🕰️ Time Machine

TCBI — Texas Capital Bancshares

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 26/10/2026

Last price (Close)
101.61 -0.37%
Next window · Cycle 120 · in 18 days
13/11/2026
Last window · Cycle 90 · 21/10/2026
since +8.69%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 23/07/2026
96.96
Days: 66 trading / 95 calendar · return since: +4.80%
Last major high · 16/07/2026
107.78
Days: 71 trading / 102 calendar · return since: -5.72%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 23/07/2026 @ 96.96Cycle 60Trading📅 16/10/2026-6 (±2)Passed
Low 23/07/2026 @ 96.96Cycle 90Calendar📅 21/10/2026-5 (±3)Passed
High 16/07/2026 @ 107.78Cycle 120Calendar📅 13/11/2026+18 (±3)Upcoming
Low 23/07/2026 @ 96.96Cycle 120Calendar📅 20/11/2026+25 (±3)Upcoming
High 16/07/2026 @ 107.78Cycle 90Trading📅 20/11/2026+19 (±3)Upcoming
Low 23/07/2026 @ 96.96Cycle 90Trading📅 30/11/2026+24 (±3)Upcoming
High 16/07/2026 @ 107.78Cycle 144Calendar📅 07/12/2026+42 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

● Shooting Star 26/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 21/10/2026
● Failed Breakout 26/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 21/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 20/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 21/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 19/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 21/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 08/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 29/09/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 16/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.05% · Win 56% · DD -5.44%20 days: Avg +3.45% · Win 56% · DD -6.23%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202516/10/202577.08volume x4.8+9.65%+6.56%+9.82%+0.00%+13.36%
202416/10/202478.46near 52w high · far above SMA50-1.29%-1.40%+13.57%-3.19%+13.57%
202316/10/202358.51neutral-7.91%-6.29%-7.04%-8.43%+2.70%
202217/10/202264.46neutral-11.56%-6.92%-8.70%-13.11%+0.42%
202115/10/202160.21neutral+0.55%+0.65%+4.92%-3.35%+6.33%
202016/10/202037.97far above SMA50+12.67%+18.51%+35.63%-1.74%+38.64%
201916/10/201954.39neutral+3.03%+2.11%+6.95%-0.61%+9.49%
201816/10/201876.23near 52w low · far below SMA50-15.18%-15.24%-19.98%-19.98%+1.21%
201716/10/201785.20neutral+2.00%+1.58%-4.11%-5.63%+3.29%
Passed 21/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.23% · Win 78% · DD -1.32%20 days: Avg +5.42% · Win 78% · DD -2.33%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/10/202581.69neutral+2.68%+2.53%+2.61%+0.00%+6.97%
202421/10/202476.63far above SMA50+2.02%-0.87%+12.24%-0.87%+16.29%
202320/10/202353.58far below SMA50 · volume x1.7+1.70%+7.82%+2.58%+0.00%+7.82%
202221/10/202256.01volume x1.9+7.46%+4.55%+0.45%-0.21%+10.27%
202121/10/202159.86volume x1.8+2.32%+3.68%+0.79%-2.79%+6.95%
202021/10/202038.52far above SMA50+14.20%+14.15%+38.60%+0.00%+42.03%
201921/10/201955.08volume x1.9+1.94%+6.32%+4.07%-1.85%+8.12%
201822/10/201864.05near 52w low · far below SMA50+1.22%+2.25%-5.46%-6.60%+3.47%
201720/10/201788.00far above SMA50-0.17%-2.33%-7.10%-8.64%+0.00%
Upcoming 13/11/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.23% · Win 70% · DD -3.18%20 days: Avg +3.08% · Win 60% · DD -4.49%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202513/11/202584.65neutral+0.20%+6.52%+12.72%-2.37%+14.60%
202413/11/202489.11near 52w high · far above SMA50-5.85%+0.12%-4.02%-5.85%+0.64%
202313/11/202354.39neutral+0.61%+0.64%+5.07%-1.73%+6.66%
202214/11/202258.85neutral-3.48%-0.75%-2.84%-5.03%+1.94%
202112/11/202163.17neutral-7.96%-8.80%-8.11%-12.74%+0.11%
202013/11/202051.50far above SMA50+5.24%+8.54%+11.26%+0.00%+12.47%
201913/11/201958.17neutral-1.75%+0.02%+6.84%-2.91%+9.15%
201813/11/201861.00near 52w low · far below SMA50-5.10%-3.77%-13.08%-13.08%+0.00%
201713/11/201781.70neutral+1.47%+6.43%+10.59%-1.16%+11.26%
201614/11/201669.00near 52w high+6.45%+3.33%+12.32%+0.00%+13.77%
Upcoming 20/11/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.86% · Win 80% · DD -1.68%20 days: Avg +3.35% · Win 60% · DD -3.90%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202520/11/202584.82neutral+6.31%+10.16%+9.16%+0.00%+14.37%
202420/11/202483.90neutral+6.34%+3.81%-8.49%-8.49%+6.89%
202320/11/202354.72neutral+0.04%+3.65%+16.83%-2.32%+16.83%
202221/11/202256.80neutral+2.83%+0.55%-1.94%-3.56%+5.62%
202119/11/202158.14volume x1.7-0.91%+0.26%-2.41%-5.19%+4.45%
202020/11/202054.20far above SMA50+3.14%+6.35%+7.66%+0.00%+10.55%
201920/11/201957.15neutral+1.80%-0.04%+4.97%-1.17%+11.09%
201820/11/201857.89near 52w low · far below SMA50+1.40%-3.54%-13.73%-14.01%+4.49%
201720/11/201782.90neutral+4.89%+5.85%+10.86%-1.33%+11.70%
201621/11/201673.45near 52w high-2.93%+1.57%+10.55%-2.93%+10.55%
Upcoming 30/11/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.40% · Win 60% · DD -3.16%20 days: Avg +0.95% · Win 60% · DD -4.85%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202501/12/202591.41near 52w high+2.06%+5.13%+0.56%-0.59%+6.13%
202429/11/202488.45near 52w high · far above SMA50-0.84%-4.56%-12.13%-13.21%+0.62%
202330/11/202354.88neutral+4.61%+14.27%+17.77%+0.00%+19.31%
202230/11/202259.99neutral-4.55%-5.82%+0.80%-8.68%+0.80%
202130/11/202156.32near 52w low+4.12%+5.54%+7.35%-2.13%+7.35%
202030/11/202055.90far above SMA50+3.11%+2.50%+4.35%+0.00%+7.19%
201929/11/201957.80neutral+0.16%+5.07%-2.02%-2.28%+9.84%
201830/11/201859.66near 52w low · far below SMA50-7.88%-12.34%-13.49%-18.72%+1.39%
201730/11/201790.35near 52w high · volume x1.6-0.55%-1.94%-1.60%-2.88%+3.54%
201630/11/201672.75near 52w high+3.30%+6.12%+7.97%+0.00%+11.62%
Upcoming 07/12/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.01% · Win 60% · DD -3.44%20 days: Avg +2.67% · Win 70% · DD -4.30%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202508/12/202593.29near 52w high+3.01%+0.14%+2.27%-2.95%+3.99%
202406/12/202487.71near 52w high-3.75%-12.47%-12.58%-12.58%+0.00%
202307/12/202357.41neutral+9.23%+10.31%+10.36%-0.45%+14.06%
202207/12/202257.26neutral-1.33%-0.72%+7.47%-4.33%+7.47%
202107/12/202158.64neutral+1.36%-0.43%+7.54%-3.24%+7.79%
202007/12/202057.64far above SMA50-0.59%+1.23%+12.07%-1.51%+12.07%
201906/12/201957.89neutral+4.91%+2.35%-3.99%-3.99%+9.67%
201807/12/201855.47near 52w low · far below SMA50-6.76%-10.19%-3.53%-12.58%+0.00%
201707/12/201789.85neutral-1.39%+4.12%+3.23%-1.39%+4.12%
201607/12/201675.15near 52w high+2.73%+5.72%+3.86%+0.00%+8.05%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp rally recently — watch for follow-through.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+6.4%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -6.7% · from 52w low: +25.0%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+12.49% · +13.43% · +7.30% · +3.00%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+9.25% · +6.37% · +3.04%
Distance from 52w high / low-6.71% · +25.03%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg3.05 · 0.89x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+10.60%
vs SPY (20d)+7.33%
vs SMH (20d)+17.03%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20093.01 · 95.53 · 98.61
52w high / low108.92 · 81.27