🕰️ Time Machine

TALO — Talos Energy, Inc.

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026

Last price (Close)
17.54 +0.17%
Next window · Cycle 120 · in 7 days
17/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 45 · 02/09/2026
since +1.80%
Trend
Strong uptrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 30/06/2026
12.84
Days: 50 trading / 72 calendar · return since: +36.60%
Last major high · 20/05/2026
17.05
Days: 77 trading / 113 calendar · return since: +2.87%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 30/06/2026 @ 12.84Cycle 45Trading📅 02/09/2026-5 (±2)Passed
High 20/05/2026 @ 17.05Cycle 120Calendar📅 17/09/2026+7 (±3)Upcoming
Low 30/06/2026 @ 12.84Cycle 60Trading📅 24/09/2026+10 (±2)Upcoming
Low 30/06/2026 @ 12.84Cycle 90Calendar📅 28/09/2026+18 (±3)Upcoming
High 20/05/2026 @ 17.05Cycle 90Trading📅 29/09/2026+13 (±3)Upcoming
High 20/05/2026 @ 17.05Cycle 144Calendar📅 11/10/2026+31 (±3)Upcoming
Low 30/06/2026 @ 12.84Cycle 90Trading📅 05/11/2026+40 (±3)Upcoming
High 20/05/2026 @ 17.05Cycle 120Trading📅 10/11/2026+43 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Doji After Run 03/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 02/09/2026
NR7 Compression 02/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 02/09/2026
Gap Day 31/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 02/09/2026
Shooting Star 25/08/2026
Bearish Engulfing 21/08/2026
Shooting Star 20/08/2026
Failed Breakout 14/08/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 02/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.93% · Win 38% · DD -6.21%20 days: Avg -3.31% · Win 25% · DD -11.57%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202502/09/20259.98far above SMA50-4.61%-3.41%-3.91%-10.52%+2.61%
202403/09/202411.10volume x1.7-2.79%+3.87%-6.04%-9.46%+3.87%
202301/09/202317.32far above SMA50-3.70%-5.66%-10.33%-10.33%+0.00%
202202/09/202221.02far above SMA50-1.95%-3.85%-10.85%-28.21%+6.09%
202102/09/202112.95neutral-3.63%+0.69%+11.66%-5.02%+11.66%
202002/09/20206.89far below SMA50-15.38%-2.47%-7.55%-19.30%+0.00%
201903/09/201918.98far below SMA50+17.12%+23.76%+3.11%+0.00%+34.77%
201831/08/201834.52neutral+1.59%-5.50%-2.58%-9.70%+4.40%
Upcoming 17/09/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -4.83% · Win 38% · DD -11.76%20 days: Avg -5.56% · Win 12% · DD -13.40%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202517/09/20259.55neutral+4.71%+1.78%-1.88%-6.49%+7.23%
202417/09/202411.53neutral-4.68%-9.54%-14.40%-14.40%+0.00%
202318/09/202316.34neutral+1.96%-4.96%-3.79%-9.00%+3.30%
202216/09/202220.31far above SMA50 · volume x5.3-22.75%-18.02%-2.17%-25.70%+7.09%
202117/09/202113.04far above SMA50 · volume x3.5+4.83%+10.89%-3.83%-5.67%+10.89%
202017/09/20206.72volume x1.5-17.26%-5.21%+7.74%-17.26%+7.74%
201917/09/201923.49far above SMA50-5.15%-16.69%-21.71%-23.24%+2.64%
201817/09/201832.62neutral-0.25%+3.10%-4.41%-5.46%+3.71%
Upcoming 24/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.78% · Win 50% · DD -6.31%20 days: Avg +1.43% · Win 25% · DD -9.48%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202524/09/202510.00far above SMA50-2.80%+1.10%-7.30%-9.50%+2.40%
202424/09/202410.99neutral-5.10%-1.09%-11.46%-12.83%+4.73%
202325/09/202316.66neutral-6.78%-3.96%-5.88%-10.74%+1.32%
202223/09/202215.69far below SMA50+6.12%+37.22%+31.61%-3.82%+38.62%
202124/09/202113.67far above SMA50+5.78%-1.76%-7.61%-9.58%+5.78%
202024/09/20205.56far below SMA50+14.57%+29.68%+32.55%+0.00%+32.55%
201924/09/201922.28neutral-12.16%-16.88%-12.57%-19.08%+0.00%
201824/09/201832.54neutral+3.35%+1.94%-7.93%-10.26%+3.96%
Upcoming 28/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.13% · Win 38% · DD -5.46%20 days: Avg +0.94% · Win 50% · DD -8.56%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/09/20259.70neutral+5.57%-1.86%+0.41%-6.70%+5.57%
202427/09/202410.19near 52w low+10.79%+8.64%+2.85%-5.99%+12.95%
202328/09/202316.88neutral-11.91%-6.16%-7.64%-11.91%+0.00%
202228/09/202216.77far below SMA50+24.93%+24.09%+27.67%-0.89%+29.70%
202128/09/202113.49far above SMA50+4.89%-2.00%-0.52%-8.38%+7.19%
202028/09/20206.25far below SMA50+10.08%+11.36%+10.24%-0.64%+20.32%
201927/09/201921.23neutral-10.79%-12.06%-6.55%-15.07%+0.00%
201828/09/201832.82neutral+1.89%-4.97%-18.92%-18.92%+3.08%
Upcoming 29/09/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.59% · Win 38% · DD -5.27%20 days: Avg -0.77% · Win 38% · DD -8.05%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/09/20259.70neutral+5.57%-1.86%+0.41%-6.70%+5.57%
202430/09/202410.35neutral+11.21%+4.15%-2.51%-7.44%+11.21%
202329/09/202316.44neutral-7.60%-4.01%-5.23%-9.55%+1.28%
202229/09/202216.62far below SMA50+30.87%+29.72%+26.96%+0.00%+30.87%
202129/09/202113.69far above SMA50-3.94%-7.89%-8.98%-9.72%+5.62%
202029/09/20206.26far below SMA50-0.80%+7.83%+5.11%-0.80%+20.13%
201930/09/201920.33neutral-5.21%-10.28%-2.95%-11.31%+0.00%
201828/09/201832.82neutral+1.89%-4.97%-18.92%-18.92%+3.08%
Upcoming 11/10/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.67% · Win 38% · DD -6.21%20 days: Avg +1.42% · Win 50% · DD -10.75%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/10/20259.06neutral+0.77%+7.73%+14.57%-0.11%+14.57%
202411/10/202411.07neutral-12.29%-5.33%+6.87%-13.46%+6.87%
202311/10/202315.93neutral+0.19%-1.32%-14.69%-14.69%+4.52%
202211/10/202220.74neutral-4.82%+2.12%+2.89%-4.82%+5.06%
202111/10/202113.70far above SMA50-9.78%-2.92%-4.74%-9.78%+0.00%
202012/10/20206.96neutral-1.01%-1.01%+0.00%-16.52%+8.05%
201911/10/201918.67neutral-1.77%+6.27%+30.21%-2.89%+30.21%
201811/10/201830.84near 52w low-5.32%-10.93%-23.74%-23.74%+1.75%
Upcoming 05/11/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.01% · Win 38% · DD -8.16%20 days: Avg +3.06% · Win 38% · DD -10.71%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202505/11/20259.56neutral+8.68%+12.24%+23.22%+0.00%+23.22%
202405/11/202410.91volume x1.6+9.72%+1.10%-2.66%-2.66%+9.72%
202306/11/202314.62neutral-2.39%-0.14%-11.70%-11.70%+1.57%
202204/11/202221.36neutral-2.43%-6.04%-9.69%-10.96%+1.97%
202105/11/202113.01neutral-19.29%-25.83%-19.29%-27.13%+0.31%
202005/11/20206.05neutral+16.86%+37.19%+66.45%-3.97%+66.45%
201905/11/201924.07far above SMA50-1.20%-2.45%+1.33%-3.61%+1.33%
201805/11/201825.38near 52w low · far below SMA50-11.31%-16.12%-23.21%-25.65%+0.83%
Upcoming 10/11/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.16% · Win 50% · DD -5.73%20 days: Avg -1.96% · Win 38% · DD -9.78%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/11/202510.32neutral+0.78%+9.01%+14.83%+0.00%+14.83%
202411/11/202411.77neutral-3.06%-3.99%-11.64%-16.06%+1.70%
202310/11/202314.15far below SMA50+3.18%-3.11%-8.13%-13.29%+4.95%
202210/11/202219.98neutral+0.80%+1.85%-9.16%-9.16%+5.81%
202110/11/202110.84far below SMA50 · volume x1.7-3.41%+1.29%-5.07%-12.55%+1.48%
202010/11/20207.45far above SMA50+15.17%+34.90%+12.48%-5.10%+41.07%
201911/11/201923.69far above SMA50-0.97%-0.80%+8.95%-2.07%+8.95%
201809/11/201822.81near 52w low · far below SMA50-6.23%-13.90%-17.93%-19.99%+0.00%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+14.0%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -4.9% · from 52w low: +97.7%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+1.80% · +4.90% · +13.16% · +26.55%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+3.78% · +13.97% · +26.09%
Distance from 52w high / low-4.88% · +97.75%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.62 · 1.03x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+15.24%
vs SPY (20d)+15.05%
vs SMH (20d)+17.36%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20016.90 · 15.39 · 13.91
52w high / low18.44 · 8.87