🕰️ Time Machine
TOL — Toll Brothers
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026
Last price (Close)
139.90 -0.84%
Next window · Cycle 120 · in window · in 1 days
24/10/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 22/10/2026
since -0.84%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 10/09/2026
130.26
Days: 31 trading / 43 calendar · return since: +7.40%
Last major high · 26/06/2026
166.23
Days: 83 trading / 119 calendar · return since: -15.84%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 10/09/2026 @ 130.26 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 09/10/2026 | -10 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 10/09/2026 @ 130.26 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 22/10/2026 | -1 (±2) | In window |
| High 26/06/2026 @ 166.23 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 24/10/2026 | +1 (±3) | In window |
| Low 10/09/2026 @ 130.26 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 25/10/2026 | +2 (±2) | In window |
| High 26/06/2026 @ 166.23 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 03/11/2026 | +7 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 10/09/2026 @ 130.26 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 09/11/2026 | +17 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 10/09/2026 @ 130.26 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 12/11/2026 | +14 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 26/06/2026 @ 166.23 | Cycle 144 | Calendar | 📅 17/11/2026 | +25 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 10/09/2026 @ 130.26 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 04/12/2026 | +29 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 26/06/2026 @ 166.23 | Cycle 120 | Trading | 📅 16/12/2026 | +37 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Failed Breakout 23/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 22/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 22/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 22/10/2026
● Gap Day 14/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 09/10/2026
● Doji After Run 12/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 09/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 12/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 09/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 05/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 09/10/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 09/10/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.10% · Win 44% · DD -3.85%20 days: Avg +2.64% · Win 78% · DD -4.79%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 09/10/2025 | 128.73 | volume x1.5 | +4.57% | +6.40% | +3.25% | -0.95% | +7.99% |
| 2024 | 09/10/2024 | 151.08 | near 52w high | +4.46% | -2.58% | +0.33% | -2.92% | +5.79% |
| 2023 | 09/10/2023 | 72.46 | neutral | -1.09% | -4.15% | +10.50% | -5.93% | +12.16% |
| 2022 | 10/10/2022 | 44.32 | neutral | -5.14% | -5.46% | -3.54% | -9.12% | +0.18% |
| 2021 | 08/10/2021 | 56.21 | neutral | +4.23% | +7.53% | +10.34% | +0.00% | +10.34% |
| 2020 | 09/10/2020 | 49.83 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -2.81% | -5.16% | -8.93% | -15.15% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 09/10/2019 | 39.14 | neutral | +4.36% | +4.77% | +1.90% | +0.00% | +5.61% |
| 2018 | 09/10/2018 | 31.70 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +1.36% | -4.24% | +4.97% | -8.42% | +6.56% |
| 2017 | 09/10/2017 | 42.81 | near 52w high | +0.07% | +3.81% | +4.94% | -0.59% | +9.13% |
In window 22/10/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.33% · Win 70% · DD -2.67%20 days: Avg +5.35% · Win 80% · DD -3.50%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 22/10/2025 | 136.19 | neutral | -1.17% | -1.87% | -7.23% | -7.23% | +1.88% |
| 2024 | 22/10/2024 | 148.02 | neutral | -0.42% | +3.76% | +2.51% | -1.07% | +6.47% |
| 2023 | 23/10/2023 | 69.45 | neutral | -0.12% | +15.29% | +23.92% | -1.86% | +23.92% |
| 2022 | 21/10/2022 | 41.76 | neutral | +6.32% | +2.54% | +9.00% | -0.67% | +12.52% |
| 2021 | 22/10/2021 | 60.44 | neutral | -0.45% | +2.61% | +9.18% | -1.56% | +9.18% |
| 2020 | 22/10/2020 | 45.76 | volume x1.7 | -4.74% | +2.05% | +3.23% | -10.01% | +3.28% |
| 2019 | 22/10/2019 | 41.22 | near 52w high | -3.78% | -4.20% | -3.06% | -4.97% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 22/10/2018 | 29.06 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +5.06% | +15.35% | +6.92% | -0.45% | +15.83% |
| 2017 | 23/10/2017 | 44.36 | near 52w high | +2.59% | +1.08% | +5.93% | -1.28% | +6.06% |
| 2016 | 24/10/2016 | 28.76 | near 52w high | -4.59% | -3.30% | +3.13% | -5.91% | +3.13% |
In window 24/10/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.30% · Win 60% · DD -3.54%20 days: Avg +5.17% · Win 70% · DD -4.24%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/10/2025 | 137.92 | neutral | -2.15% | -3.00% | -4.56% | -8.46% | +0.60% |
| 2024 | 24/10/2024 | 150.71 | neutral | -2.83% | +2.08% | +1.09% | -2.83% | +4.57% |
| 2023 | 24/10/2023 | 69.77 | neutral | +1.35% | +14.96% | +21.81% | -2.31% | +23.35% |
| 2022 | 24/10/2022 | 41.90 | neutral | +2.82% | +2.03% | +7.49% | -1.00% | +12.15% |
| 2021 | 25/10/2021 | 60.87 | neutral | +0.43% | +2.10% | +7.29% | -2.25% | +8.41% |
| 2020 | 23/10/2020 | 47.26 | neutral | -10.54% | -3.98% | -0.40% | -12.86% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 24/10/2019 | 41.21 | near 52w high | -3.49% | -4.95% | -4.22% | -4.95% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 24/10/2018 | 28.93 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +16.35% | +15.42% | +12.58% | +0.00% | +16.35% |
| 2017 | 24/10/2017 | 44.61 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +3.21% | +1.66% | +7.49% | -1.84% | +7.49% |
| 2016 | 24/10/2016 | 28.76 | near 52w high | -4.59% | -3.30% | +3.13% | -5.91% | +3.13% |
In window 25/10/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.45% · Win 50% · DD -3.16%20 days: Avg +6.31% · Win 80% · DD -3.77%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/10/2025 | 137.92 | neutral | -2.15% | -3.00% | -4.56% | -8.46% | +0.60% |
| 2024 | 25/10/2024 | 149.02 | neutral | -1.69% | +5.75% | +5.75% | -1.73% | +5.75% |
| 2023 | 25/10/2023 | 68.16 | neutral | +8.93% | +16.90% | +25.16% | +0.00% | +26.26% |
| 2022 | 25/10/2022 | 43.70 | neutral | +0.09% | -2.97% | +5.26% | -5.08% | +7.53% |
| 2021 | 25/10/2021 | 60.87 | neutral | +0.43% | +2.10% | +7.29% | -2.25% | +8.41% |
| 2020 | 26/10/2020 | 44.85 | neutral | -2.47% | -8.18% | +7.60% | -8.18% | +7.60% |
| 2019 | 25/10/2019 | 40.93 | near 52w high | -0.37% | -2.96% | -3.76% | -4.30% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 25/10/2018 | 30.38 | far below SMA50 | +10.27% | +6.52% | +7.31% | -1.45% | +10.80% |
| 2017 | 25/10/2017 | 44.73 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +4.25% | +2.91% | +7.47% | -2.10% | +7.47% |
| 2016 | 25/10/2016 | 28.22 | near 52w high | -4.00% | -2.59% | +5.60% | -4.11% | +5.60% |
Upcoming 03/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.34% · Win 80% · DD -2.70%20 days: Avg +7.73% · Win 90% · DD -2.73%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/11/2025 | 133.31 | neutral | +0.71% | -4.97% | +4.34% | -5.30% | +5.40% |
| 2024 | 04/11/2024 | 147.80 | neutral | +6.47% | +3.12% | +9.84% | +0.00% | +13.53% |
| 2023 | 03/11/2023 | 81.27 | near 52w high | -1.14% | +5.56% | +7.31% | -3.52% | +8.01% |
| 2022 | 03/11/2022 | 41.48 | near 52w low | +12.15% | +9.14% | +15.45% | +0.00% | +16.56% |
| 2021 | 03/11/2021 | 60.56 | volume x1.7 | +2.79% | +7.41% | +13.13% | -0.26% | +13.13% |
| 2020 | 03/11/2020 | 44.71 | neutral | -1.16% | +4.23% | +1.43% | -7.90% | +7.94% |
| 2019 | 04/11/2019 | 39.87 | near 52w high | +0.98% | +1.63% | -0.10% | -1.76% | +2.11% |
| 2018 | 02/11/2018 | 32.74 | neutral | -1.10% | -7.18% | +2.41% | -8.55% | +2.66% |
| 2017 | 03/11/2017 | 43.90 | volume x1.7 | +4.58% | +7.06% | +15.40% | +0.00% | +15.40% |
| 2016 | 03/11/2016 | 27.12 | near 52w low | +8.44% | +7.45% | +8.11% | +0.00% | +12.87% |
Upcoming 09/11/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.51% · Win 70% · DD -2.07%20 days: Avg +8.49% · Win 70% · DD -2.07%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/11/2025 | 134.25 | neutral | -5.64% | -2.91% | -0.95% | -5.96% | +6.30% |
| 2024 | 08/11/2024 | 157.59 | near 52w high | -3.12% | +0.00% | -0.71% | -3.76% | +6.48% |
| 2023 | 09/11/2023 | 78.41 | neutral | +8.58% | +9.07% | +18.43% | +0.00% | +18.43% |
| 2022 | 09/11/2022 | 41.90 | neutral | +9.64% | +12.60% | +18.04% | +0.00% | +18.14% |
| 2021 | 09/11/2021 | 63.91 | neutral | +1.05% | +3.40% | +13.36% | -2.60% | +13.36% |
| 2020 | 09/11/2020 | 41.18 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.4 | +10.93% | +17.19% | +10.05% | +0.00% | +19.50% |
| 2019 | 08/11/2019 | 39.72 | near 52w high | +0.91% | -0.83% | +4.28% | -0.83% | +4.28% |
| 2018 | 09/11/2018 | 32.38 | neutral | -6.15% | +2.10% | -1.51% | -7.54% | +3.80% |
| 2017 | 09/11/2017 | 45.80 | near 52w high · volume x1.7 | +2.03% | +5.68% | +4.52% | +0.00% | +10.61% |
| 2016 | 09/11/2016 | 27.63 | near 52w high | +2.61% | +8.76% | +19.36% | +0.00% | +19.36% |
Upcoming 12/11/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.10% · Win 90% · DD -2.05%20 days: Avg +4.71% · Win 80% · DD -2.83%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 12/11/2025 | 135.58 | neutral | -6.81% | +3.64% | +3.13% | -6.88% | +5.26% |
| 2024 | 12/11/2024 | 151.83 | neutral | -0.06% | +8.12% | -6.19% | -6.19% | +10.52% |
| 2023 | 13/11/2023 | 79.59 | neutral | +8.13% | +6.08% | +16.11% | +0.00% | +16.76% |
| 2022 | 11/11/2022 | 46.99 | neutral | -3.13% | -1.96% | +5.21% | -4.15% | +5.34% |
| 2021 | 12/11/2021 | 63.99 | neutral | +3.13% | +0.50% | +12.66% | -0.81% | +16.60% |
| 2020 | 12/11/2020 | 44.57 | neutral | +5.99% | +6.71% | -0.40% | -1.30% | +10.41% |
| 2019 | 12/11/2019 | 39.62 | near 52w high | +0.86% | +2.75% | +1.16% | -0.58% | +4.54% |
| 2018 | 12/11/2018 | 31.98 | neutral | -2.85% | +3.47% | +2.94% | -6.38% | +5.10% |
| 2017 | 13/11/2017 | 46.05 | near 52w high | +2.04% | +7.43% | +2.26% | +0.00% | +10.01% |
| 2016 | 11/11/2016 | 28.93 | near 52w high | +0.73% | +4.29% | +10.20% | -2.00% | +14.00% |
Upcoming 17/11/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.34% · Win 80% · DD -1.08%20 days: Avg +4.46% · Win 70% · DD -2.72%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 17/11/2025 | 126.68 | neutral | +2.90% | +9.80% | +9.46% | -0.34% | +12.65% |
| 2024 | 18/11/2024 | 152.41 | near 52w high | +10.10% | +6.52% | -12.91% | -12.91% | +10.10% |
| 2023 | 17/11/2023 | 85.79 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -0.43% | +1.66% | +18.17% | -1.59% | +22.60% |
| 2022 | 17/11/2022 | 45.27 | neutral | +3.42% | +5.79% | +11.66% | -0.51% | +13.39% |
| 2021 | 17/11/2021 | 65.05 | neutral | +0.46% | +5.32% | +6.70% | -2.43% | +14.70% |
| 2020 | 17/11/2020 | 46.60 | neutral | -0.06% | -2.68% | -2.73% | -5.60% | +5.60% |
| 2019 | 18/11/2019 | 40.52 | near 52w high | -0.62% | -1.70% | -2.32% | -3.16% | +2.22% |
| 2018 | 16/11/2018 | 30.39 | neutral | +8.79% | +10.33% | +6.35% | +0.00% | +10.60% |
| 2017 | 17/11/2017 | 47.00 | near 52w high | +2.51% | +7.79% | +1.79% | -0.68% | +7.79% |
| 2016 | 17/11/2016 | 29.14 | near 52w high | +4.22% | +0.62% | +8.41% | +0.00% | +13.18% |
Upcoming 04/12/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.63% · Win 40% · DD -4.86%20 days: Avg +0.51% · Win 60% · DD -5.76%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/12/2025 | 141.06 | neutral | -0.88% | -1.11% | -3.48% | -5.73% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 04/12/2024 | 155.93 | volume x1.6 | -8.66% | -19.37% | -19.05% | -20.61% | +0.35% |
| 2023 | 04/12/2023 | 87.21 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +6.56% | +16.25% | +13.53% | +0.00% | +20.61% |
| 2022 | 05/12/2022 | 46.86 | neutral | +5.51% | +6.94% | +10.69% | -1.96% | +10.69% |
| 2021 | 03/12/2021 | 68.26 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +9.30% | +0.41% | +2.90% | -1.63% | +9.30% |
| 2020 | 04/12/2020 | 47.90 | near 52w high · volume x2.1 | -7.33% | -3.44% | -11.46% | -11.46% | +2.73% |
| 2019 | 04/12/2019 | 40.11 | near 52w high | -0.07% | -1.50% | +1.67% | -2.74% | +3.27% |
| 2018 | 04/12/2018 | 32.99 | volume x3.9 | -0.21% | -3.06% | +5.79% | -5.61% | +5.79% |
| 2017 | 04/12/2017 | 50.66 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x2.3 | -5.76% | -5.57% | -0.47% | -7.86% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 05/12/2016 | 30.47 | near 52w high · volume x2.0 | +4.63% | +4.17% | +5.02% | +0.00% | +8.24% |
Upcoming 16/12/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.52% · Win 50% · DD -2.84%20 days: Avg +4.26% · Win 50% · DD -3.56%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/12/2025 | 138.67 | neutral | -0.27% | -2.49% | +7.68% | -2.79% | +7.68% |
| 2024 | 16/12/2024 | 134.58 | far below SMA50 | -5.62% | -6.41% | -0.02% | -8.04% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 15/12/2023 | 102.48 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x2.2 | +1.06% | -1.66% | -3.31% | -3.64% | +1.54% |
| 2022 | 16/12/2022 | 50.55 | far above SMA50 | +0.49% | +0.06% | +11.81% | -2.31% | +11.81% |
| 2021 | 16/12/2021 | 69.41 | neutral | +1.54% | +4.29% | -4.04% | -5.46% | +4.29% |
| 2020 | 16/12/2020 | 45.33 | neutral | -0.55% | -4.10% | -1.31% | -6.55% | +2.03% |
| 2019 | 16/12/2019 | 39.50 | neutral | +0.18% | +0.03% | +11.87% | -1.24% | +11.87% |
| 2018 | 17/12/2018 | 31.96 | neutral | -2.41% | +4.69% | +12.26% | -2.57% | +13.61% |
| 2017 | 15/12/2017 | 47.70 | volume x1.6 | -0.86% | +1.30% | +9.33% | -0.86% | +9.33% |
| 2016 | 16/12/2016 | 31.59 | volume x1.7 | -0.82% | -0.89% | -1.65% | -2.18% | +1.30% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+1.2%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -16.9% · from 52w low: +13.6%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +4.64% · +5.09% · +2.06% · -6.57% |
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +3.60% · +1.19% · -2.94% |
| Distance from 52w high / low | -16.90% · +13.60% |
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 3.83 · 0.91x |
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +7.45% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +3.54% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +15.14% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 135.04 · 138.26 · 144.14 |
| 52w high / low | 168.36 · 123.15 |