🕰️ Time Machine
STLD — Steel Dynamics
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026
Last price (Close)
237.08 -1.50%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in 5 days
17/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 45 · 04/09/2026
since -2.06%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 02/07/2026
216.36
Days: 48 trading / 70 calendar · return since: +9.58%
Last major high · 05/08/2026
273.36
Days: 25 trading / 36 calendar · return since: -13.27%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 02/07/2026 @ 216.36 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 31/08/2026 | -10 (±2) | Passed |
| High 05/08/2026 @ 273.36 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 03/09/2026 | -4 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 02/07/2026 @ 216.36 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 04/09/2026 | -3 (±2) | Passed |
| High 05/08/2026 @ 273.36 | Cycle 30 | Calendar | 📅 04/09/2026 | -6 (±2) | Passed |
| High 05/08/2026 @ 273.36 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 17/09/2026 | +5 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 05/08/2026 @ 273.36 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 19/09/2026 | +9 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 02/07/2026 @ 216.36 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 28/09/2026 | +12 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 02/07/2026 @ 216.36 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 30/09/2026 | +20 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 05/08/2026 @ 273.36 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 04/10/2026 | +24 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 05/08/2026 @ 273.36 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 08/10/2026 | +20 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 05/08/2026 @ 273.36 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 29/10/2026 | +35 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 02/07/2026 @ 216.36 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 09/11/2026 | +42 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Shooting Star 09/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 04/09/2026
● NR7 Compression 09/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 04/09/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 31/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.28% · Win 44% · DD -4.55%20 days: Avg -0.04% · Win 67% · DD -6.13%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/08/2025 | 130.92 | neutral | +2.77% | +0.50% | +6.08% | -1.45% | +6.81% |
| 2024 | 30/08/2024 | 119.51 | neutral | -7.34% | -7.11% | +5.88% | -9.55% | +5.88% |
| 2023 | 31/08/2023 | 106.59 | neutral | -3.42% | -7.39% | +0.99% | -7.96% | +0.99% |
| 2022 | 31/08/2022 | 80.72 | volume x1.5 | +2.81% | -5.56% | -11.99% | -13.68% | +7.19% |
| 2021 | 31/08/2021 | 67.49 | volume x1.7 | -2.42% | -3.63% | -11.39% | -14.43% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 31/08/2020 | 29.52 | neutral | -0.47% | +2.88% | -2.10% | -2.24% | +8.50% |
| 2019 | 30/08/2019 | 27.00 | neutral | +7.30% | +17.74% | +11.29% | -1.26% | +18.19% |
| 2018 | 31/08/2018 | 45.73 | neutral | +1.01% | +3.24% | +0.33% | -0.77% | +3.56% |
| 2017 | 31/08/2017 | 34.45 | neutral | -0.70% | -3.22% | +0.51% | -3.80% | +0.93% |
Passed 03/09/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.62% · Win 56% · DD -4.39%20 days: Avg +2.03% · Win 56% · DD -5.30%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/09/2025 | 129.59 | neutral | +2.42% | +5.60% | +9.20% | +0.00% | +9.20% |
| 2024 | 03/09/2024 | 113.96 | volume x1.6 | -4.58% | +0.47% | +13.82% | -5.14% | +13.82% |
| 2023 | 01/09/2023 | 107.30 | neutral | -6.49% | -8.56% | -0.53% | -8.56% | +0.33% |
| 2022 | 02/09/2022 | 77.94 | neutral | +7.12% | -0.96% | -2.82% | -10.60% | +11.01% |
| 2021 | 03/09/2021 | 66.77 | neutral | -4.34% | -12.95% | -12.00% | -13.51% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 03/09/2020 | 30.31 | neutral | -3.23% | +5.67% | -1.19% | -4.78% | +5.67% |
| 2019 | 03/09/2019 | 26.66 | neutral | +15.45% | +16.13% | +9.76% | +0.00% | +19.69% |
| 2018 | 04/09/2018 | 45.55 | neutral | +1.41% | +2.99% | +1.43% | -0.38% | +3.97% |
| 2017 | 01/09/2017 | 34.77 | neutral | -3.94% | -2.79% | +0.57% | -4.69% | +0.57% |
Passed 04/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.09% · Win 44% · DD -4.13%20 days: Avg +2.27% · Win 78% · DD -5.04%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/09/2025 | 130.86 | neutral | +2.39% | +6.86% | +10.74% | -0.44% | +10.74% |
| 2024 | 04/09/2024 | 113.12 | neutral | -4.44% | +1.77% | +13.21% | -4.44% | +14.66% |
| 2023 | 05/09/2023 | 105.58 | neutral | -5.11% | -5.96% | +1.00% | -7.08% | +1.96% |
| 2022 | 02/09/2022 | 77.94 | neutral | +7.12% | -0.96% | -2.82% | -10.60% | +11.01% |
| 2021 | 03/09/2021 | 66.77 | neutral | -4.34% | -12.95% | -12.00% | -13.51% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 04/09/2020 | 30.66 | neutral | -1.86% | -4.27% | +1.93% | -5.87% | +4.47% |
| 2019 | 04/09/2019 | 27.07 | neutral | +17.55% | +12.74% | +4.52% | +0.00% | +17.88% |
| 2018 | 04/09/2018 | 45.55 | neutral | +1.41% | +2.99% | +1.43% | -0.38% | +3.97% |
| 2017 | 05/09/2017 | 34.19 | volume x1.7 | -2.72% | -1.05% | +2.43% | -3.07% | +2.43% |
Upcoming 17/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.10% · Win 50% · DD -3.39%20 days: Avg +3.30% · Win 80% · DD -4.76%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 17/09/2025 | 136.85 | neutral | -0.35% | +3.40% | +7.11% | -0.56% | +8.38% |
| 2024 | 17/09/2024 | 114.49 | volume x1.6 | +8.89% | +13.29% | +12.61% | +0.00% | +14.12% |
| 2023 | 18/09/2023 | 98.11 | neutral | +6.40% | +8.79% | +7.17% | +0.00% | +13.07% |
| 2022 | 16/09/2022 | 75.02 | volume x2.1 | -6.44% | -4.98% | +4.54% | -7.12% | +8.51% |
| 2021 | 17/09/2021 | 61.95 | volume x2.8 | -3.41% | -5.51% | +0.31% | -6.78% | +0.31% |
| 2020 | 17/09/2020 | 31.26 | neutral | -7.65% | -6.16% | +7.71% | -7.68% | +7.71% |
| 2019 | 17/09/2019 | 30.96 | neutral | -4.59% | -5.49% | -2.03% | -10.05% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 17/09/2018 | 47.21 | neutral | -3.73% | -2.82% | -13.50% | -13.50% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 18/09/2017 | 33.80 | neutral | -1.95% | +3.46% | +7.50% | -1.95% | +9.73% |
| 2016 | 16/09/2016 | 23.49 | near 52w high | +5.75% | +6.98% | +1.58% | +0.00% | +9.46% |
Upcoming 19/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.75% · Win 60% · DD -3.68%20 days: Avg +2.78% · Win 70% · DD -5.02%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 19/09/2025 | 139.27 | volume x2.1 | +0.26% | +4.56% | +2.87% | -2.28% | +6.49% |
| 2024 | 19/09/2024 | 120.09 | neutral | +4.29% | +6.59% | +12.87% | -0.22% | +12.87% |
| 2023 | 19/09/2023 | 99.29 | neutral | +3.56% | +7.40% | +7.97% | +0.00% | +11.73% |
| 2022 | 19/09/2022 | 77.19 | neutral | -9.73% | -1.87% | +4.15% | -9.73% | +5.46% |
| 2021 | 20/09/2021 | 58.12 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.0 | +6.31% | +1.10% | +7.85% | -0.64% | +7.85% |
| 2020 | 18/09/2020 | 32.03 | far above SMA50 · volume x3.7 | -9.90% | -6.49% | +5.12% | -9.90% | +5.12% |
| 2019 | 19/09/2019 | 30.67 | neutral | -5.09% | -7.09% | -5.61% | -9.20% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 19/09/2018 | 47.20 | neutral | -3.43% | -1.76% | -13.73% | -14.35% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 19/09/2017 | 33.83 | neutral | -1.77% | +3.52% | +7.41% | -2.04% | +9.63% |
| 2016 | 19/09/2016 | 24.30 | near 52w high | +2.51% | +1.59% | -1.14% | -1.85% | +5.81% |
Upcoming 28/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.63% · Win 70% · DD -3.18%20 days: Avg +7.00% · Win 80% · DD -4.79%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/09/2025 | 138.88 | neutral | +2.35% | +5.17% | +14.19% | +0.00% | +14.19% |
| 2024 | 27/09/2024 | 125.98 | neutral | +2.15% | +3.46% | +3.23% | +0.00% | +8.80% |
| 2023 | 28/09/2023 | 105.95 | neutral | +0.96% | -0.12% | -3.39% | -6.80% | +4.29% |
| 2022 | 28/09/2022 | 72.64 | neutral | +7.65% | +9.09% | +35.60% | -2.20% | +35.60% |
| 2021 | 28/09/2021 | 61.84 | neutral | -3.62% | +0.10% | +9.26% | -6.56% | +9.26% |
| 2020 | 28/09/2020 | 29.98 | neutral | +4.24% | +11.71% | +5.45% | -3.70% | +12.31% |
| 2019 | 27/09/2019 | 29.38 | neutral | -2.42% | +3.40% | +4.32% | -5.99% | +4.32% |
| 2018 | 28/09/2018 | 45.19 | neutral | +0.49% | -6.20% | -15.09% | -15.09% | +2.19% |
| 2017 | 28/09/2017 | 34.58 | neutral | +3.85% | +4.80% | +12.46% | -0.32% | +14.37% |
| 2016 | 28/09/2016 | 25.57 | near 52w high | -4.85% | -5.12% | +3.95% | -7.24% | +3.95% |
Upcoming 30/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.96% · Win 60% · DD -2.63%20 days: Avg +8.00% · Win 80% · DD -3.79%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 30/09/2025 | 139.43 | neutral | +2.37% | +5.41% | +15.52% | +0.00% | +15.52% |
| 2024 | 30/09/2024 | 126.08 | neutral | +3.16% | +3.25% | +7.65% | +0.00% | +8.32% |
| 2023 | 29/09/2023 | 107.22 | neutral | +0.96% | -1.22% | -2.90% | -7.90% | +3.05% |
| 2022 | 30/09/2022 | 70.95 | neutral | +6.96% | +10.02% | +33.09% | +0.00% | +38.18% |
| 2021 | 30/09/2021 | 58.48 | neutral | +1.64% | +5.45% | +11.99% | -1.61% | +15.05% |
| 2020 | 30/09/2020 | 28.63 | neutral | +11.56% | +16.17% | +6.78% | +0.00% | +16.63% |
| 2019 | 30/09/2019 | 29.80 | neutral | -5.03% | -0.54% | +3.86% | -7.32% | +3.86% |
| 2018 | 01/10/2018 | 45.69 | neutral | -1.20% | -10.99% | -15.54% | -16.02% | +1.07% |
| 2017 | 29/09/2017 | 34.47 | neutral | +4.93% | +7.11% | +12.18% | +0.00% | +14.74% |
| 2016 | 30/09/2016 | 24.99 | near 52w high | -3.12% | -5.04% | +7.36% | -5.08% | +7.48% |
Upcoming 04/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.43% · Win 70% · DD -2.81%20 days: Avg +6.95% · Win 90% · DD -3.76%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/10/2025 | 145.09 | far above SMA50 | -2.66% | -1.61% | +8.07% | -2.66% | +12.67% |
| 2024 | 04/10/2024 | 128.22 | neutral | +1.28% | +6.51% | +4.23% | -0.93% | +6.51% |
| 2023 | 04/10/2023 | 106.56 | neutral | +3.69% | -2.96% | +2.31% | -7.33% | +3.69% |
| 2022 | 04/10/2022 | 78.02 | neutral | +1.40% | +4.77% | +23.96% | -2.73% | +25.66% |
| 2021 | 04/10/2021 | 58.51 | neutral | +3.78% | +6.68% | +9.74% | -1.66% | +14.99% |
| 2020 | 05/10/2020 | 30.99 | neutral | +7.16% | +6.87% | +2.90% | -1.36% | +7.74% |
| 2019 | 04/10/2019 | 28.67 | neutral | +5.96% | +0.14% | +10.22% | -3.66% | +10.22% |
| 2018 | 04/10/2018 | 45.75 | neutral | -7.48% | -9.68% | -11.54% | -16.13% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 04/10/2017 | 35.64 | neutral | +0.95% | +2.24% | +6.57% | -0.36% | +10.97% |
| 2016 | 04/10/2016 | 23.90 | near 52w low | +0.96% | +1.38% | +13.01% | -0.75% | +14.90% |
Upcoming 08/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.24% · Win 70% · DD -3.07%20 days: Avg +7.28% · Win 80% · DD -3.67%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 08/10/2025 | 146.55 | far above SMA50 | -0.34% | +1.37% | +5.17% | -3.63% | +11.55% |
| 2024 | 08/10/2024 | 127.03 | neutral | +1.13% | +3.76% | +6.79% | +0.00% | +7.51% |
| 2023 | 09/10/2023 | 108.73 | neutral | -3.69% | -9.18% | +2.83% | -9.18% | +2.89% |
| 2022 | 07/10/2022 | 75.89 | neutral | +2.86% | +22.44% | +25.71% | +0.00% | +29.19% |
| 2021 | 08/10/2021 | 59.09 | neutral | +4.72% | +7.46% | +10.07% | +0.00% | +13.86% |
| 2020 | 08/10/2020 | 32.84 | far above SMA50 | +1.67% | -2.13% | -1.80% | -6.91% | +1.67% |
| 2019 | 08/10/2019 | 27.62 | neutral | +8.91% | +8.51% | +13.79% | +0.00% | +14.41% |
| 2018 | 08/10/2018 | 45.14 | neutral | -9.90% | -8.06% | -9.53% | -15.00% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 09/10/2017 | 35.51 | neutral | +1.86% | +9.35% | +5.91% | +0.00% | +11.38% |
| 2016 | 07/10/2016 | 24.21 | neutral | -1.98% | +8.84% | +13.80% | -2.02% | +13.80% |
Upcoming 29/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.06% · Win 80% · DD -2.52%20 days: Avg +6.55% · Win 70% · DD -4.17%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/10/2025 | 163.47 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -5.71% | -3.44% | +1.93% | -7.25% | +1.93% |
| 2024 | 29/10/2024 | 135.16 | neutral | +0.36% | +6.80% | +6.27% | -3.45% | +14.18% |
| 2023 | 30/10/2023 | 104.59 | neutral | +6.90% | +2.72% | +9.22% | +0.00% | +10.19% |
| 2022 | 28/10/2022 | 94.43 | far above SMA50 | +1.03% | +2.45% | +8.95% | -3.05% | +12.72% |
| 2021 | 29/10/2021 | 66.08 | neutral | -1.57% | +0.12% | -7.08% | -7.08% | +2.13% |
| 2020 | 29/10/2020 | 31.62 | neutral | +1.99% | +4.71% | +19.07% | -2.72% | +22.17% |
| 2019 | 29/10/2019 | 30.86 | neutral | +1.85% | +4.50% | +9.17% | -1.62% | +9.17% |
| 2018 | 29/10/2018 | 38.59 | far below SMA50 | +5.83% | +3.42% | -12.70% | -12.70% | +8.03% |
| 2017 | 30/10/2017 | 37.74 | neutral | -0.34% | -1.03% | -1.54% | -3.15% | +0.64% |
| 2016 | 28/10/2016 | 26.83 | near 52w high · volume x1.9 | +2.68% | +20.31% | +32.24% | -0.63% | +33.36% |
Upcoming 09/11/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.91% · Win 80% · DD -2.41%20 days: Avg +5.52% · Win 70% · DD -4.49%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/11/2025 | 152.43 | neutral | +1.73% | +5.75% | +8.53% | -0.03% | +12.51% |
| 2024 | 08/11/2024 | 148.55 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -6.15% | -3.35% | -6.93% | -7.84% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 09/11/2023 | 108.70 | neutral | +1.09% | +2.58% | +4.10% | -1.16% | +10.17% |
| 2022 | 09/11/2022 | 92.05 | far above SMA50 | +7.88% | +12.93% | +19.54% | +0.00% | +19.54% |
| 2021 | 09/11/2021 | 65.73 | neutral | -0.56% | +2.68% | -6.82% | -10.10% | +2.68% |
| 2020 | 09/11/2020 | 33.35 | neutral | +10.67% | +8.73% | +15.14% | -0.72% | +16.46% |
| 2019 | 08/11/2019 | 31.62 | neutral | +0.63% | +3.10% | +10.91% | -0.92% | +11.01% |
| 2018 | 09/11/2018 | 40.28 | neutral | -1.46% | -8.14% | -22.39% | -22.39% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 09/11/2017 | 37.19 | neutral | -0.65% | +0.81% | +9.44% | -1.72% | +9.44% |
| 2016 | 09/11/2016 | 31.35 | near 52w high · volume x2.3 | +6.38% | +14.00% | +23.67% | +0.00% | +24.50% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· If it holds above SMA50 (-2.1%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -17.9% · from 52w low: +83.2%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -4.26% · +0.50% · -9.92% · -12.70% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -1.02% · -2.09% · +12.05% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -17.89% · +83.20% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 7.86 · 0.57x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -7.84% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -8.03% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | -5.72% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 239.51 · 242.14 · 211.59 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 288.74 · 129.41 |
|---|
עבריתSign in with Google