🕰️ Time Machine
STWD — Starwood Property Trust
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/07/2026
Last price (Close)
16.33 -0.91%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 7 days
03/08/2026
Last window · Cycle 45 · 13/07/2026
since -0.79%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 02/04/2026
16.90
Days: 76 trading / 112 calendar · return since: -3.37%
Last major high · 06/05/2026
18.49
Days: 53 trading / 78 calendar · return since: -11.68%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 06/05/2026 @ 18.49 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 13/07/2026 | -8 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 02/04/2026 @ 16.90 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 31/07/2026 | +8 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 06/05/2026 @ 18.49 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 03/08/2026 | +7 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 06/05/2026 @ 18.49 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 04/08/2026 | +12 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 02/04/2026 @ 16.90 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 12/08/2026 | +14 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 02/04/2026 @ 16.90 | Cycle 144 | Calendar | 📅 24/08/2026 | +32 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 06/05/2026 @ 18.49 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 03/09/2026 | +42 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 06/05/2026 @ 18.49 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 15/09/2026 | +37 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 02/04/2026 @ 16.90 | Cycle 120 | Trading | 📅 24/09/2026 | +44 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Failed Breakdown 23/07/2026
● Failed Breakout 17/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 13/07/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 13/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 13/07/2026
● NR7 Compression 09/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 13/07/2026
● Failed Breakdown 02/07/2026
● Failed Breakdown 25/06/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 24/06/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 13/07/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.70% · Win 56% · DD -2.00%20 days: Avg +1.88% · Win 44% · DD -2.95%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 14/07/2025 | 20.89 | near 52w high | -5.60% | -5.22% | -5.55% | -7.28% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 12/07/2024 | 19.80 | volume x1.9 | +2.37% | +0.51% | -1.36% | -4.85% | +3.59% |
| 2023 | 13/07/2023 | 20.66 | far above SMA50 | +2.61% | -1.84% | -1.45% | -1.84% | +2.71% |
| 2022 | 13/07/2022 | 21.55 | neutral | +4.08% | +7.98% | +11.09% | -2.23% | +11.09% |
| 2021 | 13/07/2021 | 25.89 | near 52w high | -0.93% | +0.23% | -0.42% | -4.17% | +1.66% |
| 2020 | 13/07/2020 | 13.95 | neutral | +3.66% | +5.16% | +14.70% | +0.00% | +14.70% |
| 2019 | 12/07/2019 | 23.25 | near 52w high | -0.90% | -0.95% | +1.85% | -2.15% | +2.15% |
| 2018 | 13/07/2018 | 22.25 | near 52w high | +0.09% | +1.17% | -2.65% | -2.79% | +2.92% |
| 2017 | 13/07/2017 | 22.06 | near 52w low | -0.36% | -0.73% | +0.77% | -1.27% | +1.13% |
Upcoming 31/07/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.52% · Win 50% · DD -2.32%20 days: Avg +0.89% · Win 60% · DD -3.00%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 31/07/2025 | 19.46 | neutral | +1.64% | +2.42% | +3.34% | -0.46% | +4.06% |
| 2024 | 31/07/2024 | 19.95 | neutral | -3.11% | -1.70% | +3.31% | -5.56% | +3.31% |
| 2023 | 31/07/2023 | 20.74 | neutral | +0.43% | -2.17% | -3.23% | -7.28% | +0.72% |
| 2022 | 01/08/2022 | 23.65 | neutral | +0.89% | +2.71% | -1.31% | -2.03% | +2.92% |
| 2021 | 30/07/2021 | 26.03 | near 52w high | -1.34% | -0.38% | -0.50% | -3.96% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 31/07/2020 | 14.95 | neutral | +4.88% | +8.70% | +7.09% | -0.40% | +9.83% |
| 2019 | 31/07/2019 | 23.23 | near 52w high | +1.59% | -0.69% | +0.39% | -2.07% | +2.58% |
| 2018 | 31/07/2018 | 22.84 | near 52w high · volume x2.5 | -1.71% | -5.21% | -3.72% | -5.34% | +0.26% |
| 2017 | 31/07/2017 | 22.04 | near 52w low | -1.00% | +0.36% | +0.50% | -1.18% | +1.23% |
| 2016 | 01/08/2016 | 21.99 | near 52w high | +1.46% | +1.18% | +3.00% | -1.73% | +3.00% |
Upcoming 03/08/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.80% · Win 70% · DD -1.73%20 days: Avg +1.72% · Win 70% · DD -2.26%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/08/2025 | 19.51 | neutral | +1.13% | +1.74% | +3.02% | -0.56% | +3.90% |
| 2024 | 02/08/2024 | 19.36 | neutral | +0.88% | +2.32% | +7.64% | -2.69% | +7.64% |
| 2023 | 03/08/2023 | 20.33 | neutral | +0.15% | -4.18% | +0.49% | -5.41% | +2.75% |
| 2022 | 03/08/2022 | 23.44 | neutral | +2.13% | +2.90% | -2.18% | -2.39% | +3.84% |
| 2021 | 03/08/2021 | 26.02 | near 52w high | -0.92% | -1.84% | -0.85% | -3.92% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 03/08/2020 | 14.89 | neutral | +7.45% | +7.45% | +4.77% | +0.00% | +10.28% |
| 2019 | 02/08/2019 | 23.28 | near 52w high | +1.72% | +0.86% | +0.64% | -2.28% | +2.36% |
| 2018 | 03/08/2018 | 22.79 | near 52w high | -4.96% | -3.55% | -3.33% | -5.13% | +0.04% |
| 2017 | 03/08/2017 | 21.83 | near 52w low | +1.83% | +1.15% | +1.74% | -0.23% | +2.20% |
| 2016 | 03/08/2016 | 21.75 | near 52w high | +3.22% | +1.10% | +5.29% | +0.00% | +5.29% |
Upcoming 04/08/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.70% · Win 60% · DD -1.60%20 days: Avg +1.96% · Win 70% · DD -2.21%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/08/2025 | 19.51 | neutral | +1.13% | +1.74% | +3.02% | -0.56% | +3.90% |
| 2024 | 05/08/2024 | 18.84 | volume x1.9 | +2.07% | +6.21% | +9.08% | +0.00% | +10.62% |
| 2023 | 04/08/2023 | 20.89 | neutral | -2.44% | -7.23% | -1.01% | -7.95% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 04/08/2022 | 23.58 | neutral | +1.65% | +1.40% | -4.20% | -4.20% | +3.22% |
| 2021 | 04/08/2021 | 25.80 | near 52w high | +0.78% | -1.59% | +0.31% | -3.10% | +0.78% |
| 2020 | 04/08/2020 | 14.94 | neutral | +9.77% | +4.89% | +6.43% | +0.00% | +9.91% |
| 2019 | 05/08/2019 | 22.75 | near 52w high · volume x1.7 | +3.60% | +4.35% | +4.18% | +0.00% | +4.75% |
| 2018 | 03/08/2018 | 22.79 | near 52w high | -4.96% | -3.55% | -3.33% | -5.13% | +0.04% |
| 2017 | 04/08/2017 | 21.83 | near 52w low | +1.05% | +1.15% | +1.97% | -0.23% | +2.20% |
| 2016 | 04/08/2016 | 22.20 | near 52w high | +0.99% | -0.41% | +3.15% | -0.95% | +3.15% |
Upcoming 12/08/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.32% · Win 50% · DD -2.43%20 days: Avg +0.32% · Win 60% · DD -2.98%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 12/08/2025 | 19.90 | neutral | +0.45% | +1.26% | +4.07% | -0.25% | +4.07% |
| 2024 | 12/08/2024 | 19.23 | neutral | +4.06% | +6.86% | +2.44% | +0.00% | +8.37% |
| 2023 | 11/08/2023 | 20.38 | neutral | -4.91% | -3.34% | +1.37% | -5.64% | +1.47% |
| 2022 | 12/08/2022 | 24.19 | neutral | -2.32% | -3.31% | -1.20% | -7.19% | +0.62% |
| 2021 | 12/08/2021 | 25.82 | near 52w high | -3.18% | -1.16% | -5.19% | -5.19% | +0.43% |
| 2020 | 12/08/2020 | 16.42 | neutral | -5.24% | -5.66% | -4.51% | -6.58% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 12/08/2019 | 23.57 | near 52w high | +0.72% | +0.81% | +2.42% | -2.12% | +2.42% |
| 2018 | 13/08/2018 | 21.62 | neutral | +1.85% | +1.57% | +3.56% | +0.00% | +4.21% |
| 2017 | 11/08/2017 | 22.06 | near 52w low | +0.09% | +0.73% | +0.00% | -0.41% | +0.91% |
| 2016 | 12/08/2016 | 22.54 | near 52w high | -1.42% | -0.98% | +0.22% | -2.44% | +3.37% |
Upcoming 24/08/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.37% · Win 50% · DD -1.60%20 days: Avg +0.16% · Win 40% · DD -2.25%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 25/08/2025 | 20.15 | near 52w high | -0.25% | +2.28% | -0.45% | -0.60% | +2.78% |
| 2024 | 23/08/2024 | 20.40 | neutral | +2.16% | -3.09% | +2.25% | -4.17% | +3.48% |
| 2023 | 24/08/2023 | 19.66 | neutral | +3.92% | +4.53% | +1.22% | +0.00% | +6.87% |
| 2022 | 24/08/2022 | 23.47 | neutral | -2.30% | -0.85% | -5.37% | -5.37% | +1.83% |
| 2021 | 24/08/2021 | 25.72 | near 52w high | +0.31% | -2.37% | -1.63% | -4.82% | +0.70% |
| 2020 | 24/08/2020 | 15.93 | neutral | -2.07% | -3.70% | -2.39% | -3.70% | +2.76% |
| 2019 | 23/08/2019 | 23.49 | near 52w high | -0.26% | +2.17% | +5.11% | -0.72% | +5.53% |
| 2018 | 24/08/2018 | 21.94 | near 52w high | +0.41% | +2.28% | -0.27% | -0.87% | +2.69% |
| 2017 | 24/08/2017 | 22.17 | neutral | +0.18% | -0.90% | -0.95% | -2.26% | +0.41% |
| 2016 | 24/08/2016 | 22.28 | near 52w high | +2.78% | +3.37% | +4.04% | +0.00% | +4.58% |
Upcoming 03/09/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.31% · Win 60% · DD -2.09%20 days: Avg -2.25% · Win 20% · DD -4.89%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/09/2025 | 20.26 | near 52w high | +2.22% | +0.10% | -1.53% | -2.03% | +2.22% |
| 2024 | 03/09/2024 | 20.55 | neutral | -4.14% | +0.05% | -0.23% | -4.87% | +2.73% |
| 2023 | 01/09/2023 | 20.68 | neutral | -0.10% | +1.06% | -6.40% | -6.40% | +1.60% |
| 2022 | 02/09/2022 | 22.45 | neutral | +6.46% | +4.23% | -15.28% | -16.88% | +6.46% |
| 2021 | 03/09/2021 | 25.67 | near 52w high | -3.47% | -4.17% | -1.53% | -4.64% | +0.62% |
| 2020 | 03/09/2020 | 15.66 | neutral | -2.04% | +2.75% | +2.25% | -5.04% | +4.53% |
| 2019 | 03/09/2019 | 23.70 | near 52w high | +1.86% | +2.91% | +3.60% | -0.17% | +4.89% |
| 2018 | 04/09/2018 | 22.18 | near 52w high | +0.95% | -0.72% | -1.28% | -2.57% | +1.58% |
| 2017 | 01/09/2017 | 22.26 | neutral | -0.90% | -1.80% | -0.03% | -2.65% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 02/09/2016 | 23.15 | near 52w high | -2.42% | -1.34% | -2.07% | -3.63% | +0.65% |
Upcoming 15/09/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.87% · Win 50% · DD -3.82%20 days: Avg -2.23% · Win 50% · DD -5.18%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 15/09/2025 | 20.33 | near 52w high | -1.48% | -2.07% | -5.64% | -7.26% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 16/09/2024 | 20.42 | neutral | +2.15% | +2.16% | +0.21% | -1.35% | +3.38% |
| 2023 | 15/09/2023 | 21.01 | volume x3.4 | -5.28% | -5.58% | -8.02% | -10.51% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 15/09/2022 | 23.26 | neutral | -4.51% | -18.76% | -15.06% | -19.77% | +0.60% |
| 2021 | 15/09/2021 | 24.88 | neutral | +1.69% | +2.17% | +3.93% | -1.13% | +3.93% |
| 2020 | 15/09/2020 | 15.64 | neutral | -0.58% | -0.46% | +2.64% | -4.92% | +5.01% |
| 2019 | 16/09/2019 | 24.41 | near 52w high · volume x1.5 | +1.15% | +1.18% | +1.13% | -0.29% | +1.84% |
| 2018 | 14/09/2018 | 22.31 | near 52w high | -1.93% | -1.35% | -2.27% | -4.05% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 15/09/2017 | 21.87 | near 52w low · volume x2.3 | +0.41% | +1.52% | +1.38% | -0.05% | +1.84% |
| 2016 | 15/09/2016 | 22.49 | near 52w high | +3.07% | +2.48% | -0.56% | -2.51% | +3.16% |
Upcoming 24/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.36% · Win 30% · DD -3.40%20 days: Avg -1.38% · Win 50% · DD -4.01%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/09/2025 | 19.97 | neutral | -0.10% | -3.58% | -4.10% | -5.94% | +0.40% |
| 2024 | 24/09/2024 | 20.92 | neutral | -1.99% | -3.17% | -2.83% | -3.71% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 25/09/2023 | 19.84 | neutral | -2.44% | -1.56% | -7.82% | -7.82% | +0.35% |
| 2022 | 23/09/2022 | 21.41 | neutral | -12.84% | -10.64% | -8.11% | -12.84% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 24/09/2021 | 25.40 | neutral | +0.44% | +0.12% | +3.53% | -2.05% | +3.81% |
| 2020 | 24/09/2020 | 14.87 | neutral | +5.53% | +10.45% | +3.24% | +0.00% | +10.45% |
| 2019 | 24/09/2019 | 24.57 | near 52w high | -0.06% | -0.60% | +2.43% | -0.94% | +3.01% |
| 2018 | 24/09/2018 | 21.88 | neutral | -0.30% | -0.53% | +0.87% | -2.17% | +1.90% |
| 2017 | 25/09/2017 | 22.12 | near 52w low | +0.60% | +0.14% | +0.46% | +0.00% | +1.43% |
| 2016 | 23/09/2016 | 23.00 | near 52w high | -0.01% | -4.23% | -1.48% | -4.67% | +0.87% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-3.1%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· The broad trend is down.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -21.6% · from 52w low: +0.4%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -4.45% · -0.73% · +1.18% · -8.32% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -1.71% · -3.07% · -8.21% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -21.64% · +0.37% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.28 · 0.77x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +3.80% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +0.50% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +7.44% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 16.61 · 16.85 · 17.79 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 20.84 · 16.27 |
|---|
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