🕰️ Time Machine

SW — Smurfit Westrock

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026

Last price (Close)
42.21 +0.02%
Next window · Cycle 45 · in window · in 1 days
11/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 09/09/2026
since +0.02%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 20/05/2026
35.53
Days: 77 trading / 113 calendar · return since: +18.80%
Last major high · 28/07/2026
51.99
Days: 31 trading / 44 calendar · return since: -18.81%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 28/07/2026 @ 51.99Fib 21Trading📅 26/08/2026-10 (±1)Passed
High 28/07/2026 @ 51.99Cycle 30Trading📅 09/09/2026-1 (±2)In window
High 28/07/2026 @ 51.99Cycle 45Calendar📅 11/09/2026+1 (±2)In window
Low 20/05/2026 @ 35.53Cycle 120Calendar📅 17/09/2026+7 (±3)Upcoming
High 28/07/2026 @ 51.99Cycle 60Calendar📅 26/09/2026+16 (±2)Upcoming
Low 20/05/2026 @ 35.53Cycle 90Trading📅 29/09/2026+13 (±3)Upcoming
High 28/07/2026 @ 51.99Cycle 45Trading📅 30/09/2026+14 (±2)Upcoming
Low 20/05/2026 @ 35.53Cycle 144Calendar📅 11/10/2026+31 (±3)Upcoming
High 28/07/2026 @ 51.99Cycle 60Trading📅 21/10/2026+29 (±2)Upcoming
Low 20/05/2026 @ 35.53Cycle 120Trading📅 10/11/2026+43 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Failed Breakdown 10/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 09/09/2026
NR7 Compression 10/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 09/09/2026
Bearish Engulfing 08/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 09/09/2026
Failed Breakdown 02/09/2026
NR7 Compression 27/08/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 26/08/2026
Failed Breakout 26/08/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 26/08/2026
Bearish Engulfing 24/08/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 26/08/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 26/08/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.03% · Win 33% · DD -3.95%20 days: Avg -3.03% · Win 44% · DD -7.37%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202526/08/202546.30neutral+1.40%-2.22%-6.59%-6.59%+2.29%
202426/08/202446.18neutral-1.04%-6.19%+2.86%-6.19%+6.15%
202325/08/202338.34neutral+11.48%-1.75%-16.46%-16.46%+11.48%
202226/08/202235.00neutral-10.43%-3.97%-19.89%-19.89%+0.00%
202126/08/202156.93neutral-1.04%-1.04%+0.22%-2.78%+2.90%
202026/08/202038.04near 52w high · far above SMA50-4.26%-4.97%-0.76%-7.68%+3.39%
201926/08/201930.41neutral-4.14%+4.54%+5.39%-4.14%+5.39%
201827/08/201841.99neutral+1.55%+1.55%-2.64%-2.64%+1.55%
201725/08/201729.66near 52w high+3.78%+4.79%+10.59%+0.00%+10.59%
In window 09/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.22% · Win 50% · DD -3.57%20 days: Avg -5.80% · Win 30% · DD -9.45%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202509/09/202545.36neutral-2.38%-3.42%-9.22%-11.13%+0.62%
202409/09/202444.47neutral+5.08%+5.10%+4.45%-2.59%+12.64%
202308/09/202338.35volume x2.2-4.56%-10.69%-14.71%-17.08%+0.00%
202209/09/202232.01near 52w low-3.22%-12.40%-17.34%-17.34%+8.25%
202109/09/202156.34neutral+3.98%+1.27%-1.93%-8.73%+3.98%
202009/09/202036.15neutral+8.80%+4.43%+10.46%+0.00%+10.65%
201909/09/201931.79neutral+0.00%+0.82%-9.30%-9.30%+1.79%
201810/09/201842.64neutral-4.13%-4.13%-12.45%-12.45%+0.00%
201708/09/201730.72near 52w high+4.26%+6.77%+7.66%+0.00%+7.66%
201612/09/201626.23near 52w high+0.00%+0.00%-15.68%-15.87%+0.95%
In window 11/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.62% · Win 40% · DD -4.73%20 days: Avg -5.25% · Win 30% · DD -9.74%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202511/09/202545.64neutral-3.22%-7.36%-6.03%-11.68%+0.00%
202411/09/202443.53neutral+9.95%+9.81%+5.81%+0.00%+15.07%
202311/09/202337.67neutral-4.14%-14.97%-13.54%-15.58%+0.00%
202212/09/202233.61neutral-0.48%-16.57%-11.07%-21.27%+3.09%
202110/09/202156.34neutral+0.66%+1.27%-1.93%-8.73%+3.98%
202011/09/202037.96near 52w high · far above SMA50+1.29%-0.55%+5.24%-2.53%+5.37%
201911/09/201931.79neutral+0.82%+0.82%-9.30%-9.30%+1.79%
201811/09/201842.64neutral-4.13%-4.13%-12.45%-12.45%+0.00%
201711/09/201731.08near 52w high+3.06%+5.53%+6.41%+0.00%+6.41%
201612/09/201626.23near 52w high+0.00%+0.00%-15.68%-15.87%+0.95%
Upcoming 17/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.36% · Win 40% · DD -4.35%20 days: Avg -6.52% · Win 20% · DD -10.51%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202517/09/202544.04neutral-1.79%-3.13%-5.18%-8.47%+0.30%
202417/09/202447.33neutral+0.36%+3.04%-6.11%-6.11%+5.83%
202318/09/202336.11neutral-11.30%-7.79%-7.65%-11.94%+0.00%
202216/09/202230.98near 52w low-9.49%-2.77%-8.62%-14.59%+7.97%
202117/09/202156.71volume x2.6+0.61%-5.16%-2.57%-9.33%+0.61%
202017/09/202038.80near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x8.8-2.71%+3.09%+4.10%-2.71%+5.23%
201917/09/201931.79neutral+0.82%-5.11%+3.31%-9.30%+3.31%
201817/09/201840.88neutral+0.00%+0.00%-18.54%-18.54%+0.00%
201718/09/201732.03near 52w high+2.40%+3.26%-8.23%-8.23%+3.26%
201616/09/201626.23near 52w high+0.00%+0.95%-15.68%-15.87%+0.95%
Upcoming 26/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -3.25% · Win 30% · DD -6.52%20 days: Avg -4.16% · Win 40% · DD -9.77%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202526/09/202542.13neutral-0.36%-3.99%+2.23%-4.32%+2.78%
202426/09/202449.51near 52w high · far above SMA50-5.82%-8.30%-7.37%-12.30%+1.17%
202326/09/202332.94far below SMA50-3.46%-1.13%-3.03%-3.46%+2.80%
202226/09/202228.04near 52w low · far below SMA50+2.84%+6.59%+19.79%-5.63%+19.79%
202127/09/202155.58volume x2.5-2.93%-1.19%-10.89%-12.32%+0.00%
202025/09/202037.75near 52w high+5.77%+5.83%+5.03%+0.00%+8.16%
201926/09/201932.05neutral-10.89%-6.77%+1.25%-10.89%+1.50%
201826/09/201840.88neutral+0.00%-8.68%-22.53%-22.53%+0.00%
201726/09/201732.80near 52w high+0.83%+0.83%-10.39%-10.39%+0.83%
201626/09/201626.23near 52w high+0.95%-15.68%-15.68%-15.87%+0.95%
Upcoming 29/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -5.32% · Win 20% · DD -7.89%20 days: Avg -3.48% · Win 40% · DD -9.63%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/09/202542.21neutral-4.50%-1.61%+2.82%-4.50%+2.82%
202430/09/202449.42near 52w high-6.01%-8.36%-8.36%-12.14%+0.00%
202329/09/202332.94far below SMA50-1.76%-0.91%-5.65%-7.04%+1.70%
202229/09/202229.35near 52w low · far below SMA50+2.11%-6.13%+13.19%-10.83%+13.19%
202129/09/202151.11neutral+5.56%+7.45%+1.21%-4.66%+7.45%
202029/09/202038.73near 52w high+3.10%+2.50%-2.43%-2.43%+5.42%
201930/09/201929.88volume x5.5-4.42%+0.00%+11.24%-4.42%+11.24%
201828/09/201840.88neutral-8.07%-18.54%-21.21%-22.53%+0.00%
201729/09/201732.80near 52w high+0.00%-11.13%-9.18%-11.13%+0.00%
201629/09/201626.23near 52w high-16.47%-16.47%-16.47%-16.66%+0.00%
Upcoming 30/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -5.17% · Win 20% · DD -8.11%20 days: Avg -4.52% · Win 40% · DD -10.23%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202530/09/202542.57neutral-3.27%-0.80%+1.22%-5.31%+1.95%
202430/09/202449.42near 52w high-6.01%-8.36%-8.36%-12.14%+0.00%
202329/09/202332.94far below SMA50-1.76%-0.91%-5.65%-7.04%+1.70%
202230/09/202229.79far below SMA50-12.15%-6.01%+7.32%-12.15%+11.51%
202130/09/202151.11neutral+7.45%+7.45%+1.21%-4.66%+7.45%
202030/09/202039.18near 52w high · volume x14.2+1.91%+3.09%-6.23%-6.23%+4.21%
201930/09/201929.88volume x5.5-4.42%+0.00%+11.24%-4.42%+11.24%
201801/10/201840.88neutral-8.68%-18.54%-20.30%-22.53%+0.00%
201729/09/201732.80near 52w high+0.00%-11.13%-9.18%-11.13%+0.00%
201630/09/201626.23near 52w high-16.47%-16.47%-16.47%-16.66%+0.00%
Upcoming 11/10/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.15% · Win 40% · DD -3.56%20 days: Avg +4.68% · Win 60% · DD -5.44%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/10/202540.45neutral+2.35%+6.48%-11.47%-11.69%+7.29%
202411/10/202445.60neutral-2.74%+0.53%+14.89%-4.78%+17.21%
202311/10/202332.22far below SMA50+3.97%-4.97%+2.11%-4.97%+3.97%
202211/10/202229.39far below SMA50+3.64%+13.03%+14.87%-6.77%+14.87%
202111/10/202154.92neutral-8.36%-9.81%-1.68%-11.27%+0.00%
202012/10/202040.83near 52w high-1.08%-0.64%+5.76%-10.02%+5.76%
201911/10/201929.88neutral+4.79%+10.11%+18.67%+0.00%+18.67%
201811/10/201833.30far below SMA50 · volume x1.8+2.25%-3.27%-1.53%-4.89%+2.25%
201711/10/201729.15volume x16.7+0.00%+0.00%+5.21%+0.00%+5.21%
201611/10/201621.91near 52w low+0.00%+0.00%+0.00%+0.00%+0.00%
Upcoming 21/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.44% · Win 70% · DD -3.43%20 days: Avg +3.51% · Win 70% · DD -5.00%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/10/202542.51neutral+1.36%-14.58%-20.44%-20.44%+2.09%
202421/10/202444.20neutral+2.47%+17.08%+21.64%+0.00%+21.64%
202320/10/202331.60near 52w low · far below SMA50-1.65%+4.08%+6.65%-3.10%+6.65%
202221/10/202230.46neutral+4.96%+7.16%+17.17%+0.00%+26.72%
202121/10/202148.73far below SMA50+6.16%+10.81%+9.23%+0.00%+11.04%
202021/10/202040.39near 52w high-9.04%+1.63%+6.81%-9.04%+6.91%
201921/10/201932.45near 52w high+2.43%+9.28%+7.83%+0.00%+9.28%
201822/10/201834.05far below SMA50-4.32%-6.26%-16.45%-16.45%+0.00%
201720/10/201729.15neutral+2.20%+5.21%+3.67%+0.00%+5.21%
201621/10/201621.91near 52w low+0.00%+0.00%-0.96%-0.96%+0.00%
Upcoming 10/11/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.01% · Win 30% · DD -3.90%20 days: Avg +1.83% · Win 70% · DD -4.50%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/11/202535.50near 52w low · far below SMA50-4.45%-5.04%-0.54%-7.63%+2.68%
202411/11/202452.31near 52w high · far above SMA50+2.78%+8.18%+2.76%-3.75%+8.93%
202310/11/202332.90neutral+2.43%+6.35%+13.86%+0.00%+18.09%
202210/11/202236.50far above SMA50 · volume x2.5-0.99%-1.26%+0.68%-3.10%+5.75%
202110/11/202151.67neutral+4.72%-1.26%+5.48%-1.26%+5.48%
202010/11/202043.18near 52w high · far above SMA50-0.09%-3.03%+6.21%-4.90%+6.21%
201911/11/201935.46near 52w high · far above SMA50-1.33%-1.75%-0.99%-1.75%+1.02%
201809/11/201832.79far below SMA50-13.24%-14.33%-20.22%-20.22%+0.00%
201710/11/201730.67neutral-1.47%+2.97%+2.84%-1.47%+2.97%
201610/11/201621.91near 52w low-0.96%-0.96%+8.17%-0.96%+8.17%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· If it holds above SMA50 (-9.2%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -19.8% · from 52w low: +29.0%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-6.94% · -14.83% · -13.51% · -4.30%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-10.45% · -9.21% · -0.82%
Distance from 52w high / low-19.83% · +28.97%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg1.47 · 0.63x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-11.44%
vs SPY (20d)-11.62%
vs SMH (20d)-9.32%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20047.14 · 46.49 · 42.56
52w high / low52.65 · 32.73