🕰️ Time Machine

SMTC — Semtech Corporation

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 11/09/2026

Last price (Close)
167.24 +5.10%
Next window · Cycle 45 · in window · in 1 days
12/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 10/09/2026
since +5.10%
Trend
Strong uptrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 29/07/2026
103.10
Days: 31 trading / 44 calendar · return since: +62.21%
Last major high · 15/06/2026
177.35
Days: 61 trading / 88 calendar · return since: -5.70%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 29/07/2026 @ 103.10Fib 21Trading📅 27/08/2026-10 (±1)Passed
Low 29/07/2026 @ 103.10Cycle 30Trading📅 10/09/2026-1 (±2)In window
High 15/06/2026 @ 177.35Cycle 60Trading📅 10/09/2026-1 (±2)In window
Low 29/07/2026 @ 103.10Cycle 45Calendar📅 12/09/2026+1 (±2)In window
High 15/06/2026 @ 177.35Cycle 90Calendar📅 13/09/2026+2 (±3)In window
Low 29/07/2026 @ 103.10Cycle 60Calendar📅 27/09/2026+16 (±2)Upcoming
Low 29/07/2026 @ 103.10Cycle 45Trading📅 01/10/2026+14 (±2)Upcoming
High 15/06/2026 @ 177.35Cycle 120Calendar📅 13/10/2026+32 (±3)Upcoming
Low 29/07/2026 @ 103.10Cycle 60Trading📅 22/10/2026+29 (±2)Upcoming
High 15/06/2026 @ 177.35Cycle 90Trading📅 22/10/2026+29 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Gap Day 10/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 10/09/2026
Shooting Star 09/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 10/09/2026
Doji After Run 09/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 10/09/2026
Failed Breakout 09/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 10/09/2026
Hammer Reversal 02/09/2026
Gap Day 01/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 27/08/2026
Volume Climax 25/08/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 27/08/2026
Gap Day 24/08/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 27/08/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 27/08/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.66% · Win 56% · DD -6.97%20 days: Avg +0.95% · Win 56% · DD -9.08%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/08/202558.13far above SMA50+3.04%+4.78%+6.02%-0.64%+7.74%
202427/08/202438.16far above SMA50 · volume x1.6+11.32%+6.66%+24.40%+0.00%+24.74%
202328/08/202326.00volume x1.7-2.46%-12.62%-2.27%-12.62%+2.15%
202226/08/202248.99near 52w low · far below SMA50-29.86%-28.97%-39.87%-39.87%+0.00%
202127/08/202170.36volume x1.7+11.07%+7.99%+16.12%-0.74%+17.10%
202027/08/202059.57volume x2.3-3.04%-6.06%-14.00%-16.07%+2.00%
201927/08/201943.15volume x2.0-3.75%+9.64%+9.71%-5.28%+13.30%
201827/08/201850.25near 52w high · volume x1.7+18.91%+16.42%+12.34%-0.70%+19.30%
201728/08/201737.20neutral-2.42%-3.76%-3.90%-5.78%+4.97%
In window 10/09/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.59% · Win 50% · DD -3.59%20 days: Avg +0.18% · Win 70% · DD -5.56%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/09/202561.72far above SMA50+0.81%-3.06%+14.29%-3.06%+18.16%
202410/09/202439.35far above SMA50+7.93%+20.97%+7.83%+0.00%+20.97%
202311/09/202323.36far below SMA50 · volume x1.6+3.98%+11.13%-5.78%-5.78%+11.86%
202209/09/202234.82far below SMA50-9.10%-14.27%-21.80%-21.80%+0.00%
202110/09/202174.13far above SMA50+4.75%+9.86%+4.49%+0.00%+11.14%
202010/09/202054.97neutral-1.58%-8.51%+2.97%-9.04%+3.67%
201910/09/201946.01neutral+5.89%+0.26%+3.39%+0.00%+8.93%
201810/09/201857.70near 52w high · far above SMA50+3.03%-1.39%-10.52%-10.52%+3.90%
201711/09/201736.30neutral-1.10%-1.79%+6.06%-3.44%+6.06%
201612/09/201626.54near 52w high+2.15%+2.71%+0.90%-1.92%+5.24%
In window 12/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.74% · Win 60% · DD -4.23%20 days: Avg -0.28% · Win 80% · DD -6.21%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202512/09/202560.30far above SMA50+0.95%+4.43%+8.23%-0.78%+20.95%
202412/09/202440.59far above SMA50+13.55%+16.78%+4.88%-1.31%+17.27%
202312/09/202322.72far below SMA50+10.34%+11.84%+2.99%-3.12%+15.01%
202212/09/202234.80far below SMA50-8.85%-15.34%-20.83%-21.75%+0.00%
202113/09/202175.98far above SMA50+1.65%+7.53%+0.79%+0.00%+8.44%
202011/09/202055.96neutral-6.84%-8.45%+3.54%-10.65%+3.54%
201912/09/201948.29neutral-1.72%+3.79%+1.01%-4.47%+3.79%
201812/09/201858.85near 52w high · far above SMA50+1.61%-5.69%-16.04%-16.04%+1.87%
201712/09/201735.80neutral-1.68%-0.14%+11.73%-2.09%+11.73%
201612/09/201626.54near 52w high+2.15%+2.71%+0.90%-1.92%+5.24%
In window 13/09/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.44% · Win 70% · DD -3.82%20 days: Avg +0.14% · Win 70% · DD -6.33%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202512/09/202560.30far above SMA50+0.95%+4.43%+8.23%-0.78%+20.95%
202413/09/202441.63far above SMA50+10.50%+11.34%+5.69%-3.77%+14.34%
202313/09/202322.87far below SMA50 · volume x3.4+11.41%+11.28%+4.50%-3.76%+14.25%
202213/09/202232.73far below SMA50-5.16%-8.74%-20.07%-20.07%+0.00%
202113/09/202175.98far above SMA50+1.65%+7.53%+0.79%+0.00%+8.44%
202014/09/202056.23neutral-9.00%-5.41%+4.00%-11.08%+4.00%
201913/09/201948.89neutral-4.54%+0.27%+2.17%-5.65%+2.52%
201813/09/201858.50near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.68%-5.13%-16.22%-16.22%+2.48%
201713/09/201735.70neutral-1.12%+3.22%+12.46%-1.82%+12.46%
201613/09/201626.03near 52w high+3.65%+5.61%-0.19%-0.19%+7.30%
Upcoming 27/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.26% · Win 40% · DD -6.96%20 days: Avg -6.05% · Win 40% · DD -11.54%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202526/09/202562.97far above SMA50+14.34%+3.64%+7.65%-1.57%+15.82%
202427/09/202446.35far above SMA50-10.08%-5.07%-1.90%-12.45%+0.00%
202327/09/202325.45neutral-2.79%-6.09%-39.96%-39.96%+2.32%
202227/09/202229.87near 52w low · far below SMA50+5.49%-12.42%-8.34%-14.13%+7.23%
202127/09/202181.70near 52w high · far above SMA50-4.14%-6.27%-1.86%-8.49%+0.00%
202028/09/202053.19neutral+2.54%+9.95%+5.15%-1.92%+9.95%
201927/09/201949.02volume x1.6+0.98%+1.90%+1.73%-3.88%+2.69%
201827/09/201855.50neutral-2.50%-11.69%-20.49%-22.67%+0.18%
201727/09/201736.85neutral+2.71%+8.96%+5.97%+0.00%+9.63%
201627/09/201627.49near 52w high+0.04%-5.49%-8.51%-10.33%+0.91%
Upcoming 01/10/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.88% · Win 40% · DD -6.99%20 days: Avg -5.20% · Win 50% · DD -11.65%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202501/10/202571.68far above SMA50 · volume x1.6-1.59%-2.64%-2.96%-9.14%+1.74%
202401/10/202442.08far above SMA50+0.83%+4.90%+13.50%-3.56%+13.50%
202302/10/202325.21neutral-12.69%-11.15%-45.70%-45.70%+0.00%
202230/09/202229.41near 52w low · far below SMA50-7.41%-12.78%-5.00%-12.78%+8.91%
202101/10/202178.72far above SMA50-1.60%-2.11%+8.02%-5.03%+8.02%
202001/10/202054.20neutral+4.43%+5.39%+1.90%-3.75%+7.90%
201901/10/201947.34neutral+0.49%+6.34%+7.94%-0.46%+7.98%
201801/10/201854.70neutral-5.61%-9.56%-21.17%-21.54%+0.00%
201702/10/201738.20neutral+0.79%+2.09%+4.19%-1.83%+5.76%
201630/09/201627.73near 52w high-0.72%-9.30%-12.73%-12.73%+0.04%
Upcoming 13/10/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -3.47% · Win 40% · DD -6.89%20 days: Avg +3.18% · Win 70% · DD -8.29%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202513/10/202568.27far above SMA50+0.40%+3.50%+10.25%-5.64%+10.25%
202414/10/202445.38far above SMA50-3.15%-0.90%+11.68%-3.31%+16.39%
202313/10/202321.92far below SMA50-24.77%-33.85%-33.39%-38.73%+2.19%
202213/10/202227.03far below SMA50-3.88%-1.74%+10.21%-5.11%+10.21%
202113/10/202174.76neutral+3.95%+8.84%+17.92%+0.00%+21.70%
202013/10/202057.99neutral-2.81%-4.35%+10.02%-9.54%+12.02%
201914/10/201949.25neutral+2.11%+3.80%+7.86%-0.28%+10.17%
201812/10/201849.50neutral-1.82%-11.25%-5.60%-13.29%+3.78%
201713/10/201739.45near 52w high-2.79%+2.28%-0.56%-3.04%+4.06%
201613/10/201624.95near 52w low · volume x1.7+0.20%-1.00%+3.41%-4.01%+3.41%
Upcoming 22/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.90% · Win 70% · DD -4.18%20 days: Avg +5.99% · Win 80% · DD -4.53%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202522/10/202565.13neutral+6.80%+3.64%-0.98%-3.72%+15.57%
202422/10/202444.07neutral+8.37%+6.74%+7.19%-0.34%+19.85%
202323/10/202315.82near 52w low · far below SMA50-13.46%-7.71%+0.57%-15.11%+1.77%
202221/10/202226.68far below SMA50+4.72%+3.11%+10.53%-0.56%+15.37%
202122/10/202178.11neutral+8.86%+15.52%+17.77%+0.00%+17.77%
202022/10/202056.94neutral-3.00%+8.25%+19.28%-7.87%+19.28%
201922/10/201950.04neutral+2.12%+8.43%+1.48%-1.54%+8.43%
201822/10/201848.73neutral-11.51%-3.14%-9.91%-11.92%+0.10%
201723/10/201738.30neutral+3.92%+5.48%+1.83%-1.04%+7.18%
201621/10/201624.75near 52w low-2.22%-1.29%+12.12%-3.23%+12.12%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp rally recently — watch for follow-through.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+25.2%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· Distance from 52w high: -5.7% · from 52w low: +190.9%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+23.52% · +17.42% · +25.20% · +3.50%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+19.36% · +25.17% · +52.82%
Distance from 52w high / low-5.70% · +190.85%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg10.59 · 0.76x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+27.55%
vs SPY (20d)+26.96%
vs SMH (20d)+28.69%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200140.11 · 133.61 · 109.44
52w high / low177.35 · 57.50