🕰️ Time Machine
SMTC — Semtech Corporation
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 28/07/2026
Last price (Close)
111.50 -8.25%
Next window · Cycle 120 · in window
28/07/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 16/07/2026
since -12.65%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 30/03/2026
69.16
Days: 82 trading / 120 calendar · return since: +61.22%
Last major high · 15/06/2026
177.35
Days: 29 trading / 43 calendar · return since: -37.13%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 15/06/2026 @ 177.35 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 16/07/2026 | -8 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 30/03/2026 @ 69.16 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 28/07/2026 | +0 (±3) | In window |
| High 15/06/2026 @ 177.35 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 29/07/2026 | +1 (±2) | In window |
| High 15/06/2026 @ 177.35 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 30/07/2026 | +2 (±2) | In window |
| Low 30/03/2026 @ 69.16 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 07/08/2026 | +8 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 15/06/2026 @ 177.35 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 14/08/2026 | +17 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 15/06/2026 @ 177.35 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 19/08/2026 | +16 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 30/03/2026 @ 69.16 | Cycle 144 | Calendar | 📅 21/08/2026 | +24 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 15/06/2026 @ 177.35 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 10/09/2026 | +31 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 30/03/2026 @ 69.16 | Cycle 120 | Trading | 📅 21/09/2026 | +38 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● NR7 Compression 28/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 28/07/2026
● Gap Day 28/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 28/07/2026
● NR7 Compression 23/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 28/07/2026
● Gap Day 20/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 16/07/2026
● Failed Breakdown 17/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 16/07/2026
● Gap Day 13/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 16/07/2026
● Failed Breakdown 08/07/2026
● Failed Breakdown 01/07/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 16/07/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.61% · Win 67% · DD -4.26%20 days: Avg +1.31% · Win 44% · DD -7.03%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/07/2025 | 48.66 | far above SMA50 | +6.14% | +10.38% | +9.41% | -0.21% | +11.30% |
| 2024 | 16/07/2024 | 36.33 | neutral | -8.04% | -16.98% | -8.23% | -24.00% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 17/07/2023 | 29.43 | far above SMA50 | -6.29% | -0.78% | -13.52% | -13.86% | +0.65% |
| 2022 | 15/07/2022 | 55.07 | neutral | +5.81% | +13.18% | -1.20% | -6.94% | +13.18% |
| 2021 | 16/07/2021 | 60.92 | neutral | +0.59% | +1.63% | +8.40% | -2.63% | +8.40% |
| 2020 | 16/07/2020 | 52.46 | neutral | -0.53% | +5.05% | +21.10% | -1.47% | +22.00% |
| 2019 | 16/07/2019 | 49.30 | neutral | +3.73% | +9.43% | -6.11% | -9.15% | +9.43% |
| 2018 | 16/07/2018 | 49.80 | near 52w high | +2.11% | -5.02% | -1.31% | -5.02% | +3.31% |
| 2017 | 17/07/2017 | 37.15 | near 52w high | +6.86% | +6.59% | +3.23% | +0.00% | +9.69% |
In window 28/07/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -3.40% · Win 30% · DD -7.96%20 days: Avg -0.21% · Win 50% · DD -9.14%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/07/2025 | 54.16 | far above SMA50 | -4.56% | -10.34% | -5.83% | -10.51% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 29/07/2024 | 31.65 | neutral | -11.53% | -4.96% | +17.00% | -12.76% | +17.00% |
| 2023 | 28/07/2023 | 28.49 | far above SMA50 | -3.55% | -11.02% | -11.16% | -13.27% | +2.49% |
| 2022 | 28/07/2022 | 61.21 | neutral | -8.17% | -14.34% | -14.52% | -17.24% | +1.83% |
| 2021 | 28/07/2021 | 60.60 | neutral | +2.90% | +6.44% | +11.06% | +0.00% | +11.06% |
| 2020 | 28/07/2020 | 52.70 | neutral | +10.93% | +18.31% | +18.88% | +0.00% | +21.44% |
| 2019 | 29/07/2019 | 53.67 | far above SMA50 | -16.55% | -16.01% | -19.21% | -19.38% | +0.52% |
| 2018 | 27/07/2018 | 48.75 | neutral | -1.95% | +2.36% | +3.49% | -2.97% | +5.54% |
| 2017 | 28/07/2017 | 39.75 | near 52w high | -3.40% | -3.90% | -5.79% | -10.69% | +1.13% |
| 2016 | 28/07/2016 | 25.42 | near 52w high | -4.60% | -0.55% | +4.01% | -4.60% | +4.01% |
In window 29/07/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.35% · Win 40% · DD -7.69%20 days: Avg +0.48% · Win 60% · DD -9.14%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/07/2025 | 53.45 | far above SMA50 | -4.49% | -1.38% | +9.86% | -9.32% | +9.86% |
| 2024 | 29/07/2024 | 31.65 | neutral | -11.53% | -4.96% | +17.00% | -12.76% | +17.00% |
| 2023 | 28/07/2023 | 28.49 | far above SMA50 | -3.55% | -11.02% | -11.16% | -13.27% | +2.49% |
| 2022 | 29/07/2022 | 62.33 | neutral | -10.57% | -12.71% | -21.40% | -21.40% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 29/07/2021 | 61.54 | neutral | +2.18% | +4.83% | +10.61% | +0.00% | +10.61% |
| 2020 | 29/07/2020 | 54.46 | neutral | +7.09% | +17.52% | +15.50% | +0.00% | +17.52% |
| 2019 | 29/07/2019 | 53.67 | far above SMA50 | -16.55% | -16.01% | -19.21% | -19.38% | +0.52% |
| 2018 | 30/07/2018 | 47.30 | neutral | +3.28% | +3.91% | +6.24% | +0.00% | +8.77% |
| 2017 | 28/07/2017 | 39.75 | near 52w high | -3.40% | -3.90% | -5.79% | -10.69% | +1.13% |
| 2016 | 29/07/2016 | 25.42 | near 52w high | -2.40% | +0.24% | +3.11% | -4.60% | +4.01% |
In window 30/07/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.71% · Win 50% · DD -7.53%20 days: Avg +0.74% · Win 60% · DD -9.00%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 30/07/2025 | 53.71 | far above SMA50 | -5.10% | -0.88% | +8.23% | -9.76% | +9.33% |
| 2024 | 30/07/2024 | 30.16 | far below SMA50 | -4.54% | +10.54% | +26.53% | -8.45% | +26.53% |
| 2023 | 31/07/2023 | 29.20 | far above SMA50 | -5.99% | -12.84% | -10.96% | -15.38% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 29/07/2022 | 62.33 | neutral | -10.57% | -12.71% | -21.40% | -21.40% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 30/07/2021 | 61.91 | neutral | +3.75% | +6.67% | +13.65% | +0.00% | +13.65% |
| 2020 | 30/07/2020 | 55.11 | neutral | +6.31% | +15.28% | +8.09% | +0.00% | +16.13% |
| 2019 | 30/07/2019 | 53.95 | far above SMA50 | -15.96% | -14.20% | -20.02% | -20.02% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 30/07/2018 | 47.30 | neutral | +3.28% | +3.91% | +6.24% | +0.00% | +8.77% |
| 2017 | 31/07/2017 | 39.60 | near 52w high | -1.01% | -3.16% | -6.06% | -10.35% | +1.52% |
| 2016 | 29/07/2016 | 25.42 | near 52w high | -2.40% | +0.24% | +3.11% | -4.60% | +4.01% |
Upcoming 07/08/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.18% · Win 40% · DD -4.12%20 days: Avg +6.01% · Win 50% · DD -8.26%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 07/08/2025 | 51.50 | far above SMA50 | -1.90% | -4.10% | +17.81% | -5.88% | +17.81% |
| 2024 | 07/08/2024 | 27.61 | far below SMA50 | +21.04% | +31.98% | +52.73% | +0.00% | +58.71% |
| 2023 | 07/08/2023 | 27.45 | neutral | -7.29% | -7.65% | -7.61% | -9.98% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 08/08/2022 | 54.60 | neutral | +0.73% | -5.92% | -38.06% | -38.37% | +0.73% |
| 2021 | 06/08/2021 | 64.23 | neutral | +2.82% | -1.29% | +21.67% | -2.18% | +22.54% |
| 2020 | 07/08/2020 | 58.88 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +7.05% | +3.65% | -2.26% | -2.26% | +8.70% |
| 2019 | 07/08/2019 | 45.92 | neutral | -3.96% | -1.37% | -4.01% | -11.00% | +4.46% |
| 2018 | 07/08/2018 | 50.25 | near 52w high | -2.79% | +0.40% | +16.72% | -3.48% | +18.91% |
| 2017 | 07/08/2017 | 39.20 | near 52w high | -2.17% | -9.44% | -7.40% | -9.44% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 08/08/2016 | 25.03 | near 52w high | +4.31% | +5.55% | +10.47% | +0.00% | +12.15% |
Upcoming 14/08/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.29% · Win 60% · DD -4.31%20 days: Avg +1.69% · Win 50% · DD -8.94%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 14/08/2025 | 50.52 | neutral | -2.24% | +19.87% | +19.36% | -4.06% | +22.17% |
| 2024 | 14/08/2024 | 33.42 | neutral | +9.04% | +26.96% | +21.45% | +0.00% | +31.12% |
| 2023 | 14/08/2023 | 25.45 | neutral | -0.39% | +2.16% | -10.73% | -10.73% | +4.36% |
| 2022 | 15/08/2022 | 55.00 | neutral | -6.60% | -14.05% | -40.49% | -40.49% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 13/08/2021 | 66.04 | volume x2.3 | -4.00% | +6.54% | +15.05% | -4.86% | +19.19% |
| 2020 | 14/08/2020 | 63.03 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -3.17% | -5.31% | -10.79% | -12.79% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 14/08/2019 | 44.10 | volume x3.2 | +2.70% | -2.61% | +9.50% | -7.32% | +9.50% |
| 2018 | 14/08/2018 | 48.85 | neutral | +3.28% | +2.15% | +20.47% | -0.72% | +22.31% |
| 2017 | 14/08/2017 | 38.35 | neutral | -7.43% | -3.00% | -6.65% | -7.43% | +1.83% |
| 2016 | 15/08/2016 | 26.11 | near 52w high | +1.19% | +0.19% | -0.31% | -1.00% | +7.51% |
Upcoming 19/08/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.57% · Win 70% · DD -5.36%20 days: Avg +5.11% · Win 70% · DD -7.35%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 19/08/2025 | 48.54 | neutral | +20.97% | +19.34% | +28.18% | -0.14% | +29.03% |
| 2024 | 19/08/2024 | 36.00 | far above SMA50 | +2.86% | +15.50% | +17.97% | -1.94% | +21.72% |
| 2023 | 18/08/2023 | 24.71 | neutral | +2.43% | +7.49% | -1.70% | -8.05% | +7.49% |
| 2022 | 19/08/2022 | 53.15 | neutral | -7.83% | -35.35% | -40.32% | -40.45% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 19/08/2021 | 62.83 | neutral | +8.34% | +25.27% | +23.59% | +0.00% | +25.27% |
| 2020 | 19/08/2020 | 61.08 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +2.98% | -0.52% | -11.43% | -11.43% | +2.98% |
| 2019 | 19/08/2019 | 45.31 | neutral | -4.30% | -9.80% | +7.53% | -9.80% | +7.90% |
| 2018 | 20/08/2018 | 48.50 | neutral | +3.61% | +23.20% | +23.61% | +0.00% | +23.61% |
| 2017 | 18/08/2017 | 35.80 | neutral | +4.61% | +3.49% | +0.28% | -0.98% | +9.08% |
| 2016 | 19/08/2016 | 26.22 | near 52w high | -0.04% | +7.06% | +3.39% | -0.72% | +7.06% |
Upcoming 21/08/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.25% · Win 70% · DD -5.64%20 days: Avg +3.93% · Win 60% · DD -8.24%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 21/08/2025 | 49.39 | neutral | +22.62% | +22.84% | +23.24% | +0.00% | +26.81% |
| 2024 | 21/08/2024 | 36.44 | far above SMA50 | +16.44% | +15.72% | +26.48% | -3.13% | +26.48% |
| 2023 | 21/08/2023 | 25.35 | neutral | +2.56% | +0.04% | -1.10% | -10.37% | +4.77% |
| 2022 | 22/08/2022 | 51.37 | near 52w low | -7.98% | -34.16% | -39.58% | -39.58% | +1.85% |
| 2021 | 20/08/2021 | 63.40 | neutral | +10.98% | +23.26% | +21.81% | +0.00% | +24.15% |
| 2020 | 21/08/2020 | 61.03 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -2.21% | -5.70% | -16.16% | -16.16% | +3.06% |
| 2019 | 21/08/2019 | 45.29 | neutral | -5.17% | -2.67% | +4.79% | -9.76% | +7.95% |
| 2018 | 21/08/2018 | 50.45 | near 52w high · volume x2.1 | -1.09% | +16.25% | +18.53% | -1.09% | +18.83% |
| 2017 | 21/08/2017 | 35.50 | neutral | +4.79% | +2.25% | -0.85% | -0.85% | +10.00% |
| 2016 | 22/08/2016 | 26.42 | near 52w high | -0.98% | +4.66% | +2.12% | -1.48% | +6.25% |
Upcoming 10/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.88% · Win 50% · DD -3.43%20 days: Avg +0.64% · Win 70% · DD -5.40%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/09/2025 | 61.72 | far above SMA50 | +0.81% | -3.06% | +14.29% | -3.06% | +18.16% |
| 2024 | 10/09/2024 | 39.35 | far above SMA50 | +7.93% | +20.97% | +7.83% | +0.00% | +20.97% |
| 2023 | 11/09/2023 | 23.36 | far below SMA50 · volume x1.6 | +3.98% | +11.13% | -5.78% | -5.78% | +11.86% |
| 2022 | 09/09/2022 | 34.82 | far below SMA50 | -9.10% | -14.27% | -21.80% | -21.80% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 10/09/2021 | 74.13 | far above SMA50 | +4.75% | +9.86% | +4.49% | +0.00% | +11.14% |
| 2020 | 10/09/2020 | 54.97 | neutral | -1.58% | -8.51% | +2.97% | -9.04% | +3.67% |
| 2019 | 10/09/2019 | 46.01 | neutral | +5.89% | +0.26% | +3.39% | +0.00% | +8.93% |
| 2018 | 10/09/2018 | 57.70 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +3.03% | -1.39% | -10.52% | -10.52% | +3.90% |
| 2017 | 11/09/2017 | 36.30 | neutral | -1.10% | -1.79% | +6.06% | -3.44% | +6.06% |
| 2016 | 09/09/2016 | 26.11 | neutral | +3.87% | +5.63% | +5.44% | -0.31% | +6.97% |
Upcoming 21/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.63% · Win 70% · DD -4.58%20 days: Avg -4.31% · Win 50% · DD -10.07%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 22/09/2025 | 61.53 | far above SMA50 | +0.73% | +10.79% | +11.39% | -2.76% | +18.53% |
| 2024 | 20/09/2024 | 46.00 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x2.6 | +0.76% | -9.39% | -4.61% | -11.78% | +3.48% |
| 2023 | 21/09/2023 | 25.22 | neutral | +3.25% | -11.62% | -36.64% | -36.64% | +3.61% |
| 2022 | 21/09/2022 | 30.78 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +0.19% | +4.06% | -15.53% | -16.67% | +4.06% |
| 2021 | 21/09/2021 | 77.85 | far above SMA50 | -0.60% | +0.69% | +0.86% | -3.97% | +5.83% |
| 2020 | 21/09/2020 | 51.17 | far below SMA50 | +3.95% | +6.59% | +10.03% | -2.29% | +14.29% |
| 2019 | 20/09/2019 | 46.67 | neutral | +5.04% | +6.06% | +5.83% | -1.16% | +7.86% |
| 2018 | 21/09/2018 | 57.30 | neutral | -2.97% | -8.83% | -15.18% | -15.18% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 21/09/2017 | 35.05 | neutral | +6.28% | +6.99% | +9.42% | +0.00% | +15.26% |
| 2016 | 21/09/2016 | 27.48 | near 52w high | +0.87% | +0.95% | -8.66% | -10.30% | +1.64% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· If it holds above SMA50 (-24.4%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -37.1% · from 52w low: +142.3%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -19.11% · -21.12% · -28.59% · +6.14% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -16.53% · -24.38% · +12.94% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -37.13% · +142.29% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 10.25 · 0.05x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -22.09% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -28.66% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | -12.64% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 133.58 · 147.44 · 98.72 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 177.35 · 46.02 |
|---|
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