🕰️ Time Machine

UPBD — Upbound Group, Inc.

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026

Last price (Close)
18.20 +0.50%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 5 days
15/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 28/08/2026
since -5.31%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 19/05/2026
16.71
Days: 78 trading / 114 calendar · return since: +8.92%
Last major high · 17/07/2026
23.10
Days: 38 trading / 55 calendar · return since: -21.21%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 17/07/2026 @ 23.10Cycle 30Trading📅 28/08/2026-8 (±2)Passed
High 17/07/2026 @ 23.10Cycle 45Calendar📅 31/08/2026-10 (±2)Passed
High 17/07/2026 @ 23.10Cycle 60Calendar📅 15/09/2026+5 (±2)Upcoming
Low 19/05/2026 @ 16.71Cycle 120Calendar📅 16/09/2026+6 (±3)Upcoming
High 17/07/2026 @ 23.10Cycle 45Trading📅 21/09/2026+7 (±2)Upcoming
Low 19/05/2026 @ 16.71Cycle 90Trading📅 28/09/2026+12 (±3)Upcoming
Low 19/05/2026 @ 16.71Cycle 144Calendar📅 10/10/2026+30 (±3)Upcoming
High 17/07/2026 @ 23.10Cycle 60Trading📅 12/10/2026+22 (±2)Upcoming
High 17/07/2026 @ 23.10Cycle 90Calendar📅 15/10/2026+35 (±3)Upcoming
Low 19/05/2026 @ 16.71Cycle 120Trading📅 09/11/2026+42 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Failed Breakdown 10/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 15/09/2026
Failed Breakdown 01/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 31/08/2026
Doji After Run 26/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 28/08/2026
Hammer Reversal 12/08/2026
Failed Breakdown 12/08/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 28/08/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -3.87% · Win 22% · DD -5.47%20 days: Avg -6.33% · Win 11% · DD -9.39%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202528/08/202525.86neutral-1.78%-3.25%-5.49%-7.27%+5.76%
202428/08/202433.47neutral-4.21%-10.91%-5.38%-10.91%+0.00%
202328/08/202330.33neutral-0.69%+0.07%-4.22%-5.37%+3.30%
202229/08/202227.23far above SMA50-7.23%-5.25%-17.37%-18.73%+0.00%
202127/08/202165.19near 52w high · far above SMA50-1.40%-7.09%-5.89%-8.59%+0.00%
202028/08/202031.84near 52w high-7.51%-5.78%-4.40%-10.93%+0.00%
201928/08/201926.23neutral-2.33%-2.78%+0.01%-5.22%+2.29%
201828/08/201814.74near 52w high+0.14%+0.34%-3.80%-4.00%+0.34%
201728/08/201712.48neutral-2.96%-0.16%-10.42%-13.46%+1.92%
Passed 31/08/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.24% · Win 44% · DD -3.96%20 days: Avg -4.64% · Win 11% · DD -7.67%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/08/202525.41neutral+0.00%+6.53%-4.64%-5.63%+7.63%
202430/08/202433.30neutral-8.44%-8.41%-3.93%-10.45%+0.00%
202331/08/202330.62neutral-1.27%-4.74%-3.82%-6.27%+2.32%
202231/08/202225.84neutral+0.46%+1.04%-13.58%-14.36%+4.22%
202131/08/202163.08far above SMA50-2.65%-3.96%-7.29%-7.29%+1.90%
202031/08/202030.70neutral-6.51%-4.56%-1.47%-7.62%+2.15%
201930/08/201925.53neutral+0.31%+0.51%+2.00%-2.62%+2.75%
201831/08/201814.74near 52w high+0.20%-1.22%-3.93%-4.00%+0.34%
201731/08/201712.10neutral+2.48%+3.64%-5.12%-10.74%+5.12%
Upcoming 15/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.94% · Win 40% · DD -5.47%20 days: Avg -8.68% · Win 20% · DD -12.91%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202515/09/202527.07far above SMA50 · volume x2.2-5.80%-10.49%-21.38%-23.29%+1.03%
202416/09/202430.50neutral-0.36%+4.89%-2.58%-5.93%+6.33%
202315/09/202329.17volume x5.7-0.41%+0.96%-0.25%-2.23%+2.83%
202215/09/202226.11neutral-10.95%-14.48%-22.47%-32.94%+0.00%
202115/09/202160.58neutral+1.98%-3.46%-13.15%-13.15%+3.37%
202015/09/202029.30neutral+1.88%+3.24%+16.83%-3.21%+17.94%
201916/09/201925.66neutral+1.76%+1.48%+2.47%-1.03%+4.36%
201814/09/201814.57near 52w high · volume x2.4-1.24%-1.30%-1.78%-2.88%+0.00%
201715/09/201712.54volume x2.0-13.88%-8.45%-15.71%-15.71%+0.00%
201615/09/201612.66near 52w high+0.55%-1.82%-28.77%-28.77%+4.06%
Upcoming 16/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -4.43% · Win 50% · DD -6.78%20 days: Avg -8.13% · Win 20% · DD -12.19%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202516/09/202527.35far above SMA50 · volume x1.6-8.04%-12.19%-20.40%-24.08%+0.00%
202416/09/202430.50neutral-0.36%+4.89%-2.58%-5.93%+6.33%
202315/09/202329.17volume x5.7-0.41%+0.96%-0.25%-2.23%+2.83%
202216/09/202224.15volume x2.4-5.42%-27.49%-20.44%-27.49%+2.73%
202116/09/202161.56neutral+1.72%-8.22%-12.05%-14.54%+1.72%
202016/09/202028.61neutral+6.36%+4.47%+16.05%-0.87%+20.78%
201916/09/201925.66neutral+1.76%+1.48%+2.47%-1.03%+4.36%
201817/09/201814.56near 52w high-1.17%-2.75%-1.17%-2.82%+0.00%
201715/09/201712.54volume x2.0-13.88%-8.45%-15.71%-15.71%+0.00%
201616/09/201612.35near 52w high+3.81%+3.01%-27.23%-27.23%+6.67%
Upcoming 21/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.38% · Win 40% · DD -6.31%20 days: Avg -6.10% · Win 20% · DD -10.80%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202522/09/202525.50neutral-4.98%-12.19%-10.84%-18.57%+0.00%
202420/09/202430.33volume x2.2+6.92%-0.63%-0.30%-5.40%+6.92%
202321/09/202329.05neutral+2.75%-0.33%-3.29%-3.29%+3.50%
202221/09/202223.82neutral-1.51%-13.99%-25.55%-26.49%+0.00%
202121/09/202160.73neutral-2.61%-8.90%-9.83%-13.37%+3.11%
202021/09/202029.13volume x1.7+4.50%+12.70%+14.81%-2.27%+18.62%
201920/09/201925.69volume x2.0-0.04%+0.62%+2.65%-2.10%+4.67%
201821/09/201814.39near 52w high · volume x3.6-0.07%-0.76%-0.90%-1.67%+0.00%
201721/09/201710.87far below SMA50 · volume x2.1+6.07%+5.34%-2.12%-5.98%+6.07%
201621/09/201612.63near 52w high-1.03%+4.31%-25.65%-28.84%+4.31%
Upcoming 28/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -6.43% · Win 20% · DD -10.34%20 days: Avg -8.99% · Win 20% · DD -13.13%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/09/202524.23volume x1.6-7.59%-12.16%-2.35%-14.30%+0.00%
202427/09/202432.43neutral-7.07%-9.94%-16.42%-16.42%+0.00%
202328/09/202329.85neutral-3.00%-3.31%-13.88%-13.88%+0.73%
202228/09/202223.46far below SMA50-12.67%-14.93%-13.67%-25.36%+0.00%
202128/09/202158.84neutral-6.46%-9.33%-7.89%-11.05%+0.00%
202028/09/202030.44neutral+7.85%+12.66%+4.40%-1.81%+13.52%
201927/09/201925.68neutral+0.66%+3.27%+1.40%-2.06%+7.36%
201828/09/201814.38near 52w high-0.70%-0.49%-3.27%-3.27%+0.07%
201728/09/201711.53neutral-0.69%-6.94%-15.00%-15.00%+0.00%
201628/09/201612.50near 52w high+5.39%-23.11%-23.27%-28.10%+5.39%
Upcoming 10/10/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -4.18% · Win 20% · DD -8.09%20 days: Avg -5.92% · Win 30% · DD -13.74%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/10/202520.43near 52w low · far below SMA50+6.51%+11.26%-12.87%-12.87%+15.52%
202410/10/202429.03neutral+5.37%-6.68%+12.99%-7.92%+17.43%
202310/10/202329.65neutral+0.24%-12.65%-2.23%-14.77%+0.24%
202210/10/202219.02far below SMA50-0.79%-4.21%+11.57%-9.15%+11.78%
202111/10/202153.71far below SMA50+1.14%+8.60%-17.63%-19.08%+8.60%
202009/10/202034.25near 52w high · far above SMA50-1.72%-4.35%-10.48%-10.69%+0.00%
201910/10/201925.93neutral+3.70%-0.39%-13.65%-13.65%+6.32%
201810/10/201814.29near 52w high+0.28%-0.70%+1.19%-2.66%+1.19%
201710/10/201711.33neutral-8.74%-6.88%-10.41%-15.98%+0.00%
201610/10/201612.88near 52w high-30.36%-25.78%-17.70%-30.67%+0.00%
Upcoming 12/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.47% · Win 30% · DD -6.16%20 days: Avg -2.08% · Win 50% · DD -11.18%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202513/10/202520.94far below SMA50+6.83%+11.17%-16.33%-16.33%+12.70%
202411/10/202428.87neutral+3.53%-7.20%+14.20%-7.41%+18.08%
202312/10/202328.53neutral-2.66%-10.94%+0.00%-11.43%+4.17%
202212/10/202219.57far below SMA50-11.14%+1.48%+4.45%-11.70%+8.84%
202112/10/202153.35far below SMA50 · volume x2.0+2.12%+1.59%-16.63%-18.54%+9.33%
202012/10/202033.99near 52w high-2.47%-7.33%-10.30%-10.30%+0.00%
201911/10/201926.52volume x1.7-0.57%-1.81%-15.42%-15.57%+3.96%
201812/10/201814.31near 52w high-0.35%-2.80%+0.84%-2.80%+1.26%
201712/10/201710.73far below SMA50-0.84%-8.67%+1.68%-11.28%+1.68%
201612/10/20169.55volume x2.2-2.30%-0.21%+16.75%-6.49%+16.75%
Upcoming 15/10/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.30% · Win 50% · DD -5.10%20 days: Avg +2.85% · Win 50% · DD -10.18%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202515/10/202521.67neutral+3.78%+6.65%-19.43%-19.43%+8.91%
202415/10/202429.88neutral-5.09%-10.54%+11.51%-10.54%+14.09%
202316/10/202329.36neutral-7.66%-11.34%-3.37%-13.93%+1.23%
202214/10/202218.84far below SMA50-5.73%+9.50%+21.55%-8.28%+21.55%
202115/10/202152.93far below SMA50+8.54%+0.62%-11.71%-17.89%+10.20%
202015/10/202033.77near 52w high-4.35%-3.79%-4.95%-9.77%+0.00%
201915/10/201925.31neutral+6.05%+4.35%-6.08%-11.73%+8.93%
201815/10/201814.39near 52w high-0.63%-2.92%+0.21%-3.34%+0.69%
201716/10/201710.22far below SMA50+2.25%-1.47%+9.00%-6.85%+11.45%
201614/10/20168.93neutral+6.38%+11.98%+31.80%+0.00%+31.80%
Upcoming 09/11/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.71% · Win 90% · DD -1.28%20 days: Avg +9.80% · Win 100% · DD -1.87%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/11/202517.52near 52w low · far below SMA50-6.05%-0.11%+3.82%-8.11%+8.22%
202408/11/202432.97neutral-3.61%+2.52%+3.97%-3.61%+6.19%
202309/11/202328.53neutral+1.47%+1.26%+11.29%-0.56%+11.29%
202209/11/202220.44neutral+6.36%+9.54%+16.00%+0.00%+17.86%
202109/11/202144.48far below SMA50+5.40%+4.56%+14.32%-2.47%+14.32%
202009/11/202030.49neutral+13.84%+16.04%+12.92%-0.07%+19.38%
201908/11/201922.43far below SMA50 · volume x1.7+8.92%+12.04%+22.20%-0.40%+22.20%
201809/11/201814.43near 52w high+0.21%+1.25%+0.83%-0.07%+1.73%
201709/11/201710.91neutral+8.43%+0.18%+7.97%+0.00%+8.43%
201609/11/201611.15neutral+1.97%+9.87%+4.66%-3.41%+10.31%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· If it holds above SMA50 (-8.8%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -35.1% · from 52w low: +15.0%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-3.19% · -6.38% · -4.41% · -0.71%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-3.99% · -8.83% · -5.01%
Distance from 52w high / low-35.07% · +15.04%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.59 · 0.85x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-2.34%
vs SPY (20d)-2.52%
vs SMH (20d)-0.21%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20018.96 · 19.96 · 19.16
52w high / low28.03 · 15.82