🕰️ Time Machine

SMTC — Semtech Corporation

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 26/10/2026

Last price (Close)
136.73 +3.58%
Next window · Cycle 90 · in window · in 1 days
27/10/2026
Last window · Cycle 60 · 22/10/2026
since +9.28%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 29/07/2026
103.10
Days: 62 trading / 89 calendar · return since: +32.62%
Last major high · 15/06/2026
177.35
Days: 92 trading / 133 calendar · return since: -22.90%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 29/07/2026 @ 103.10Cycle 60Trading📅 22/10/2026-2 (±2)In window
High 15/06/2026 @ 177.35Cycle 90Trading📅 22/10/2026-2 (±3)In window
Low 29/07/2026 @ 103.10Cycle 90Calendar📅 27/10/2026+1 (±3)In window
High 15/06/2026 @ 177.35Cycle 144Calendar📅 06/11/2026+11 (±3)Upcoming
Low 29/07/2026 @ 103.10Cycle 120Calendar📅 26/11/2026+31 (±3)Upcoming
Low 29/07/2026 @ 103.10Cycle 90Trading📅 04/12/2026+28 (±3)Upcoming
High 15/06/2026 @ 177.35Cycle 120Trading📅 04/12/2026+28 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

● Hammer Reversal 21/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 22/10/2026
● Doji After Run 21/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 22/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 20/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 22/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 19/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 22/10/2026
● Gap Day 19/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 22/10/2026
● Shooting Star 02/10/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 30/09/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

In window 22/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.48% · Win 78% · DD -4.28%20 days: Avg +5.31% · Win 78% · DD -4.68%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202522/10/202565.13neutral+6.80%+3.64%-0.98%-3.72%+15.57%
202422/10/202444.07neutral+8.37%+6.74%+7.19%-0.34%+19.85%
202323/10/202315.82near 52w low · far below SMA50-13.46%-7.71%+0.57%-15.11%+1.77%
202221/10/202226.68far below SMA50+4.72%+3.11%+10.53%-0.56%+15.37%
202122/10/202178.11neutral+8.86%+15.52%+17.77%+0.00%+17.77%
202022/10/202056.94neutral-3.00%+8.25%+19.28%-7.87%+19.28%
201922/10/201950.04neutral+2.12%+8.43%+1.48%-1.54%+8.43%
201822/10/201848.73neutral-11.51%-3.14%-9.91%-11.92%+0.10%
201723/10/201738.30neutral+3.92%+5.48%+1.83%-1.04%+7.18%
In window 27/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +6.74% · Win 90% · DD -3.53%20 days: Avg +8.95% · Win 70% · DD -4.24%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/10/202570.66far above SMA50-4.83%+6.52%-0.92%-11.45%+6.52%
202428/10/202444.97neutral-2.33%+12.70%+18.83%-2.33%+18.83%
202327/10/202314.50near 52w low · far below SMA50+1.52%+0.69%+12.97%-7.38%+12.97%
202227/10/202226.56far below SMA50+0.79%+12.16%+11.48%+0.00%+15.89%
202127/10/202181.37near 52w high+9.11%+8.34%+10.00%+0.00%+13.05%
202027/10/202055.47neutral+1.68%+15.02%+23.90%-5.43%+24.28%
201928/10/201951.12neutral+5.50%+3.91%-2.43%-4.81%+6.14%
201826/10/201843.93far below SMA50+7.85%+6.37%+4.89%-1.84%+11.04%
201727/10/201740.35near 52w high-5.20%-2.78%-3.84%-6.07%+1.73%
201627/10/201624.70near 52w high-1.01%+4.45%+14.57%-3.04%+14.78%
Upcoming 06/11/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.36% · Win 60% · DD -5.24%20 days: Avg +6.97% · Win 70% · DD -7.31%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202506/11/202569.89neutral-3.29%-10.47%+13.91%-10.47%+13.91%
202406/11/202447.74near 52w high+2.66%+3.00%+36.95%-7.62%+44.74%
202306/11/202314.60far below SMA50-1.85%+8.97%+14.25%-5.68%+15.21%
202207/11/202228.09neutral+5.84%+2.60%+1.89%-2.95%+9.58%
202105/11/202190.23near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.8-0.32%+1.95%-5.43%-5.43%+1.95%
202006/11/202063.16near 52w high · far above SMA50+3.47%+9.15%+12.46%+0.00%+14.31%
201906/11/201953.41far above SMA50-0.24%-7.70%-13.95%-14.36%+0.58%
201806/11/201848.52neutral-6.20%-8.76%+4.18%-9.52%+9.93%
201706/11/201740.40near 52w high · volume x1.7-4.21%-3.47%-17.08%-17.08%+0.62%
201607/11/201625.35near 52w high+2.56%+8.28%+22.49%+0.00%+22.49%
Upcoming 26/11/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.85% · Win 70% · DD -3.12%20 days: Avg +5.52% · Win 70% · DD -5.65%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202526/11/202573.45neutral+6.58%+8.60%+3.57%-8.60%+9.65%
202426/11/202463.11far above SMA50 · volume x4.4+9.49%+1.58%+4.06%-0.68%+9.49%
202327/11/202316.38far below SMA50+2.63%+25.89%+37.73%-0.24%+39.68%
202225/11/202229.61neutral-0.84%-0.95%-7.23%-9.25%+3.82%
202126/11/202185.35neutral+0.69%+2.18%+5.68%-2.88%+6.27%
202025/11/202067.94near 52w high · far above SMA50+2.15%+2.53%+5.56%-0.69%+7.93%
201926/11/201949.16neutral-4.82%-3.58%+6.35%-6.96%+6.35%
201826/11/201846.08neutral+13.15%+3.30%-3.17%-10.20%+15.76%
201727/11/201738.80neutral-12.89%-13.79%-11.34%-16.24%+0.00%
201625/11/201628.30near 52w high+7.07%+12.72%+13.96%-0.71%+15.72%
Upcoming 04/12/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.76% · Win 40% · DD -5.73%20 days: Avg +2.72% · Win 60% · DD -6.48%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/12/202578.28near 52w high · far above SMA50+1.90%-9.29%-5.03%-14.24%+2.89%
202404/12/202469.10near 52w high · far above SMA50-7.22%-8.94%-4.30%-10.71%+0.00%
202304/12/202316.81neutral+22.67%+31.41%+21.71%-0.77%+36.11%
202205/12/202229.48volume x1.9+1.70%-8.85%-0.81%-8.85%+3.46%
202103/12/202185.94neutral+1.48%-1.34%+4.70%-3.55%+5.54%
202004/12/202072.20near 52w high · far above SMA50-3.19%-0.73%+0.12%-3.77%+1.57%
201904/12/201946.79volume x1.8+1.30%+7.54%+13.25%-1.77%+15.11%
201804/12/201850.04neutral-3.64%-12.31%-8.45%-17.31%+1.02%
201704/12/201733.80far below SMA50-1.04%+4.29%+4.44%-3.85%+4.44%
201605/12/201630.90near 52w high · volume x1.6+2.91%+5.83%+1.62%+0.00%+5.99%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· If it holds above SMA50 (-12.8%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· Distance from 52w high: -32.3% · from 52w low: +126.8%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-3.86% · -18.75% · -21.77% · +16.05%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-17.00% · -12.78% · +10.50%
Distance from 52w high / low-32.31% · +126.82%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg13.89 · 0.69x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-18.47%
vs SPY (20d)-21.74%
vs SMH (20d)-12.04%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200164.73 · 156.76 · 123.74
52w high / low201.99 · 60.28