🕰️ Time Machine

TSM — Taiwan Semiconductor

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/07/2026

Last price (Close)
415.58 -1.34%
Next window · Cycle 120 · in 5 days
28/07/2026
Last window · Cycle 144 · 19/07/2026
since +3.30%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 30/03/2026
313.80
Days: 79 trading / 115 calendar · return since: +32.43%
Last major high · 25/02/2026
390.21
Days: 102 trading / 148 calendar · return since: +6.50%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 25/02/2026 @ 390.21Cycle 144Calendar📅 19/07/2026-4 (±3)Passed
Low 30/03/2026 @ 313.80Cycle 120Calendar📅 28/07/2026+5 (±3)Upcoming
Low 30/03/2026 @ 313.80Cycle 90Trading📅 07/08/2026+11 (±3)Upcoming
High 25/02/2026 @ 390.21Cycle 120Trading📅 18/08/2026+18 (±3)Upcoming
Low 30/03/2026 @ 313.80Cycle 144Calendar📅 21/08/2026+29 (±3)Upcoming
High 25/02/2026 @ 390.21Cycle 180Calendar📅 24/08/2026+32 (±3)Upcoming
Low 30/03/2026 @ 313.80Cycle 120Trading📅 21/09/2026+41 (±3)Upcoming
High 25/02/2026 @ 390.21Cycle 144Trading📅 22/09/2026+42 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Doji After Run 23/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 144 window · 19/07/2026
NR7 Compression 20/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 144 window · 19/07/2026
Gap Day 20/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 144 window · 19/07/2026
Failed Breakdown 15/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 144 window · 19/07/2026
Gap Day 14/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 144 window · 19/07/2026
Bullish Engulfing 24/06/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 19/07/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.13% · Win 33% · DD -3.25%20 days: Avg +1.50% · Win 44% · DD -4.57%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202518/07/2025240.40near 52w high · far above SMA50+2.16%-2.16%-0.63%-3.76%+2.16%
202419/07/2024165.77neutral-2.31%-9.60%+5.29%-10.75%+5.29%
202319/07/2023103.06neutral-3.54%-7.14%-10.95%-11.04%+0.00%
202219/07/202286.15neutral-2.01%-0.12%+4.41%-2.01%+6.29%
202119/07/2021115.35neutral+0.26%+1.31%-0.62%-1.57%+3.36%
202020/07/202066.89near 52w high · far above SMA50+24.46%+18.03%+19.88%+0.00%+24.46%
201919/07/201943.83near 52w high · volume x1.5-0.84%-4.97%-5.22%-9.03%+1.76%
201819/07/201839.81volume x2.2+2.54%+4.37%+1.51%+0.00%+5.43%
201719/07/201736.41near 52w high-0.52%-0.93%-0.19%-2.94%+1.04%
Upcoming 28/07/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.46% · Win 60% · DD -3.79%20 days: Avg -0.24% · Win 50% · DD -4.88%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202528/07/2025242.75near 52w high · far above SMA50-1.54%-0.27%-2.95%-6.35%+0.63%
202429/07/2024160.01neutral-7.54%+4.76%+5.66%-7.54%+9.65%
202328/07/2023100.86neutral-4.66%-8.79%-7.69%-9.68%+0.00%
202228/07/202288.61neutral-0.21%+1.03%-1.17%-3.84%+3.34%
202128/07/2021115.07neutral+3.19%+0.80%+1.70%-6.04%+3.61%
202028/07/202076.92far above SMA50 · volume x2.2+4.25%+1.33%+4.06%-0.14%+7.48%
201929/07/201943.94near 52w high-9.26%-6.78%-5.92%-9.26%+0.00%
201827/07/201841.45neutral+0.58%-1.01%-0.51%-3.26%+1.25%
201728/07/201735.86near 52w high+0.47%+0.78%+2.76%-1.45%+2.76%
201628/07/201628.14near 52w high+0.92%+3.55%+1.63%-1.28%+4.48%
Upcoming 07/08/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.56% · Win 20% · DD -3.85%20 days: Avg +1.46% · Win 70% · DD -4.44%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202507/08/2025242.62near 52w high-0.67%-6.30%+0.33%-6.30%+0.69%
202407/08/2024155.04neutral+9.63%+10.58%+5.59%+0.00%+13.16%
202307/08/202396.35neutral-3.40%-3.93%-1.82%-5.45%+0.00%
202208/08/202287.94neutral+4.13%-3.07%-8.99%-8.99%+4.13%
202106/08/2021118.21neutral-2.29%-8.54%+4.87%-8.54%+4.87%
202007/08/202080.03near 52w high · far above SMA50-2.02%-2.11%-1.40%-4.02%+2.67%
201907/08/201941.26neutral-2.01%+3.20%+7.22%-2.01%+7.22%
201807/08/201841.24neutral-0.80%-0.85%+7.23%-2.76%+7.23%
201707/08/201736.79near 52w high-2.01%-2.20%+0.16%-3.94%+1.17%
201608/08/201629.09near 52w high+1.03%-2.37%+1.38%-2.41%+1.38%
Upcoming 18/08/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.32% · Win 50% · DD -3.30%20 days: Avg +2.73% · Win 60% · DD -4.08%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202518/08/2025241.41near 52w high-2.41%-5.39%+8.90%-5.83%+8.90%
202419/08/2024175.45neutral-3.64%-8.53%-4.26%-10.62%+0.00%
202318/08/202391.10neutral+2.20%+2.29%-1.99%-1.99%+4.37%
202218/08/202289.27neutral-1.90%-8.55%-12.25%-12.25%+0.00%
202118/08/2021110.45neutral+5.96%+9.06%+9.81%-2.11%+12.90%
202018/08/202079.41far above SMA50+0.79%+2.69%+4.68%-3.27%+8.11%
201919/08/201941.78neutral-1.05%-0.14%+8.02%-1.99%+8.02%
201817/08/201840.13neutral+2.77%+8.65%+9.05%-0.07%+11.84%
201718/08/201735.86near 52w high+2.76%+3.79%+6.16%+0.00%+6.16%
201618/08/201629.16near 52w high-1.92%-0.69%-0.86%-2.64%+2.26%
Upcoming 21/08/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.23% · Win 80% · DD -1.72%20 days: Avg +4.35% · Win 80% · DD -2.66%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/08/2025227.33neutral+4.81%+7.07%+16.88%+0.00%+18.54%
202421/08/2024171.44neutral-1.31%-4.51%+3.17%-8.53%+3.17%
202321/08/202392.56neutral+1.56%+2.20%-4.25%-4.25%+2.72%
202222/08/202285.24neutral-2.80%-6.11%-7.80%-8.11%+2.73%
202120/08/2021108.12volume x1.8+9.59%+14.66%+6.52%+0.00%+15.33%
202021/08/202078.34far above SMA50+2.68%+0.73%+3.40%-1.30%+9.59%
201921/08/201942.58neutral-2.18%+3.90%+6.21%-3.83%+6.21%
201821/08/201840.89neutral+3.57%+8.14%+7.65%-0.51%+9.76%
201721/08/201735.98near 52w high+2.20%+2.42%+6.45%+0.00%+6.45%
201622/08/201628.40near 52w high+1.06%+3.84%+5.28%-0.04%+5.39%
Upcoming 24/08/2026 · High Cycle 180/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.10% · Win 60% · DD -2.33%20 days: Avg +3.88% · Win 80% · DD -3.20%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202525/08/2025235.59neutral-3.06%+6.51%+20.38%-3.06%+20.38%
202423/08/2024171.28neutral+0.25%-4.96%+2.41%-8.44%+3.26%
202324/08/202392.53volume x1.5+1.12%-3.12%-6.97%-7.27%+2.76%
202224/08/202285.56neutral-2.58%-6.22%-11.11%-11.11%+2.35%
202124/08/2021112.11neutral+6.15%+8.72%+3.78%+0.00%+11.23%
202024/08/202078.90far above SMA50+0.44%-2.00%+2.53%-2.00%+8.81%
201923/08/201940.95neutral+4.10%+7.08%+8.39%+0.00%+10.44%
201824/08/201841.24neutral+5.72%+8.20%+8.85%+0.00%+8.85%
201724/08/201736.83near 52w high+0.38%+1.82%+2.55%-0.16%+3.99%
201624/08/201628.39near 52w high+1.23%+4.93%+8.00%+0.00%+8.00%
Upcoming 21/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.67% · Win 70% · DD -3.28%20 days: Avg +3.49% · Win 80% · DD -4.66%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202522/09/2025272.63near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.22%+10.92%+9.20%+0.00%+11.77%
202420/09/2024174.08volume x1.5+2.23%+4.07%+15.34%-1.15%+18.24%
202321/09/202385.36neutral+1.23%+1.96%+8.84%-1.25%+8.84%
202221/09/202277.14near 52w low-6.49%-3.45%-17.47%-17.75%+0.00%
202121/09/2021114.96neutral-2.66%-4.96%+1.74%-5.17%+1.74%
202021/09/202080.59neutral-1.02%+4.90%+8.65%-3.31%+12.81%
201920/09/201943.87near 52w high+3.74%+8.09%+12.33%+0.00%+14.86%
201821/09/201844.06neutral+0.23%-5.52%-12.73%-12.73%+1.88%
201721/09/201738.24near 52w high · volume x1.7-3.11%+0.58%+7.40%-3.11%+8.53%
201621/09/201630.50near 52w high-0.56%+0.10%+1.57%-2.16%+2.79%
Upcoming 22/09/2026 · High Cycle 144/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.22% · Win 70% · DD -3.17%20 days: Avg +3.58% · Win 70% · DD -4.56%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202522/09/2025272.63near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.22%+10.92%+9.20%+0.00%+11.77%
202423/09/2024174.76neutral-0.62%+5.58%+15.56%-1.54%+17.78%
202322/09/202385.64neutral+1.47%+4.26%+6.62%-1.58%+8.49%
202222/09/202275.63near 52w low · far below SMA50-8.40%-1.69%-15.93%-16.10%+0.00%
202122/09/2021115.87neutral-3.67%-5.64%-0.24%-5.91%+0.94%
202022/09/202080.48neutral+0.04%+3.28%+9.67%-3.18%+12.96%
201923/09/201944.07near 52w high+5.47%+8.80%+13.46%+0.00%+14.34%
201821/09/201844.06neutral+0.23%-5.52%-12.73%-12.73%+1.88%
201722/09/201737.77near 52w high-0.58%+1.83%+8.87%-1.91%+9.88%
201622/09/201630.66near 52w high-0.85%+0.36%+1.30%-2.67%+2.25%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-2.4%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -13.2% · from 52w low: +85.8%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+1.43% · -4.89% · -5.73% · +2.86%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-3.40% · -2.43% · +17.29%
Distance from 52w high / low-13.24% · +85.78%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg16.18 · 0.73x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-3.10%
vs SPY (20d)-6.40%
vs SMH (20d)+0.53%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200430.20 · 425.95 · 354.32
52w high / low479.00 · 223.70