🕰️ Time Machine
SW — Smurfit Westrock
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026
Last price (Close)
41.85 -1.37%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in window · in 2 days
25/10/2026
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 20/05/2026
35.53
Days: 108 trading / 156 calendar · return since: +17.79%
Last major high · 26/08/2026
50.52
Days: 41 trading / 58 calendar · return since: -17.16%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 26/08/2026 @ 50.52 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 25/10/2026 | +2 (±2) | In window |
| High 26/08/2026 @ 50.52 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 29/10/2026 | +4 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 20/05/2026 @ 35.53 | Cycle 120 | Trading | 📅 10/11/2026 | +12 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 20/05/2026 @ 35.53 | Cycle 180 | Calendar | 📅 16/11/2026 | +24 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 26/08/2026 @ 50.52 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 19/11/2026 | +19 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 26/08/2026 @ 50.52 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 24/11/2026 | +32 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 20/05/2026 @ 35.53 | Cycle 144 | Trading | 📅 15/12/2026 | +36 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Doji After Run 23/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 25/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 23/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 25/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 20/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 25/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 15/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 05/10/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
In window 25/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.68% · Win 80% · DD -3.36%20 days: Avg +2.14% · Win 70% · DD -5.51%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/10/2025 | 43.07 | neutral | -14.28% | -16.86% | -21.57% | -23.87% | +0.77% |
| 2024 | 25/10/2024 | 45.84 | neutral | +12.26% | +14.29% | +24.31% | -2.47% | +24.31% |
| 2023 | 25/10/2023 | 30.62 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x2.5 | +5.68% | +7.45% | +8.13% | +0.00% | +10.06% |
| 2022 | 25/10/2022 | 33.22 | neutral | -3.76% | +1.63% | +6.47% | -3.76% | +16.20% |
| 2021 | 25/10/2021 | 49.53 | far below SMA50 · volume x1.5 | +4.44% | +9.02% | +3.01% | +0.00% | +9.25% |
| 2020 | 26/10/2020 | 40.57 | near 52w high | -6.36% | +6.43% | +3.93% | -9.44% | +6.43% |
| 2019 | 25/10/2019 | 32.90 | near 52w high · volume x1.6 | +0.79% | +7.78% | +5.90% | +0.00% | +7.78% |
| 2018 | 25/10/2018 | 32.21 | far below SMA50 | -0.90% | +1.80% | -11.49% | -14.59% | +1.80% |
| 2017 | 25/10/2017 | 29.15 | neutral | +5.21% | +5.21% | +3.67% | +0.00% | +5.21% |
| 2016 | 25/10/2016 | 21.91 | near 52w high | +0.00% | +0.00% | -0.96% | -0.96% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 29/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.22% · Win 70% · DD -1.74%20 days: Avg +4.82% · Win 70% · DD -3.29%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/10/2025 | 37.84 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x3.9 | -4.73% | -6.50% | -5.44% | -13.35% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 29/10/2024 | 44.71 | neutral | +15.90% | +13.31% | +24.95% | +0.00% | +27.45% |
| 2023 | 30/10/2023 | 31.08 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +5.86% | +8.43% | +11.78% | +0.00% | +12.58% |
| 2022 | 28/10/2022 | 31.97 | volume x3.6 | +2.10% | +16.77% | +12.95% | +0.00% | +20.74% |
| 2021 | 29/10/2021 | 51.73 | neutral | +4.39% | +1.37% | +1.72% | -1.37% | +4.60% |
| 2020 | 29/10/2020 | 38.54 | neutral | +7.55% | +8.64% | +6.55% | -1.43% | +12.04% |
| 2019 | 29/10/2019 | 33.24 | near 52w high | +6.68% | +6.68% | +4.81% | -0.24% | +6.68% |
| 2018 | 29/10/2018 | 32.58 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.0 | -2.03% | -9.12% | -13.78% | -15.56% | +0.64% |
| 2017 | 30/10/2017 | 29.90 | volume x17.5 | +2.58% | +2.58% | +5.62% | +0.00% | +5.62% |
| 2016 | 28/10/2016 | 21.91 | near 52w high | +0.00% | +0.00% | -0.96% | -0.96% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 10/11/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.01% · Win 30% · DD -3.90%20 days: Avg +1.83% · Win 70% · DD -4.50%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/11/2025 | 35.50 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -4.45% | -5.04% | -0.54% | -7.63% | +2.68% |
| 2024 | 11/11/2024 | 52.31 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +2.78% | +8.18% | +2.76% | -3.75% | +8.93% |
| 2023 | 10/11/2023 | 32.90 | neutral | +2.43% | +6.35% | +13.86% | +0.00% | +18.09% |
| 2022 | 10/11/2022 | 36.50 | far above SMA50 · volume x2.5 | -0.99% | -1.26% | +0.68% | -3.10% | +5.75% |
| 2021 | 10/11/2021 | 51.67 | neutral | +4.72% | -1.26% | +5.48% | -1.26% | +5.48% |
| 2020 | 10/11/2020 | 43.18 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -0.09% | -3.03% | +6.21% | -4.90% | +6.21% |
| 2019 | 11/11/2019 | 35.46 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -1.33% | -1.75% | -0.99% | -1.75% | +1.02% |
| 2018 | 09/11/2018 | 32.79 | far below SMA50 | -13.24% | -14.33% | -20.22% | -20.22% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 10/11/2017 | 30.67 | neutral | -1.47% | +2.97% | +2.84% | -1.47% | +2.97% |
| 2016 | 10/11/2016 | 21.91 | near 52w high | -0.96% | -0.96% | +8.17% | -0.96% | +8.17% |
Upcoming 16/11/2026 · Low Cycle 180/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.47% · Win 80% · DD -1.91%20 days: Avg +5.02% · Win 90% · DD -2.75%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 17/11/2025 | 33.92 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -0.62% | +1.56% | +11.11% | -3.33% | +12.06% |
| 2024 | 15/11/2024 | 51.66 | near 52w high | +9.64% | +6.68% | +5.88% | +0.00% | +9.64% |
| 2023 | 16/11/2023 | 33.70 | neutral | +0.27% | +15.28% | +14.81% | -1.75% | +16.44% |
| 2022 | 16/11/2022 | 35.40 | far above SMA50 · volume x2.2 | +1.81% | +3.53% | +5.79% | -0.08% | +5.79% |
| 2021 | 16/11/2021 | 54.11 | volume x2.4 | -5.71% | -2.75% | +0.72% | -5.71% | +0.72% |
| 2020 | 16/11/2020 | 42.34 | near 52w high · volume x2.9 | -0.42% | +4.84% | +7.58% | -3.01% | +11.39% |
| 2019 | 15/11/2019 | 34.99 | near 52w high · volume x2.5 | -0.43% | +2.37% | +8.60% | -0.43% | +8.60% |
| 2018 | 16/11/2018 | 28.45 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -1.27% | +0.32% | -11.74% | -11.74% | +0.32% |
| 2017 | 16/11/2017 | 30.67 | volume x1.7 | -1.47% | +2.84% | +2.51% | -1.47% | +2.97% |
| 2016 | 16/11/2016 | 21.70 | near 52w high | +0.00% | +0.00% | +4.93% | +0.00% | +9.22% |
Upcoming 19/11/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.15% · Win 70% · DD -1.91%20 days: Avg +4.25% · Win 70% · DD -2.85%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 19/11/2025 | 33.67 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +6.27% | +8.26% | +14.70% | -2.61% | +14.70% |
| 2024 | 19/11/2024 | 53.16 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +4.46% | +2.65% | -2.67% | -2.67% | +6.55% |
| 2023 | 20/11/2023 | 33.70 | neutral | +3.09% | +15.19% | +17.54% | -1.75% | +17.54% |
| 2022 | 18/11/2022 | 35.69 | far above SMA50 · volume x10.2 | +1.18% | +2.83% | +1.88% | -0.90% | +4.93% |
| 2021 | 19/11/2021 | 52.92 | volume x4.5 | -0.57% | -0.70% | -6.69% | -6.69% | +2.99% |
| 2020 | 19/11/2020 | 41.65 | near 52w high · volume x3.8 | -2.16% | +6.19% | +11.40% | -2.16% | +12.36% |
| 2019 | 19/11/2019 | 34.84 | near 52w high · volume x6.9 | +0.00% | +0.77% | +9.07% | +0.00% | +9.07% |
| 2018 | 19/11/2018 | 28.45 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -1.27% | -8.05% | -11.74% | -11.74% | +0.32% |
| 2017 | 20/11/2017 | 30.22 | neutral | +4.50% | +4.37% | +4.04% | +0.00% | +4.50% |
| 2016 | 18/11/2016 | 21.70 | near 52w high | +0.00% | +0.00% | +4.93% | +0.00% | +9.22% |
Upcoming 24/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.36% · Win 70% · DD -1.58%20 days: Avg +5.68% · Win 70% · DD -2.67%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/11/2025 | 33.71 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +2.20% | +4.75% | +13.44% | +0.00% | +14.57% |
| 2024 | 25/11/2024 | 56.25 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -1.83% | -5.01% | -3.06% | -9.01% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 24/11/2023 | 33.79 | neutral | +14.97% | +11.99% | +14.38% | +0.00% | +17.22% |
| 2022 | 23/11/2022 | 36.04 | far above SMA50 | +1.69% | -0.58% | -0.67% | -0.67% | +3.91% |
| 2021 | 24/11/2021 | 51.02 | neutral | +3.14% | +6.82% | +2.55% | -3.21% | +6.82% |
| 2020 | 24/11/2020 | 41.55 | near 52w high | +3.27% | +9.53% | +13.24% | -1.93% | +13.24% |
| 2019 | 25/11/2019 | 34.84 | near 52w high | +2.81% | +0.77% | +9.50% | +0.00% | +9.50% |
| 2018 | 23/11/2018 | 28.51 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x2.5 | -3.05% | -8.24% | -7.61% | -11.93% | +0.11% |
| 2017 | 24/11/2017 | 30.22 | neutral | +4.37% | +4.37% | +10.09% | +0.00% | +10.09% |
| 2016 | 23/11/2016 | 21.70 | near 52w high | +0.00% | +9.22% | +4.93% | +0.00% | +9.22% |
Upcoming 15/12/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.02% · Win 70% · DD -2.03%20 days: Avg +6.41% · Win 70% · DD -2.62%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 15/12/2025 | 37.54 | neutral | +1.47% | +3.46% | +13.85% | +0.00% | +14.49% |
| 2024 | 16/12/2024 | 54.70 | near 52w high | -1.41% | -1.54% | -4.53% | -6.44% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 15/12/2023 | 38.69 | far above SMA50 · volume x2.2 | -0.10% | +1.86% | -3.23% | -3.23% | +6.41% |
| 2022 | 15/12/2022 | 37.45 | far above SMA50 | -4.41% | -0.32% | +13.46% | -4.41% | +13.46% |
| 2021 | 15/12/2021 | 54.50 | neutral | -3.71% | +1.47% | +5.34% | -9.39% | +7.01% |
| 2020 | 15/12/2020 | 45.20 | near 52w high | +2.65% | +4.09% | +10.27% | +0.00% | +10.27% |
| 2019 | 16/12/2019 | 38.00 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.7 | +0.39% | +0.39% | -2.63% | -2.74% | +2.26% |
| 2018 | 14/12/2018 | 25.11 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +4.90% | +4.86% | +10.23% | +0.00% | +11.59% |
| 2017 | 15/12/2017 | 31.44 | near 52w high · volume x10.3 | +5.82% | +5.88% | +8.08% | +0.00% | +8.08% |
| 2016 | 15/12/2016 | 22.77 | near 52w high | +0.00% | +0.00% | +13.31% | +0.00% | +13.31% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-6.2%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -20.5% · from 52w low: +27.9%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +1.68% · +1.36% · -9.83% · -11.13% |
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -0.52% · -6.16% · -3.71% |
| Distance from 52w high / low | -20.51% · +27.87% |
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 1.23 · 0.81x |
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -4.44% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -8.35% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +3.26% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 42.07 · 44.60 · 43.46 |
| 52w high / low | 52.65 · 32.73 |