🕰️ Time Machine

SJM — J.M. Smucker Company (The)

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 27/07/2026

Last price (Close)
121.05 +4.61%
Next window · Cycle 45 · in window
27/07/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 15/07/2026
since +11.03%
Trend
Strong uptrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 13/04/2026
88.25
Days: 71 trading / 105 calendar · return since: +37.17%
Last major high · 12/06/2026
117.74
Days: 28 trading / 45 calendar · return since: +2.81%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 12/06/2026 @ 117.74Fib 21Trading📅 15/07/2026-7 (±1)Passed
High 12/06/2026 @ 117.74Cycle 45Calendar📅 27/07/2026+0 (±2)In window
High 12/06/2026 @ 117.74Cycle 30Trading📅 29/07/2026+2 (±2)In window
Low 13/04/2026 @ 88.25Cycle 120Calendar📅 11/08/2026+15 (±3)Upcoming
High 12/06/2026 @ 117.74Cycle 60Calendar📅 11/08/2026+15 (±2)Upcoming
High 12/06/2026 @ 117.74Cycle 45Trading📅 19/08/2026+17 (±2)Upcoming
Low 13/04/2026 @ 88.25Cycle 90Trading📅 21/08/2026+19 (±3)Upcoming
Low 13/04/2026 @ 88.25Cycle 144Calendar📅 04/09/2026+39 (±3)Upcoming
High 12/06/2026 @ 117.74Cycle 60Trading📅 10/09/2026+32 (±2)Upcoming
High 12/06/2026 @ 117.74Cycle 90Calendar📅 10/09/2026+45 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Gap Day 27/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 27/07/2026
NR7 Compression 20/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 15/07/2026
Failed Breakout 17/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 15/07/2026
Bearish Engulfing 13/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 15/07/2026
Bullish Engulfing 10/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 15/07/2026
NR7 Compression 10/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 15/07/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 15/07/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.38% · Win 78% · DD -1.10%20 days: Avg +2.76% · Win 67% · DD -1.47%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202515/07/2025104.35neutral+4.78%+7.13%+6.73%+0.00%+7.13%
202415/07/2024116.38neutral-0.13%+1.43%+0.86%-1.10%+5.17%
202314/07/2023148.05neutral+2.74%+1.99%-0.06%-1.05%+3.43%
202215/07/2022131.79neutral-1.21%+0.40%+2.30%-2.31%+2.30%
202115/07/2021132.02neutral-2.11%-0.48%-0.08%-3.12%+1.49%
202015/07/2020105.88neutral+1.62%+4.35%+8.58%-0.54%+8.58%
201915/07/2019115.09neutral-2.58%-0.64%-1.36%-4.10%+0.80%
201816/07/2018108.41neutral+0.27%+2.43%+2.48%-0.74%+7.22%
201714/07/2017116.75near 52w low+1.48%+4.86%+5.41%-0.23%+5.41%
In window 27/07/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.57% · Win 70% · DD -1.23%20 days: Avg -0.81% · Win 40% · DD -3.77%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202528/07/2025108.70neutral+1.19%+2.05%+3.64%-1.25%+5.18%
202426/07/2024118.19neutral+3.56%+0.23%+4.20%-0.69%+4.20%
202327/07/2023150.38neutral-0.22%-2.03%-5.73%-6.53%+0.91%
202227/07/2022129.43neutral+3.70%+3.59%+12.21%+0.00%+12.21%
202127/07/2021132.00neutral+0.61%-1.52%-2.90%-3.11%+3.52%
202027/07/2020108.87neutral+1.93%+3.65%+4.60%+0.00%+6.12%
201926/07/2019114.26neutral-1.85%-2.12%-1.92%-3.40%+2.55%
201827/07/2018110.02neutral+5.65%+0.74%-3.79%-4.34%+6.12%
201727/07/2017122.13neutral-0.79%+0.31%-11.40%-11.40%+1.51%
201628/07/2016152.35near 52w high+2.53%+0.83%-7.00%-7.00%+3.05%
In window 29/07/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.29% · Win 50% · DD -1.84%20 days: Avg -1.50% · Win 30% · DD -4.91%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/07/2025111.79neutral-1.96%-0.38%-0.10%-3.98%+2.27%
202429/07/2024118.04neutral+2.41%-0.56%+3.75%-0.56%+4.33%
202328/07/2023150.99neutral-1.22%-2.01%-5.19%-6.90%+0.50%
202229/07/2022132.32neutral+0.57%+1.89%+7.83%+0.00%+9.76%
202129/07/2021131.39neutral-2.26%+0.40%-4.97%-4.97%+4.00%
202029/07/2020110.49neutral+0.59%+4.05%+11.04%-1.03%+11.04%
201929/07/2019114.35neutral-3.48%-0.73%-0.47%-3.48%+2.47%
201830/07/2018111.04neutral+3.09%+0.05%-3.97%-5.22%+5.14%
201728/07/2017122.42neutral-0.78%+0.53%-13.55%-13.55%+1.27%
201629/07/2016154.16near 52w high+0.69%-0.38%-9.41%-9.41%+1.84%
Upcoming 11/08/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.94% · Win 50% · DD -3.59%20 days: Avg -3.44% · Win 50% · DD -6.58%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202511/08/2025110.93neutral+1.49%+1.56%+0.92%-3.79%+3.06%
202412/08/2024117.38volume x1.5+3.96%+4.33%+2.28%-2.17%+4.92%
202311/08/2023147.96neutral-3.28%-3.25%-10.35%-10.35%+0.00%
202211/08/2022132.66neutral+5.02%+8.28%+5.11%+0.00%+8.65%
202111/08/2021131.29neutral+1.07%-2.32%-7.31%-8.18%+4.08%
202011/08/2020112.71neutral+1.87%+7.98%+3.52%-0.42%+8.86%
201912/08/2019113.52neutral+3.21%+0.26%-5.28%-8.71%+3.21%
201810/08/2018110.83neutral+4.18%-4.49%+0.16%-6.39%+5.34%
201711/08/2017122.28neutral-0.31%-14.01%-12.41%-14.75%+0.74%
201611/08/2016152.86near 52w high+0.99%-7.77%-11.08%-11.08%+2.20%
Upcoming 19/08/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -4.16% · Win 40% · DD -6.99%20 days: Avg -5.75% · Win 10% · DD -8.70%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202519/08/2025112.02neutral-1.29%+0.03%-6.10%-8.73%+1.05%
202419/08/2024120.93neutral+0.36%-1.81%-1.01%-5.90%+0.92%
202318/08/2023142.05near 52w low · volume x1.6+0.04%+0.31%-10.76%-10.76%+2.74%
202219/08/2022139.77near 52w high · volume x2.4+1.30%+0.16%+0.14%-1.45%+3.12%
202119/08/2021132.38neutral-6.39%-7.85%-7.09%-9.62%+0.00%
202019/08/2020111.36neutral+9.31%+8.52%-1.24%-1.24%+9.31%
201919/08/2019116.26neutral-2.86%-7.98%-6.49%-11.55%+0.00%
201820/08/2018115.87volume x1.6-8.66%-10.51%-4.66%-11.13%+0.00%
201718/08/2017121.90neutral-13.74%-14.00%-8.89%-14.49%+0.00%
201619/08/2016154.61near 52w high-10.11%-8.50%-11.37%-12.08%+1.05%
Upcoming 21/08/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -3.13% · Win 40% · DD -6.03%20 days: Avg -4.92% · Win 20% · DD -7.77%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/08/2025112.96neutral-5.52%-0.40%-3.70%-9.49%+0.21%
202421/08/2024120.97neutral-5.16%+0.18%-1.38%-5.94%+0.88%
202321/08/2023139.73near 52w low+2.26%+2.35%-8.85%-9.28%+4.44%
202222/08/2022137.75neutral+3.09%+0.64%+1.05%+0.00%+4.63%
202120/08/2021131.28neutral-5.87%-8.13%-6.86%-8.87%+0.00%
202021/08/2020112.09neutral+6.74%+4.88%-2.05%-2.41%+8.60%
201921/08/2019113.34neutral-7.91%-7.64%-5.03%-9.27%+0.49%
201821/08/2018108.20volume x3.3-3.65%-0.97%+0.90%-4.83%+3.19%
201721/08/2017121.85neutral-13.50%-12.94%-10.13%-14.45%+0.00%
201622/08/2016156.23near 52w high-9.43%-9.22%-13.15%-13.15%+0.00%
Upcoming 04/09/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.23% · Win 40% · DD -3.71%20 days: Avg -2.72% · Win 20% · DD -4.89%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/09/2025112.34neutral-1.32%-5.04%-4.04%-8.99%+0.15%
202404/09/2024120.53neutral-2.52%-0.04%-1.16%-2.57%+0.56%
202305/09/2023143.01neutral-9.20%-10.94%-15.80%-15.80%+0.00%
202202/09/2022140.00near 52w high+1.00%-0.03%-0.31%-2.44%+1.45%
202103/09/2021120.61neutral+1.75%+1.38%+0.30%-1.24%+1.98%
202004/09/2020117.56neutral-3.49%-6.61%-0.15%-7.89%+0.00%
201904/09/2019106.28neutral+1.81%+2.40%+0.48%-1.51%+3.52%
201804/09/2018103.69neutral+5.30%+6.54%-0.50%-1.27%+7.68%
201705/09/2017106.08near 52w low+1.57%+3.23%-1.69%-1.69%+4.69%
201602/09/2016141.47near 52w low-2.57%-3.14%-4.30%-5.53%+0.25%
Upcoming 10/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.85% · Win 40% · DD -2.32%20 days: Avg -2.77% · Win 20% · DD -4.47%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/09/2025110.03neutral-4.40%+0.26%-3.74%-7.08%+0.75%
202410/09/2024118.97neutral+0.62%-1.29%-1.84%-2.35%+1.88%
202311/09/2023131.66near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x4.1-3.71%-3.92%-12.77%-12.77%+0.00%
202209/09/2022139.44near 52w high-0.40%+0.87%-1.33%-2.04%+1.91%
202110/09/2021121.06neutral+1.60%-1.61%+0.47%-1.61%+1.75%
202010/09/2020113.08neutral-2.74%-1.95%+3.58%-4.24%+3.91%
201910/09/2019106.69neutral+1.90%+1.00%-0.69%-0.79%+3.12%
201810/09/2018110.17neutral+1.34%-1.33%-5.24%-7.75%+1.34%
201711/09/2017107.10near 52w low+3.70%-1.43%-3.92%-3.92%+3.70%
201609/09/2016135.93near 52w low+0.81%+0.92%-2.20%-2.20%+1.43%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp rally recently — watch for follow-through.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+10.7%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· Distance from 52w high: -0.5% · from 52w low: +37.2%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+8.07% · +8.47% · +7.60% · +24.83%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+6.55% · +10.69% · +16.31%
Distance from 52w high / low-0.49% · +37.17%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg3.37 · 0.85x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+12.38%
vs SPY (20d)+6.94%
vs SMH (20d)+21.47%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200113.61 · 109.36 · 104.08
52w high / low121.64 · 88.25