🕰️ Time Machine
THC — Tenet Health
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 26/10/2026
Last price (Close)
268.95 +0.19%
Next window · Fib 21 · in window
26/10/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 25/10/2026
since +0.00%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 25/09/2026
248.86
Days: 21 trading / 31 calendar · return since: +8.07%
Last major high · 24/08/2026
283.05
Days: 44 trading / 63 calendar · return since: -4.98%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 25/09/2026 @ 248.86 | Fib 13 | Trading | 📅 14/10/2026 | -8 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 25/09/2026 @ 248.86 | Fib 21 | Calendar | 📅 16/10/2026 | -10 (±1) | Passed |
| High 24/08/2026 @ 283.05 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 23/10/2026 | -3 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 25/09/2026 @ 248.86 | Cycle 30 | Calendar | 📅 25/10/2026 | -1 (±2) | In window |
| Low 25/09/2026 @ 248.86 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 26/10/2026 | +0 (±1) | In window |
| High 24/08/2026 @ 283.05 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 27/10/2026 | +1 (±2) | In window |
| Low 25/09/2026 @ 248.86 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 06/11/2026 | +9 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 25/09/2026 @ 248.86 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 09/11/2026 | +14 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 24/08/2026 @ 283.05 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 17/11/2026 | +16 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 24/08/2026 @ 283.05 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 22/11/2026 | +27 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 25/09/2026 @ 248.86 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 24/11/2026 | +29 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 25/09/2026 @ 248.86 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 30/11/2026 | +24 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 25/09/2026 @ 248.86 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 21/12/2026 | +39 (±2) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Bearish Engulfing 16/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 16/10/2026
● Failed Breakout 16/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 16/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 13/10/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 14/10/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 06/10/2026
● Shooting Star 01/10/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 14/10/2026 · Low Fib 13/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.51% · Win 44% · DD -6.33%20 days: Avg +7.92% · Win 78% · DD -7.01%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 14/10/2025 | 196.33 | neutral | +3.07% | +4.22% | +1.01% | -0.84% | +10.11% |
| 2024 | 14/10/2024 | 155.29 | neutral | +2.85% | -10.17% | +7.44% | -10.17% | +8.52% |
| 2023 | 13/10/2023 | 54.09 | far below SMA50 | +0.89% | -1.79% | -0.55% | -2.64% | +4.44% |
| 2022 | 14/10/2022 | 52.06 | far below SMA50 | -27.97% | -13.89% | -15.92% | -27.97% | +6.49% |
| 2021 | 14/10/2021 | 62.44 | far below SMA50 | +12.83% | +14.94% | +27.07% | +0.00% | +28.01% |
| 2020 | 14/10/2020 | 28.48 | neutral | -0.11% | -12.25% | +11.03% | -13.83% | +17.21% |
| 2019 | 14/10/2019 | 22.09 | neutral | +10.82% | +14.71% | +35.72% | +0.00% | +35.81% |
| 2018 | 15/10/2018 | 25.62 | far below SMA50 · volume x3.3 | +2.54% | -1.99% | +0.43% | -3.83% | +6.17% |
| 2017 | 13/10/2017 | 13.15 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.0 | +11.48% | +1.67% | +5.10% | -3.80% | +11.71% |
Passed 16/10/2026 · Low Fib 21/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.52% · Win 44% · DD -7.92%20 days: Avg +3.71% · Win 56% · DD -8.92%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/10/2025 | 199.13 | near 52w high | +3.91% | +4.77% | -1.24% | -2.23% | +8.56% |
| 2024 | 16/10/2024 | 164.03 | near 52w high | -3.91% | -3.63% | -0.67% | -14.96% | +2.74% |
| 2023 | 16/10/2023 | 54.13 | far below SMA50 | +0.98% | -1.63% | +1.37% | -2.72% | +4.36% |
| 2022 | 17/10/2022 | 54.74 | volume x1.6 | -28.74% | -18.96% | -23.51% | -31.49% | +1.28% |
| 2021 | 15/10/2021 | 63.56 | neutral | +11.12% | +12.74% | +24.50% | -0.93% | +25.76% |
| 2020 | 16/10/2020 | 28.96 | neutral | +0.69% | -15.26% | +7.56% | -15.26% | +15.26% |
| 2019 | 16/10/2019 | 22.98 | neutral | +9.05% | +14.84% | +29.03% | +0.00% | +30.55% |
| 2018 | 16/10/2018 | 26.67 | far below SMA50 | -2.85% | -4.95% | -10.65% | -10.65% | +1.99% |
| 2017 | 16/10/2017 | 12.91 | far below SMA50 | +13.79% | +7.36% | +6.97% | -2.01% | +13.79% |
Passed 23/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.03% · Win 40% · DD -8.65%20 days: Avg +1.13% · Win 50% · DD -10.71%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 23/10/2025 | 206.91 | near 52w high | +0.83% | -1.31% | -9.78% | -9.78% | +4.48% |
| 2024 | 23/10/2024 | 157.62 | neutral | +0.29% | +1.74% | -3.67% | -11.50% | +6.92% |
| 2023 | 23/10/2023 | 54.66 | far below SMA50 | -2.58% | -0.09% | +18.83% | -3.66% | +18.83% |
| 2022 | 24/10/2022 | 39.01 | far below SMA50 · volume x3.0 | +13.71% | +5.26% | +10.36% | -1.82% | +17.02% |
| 2021 | 22/10/2021 | 70.63 | volume x1.7 | +1.46% | +6.78% | +9.66% | -3.27% | +13.59% |
| 2020 | 23/10/2020 | 29.16 | neutral | -15.84% | -2.40% | +8.33% | -15.84% | +14.47% |
| 2019 | 23/10/2019 | 25.06 | far above SMA50 | +5.31% | +18.40% | +25.30% | -1.64% | +26.74% |
| 2018 | 23/10/2018 | 25.91 | far below SMA50 | -2.16% | -4.90% | -15.79% | -15.79% | +4.98% |
| 2017 | 23/10/2017 | 14.69 | neutral | -5.65% | -13.89% | -10.35% | -13.89% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 27/10/2016 | 20.69 | near 52w low | -15.56% | -29.87% | -21.60% | -29.87% | +0.00% |
In window 25/10/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.95% · Win 60% · DD -6.48%20 days: Avg +4.71% · Win 60% · DD -8.92%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/10/2025 | 210.38 | near 52w high · volume x1.9 | -1.85% | -2.43% | -8.76% | -11.27% | +2.75% |
| 2024 | 25/10/2024 | 139.77 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.4 | +11.70% | +18.20% | +2.76% | -0.20% | +20.57% |
| 2023 | 25/10/2023 | 53.90 | far below SMA50 | -1.50% | +1.34% | +25.66% | -2.30% | +25.66% |
| 2022 | 25/10/2022 | 41.41 | far below SMA50 · volume x1.8 | +10.24% | -2.25% | +7.39% | -7.51% | +10.24% |
| 2021 | 25/10/2021 | 68.74 | neutral | +4.00% | +9.40% | +14.26% | -0.61% | +16.72% |
| 2020 | 26/10/2020 | 28.45 | neutral | -6.01% | +13.11% | +14.94% | -13.74% | +17.33% |
| 2019 | 25/10/2019 | 24.65 | neutral | +4.99% | +20.49% | +27.51% | +0.00% | +28.84% |
| 2018 | 25/10/2018 | 25.06 | far below SMA50 | +6.46% | +5.35% | -10.34% | -12.93% | +8.54% |
| 2017 | 25/10/2017 | 14.17 | neutral | +1.27% | -3.81% | -4.73% | -10.73% | +1.27% |
| 2016 | 27/10/2016 | 20.69 | near 52w low | -15.56% | -29.87% | -21.60% | -29.87% | +0.00% |
In window 26/10/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.72% · Win 60% · DD -6.82%20 days: Avg +7.07% · Win 70% · DD -8.32%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 27/10/2025 | 216.17 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.9 | -6.84% | -9.94% | -0.72% | -13.64% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 25/10/2024 | 139.77 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.4 | +11.70% | +18.20% | +2.76% | -0.20% | +20.57% |
| 2023 | 26/10/2023 | 53.41 | far below SMA50 | +1.03% | -1.40% | +27.32% | -1.40% | +27.32% |
| 2022 | 26/10/2022 | 42.53 | far below SMA50 · volume x1.6 | -2.28% | -9.95% | +5.83% | -9.95% | +7.34% |
| 2021 | 26/10/2021 | 68.32 | neutral | +1.93% | +16.41% | +16.22% | +0.00% | +17.43% |
| 2020 | 26/10/2020 | 28.45 | neutral | -6.01% | +13.11% | +14.94% | -13.74% | +17.33% |
| 2019 | 25/10/2019 | 24.65 | neutral | +4.99% | +20.49% | +27.51% | +0.00% | +28.84% |
| 2018 | 26/10/2018 | 24.98 | far below SMA50 | +8.77% | +5.24% | -8.21% | -12.65% | +8.89% |
| 2017 | 26/10/2017 | 12.87 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.4 | +7.54% | +4.90% | +6.68% | -1.71% | +11.50% |
| 2016 | 27/10/2016 | 20.69 | near 52w low | -15.56% | -29.87% | -21.60% | -29.87% | +0.00% |
In window 27/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.16% · Win 70% · DD -6.25%20 days: Avg +8.01% · Win 70% · DD -7.75%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 27/10/2025 | 216.17 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.9 | -6.84% | -9.94% | -0.72% | -13.64% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 28/10/2024 | 139.49 | far below SMA50 · volume x1.6 | +16.41% | +19.61% | +2.75% | +0.00% | +20.81% |
| 2023 | 27/10/2023 | 53.12 | far below SMA50 | +3.39% | +1.26% | +25.38% | -0.87% | +28.01% |
| 2022 | 27/10/2022 | 42.52 | far below SMA50 | -3.67% | -0.33% | +8.30% | -9.92% | +8.30% |
| 2021 | 27/10/2021 | 70.16 | neutral | +5.02% | +13.93% | +11.45% | -0.74% | +14.35% |
| 2020 | 27/10/2020 | 25.67 | neutral | +9.23% | +30.04% | +30.74% | -4.40% | +30.74% |
| 2019 | 28/10/2019 | 25.34 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.7 | +7.02% | +18.31% | +28.30% | +0.00% | +28.30% |
| 2018 | 26/10/2018 | 24.98 | far below SMA50 | +8.77% | +5.24% | -8.21% | -12.65% | +8.89% |
| 2017 | 27/10/2017 | 13.37 | far below SMA50 · volume x1.7 | -2.17% | +3.37% | +3.74% | -5.39% | +7.33% |
| 2016 | 27/10/2016 | 20.69 | near 52w low | -15.56% | -29.87% | -21.60% | -29.87% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 06/11/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.79% · Win 60% · DD -6.34%20 days: Avg +3.23% · Win 60% · DD -7.76%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 06/11/2025 | 204.19 | neutral | -3.69% | -8.58% | +2.85% | -8.58% | +6.99% |
| 2024 | 06/11/2024 | 160.37 | volume x1.7 | +1.60% | -5.32% | -13.39% | -13.39% | +5.08% |
| 2023 | 06/11/2023 | 54.61 | far below SMA50 | +0.48% | +18.93% | +28.51% | -3.57% | +32.41% |
| 2022 | 07/11/2022 | 41.06 | far below SMA50 | +1.97% | +4.85% | +6.58% | -6.72% | +12.47% |
| 2021 | 05/11/2021 | 75.42 | near 52w high | +4.92% | +2.69% | -3.70% | -6.50% | +6.38% |
| 2020 | 06/11/2020 | 28.46 | neutral | +9.45% | +11.00% | +17.67% | +0.00% | +21.50% |
| 2019 | 06/11/2019 | 29.67 | far above SMA50 · volume x2.3 | -0.07% | +5.83% | +15.50% | -0.64% | +15.50% |
| 2018 | 06/11/2018 | 24.64 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.9 | -3.29% | -11.44% | -2.56% | -11.44% | +9.25% |
| 2017 | 06/11/2017 | 12.65 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +9.17% | +4.11% | +3.00% | +0.00% | +11.46% |
| 2016 | 07/11/2016 | 19.82 | neutral | -17.26% | -14.18% | -22.15% | -26.79% | +2.27% |
Upcoming 09/11/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.69% · Win 70% · DD -5.15%20 days: Avg +5.40% · Win 60% · DD -6.47%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/11/2025 | 194.68 | neutral | -1.17% | +10.24% | +3.76% | -4.11% | +12.21% |
| 2024 | 08/11/2024 | 165.21 | near 52w high | -5.97% | -13.06% | -14.65% | -15.93% | +0.99% |
| 2023 | 09/11/2023 | 52.66 | far below SMA50 | +10.41% | +29.13% | +35.87% | +0.00% | +37.31% |
| 2022 | 09/11/2022 | 38.30 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +11.23% | +17.52% | +15.20% | +0.00% | +20.57% |
| 2021 | 09/11/2021 | 79.53 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.7 | +0.21% | -0.16% | -4.56% | -11.33% | +0.88% |
| 2020 | 09/11/2020 | 32.18 | far above SMA50 | -1.21% | +1.62% | +6.59% | -6.93% | +7.46% |
| 2019 | 08/11/2019 | 29.70 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.5 | +2.86% | +5.82% | +24.07% | -0.74% | +24.07% |
| 2018 | 09/11/2018 | 26.29 | neutral | -10.65% | -12.78% | -11.26% | -17.00% | +2.40% |
| 2017 | 09/11/2017 | 13.50 | far below SMA50 | +0.74% | +1.70% | -1.26% | -4.07% | +4.44% |
| 2016 | 09/11/2016 | 15.21 | near 52w low | +7.96% | +6.90% | +0.20% | -4.60% | +13.35% |
Upcoming 17/11/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.75% · Win 60% · DD -4.51%20 days: Avg +3.74% · Win 60% · DD -6.41%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 17/11/2025 | 192.40 | neutral | +11.55% | +11.66% | +2.33% | -2.97% | +13.54% |
| 2024 | 18/11/2024 | 153.45 | neutral | -6.60% | -7.94% | -13.62% | -13.62% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 17/11/2023 | 63.74 | volume x2.3 | +4.49% | +13.45% | +17.63% | +0.00% | +20.82% |
| 2022 | 17/11/2022 | 42.37 | far below SMA50 | +8.69% | +6.87% | +4.56% | +0.00% | +8.99% |
| 2021 | 17/11/2021 | 78.78 | far above SMA50 | -0.75% | -6.04% | -5.37% | -10.48% | +0.79% |
| 2020 | 17/11/2020 | 32.24 | far above SMA50 | +4.09% | +1.21% | +25.71% | -2.51% | +32.69% |
| 2019 | 18/11/2019 | 30.80 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +5.55% | +7.37% | +22.05% | +0.00% | +22.86% |
| 2018 | 16/11/2018 | 23.49 | far below SMA50 | -2.38% | +14.60% | -14.94% | -15.71% | +14.60% |
| 2017 | 17/11/2017 | 13.24 | neutral | +4.76% | -0.98% | +11.33% | -2.19% | +12.61% |
| 2016 | 17/11/2016 | 17.24 | neutral | -5.92% | -12.70% | -12.24% | -16.59% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 22/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.90% · Win 50% · DD -3.26%20 days: Avg +3.63% · Win 60% · DD -6.84%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 21/11/2025 | 191.96 | neutral | +12.07% | +7.48% | +4.12% | +0.00% | +13.80% |
| 2024 | 22/11/2024 | 143.63 | volume x1.6 | -1.11% | -1.82% | -9.74% | -12.48% | +1.40% |
| 2023 | 22/11/2023 | 67.73 | far above SMA50 | +1.89% | +1.79% | +12.03% | -1.88% | +13.70% |
| 2022 | 22/11/2022 | 44.47 | neutral | +3.85% | -0.58% | +3.78% | -2.72% | +3.85% |
| 2021 | 22/11/2021 | 78.54 | far above SMA50 | -7.22% | -4.05% | -2.97% | -10.21% | +1.09% |
| 2020 | 23/11/2020 | 32.70 | far above SMA50 | -3.36% | +4.89% | +24.86% | -3.88% | +30.83% |
| 2019 | 22/11/2019 | 31.43 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +3.85% | +17.24% | +22.34% | +0.00% | +23.29% |
| 2018 | 21/11/2018 | 22.55 | far below SMA50 | +15.61% | +3.41% | -22.22% | -22.22% | +19.38% |
| 2017 | 22/11/2017 | 13.50 | neutral | +4.44% | -2.00% | +11.93% | -4.07% | +11.93% |
| 2016 | 22/11/2016 | 16.14 | neutral | -5.64% | -7.31% | -7.81% | -10.90% | +0.74% |
Upcoming 24/11/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.30% · Win 40% · DD -4.57%20 days: Avg +1.43% · Win 60% · DD -8.81%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/11/2025 | 214.62 | near 52w high · volume x2.9 | +0.10% | -5.88% | -7.39% | -9.44% | +1.79% |
| 2024 | 25/11/2024 | 143.32 | neutral | -1.43% | -2.94% | -9.50% | -12.29% | +1.62% |
| 2023 | 24/11/2023 | 68.00 | far above SMA50 | +4.43% | +5.22% | +11.40% | -2.26% | +13.25% |
| 2022 | 23/11/2022 | 45.01 | neutral | +0.76% | -1.98% | +3.91% | -3.89% | +3.91% |
| 2021 | 24/11/2021 | 78.19 | far above SMA50 | -5.33% | -4.55% | +1.37% | -9.81% | +1.37% |
| 2020 | 24/11/2020 | 33.56 | far above SMA50 | -2.77% | +4.20% | +20.77% | -6.35% | +27.47% |
| 2019 | 25/11/2019 | 32.51 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +1.72% | +13.96% | +17.59% | -1.81% | +19.19% |
| 2018 | 23/11/2018 | 22.47 | far below SMA50 | +16.02% | +4.14% | -25.01% | -25.01% | +19.80% |
| 2017 | 24/11/2017 | 13.73 | neutral | -1.68% | -2.91% | +10.20% | -5.68% | +10.20% |
| 2016 | 23/11/2016 | 16.26 | neutral | -6.64% | -6.27% | -9.04% | -11.56% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 30/11/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.49% · Win 40% · DD -5.98%20 days: Avg +2.40% · Win 60% · DD -8.05%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 01/12/2025 | 215.13 | near 52w high | -4.10% | -8.28% | -6.43% | -9.65% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 29/11/2024 | 142.68 | neutral | -2.62% | -4.18% | -12.10% | -12.10% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 30/11/2023 | 69.01 | far above SMA50 | -0.10% | +11.59% | +9.51% | -0.10% | +11.59% |
| 2022 | 30/11/2022 | 46.18 | neutral | -4.27% | -0.67% | +3.90% | -6.32% | +3.90% |
| 2021 | 30/11/2021 | 72.87 | neutral | +3.42% | +4.65% | +10.37% | -3.22% | +10.37% |
| 2020 | 30/11/2020 | 31.43 | far above SMA50 | +6.55% | +26.73% | +27.17% | +0.00% | +36.11% |
| 2019 | 29/11/2019 | 32.20 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +10.34% | +15.00% | +17.45% | +0.00% | +20.34% |
| 2018 | 30/11/2018 | 26.07 | neutral | -10.24% | -24.05% | -31.84% | -35.37% | +3.26% |
| 2017 | 30/11/2017 | 14.10 | neutral | -6.17% | -0.28% | +7.52% | -8.16% | +7.87% |
| 2016 | 30/11/2016 | 15.23 | neutral | -1.77% | -5.58% | -1.51% | -5.58% | +1.31% |
Upcoming 21/12/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.14% · Win 70% · DD -2.22%20 days: Avg +10.11% · Win 80% · DD -3.14%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 22/12/2025 | 199.87 | neutral | +0.72% | +1.07% | -5.21% | -5.21% | +4.19% |
| 2024 | 20/12/2024 | 129.46 | far below SMA50 · volume x4.6 | -3.12% | -0.51% | +6.82% | -5.26% | +6.82% |
| 2023 | 21/12/2023 | 75.88 | far above SMA50 | -0.41% | +4.55% | +6.05% | -2.25% | +8.29% |
| 2022 | 21/12/2022 | 46.15 | volume x2.1 | +3.97% | +12.81% | +11.59% | +0.00% | +15.75% |
| 2021 | 21/12/2021 | 76.21 | neutral | +5.54% | +2.31% | +2.90% | -2.18% | +7.48% |
| 2020 | 21/12/2020 | 39.95 | far above SMA50 | +0.05% | +11.11% | +25.28% | -2.43% | +25.28% |
| 2019 | 20/12/2019 | 38.75 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x2.6 | -2.40% | -4.90% | -6.09% | -6.74% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 21/12/2018 | 17.54 | far below SMA50 · volume x1.9 | -2.28% | +15.79% | +18.59% | -3.93% | +27.65% |
| 2017 | 21/12/2017 | 15.11 | neutral | +0.33% | -1.06% | +18.86% | -2.25% | +19.79% |
| 2016 | 21/12/2016 | 14.88 | neutral | +0.81% | +10.22% | +22.31% | -1.14% | +27.62% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+1.5%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -5.0% · from 52w low: +70.7%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +0.96% · +0.07% · +4.27% · +5.56% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +1.62% · +1.53% · +22.91% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -4.98% · +70.68% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 6.78 · 1.17x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +7.58% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +4.30% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +14.00% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 264.67 · 264.90 · 218.81 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 283.05 · 157.58 |
|---|
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