | +2.24% | -3.41% | -3.41% | +3.03% |
| 2021 | 10/11/2021 | 79.73 | neutral | -0.63% | +2.86% | +2.58% | -5.87% | +3.33% |
| 2020 | 10/11/2020 | 61.26 | far above SMA50 | +3.48% | +6.38% | +8.02% | -3.70% | +8.02% |
| 2019 | 11/11/2019 | 68.07 | neutral | -1.31% | -2.62% | -2.31% | -4.82% | +0.21% |
| 2018 | 09/11/2018 | 64.70 | near 52w high | +0.00% | -0.82% | -1.38% | -3.48% | +2.90% |
| 2017 | 10/11/2017 | 58.30 | near 52w high | +1.34% | +1.77% | +2.20% | +0.00% | +6.16% |
| 2016 | 10/11/2016 | 38.55 | neutral | +4.41% | +9.60% | +8.17% | +0.00% | +10.38% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-4.2%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -10.0% · from 52w low: +24.1%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -3.07% · -2.12% · -3.34% · -1.95% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -1.46% · -4.21% · +4.57% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -10.02% · +24.13% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 1.77 · 0.91x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -0.99% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -1.58% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +0.15% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 91.68 · 94.31 · 86.39 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 100.40 · 72.78 |
|---|
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