🕰️ Time Machine
SUPN — Supernus Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026
Last price (Close)
42.21 +0.33%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in 3 days
15/09/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 02/09/2026
since -4.13%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 04/08/2026
42.63
Days: 26 trading / 37 calendar · return since: -0.99%
Last major high · 03/08/2026
52.50
Days: 27 trading / 38 calendar · return since: -19.60%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 03/08/2026 @ 52.50 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 01/09/2026 | -6 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 04/08/2026 @ 42.63 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 02/09/2026 | -5 (±1) | Passed |
| High 03/08/2026 @ 52.50 | Cycle 30 | Calendar | 📅 02/09/2026 | -8 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 04/08/2026 @ 42.63 | Cycle 30 | Calendar | 📅 03/09/2026 | -7 (±2) | Passed |
| High 03/08/2026 @ 52.50 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 15/09/2026 | +3 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 04/08/2026 @ 42.63 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 16/09/2026 | +4 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 03/08/2026 @ 52.50 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 17/09/2026 | +7 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 04/08/2026 @ 42.63 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 18/09/2026 | +8 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 03/08/2026 @ 52.50 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 02/10/2026 | +22 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 04/08/2026 @ 42.63 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 03/10/2026 | +23 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 03/08/2026 @ 52.50 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 06/10/2026 | +18 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 04/08/2026 @ 42.63 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 07/10/2026 | +19 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 03/08/2026 @ 52.50 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 27/10/2026 | +33 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 04/08/2026 @ 42.63 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 28/10/2026 | +34 (±2) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Bullish Engulfing 10/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 15/09/2026
● NR7 Compression 10/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 15/09/2026
● NR7 Compression 04/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 03/09/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 01/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 01/09/2026
● Hammer Reversal 31/08/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 01/09/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 19/08/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 14/08/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 01/09/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.83% · Win 44% · DD -4.17%20 days: Avg -3.38% · Win 33% · DD -8.29%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 02/09/2025 | 44.54 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +3.35% | -1.23% | +7.30% | -1.23% | +7.30% |
| 2024 | 30/08/2024 | 35.16 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -3.56% | -10.47% | -11.32% | -14.85% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 01/09/2023 | 32.49 | neutral | -8.34% | -12.87% | -16.53% | -16.53% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 01/09/2022 | 35.04 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -1.11% | -0.40% | -3.40% | -9.25% | +1.06% |
| 2021 | 01/09/2021 | 27.80 | neutral | -1.58% | -2.19% | -4.06% | -4.35% | +0.58% |
| 2020 | 01/09/2020 | 21.09 | neutral | +0.14% | +6.59% | -1.19% | -4.22% | +6.59% |
| 2019 | 30/08/2019 | 27.03 | far below SMA50 | +4.18% | +4.55% | +1.66% | -0.96% | +8.84% |
| 2018 | 31/08/2018 | 44.30 | far below SMA50 | +8.01% | +3.84% | +10.81% | -0.79% | +13.66% |
| 2017 | 01/09/2017 | 47.40 | near 52w high | +1.69% | +4.75% | -13.71% | -22.47% | +4.75% |
Passed 02/09/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.06% · Win 56% · DD -3.97%20 days: Avg -2.85% · Win 22% · DD -8.17%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 02/09/2025 | 44.54 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +3.35% | -1.23% | +7.30% | -1.23% | +7.30% |
| 2024 | 03/09/2024 | 34.71 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -3.51% | -8.61% | -7.81% | -13.74% | +0.84% |
| 2023 | 01/09/2023 | 32.49 | neutral | -8.34% | -12.87% | -16.53% | -16.53% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 02/09/2022 | 34.39 | near 52w high | +2.09% | +2.97% | -2.59% | -7.53% | +2.97% |
| 2021 | 02/09/2021 | 27.68 | neutral | -3.94% | -1.45% | -1.66% | -3.94% | +1.01% |
| 2020 | 02/09/2020 | 21.65 | neutral | -0.46% | +3.83% | -0.88% | -6.70% | +3.83% |
| 2019 | 03/09/2019 | 26.77 | far below SMA50 | +5.01% | +9.34% | -0.56% | -0.56% | +9.90% |
| 2018 | 31/08/2018 | 44.30 | far below SMA50 | +8.01% | +3.84% | +10.81% | -0.79% | +13.66% |
| 2017 | 01/09/2017 | 47.40 | near 52w high | +1.69% | +4.75% | -13.71% | -22.47% | +4.75% |
Passed 03/09/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.26% · Win 56% · DD -3.95%20 days: Avg -3.40% · Win 22% · DD -8.14%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/09/2025 | 44.93 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +2.85% | -0.29% | +6.92% | -2.09% | +6.92% |
| 2024 | 03/09/2024 | 34.71 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -3.51% | -8.61% | -7.81% | -13.74% | +0.84% |
| 2023 | 01/09/2023 | 32.49 | neutral | -8.34% | -12.87% | -16.53% | -16.53% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 02/09/2022 | 34.39 | near 52w high | +2.09% | +2.97% | -2.59% | -7.53% | +2.97% |
| 2021 | 03/09/2021 | 27.46 | neutral | -2.08% | -2.33% | -2.91% | -3.17% | +1.82% |
| 2020 | 03/09/2020 | 21.76 | neutral | -2.16% | +2.71% | -4.14% | -7.17% | +3.31% |
| 2019 | 03/09/2019 | 26.77 | far below SMA50 | +5.01% | +9.34% | -0.56% | -0.56% | +9.90% |
| 2018 | 04/09/2018 | 43.95 | far below SMA50 | +11.04% | +6.71% | +10.69% | +0.00% | +14.56% |
| 2017 | 01/09/2017 | 47.40 | near 52w high | +1.69% | +4.75% | -13.71% | -22.47% | +4.75% |
Upcoming 15/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.31% · Win 30% · DD -6.01%20 days: Avg -3.84% · Win 30% · DD -9.22%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 15/09/2025 | 43.99 | far above SMA50 | +6.80% | +8.21% | +9.98% | +0.00% | +12.55% |
| 2024 | 16/09/2024 | 31.48 | neutral | -0.19% | -0.95% | +4.57% | -4.89% | +4.83% |
| 2023 | 15/09/2023 | 29.23 | near 52w low · volume x5.7 | -3.63% | -5.68% | -15.02% | -15.02% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 15/09/2022 | 34.83 | near 52w high | -5.43% | -4.45% | -7.72% | -10.74% | +1.67% |
| 2021 | 15/09/2021 | 27.01 | neutral | +0.37% | -0.59% | +11.66% | -2.37% | +11.66% |
| 2020 | 15/09/2020 | 21.96 | neutral | -3.64% | -5.01% | -4.78% | -8.01% | +2.37% |
| 2019 | 16/09/2019 | 28.26 | neutral | -1.03% | -2.76% | -10.86% | -10.86% | +4.10% |
| 2018 | 14/09/2018 | 48.05 | neutral | +1.77% | +4.79% | -1.29% | -4.27% | +4.79% |
| 2017 | 15/09/2017 | 49.05 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.6 | -20.49% | -18.45% | -15.70% | -25.08% | +1.22% |
| 2016 | 15/09/2016 | 24.20 | near 52w high | +7.52% | +1.78% | -9.26% | -10.99% | +10.25% |
Upcoming 16/09/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.61% · Win 20% · DD -6.12%20 days: Avg -4.22% · Win 40% · DD -9.70%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/09/2025 | 43.99 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.6 | +6.46% | +8.64% | +11.89% | +0.00% | +12.55% |
| 2024 | 16/09/2024 | 31.48 | neutral | -0.19% | -0.95% | +4.57% | -4.89% | +4.83% |
| 2023 | 15/09/2023 | 29.23 | near 52w low · volume x5.7 | -3.63% | -5.68% | -15.02% | -15.02% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 16/09/2022 | 34.90 | near 52w high · volume x2.2 | -5.21% | -3.01% | -6.99% | -10.92% | +1.46% |
| 2021 | 16/09/2021 | 27.19 | neutral | -0.96% | -1.91% | +14.27% | -3.02% | +14.27% |
| 2020 | 16/09/2020 | 22.48 | neutral | -9.12% | -7.30% | -8.72% | -10.14% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 16/09/2019 | 28.26 | neutral | -1.03% | -2.76% | -10.86% | -10.86% | +4.10% |
| 2018 | 17/09/2018 | 46.00 | neutral | +7.61% | +6.72% | +1.46% | +0.00% | +9.46% |
| 2017 | 15/09/2017 | 49.05 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.6 | -20.49% | -18.45% | -15.70% | -25.08% | +1.22% |
| 2016 | 16/09/2016 | 25.09 | near 52w high | +4.30% | -1.43% | -17.06% | -17.06% | +6.34% |
Upcoming 17/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.52% · Win 30% · DD -6.79%20 days: Avg -3.66% · Win 40% · DD -9.92%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 17/09/2025 | 44.80 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +5.13% | +7.23% | +9.98% | +0.00% | +10.51% |
| 2024 | 17/09/2024 | 31.72 | neutral | -3.63% | +0.88% | +5.67% | -5.61% | +5.67% |
| 2023 | 18/09/2023 | 28.31 | near 52w low | +0.88% | -4.20% | -8.80% | -12.26% | +3.18% |
| 2022 | 16/09/2022 | 34.90 | near 52w high · volume x2.2 | -5.21% | -3.01% | -6.99% | -10.92% | +1.46% |
| 2021 | 17/09/2021 | 27.28 | volume x2.2 | +1.94% | -0.22% | +16.06% | -3.34% | +16.06% |
| 2020 | 17/09/2020 | 22.48 | neutral | -10.14% | -4.54% | -9.48% | -10.14% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 17/09/2019 | 29.27 | volume x1.8 | -3.69% | -9.05% | -10.45% | -13.94% | +0.51% |
| 2018 | 17/09/2018 | 46.00 | neutral | +7.61% | +6.72% | +1.46% | +0.00% | +9.46% |
| 2017 | 18/09/2017 | 49.65 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -21.25% | -17.62% | -17.02% | -25.98% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 16/09/2016 | 25.09 | near 52w high | +4.30% | -1.43% | -17.06% | -17.06% | +6.34% |
Upcoming 18/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -3.72% · Win 30% · DD -7.03%20 days: Avg -3.19% · Win 40% · DD -9.96%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 18/09/2025 | 46.13 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +2.28% | +3.97% | +7.87% | -0.20% | +7.87% |
| 2024 | 18/09/2024 | 31.84 | neutral | -5.97% | +1.01% | +6.72% | -5.97% | +6.72% |
| 2023 | 18/09/2023 | 28.31 | near 52w low | +0.88% | -4.20% | -8.80% | -12.26% | +3.18% |
| 2022 | 19/09/2022 | 35.41 | near 52w high | -8.11% | -5.39% | -5.25% | -12.20% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 17/09/2021 | 27.28 | volume x2.2 | +1.94% | -0.22% | +16.06% | -3.34% | +16.06% |
| 2020 | 18/09/2020 | 22.35 | volume x1.8 | -9.13% | -6.67% | -8.77% | -9.62% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 18/09/2019 | 28.70 | neutral | -0.80% | -7.14% | -8.78% | -12.23% | +2.51% |
| 2018 | 18/09/2018 | 46.90 | neutral | +5.22% | +3.73% | +3.01% | -0.85% | +7.36% |
| 2017 | 18/09/2017 | 49.65 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -21.25% | -17.62% | -17.02% | -25.98% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 19/09/2016 | 24.91 | neutral | +3.81% | -4.66% | -16.94% | -16.94% | +7.11% |
Upcoming 02/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.42% · Win 50% · DD -4.48%20 days: Avg -0.19% · Win 50% · DD -7.31%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 02/10/2025 | 47.96 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +3.23% | +3.75% | +17.81% | +0.00% | +17.81% |
| 2024 | 02/10/2024 | 32.16 | neutral | +0.68% | +5.66% | +8.43% | -0.84% | +8.43% |
| 2023 | 02/10/2023 | 27.12 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +0.96% | -4.79% | -12.91% | -16.22% | +1.18% |
| 2022 | 03/10/2022 | 33.50 | neutral | -5.25% | +0.15% | +2.30% | -7.19% | +3.79% |
| 2021 | 01/10/2021 | 27.22 | neutral | -3.12% | +16.31% | +9.66% | -3.12% | +16.31% |
| 2020 | 02/10/2020 | 20.86 | neutral | +2.73% | -2.25% | -11.98% | -15.15% | +2.73% |
| 2019 | 02/10/2019 | 26.65 | neutral | -3.41% | -1.76% | +4.02% | -5.48% | +6.45% |
| 2018 | 02/10/2018 | 48.65 | neutral | -3.04% | -0.70% | -2.55% | -5.90% | +1.77% |
| 2017 | 02/10/2017 | 40.90 | neutral | +0.61% | +0.73% | +0.00% | -2.57% | +4.16% |
| 2016 | 03/10/2016 | 23.75 | neutral | +3.96% | -12.88% | -16.63% | -16.63% | +3.96% |
Upcoming 03/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.09% · Win 40% · DD -4.68%20 days: Avg -0.48% · Win 60% · DD -7.55%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/10/2025 | 48.35 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +1.34% | +3.76% | +14.02% | -0.72% | +16.86% |
| 2024 | 03/10/2024 | 32.10 | neutral | -0.65% | +5.42% | +6.14% | -0.65% | +8.63% |
| 2023 | 03/10/2023 | 27.09 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +0.89% | -4.21% | -11.96% | -16.13% | +1.29% |
| 2022 | 03/10/2022 | 33.50 | neutral | -5.25% | +0.15% | +2.30% | -7.19% | +3.79% |
| 2021 | 04/10/2021 | 26.66 | neutral | +6.60% | +15.08% | +13.80% | -1.09% | +18.75% |
| 2020 | 02/10/2020 | 20.86 | neutral | +2.73% | -2.25% | -11.98% | -15.15% | +2.73% |
| 2019 | 03/10/2019 | 27.18 | neutral | -7.21% | -2.17% | +2.24% | -7.32% | +4.38% |
| 2018 | 03/10/2018 | 49.51 | neutral | -6.08% | -1.88% | -3.94% | -7.53% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 03/10/2017 | 41.10 | neutral | +0.00% | -0.12% | +1.22% | -3.04% | +3.65% |
| 2016 | 03/10/2016 | 23.75 | neutral | +3.96% | -12.88% | -16.63% | -16.63% | +3.96% |
Upcoming 06/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.69% · Win 40% · DD -5.25%20 days: Avg -0.69% · Win 50% · DD -8.23%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 06/10/2025 | 48.31 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +0.14% | +6.79% | +15.30% | -0.64% | +16.95% |
| 2024 | 07/10/2024 | 32.06 | neutral | +2.68% | +5.02% | +8.23% | -0.53% | +8.76% |
| 2023 | 06/10/2023 | 27.44 | near 52w low | -9.48% | -11.41% | -10.79% | -17.20% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 06/10/2022 | 34.07 | neutral | -5.66% | -3.43% | +0.70% | -8.75% | +2.05% |
| 2021 | 06/10/2021 | 26.44 | neutral | +14.07% | +13.09% | +13.58% | -0.26% | +19.74% |
| 2020 | 06/10/2020 | 20.66 | neutral | +1.21% | -3.24% | -12.15% | -14.33% | +3.73% |
| 2019 | 07/10/2019 | 26.76 | neutral | -5.87% | -0.41% | +6.28% | -5.87% | +7.51% |
| 2018 | 05/10/2018 | 48.01 | neutral | -1.21% | +0.40% | -3.12% | -4.64% | +1.19% |
| 2017 | 06/10/2017 | 42.40 | neutral | -2.48% | -1.30% | -0.83% | -6.01% | +0.47% |
| 2016 | 06/10/2016 | 23.84 | neutral | -7.89% | -12.42% | -24.08% | -24.08% | +3.57% |
Upcoming 07/10/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.70% · Win 50% · DD -5.11%20 days: Avg +1.27% · Win 60% · DD -8.95%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 07/10/2025 | 48.07 | near 52w high | +2.39% | +5.41% | +18.58% | -0.15% | +18.58% |
| 2024 | 07/10/2024 | 32.06 | neutral | +2.68% | +5.02% | +8.23% | -0.53% | +8.76% |
| 2023 | 06/10/2023 | 27.44 | near 52w low | -9.48% | -11.41% | -10.79% | -17.20% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 07/10/2022 | 33.29 | neutral | -2.49% | +1.05% | +2.13% | -6.61% | +4.45% |
| 2021 | 07/10/2021 | 26.82 | neutral | +15.85% | +9.55% | +17.67% | -1.68% | +18.05% |
| 2020 | 07/10/2020 | 20.88 | neutral | -1.72% | -5.41% | +7.61% | -15.23% | +7.61% |
| 2019 | 07/10/2019 | 26.76 | neutral | -5.87% | -0.41% | +6.28% | -5.87% | +7.51% |
| 2018 | 08/10/2018 | 46.99 | neutral | -0.68% | +2.87% | -11.26% | -11.26% | +3.38% |
| 2017 | 06/10/2017 | 42.40 | neutral | -2.48% | -1.30% | -0.83% | -6.01% | +0.47% |
| 2016 | 07/10/2016 | 23.78 | neutral | -12.49% | -12.41% | -24.94% | -24.94% | +3.83% |
Upcoming 27/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.46% · Win 60% · DD -9.01%20 days: Avg +0.92% · Win 60% · DD -9.19%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 27/10/2025 | 52.72 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +5.65% | -13.88% | -14.36% | -15.71% | +8.12% |
| 2024 | 28/10/2024 | 34.16 | near 52w high | +1.58% | +7.17% | +5.68% | -0.56% | +10.74% |
| 2023 | 27/10/2023 | 23.56 | far below SMA50 | +3.90% | +13.12% | +14.98% | -0.17% | +21.35% |
| 2022 | 27/10/2022 | 34.08 | neutral | +0.67% | +0.56% | +3.32% | -4.11% | +3.32% |
| 2021 | 27/10/2021 | 29.36 | neutral | +2.28% | +12.33% | +8.79% | +0.00% | +16.55% |
| 2020 | 27/10/2020 | 18.84 | far below SMA50 | -3.66% | +11.89% | +12.58% | -6.05% | +32.43% |
| 2019 | 28/10/2019 | 28.14 | neutral | +1.07% | -22.35% | -19.47% | -29.18% | +3.52% |
| 2018 | 26/10/2018 | 47.38 | neutral | -1.84% | -4.45% | -8.19% | -12.09% | +0.38% |
| 2017 | 27/10/2017 | 41.25 | neutral | +1.94% | -9.70% | -5.70% | -11.76% | +1.94% |
| 2016 | 27/10/2016 | 20.35 | near 52w low | -11.06% | +0.74% | +11.55% | -12.29% | +21.38% |
Upcoming 28/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.97% · Win 60% · DD -8.62%20 days: Avg +0.73% · Win 60% · DD -8.80%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/10/2025 | 53.17 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +7.20% | -13.28% | -13.33% | -16.42% | +7.20% |
| 2024 | 28/10/2024 | 34.16 | near 52w high | +1.58% | +7.17% | +5.68% | -0.56% | +10.74% |
| 2023 | 27/10/2023 | 23.56 | far below SMA50 | +3.90% | +13.12% | +14.98% | -0.17% | +21.35% |
| 2022 | 28/10/2022 | 34.77 | near 52w high | -2.21% | +0.75% | +2.39% | -6.01% | +2.39% |
| 2021 | 28/10/2021 | 29.52 | neutral | +6.91% | +12.60% | +3.69% | +0.00% | +15.92% |
| 2020 | 28/10/2020 | 17.70 | far below SMA50 · volume x1.6 | +26.95% | +20.51% | +20.51% | +0.00% | +40.96% |
| 2019 | 28/10/2019 | 28.14 | neutral | +1.07% | -22.35% | -19.47% | -29.18% | +3.52% |
| 2018 | 29/10/2018 | 46.55 | neutral | -10.42% | -3.97% | -6.53% | -10.53% | +2.17% |
| 2017 | 27/10/2017 | 41.25 | neutral | +1.94% | -9.70% | -5.70% | -11.76% | +1.94% |
| 2016 | 28/10/2016 | 20.60 | near 52w low | -13.35% | +4.85% | +5.10% | -13.35% | +19.90% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· If it holds above SMA50 (-9.0%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -29.3% · from 52w low: +1.7%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -4.13% · -5.95% · -11.82% · -3.76% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -6.62% · -9.02% · -12.89% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -29.27% · +1.71% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 1.21 · 0.03x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -9.80% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -9.89% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | -7.88% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 45.20 · 46.40 · 48.46 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 59.68 · 41.50 |
|---|
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