🕰️ Time Machine

SW — Smurfit Westrock

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026

Last price (Close)
41.85 -1.37%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in window · in 2 days
25/10/2026
Last window
—
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 20/05/2026
35.53
Days: 108 trading / 156 calendar · return since: +17.79%
Last major high · 26/08/2026
50.52
Days: 41 trading / 58 calendar · return since: -17.16%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 26/08/2026 @ 50.52Cycle 60Calendar📅 25/10/2026+2 (±2)In window
High 26/08/2026 @ 50.52Cycle 45Trading📅 29/10/2026+4 (±2)Upcoming
Low 20/05/2026 @ 35.53Cycle 120Trading📅 10/11/2026+12 (±3)Upcoming
Low 20/05/2026 @ 35.53Cycle 180Calendar📅 16/11/2026+24 (±3)Upcoming
High 26/08/2026 @ 50.52Cycle 60Trading📅 19/11/2026+19 (±2)Upcoming
High 26/08/2026 @ 50.52Cycle 90Calendar📅 24/11/2026+32 (±3)Upcoming
Low 20/05/2026 @ 35.53Cycle 144Trading📅 15/12/2026+36 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

● Doji After Run 23/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 25/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 23/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 25/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 20/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 25/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 15/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 05/10/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

In window 25/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.68% · Win 80% · DD -3.36%20 days: Avg +2.14% · Win 70% · DD -5.51%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202524/10/202543.07neutral-14.28%-16.86%-21.57%-23.87%+0.77%
202425/10/202445.84neutral+12.26%+14.29%+24.31%-2.47%+24.31%
202325/10/202330.62near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x2.5+5.68%+7.45%+8.13%+0.00%+10.06%
202225/10/202233.22neutral-3.76%+1.63%+6.47%-3.76%+16.20%
202125/10/202149.53far below SMA50 · volume x1.5+4.44%+9.02%+3.01%+0.00%+9.25%
202026/10/202040.57near 52w high-6.36%+6.43%+3.93%-9.44%+6.43%
201925/10/201932.90near 52w high · volume x1.6+0.79%+7.78%+5.90%+0.00%+7.78%
201825/10/201832.21far below SMA50-0.90%+1.80%-11.49%-14.59%+1.80%
201725/10/201729.15neutral+5.21%+5.21%+3.67%+0.00%+5.21%
201625/10/201621.91near 52w high+0.00%+0.00%-0.96%-0.96%+0.00%
Upcoming 29/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.22% · Win 70% · DD -1.74%20 days: Avg +4.82% · Win 70% · DD -3.29%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/10/202537.84near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x3.9-4.73%-6.50%-5.44%-13.35%+0.00%
202429/10/202444.71neutral+15.90%+13.31%+24.95%+0.00%+27.45%
202330/10/202331.08near 52w low · far below SMA50+5.86%+8.43%+11.78%+0.00%+12.58%
202228/10/202231.97volume x3.6+2.10%+16.77%+12.95%+0.00%+20.74%
202129/10/202151.73neutral+4.39%+1.37%+1.72%-1.37%+4.60%
202029/10/202038.54neutral+7.55%+8.64%+6.55%-1.43%+12.04%
201929/10/201933.24near 52w high+6.68%+6.68%+4.81%-0.24%+6.68%
201829/10/201832.58far below SMA50 · volume x2.0-2.03%-9.12%-13.78%-15.56%+0.64%
201730/10/201729.90volume x17.5+2.58%+2.58%+5.62%+0.00%+5.62%
201628/10/201621.91near 52w high+0.00%+0.00%-0.96%-0.96%+0.00%
Upcoming 10/11/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.01% · Win 30% · DD -3.90%20 days: Avg +1.83% · Win 70% · DD -4.50%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/11/202535.50near 52w low · far below SMA50-4.45%-5.04%-0.54%-7.63%+2.68%
202411/11/202452.31near 52w high · far above SMA50+2.78%+8.18%+2.76%-3.75%+8.93%
202310/11/202332.90neutral+2.43%+6.35%+13.86%+0.00%+18.09%
202210/11/202236.50far above SMA50 · volume x2.5-0.99%-1.26%+0.68%-3.10%+5.75%
202110/11/202151.67neutral+4.72%-1.26%+5.48%-1.26%+5.48%
202010/11/202043.18near 52w high · far above SMA50-0.09%-3.03%+6.21%-4.90%+6.21%
201911/11/201935.46near 52w high · far above SMA50-1.33%-1.75%-0.99%-1.75%+1.02%
201809/11/201832.79far below SMA50-13.24%-14.33%-20.22%-20.22%+0.00%
201710/11/201730.67neutral-1.47%+2.97%+2.84%-1.47%+2.97%
201610/11/201621.91near 52w high-0.96%-0.96%+8.17%-0.96%+8.17%
Upcoming 16/11/2026 · Low Cycle 180/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.47% · Win 80% · DD -1.91%20 days: Avg +5.02% · Win 90% · DD -2.75%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202517/11/202533.92near 52w low · far below SMA50-0.62%+1.56%+11.11%-3.33%+12.06%
202415/11/202451.66near 52w high+9.64%+6.68%+5.88%+0.00%+9.64%
202316/11/202333.70neutral+0.27%+15.28%+14.81%-1.75%+16.44%
202216/11/202235.40far above SMA50 · volume x2.2+1.81%+3.53%+5.79%-0.08%+5.79%
202116/11/202154.11volume x2.4-5.71%-2.75%+0.72%-5.71%+0.72%
202016/11/202042.34near 52w high · volume x2.9-0.42%+4.84%+7.58%-3.01%+11.39%
201915/11/201934.99near 52w high · volume x2.5-0.43%+2.37%+8.60%-0.43%+8.60%
201816/11/201828.45near 52w low · far below SMA50-1.27%+0.32%-11.74%-11.74%+0.32%
201716/11/201730.67volume x1.7-1.47%+2.84%+2.51%-1.47%+2.97%
201616/11/201621.70near 52w high+0.00%+0.00%+4.93%+0.00%+9.22%
Upcoming 19/11/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.15% · Win 70% · DD -1.91%20 days: Avg +4.25% · Win 70% · DD -2.85%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202519/11/202533.67near 52w low · far below SMA50+6.27%+8.26%+14.70%-2.61%+14.70%
202419/11/202453.16near 52w high · far above SMA50+4.46%+2.65%-2.67%-2.67%+6.55%
202320/11/202333.70neutral+3.09%+15.19%+17.54%-1.75%+17.54%
202218/11/202235.69far above SMA50 · volume x10.2+1.18%+2.83%+1.88%-0.90%+4.93%
202119/11/202152.92volume x4.5-0.57%-0.70%-6.69%-6.69%+2.99%
202019/11/202041.65near 52w high · volume x3.8-2.16%+6.19%+11.40%-2.16%+12.36%
201919/11/201934.84near 52w high · volume x6.9+0.00%+0.77%+9.07%+0.00%+9.07%
201819/11/201828.45near 52w low · far below SMA50-1.27%-8.05%-11.74%-11.74%+0.32%
201720/11/201730.22neutral+4.50%+4.37%+4.04%+0.00%+4.50%
201618/11/201621.70near 52w high+0.00%+0.00%+4.93%+0.00%+9.22%
Upcoming 24/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.36% · Win 70% · DD -1.58%20 days: Avg +5.68% · Win 70% · DD -2.67%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202524/11/202533.71near 52w low · far below SMA50+2.20%+4.75%+13.44%+0.00%+14.57%
202425/11/202456.25near 52w high · far above SMA50-1.83%-5.01%-3.06%-9.01%+0.00%
202324/11/202333.79neutral+14.97%+11.99%+14.38%+0.00%+17.22%
202223/11/202236.04far above SMA50+1.69%-0.58%-0.67%-0.67%+3.91%
202124/11/202151.02neutral+3.14%+6.82%+2.55%-3.21%+6.82%
202024/11/202041.55near 52w high+3.27%+9.53%+13.24%-1.93%+13.24%
201925/11/201934.84near 52w high+2.81%+0.77%+9.50%+0.00%+9.50%
201823/11/201828.51near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x2.5-3.05%-8.24%-7.61%-11.93%+0.11%
201724/11/201730.22neutral+4.37%+4.37%+10.09%+0.00%+10.09%
201623/11/201621.70near 52w high+0.00%+9.22%+4.93%+0.00%+9.22%
Upcoming 15/12/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.02% · Win 70% · DD -2.03%20 days: Avg +6.41% · Win 70% · DD -2.62%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202515/12/202537.54neutral+1.47%+3.46%+13.85%+0.00%+14.49%
202416/12/202454.70near 52w high-1.41%-1.54%-4.53%-6.44%+0.00%
202315/12/202338.69far above SMA50 · volume x2.2-0.10%+1.86%-3.23%-3.23%+6.41%
202215/12/202237.45far above SMA50-4.41%-0.32%+13.46%-4.41%+13.46%
202115/12/202154.50neutral-3.71%+1.47%+5.34%-9.39%+7.01%
202015/12/202045.20near 52w high+2.65%+4.09%+10.27%+0.00%+10.27%
201916/12/201938.00near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.7+0.39%+0.39%-2.63%-2.74%+2.26%
201814/12/201825.11near 52w low · far below SMA50+4.90%+4.86%+10.23%+0.00%+11.59%
201715/12/201731.44near 52w high · volume x10.3+5.82%+5.88%+8.08%+0.00%+8.08%
201615/12/201622.77near 52w high+0.00%+0.00%+13.31%+0.00%+13.31%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-6.2%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -20.5% · from 52w low: +27.9%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+1.68% · +1.36% · -9.83% · -11.13%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-0.52% · -6.16% · -3.71%
Distance from 52w high / low-20.51% · +27.87%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg1.23 · 0.81x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-4.44%
vs SPY (20d)-8.35%
vs SMH (20d)+3.26%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20042.07 · 44.60 · 43.46
52w high / low52.65 · 32.73