🕰️ Time Machine
STX — Seagate Technology
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/07/2026
Last price (Close)
913.36 +0.58%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in 7 days
03/08/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 21/07/2026
since +2.41%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 09/03/2026
342.00
Days: 94 trading / 136 calendar · return since: +167.06%
Last major high · 18/06/2026
1,145.00
Days: 23 trading / 35 calendar · return since: -20.23%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 18/06/2026 @ 1,145.00 | Fib 13 | Trading | 📅 09/07/2026 | -10 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 09/03/2026 @ 342.00 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 17/07/2026 | -4 (±3) | Passed |
| High 18/06/2026 @ 1,145.00 | Cycle 30 | Calendar | 📅 18/07/2026 | -5 (±2) | Passed |
| High 18/06/2026 @ 1,145.00 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 21/07/2026 | -2 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 09/03/2026 @ 342.00 | Cycle 144 | Calendar | 📅 31/07/2026 | +8 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 18/06/2026 @ 1,145.00 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 02/08/2026 | +10 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 18/06/2026 @ 1,145.00 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 03/08/2026 | +7 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 18/06/2026 @ 1,145.00 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 17/08/2026 | +25 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 18/06/2026 @ 1,145.00 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 24/08/2026 | +22 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 09/03/2026 @ 342.00 | Cycle 120 | Trading | 📅 28/08/2026 | +26 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 09/03/2026 @ 342.00 | Cycle 180 | Calendar | 📅 05/09/2026 | +44 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 18/06/2026 @ 1,145.00 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 15/09/2026 | +37 (±2) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Shooting Star 23/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 21/07/2026
● NR7 Compression 20/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 21/07/2026
● Gap Day 20/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 21/07/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 17/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 17/07/2026
● Failed Breakdown 17/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 17/07/2026
● NR7 Compression 13/07/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 09/07/2026
● Gap Day 13/07/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 09/07/2026
● Hammer Reversal 07/07/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 09/07/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 09/07/2026 · High Fib 13/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.83% · Win 67% · DD -1.62%20 days: Avg -0.84% · Win 44% · DD -6.34%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 09/07/2025 | 142.01 | far above SMA50 | +3.60% | +7.57% | +3.70% | +0.00% | +10.56% |
| 2024 | 09/07/2024 | 104.35 | near 52w high | +4.18% | +0.91% | -10.23% | -11.32% | +4.96% |
| 2023 | 10/07/2023 | 60.40 | neutral | +0.91% | -1.85% | +13.43% | -4.02% | +13.43% |
| 2022 | 08/07/2022 | 74.87 | neutral | +3.62% | +2.62% | +8.12% | -0.72% | +11.67% |
| 2021 | 09/07/2021 | 87.96 | neutral | -3.98% | -2.82% | +4.76% | -6.09% | +4.76% |
| 2020 | 09/07/2020 | 46.78 | neutral | +3.68% | +6.88% | -3.89% | -5.28% | +6.88% |
| 2019 | 09/07/2019 | 46.04 | neutral | +2.87% | +3.67% | -2.95% | -3.48% | +6.28% |
| 2018 | 09/07/2018 | 58.75 | neutral | -0.51% | -4.09% | -7.69% | -10.43% | +0.46% |
| 2017 | 10/07/2017 | 38.39 | neutral | +1.77% | +3.57% | -12.79% | -15.76% | +3.57% |
Passed 17/07/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.95% · Win 44% · DD -5.67%20 days: Avg -1.54% · Win 44% · DD -7.41%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 17/07/2025 | 146.72 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +4.10% | +7.01% | +6.14% | -0.09% | +7.01% |
| 2024 | 17/07/2024 | 104.91 | near 52w high | +4.40% | -2.61% | -7.48% | -12.21% | +4.40% |
| 2023 | 17/07/2023 | 60.95 | neutral | -2.74% | +4.18% | +11.26% | -4.89% | +12.40% |
| 2022 | 18/07/2022 | 77.51 | neutral | -1.28% | +2.62% | +6.05% | -1.96% | +7.87% |
| 2021 | 16/07/2021 | 84.46 | neutral | +1.21% | +4.07% | +6.96% | -2.20% | +11.45% |
| 2020 | 17/07/2020 | 48.27 | neutral | -0.48% | -6.32% | -6.63% | -8.20% | +3.58% |
| 2019 | 17/07/2019 | 47.00 | neutral | +4.11% | -1.47% | -5.04% | -5.45% | +4.11% |
| 2018 | 17/07/2018 | 58.10 | neutral | -4.10% | -9.43% | -8.38% | -12.43% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 17/07/2017 | 39.07 | neutral | +1.77% | -15.64% | -16.69% | -19.25% | +1.77% |
Passed 18/07/2026 · High Cycle 30/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.98% · Win 44% · DD -5.80%20 days: Avg -2.01% · Win 44% · DD -7.53%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 18/07/2025 | 149.07 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +1.22% | +3.85% | +3.60% | -1.66% | +5.33% |
| 2024 | 18/07/2024 | 103.47 | neutral | +0.47% | -4.31% | -3.73% | -10.99% | +5.86% |
| 2023 | 18/07/2023 | 61.39 | neutral | -5.13% | +6.40% | +6.69% | -5.57% | +11.60% |
| 2022 | 18/07/2022 | 77.51 | neutral | -1.28% | +2.62% | +6.05% | -1.96% | +7.87% |
| 2021 | 19/07/2021 | 84.29 | neutral | +2.35% | +4.99% | +7.62% | -2.00% | +11.67% |
| 2020 | 17/07/2020 | 48.27 | neutral | -0.48% | -6.32% | -6.63% | -8.20% | +3.58% |
| 2019 | 18/07/2019 | 47.37 | neutral | +1.50% | -2.34% | -5.89% | -6.19% | +3.29% |
| 2018 | 18/07/2018 | 58.10 | neutral | -2.86% | -8.66% | -8.97% | -12.43% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 18/07/2017 | 38.83 | neutral | -14.50% | -14.06% | -16.87% | -18.75% | +2.40% |
Passed 21/07/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.38% · Win 40% · DD -7.09%20 days: Avg -1.68% · Win 40% · DD -7.69%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 21/07/2025 | 149.63 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +0.55% | +3.46% | +6.06% | -2.03% | +6.06% |
| 2024 | 22/07/2024 | 106.18 | near 52w high | -2.64% | -12.85% | -2.09% | -13.26% | +3.16% |
| 2023 | 21/07/2023 | 59.61 | neutral | +6.44% | +12.04% | +7.95% | -2.75% | +14.93% |
| 2022 | 21/07/2022 | 83.61 | volume x2.0 | -4.56% | -3.85% | -2.37% | -9.11% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 21/07/2021 | 82.60 | volume x3.2 | +4.84% | +8.14% | +7.78% | +0.00% | +13.96% |
| 2020 | 21/07/2020 | 49.42 | volume x1.6 | -1.72% | -8.15% | -8.82% | -10.34% | +1.17% |
| 2019 | 22/07/2019 | 47.37 | neutral | +0.23% | -6.19% | -1.98% | -6.19% | +3.29% |
| 2018 | 20/07/2018 | 56.48 | neutral | -3.17% | -4.60% | -3.93% | -9.91% | +1.88% |
| 2017 | 21/07/2017 | 39.58 | neutral | -17.61% | -15.54% | -20.74% | -20.74% | +0.45% |
| 2016 | 25/07/2016 | 31.44 | near 52w high | +3.15% | +3.72% | +1.37% | -2.51% | +3.72% |
Upcoming 31/07/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.17% · Win 40% · DD -3.70%20 days: Avg +1.21% · Win 60% · DD -4.82%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 31/07/2025 | 157.01 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.6 | -5.67% | -0.82% | +9.79% | -6.20% | +9.79% |
| 2024 | 31/07/2024 | 102.17 | neutral | -9.86% | -5.00% | -2.86% | -9.86% | +2.53% |
| 2023 | 31/07/2023 | 63.50 | neutral | +7.89% | +6.79% | +4.05% | +0.00% | +7.89% |
| 2022 | 01/08/2022 | 79.54 | neutral | +1.94% | +3.34% | -8.78% | -8.78% | +4.89% |
| 2021 | 30/07/2021 | 87.90 | neutral | +4.84% | +2.78% | -1.81% | -3.60% | +7.09% |
| 2020 | 31/07/2020 | 45.22 | volume x2.0 | +0.20% | -0.33% | +3.05% | -1.02% | +3.05% |
| 2019 | 31/07/2019 | 46.31 | neutral | -3.74% | -3.63% | +1.81% | -4.04% | +2.74% |
| 2018 | 31/07/2018 | 52.62 | volume x2.6 | +4.28% | +1.16% | +7.30% | -3.31% | +7.30% |
| 2017 | 31/07/2017 | 32.96 | far below SMA50 | +1.58% | -1.24% | -4.46% | -5.92% | +1.85% |
| 2016 | 01/08/2016 | 32.43 | near 52w high | +0.56% | -1.33% | +4.01% | -5.49% | +4.01% |
Upcoming 02/08/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.73% · Win 60% · DD -2.23%20 days: Avg +2.76% · Win 60% · DD -3.82%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 01/08/2025 | 154.81 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -2.82% | -0.25% | +8.13% | -4.87% | +11.35% |
| 2024 | 02/08/2024 | 94.57 | neutral | +1.81% | +7.57% | +5.27% | -2.61% | +10.78% |
| 2023 | 02/08/2023 | 65.01 | neutral | +2.85% | -1.26% | +4.86% | -1.26% | +5.38% |
| 2022 | 02/08/2022 | 79.01 | neutral | -2.11% | +3.59% | -12.14% | -12.14% | +5.59% |
| 2021 | 02/08/2021 | 88.50 | neutral | +4.54% | +2.50% | -1.88% | -4.25% | +6.36% |
| 2020 | 03/08/2020 | 44.76 | neutral | +2.93% | +0.31% | +7.22% | +0.00% | +7.22% |
| 2019 | 02/08/2019 | 44.93 | volume x2.4 | -0.11% | +2.45% | +11.75% | -1.09% | +11.75% |
| 2018 | 02/08/2018 | 53.42 | neutral | -4.49% | -0.69% | -0.52% | -4.75% | +5.69% |
| 2017 | 02/08/2017 | 33.42 | far below SMA50 | -2.45% | -2.81% | -5.75% | -7.21% | +0.45% |
| 2016 | 02/08/2016 | 30.65 | near 52w low | +6.00% | +5.91% | +10.67% | +0.00% | +10.67% |
Upcoming 03/08/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.45% · Win 60% · DD -3.10%20 days: Avg +2.15% · Win 60% · DD -5.05%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/08/2025 | 154.81 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -2.02% | +2.51% | +10.13% | -4.87% | +11.35% |
| 2024 | 02/08/2024 | 94.57 | neutral | +1.81% | +7.57% | +5.27% | -2.61% | +10.78% |
| 2023 | 03/08/2023 | 68.28 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.8 | -1.65% | -4.91% | +3.68% | -5.99% | +3.68% |
| 2022 | 03/08/2022 | 80.16 | neutral | +0.22% | -1.15% | -16.47% | -16.47% | +4.08% |
| 2021 | 03/08/2021 | 90.42 | neutral | +2.60% | -0.23% | -3.13% | -6.28% | +4.10% |
| 2020 | 03/08/2020 | 44.76 | neutral | +2.93% | +0.31% | +7.22% | +0.00% | +7.22% |
| 2019 | 02/08/2019 | 44.93 | volume x2.4 | -0.11% | +2.45% | +11.75% | -1.09% | +11.75% |
| 2018 | 03/08/2018 | 53.88 | neutral | -5.57% | +0.71% | -0.63% | -5.57% | +4.79% |
| 2017 | 03/08/2017 | 33.57 | far below SMA50 | -6.02% | -6.14% | -6.08% | -7.63% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 03/08/2016 | 30.73 | near 52w low | +2.12% | +3.42% | +9.79% | +0.00% | +10.38% |
Upcoming 17/08/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.68% · Win 60% · DD -3.36%20 days: Avg +3.94% · Win 50% · DD -5.44%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 18/08/2025 | 158.70 | near 52w high | +3.34% | +7.44% | +33.04% | -2.58% | +33.04% |
| 2024 | 16/08/2024 | 101.73 | neutral | +2.63% | -2.14% | -0.29% | -4.87% | +2.98% |
| 2023 | 17/08/2023 | 64.93 | neutral | -0.05% | +9.03% | -1.82% | -3.40% | +13.51% |
| 2022 | 17/08/2022 | 79.24 | neutral | -4.00% | -15.50% | -21.02% | -21.02% | +3.02% |
| 2021 | 17/08/2021 | 90.21 | neutral | -4.59% | -2.90% | -6.50% | -8.29% | +1.61% |
| 2020 | 17/08/2020 | 44.90 | neutral | +1.58% | +6.88% | +5.43% | -0.13% | +8.22% |
| 2019 | 16/08/2019 | 46.03 | neutral | +1.93% | +9.08% | +21.01% | +0.00% | +22.31% |
| 2018 | 17/08/2018 | 54.26 | neutral | +2.75% | -1.33% | -11.65% | -11.65% | +4.05% |
| 2017 | 17/08/2017 | 31.51 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -1.56% | +0.06% | +6.47% | -1.78% | +6.47% |
| 2016 | 17/08/2016 | 31.78 | neutral | -0.63% | +6.17% | +14.69% | -0.63% | +15.01% |
Upcoming 24/08/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.48% · Win 60% · DD -3.75%20 days: Avg +5.35% · Win 70% · DD -5.15%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 25/08/2025 | 164.00 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +3.96% | +16.82% | +39.10% | +0.00% | +39.84% |
| 2024 | 23/08/2024 | 104.41 | neutral | -4.65% | -2.94% | +2.09% | -7.31% | +2.09% |
| 2023 | 24/08/2023 | 64.90 | neutral | +9.08% | +0.72% | +1.54% | -3.36% | +13.56% |
| 2022 | 24/08/2022 | 76.07 | neutral | -11.98% | -13.07% | -21.77% | -21.77% | +4.17% |
| 2021 | 24/08/2021 | 86.07 | volume x3.0 | +1.77% | -2.02% | -2.85% | -4.46% | +4.94% |
| 2020 | 24/08/2020 | 45.61 | neutral | +5.22% | +0.18% | +6.03% | -0.37% | +7.74% |
| 2019 | 23/08/2019 | 46.92 | neutral | +7.01% | +16.75% | +12.43% | +0.00% | +20.95% |
| 2018 | 24/08/2018 | 55.75 | neutral | -3.96% | -9.79% | -10.66% | -14.01% | +1.27% |
| 2017 | 24/08/2017 | 31.02 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +1.64% | +3.13% | +10.29% | -0.23% | +10.29% |
| 2016 | 24/08/2016 | 31.58 | near 52w low | +6.84% | +14.98% | +17.29% | +0.00% | +18.23% |
Upcoming 28/08/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.49% · Win 60% · DD -4.03%20 days: Avg +4.58% · Win 70% · DD -5.72%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/08/2025 | 172.38 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +9.15% | +13.70% | +26.18% | -2.89% | +33.04% |
| 2024 | 28/08/2024 | 99.25 | neutral | +1.57% | +1.38% | +12.35% | -2.49% | +12.35% |
| 2023 | 28/08/2023 | 66.07 | neutral | +7.30% | -5.07% | -2.98% | -5.07% | +11.55% |
| 2022 | 29/08/2022 | 72.56 | neutral | -9.94% | -10.09% | -21.20% | -22.79% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 27/08/2021 | 86.31 | neutral | +4.65% | -2.75% | +1.52% | -4.72% | +4.65% |
| 2020 | 28/08/2020 | 46.60 | neutral | +0.88% | +2.25% | +8.02% | -1.95% | +8.02% |
| 2019 | 28/08/2019 | 47.15 | neutral | +14.74% | +19.41% | +15.18% | +0.00% | +20.36% |
| 2018 | 28/08/2018 | 56.46 | neutral | -12.56% | -12.38% | -15.52% | -15.52% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 28/08/2017 | 31.49 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +4.00% | +1.27% | +6.38% | -1.71% | +8.65% |
| 2016 | 29/08/2016 | 33.73 | near 52w high | +2.19% | +7.14% | +15.91% | -0.06% | +15.91% |
Upcoming 05/09/2026 · Low Cycle 180/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.11% · Win 50% · DD -4.33%20 days: Avg +4.10% · Win 50% · DD -5.68%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 05/09/2025 | 188.16 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +4.16% | +17.58% | +34.77% | +0.00% | +36.93% |
| 2024 | 05/09/2024 | 100.81 | neutral | -0.19% | +3.28% | +8.65% | -2.81% | +10.61% |
| 2023 | 05/09/2023 | 70.89 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x2.5 | -11.52% | -8.49% | -6.73% | -11.52% | +0.48% |
| 2022 | 06/09/2022 | 65.35 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -0.17% | -7.25% | -11.78% | -17.62% | +5.33% |
| 2021 | 03/09/2021 | 90.32 | neutral | -7.06% | -8.16% | -6.08% | -8.95% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 04/09/2020 | 47.01 | neutral | +1.36% | +2.60% | +5.89% | -2.81% | +7.96% |
| 2019 | 05/09/2019 | 54.10 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +4.07% | -2.14% | -0.68% | -3.14% | +4.90% |
| 2018 | 05/09/2018 | 49.37 | far below SMA50 · volume x1.7 | +0.20% | -1.30% | -1.91% | -4.42% | +1.86% |
| 2017 | 05/09/2017 | 32.75 | volume x2.0 | -2.63% | +0.14% | +5.96% | -5.50% | +6.43% |
| 2016 | 06/09/2016 | 34.47 | near 52w high | +4.84% | +4.89% | +12.89% | +0.00% | +13.81% |
Upcoming 15/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.96% · Win 60% · DD -2.64%20 days: Avg +0.43% · Win 50% · DD -4.33%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 15/09/2025 | 211.12 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x2.2 | +8.63% | +8.54% | +4.30% | +0.00% | +22.04% |
| 2024 | 16/09/2024 | 101.44 | neutral | +5.08% | +8.70% | +10.22% | -0.50% | +10.22% |
| 2023 | 15/09/2023 | 63.75 | neutral | +3.37% | +4.56% | +8.49% | +0.00% | +10.29% |
| 2022 | 15/09/2022 | 62.58 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x1.7 | -4.90% | -12.11% | -14.28% | -16.25% | +0.21% |
| 2021 | 15/09/2021 | 84.35 | neutral | -0.87% | -0.68% | -4.90% | -5.57% | +3.87% |
| 2020 | 15/09/2020 | 47.34 | neutral | +2.16% | +7.21% | +9.59% | +0.00% | +9.91% |
| 2019 | 16/09/2019 | 55.70 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -5.30% | -2.26% | -2.10% | -6.95% | +1.89% |
| 2018 | 14/09/2018 | 48.29 | far below SMA50 | +3.41% | -0.64% | -9.79% | -9.79% | +3.41% |
| 2017 | 15/09/2017 | 33.55 | volume x2.1 | +1.98% | +0.76% | +4.50% | -2.25% | +4.50% |
| 2016 | 15/09/2016 | 36.45 | near 52w high | +1.62% | +5.50% | -1.78% | -2.01% | +7.62% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Sharp rally recently — watch for follow-through.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+3.0%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -20.2% · from 52w low: +560.4%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +22.52% · +2.61% · -8.04% · +53.39% |
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| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +3.99% · +3.02% · +82.45% |
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| Distance from 52w high / low | -20.23% · +560.42% |
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| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 71.40 · 0.89x |
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Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -5.42% |
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| vs SPY (20d) | -8.72% |
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| vs SMH (20d) | -1.78% |
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Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 878.33 · 886.61 · 500.62 |
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| 52w high / low | 1,145.00 · 138.30 |
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