🕰️ Time Machine

TSM — Taiwan Semiconductor

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026

Last price (Close)
418.51 +1.49%
Next window · Cycle 90 · in 4 days
27/10/2026
Last window · Cycle 60 · 22/10/2026
since +1.49%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 29/07/2026
372.72
Days: 61 trading / 86 calendar · return since: +12.29%
Last major high · 30/06/2026
479.00
Days: 81 trading / 115 calendar · return since: -12.63%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 29/07/2026 @ 372.72Cycle 60Trading📅 22/10/2026-1 (±2)In window
Low 29/07/2026 @ 372.72Cycle 90Calendar📅 27/10/2026+4 (±3)Upcoming
High 30/06/2026 @ 479.00Cycle 120Calendar📅 28/10/2026+5 (±3)Upcoming
High 30/06/2026 @ 479.00Cycle 90Trading📅 05/11/2026+9 (±3)Upcoming
High 30/06/2026 @ 479.00Cycle 144Calendar📅 21/11/2026+29 (±3)Upcoming
Low 29/07/2026 @ 372.72Cycle 120Calendar📅 26/11/2026+34 (±3)Upcoming
Low 29/07/2026 @ 372.72Cycle 90Trading📅 04/12/2026+29 (±3)Upcoming
High 30/06/2026 @ 479.00Cycle 120Trading📅 18/12/2026+39 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

● NR7 Compression 23/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 22/10/2026
● Gap Day 22/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 22/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 20/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 22/10/2026
● Shooting Star 07/10/2026
● Shooting Star 30/09/2026
● Failed Breakout 30/09/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 28/09/2026
● Failed Breakout 25/09/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

In window 22/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.35% · Win 60% · DD -3.15%20 days: Avg +4.65% · Win 60% · DD -4.27%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202522/10/2025288.88neutral+5.61%+1.65%-2.25%-3.80%+5.61%
202422/10/2024198.48far above SMA50-0.78%-1.37%-4.44%-6.28%+2.50%
202323/10/202391.11neutral-5.54%+1.64%+9.71%-5.62%+9.71%
202221/10/202263.75near 52w low · far below SMA50-2.73%-1.99%+29.05%-5.44%+29.05%
202122/10/2021114.23neutral-0.46%+3.13%+8.78%-0.52%+8.78%
202022/10/202088.21near 52w high-3.76%+2.52%+9.52%-4.94%+12.54%
201922/10/201950.64near 52w high · far above SMA50+1.64%+5.75%+6.16%-0.93%+6.16%
201822/10/201838.72neutral-6.17%-0.62%-6.90%-6.90%+1.19%
201723/10/201741.21near 52w high+2.23%+2.96%+2.43%-0.12%+3.15%
201624/10/201631.41near 52w high-0.99%-0.19%-5.60%-8.15%+0.45%
Upcoming 27/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.42% · Win 60% · DD -1.70%20 days: Avg +5.38% · Win 60% · DD -2.87%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/10/2025298.25near 52w high · far above SMA50+2.22%-1.00%-4.56%-7.78%+2.29%
202428/10/2024194.68neutral-1.60%-0.32%-4.93%-4.93%+3.35%
202327/10/202385.99neutral+6.74%+13.32%+13.05%+0.00%+16.25%
202227/10/202260.95near 52w low · far below SMA50-1.10%+16.23%+33.55%-1.10%+35.42%
202127/10/2021113.75neutral+0.23%+3.91%+6.12%-0.04%+9.67%
202027/10/202086.71near 52w high+1.13%+1.10%+11.45%-3.30%+14.49%
201928/10/201951.31near 52w high · far above SMA50+4.25%+2.51%+4.77%+0.00%+4.77%
201826/10/201836.67near 52w low · far below SMA50+5.75%+3.82%+0.46%-2.81%+6.84%
201727/10/201742.15near 52w high+0.09%-1.02%-2.51%-2.51%+1.99%
201627/10/201630.77near 52w high-1.59%-4.32%-3.61%-6.24%+1.88%
Upcoming 28/10/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.97% · Win 60% · DD -1.74%20 days: Avg +4.74% · Win 60% · DD -2.91%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202528/10/2025301.53near 52w high · far above SMA50-2.48%-3.44%-5.59%-8.78%+1.18%
202428/10/2024194.68neutral-1.60%-0.32%-4.93%-4.93%+3.35%
202327/10/202385.99neutral+6.74%+13.32%+13.05%+0.00%+16.25%
202228/10/202262.01near 52w low · far below SMA50+0.76%+19.06%+27.75%-2.79%+33.11%
202128/10/2021116.01neutral+1.53%+1.88%+0.93%-1.99%+7.53%
202028/10/202083.85neutral+6.68%+8.38%+16.27%+0.00%+18.39%
201928/10/201951.31near 52w high · far above SMA50+4.25%+2.51%+4.77%+0.00%+4.77%
201829/10/201836.33near 52w low · far below SMA50+5.92%+2.01%+1.29%-1.90%+7.84%
201727/10/201742.15near 52w high+0.09%-1.02%-2.51%-2.51%+1.99%
201628/10/201630.77near 52w high-1.72%-2.73%-3.61%-6.24%+1.88%
Upcoming 05/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.60% · Win 50% · DD -3.01%20 days: Avg +3.81% · Win 50% · DD -4.17%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202505/11/2025293.64neutral-1.03%-3.84%-0.24%-6.33%+0.62%
202405/11/2024195.76neutral-2.04%-3.11%+2.52%-7.44%+2.78%
202306/11/202392.60neutral+4.13%+7.95%+4.42%-1.06%+7.95%
202204/11/202262.48far below SMA50+18.17%+31.67%+30.63%+0.00%+32.81%
202105/11/2021117.80neutral+0.76%+5.48%+1.14%-0.60%+5.90%
202005/11/202090.43near 52w high-0.67%+6.83%+14.71%-3.06%+14.71%
201905/11/201953.55near 52w high · far above SMA50-2.61%+0.39%-0.69%-2.61%+0.63%
201805/11/201838.48neutral-3.69%-6.31%-2.70%-7.38%+1.82%
201706/11/201742.43near 52w high-0.99%-0.52%-7.61%-7.61%+1.32%
201604/11/201630.24near 52w high-1.03%-2.55%-4.03%-5.59%+3.67%
Upcoming 21/11/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.96% · Win 50% · DD -2.79%20 days: Avg +1.29% · Win 50% · DD -3.39%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/11/2025275.06volume x1.6+4.59%+9.75%+6.91%+0.00%+12.75%
202421/11/2024191.24neutral-3.44%+6.16%+3.45%-5.26%+6.83%
202321/11/202398.41neutral+0.48%-0.57%+2.14%-1.75%+6.05%
202221/11/202279.93far above SMA50-0.75%-0.46%-4.86%-4.86%+3.82%
202122/11/2021124.75volume x1.9-6.09%-1.95%-5.47%-7.48%+0.00%
202020/11/202095.33far above SMA50+1.77%+11.60%+10.43%+0.00%+11.60%
201921/11/201952.98near 52w high+0.21%+3.70%+10.11%-0.38%+11.80%
201821/11/201836.17near 52w low+4.87%+0.97%-1.27%-1.27%+7.08%
201721/11/201742.58near 52w high-7.44%-9.16%-7.37%-9.16%+0.96%
201621/11/201629.65near 52w low-0.34%-0.47%-1.15%-3.71%+2.39%
Upcoming 26/11/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.41% · Win 70% · DD -1.82%20 days: Avg +3.23% · Win 60% · DD -3.10%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202526/11/2025289.96neutral+1.02%+5.42%+4.72%-4.23%+6.96%
202426/11/2024183.84neutral+9.17%+5.85%+10.81%-1.44%+13.15%
202327/11/202397.21neutral-0.21%+3.85%+7.95%-0.53%+7.95%
202225/11/202281.40far above SMA50+0.12%-0.87%-7.48%-7.48%+1.94%
202126/11/2021117.09neutral+1.91%+1.74%+5.22%-1.43%+5.22%
202025/11/202097.49near 52w high · far above SMA50+2.06%+6.91%+9.16%-0.48%+9.16%
201926/11/201953.63near 52w high-0.84%+4.23%+9.37%-1.58%+10.44%
201826/11/201836.84near 52w low+5.13%-0.38%-0.22%-4.21%+5.13%
201727/11/201741.09near 52w high · volume x2.1-4.14%-4.19%-5.21%-5.87%+0.00%
201625/11/201629.66near 52w low-2.70%+1.55%-2.06%-3.74%+2.36%
Upcoming 04/12/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.32% · Win 50% · DD -2.39%20 days: Avg +4.01% · Win 80% · DD -3.43%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/12/2025292.93neutral+4.35%-2.55%+10.31%-5.20%+10.31%
202404/12/2024200.69neutral-3.03%-2.25%+4.28%-4.36%+4.28%
202304/12/202397.01neutral+4.06%+6.60%+3.74%-0.33%+8.44%
202205/12/202281.62far above SMA50-1.46%-6.23%-5.96%-9.98%+0.00%
202103/12/2021119.33neutral-0.17%-2.12%+8.38%-3.28%+8.38%
202004/12/2020103.73near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.29%+0.95%+9.17%-0.16%+9.17%
201904/12/201953.18near 52w high+5.11%+11.13%+9.94%+0.00%+13.69%
201804/12/201837.44neutral-0.16%-3.23%-6.60%-8.23%+0.00%
201704/12/201739.39neutral-0.05%+0.03%+5.89%-1.80%+5.89%
201605/12/201629.02near 52w low+3.03%+0.86%+0.96%-0.96%+4.62%
Upcoming 18/12/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.47% · Win 70% · DD -2.00%20 days: Avg +10.59% · Win 80% · DD -2.15%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202518/12/2025284.68neutral+6.38%+13.20%+14.92%+0.00%+20.28%
202418/12/2024195.56neutral+3.84%+6.67%+11.83%-0.47%+12.50%
202318/12/2023102.93neutral+1.48%-2.68%+9.81%-3.69%+9.81%
202219/12/202276.10neutral-2.34%+0.29%+16.16%-3.99%+17.57%
202117/12/2021116.32neutral+5.48%+10.73%+15.05%-1.19%+20.93%
202018/12/2020104.28near 52w high · far above SMA50+1.79%+8.14%+25.28%-0.50%+25.91%
201918/12/201959.10near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.5-0.75%-1.07%-0.19%-2.22%+2.78%
201818/12/201836.76near 52w low+0.00%-6.53%-1.28%-6.53%+1.03%
201718/12/201739.40neutral-1.14%+5.86%+13.12%-1.14%+13.12%
201619/12/201629.27near 52w low-0.58%+0.10%+1.23%-1.81%+3.07%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-3.6%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -14.1% · from 52w low: +56.9%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+1.43% · -7.68% · -7.12% · +4.05%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-6.08% · -3.60% · +5.25%
Distance from 52w high / low-14.15% · +56.85%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg13.54 · 0.83x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-1.74%
vs SPY (20d)-5.65%
vs SMH (20d)+5.96%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200445.60 · 434.12 · 397.63
52w high / low487.47 · 266.82