🕰️ Time Machine

THG — Hanover Insurance

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 11/09/2026

Last price (Close)
225.84 +0.82%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in window · in 2 days
15/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 120 · 10/09/2026
since +0.82%
Trend
Strong uptrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 19/03/2026
168.41
Days: 121 trading / 176 calendar · return since: +34.10%
Last major high · 03/08/2026
236.07
Days: 28 trading / 39 calendar · return since: -4.33%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 03/08/2026 @ 236.07Fib 21Trading📅 01/09/2026-7 (±1)Passed
High 03/08/2026 @ 236.07Cycle 30Calendar📅 02/09/2026-9 (±2)Passed
Low 19/03/2026 @ 168.41Cycle 120Trading📅 10/09/2026-1 (±3)In window
Low 19/03/2026 @ 168.41Cycle 180Calendar📅 15/09/2026+4 (±3)Upcoming
High 03/08/2026 @ 236.07Cycle 30Trading📅 15/09/2026+2 (±2)In window
High 03/08/2026 @ 236.07Cycle 45Calendar📅 17/09/2026+6 (±2)Upcoming
High 03/08/2026 @ 236.07Cycle 60Calendar📅 02/10/2026+21 (±2)Upcoming
High 03/08/2026 @ 236.07Cycle 45Trading📅 06/10/2026+17 (±2)Upcoming
Low 19/03/2026 @ 168.41Cycle 144Trading📅 14/10/2026+23 (±3)Upcoming
High 03/08/2026 @ 236.07Cycle 60Trading📅 27/10/2026+32 (±2)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Bearish Engulfing 04/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 02/09/2026
Failed Breakout 04/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 02/09/2026
NR7 Compression 31/08/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 01/09/2026
Bullish Engulfing 26/08/2026
Bullish Engulfing 20/08/2026
Hammer Reversal 13/08/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 01/09/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.98% · Win 33% · DD -3.94%20 days: Avg -0.97% · Win 56% · DD -4.90%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202502/09/2025175.98near 52w high+1.89%-0.26%+3.72%-0.26%+3.72%
202430/08/2024146.99near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.9+0.31%+1.60%+1.35%-1.80%+2.36%
202301/09/2023108.35near 52w low-1.74%+4.63%+2.23%-3.55%+5.36%
202201/09/2022129.55neutral+2.31%+5.51%-0.53%-0.88%+7.22%
202101/09/2021141.34near 52w high-2.10%-6.52%-7.83%-9.46%+0.00%
202001/09/2020101.96neutral-3.76%-5.32%-8.00%-12.03%+0.52%
201930/08/2019133.15near 52w high+0.60%-1.17%+2.26%-1.23%+2.39%
201831/08/2018122.49neutral-2.34%-5.45%-2.36%-5.45%+1.19%
201701/09/201797.85near 52w high-2.96%-1.84%+0.41%-9.45%+1.69%
Passed 02/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.75% · Win 33% · DD -3.96%20 days: Avg -0.52% · Win 67% · DD -4.86%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202502/09/2025175.98near 52w high+1.89%-0.26%+3.72%-0.26%+3.72%
202403/09/2024147.21near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x2.0-0.87%+1.84%+1.69%-1.94%+2.21%
202301/09/2023108.35near 52w low-1.74%+4.63%+2.23%-3.55%+5.36%
202202/09/2022128.95neutral+4.16%+7.72%+2.37%-0.42%+7.72%
202102/09/2021140.96near 52w high · volume x1.6-3.75%-6.78%-6.08%-9.21%+0.00%
202002/09/2020102.49neutral-6.26%-5.91%-8.08%-12.48%+0.00%
201903/09/2019132.79near 52w high-0.14%-0.73%+1.39%-0.97%+2.66%
201831/08/2018122.49neutral-2.34%-5.45%-2.36%-5.45%+1.19%
201701/09/201797.85near 52w high-2.96%-1.84%+0.41%-9.45%+1.69%
In window 10/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.53% · Win 50% · DD -2.14%20 days: Avg +1.89% · Win 90% · DD -2.46%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/09/2025178.14near 52w high-1.32%-1.20%+3.75%-1.47%+4.15%
202410/09/2024145.93near 52w high+2.73%+2.57%+0.95%-1.08%+3.10%
202311/09/2023106.47near 52w low+6.48%+7.03%+5.31%+0.00%+7.22%
202209/09/2022132.54neutral+3.13%+0.30%+0.88%-3.12%+4.80%
202110/09/2021134.99neutral-3.15%-1.40%+0.93%-5.67%+1.47%
202010/09/202095.44neutral+0.37%-6.64%+1.15%-6.64%+1.15%
201910/09/2019132.61near 52w high-0.60%+2.46%+0.56%-0.83%+2.80%
201810/09/2018119.62neutral-3.18%-0.68%-0.63%-3.18%+3.62%
201711/09/201794.95neutral+1.16%+4.80%+3.39%+0.00%+4.80%
201612/09/201676.51near 52w high-2.01%-1.95%+2.57%-2.56%+2.57%
Upcoming 15/09/2026 · Low Cycle 180/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.51% · Win 40% · DD -2.10%20 days: Avg +1.34% · Win 70% · DD -2.64%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202515/09/2025176.53near 52w high-0.31%+1.46%-0.42%-1.06%+4.58%
202416/09/2024148.47near 52w high-0.17%-0.24%-0.51%-2.47%+0.75%
202315/09/2023111.06volume x2.2+1.24%-0.07%+3.30%-1.49%+3.30%
202215/09/2022136.81volume x2.3-3.08%-4.99%+3.09%-6.67%+3.09%
202115/09/2021132.32neutral-1.60%-0.23%+0.73%-3.77%+3.51%
202015/09/202094.48neutral-2.68%-2.62%+1.61%-5.69%+3.72%
201916/09/2019130.99near 52w high+1.53%+3.47%+3.00%+0.00%+3.60%
201814/09/2018115.39volume x2.1+2.44%+6.92%-3.06%-3.06%+6.92%
201715/09/201795.27volume x1.9+3.01%+1.74%+1.71%+0.00%+4.03%
201615/09/201675.72near 52w high+0.22%-0.33%+3.90%-2.14%+3.90%
Upcoming 17/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.27% · Win 60% · DD -2.03%20 days: Avg +1.90% · Win 80% · DD -2.67%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202517/09/2025174.92near 52w high+0.12%+3.76%-1.62%-1.62%+5.55%
202417/09/2024149.04near 52w high-0.15%-0.15%+0.45%-2.84%+0.45%
202318/09/2023112.53neutral+0.52%-2.29%+5.15%-2.78%+5.15%
202216/09/2022135.93volume x2.9-2.75%-5.73%+2.69%-6.06%+3.76%
202117/09/2021130.74volume x3.5+1.81%+0.76%+2.75%-2.61%+4.77%
202017/09/202095.79neutral-6.98%-2.31%+1.02%-6.98%+2.30%
201917/09/2019131.22near 52w high+3.07%+2.13%+3.11%+0.00%+3.42%
201817/09/2018115.28volume x2.2+2.58%+3.27%-1.96%-2.97%+7.02%
201718/09/201795.55near 52w high+3.60%+2.29%+1.77%+0.00%+3.73%
201616/09/201674.72near 52w high+0.46%+0.94%+5.69%-0.83%+5.69%
Upcoming 02/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.85% · Win 70% · DD -1.71%20 days: Avg +0.65% · Win 60% · DD -2.73%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202502/10/2025182.12near 52w high-1.43%-7.49%-6.51%-7.54%+1.37%
202402/10/2024147.47near 52w high+0.24%+2.08%+2.69%-1.80%+5.25%
202302/10/2023109.95neutral+1.23%+7.61%+5.17%-0.50%+10.91%
202203/10/2022131.27neutral+2.73%+6.99%+11.59%+0.00%+11.59%
202101/10/2021131.73neutral+3.42%+1.98%-4.35%-4.35%+3.98%
202002/10/202093.64neutral+2.46%+4.02%+2.16%+0.00%+10.12%
201902/10/2019132.29near 52w high+0.80%+2.43%-2.32%-4.65%+3.24%
201802/10/2018118.27neutral+1.67%-4.10%-4.46%-7.62%+1.67%
201702/10/201797.74near 52w high-0.08%-0.51%+0.82%-0.89%+1.51%
201603/10/201674.88near 52w high+4.17%+5.49%+1.75%+0.00%+5.49%
Upcoming 06/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.40% · Win 60% · DD -2.10%20 days: Avg -0.06% · Win 50% · DD -3.58%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202506/10/2025184.62near 52w high-4.78%-6.93%-7.51%-8.79%+0.00%
202407/10/2024144.81near 52w high · volume x1.7+2.01%+5.55%+1.61%+0.00%+7.18%
202306/10/2023111.08neutral+3.29%+3.72%+5.01%-1.51%+9.79%
202206/10/2022134.32neutral+5.00%-1.41%+4.91%-1.41%+9.06%
202106/10/2021135.06neutral-1.32%-1.53%-3.79%-6.71%+1.41%
202006/10/202095.17neutral+0.87%+3.68%+5.24%-0.18%+8.35%
201907/10/2019135.48near 52w high-0.41%+0.81%-3.68%-6.89%+0.81%
201805/10/2018117.74neutral-4.99%-3.96%-7.42%-7.42%+2.13%
201706/10/201797.68near 52w high-0.80%+1.20%+6.28%-0.83%+6.28%
201606/10/201676.56near 52w high+2.76%+2.83%-1.24%-2.10%+3.17%
Upcoming 14/10/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.68% · Win 30% · DD -3.09%20 days: Avg +3.27% · Win 60% · DD -3.55%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202514/10/2025177.74near 52w high-1.41%-4.97%+1.89%-5.26%+2.12%
202414/10/2024147.72near 52w high+3.47%+0.97%+10.04%-0.39%+10.04%
202313/10/2023114.73neutral+0.42%-0.41%-1.30%-1.30%+6.29%
202214/10/2022139.58neutral-4.47%+4.02%+0.42%-5.12%+4.95%
202114/10/2021134.88neutral-1.83%-5.89%-6.20%-7.58%+0.00%
202014/10/202095.68neutral+5.89%-0.71%+16.15%-0.71%+17.91%
201914/10/2019134.92near 52w high+1.23%-6.51%-0.62%-6.51%+1.23%
201815/10/2018113.02neutral-0.52%-1.34%-2.68%-3.56%+0.52%
201713/10/201796.90near 52w high+2.01%+1.74%+9.88%+0.00%+10.11%
201614/10/201678.97near 52w high-1.94%-3.74%+5.10%-5.09%+5.10%
Upcoming 27/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.12% · Win 80% · DD -1.65%20 days: Avg +7.90% · Win 100% · DD -1.69%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/10/2025173.84neutral-1.78%+4.41%+5.97%-3.14%+5.97%
202428/10/2024149.15near 52w high-1.35%+8.98%+8.43%-1.35%+10.22%
202327/10/2023114.26neutral+2.09%-0.89%+8.67%-0.89%+8.67%
202227/10/2022140.30neutral+0.44%+0.53%+5.11%-2.94%+5.11%
202127/10/2021128.88neutral+0.82%-1.94%+0.71%-3.27%+0.88%
202027/10/202096.80neutral+3.47%+16.55%+22.25%-1.86%+22.25%
201928/10/2019126.14volume x1.6+3.46%+6.29%+5.93%+0.00%+7.48%
201826/10/2018110.27neutral-1.15%+1.33%+0.52%-1.62%+2.48%
201727/10/201798.59near 52w high+5.29%+7.99%+7.33%-0.21%+8.73%
201627/10/201676.20near 52w high-0.77%+7.94%+14.12%-1.64%+14.12%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+1.5%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -4.3% · from 52w low: +35.6%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-2.52% · -0.80% · +1.19% · +13.37%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+0.14% · +1.49% · +17.43%
Distance from 52w high / low-4.33% · +35.61%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg4.20 · 1.28x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+3.54%
vs SPY (20d)+2.95%
vs SMH (20d)+4.68%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200225.53 · 222.52 · 192.33
52w high / low236.07 · 166.54