🕰️ Time Machine
TOL — Toll Brothers
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 27/07/2026
Last price (Close)
152.29 +3.92%
Next window · Cycle 45 · in window
27/07/2026
Last window · Cycle 60 · 17/07/2026
since +1.01%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 19/05/2026
123.15
Days: 45 trading / 69 calendar · return since: +23.66%
Last major high · 21/04/2026
153.88
Days: 65 trading / 97 calendar · return since: -1.03%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 21/04/2026 @ 153.88 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 17/07/2026 | -5 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 19/05/2026 @ 123.15 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 18/07/2026 | -9 (±2) | Passed |
| High 21/04/2026 @ 153.88 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 20/07/2026 | -7 (±3) | Passed |
| Low 19/05/2026 @ 123.15 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 27/07/2026 | +0 (±2) | In window |
| Low 19/05/2026 @ 123.15 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 17/08/2026 | +15 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 19/05/2026 @ 123.15 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 17/08/2026 | +21 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 21/04/2026 @ 153.88 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 19/08/2026 | +23 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 21/04/2026 @ 153.88 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 31/08/2026 | +25 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 19/05/2026 @ 123.15 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 29/09/2026 | +45 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● NR7 Compression 27/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 27/07/2026
● Gap Day 23/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 20/07/2026
● Hammer Reversal 21/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 20/07/2026
● Doji After Run 21/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 20/07/2026
● NR7 Compression 21/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 20/07/2026
● Shooting Star 15/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 17/07/2026
● NR7 Compression 15/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 17/07/2026
● Hammer Reversal 14/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 17/07/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 17/07/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.31% · Win 56% · DD -2.68%20 days: Avg +2.60% · Win 44% · DD -3.56%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 17/07/2025 | 117.48 | neutral | +4.38% | +0.75% | +11.52% | -0.71% | +13.51% |
| 2024 | 17/07/2024 | 128.17 | neutral | +1.65% | +11.34% | -1.08% | -3.19% | +11.64% |
| 2023 | 17/07/2023 | 82.72 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -4.70% | -2.89% | -2.53% | -6.07% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 18/07/2022 | 47.45 | neutral | +2.09% | +4.47% | +4.76% | -1.10% | +5.52% |
| 2021 | 16/07/2021 | 53.32 | far below SMA50 | +7.01% | +11.16% | +14.52% | +0.00% | +14.52% |
| 2020 | 17/07/2020 | 35.42 | far above SMA50 | +5.03% | +7.85% | +12.20% | -3.08% | +12.82% |
| 2019 | 17/07/2019 | 36.46 | neutral | -3.24% | -1.34% | -3.92% | -4.06% | +0.14% |
| 2018 | 17/07/2018 | 38.04 | neutral | -4.71% | -7.31% | -10.04% | -10.17% | +0.03% |
| 2017 | 17/07/2017 | 39.87 | near 52w high | -1.66% | -3.21% | -1.98% | -3.64% | +0.00% |
Passed 18/07/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.83% · Win 78% · DD -2.40%20 days: Avg +2.94% · Win 56% · DD -3.53%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 18/07/2025 | 116.90 | neutral | +5.25% | +4.29% | +11.63% | -0.21% | +14.07% |
| 2024 | 18/07/2024 | 131.36 | near 52w high | +0.98% | +5.31% | -1.83% | -5.54% | +8.93% |
| 2023 | 18/07/2023 | 82.62 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -2.40% | -2.77% | -1.49% | -5.95% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 18/07/2022 | 47.45 | neutral | +2.09% | +4.47% | +4.76% | -1.10% | +5.52% |
| 2021 | 19/07/2021 | 53.35 | far below SMA50 · volume x1.6 | +5.45% | +11.70% | +15.07% | +0.00% | +15.07% |
| 2020 | 17/07/2020 | 35.42 | far above SMA50 | +5.03% | +7.85% | +12.20% | -3.08% | +12.82% |
| 2019 | 18/07/2019 | 36.27 | neutral | -1.46% | +0.66% | -4.14% | -4.14% | +0.66% |
| 2018 | 18/07/2018 | 37.86 | neutral | -7.63% | -6.74% | -9.88% | -9.88% | +0.50% |
| 2017 | 18/07/2017 | 39.16 | near 52w high | +1.61% | +0.71% | +0.13% | -1.89% | +1.74% |
Passed 20/07/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.43% · Win 56% · DD -1.82%20 days: Avg +2.93% · Win 44% · DD -2.87%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 21/07/2025 | 116.65 | neutral | +5.72% | +7.15% | +12.46% | +0.00% | +14.32% |
| 2024 | 19/07/2024 | 131.55 | near 52w high | +6.01% | +2.66% | -1.70% | -5.68% | +8.77% |
| 2023 | 20/07/2023 | 78.59 | volume x1.5 | +0.84% | -1.13% | -2.72% | -2.72% | +3.56% |
| 2022 | 20/07/2022 | 47.83 | volume x1.8 | +2.47% | -1.00% | +2.26% | -1.88% | +4.68% |
| 2021 | 20/07/2021 | 55.06 | neutral | +2.54% | +8.48% | +6.48% | +0.00% | +11.50% |
| 2020 | 20/07/2020 | 34.70 | neutral | +11.33% | +11.50% | +21.47% | -1.07% | +21.47% |
| 2019 | 19/07/2019 | 36.10 | neutral | -1.61% | -0.22% | -2.44% | -3.68% | +1.14% |
| 2018 | 20/07/2018 | 37.34 | near 52w low | -5.89% | -6.05% | -7.87% | -8.65% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 20/07/2017 | 39.25 | near 52w high | +0.18% | +0.48% | -1.58% | -2.11% | +1.50% |
In window 27/07/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.31% · Win 60% · DD -3.39%20 days: Avg +4.42% · Win 60% · DD -4.67%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/07/2025 | 123.32 | neutral | +1.35% | +0.70% | +12.40% | -4.02% | +12.85% |
| 2024 | 26/07/2024 | 139.45 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.5 | -3.16% | -8.51% | +6.65% | -11.02% | +6.65% |
| 2023 | 27/07/2023 | 79.25 | neutral | -1.96% | +0.30% | -1.49% | -5.30% | +2.70% |
| 2022 | 27/07/2022 | 49.01 | neutral | -3.39% | -0.10% | -5.69% | -7.10% | +2.10% |
| 2021 | 27/07/2021 | 56.46 | neutral | +5.79% | +3.24% | +8.11% | -0.04% | +8.73% |
| 2020 | 27/07/2020 | 38.63 | far above SMA50 | +0.16% | +3.44% | +18.25% | -3.31% | +18.25% |
| 2019 | 26/07/2019 | 35.52 | neutral | +1.41% | +1.24% | -1.63% | -2.11% | +3.91% |
| 2018 | 27/07/2018 | 35.14 | near 52w low | -0.17% | +1.51% | +5.32% | -2.93% | +12.46% |
| 2017 | 27/07/2017 | 39.32 | near 52w high | +0.31% | -2.29% | -5.90% | -5.90% | +1.32% |
| 2016 | 27/07/2016 | 28.67 | near 52w high | -4.08% | -2.58% | +8.23% | -4.95% | +11.30% |
Upcoming 17/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.10% · Win 90% · DD -1.86%20 days: Avg +4.57% · Win 90% · DD -2.27%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 18/08/2025 | 131.18 | far above SMA50 | +5.66% | +5.41% | +7.71% | +0.00% | +12.82% |
| 2024 | 16/08/2024 | 129.32 | neutral | +15.00% | +11.41% | +16.02% | +0.00% | +16.02% |
| 2023 | 17/08/2023 | 76.45 | volume x1.8 | +2.12% | +7.17% | +1.86% | -1.83% | +9.65% |
| 2022 | 17/08/2022 | 48.91 | neutral | -5.50% | -10.47% | -12.47% | -12.47% | +0.18% |
| 2021 | 17/08/2021 | 58.63 | neutral | +4.11% | +9.26% | +3.26% | -1.25% | +9.99% |
| 2020 | 17/08/2020 | 42.15 | far above SMA50 | +8.37% | +0.17% | +2.18% | -2.11% | +9.25% |
| 2019 | 16/08/2019 | 35.22 | neutral | -0.80% | +2.75% | +15.73% | -0.80% | +15.73% |
| 2018 | 17/08/2018 | 34.40 | near 52w low | +7.59% | +5.32% | +5.15% | +0.00% | +14.88% |
| 2017 | 17/08/2017 | 38.63 | neutral | -4.22% | +0.85% | +2.02% | -4.22% | +4.06% |
| 2016 | 17/08/2016 | 28.48 | near 52w high | +8.95% | +9.16% | +4.21% | +0.00% | +12.04% |
Upcoming 19/08/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.06% · Win 80% · DD -1.78%20 days: Avg +5.17% · Win 90% · DD -2.19%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 19/08/2025 | 132.18 | far above SMA50 · volume x2.0 | +4.18% | +6.51% | +6.04% | -0.57% | +11.97% |
| 2024 | 19/08/2024 | 133.65 | neutral | +8.42% | +4.66% | +12.73% | -0.10% | +12.73% |
| 2023 | 18/08/2023 | 76.38 | neutral | +1.34% | +9.75% | +2.03% | -1.74% | +9.75% |
| 2022 | 19/08/2022 | 47.26 | neutral | -2.41% | -7.30% | -5.67% | -9.42% | +1.67% |
| 2021 | 19/08/2021 | 57.90 | neutral | +9.05% | +10.71% | +8.62% | +0.00% | +11.38% |
| 2020 | 19/08/2020 | 42.56 | far above SMA50 | +5.94% | +2.37% | +4.28% | -3.05% | +8.20% |
| 2019 | 19/08/2019 | 36.41 | neutral | -2.03% | -0.55% | +11.73% | -4.04% | +11.95% |
| 2018 | 20/08/2018 | 34.73 | near 52w low · volume x1.7 | +8.03% | +5.50% | +5.07% | +0.00% | +13.79% |
| 2017 | 18/08/2017 | 38.15 | volume x1.6 | -0.97% | +2.23% | +4.72% | -3.01% | +5.37% |
| 2016 | 19/08/2016 | 28.78 | near 52w high | +6.81% | +6.74% | +2.12% | +0.00% | +10.88% |
Upcoming 31/08/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.44% · Win 50% · DD -3.00%20 days: Avg +0.09% · Win 40% · DD -5.46%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/08/2025 | 139.00 | far above SMA50 | +6.47% | +1.89% | -0.52% | -2.87% | +6.47% |
| 2024 | 30/08/2024 | 144.07 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -3.28% | +4.14% | +7.23% | -4.36% | +7.83% |
| 2023 | 31/08/2023 | 81.93 | near 52w high | -1.23% | -4.96% | -9.73% | -11.38% | +2.32% |
| 2022 | 31/08/2022 | 43.79 | neutral | +0.98% | -2.24% | -4.06% | -6.76% | +4.77% |
| 2021 | 31/08/2021 | 64.06 | far above SMA50 | -4.42% | -5.49% | -10.07% | -10.19% | +0.67% |
| 2020 | 31/08/2020 | 42.22 | far above SMA50 | -1.14% | +2.01% | +11.61% | -2.27% | +16.89% |
| 2019 | 30/08/2019 | 36.19 | neutral | +0.50% | +12.63% | +13.43% | +0.00% | +13.43% |
| 2018 | 31/08/2018 | 36.23 | neutral | +0.17% | -0.17% | -8.50% | -8.83% | +3.23% |
| 2017 | 31/08/2017 | 38.96 | neutral | +1.28% | +1.16% | +6.44% | -1.08% | +6.44% |
| 2016 | 31/08/2016 | 31.09 | near 52w high | -1.70% | -4.54% | -4.92% | -6.82% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 29/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.21% · Win 40% · DD -3.33%20 days: Avg -1.24% · Win 40% · DD -5.83%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/09/2025 | 138.28 | neutral | +1.78% | -7.49% | +0.48% | -7.79% | +3.21% |
| 2024 | 30/09/2024 | 154.49 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -2.59% | -0.40% | -2.32% | -4.73% | +3.45% |
| 2023 | 29/09/2023 | 73.96 | neutral | -3.75% | -2.73% | -6.74% | -7.57% | +2.25% |
| 2022 | 29/09/2022 | 42.01 | near 52w low | +10.20% | +2.50% | +3.60% | -3.69% | +10.20% |
| 2021 | 29/09/2021 | 57.61 | neutral | -1.01% | +1.15% | +3.59% | -4.15% | +6.03% |
| 2020 | 29/09/2020 | 47.12 | far above SMA50 | +0.42% | +4.64% | -5.60% | -5.60% | +6.00% |
| 2019 | 30/09/2019 | 41.05 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -3.68% | -4.12% | -2.63% | -4.65% | +0.70% |
| 2018 | 28/09/2018 | 33.03 | near 52w low | -2.94% | -5.09% | -4.87% | -12.11% | +1.12% |
| 2017 | 29/09/2017 | 41.47 | near 52w high | +2.99% | +2.63% | +10.02% | +0.00% | +10.02% |
| 2016 | 29/09/2016 | 29.56 | neutral | -0.10% | -3.18% | -7.98% | -7.98% | +1.01% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+4.3%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -9.5% · from 52w low: +29.6%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +1.01% · +1.87% · -5.88% · +6.14% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -0.49% · +4.26% · +6.99% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -9.55% · +29.61% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 4.83 · 0.02x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -0.74% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -6.33% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +9.03% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 153.04 · 146.07 · 142.34 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 168.36 · 117.50 |
|---|
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