🕰️ Time Machine
STLD — Steel Dynamics
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 27/07/2026
Last price (Close)
250.27 +4.03%
Next window · Cycle 90 · in window · in 3 days
30/07/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 16/07/2026
since +6.51%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 19/03/2026
162.16
Days: 87 trading / 130 calendar · return since: +54.34%
Last major high · 15/06/2026
288.74
Days: 27 trading / 42 calendar · return since: -13.32%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 15/06/2026 @ 288.74 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 16/07/2026 | -6 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 19/03/2026 @ 162.16 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 17/07/2026 | -10 (±3) | Passed |
| Low 19/03/2026 @ 162.16 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 30/07/2026 | +3 (±3) | In window |
| High 15/06/2026 @ 288.74 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 30/07/2026 | +3 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 15/06/2026 @ 288.74 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 30/07/2026 | +3 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 19/03/2026 @ 162.16 | Cycle 144 | Calendar | 📅 10/08/2026 | +14 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 15/06/2026 @ 288.74 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 14/08/2026 | +18 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 15/06/2026 @ 288.74 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 20/08/2026 | +18 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 19/03/2026 @ 162.16 | Cycle 120 | Trading | 📅 11/09/2026 | +33 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 15/06/2026 @ 288.74 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 11/09/2026 | +33 (±2) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Gap Day 27/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 30/07/2026
● Gap Day 21/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 17/07/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 20/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 17/07/2026
● Shooting Star 16/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 16/07/2026
● NR7 Compression 16/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 16/07/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 09/07/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 06/07/2026
● Failed Breakdown 02/07/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 16/07/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.89% · Win 56% · DD -2.89%20 days: Avg +3.45% · Win 56% · DD -6.06%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/07/2025 | 127.47 | neutral | +2.55% | -0.02% | +1.39% | -4.79% | +5.54% |
| 2024 | 16/07/2024 | 132.71 | neutral | -4.59% | -2.91% | -11.63% | -12.61% | +0.38% |
| 2023 | 17/07/2023 | 106.94 | neutral | -4.64% | -0.34% | +0.66% | -6.21% | +1.66% |
| 2022 | 15/07/2022 | 67.06 | neutral | -0.69% | +16.13% | +26.17% | -0.69% | +26.17% |
| 2021 | 16/07/2021 | 59.88 | neutral | -1.34% | +7.63% | +22.11% | -3.32% | +22.11% |
| 2020 | 16/07/2020 | 27.03 | neutral | +1.96% | +2.00% | +13.06% | -2.03% | +13.50% |
| 2019 | 16/07/2019 | 31.15 | neutral | +3.05% | +5.49% | -10.50% | -12.10% | +5.49% |
| 2018 | 16/07/2018 | 46.85 | neutral | +2.01% | +1.52% | -6.77% | -6.92% | +5.87% |
| 2017 | 17/07/2017 | 36.69 | neutral | +2.26% | -3.49% | -3.43% | -5.86% | +3.82% |
Passed 17/07/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.59% · Win 67% · DD -2.82%20 days: Avg +2.65% · Win 44% · DD -6.36%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 17/07/2025 | 131.15 | neutral | -3.29% | -2.74% | -2.80% | -7.46% | +2.58% |
| 2024 | 17/07/2024 | 130.07 | neutral | -5.21% | +2.42% | -11.55% | -11.55% | +2.42% |
| 2023 | 17/07/2023 | 106.94 | neutral | -4.64% | -0.34% | +0.66% | -6.21% | +1.66% |
| 2022 | 18/07/2022 | 67.71 | neutral | +3.38% | +14.28% | +23.39% | -1.64% | +24.96% |
| 2021 | 16/07/2021 | 59.88 | neutral | -1.34% | +7.63% | +22.11% | -3.32% | +22.11% |
| 2020 | 17/07/2020 | 26.81 | neutral | +3.80% | +2.24% | +15.44% | -1.23% | +15.44% |
| 2019 | 17/07/2019 | 30.68 | neutral | +4.30% | +2.71% | -13.10% | -13.10% | +7.11% |
| 2018 | 17/07/2018 | 46.80 | neutral | +4.96% | +0.62% | -6.84% | -6.84% | +5.98% |
| 2017 | 17/07/2017 | 36.69 | neutral | +2.26% | -3.49% | -3.43% | -5.86% | +3.82% |
In window 30/07/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.26% · Win 60% · DD -5.91%20 days: Avg -1.17% · Win 40% · DD -7.27%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 30/07/2025 | 127.45 | neutral | -4.10% | +1.40% | +4.12% | -4.78% | +4.57% |
| 2024 | 30/07/2024 | 128.85 | neutral | -5.02% | -8.99% | -5.77% | -10.71% | +3.39% |
| 2023 | 31/07/2023 | 106.58 | neutral | -1.99% | +1.00% | -4.18% | -5.19% | +1.00% |
| 2022 | 29/07/2022 | 77.88 | neutral | +1.16% | +8.64% | +11.54% | -1.95% | +11.54% |
| 2021 | 30/07/2021 | 64.45 | near 52w high | -2.50% | +13.45% | +10.02% | -4.39% | +13.45% |
| 2020 | 30/07/2020 | 27.57 | neutral | +1.52% | +10.85% | +8.05% | -0.58% | +12.26% |
| 2019 | 30/07/2019 | 32.86 | far above SMA50 | -11.44% | -15.16% | -21.18% | -21.18% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 30/07/2018 | 47.56 | neutral | -6.71% | -8.16% | -3.49% | -10.56% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 31/07/2017 | 35.41 | neutral | +1.21% | +0.06% | -2.63% | -4.74% | +2.01% |
| 2016 | 29/07/2016 | 26.82 | near 52w high | -1.45% | -5.70% | -8.17% | -8.61% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 10/08/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.04% · Win 50% · DD -2.95%20 days: Avg -0.49% · Win 40% · DD -4.25%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 11/08/2025 | 122.41 | neutral | +2.86% | +8.88% | +6.44% | +0.00% | +9.98% |
| 2024 | 09/08/2024 | 119.43 | neutral | -2.29% | +1.21% | -7.28% | -7.28% | +2.76% |
| 2023 | 10/08/2023 | 102.09 | neutral | +3.28% | -1.02% | +0.83% | -1.02% | +5.45% |
| 2022 | 10/08/2022 | 83.01 | far above SMA50 | +0.04% | -1.95% | -0.02% | -6.83% | +4.65% |
| 2021 | 10/08/2021 | 68.29 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.6 | +0.85% | +4.25% | -3.56% | -3.56% | +7.07% |
| 2020 | 10/08/2020 | 30.19 | far above SMA50 | +2.29% | +0.36% | -2.68% | -2.68% | +2.52% |
| 2019 | 09/08/2019 | 28.19 | neutral | -3.16% | -5.85% | +2.77% | -8.12% | +2.77% |
| 2018 | 10/08/2018 | 43.61 | volume x1.5 | +0.28% | +2.61% | +5.92% | -2.45% | +8.60% |
| 2017 | 10/08/2017 | 35.47 | neutral | -2.59% | -3.81% | -3.55% | -4.91% | +1.83% |
| 2016 | 10/08/2016 | 25.79 | near 52w low | -1.55% | -4.30% | -3.76% | -5.70% | +0.39% |
Upcoming 14/08/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.35% · Win 40% · DD -3.99%20 days: Avg -1.40% · Win 30% · DD -6.20%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 14/08/2025 | 127.48 | neutral | -1.35% | +3.21% | +2.49% | -1.59% | +5.61% |
| 2024 | 14/08/2024 | 115.05 | neutral | +3.48% | +2.59% | -3.92% | -6.04% | +6.68% |
| 2023 | 14/08/2023 | 107.65 | volume x2.1 | -3.52% | -5.14% | -6.94% | -6.94% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 15/08/2022 | 83.55 | far above SMA50 | -3.95% | +3.22% | -1.96% | -7.43% | +3.97% |
| 2021 | 13/08/2021 | 73.12 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -8.40% | -3.02% | -12.65% | -12.65% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 14/08/2020 | 30.95 | far above SMA50 | -4.39% | -2.42% | -2.78% | -6.11% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 14/08/2019 | 26.66 | neutral | +4.31% | -0.41% | +19.69% | -2.85% | +19.69% |
| 2018 | 14/08/2018 | 43.60 | neutral | +3.44% | +5.02% | +7.96% | -2.43% | +8.62% |
| 2017 | 14/08/2017 | 35.43 | neutral | -4.80% | -2.68% | -6.12% | -6.12% | +1.95% |
| 2016 | 15/08/2016 | 25.89 | near 52w high | -3.24% | -3.86% | -9.81% | -9.81% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 20/08/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.30% · Win 50% · DD -2.39%20 days: Avg +0.59% · Win 50% · DD -5.47%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 20/08/2025 | 125.45 | neutral | +5.78% | +4.31% | +11.47% | +0.00% | +11.47% |
| 2024 | 20/08/2024 | 115.95 | neutral | +4.71% | -2.44% | -0.72% | -6.77% | +5.85% |
| 2023 | 21/08/2023 | 103.86 | neutral | -1.68% | +1.66% | -4.40% | -5.54% | +3.31% |
| 2022 | 19/08/2022 | 81.80 | far above SMA50 | +6.20% | -4.72% | -5.64% | -8.86% | +6.20% |
| 2021 | 20/08/2021 | 66.98 | neutral | +5.87% | -0.31% | -13.23% | -13.23% | +6.29% |
| 2020 | 20/08/2020 | 30.18 | neutral | -1.29% | +0.43% | +6.13% | -3.71% | +6.13% |
| 2019 | 20/08/2019 | 27.89 | neutral | -7.14% | -2.94% | +9.43% | -7.14% | +14.41% |
| 2018 | 20/08/2018 | 44.87 | neutral | +2.30% | +1.52% | +4.55% | -1.78% | +5.55% |
| 2017 | 21/08/2017 | 33.73 | neutral | +2.22% | +1.36% | +0.30% | -1.39% | +3.26% |
| 2016 | 19/08/2016 | 24.79 | near 52w low | -0.65% | -1.90% | -1.98% | -6.25% | +2.10% |
Upcoming 11/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.02% · Win 40% · DD -4.83%20 days: Avg +3.16% · Win 60% · DD -5.46%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 11/09/2025 | 133.99 | neutral | +4.37% | +1.57% | +10.69% | -2.49% | +10.69% |
| 2024 | 11/09/2024 | 108.10 | far below SMA50 | +6.49% | +14.10% | +20.87% | +0.00% | +20.87% |
| 2023 | 11/09/2023 | 100.34 | neutral | -2.22% | +4.04% | +8.80% | -2.22% | +8.80% |
| 2022 | 12/09/2022 | 83.49 | neutral | -7.55% | -16.54% | -6.47% | -16.54% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 10/09/2021 | 65.80 | neutral | -5.85% | -9.06% | -9.82% | -12.23% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 11/09/2020 | 29.33 | neutral | +9.21% | -1.60% | +12.01% | -1.60% | +12.91% |
| 2019 | 11/09/2019 | 31.82 | volume x1.6 | -4.09% | -4.71% | -10.83% | -12.48% | +0.28% |
| 2018 | 11/09/2018 | 46.19 | neutral | +1.56% | -0.41% | -2.54% | -2.54% | +2.21% |
| 2017 | 11/09/2017 | 33.40 | neutral | +1.20% | -0.78% | +6.80% | -0.78% | +8.79% |
| 2016 | 12/09/2016 | 24.13 | near 52w low · volume x1.6 | +0.70% | +3.23% | +2.05% | -3.69% | +6.55% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SMH.
· Sharp rally recently — watch for follow-through.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+1.6%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -13.3% · from 52w low: +108.7%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +6.27% · +9.57% · -0.06% · +10.52% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +7.54% · +1.64% · +27.80% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -13.32% · +108.75% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 7.61 · 1.11x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +4.72% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -0.72% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +13.80% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 232.71 · 246.24 · 195.82 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 288.74 · 119.89 |
|---|
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