🕰️ Time Machine
TRUP — Trupanion
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026
Last price (Close)
29.32 -1.97%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in window · in 1 days
24/10/2026
Last window · Fib 13 · 14/10/2026
since +9.69%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 25/09/2026
22.05
Days: 20 trading / 28 calendar · return since: +32.97%
Last major high · 25/08/2026
32.09
Days: 42 trading / 59 calendar · return since: -8.63%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 25/09/2026 @ 22.05 | Fib 13 | Trading | 📅 14/10/2026 | -7 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 25/09/2026 @ 22.05 | Fib 21 | Calendar | 📅 16/10/2026 | -7 (±1) | Passed |
| High 25/08/2026 @ 32.09 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 24/10/2026 | +1 (±2) | In window |
| Low 25/09/2026 @ 22.05 | Cycle 30 | Calendar | 📅 25/10/2026 | +2 (±2) | In window |
| Low 25/09/2026 @ 22.05 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 26/10/2026 | +1 (±1) | In window |
| High 25/08/2026 @ 32.09 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 28/10/2026 | +3 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 25/09/2026 @ 22.05 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 06/11/2026 | +10 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 25/09/2026 @ 22.05 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 09/11/2026 | +17 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 25/08/2026 @ 32.09 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 18/11/2026 | +18 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 25/08/2026 @ 32.09 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 23/11/2026 | +31 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 25/09/2026 @ 22.05 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 24/11/2026 | +32 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 25/09/2026 @ 22.05 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 30/11/2026 | +25 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 25/09/2026 @ 22.05 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 21/12/2026 | +40 (±2) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Failed Breakout 21/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 24/10/2026
● Gap Day 15/10/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 14/10/2026
● Failed Breakout 14/10/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 14/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 09/10/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 14/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 05/10/2026
● Hammer Reversal 28/09/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 25/09/2026
● Failed Breakdown 25/09/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 14/10/2026 · Low Fib 13/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -3.01% · Win 56% · DD -6.85%20 days: Avg +8.05% · Win 56% · DD -9.86%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 14/10/2025 | 41.82 | neutral | +5.26% | +2.39% | -6.70% | -7.75% | +5.26% |
| 2024 | 14/10/2024 | 50.52 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +6.71% | +7.84% | +3.74% | -3.17% | +9.82% |
| 2023 | 13/10/2023 | 25.42 | far below SMA50 | -10.68% | -18.62% | -14.77% | -19.53% | +9.54% |
| 2022 | 14/10/2022 | 52.19 | far below SMA50 | -6.02% | -4.00% | +24.28% | -15.69% | +24.28% |
| 2021 | 14/10/2021 | 94.25 | neutral | +16.46% | +7.76% | +30.77% | -3.28% | +36.51% |
| 2020 | 14/10/2020 | 90.60 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -12.87% | -21.08% | -6.73% | -21.08% | +2.98% |
| 2019 | 14/10/2019 | 21.75 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +4.00% | +7.13% | +43.54% | +0.00% | +44.74% |
| 2018 | 15/10/2018 | 28.12 | far below SMA50 | -0.89% | -8.57% | -9.89% | -17.03% | +8.36% |
| 2017 | 13/10/2017 | 27.89 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +2.19% | +0.11% | +8.25% | -1.22% | +17.17% |
Passed 16/10/2026 · Low Fib 21/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -5.87% · Win 33% · DD -9.31%20 days: Avg +5.82% · Win 44% · DD -12.14%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/10/2025 | 42.45 | neutral | +3.27% | -4.64% | -7.21% | -9.12% | +3.70% |
| 2024 | 16/10/2024 | 53.50 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -1.55% | +3.03% | -1.83% | -8.56% | +3.70% |
| 2023 | 16/10/2023 | 26.74 | neutral | -14.88% | -21.54% | -15.11% | -23.49% | +4.15% |
| 2022 | 17/10/2022 | 54.27 | far below SMA50 | -10.21% | -7.00% | +6.25% | -18.92% | +19.51% |
| 2021 | 15/10/2021 | 91.16 | volume x1.6 | +17.87% | +12.33% | +42.60% | +0.00% | +42.60% |
| 2020 | 16/10/2020 | 92.48 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -19.01% | -22.64% | -6.07% | -22.69% | +0.89% |
| 2019 | 16/10/2019 | 22.67 | far below SMA50 | -2.34% | +3.75% | +38.82% | -2.96% | +39.06% |
| 2018 | 16/10/2018 | 29.85 | far below SMA50 | -8.71% | -14.44% | -16.62% | -21.84% | +2.08% |
| 2017 | 16/10/2017 | 28.03 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +0.43% | -1.71% | +11.56% | -1.71% | +16.59% |
In window 24/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.67% · Win 60% · DD -7.09%20 days: Avg +11.72% · Win 70% · DD -7.93%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/10/2025 | 43.80 | neutral | -8.70% | -11.92% | -18.04% | -19.93% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 24/10/2024 | 53.07 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +3.22% | -7.82% | -0.79% | -7.82% | +3.86% |
| 2023 | 24/10/2023 | 21.85 | far below SMA50 | -5.72% | +4.58% | +22.56% | -6.36% | +22.56% |
| 2022 | 24/10/2022 | 48.73 | far below SMA50 | +3.57% | -6.24% | +0.37% | -9.71% | +33.10% |
| 2021 | 25/10/2021 | 108.64 | far above SMA50 | -3.81% | +13.62% | +21.63% | -7.30% | +26.78% |
| 2020 | 23/10/2020 | 74.90 | neutral | -4.49% | +22.50% | +28.08% | -4.54% | +28.42% |
| 2019 | 24/10/2019 | 22.00 | far below SMA50 | +7.73% | +38.27% | +55.68% | +0.00% | +56.50% |
| 2018 | 24/10/2018 | 26.74 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -5.53% | +0.90% | -0.60% | -12.75% | +3.93% |
| 2017 | 24/10/2017 | 27.99 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +0.61% | +11.79% | +5.47% | -1.57% | +16.76% |
| 2016 | 24/10/2016 | 16.27 | near 52w high | -0.49% | -8.97% | +2.83% | -9.34% | +5.59% |
In window 25/10/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +6.20% · Win 60% · DD -6.48%20 days: Avg +12.39% · Win 80% · DD -7.28%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/10/2025 | 43.80 | neutral | -8.70% | -11.92% | -18.04% | -19.93% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 25/10/2024 | 53.61 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +1.77% | -5.82% | -0.02% | -8.75% | +2.82% |
| 2023 | 25/10/2023 | 20.86 | far below SMA50 · volume x1.7 | -1.92% | +10.74% | +26.37% | -1.92% | +28.38% |
| 2022 | 25/10/2022 | 50.43 | far below SMA50 | -3.31% | -2.88% | +0.26% | -12.75% | +28.61% |
| 2021 | 25/10/2021 | 108.64 | far above SMA50 | -3.81% | +13.62% | +21.63% | -7.30% | +26.78% |
| 2020 | 26/10/2020 | 73.20 | neutral | +6.84% | +16.37% | +31.27% | -2.32% | +31.41% |
| 2019 | 25/10/2019 | 22.79 | neutral | +4.21% | +38.13% | +48.27% | +0.00% | +51.08% |
| 2018 | 25/10/2018 | 25.57 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -8.76% | +4.77% | +4.30% | -8.76% | +8.68% |
| 2017 | 25/10/2017 | 27.97 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +0.29% | +8.58% | +5.65% | -1.50% | +16.84% |
| 2016 | 25/10/2016 | 16.31 | near 52w high | -4.60% | -9.56% | +4.17% | -9.56% | +5.33% |
In window 26/10/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +6.21% · Win 60% · DD -6.79%20 days: Avg +12.17% · Win 80% · DD -7.60%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 27/10/2025 | 43.51 | neutral | -8.87% | -9.61% | -18.64% | -19.40% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 25/10/2024 | 53.61 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +1.77% | -5.82% | -0.02% | -8.75% | +2.82% |
| 2023 | 26/10/2023 | 21.26 | far below SMA50 | +7.57% | +4.75% | +27.33% | -3.76% | +27.33% |
| 2022 | 26/10/2022 | 50.94 | far below SMA50 | -12.64% | -7.30% | +6.32% | -13.62% | +27.33% |
| 2021 | 26/10/2021 | 108.95 | far above SMA50 | -6.21% | +15.88% | +12.91% | -7.56% | +26.42% |
| 2020 | 26/10/2020 | 73.20 | neutral | +6.84% | +16.37% | +31.27% | -2.32% | +31.41% |
| 2019 | 25/10/2019 | 22.79 | neutral | +4.21% | +38.13% | +48.27% | +0.00% | +51.08% |
| 2018 | 26/10/2018 | 25.85 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -2.40% | +7.50% | +4.26% | -9.75% | +7.50% |
| 2017 | 26/10/2017 | 28.02 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -0.21% | +7.00% | +6.82% | -1.68% | +16.63% |
| 2016 | 26/10/2016 | 16.23 | near 52w high | -7.95% | -4.81% | +3.20% | -9.12% | +5.85% |
Upcoming 28/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +10.91% · Win 70% · DD -5.21%20 days: Avg +13.69% · Win 80% · DD -6.03%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/10/2025 | 42.82 | neutral | -8.01% | -8.87% | -17.42% | -18.10% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 28/10/2024 | 54.48 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -8.13% | -3.80% | -1.87% | -10.21% | +1.17% |
| 2023 | 27/10/2023 | 20.69 | far below SMA50 | +26.34% | +4.74% | +30.59% | -1.11% | +30.84% |
| 2022 | 28/10/2022 | 50.10 | far below SMA50 | -9.28% | +29.46% | +1.26% | -12.18% | +29.46% |
| 2021 | 28/10/2021 | 101.56 | far above SMA50 | +17.76% | +21.36% | +24.84% | +0.00% | +35.61% |
| 2020 | 28/10/2020 | 71.50 | neutral | +25.96% | +18.18% | +33.33% | +0.00% | +34.53% |
| 2019 | 28/10/2019 | 23.30 | neutral | +3.00% | +33.99% | +48.37% | -0.26% | +48.37% |
| 2018 | 29/10/2018 | 25.71 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -0.08% | -1.44% | +4.67% | -9.26% | +8.09% |
| 2017 | 27/10/2017 | 27.92 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x2.7 | +13.61% | +8.13% | +7.84% | -1.33% | +17.05% |
| 2016 | 28/10/2016 | 16.01 | near 52w high | -5.93% | +7.31% | +5.31% | -7.87% | +7.31% |
Upcoming 06/11/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.83% · Win 70% · DD -6.28%20 days: Avg +2.82% · Win 70% · DD -7.70%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 06/11/2025 | 42.09 | volume x1.6 | -6.41% | -16.68% | -12.26% | -19.15% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 06/11/2024 | 50.21 | neutral | +4.60% | +3.21% | +2.75% | -2.57% | +10.97% |
| 2023 | 06/11/2023 | 23.40 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.0 | -2.99% | +13.55% | +20.51% | -7.39% | +25.68% |
| 2022 | 07/11/2022 | 45.69 | far below SMA50 | +26.20% | +7.05% | +12.43% | +0.00% | +41.96% |
| 2021 | 05/11/2021 | 128.66 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.9 | +1.03% | +6.11% | -13.12% | -13.28% | +7.05% |
| 2020 | 06/11/2020 | 91.75 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -5.32% | +4.56% | +7.93% | -10.55% | +10.50% |
| 2019 | 06/11/2019 | 29.62 | far above SMA50 · volume x5.2 | +6.25% | +16.10% | +10.03% | +0.00% | +17.22% |
| 2018 | 06/11/2018 | 26.64 | far below SMA50 | -6.57% | -0.64% | +6.34% | -11.04% | +12.35% |
| 2017 | 06/11/2017 | 32.68 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.6 | -4.31% | -7.89% | -12.12% | -12.58% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 07/11/2016 | 14.81 | neutral | +13.17% | +12.96% | +5.67% | -0.41% | +16.00% |
Upcoming 09/11/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.52% · Win 60% · DD -3.88%20 days: Avg +9.42% · Win 70% · DD -5.22%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/11/2025 | 39.33 | neutral | -7.60% | -9.99% | -2.34% | -13.48% | +0.15% |
| 2024 | 08/11/2024 | 50.49 | neutral | +4.50% | +6.16% | +10.93% | +0.00% | +10.93% |
| 2023 | 09/11/2023 | 22.27 | far below SMA50 | +16.39% | +21.55% | +30.18% | -2.69% | +32.06% |
| 2022 | 09/11/2022 | 47.22 | far below SMA50 | +31.89% | +14.70% | +10.44% | +0.00% | +37.36% |
| 2021 | 09/11/2021 | 126.25 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +9.09% | -2.57% | +20.55% | -11.62% | +23.10% |
| 2020 | 09/11/2020 | 85.18 | volume x1.6 | +5.78% | +12.81% | +20.10% | -3.65% | +20.10% |
| 2019 | 08/11/2019 | 31.48 | far above SMA50 | +2.76% | +7.34% | +7.50% | -1.30% | +10.29% |
| 2018 | 09/11/2018 | 27.79 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.2 | -6.62% | -3.02% | -5.07% | -14.72% | +7.70% |
| 2017 | 09/11/2017 | 29.98 | far above SMA50 | +1.90% | -0.17% | -0.77% | -4.70% | +4.30% |
| 2016 | 09/11/2016 | 15.45 | neutral | +6.80% | +8.41% | +2.65% | +0.00% | +11.20% |
Upcoming 18/11/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.37% · Win 30% · DD -4.96%20 days: Avg +3.79% · Win 60% · DD -6.07%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 18/11/2025 | 36.81 | far below SMA50 | -3.94% | -1.55% | +2.93% | -7.55% | +4.35% |
| 2024 | 18/11/2024 | 50.71 | neutral | +5.42% | +7.73% | +6.03% | +0.00% | +10.45% |
| 2023 | 17/11/2023 | 25.07 | neutral | +7.78% | +17.31% | +26.21% | +0.00% | +38.77% |
| 2022 | 18/11/2022 | 54.24 | neutral | -6.47% | -3.60% | -9.81% | -9.83% | +0.79% |
| 2021 | 18/11/2021 | 131.64 | far above SMA50 | -3.68% | -15.24% | -1.98% | -15.24% | +18.06% |
| 2020 | 18/11/2020 | 95.27 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +0.06% | -0.46% | +20.80% | -1.28% | +20.80% |
| 2019 | 18/11/2019 | 33.39 | far above SMA50 | +3.53% | -2.99% | +4.73% | -2.99% | +5.69% |
| 2018 | 19/11/2018 | 26.22 | far below SMA50 | +2.63% | +5.87% | -11.06% | -11.06% | +14.15% |
| 2017 | 17/11/2017 | 30.39 | far above SMA50 | -0.92% | -5.99% | +6.38% | -5.99% | +6.38% |
| 2016 | 18/11/2016 | 16.65 | near 52w high | +1.26% | -4.74% | -6.31% | -6.73% | +2.04% |
Upcoming 23/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.28% · Win 70% · DD -4.57%20 days: Avg +3.48% · Win 60% · DD -6.49%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/11/2025 | 35.40 | far below SMA50 | -1.58% | +8.50% | +6.75% | -3.87% | +8.70% |
| 2024 | 22/11/2024 | 53.60 | neutral | +0.09% | +4.50% | -7.18% | -7.52% | +4.50% |
| 2023 | 22/11/2023 | 26.36 | neutral | -2.43% | +8.46% | +19.42% | -2.43% | +31.98% |
| 2022 | 23/11/2022 | 54.16 | neutral | -3.38% | -3.71% | -5.87% | -9.68% | +0.94% |
| 2021 | 23/11/2021 | 123.01 | far above SMA50 | -8.84% | +23.73% | +5.28% | -9.29% | +26.34% |
| 2020 | 23/11/2020 | 96.09 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +0.45% | +6.46% | +27.05% | -2.12% | +27.05% |
| 2019 | 22/11/2019 | 33.79 | far above SMA50 | -1.27% | +0.15% | +8.05% | -4.14% | +8.40% |
| 2018 | 23/11/2018 | 26.67 | neutral | +12.22% | -1.35% | -15.30% | -15.30% | +12.22% |
| 2017 | 22/11/2017 | 29.55 | neutral | +0.78% | +1.35% | +2.71% | -3.32% | +9.41% |
| 2016 | 23/11/2016 | 16.75 | near 52w high | -1.55% | -5.31% | -6.09% | -7.28% | +0.84% |
Upcoming 24/11/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.16% · Win 50% · DD -5.23%20 days: Avg +2.85% · Win 50% · DD -7.16%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/11/2025 | 35.40 | far below SMA50 | -1.58% | +8.50% | +6.75% | -3.87% | +8.70% |
| 2024 | 25/11/2024 | 53.46 | neutral | +2.19% | +0.99% | -4.60% | -7.28% | +4.77% |
| 2023 | 24/11/2023 | 27.07 | neutral | +8.46% | +7.09% | +14.44% | -4.99% | +28.52% |
| 2022 | 23/11/2022 | 54.16 | neutral | -3.38% | -3.71% | -5.87% | -9.68% | +0.94% |
| 2021 | 24/11/2021 | 125.03 | far above SMA50 | -4.58% | +22.28% | +6.85% | -10.76% | +24.30% |
| 2020 | 24/11/2020 | 95.62 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -1.64% | +5.64% | +26.57% | -1.64% | +27.67% |
| 2019 | 25/11/2019 | 34.57 | far above SMA50 | -6.31% | -1.91% | +5.93% | -6.31% | +5.96% |
| 2018 | 23/11/2018 | 26.67 | neutral | +12.22% | -1.35% | -15.30% | -15.30% | +12.22% |
| 2017 | 24/11/2017 | 29.93 | neutral | -3.31% | -0.60% | -0.17% | -4.54% | +8.02% |
| 2016 | 23/11/2016 | 16.75 | near 52w high | -1.55% | -5.31% | -6.09% | -7.28% | +0.84% |
Upcoming 30/11/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.10% · Win 70% · DD -6.12%20 days: Avg +2.53% · Win 50% · DD -7.64%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 01/12/2025 | 34.03 | far below SMA50 | +9.55% | +7.96% | +12.17% | +0.00% | +13.08% |
| 2024 | 29/11/2024 | 53.31 | neutral | +0.28% | -1.09% | -8.29% | -8.29% | +5.06% |
| 2023 | 30/11/2023 | 25.72 | neutral | +11.16% | +35.26% | +18.62% | +0.00% | +35.26% |
| 2022 | 30/11/2022 | 52.27 | neutral | -3.96% | +2.01% | -6.83% | -11.10% | +4.59% |
| 2021 | 30/11/2021 | 123.32 | far above SMA50 | +26.02% | +0.89% | +6.89% | -9.52% | +26.02% |
| 2020 | 30/11/2020 | 101.38 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -2.32% | +1.96% | +16.43% | -7.23% | +20.42% |
| 2019 | 29/11/2019 | 34.08 | far above SMA50 | -2.90% | +3.55% | +7.86% | -4.96% | +7.86% |
| 2018 | 30/11/2018 | 29.93 | neutral | -12.09% | -21.55% | -14.70% | -24.52% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 30/11/2017 | 29.78 | neutral | +0.57% | +6.48% | -1.71% | -4.06% | +8.56% |
| 2016 | 30/11/2016 | 16.65 | near 52w high · volume x2.3 | -5.95% | -4.50% | -5.17% | -6.73% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 21/12/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.88% · Win 40% · DD -6.18%20 days: Avg -4.69% · Win 30% · DD -12.97%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 22/12/2025 | 38.05 | neutral | +0.32% | -5.97% | -14.72% | -17.95% | +0.32% |
| 2024 | 20/12/2024 | 50.73 | volume x2.7 | -3.63% | -6.43% | -4.81% | -14.17% | +0.53% |
| 2023 | 21/12/2023 | 31.48 | far above SMA50 | -3.08% | -8.26% | -7.75% | -14.45% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 21/12/2022 | 53.39 | neutral | -8.78% | -10.86% | +4.68% | -14.55% | +4.91% |
| 2021 | 21/12/2021 | 130.25 | neutral | +1.21% | -9.64% | -27.50% | -27.50% | +4.14% |
| 2020 | 21/12/2020 | 117.12 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +0.79% | -0.03% | -1.25% | -3.94% | +4.23% |
| 2019 | 20/12/2019 | 36.63 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x2.2 | +0.35% | +1.60% | -8.97% | -16.33% | +2.27% |
| 2018 | 21/12/2018 | 23.63 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x1.6 | +7.74% | +12.74% | +8.97% | -4.40% | +20.69% |
| 2017 | 21/12/2017 | 30.35 | neutral | -3.56% | +6.13% | +12.85% | -4.65% | +15.45% |
| 2016 | 21/12/2016 | 15.77 | volume x1.9 | +0.13% | +1.90% | -8.43% | -11.79% | +1.90% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp rally recently — watch for follow-through.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+8.8%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -37.6% · from 52w low: +38.6%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +4.27% · +12.51% · +26.60% · +19.77% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +12.16% · +8.76% · +9.64% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -37.59% · +38.56% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 1.04 · 0.73x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +31.98% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +28.07% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +39.68% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 26.14 · 26.96 · 26.74 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 46.98 · 21.16 |
|---|
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