🕰️ Time Machine
STWD — Starwood Property Trust
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026
Last price (Close)
12.58 +0.00%
Next window · Cycle 144 · in window · in 3 days
28/10/2026
Last window · Cycle 90 · 15/10/2026
since -0.24%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 02/04/2026
16.90
Days: 141 trading / 204 calendar · return since: -25.56%
Last major high · 17/07/2026
17.19
Days: 69 trading / 98 calendar · return since: -26.82%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 17/07/2026 @ 17.19 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 12/10/2026 | -9 (±2) | Passed |
| High 17/07/2026 @ 17.19 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 15/10/2026 | -8 (±3) | Passed |
| Low 02/04/2026 @ 16.90 | Cycle 144 | Trading | 📅 28/10/2026 | +3 (±3) | In window |
| High 17/07/2026 @ 17.19 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 14/11/2026 | +22 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 17/07/2026 @ 17.19 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 23/11/2026 | +21 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 02/04/2026 @ 16.90 | Cycle 180 | Trading | 📅 18/12/2026 | +39 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Bullish Engulfing 22/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 13/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 12/10/2026
● Hammer Reversal 09/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 12/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 09/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 12/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 06/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 25/09/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 12/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.71% · Win 44% · DD -2.18%20 days: Avg +1.57% · Win 67% · DD -3.42%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 13/10/2025 | 18.72 | neutral | -0.21% | -0.69% | -4.43% | -4.43% | +0.96% |
| 2024 | 11/10/2024 | 19.74 | neutral | +2.94% | +0.76% | -1.22% | -1.72% | +2.94% |
| 2023 | 12/10/2023 | 19.17 | neutral | -4.54% | -7.93% | -0.99% | -10.02% | +1.30% |
| 2022 | 12/10/2022 | 18.93 | far below SMA50 | +1.37% | +7.13% | +7.71% | -0.53% | +9.98% |
| 2021 | 12/10/2021 | 25.18 | neutral | +1.63% | +2.03% | +3.42% | +0.00% | +3.42% |
| 2020 | 12/10/2020 | 15.80 | neutral | -5.44% | -6.96% | +5.76% | -11.96% | +5.76% |
| 2019 | 11/10/2019 | 24.25 | near 52w high | +1.69% | +0.00% | +0.04% | -0.16% | +2.35% |
| 2018 | 12/10/2018 | 21.32 | volume x1.7 | +1.55% | +0.61% | +3.24% | +0.00% | +3.24% |
| 2017 | 12/10/2017 | 21.74 | near 52w low | +0.97% | -1.33% | +0.60% | -1.93% | +0.97% |
Passed 15/10/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.09% · Win 22% · DD -2.96%20 days: Avg +1.41% · Win 44% · DD -3.65%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 15/10/2025 | 18.69 | neutral | +0.00% | -2.25% | -4.17% | -4.28% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 15/10/2024 | 20.02 | volume x1.5 | -0.80% | -0.60% | -3.60% | -3.60% | +1.50% |
| 2023 | 16/10/2023 | 19.18 | neutral | -6.99% | -8.65% | -0.42% | -10.06% | +1.25% |
| 2022 | 14/10/2022 | 18.83 | far below SMA50 | +2.02% | +10.57% | +13.65% | +0.00% | +13.65% |
| 2021 | 15/10/2021 | 25.51 | neutral | +1.14% | -0.16% | +2.31% | -0.82% | +2.82% |
| 2020 | 15/10/2020 | 15.45 | neutral | -3.62% | -7.90% | +4.60% | -9.97% | +10.16% |
| 2019 | 15/10/2019 | 24.37 | near 52w high | +1.27% | +0.62% | -1.56% | -1.56% | +1.85% |
| 2018 | 15/10/2018 | 21.55 | neutral | +0.14% | -0.56% | +1.90% | -1.02% | +2.13% |
| 2017 | 16/10/2017 | 21.66 | near 52w low | +0.37% | -0.92% | -0.05% | -1.57% | +1.34% |
In window 28/10/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.06% · Win 50% · DD -1.56%20 days: Avg +5.66% · Win 80% · DD -1.96%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/10/2025 | 18.45 | neutral | -0.43% | -2.06% | -1.03% | -4.93% | +0.11% |
| 2024 | 28/10/2024 | 19.95 | neutral | -1.35% | -2.01% | +1.45% | -3.26% | +1.45% |
| 2023 | 27/10/2023 | 17.25 | far below SMA50 | +11.01% | +11.13% | +14.03% | +0.00% | +18.03% |
| 2022 | 28/10/2022 | 20.82 | neutral | -2.83% | +2.79% | +1.49% | -5.04% | +2.79% |
| 2021 | 28/10/2021 | 25.47 | neutral | +1.06% | +2.98% | +0.79% | -0.20% | +3.10% |
| 2020 | 28/10/2020 | 13.91 | far below SMA50 | +3.31% | +18.84% | +33.79% | +0.00% | +37.46% |
| 2019 | 28/10/2019 | 24.36 | near 52w high | -0.49% | -0.78% | +0.00% | -1.56% | +0.99% |
| 2018 | 29/10/2018 | 21.43 | neutral | +1.03% | +2.47% | +3.92% | +0.00% | +3.92% |
| 2017 | 27/10/2017 | 21.60 | near 52w low | +0.05% | -0.32% | +0.42% | -1.30% | +1.25% |
| 2016 | 28/10/2016 | 22.04 | near 52w high | +0.00% | -2.45% | +1.72% | -3.36% | +1.72% |
Upcoming 14/11/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.09% · Win 80% · DD -1.46%20 days: Avg +1.69% · Win 60% · DD -2.32%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 14/11/2025 | 17.83 | neutral | +0.17% | +3.03% | +3.81% | -1.63% | +4.04% |
| 2024 | 14/11/2024 | 19.56 | neutral | +1.79% | +4.14% | +2.97% | -0.46% | +4.14% |
| 2023 | 14/11/2023 | 20.15 | volume x1.6 | -2.33% | -1.34% | +4.57% | -2.53% | +4.57% |
| 2022 | 14/11/2022 | 21.06 | neutral | -1.23% | +0.47% | -3.89% | -5.56% | +1.66% |
| 2021 | 15/11/2021 | 26.20 | near 52w high · volume x1.8 | -0.31% | -4.73% | -11.49% | -11.49% | +0.23% |
| 2020 | 13/11/2020 | 16.65 | neutral | +5.05% | +7.75% | +13.69% | +0.00% | +14.83% |
| 2019 | 14/11/2019 | 23.98 | near 52w high | +0.63% | +2.17% | +3.17% | +0.00% | +4.00% |
| 2018 | 14/11/2018 | 21.97 | near 52w high | -0.23% | +2.91% | -0.68% | -0.68% | +2.91% |
| 2017 | 14/11/2017 | 21.72 | near 52w low · volume x2.0 | -0.14% | +0.05% | +0.00% | -0.87% | +0.28% |
| 2016 | 14/11/2016 | 21.30 | near 52w low | +3.43% | +6.48% | +4.74% | +0.00% | +7.51% |
Upcoming 23/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.48% · Win 70% · DD -1.45%20 days: Avg -0.60% · Win 50% · DD -4.59%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/11/2025 | 17.79 | neutral | +2.30% | +2.47% | +3.71% | +0.00% | +4.61% |
| 2024 | 22/11/2024 | 19.92 | neutral | +1.86% | +1.91% | -3.21% | -4.32% | +2.26% |
| 2023 | 22/11/2023 | 19.93 | neutral | -0.30% | +1.15% | +10.34% | -1.30% | +10.34% |
| 2022 | 23/11/2022 | 21.07 | neutral | +1.19% | -5.32% | -9.16% | -11.87% | +1.61% |
| 2021 | 23/11/2021 | 26.21 | near 52w high | -5.30% | -5.42% | -6.41% | -13.28% | +0.19% |
| 2020 | 23/11/2020 | 18.23 | far above SMA50 | +0.49% | +3.35% | +5.60% | -1.59% | +6.75% |
| 2019 | 22/11/2019 | 24.13 | near 52w high | +1.91% | +3.36% | +3.90% | +0.00% | +4.10% |
| 2018 | 23/11/2018 | 21.92 | near 52w high | +2.05% | +1.69% | -11.68% | -11.68% | +3.15% |
| 2017 | 22/11/2017 | 21.78 | near 52w low | -0.46% | -0.23% | -0.23% | -0.87% | +0.32% |
| 2016 | 23/11/2016 | 21.99 | near 52w high | +1.73% | +1.86% | +1.14% | -1.00% | +4.14% |
Upcoming 18/12/2026 · Low Cycle 180/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.69% · Win 60% · DD -2.30%20 days: Avg +2.40% · Win 80% · DD -2.65%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 18/12/2025 | 18.44 | neutral | +0.54% | +2.82% | +1.42% | -0.47% | +3.32% |
| 2024 | 18/12/2024 | 19.17 | near 52w low · volume x2.8 | +1.25% | +3.63% | +3.05% | -1.50% | +3.63% |
| 2023 | 18/12/2023 | 21.72 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +1.93% | -3.47% | -3.80% | -4.36% | +1.93% |
| 2022 | 19/12/2022 | 18.92 | neutral | +1.43% | +1.99% | +7.31% | -1.85% | +9.64% |
| 2021 | 17/12/2021 | 23.29 | volume x1.7 | +7.30% | +8.32% | +10.25% | -2.40% | +11.38% |
| 2020 | 18/12/2020 | 19.40 | far above SMA50 | +2.58% | -3.11% | +0.43% | -3.11% | +2.58% |
| 2019 | 18/12/2019 | 24.85 | near 52w high · volume x1.8 | +1.93% | +1.88% | +4.18% | +0.00% | +4.18% |
| 2018 | 18/12/2018 | 21.48 | neutral | -5.49% | -6.12% | +0.89% | -9.87% | +0.89% |
| 2017 | 18/12/2017 | 21.85 | near 52w low | -0.27% | -1.49% | -2.33% | -2.66% | +0.29% |
| 2016 | 19/12/2016 | 22.28 | near 52w high | +0.09% | +2.48% | +2.66% | -0.27% | +3.21% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-13.3%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -33.1% · from 52w low: +6.2%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +0.96% · -1.02% · -9.37% · -19.81% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -1.85% · -13.33% · -24.61% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -33.09% · +6.25% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.37 · 0.61x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -3.98% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -7.89% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +3.72% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 12.82 · 14.51 · 16.69 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 18.80 · 11.84 |
|---|
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