🕰️ Time Machine
SMCI — Supermicro
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026
Last price (Close)
38.22 -1.84%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 5 days
15/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 28/08/2026
since +3.06%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 17/07/2026
23.38
Days: 38 trading / 55 calendar · return since: +63.45%
Last major high · 02/06/2026
51.40
Days: 69 trading / 100 calendar · return since: -25.65%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 02/06/2026 @ 51.40 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 27/08/2026 | -9 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 17/07/2026 @ 23.38 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 28/08/2026 | -8 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 17/07/2026 @ 23.38 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 31/08/2026 | -10 (±2) | Passed |
| High 02/06/2026 @ 51.40 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 31/08/2026 | -10 (±3) | Passed |
| Low 17/07/2026 @ 23.38 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 15/09/2026 | +5 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 17/07/2026 @ 23.38 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 21/09/2026 | +7 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 02/06/2026 @ 51.40 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 30/09/2026 | +20 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 02/06/2026 @ 51.40 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 09/10/2026 | +21 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 17/07/2026 @ 23.38 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 12/10/2026 | +22 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 17/07/2026 @ 23.38 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 15/10/2026 | +35 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 02/06/2026 @ 51.40 | Cycle 144 | Calendar | 📅 24/10/2026 | +44 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Gap Day 10/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 15/09/2026
● Shooting Star 08/09/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 03/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 31/08/2026
● Gap Day 01/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 31/08/2026
● NR7 Compression 26/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 27/08/2026
● Gap Day 24/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 27/08/2026
● Shooting Star 13/08/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 27/08/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.00% · Win 44% · DD -7.20%20 days: Avg -3.60% · Win 44% · DD -11.80%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 27/08/2025 | 44.76 | neutral | -9.07% | -1.81% | +3.31% | -10.55% | +4.98% |
| 2024 | 27/08/2024 | 54.76 | far below SMA50 | -22.67% | -18.67% | -16.34% | -29.43% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 28/08/2023 | 25.52 | neutral | +9.84% | +4.91% | -2.33% | -9.26% | +10.58% |
| 2022 | 26/08/2022 | 6.98 | far above SMA50 | -7.56% | -4.53% | -25.31% | -25.31% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 27/08/2021 | 3.57 | neutral | +6.35% | +3.92% | +6.02% | -0.64% | +6.35% |
| 2020 | 27/08/2020 | 2.62 | neutral | -1.19% | -1.87% | -1.68% | -3.90% | +4.74% |
| 2019 | 27/08/2019 | 1.90 | neutral | -2.62% | +0.26% | +1.21% | -3.31% | +3.67% |
| 2018 | 27/08/2018 | 1.73 | far below SMA50 | +18.55% | +14.61% | +23.59% | +0.00% | +23.59% |
| 2017 | 28/08/2017 | 2.73 | neutral | -2.93% | -5.85% | -20.84% | -23.77% | +0.00% |
Passed 28/08/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.71% · Win 44% · DD -5.66%20 days: Avg -4.69% · Win 33% · DD -10.27%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/08/2025 | 43.97 | far below SMA50 | -8.10% | +2.34% | +4.21% | -8.94% | +6.87% |
| 2024 | 28/08/2024 | 44.35 | far below SMA50 · volume x3.8 | -6.51% | -0.31% | -9.27% | -12.86% | +5.06% |
| 2023 | 28/08/2023 | 25.52 | neutral | +9.84% | +4.91% | -2.33% | -9.26% | +10.58% |
| 2022 | 29/08/2022 | 6.93 | far above SMA50 | -11.09% | -8.43% | -22.75% | -24.70% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 27/08/2021 | 3.57 | neutral | +6.35% | +3.92% | +6.02% | -0.64% | +6.35% |
| 2020 | 28/08/2020 | 2.71 | neutral | -5.65% | -2.70% | -2.14% | -7.17% | +1.18% |
| 2019 | 28/08/2019 | 1.94 | neutral | -2.84% | -1.96% | -2.89% | -5.05% | +1.80% |
| 2018 | 28/08/2018 | 1.95 | far below SMA50 | +1.39% | +1.64% | +7.80% | +0.00% | +9.45% |
| 2017 | 28/08/2017 | 2.73 | neutral | -2.93% | -5.85% | -20.84% | -23.77% | +0.00% |
Passed 31/08/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.33% · Win 44% · DD -6.39%20 days: Avg -2.47% · Win 44% · DD -9.83%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/08/2025 | 41.54 | far below SMA50 | -3.61% | +9.24% | +11.60% | -3.61% | +13.12% |
| 2024 | 30/08/2024 | 43.77 | far below SMA50 | -6.36% | +2.60% | -4.87% | -11.71% | +6.45% |
| 2023 | 31/08/2023 | 27.51 | volume x1.6 | +2.03% | -9.39% | -0.31% | -15.83% | +2.57% |
| 2022 | 31/08/2022 | 6.51 | far above SMA50 | -0.15% | +0.43% | -16.33% | -19.87% | +2.77% |
| 2021 | 31/08/2021 | 3.65 | volume x2.2 | -0.57% | -0.27% | +0.44% | -1.29% | +4.00% |
| 2020 | 31/08/2020 | 2.74 | neutral | -7.59% | -4.16% | -2.15% | -8.25% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 30/08/2019 | 1.89 | neutral | +2.65% | +2.12% | +1.59% | -2.54% | +4.50% |
| 2018 | 31/08/2018 | 2.05 | neutral | -2.39% | -0.20% | +4.83% | -3.71% | +4.83% |
| 2017 | 31/08/2017 | 2.66 | neutral | -3.30% | -12.32% | -17.01% | -21.70% | +0.45% |
Upcoming 15/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.64% · Win 60% · DD -5.99%20 days: Avg -1.34% · Win 40% · DD -9.92%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 15/09/2025 | 45.38 | neutral | +3.28% | +2.16% | +20.65% | -1.06% | +29.31% |
| 2024 | 16/09/2024 | 44.91 | far below SMA50 | +3.75% | -7.28% | +5.52% | -10.40% | +6.44% |
| 2023 | 15/09/2023 | 24.93 | far below SMA50 | -5.42% | +10.01% | +14.42% | -7.11% | +24.49% |
| 2022 | 15/09/2022 | 6.54 | far above SMA50 | -17.09% | -16.69% | -15.62% | -20.21% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 15/09/2021 | 3.64 | neutral | +3.57% | +0.71% | -1.76% | -1.76% | +3.95% |
| 2020 | 15/09/2020 | 2.62 | neutral | -0.80% | +2.10% | +6.10% | -4.27% | +6.36% |
| 2019 | 16/09/2019 | 1.93 | neutral | +1.61% | -0.52% | -2.85% | -2.85% | +2.33% |
| 2018 | 14/09/2018 | 2.01 | neutral | +2.99% | +2.54% | -34.78% | -38.31% | +6.97% |
| 2017 | 15/09/2017 | 2.34 | far below SMA50 · volume x3.6 | -6.00% | -5.35% | -3.21% | -10.71% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 15/09/2016 | 2.19 | near 52w high | +3.88% | +5.97% | -1.87% | -2.51% | +7.57% |
Upcoming 21/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.37% · Win 70% · DD -6.75%20 days: Avg +0.02% · Win 60% · DD -7.83%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 22/09/2025 | 46.87 | volume x1.5 | -1.09% | +16.54% | +17.43% | -2.24% | +25.20% |
| 2024 | 20/09/2024 | 45.73 | far below SMA50 | -8.21% | -9.83% | +3.35% | -12.00% | +6.61% |
| 2023 | 21/09/2023 | 23.15 | far below SMA50 | +16.34% | +24.21% | +14.47% | +0.00% | +34.02% |
| 2022 | 21/09/2022 | 5.50 | neutral | +1.13% | +9.89% | +1.02% | -5.23% | +11.67% |
| 2021 | 21/09/2021 | 3.67 | neutral | +1.72% | +1.66% | -3.90% | -4.64% | +3.30% |
| 2020 | 21/09/2020 | 2.59 | neutral | +2.24% | +3.28% | +3.01% | -3.01% | +7.76% |
| 2019 | 20/09/2019 | 1.98 | neutral | -3.29% | -2.03% | -2.78% | -5.06% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 21/09/2018 | 2.07 | neutral | -0.43% | -40.10% | -31.88% | -40.10% | +3.86% |
| 2017 | 21/09/2017 | 2.12 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +3.30% | +8.25% | +2.83% | +0.00% | +9.67% |
| 2016 | 21/09/2016 | 2.27 | near 52w high | +3.74% | +1.80% | -3.34% | -6.02% | +3.74% |
Upcoming 30/09/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.56% · Win 50% · DD -6.65%20 days: Avg -1.28% · Win 50% · DD -10.08%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 30/09/2025 | 47.94 | neutral | +14.87% | +10.78% | +9.22% | -0.04% | +22.40% |
| 2024 | 30/09/2024 | 41.64 | far below SMA50 | +14.65% | +13.81% | +14.60% | -2.62% | +17.07% |
| 2023 | 29/09/2023 | 27.42 | neutral | +5.63% | +4.00% | -11.97% | -12.68% | +13.16% |
| 2022 | 30/09/2022 | 5.51 | neutral | +7.01% | -1.91% | +24.79% | -4.81% | +24.79% |
| 2021 | 30/09/2021 | 3.66 | neutral | +2.00% | -1.67% | -3.09% | -4.38% | +2.13% |
| 2020 | 30/09/2020 | 2.64 | neutral | +2.39% | +3.98% | -15.72% | -15.72% | +5.76% |
| 2019 | 30/09/2019 | 1.92 | neutral | +1.04% | -2.34% | +10.42% | -2.34% | +10.42% |
| 2018 | 01/10/2018 | 2.15 | neutral | -31.40% | -35.95% | -38.14% | -42.33% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 29/09/2017 | 2.21 | far below SMA50 · volume x1.7 | +2.94% | +2.26% | -7.33% | -7.33% | +5.20% |
| 2016 | 30/09/2016 | 2.34 | near 52w high | -3.94% | -8.56% | +4.41% | -8.56% | +4.41% |
Upcoming 09/10/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.65% · Win 30% · DD -6.70%20 days: Avg -3.18% · Win 50% · DD -15.31%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 09/10/2025 | 57.98 | far above SMA50 | -7.14% | -17.35% | -30.42% | -30.42% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 09/10/2024 | 47.29 | neutral | +3.09% | -4.08% | -52.00% | -52.00% | +3.87% |
| 2023 | 09/10/2023 | 29.00 | neutral | +0.58% | -12.11% | -12.90% | -18.41% | +7.00% |
| 2022 | 10/10/2022 | 5.62 | neutral | -0.23% | +12.02% | +37.16% | -6.81% | +43.72% |
| 2021 | 08/10/2021 | 3.69 | neutral | -3.90% | -4.28% | +26.30% | -5.18% | +27.36% |
| 2020 | 09/10/2020 | 2.77 | neutral | -1.52% | -8.12% | +0.94% | -19.70% | +3.54% |
| 2019 | 09/10/2019 | 1.90 | neutral | +2.26% | +5.16% | +8.95% | -1.32% | +11.58% |
| 2018 | 09/10/2018 | 1.25 | far below SMA50 · volume x3.7 | +7.06% | +17.58% | -0.72% | -0.80% | +18.46% |
| 2017 | 09/10/2017 | 2.27 | neutral | -1.10% | -0.88% | -9.69% | -12.56% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 10/10/2016 | 2.27 | near 52w high | -4.54% | -4.45% | +0.62% | -5.90% | +7.44% |
Upcoming 12/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.22% · Win 30% · DD -5.96%20 days: Avg -1.75% · Win 40% · DD -15.10%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 13/10/2025 | 54.75 | far above SMA50 | +0.53% | -5.81% | -26.59% | -27.38% | +0.53% |
| 2024 | 11/10/2024 | 47.80 | neutral | -1.13% | -1.11% | -48.70% | -52.51% | +2.76% |
| 2023 | 12/10/2023 | 29.32 | neutral | -9.60% | -18.33% | -9.66% | -19.30% | +1.82% |
| 2022 | 12/10/2022 | 5.24 | far below SMA50 | +6.05% | +25.24% | +45.92% | +0.00% | +54.22% |
| 2021 | 12/10/2021 | 3.59 | neutral | -1.78% | -1.20% | +24.97% | -2.54% | +30.91% |
| 2020 | 12/10/2020 | 2.79 | neutral | -4.41% | -12.97% | -0.79% | -20.31% | +2.76% |
| 2019 | 11/10/2019 | 1.89 | neutral | +1.53% | +10.36% | +12.37% | -0.85% | +12.37% |
| 2018 | 12/10/2018 | 1.31 | far below SMA50 | +7.55% | +9.84% | -7.40% | -11.14% | +12.59% |
| 2017 | 12/10/2017 | 2.25 | neutral | -3.11% | -3.56% | -13.11% | -13.11% | +0.44% |
| 2016 | 12/10/2016 | 2.22 | neutral | -1.08% | -0.32% | +5.54% | -3.83% | +9.81% |
Upcoming 15/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.25% · Win 40% · DD -7.09%20 days: Avg -0.79% · Win 50% · DD -15.24%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 15/10/2025 | 53.94 | far above SMA50 | -2.67% | -2.32% | -29.72% | -29.72% | +2.04% |
| 2024 | 15/10/2024 | 47.76 | neutral | -3.75% | +2.85% | -54.56% | -54.56% | +2.85% |
| 2023 | 16/10/2023 | 29.17 | neutral | -12.62% | -18.88% | -12.30% | -18.88% | +2.35% |
| 2022 | 14/10/2022 | 5.40 | far below SMA50 | +19.46% | +27.21% | +54.52% | +0.00% | +54.52% |
| 2021 | 15/10/2021 | 3.54 | volume x2.4 | -0.40% | -0.14% | +23.28% | -1.33% | +32.53% |
| 2020 | 15/10/2020 | 2.77 | neutral | -3.25% | -17.03% | +3.22% | -19.56% | +3.72% |
| 2019 | 15/10/2019 | 1.88 | neutral | +5.95% | +11.64% | +13.97% | +0.00% | +13.97% |
| 2018 | 15/10/2018 | 1.38 | far below SMA50 | +6.75% | -3.41% | -14.45% | -15.40% | +7.19% |
| 2017 | 16/10/2017 | 2.24 | neutral | +0.22% | -11.58% | -11.14% | -12.92% | +0.22% |
| 2016 | 14/10/2016 | 2.14 | near 52w low | +0.42% | +14.18% | +19.33% | +0.00% | +19.33% |
Upcoming 24/10/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.88% · Win 50% · DD -12.19%20 days: Avg +2.27% · Win 60% · DD -15.30%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/10/2025 | 48.29 | neutral | +7.60% | -17.66% | -33.34% | -34.64% | +9.11% |
| 2024 | 24/10/2024 | 46.23 | neutral | -37.03% | -44.88% | -35.76% | -61.04% | +6.25% |
| 2023 | 24/10/2023 | 26.26 | neutral | -8.82% | -3.14% | +10.37% | -9.90% | +15.99% |
| 2022 | 24/10/2022 | 6.30 | neutral | +10.44% | +22.44% | +33.17% | +0.00% | +38.11% |
| 2021 | 25/10/2021 | 3.53 | neutral | +3.74% | +27.48% | +19.36% | -0.06% | +32.95% |
| 2020 | 23/10/2020 | 2.55 | volume x1.9 | -10.76% | +9.86% | +17.60% | -12.61% | +17.67% |
| 2019 | 24/10/2019 | 2.06 | neutral | +0.39% | +1.46% | +1.94% | -1.12% | +7.67% |
| 2018 | 24/10/2018 | 1.47 | far below SMA50 | -10.88% | -17.89% | -8.30% | -20.75% | +0.41% |
| 2017 | 24/10/2017 | 2.24 | neutral | -11.36% | -11.80% | -4.23% | -12.92% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 24/10/2016 | 2.17 | near 52w low | +9.22% | +5.30% | +21.89% | +0.00% | +21.89% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+18.3%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -35.0% · from 52w low: +96.2%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +3.28% · +2.21% · +1.61% · +23.87% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +0.91% · +18.34% · +21.49% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -34.99% · +96.18% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 2.06 · 0.33x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +3.58% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +3.50% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +5.54% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 37.87 · 32.29 · 31.45 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 58.78 · 19.48 |
|---|
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