🕰️ Time Machine

TKR — Timken

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026

Last price (Close)
117.35 -1.43%
Next window · Cycle 120 · in window · in 1 days
11/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 45 · 02/09/2026
since -2.40%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 20/03/2026
94.18
Days: 119 trading / 174 calendar · return since: +24.60%
Last major high · 30/06/2026
146.37
Days: 50 trading / 72 calendar · return since: -19.83%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 30/06/2026 @ 146.37Cycle 45Trading📅 02/09/2026-5 (±2)Passed
Low 20/03/2026 @ 94.18Cycle 120Trading📅 11/09/2026+1 (±3)In window
Low 20/03/2026 @ 94.18Cycle 180Calendar📅 16/09/2026+6 (±3)Upcoming
High 30/06/2026 @ 146.37Cycle 60Trading📅 24/09/2026+10 (±2)Upcoming
High 30/06/2026 @ 146.37Cycle 90Calendar📅 28/09/2026+18 (±3)Upcoming
Low 20/03/2026 @ 94.18Cycle 144Trading📅 15/10/2026+25 (±3)Upcoming
High 30/06/2026 @ 146.37Cycle 90Trading📅 05/11/2026+40 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Gap Day 10/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 11/09/2026
Doji After Run 08/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 11/09/2026
NR7 Compression 08/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 11/09/2026
Hammer Reversal 02/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 02/09/2026
Failed Breakdown 01/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 02/09/2026
Failed Breakdown 25/08/2026
Failed Breakdown 20/08/2026
Hammer Reversal 12/08/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 02/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.26% · Win 67% · DD -3.66%20 days: Avg -0.51% · Win 44% · DD -4.80%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202502/09/202576.49neutral-0.46%+1.86%-1.71%-2.99%+3.49%
202403/09/202480.95neutral-2.52%+0.78%+3.62%-3.20%+4.97%
202301/09/202378.43neutral-7.93%-5.90%-7.22%-8.78%+0.00%
202202/09/202262.41neutral+10.46%+2.60%-2.18%-5.70%+10.46%
202102/09/202172.99neutral-3.53%-7.63%-8.51%-10.37%+0.00%
202002/09/202057.38near 52w high · far above SMA50-3.68%-0.98%-6.10%-7.58%+0.37%
201903/09/201938.80far below SMA50+14.10%+14.66%+7.47%+0.00%+16.42%
201831/08/201848.65neutral-1.54%+0.10%+2.47%-2.06%+7.09%
201701/09/201745.15neutral-0.22%+5.87%+7.53%-2.55%+8.75%
In window 11/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.09% · Win 50% · DD -4.35%20 days: Avg +0.17% · Win 50% · DD -5.00%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202511/09/202579.16neutral-0.09%-6.27%-6.11%-6.27%+0.00%
202411/09/202478.97neutral+2.87%+4.01%+4.55%-0.20%+7.60%
202311/09/202372.21far below SMA50+2.20%+0.53%+1.30%-1.08%+2.55%
202212/09/202268.94far above SMA50-7.12%-13.98%-7.50%-14.64%+0.00%
202110/09/202170.41neutral-4.25%-3.64%-3.27%-7.09%+2.03%
202011/09/202056.29near 52w high · far above SMA50-0.92%-4.81%+7.57%-5.79%+7.57%
201911/09/201945.17neutral-1.44%-3.03%-9.05%-9.17%+0.00%
201811/09/201847.75neutral+1.78%+6.70%-1.30%-1.30%+9.11%
201711/09/201745.05neutral+6.10%+8.88%+10.99%+0.00%+10.99%
201612/09/201633.37near 52w high-2.79%+0.75%+4.56%-4.50%+7.49%
Upcoming 16/09/2026 · Low Cycle 180/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.05% · Win 50% · DD -2.72%20 days: Avg +0.60% · Win 60% · DD -4.99%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202516/09/202577.91neutral-1.49%-3.50%-4.66%-9.14%+1.51%
202416/09/202480.63volume x1.6+3.24%+4.54%+4.99%+0.00%+5.38%
202315/09/202372.72far below SMA50 · volume x2.1-0.67%+1.06%-2.82%-2.82%+1.83%
202216/09/202261.96volume x2.6-3.41%-4.71%+2.86%-5.02%+5.39%
202116/09/202168.02volume x1.9-0.79%-3.82%+4.70%-3.82%+4.70%
202016/09/202057.59near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.6-7.92%-5.85%+3.13%-7.92%+5.14%
201916/09/201945.04neutral-2.49%-3.40%-4.51%-8.90%+0.00%
201817/09/201848.70neutral+5.65%+2.36%-12.28%-12.28%+6.98%
201715/09/201746.85volume x1.7+4.80%+3.63%+7.58%+0.00%+7.58%
201616/09/201632.17near 52w high+3.39%+9.23%+6.99%+0.00%+11.50%
Upcoming 24/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.35% · Win 70% · DD -2.43%20 days: Avg +1.86% · Win 80% · DD -4.82%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202524/09/202575.67neutral-0.74%+0.25%+0.24%-6.45%+2.15%
202424/09/202483.93neutral-0.06%-3.10%+0.60%-3.10%+3.94%
202325/09/202372.59neutral+0.25%+0.77%-5.18%-5.18%+2.66%
202223/09/202259.85neutral-1.35%+6.38%+11.53%-1.67%+11.53%
202124/09/202167.85neutral-1.58%+0.38%+5.91%-3.58%+6.68%
202024/09/202053.52neutral+0.67%+11.75%+13.00%+0.00%+13.14%
201924/09/201942.95neutral-2.91%-4.47%+7.12%-4.47%+7.12%
201824/09/201851.45neutral-3.11%-5.54%-21.24%-21.34%+0.00%
201725/09/201749.05neutral-1.02%+1.94%+3.06%-2.45%+3.98%
201623/09/201633.26near 52w high+5.65%+5.08%+3.61%+0.00%+7.85%
Upcoming 28/09/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.57% · Win 60% · DD -4.39%20 days: Avg +0.66% · Win 60% · DD -5.95%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/09/202575.23neutral+2.03%-3.56%+2.75%-5.90%+3.84%
202427/09/202484.97neutral-1.26%-1.09%-0.42%-4.28%+2.67%
202328/09/202374.05neutral-3.54%-2.90%-6.14%-7.05%+0.63%
202228/09/202261.10volume x1.7+6.87%+1.83%+11.23%-3.68%+12.14%
202128/09/202169.13neutral-2.13%+1.74%+2.40%-5.37%+4.70%
202028/09/202054.81neutral+5.18%+9.03%+9.23%-1.70%+11.77%
201927/09/201942.90neutral-2.49%+0.35%+11.49%-4.36%+11.49%
201828/09/201849.85neutral-2.29%-14.06%-24.65%-25.40%+0.40%
201728/09/201748.75neutral+0.10%+2.87%+0.00%-0.41%+5.74%
201628/09/201634.69near 52w high+2.08%+0.06%+0.75%-1.38%+3.40%
Upcoming 15/10/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.36% · Win 30% · DD -4.27%20 days: Avg +4.90% · Win 60% · DD -6.06%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202515/10/202574.70neutral+1.54%+6.09%+5.30%-2.05%+6.09%
202415/10/202485.00neutral-0.67%-0.68%-12.20%-14.59%+2.64%
202316/10/202372.34neutral-4.85%-4.04%-2.04%-5.24%+3.01%
202214/10/202263.73neutral+4.74%+10.58%+15.66%+0.00%+15.66%
202115/10/202172.06neutral-0.28%-1.54%+6.79%-5.15%+6.79%
202015/10/202059.94near 52w high+0.90%-3.00%+14.75%-5.62%+18.47%
201915/10/201943.93neutral+4.73%+11.65%+22.56%-0.71%+23.13%
201815/10/201842.72near 52w low · far below SMA50-5.15%-12.80%-7.14%-12.94%+1.50%
201716/10/201749.85near 52w high+1.40%-5.72%-6.22%-7.32%+3.41%
201614/10/201634.42near 52w high+0.12%-4.18%+11.56%-7.03%+11.71%
Upcoming 05/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.27% · Win 60% · DD -1.91%20 days: Avg +5.44% · Win 60% · DD -3.05%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202505/11/202578.46neutral+0.25%-4.64%+5.94%-5.26%+5.94%
202405/11/202472.60near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x4.4+2.80%+1.70%+6.92%+0.00%+9.10%
202306/11/202371.59neutral-1.01%+3.83%+3.61%-1.75%+5.37%
202204/11/202271.90far above SMA50 · volume x1.5+2.52%+2.15%-0.33%-2.78%+6.13%
202105/11/202172.74neutral+5.79%-1.41%-4.71%-10.18%+6.45%
202005/11/202063.23near 52w high · far above SMA50+8.78%+14.20%+18.57%-0.30%+19.08%
201905/11/201952.75near 52w high · far above SMA50+2.07%+0.06%-0.30%-1.59%+2.54%
201805/11/201840.64far below SMA50-2.39%-1.71%-1.54%-3.75%+4.55%
201706/11/201747.15neutral-0.85%-0.67%+4.23%-4.88%+6.79%
201604/11/201632.30near 52w low+18.89%+19.22%+22.03%+0.00%+23.59%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· If it holds above SMA50 (-10.9%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· Distance from 52w high: -19.8% · from 52w low: +66.3%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-2.40% · -6.98% · -9.67% · -15.42%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-5.52% · -10.89% · +4.91%
Distance from 52w high / low-19.83% · +66.28%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg3.21 · 0.02x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-7.64%
vs SPY (20d)-7.73%
vs SMH (20d)-5.72%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200124.20 · 131.69 · 111.86
52w high / low146.37 · 70.57