🕰️ Time Machine
STLD — Steel Dynamics
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026
Last price (Close)
241.53 +0.68%
Next window · Cycle 45 · in window
23/10/2026
Last window · Cycle 60 · 19/10/2026
since -1.48%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 20/08/2026
218.02
Days: 45 trading / 64 calendar · return since: +10.78%
Last major high · 05/08/2026
273.36
Days: 56 trading / 79 calendar · return since: -11.64%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 20/08/2026 @ 218.02 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 19/10/2026 | -4 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 20/08/2026 @ 218.02 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 23/10/2026 | +0 (±2) | In window |
| High 05/08/2026 @ 273.36 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 29/10/2026 | +4 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 05/08/2026 @ 273.36 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 03/11/2026 | +11 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 20/08/2026 @ 218.02 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 13/11/2026 | +15 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 20/08/2026 @ 218.02 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 18/11/2026 | +26 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 05/08/2026 @ 273.36 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 03/12/2026 | +41 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 05/08/2026 @ 273.36 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 11/12/2026 | +34 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 20/08/2026 @ 218.02 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 29/12/2026 | +45 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Failed Breakout 21/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 19/10/2026
● Gap Day 19/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 19/10/2026
● Failed Breakout 16/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 19/10/2026
● Shooting Star 07/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 28/09/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 25/09/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 19/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.93% · Win 44% · DD -2.61%20 days: Avg +6.85% · Win 78% · DD -2.80%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 20/10/2025 | 146.28 | neutral | +8.03% | +6.62% | +6.01% | +0.00% | +11.75% |
| 2024 | 18/10/2024 | 136.57 | far above SMA50 | -5.12% | -2.14% | +2.08% | -5.81% | +13.00% |
| 2023 | 19/10/2023 | 99.20 | volume x2.6 | +3.19% | +12.44% | +10.77% | -0.45% | +12.77% |
| 2022 | 19/10/2022 | 80.68 | neutral | +21.52% | +14.48% | +23.08% | +0.00% | +24.54% |
| 2021 | 19/10/2021 | 63.50 | volume x2.2 | +5.95% | -1.20% | +2.93% | -1.20% | +5.95% |
| 2020 | 19/10/2020 | 33.12 | neutral | -5.34% | -3.71% | +11.44% | -7.70% | +11.44% |
| 2019 | 18/10/2019 | 28.71 | neutral | +6.76% | +10.07% | +10.83% | -0.31% | +12.33% |
| 2018 | 19/10/2018 | 41.03 | neutral | -6.48% | -0.41% | -3.27% | -6.48% | +1.61% |
| 2017 | 19/10/2017 | 37.78 | volume x1.6 | +2.94% | -0.74% | -2.20% | -3.26% | +4.69% |
In window 23/10/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.61% · Win 70% · DD -2.21%20 days: Avg +6.70% · Win 70% · DD -2.48%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 23/10/2025 | 150.72 | near 52w high | +4.95% | +1.46% | +1.59% | +0.00% | +8.46% |
| 2024 | 23/10/2024 | 128.64 | neutral | +3.21% | +19.96% | +11.97% | +0.00% | +19.96% |
| 2023 | 23/10/2023 | 98.75 | neutral | +5.91% | +13.23% | +13.28% | +0.00% | +13.29% |
| 2022 | 24/10/2022 | 96.26 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.9 | -2.30% | -0.31% | +7.02% | -4.89% | +7.02% |
| 2021 | 22/10/2021 | 63.50 | neutral | +4.06% | +2.43% | -0.61% | -1.20% | +5.95% |
| 2020 | 23/10/2020 | 32.58 | neutral | -3.38% | -1.66% | +8.20% | -6.17% | +13.29% |
| 2019 | 23/10/2019 | 29.80 | neutral | +3.26% | +3.49% | +5.70% | +0.00% | +8.22% |
| 2018 | 23/10/2018 | 40.68 | neutral | -4.13% | +1.35% | -6.69% | -6.69% | +2.48% |
| 2017 | 23/10/2017 | 38.83 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -2.81% | -3.14% | -3.86% | -5.87% | +1.85% |
| 2016 | 24/10/2016 | 26.03 | near 52w high | +5.49% | +9.26% | +30.43% | +0.00% | +30.43% |
Upcoming 29/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.06% · Win 80% · DD -2.52%20 days: Avg +6.55% · Win 70% · DD -4.17%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/10/2025 | 163.47 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -5.71% | -3.44% | +1.93% | -7.25% | +1.93% |
| 2024 | 29/10/2024 | 135.16 | neutral | +0.36% | +6.80% | +6.27% | -3.45% | +14.18% |
| 2023 | 30/10/2023 | 104.59 | neutral | +6.90% | +2.72% | +9.22% | +0.00% | +10.19% |
| 2022 | 28/10/2022 | 94.43 | far above SMA50 | +1.03% | +2.45% | +8.95% | -3.05% | +12.72% |
| 2021 | 29/10/2021 | 66.08 | neutral | -1.57% | +0.12% | -7.08% | -7.08% | +2.13% |
| 2020 | 29/10/2020 | 31.62 | neutral | +1.99% | +4.71% | +19.07% | -2.72% | +22.17% |
| 2019 | 29/10/2019 | 30.86 | neutral | +1.85% | +4.50% | +9.17% | -1.62% | +9.17% |
| 2018 | 29/10/2018 | 38.59 | far below SMA50 | +5.83% | +3.42% | -12.70% | -12.70% | +8.03% |
| 2017 | 30/10/2017 | 37.74 | neutral | -0.34% | -1.03% | -1.54% | -3.15% | +0.64% |
| 2016 | 28/10/2016 | 26.83 | near 52w high | +2.68% | +20.31% | +32.24% | -0.63% | +33.36% |
Upcoming 03/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.48% · Win 50% · DD -2.15%20 days: Avg +8.36% · Win 80% · DD -4.11%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/11/2025 | 155.97 | far above SMA50 | -2.27% | -0.58% | +7.48% | -2.79% | +7.60% |
| 2024 | 04/11/2024 | 133.58 | neutral | +10.65% | +5.32% | +7.20% | +0.00% | +15.53% |
| 2023 | 03/11/2023 | 111.87 | neutral | -2.55% | -0.84% | +6.17% | -3.96% | +7.04% |
| 2022 | 03/11/2022 | 91.55 | far above SMA50 | +5.23% | +10.33% | +19.66% | +0.00% | +19.66% |
| 2021 | 03/11/2021 | 63.60 | neutral | +1.71% | -1.01% | -6.29% | -7.09% | +6.12% |
| 2020 | 03/11/2020 | 32.32 | neutral | +4.92% | +13.15% | +14.98% | -4.83% | +19.52% |
| 2019 | 04/11/2019 | 31.59 | neutral | +1.99% | +0.95% | +6.87% | -2.37% | +8.10% |
| 2018 | 02/11/2018 | 40.86 | neutral | -1.42% | -2.86% | -12.68% | -17.55% | +2.03% |
| 2017 | 03/11/2017 | 37.51 | neutral | -0.75% | -1.76% | +6.08% | -2.56% | +6.08% |
| 2016 | 03/11/2016 | 27.35 | near 52w high | +18.28% | +22.05% | +34.11% | +0.00% | +34.11% |
Upcoming 13/11/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.70% · Win 70% · DD -3.07%20 days: Avg +2.74% · Win 70% · DD -4.79%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 13/11/2025 | 154.59 | neutral | -0.96% | +8.56% | +11.24% | -0.96% | +11.92% |
| 2024 | 13/11/2024 | 141.90 | far above SMA50 | +1.51% | +1.36% | -10.56% | -10.56% | +2.37% |
| 2023 | 13/11/2023 | 107.44 | neutral | +4.11% | +6.32% | +5.91% | +0.00% | +11.46% |
| 2022 | 14/11/2022 | 100.40 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +2.61% | +2.23% | +9.94% | -1.10% | +9.94% |
| 2021 | 12/11/2021 | 66.16 | neutral | -4.61% | -7.19% | -9.61% | -10.69% | +2.01% |
| 2020 | 13/11/2020 | 34.62 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +1.82% | +4.59% | +9.59% | +0.00% | +14.41% |
| 2019 | 13/11/2019 | 31.35 | neutral | +0.48% | +8.36% | +11.87% | -0.06% | +11.96% |
| 2018 | 13/11/2018 | 40.28 | neutral | -5.76% | -12.98% | -19.61% | -22.39% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 13/11/2017 | 37.35 | neutral | -0.05% | -0.51% | +8.81% | -2.14% | +8.97% |
| 2016 | 14/11/2016 | 33.16 | near 52w high | +2.38% | +6.24% | +9.86% | +0.00% | +17.70% |
Upcoming 18/11/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.02% · Win 80% · DD -2.61%20 days: Avg +1.89% · Win 70% · DD -4.87%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 18/11/2025 | 154.61 | neutral | +6.24% | +10.92% | +11.73% | -0.97% | +11.90% |
| 2024 | 18/11/2024 | 140.69 | neutral | +3.05% | +1.78% | -15.72% | -15.72% | +3.26% |
| 2023 | 17/11/2023 | 110.93 | neutral | +3.89% | +7.07% | +10.10% | +0.00% | +12.25% |
| 2022 | 18/11/2022 | 100.64 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +2.23% | +6.06% | +0.89% | +0.00% | +9.68% |
| 2021 | 18/11/2021 | 63.61 | neutral | -0.16% | -6.67% | -2.00% | -7.53% | +6.10% |
| 2020 | 18/11/2020 | 35.63 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +6.31% | +5.56% | +5.50% | -1.07% | +11.17% |
| 2019 | 18/11/2019 | 31.89 | neutral | +4.58% | +5.86% | +9.41% | -1.35% | +10.07% |
| 2018 | 19/11/2018 | 39.75 | neutral | -15.25% | -12.65% | -22.09% | -22.09% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 17/11/2017 | 36.85 | neutral | +1.38% | +7.98% | +10.94% | +0.00% | +11.75% |
| 2016 | 18/11/2016 | 33.37 | near 52w high | +6.32% | +14.26% | +10.10% | +0.00% | +16.96% |
Upcoming 03/12/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.10% · Win 50% · DD -5.01%20 days: Avg -2.90% · Win 50% · DD -7.19%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/12/2025 | 171.50 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -0.16% | +0.72% | +2.96% | -3.66% | +3.32% |
| 2024 | 03/12/2024 | 143.20 | neutral | -5.52% | -17.19% | -21.52% | -21.52% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 04/12/2023 | 118.77 | neutral | -3.37% | +2.83% | +0.64% | -4.72% | +4.84% |
| 2022 | 02/12/2022 | 109.55 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.5 | -1.04% | -7.79% | -12.83% | -12.83% | +0.76% |
| 2021 | 03/12/2021 | 59.37 | neutral | +1.18% | +5.00% | +4.29% | -0.93% | +5.68% |
| 2020 | 03/12/2020 | 37.61 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +5.32% | -0.05% | -1.96% | -4.33% | +5.32% |
| 2019 | 03/12/2019 | 33.76 | far above SMA50 | +3.32% | +3.35% | +0.82% | +0.00% | +3.97% |
| 2018 | 03/12/2018 | 35.68 | far below SMA50 | -12.39% | -10.65% | -15.50% | -18.58% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 04/12/2017 | 39.79 | near 52w high · volume x2.4 | +2.29% | +2.74% | +15.04% | -2.66% | +15.04% |
| 2016 | 02/12/2016 | 36.68 | near 52w high | +1.17% | +0.00% | -0.91% | -2.63% | +6.41% |
Upcoming 11/12/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.13% · Win 50% · DD -4.79%20 days: Avg +1.53% · Win 60% · DD -6.09%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 11/12/2025 | 173.01 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +0.91% | +1.42% | -1.83% | -2.71% | +2.42% |
| 2024 | 11/12/2024 | 133.55 | neutral | -12.57% | -12.32% | -7.32% | -15.85% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 11/12/2023 | 114.77 | neutral | +6.41% | +5.65% | -1.33% | -1.33% | +8.50% |
| 2022 | 12/12/2022 | 109.76 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -7.49% | -6.25% | +0.56% | -13.00% | +0.56% |
| 2021 | 10/12/2021 | 60.07 | neutral | +3.78% | +4.44% | +1.29% | -2.08% | +10.26% |
| 2020 | 11/12/2020 | 39.13 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -7.69% | -8.05% | +7.51% | -8.05% | +7.51% |
| 2019 | 11/12/2019 | 34.74 | far above SMA50 | +0.29% | -0.14% | -5.24% | -5.24% | +0.95% |
| 2018 | 11/12/2018 | 31.26 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +1.98% | -3.65% | +7.52% | -7.07% | +7.52% |
| 2017 | 11/12/2017 | 40.70 | near 52w high | +0.44% | +7.32% | +13.55% | -2.11% | +13.55% |
| 2016 | 12/12/2016 | 36.98 | neutral | -0.65% | +0.24% | +0.62% | -3.42% | +3.12% |
Upcoming 29/12/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.77% · Win 60% · DD -2.10%20 days: Avg +4.05% · Win 60% · DD -4.86%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/12/2025 | 172.88 | near 52w high | +0.21% | -1.47% | +1.16% | -2.64% | +5.19% |
| 2024 | 30/12/2024 | 113.80 | far below SMA50 | +5.71% | +10.41% | +15.33% | -1.24% | +15.33% |
| 2023 | 29/12/2023 | 118.10 | neutral | -0.90% | -5.50% | +3.68% | -5.50% | +3.68% |
| 2022 | 29/12/2022 | 98.41 | neutral | +4.35% | +13.32% | +21.01% | -3.29% | +23.40% |
| 2021 | 29/12/2021 | 62.37 | neutral | +6.20% | +2.40% | -12.51% | -15.55% | +6.20% |
| 2020 | 29/12/2020 | 36.37 | neutral | +12.49% | +12.76% | -2.66% | -2.66% | +15.67% |
| 2019 | 30/12/2019 | 34.06 | neutral | -0.68% | -1.32% | -11.13% | -11.13% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 28/12/2018 | 29.87 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +6.70% | +10.55% | +20.15% | +0.00% | +20.15% |
| 2017 | 29/12/2017 | 43.13 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +6.58% | +7.77% | +8.46% | +0.00% | +10.11% |
| 2016 | 29/12/2016 | 36.26 | neutral | +1.41% | -1.19% | -3.03% | -6.62% | +4.77% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+1.7%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -16.4% · from 52w low: +63.1%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +0.41% · +1.32% · +3.62% · -4.12% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +1.89% · +1.74% · +8.83% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -16.35% · +63.05% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 7.70 · 0.86x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +9.00% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +5.09% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +16.70% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 237.04 · 237.40 · 221.93 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 288.74 · 148.13 |
|---|
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