🕰️ Time Machine
SMTC — Semtech Corporation
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 11/09/2026
Last price (Close)
167.24 +5.10%
Next window · Cycle 45 · in window · in 1 days
12/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 10/09/2026
since +5.10%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 29/07/2026
103.10
Days: 31 trading / 44 calendar · return since: +62.21%
Last major high · 15/06/2026
177.35
Days: 61 trading / 88 calendar · return since: -5.70%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 29/07/2026 @ 103.10 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 27/08/2026 | -10 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 29/07/2026 @ 103.10 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 10/09/2026 | -1 (±2) | In window |
| High 15/06/2026 @ 177.35 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 10/09/2026 | -1 (±2) | In window |
| Low 29/07/2026 @ 103.10 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 12/09/2026 | +1 (±2) | In window |
| High 15/06/2026 @ 177.35 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 13/09/2026 | +2 (±3) | In window |
| Low 29/07/2026 @ 103.10 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 27/09/2026 | +16 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 29/07/2026 @ 103.10 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 01/10/2026 | +14 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 15/06/2026 @ 177.35 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 13/10/2026 | +32 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 29/07/2026 @ 103.10 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 22/10/2026 | +29 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 15/06/2026 @ 177.35 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 22/10/2026 | +29 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Gap Day 10/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 10/09/2026
● Shooting Star 09/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 10/09/2026
● Doji After Run 09/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 10/09/2026
● Failed Breakout 09/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 10/09/2026
● Hammer Reversal 02/09/2026
● Gap Day 01/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 27/08/2026
● Volume Climax 25/08/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 27/08/2026
● Gap Day 24/08/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 27/08/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 27/08/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.66% · Win 56% · DD -6.97%20 days: Avg +0.95% · Win 56% · DD -9.08%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 27/08/2025 | 58.13 | far above SMA50 | +3.04% | +4.78% | +6.02% | -0.64% | +7.74% |
| 2024 | 27/08/2024 | 38.16 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.6 | +11.32% | +6.66% | +24.40% | +0.00% | +24.74% |
| 2023 | 28/08/2023 | 26.00 | volume x1.7 | -2.46% | -12.62% | -2.27% | -12.62% | +2.15% |
| 2022 | 26/08/2022 | 48.99 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -29.86% | -28.97% | -39.87% | -39.87% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 27/08/2021 | 70.36 | volume x1.7 | +11.07% | +7.99% | +16.12% | -0.74% | +17.10% |
| 2020 | 27/08/2020 | 59.57 | volume x2.3 | -3.04% | -6.06% | -14.00% | -16.07% | +2.00% |
| 2019 | 27/08/2019 | 43.15 | volume x2.0 | -3.75% | +9.64% | +9.71% | -5.28% | +13.30% |
| 2018 | 27/08/2018 | 50.25 | near 52w high · volume x1.7 | +18.91% | +16.42% | +12.34% | -0.70% | +19.30% |
| 2017 | 28/08/2017 | 37.20 | neutral | -2.42% | -3.76% | -3.90% | -5.78% | +4.97% |
In window 10/09/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.59% · Win 50% · DD -3.59%20 days: Avg +0.18% · Win 70% · DD -5.56%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/09/2025 | 61.72 | far above SMA50 | +0.81% | -3.06% | +14.29% | -3.06% | +18.16% |
| 2024 | 10/09/2024 | 39.35 | far above SMA50 | +7.93% | +20.97% | +7.83% | +0.00% | +20.97% |
| 2023 | 11/09/2023 | 23.36 | far below SMA50 · volume x1.6 | +3.98% | +11.13% | -5.78% | -5.78% | +11.86% |
| 2022 | 09/09/2022 | 34.82 | far below SMA50 | -9.10% | -14.27% | -21.80% | -21.80% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 10/09/2021 | 74.13 | far above SMA50 | +4.75% | +9.86% | +4.49% | +0.00% | +11.14% |
| 2020 | 10/09/2020 | 54.97 | neutral | -1.58% | -8.51% | +2.97% | -9.04% | +3.67% |
| 2019 | 10/09/2019 | 46.01 | neutral | +5.89% | +0.26% | +3.39% | +0.00% | +8.93% |
| 2018 | 10/09/2018 | 57.70 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +3.03% | -1.39% | -10.52% | -10.52% | +3.90% |
| 2017 | 11/09/2017 | 36.30 | neutral | -1.10% | -1.79% | +6.06% | -3.44% | +6.06% |
| 2016 | 12/09/2016 | 26.54 | near 52w high | +2.15% | +2.71% | +0.90% | -1.92% | +5.24% |
In window 12/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.74% · Win 60% · DD -4.23%20 days: Avg -0.28% · Win 80% · DD -6.21%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 12/09/2025 | 60.30 | far above SMA50 | +0.95% | +4.43% | +8.23% | -0.78% | +20.95% |
| 2024 | 12/09/2024 | 40.59 | far above SMA50 | +13.55% | +16.78% | +4.88% | -1.31% | +17.27% |
| 2023 | 12/09/2023 | 22.72 | far below SMA50 | +10.34% | +11.84% | +2.99% | -3.12% | +15.01% |
| 2022 | 12/09/2022 | 34.80 | far below SMA50 | -8.85% | -15.34% | -20.83% | -21.75% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 13/09/2021 | 75.98 | far above SMA50 | +1.65% | +7.53% | +0.79% | +0.00% | +8.44% |
| 2020 | 11/09/2020 | 55.96 | neutral | -6.84% | -8.45% | +3.54% | -10.65% | +3.54% |
| 2019 | 12/09/2019 | 48.29 | neutral | -1.72% | +3.79% | +1.01% | -4.47% | +3.79% |
| 2018 | 12/09/2018 | 58.85 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +1.61% | -5.69% | -16.04% | -16.04% | +1.87% |
| 2017 | 12/09/2017 | 35.80 | neutral | -1.68% | -0.14% | +11.73% | -2.09% | +11.73% |
| 2016 | 12/09/2016 | 26.54 | near 52w high | +2.15% | +2.71% | +0.90% | -1.92% | +5.24% |
In window 13/09/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.44% · Win 70% · DD -3.82%20 days: Avg +0.14% · Win 70% · DD -6.33%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 12/09/2025 | 60.30 | far above SMA50 | +0.95% | +4.43% | +8.23% | -0.78% | +20.95% |
| 2024 | 13/09/2024 | 41.63 | far above SMA50 | +10.50% | +11.34% | +5.69% | -3.77% | +14.34% |
| 2023 | 13/09/2023 | 22.87 | far below SMA50 · volume x3.4 | +11.41% | +11.28% | +4.50% | -3.76% | +14.25% |
| 2022 | 13/09/2022 | 32.73 | far below SMA50 | -5.16% | -8.74% | -20.07% | -20.07% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 13/09/2021 | 75.98 | far above SMA50 | +1.65% | +7.53% | +0.79% | +0.00% | +8.44% |
| 2020 | 14/09/2020 | 56.23 | neutral | -9.00% | -5.41% | +4.00% | -11.08% | +4.00% |
| 2019 | 13/09/2019 | 48.89 | neutral | -4.54% | +0.27% | +2.17% | -5.65% | +2.52% |
| 2018 | 13/09/2018 | 58.50 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +0.68% | -5.13% | -16.22% | -16.22% | +2.48% |
| 2017 | 13/09/2017 | 35.70 | neutral | -1.12% | +3.22% | +12.46% | -1.82% | +12.46% |
| 2016 | 13/09/2016 | 26.03 | near 52w high | +3.65% | +5.61% | -0.19% | -0.19% | +7.30% |
Upcoming 27/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.26% · Win 40% · DD -6.96%20 days: Avg -6.05% · Win 40% · DD -11.54%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 26/09/2025 | 62.97 | far above SMA50 | +14.34% | +3.64% | +7.65% | -1.57% | +15.82% |
| 2024 | 27/09/2024 | 46.35 | far above SMA50 | -10.08% | -5.07% | -1.90% | -12.45% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 27/09/2023 | 25.45 | neutral | -2.79% | -6.09% | -39.96% | -39.96% | +2.32% |
| 2022 | 27/09/2022 | 29.87 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +5.49% | -12.42% | -8.34% | -14.13% | +7.23% |
| 2021 | 27/09/2021 | 81.70 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -4.14% | -6.27% | -1.86% | -8.49% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 28/09/2020 | 53.19 | neutral | +2.54% | +9.95% | +5.15% | -1.92% | +9.95% |
| 2019 | 27/09/2019 | 49.02 | volume x1.6 | +0.98% | +1.90% | +1.73% | -3.88% | +2.69% |
| 2018 | 27/09/2018 | 55.50 | neutral | -2.50% | -11.69% | -20.49% | -22.67% | +0.18% |
| 2017 | 27/09/2017 | 36.85 | neutral | +2.71% | +8.96% | +5.97% | +0.00% | +9.63% |
| 2016 | 27/09/2016 | 27.49 | near 52w high | +0.04% | -5.49% | -8.51% | -10.33% | +0.91% |
Upcoming 01/10/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.88% · Win 40% · DD -6.99%20 days: Avg -5.20% · Win 50% · DD -11.65%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 01/10/2025 | 71.68 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.6 | -1.59% | -2.64% | -2.96% | -9.14% | +1.74% |
| 2024 | 01/10/2024 | 42.08 | far above SMA50 | +0.83% | +4.90% | +13.50% | -3.56% | +13.50% |
| 2023 | 02/10/2023 | 25.21 | neutral | -12.69% | -11.15% | -45.70% | -45.70% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 30/09/2022 | 29.41 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -7.41% | -12.78% | -5.00% | -12.78% | +8.91% |
| 2021 | 01/10/2021 | 78.72 | far above SMA50 | -1.60% | -2.11% | +8.02% | -5.03% | +8.02% |
| 2020 | 01/10/2020 | 54.20 | neutral | +4.43% | +5.39% | +1.90% | -3.75% | +7.90% |
| 2019 | 01/10/2019 | 47.34 | neutral | +0.49% | +6.34% | +7.94% | -0.46% | +7.98% |
| 2018 | 01/10/2018 | 54.70 | neutral | -5.61% | -9.56% | -21.17% | -21.54% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 02/10/2017 | 38.20 | neutral | +0.79% | +2.09% | +4.19% | -1.83% | +5.76% |
| 2016 | 30/09/2016 | 27.73 | near 52w high | -0.72% | -9.30% | -12.73% | -12.73% | +0.04% |
Upcoming 13/10/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -3.47% · Win 40% · DD -6.89%20 days: Avg +3.18% · Win 70% · DD -8.29%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 13/10/2025 | 68.27 | far above SMA50 | +0.40% | +3.50% | +10.25% | -5.64% | +10.25% |
| 2024 | 14/10/2024 | 45.38 | far above SMA50 | -3.15% | -0.90% | +11.68% | -3.31% | +16.39% |
| 2023 | 13/10/2023 | 21.92 | far below SMA50 | -24.77% | -33.85% | -33.39% | -38.73% | +2.19% |
| 2022 | 13/10/2022 | 27.03 | far below SMA50 | -3.88% | -1.74% | +10.21% | -5.11% | +10.21% |
| 2021 | 13/10/2021 | 74.76 | neutral | +3.95% | +8.84% | +17.92% | +0.00% | +21.70% |
| 2020 | 13/10/2020 | 57.99 | neutral | -2.81% | -4.35% | +10.02% | -9.54% | +12.02% |
| 2019 | 14/10/2019 | 49.25 | neutral | +2.11% | +3.80% | +7.86% | -0.28% | +10.17% |
| 2018 | 12/10/2018 | 49.50 | neutral | -1.82% | -11.25% | -5.60% | -13.29% | +3.78% |
| 2017 | 13/10/2017 | 39.45 | near 52w high | -2.79% | +2.28% | -0.56% | -3.04% | +4.06% |
| 2016 | 13/10/2016 | 24.95 | near 52w low · volume x1.7 | +0.20% | -1.00% | +3.41% | -4.01% | +3.41% |
Upcoming 22/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.90% · Win 70% · DD -4.18%20 days: Avg +5.99% · Win 80% · DD -4.53%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 22/10/2025 | 65.13 | neutral | +6.80% | +3.64% | -0.98% | -3.72% | +15.57% |
| 2024 | 22/10/2024 | 44.07 | neutral | +8.37% | +6.74% | +7.19% | -0.34% | +19.85% |
| 2023 | 23/10/2023 | 15.82 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -13.46% | -7.71% | +0.57% | -15.11% | +1.77% |
| 2022 | 21/10/2022 | 26.68 | far below SMA50 | +4.72% | +3.11% | +10.53% | -0.56% | +15.37% |
| 2021 | 22/10/2021 | 78.11 | neutral | +8.86% | +15.52% | +17.77% | +0.00% | +17.77% |
| 2020 | 22/10/2020 | 56.94 | neutral | -3.00% | +8.25% | +19.28% | -7.87% | +19.28% |
| 2019 | 22/10/2019 | 50.04 | neutral | +2.12% | +8.43% | +1.48% | -1.54% | +8.43% |
| 2018 | 22/10/2018 | 48.73 | neutral | -11.51% | -3.14% | -9.91% | -11.92% | +0.10% |
| 2017 | 23/10/2017 | 38.30 | neutral | +3.92% | +5.48% | +1.83% | -1.04% | +7.18% |
| 2016 | 21/10/2016 | 24.75 | near 52w low | -2.22% | -1.29% | +12.12% | -3.23% | +12.12% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp rally recently — watch for follow-through.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+25.2%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -5.7% · from 52w low: +190.9%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +23.52% · +17.42% · +25.20% · +3.50% |
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +19.36% · +25.17% · +52.82% |
| Distance from 52w high / low | -5.70% · +190.85% |
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 10.59 · 0.76x |
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +27.55% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +26.96% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +28.69% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 140.11 · 133.61 · 109.44 |
| 52w high / low | 177.35 · 57.50 |