🕰️ Time Machine

TOL — Toll Brothers

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026

Last price (Close)
139.90 -0.84%
Next window · Cycle 120 · in window · in 1 days
24/10/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 22/10/2026
since -0.84%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 10/09/2026
130.26
Days: 31 trading / 43 calendar · return since: +7.40%
Last major high · 26/06/2026
166.23
Days: 83 trading / 119 calendar · return since: -15.84%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 10/09/2026 @ 130.26Fib 21Trading📅 09/10/2026-10 (±1)Passed
Low 10/09/2026 @ 130.26Cycle 30Trading📅 22/10/2026-1 (±2)In window
High 26/06/2026 @ 166.23Cycle 120Calendar📅 24/10/2026+1 (±3)In window
Low 10/09/2026 @ 130.26Cycle 45Calendar📅 25/10/2026+2 (±2)In window
High 26/06/2026 @ 166.23Cycle 90Trading📅 03/11/2026+7 (±3)Upcoming
Low 10/09/2026 @ 130.26Cycle 60Calendar📅 09/11/2026+17 (±2)Upcoming
Low 10/09/2026 @ 130.26Cycle 45Trading📅 12/11/2026+14 (±2)Upcoming
High 26/06/2026 @ 166.23Cycle 144Calendar📅 17/11/2026+25 (±3)Upcoming
Low 10/09/2026 @ 130.26Cycle 60Trading📅 04/12/2026+29 (±2)Upcoming
High 26/06/2026 @ 166.23Cycle 120Trading📅 16/12/2026+37 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

● Failed Breakout 23/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 22/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 22/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 22/10/2026
● Gap Day 14/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 09/10/2026
● Doji After Run 12/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 09/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 12/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 09/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 05/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 09/10/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 09/10/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.10% · Win 44% · DD -3.85%20 days: Avg +2.64% · Win 78% · DD -4.79%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202509/10/2025128.73volume x1.5+4.57%+6.40%+3.25%-0.95%+7.99%
202409/10/2024151.08near 52w high+4.46%-2.58%+0.33%-2.92%+5.79%
202309/10/202372.46neutral-1.09%-4.15%+10.50%-5.93%+12.16%
202210/10/202244.32neutral-5.14%-5.46%-3.54%-9.12%+0.18%
202108/10/202156.21neutral+4.23%+7.53%+10.34%+0.00%+10.34%
202009/10/202049.83near 52w high · far above SMA50-2.81%-5.16%-8.93%-15.15%+0.00%
201909/10/201939.14neutral+4.36%+4.77%+1.90%+0.00%+5.61%
201809/10/201831.70near 52w low · far below SMA50+1.36%-4.24%+4.97%-8.42%+6.56%
201709/10/201742.81near 52w high+0.07%+3.81%+4.94%-0.59%+9.13%
In window 22/10/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.33% · Win 70% · DD -2.67%20 days: Avg +5.35% · Win 80% · DD -3.50%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202522/10/2025136.19neutral-1.17%-1.87%-7.23%-7.23%+1.88%
202422/10/2024148.02neutral-0.42%+3.76%+2.51%-1.07%+6.47%
202323/10/202369.45neutral-0.12%+15.29%+23.92%-1.86%+23.92%
202221/10/202241.76neutral+6.32%+2.54%+9.00%-0.67%+12.52%
202122/10/202160.44neutral-0.45%+2.61%+9.18%-1.56%+9.18%
202022/10/202045.76volume x1.7-4.74%+2.05%+3.23%-10.01%+3.28%
201922/10/201941.22near 52w high-3.78%-4.20%-3.06%-4.97%+0.00%
201822/10/201829.06near 52w low · far below SMA50+5.06%+15.35%+6.92%-0.45%+15.83%
201723/10/201744.36near 52w high+2.59%+1.08%+5.93%-1.28%+6.06%
201624/10/201628.76near 52w high-4.59%-3.30%+3.13%-5.91%+3.13%
In window 24/10/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.30% · Win 60% · DD -3.54%20 days: Avg +5.17% · Win 70% · DD -4.24%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202524/10/2025137.92neutral-2.15%-3.00%-4.56%-8.46%+0.60%
202424/10/2024150.71neutral-2.83%+2.08%+1.09%-2.83%+4.57%
202324/10/202369.77neutral+1.35%+14.96%+21.81%-2.31%+23.35%
202224/10/202241.90neutral+2.82%+2.03%+7.49%-1.00%+12.15%
202125/10/202160.87neutral+0.43%+2.10%+7.29%-2.25%+8.41%
202023/10/202047.26neutral-10.54%-3.98%-0.40%-12.86%+0.00%
201924/10/201941.21near 52w high-3.49%-4.95%-4.22%-4.95%+0.00%
201824/10/201828.93near 52w low · far below SMA50+16.35%+15.42%+12.58%+0.00%+16.35%
201724/10/201744.61near 52w high · far above SMA50+3.21%+1.66%+7.49%-1.84%+7.49%
201624/10/201628.76near 52w high-4.59%-3.30%+3.13%-5.91%+3.13%
In window 25/10/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.45% · Win 50% · DD -3.16%20 days: Avg +6.31% · Win 80% · DD -3.77%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202524/10/2025137.92neutral-2.15%-3.00%-4.56%-8.46%+0.60%
202425/10/2024149.02neutral-1.69%+5.75%+5.75%-1.73%+5.75%
202325/10/202368.16neutral+8.93%+16.90%+25.16%+0.00%+26.26%
202225/10/202243.70neutral+0.09%-2.97%+5.26%-5.08%+7.53%
202125/10/202160.87neutral+0.43%+2.10%+7.29%-2.25%+8.41%
202026/10/202044.85neutral-2.47%-8.18%+7.60%-8.18%+7.60%
201925/10/201940.93near 52w high-0.37%-2.96%-3.76%-4.30%+0.00%
201825/10/201830.38far below SMA50+10.27%+6.52%+7.31%-1.45%+10.80%
201725/10/201744.73near 52w high · far above SMA50+4.25%+2.91%+7.47%-2.10%+7.47%
201625/10/201628.22near 52w high-4.00%-2.59%+5.60%-4.11%+5.60%
Upcoming 03/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.34% · Win 80% · DD -2.70%20 days: Avg +7.73% · Win 90% · DD -2.73%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/11/2025133.31neutral+0.71%-4.97%+4.34%-5.30%+5.40%
202404/11/2024147.80neutral+6.47%+3.12%+9.84%+0.00%+13.53%
202303/11/202381.27near 52w high-1.14%+5.56%+7.31%-3.52%+8.01%
202203/11/202241.48near 52w low+12.15%+9.14%+15.45%+0.00%+16.56%
202103/11/202160.56volume x1.7+2.79%+7.41%+13.13%-0.26%+13.13%
202003/11/202044.71neutral-1.16%+4.23%+1.43%-7.90%+7.94%
201904/11/201939.87near 52w high+0.98%+1.63%-0.10%-1.76%+2.11%
201802/11/201832.74neutral-1.10%-7.18%+2.41%-8.55%+2.66%
201703/11/201743.90volume x1.7+4.58%+7.06%+15.40%+0.00%+15.40%
201603/11/201627.12near 52w low+8.44%+7.45%+8.11%+0.00%+12.87%
Upcoming 09/11/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.51% · Win 70% · DD -2.07%20 days: Avg +8.49% · Win 70% · DD -2.07%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/11/2025134.25neutral-5.64%-2.91%-0.95%-5.96%+6.30%
202408/11/2024157.59near 52w high-3.12%+0.00%-0.71%-3.76%+6.48%
202309/11/202378.41neutral+8.58%+9.07%+18.43%+0.00%+18.43%
202209/11/202241.90neutral+9.64%+12.60%+18.04%+0.00%+18.14%
202109/11/202163.91neutral+1.05%+3.40%+13.36%-2.60%+13.36%
202009/11/202041.18far below SMA50 · volume x2.4+10.93%+17.19%+10.05%+0.00%+19.50%
201908/11/201939.72near 52w high+0.91%-0.83%+4.28%-0.83%+4.28%
201809/11/201832.38neutral-6.15%+2.10%-1.51%-7.54%+3.80%
201709/11/201745.80near 52w high · volume x1.7+2.03%+5.68%+4.52%+0.00%+10.61%
201609/11/201627.63near 52w high+2.61%+8.76%+19.36%+0.00%+19.36%
Upcoming 12/11/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.10% · Win 90% · DD -2.05%20 days: Avg +4.71% · Win 80% · DD -2.83%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202512/11/2025135.58neutral-6.81%+3.64%+3.13%-6.88%+5.26%
202412/11/2024151.83neutral-0.06%+8.12%-6.19%-6.19%+10.52%
202313/11/202379.59neutral+8.13%+6.08%+16.11%+0.00%+16.76%
202211/11/202246.99neutral-3.13%-1.96%+5.21%-4.15%+5.34%
202112/11/202163.99neutral+3.13%+0.50%+12.66%-0.81%+16.60%
202012/11/202044.57neutral+5.99%+6.71%-0.40%-1.30%+10.41%
201912/11/201939.62near 52w high+0.86%+2.75%+1.16%-0.58%+4.54%
201812/11/201831.98neutral-2.85%+3.47%+2.94%-6.38%+5.10%
201713/11/201746.05near 52w high+2.04%+7.43%+2.26%+0.00%+10.01%
201611/11/201628.93near 52w high+0.73%+4.29%+10.20%-2.00%+14.00%
Upcoming 17/11/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.34% · Win 80% · DD -1.08%20 days: Avg +4.46% · Win 70% · DD -2.72%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202517/11/2025126.68neutral+2.90%+9.80%+9.46%-0.34%+12.65%
202418/11/2024152.41near 52w high+10.10%+6.52%-12.91%-12.91%+10.10%
202317/11/202385.79near 52w high · far above SMA50-0.43%+1.66%+18.17%-1.59%+22.60%
202217/11/202245.27neutral+3.42%+5.79%+11.66%-0.51%+13.39%
202117/11/202165.05neutral+0.46%+5.32%+6.70%-2.43%+14.70%
202017/11/202046.60neutral-0.06%-2.68%-2.73%-5.60%+5.60%
201918/11/201940.52near 52w high-0.62%-1.70%-2.32%-3.16%+2.22%
201816/11/201830.39neutral+8.79%+10.33%+6.35%+0.00%+10.60%
201717/11/201747.00near 52w high+2.51%+7.79%+1.79%-0.68%+7.79%
201617/11/201629.14near 52w high+4.22%+0.62%+8.41%+0.00%+13.18%
Upcoming 04/12/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.63% · Win 40% · DD -4.86%20 days: Avg +0.51% · Win 60% · DD -5.76%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/12/2025141.06neutral-0.88%-1.11%-3.48%-5.73%+0.00%
202404/12/2024155.93volume x1.6-8.66%-19.37%-19.05%-20.61%+0.35%
202304/12/202387.21near 52w high · far above SMA50+6.56%+16.25%+13.53%+0.00%+20.61%
202205/12/202246.86neutral+5.51%+6.94%+10.69%-1.96%+10.69%
202103/12/202168.26near 52w high · far above SMA50+9.30%+0.41%+2.90%-1.63%+9.30%
202004/12/202047.90near 52w high · volume x2.1-7.33%-3.44%-11.46%-11.46%+2.73%
201904/12/201940.11near 52w high-0.07%-1.50%+1.67%-2.74%+3.27%
201804/12/201832.99volume x3.9-0.21%-3.06%+5.79%-5.61%+5.79%
201704/12/201750.66near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x2.3-5.76%-5.57%-0.47%-7.86%+0.00%
201605/12/201630.47near 52w high · volume x2.0+4.63%+4.17%+5.02%+0.00%+8.24%
Upcoming 16/12/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.52% · Win 50% · DD -2.84%20 days: Avg +4.26% · Win 50% · DD -3.56%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202516/12/2025138.67neutral-0.27%-2.49%+7.68%-2.79%+7.68%
202416/12/2024134.58far below SMA50-5.62%-6.41%-0.02%-8.04%+0.00%
202315/12/2023102.48near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x2.2+1.06%-1.66%-3.31%-3.64%+1.54%
202216/12/202250.55far above SMA50+0.49%+0.06%+11.81%-2.31%+11.81%
202116/12/202169.41neutral+1.54%+4.29%-4.04%-5.46%+4.29%
202016/12/202045.33neutral-0.55%-4.10%-1.31%-6.55%+2.03%
201916/12/201939.50neutral+0.18%+0.03%+11.87%-1.24%+11.87%
201817/12/201831.96neutral-2.41%+4.69%+12.26%-2.57%+13.61%
201715/12/201747.70volume x1.6-0.86%+1.30%+9.33%-0.86%+9.33%
201616/12/201631.59volume x1.7-0.82%-0.89%-1.65%-2.18%+1.30%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+1.2%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -16.9% · from 52w low: +13.6%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+4.64% · +5.09% · +2.06% · -6.57%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+3.60% · +1.19% · -2.94%
Distance from 52w high / low-16.90% · +13.60%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg3.83 · 0.91x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+7.45%
vs SPY (20d)+3.54%
vs SMH (20d)+15.14%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200135.04 · 138.26 · 144.14
52w high / low168.36 · 123.15