🕰️ Time Machine
URBN — Urban Outfitters, Inc.
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026
Last price (Close)
86.55 -1.97%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in window
23/10/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 22/10/2026
since -1.97%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 23/09/2026
73.62
Days: 22 trading / 30 calendar · return since: +17.56%
Last major high · 27/08/2026
85.43
Days: 40 trading / 57 calendar · return since: +1.31%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 27/08/2026 @ 85.43 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 09/10/2026 | -10 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 23/09/2026 @ 73.62 | Fib 13 | Trading | 📅 12/10/2026 | -9 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 23/09/2026 @ 73.62 | Fib 21 | Calendar | 📅 14/10/2026 | -9 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 23/09/2026 @ 73.62 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 22/10/2026 | -1 (±1) | In window |
| Low 23/09/2026 @ 73.62 | Cycle 30 | Calendar | 📅 23/10/2026 | +0 (±2) | In window |
| High 27/08/2026 @ 85.43 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 26/10/2026 | +3 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 27/08/2026 @ 85.43 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 30/10/2026 | +5 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 23/09/2026 @ 73.62 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 04/11/2026 | +8 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 23/09/2026 @ 73.62 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 07/11/2026 | +15 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 27/08/2026 @ 85.43 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 20/11/2026 | +20 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 23/09/2026 @ 73.62 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 22/11/2026 | +30 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 23/09/2026 @ 73.62 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 25/11/2026 | +23 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 27/08/2026 @ 85.43 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 25/11/2026 | +33 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 23/09/2026 @ 73.62 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 17/12/2026 | +38 (±2) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Bullish Engulfing 22/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 22/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 19/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 22/10/2026
● Shooting Star 16/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 14/10/2026
● Failed Breakout 16/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 14/10/2026
● Failed Breakout 09/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 09/10/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 09/10/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.62% · Win 67% · DD -3.40%20 days: Avg +5.80% · Win 89% · DD -4.36%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 09/10/2025 | 70.19 | neutral | -5.11% | -3.80% | -10.91% | -11.65% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 09/10/2024 | 36.19 | neutral | +3.70% | -2.63% | +0.19% | -3.40% | +3.79% |
| 2023 | 09/10/2023 | 31.52 | neutral | +4.35% | +5.11% | +13.20% | +0.00% | +13.61% |
| 2022 | 10/10/2022 | 22.00 | neutral | +4.55% | +6.91% | +6.55% | -1.27% | +12.18% |
| 2021 | 08/10/2021 | 29.69 | far below SMA50 | +1.89% | +3.84% | +19.54% | -3.54% | +19.54% |
| 2020 | 09/10/2020 | 23.60 | neutral | +1.86% | +4.62% | +0.55% | -5.34% | +4.62% |
| 2019 | 09/10/2019 | 26.81 | far above SMA50 | +1.16% | +7.94% | +13.09% | -1.38% | +13.09% |
| 2018 | 09/10/2018 | 39.88 | neutral | -5.14% | -5.99% | +1.18% | -9.38% | +1.18% |
| 2017 | 09/10/2017 | 22.95 | neutral | -0.04% | +7.63% | +8.85% | -3.31% | +9.54% |
Passed 12/10/2026 · Low Fib 13/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.35% · Win 78% · DD -2.60%20 days: Avg +7.11% · Win 89% · DD -3.49%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 13/10/2025 | 69.02 | neutral | -3.12% | -1.94% | -10.14% | -10.16% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 11/10/2024 | 36.30 | neutral | +2.87% | -3.11% | +3.91% | -3.69% | +3.91% |
| 2023 | 12/10/2023 | 32.03 | neutral | +5.78% | +6.84% | +8.99% | -1.31% | +12.08% |
| 2022 | 12/10/2022 | 21.72 | neutral | +4.51% | +12.75% | +4.19% | +0.00% | +13.63% |
| 2021 | 12/10/2021 | 29.78 | far below SMA50 | +2.62% | +4.77% | +19.58% | +0.00% | +19.58% |
| 2020 | 12/10/2020 | 23.54 | neutral | -2.68% | +1.06% | +12.36% | -5.10% | +12.36% |
| 2019 | 11/10/2019 | 27.78 | far above SMA50 | -0.32% | +6.01% | +7.78% | -4.82% | +10.04% |
| 2018 | 12/10/2018 | 38.59 | far below SMA50 | -6.35% | +0.03% | +4.79% | -6.35% | +7.18% |
| 2017 | 12/10/2017 | 22.19 | volume x1.7 | +6.89% | +12.75% | +12.53% | +0.00% | +13.29% |
Passed 14/10/2026 · Low Fib 21/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.00% · Win 67% · DD -1.89%20 days: Avg +9.38% · Win 89% · DD -2.90%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 14/10/2025 | 67.92 | neutral | +0.12% | -1.06% | -9.64% | -9.64% | +0.12% |
| 2024 | 14/10/2024 | 36.85 | neutral | -0.43% | -0.11% | +5.64% | -5.13% | +5.64% |
| 2023 | 13/10/2023 | 31.61 | neutral | +5.28% | +6.99% | +11.99% | +0.00% | +13.57% |
| 2022 | 14/10/2022 | 22.17 | neutral | +4.83% | +11.32% | +14.34% | -0.14% | +14.34% |
| 2021 | 14/10/2021 | 30.22 | far below SMA50 | +0.53% | +4.96% | +16.94% | +0.00% | +17.84% |
| 2020 | 14/10/2020 | 23.71 | neutral | -2.66% | -4.05% | +12.53% | -5.78% | +16.36% |
| 2019 | 14/10/2019 | 26.44 | neutral | +5.07% | +13.46% | +15.58% | +0.00% | +15.62% |
| 2018 | 15/10/2018 | 38.22 | far below SMA50 | -2.01% | +1.91% | +4.32% | -5.44% | +8.22% |
| 2017 | 13/10/2017 | 22.54 | volume x1.6 | +9.27% | +11.54% | +12.69% | +0.00% | +12.69% |
In window 22/10/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.67% · Win 60% · DD -2.83%20 days: Avg +7.00% · Win 70% · DD -3.92%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 22/10/2025 | 67.88 | neutral | -2.21% | -4.99% | -12.24% | -12.24% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 22/10/2024 | 36.07 | neutral | +1.36% | +0.75% | +4.30% | -3.08% | +8.84% |
| 2023 | 23/10/2023 | 33.13 | neutral | +1.99% | +7.70% | +11.29% | +0.00% | +11.29% |
| 2022 | 21/10/2022 | 23.24 | neutral | +6.20% | -0.52% | +12.05% | -2.62% | +12.05% |
| 2021 | 22/10/2021 | 30.83 | neutral | +3.57% | +15.12% | +17.32% | +0.00% | +22.12% |
| 2020 | 22/10/2020 | 24.64 | neutral | -8.36% | -1.83% | +17.61% | -9.33% | +17.61% |
| 2019 | 22/10/2019 | 28.79 | far above SMA50 | +2.01% | +5.14% | +0.00% | -0.31% | +7.88% |
| 2018 | 22/10/2018 | 37.45 | far below SMA50 | +4.01% | +7.58% | -4.91% | -4.91% | +10.44% |
| 2017 | 23/10/2017 | 24.70 | far above SMA50 | -0.61% | +1.13% | +14.45% | -2.06% | +14.45% |
| 2016 | 24/10/2016 | 33.74 | near 52w high | -0.86% | -3.38% | +10.17% | -4.65% | +16.69% |
In window 23/10/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.42% · Win 60% · DD -2.74%20 days: Avg +6.18% · Win 70% · DD -5.33%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 23/10/2025 | 67.52 | neutral | -2.50% | -7.39% | -9.42% | -11.77% | +0.37% |
| 2024 | 23/10/2024 | 35.24 | neutral | +3.63% | +2.89% | +4.74% | -0.79% | +11.41% |
| 2023 | 23/10/2023 | 33.13 | neutral | +1.99% | +7.70% | +11.29% | +0.00% | +11.29% |
| 2022 | 24/10/2022 | 23.52 | neutral | +1.45% | -0.34% | +8.55% | -3.78% | +10.71% |
| 2021 | 22/10/2021 | 30.83 | neutral | +3.57% | +15.12% | +17.32% | +0.00% | +22.12% |
| 2020 | 23/10/2020 | 24.69 | neutral | -9.52% | -3.89% | +22.80% | -9.52% | +22.80% |
| 2019 | 23/10/2019 | 28.94 | far above SMA50 | +0.41% | +4.77% | -15.65% | -15.65% | +7.33% |
| 2018 | 23/10/2018 | 37.49 | far below SMA50 | +7.50% | +7.63% | -2.43% | -5.01% | +10.32% |
| 2017 | 23/10/2017 | 24.70 | far above SMA50 | -0.61% | +1.13% | +14.45% | -2.06% | +14.45% |
| 2016 | 24/10/2016 | 33.74 | near 52w high | -0.86% | -3.38% | +10.17% | -4.65% | +16.69% |
Upcoming 26/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.60% · Win 70% · DD -3.59%20 days: Avg +5.59% · Win 60% · DD -6.75%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 27/10/2025 | 67.68 | neutral | -8.38% | -8.36% | -8.07% | -11.98% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 25/10/2024 | 35.17 | neutral | +1.48% | +7.25% | +10.83% | +0.00% | +11.63% |
| 2023 | 26/10/2023 | 34.22 | neutral | +2.07% | +2.02% | -4.88% | -7.01% | +7.74% |
| 2022 | 26/10/2022 | 24.49 | far above SMA50 | -6.53% | -7.59% | +13.03% | -7.59% | +13.52% |
| 2021 | 26/10/2021 | 31.20 | neutral | +5.16% | +14.13% | +8.33% | -1.12% | +20.67% |
| 2020 | 26/10/2020 | 23.79 | neutral | -2.44% | +11.18% | +33.08% | -6.10% | +33.08% |
| 2019 | 25/10/2019 | 29.45 | far above SMA50 | +0.54% | +1.66% | -13.31% | -17.11% | +5.47% |
| 2018 | 26/10/2018 | 38.60 | neutral | +3.45% | +4.77% | -4.40% | -7.75% | +7.15% |
| 2017 | 26/10/2017 | 25.02 | far above SMA50 | -0.68% | -0.20% | +20.54% | -3.32% | +20.54% |
| 2016 | 26/10/2016 | 34.06 | near 52w high | -3.52% | +1.12% | +0.73% | -5.55% | +15.59% |
Upcoming 30/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +6.42% · Win 80% · DD -2.33%20 days: Avg +9.89% · Win 70% · DD -5.59%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 30/10/2025 | 65.83 | neutral | -5.01% | -4.00% | +12.52% | -9.51% | +17.82% |
| 2024 | 30/10/2024 | 36.52 | neutral | -0.71% | +7.50% | +30.04% | -2.27% | +30.04% |
| 2023 | 30/10/2023 | 33.79 | neutral | +5.59% | +1.36% | +3.43% | -5.83% | +9.12% |
| 2022 | 31/10/2022 | 23.86 | neutral | -1.76% | +6.12% | +19.61% | -5.16% | +19.61% |
| 2021 | 29/10/2021 | 31.93 | neutral | +11.15% | +11.62% | +1.91% | -0.25% | +17.91% |
| 2020 | 30/10/2020 | 22.34 | neutral | +6.22% | +19.20% | +22.56% | +0.00% | +41.72% |
| 2019 | 30/10/2019 | 29.06 | far above SMA50 | +4.34% | +6.02% | -10.91% | -16.00% | +6.88% |
| 2018 | 30/10/2018 | 40.30 | neutral | +0.12% | -2.56% | -5.78% | -11.64% | +2.63% |
| 2017 | 30/10/2017 | 24.55 | neutral | +1.75% | +1.63% | +28.59% | -1.47% | +28.59% |
| 2016 | 31/10/2016 | 33.45 | near 52w high | -2.54% | +17.34% | -3.08% | -3.83% | +17.70% |
Upcoming 04/11/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +6.52% · Win 80% · DD -2.43%20 days: Avg +11.29% · Win 70% · DD -6.58%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/11/2025 | 63.09 | neutral | -2.73% | -2.69% | +25.52% | -5.58% | +25.52% |
| 2024 | 04/11/2024 | 36.08 | neutral | +7.90% | +6.43% | +40.52% | +0.00% | +41.49% |
| 2023 | 03/11/2023 | 35.81 | neutral | -1.14% | +2.74% | +2.76% | -11.14% | +5.47% |
| 2022 | 04/11/2022 | 23.12 | neutral | +9.65% | +12.63% | +25.35% | -2.12% | +27.72% |
| 2021 | 04/11/2021 | 35.20 | far above SMA50 | +0.40% | +6.39% | -10.23% | -13.01% | +6.96% |
| 2020 | 04/11/2020 | 23.30 | neutral | +14.51% | +20.73% | +21.16% | +0.00% | +35.88% |
| 2019 | 04/11/2019 | 29.81 | far above SMA50 | +2.52% | +1.17% | -18.45% | -18.45% | +4.19% |
| 2018 | 05/11/2018 | 40.29 | neutral | -1.04% | -11.62% | -6.92% | -11.62% | +2.66% |
| 2017 | 03/11/2017 | 24.72 | neutral | +2.75% | +12.86% | +29.98% | -2.14% | +29.98% |
| 2016 | 04/11/2016 | 32.17 | near 52w low | +17.72% | +16.60% | +3.17% | -1.77% | +22.38% |
Upcoming 07/11/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.38% · Win 80% · DD -4.90%20 days: Avg +9.80% · Win 60% · DD -7.14%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 07/11/2025 | 63.90 | neutral | -3.82% | +0.33% | +18.73% | -6.78% | +23.93% |
| 2024 | 07/11/2024 | 37.31 | neutral | +4.10% | +0.13% | +33.96% | -1.07% | +40.85% |
| 2023 | 07/11/2023 | 35.90 | neutral | -0.84% | +1.14% | -1.67% | -11.36% | +5.21% |
| 2022 | 07/11/2022 | 23.44 | neutral | +8.02% | +8.92% | +22.74% | -3.46% | +25.98% |
| 2021 | 08/11/2021 | 34.86 | neutral | +5.85% | +6.91% | -6.00% | -12.16% | +8.00% |
| 2020 | 06/11/2020 | 23.73 | neutral | +12.22% | +27.77% | +16.31% | +0.00% | +33.42% |
| 2019 | 07/11/2019 | 30.57 | far above SMA50 | +0.52% | -17.89% | -14.56% | -20.48% | +1.60% |
| 2018 | 07/11/2018 | 40.68 | neutral | -6.02% | -8.06% | -8.95% | -12.46% | +1.67% |
| 2017 | 07/11/2017 | 24.32 | neutral | +3.21% | +20.56% | +34.21% | -0.53% | +34.21% |
| 2016 | 07/11/2016 | 32.60 | near 52w low | +20.40% | +14.02% | +3.19% | -3.07% | +20.77% |
Upcoming 20/11/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.91% · Win 60% · DD -5.53%20 days: Avg +4.84% · Win 50% · DD -8.41%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 20/11/2025 | 61.16 | neutral | +21.11% | +23.76% | +32.98% | +0.00% | +35.22% |
| 2024 | 20/11/2024 | 36.91 | neutral | +28.66% | +37.25% | +45.60% | +0.00% | +49.39% |
| 2023 | 20/11/2023 | 36.87 | near 52w high · volume x1.8 | -5.21% | -6.29% | +2.09% | -13.70% | +2.44% |
| 2022 | 21/11/2022 | 25.53 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.5 | +11.79% | +12.69% | -1.65% | -1.65% | +15.67% |
| 2021 | 19/11/2021 | 36.17 | far above SMA50 | -10.04% | -11.53% | -24.80% | -24.80% | +3.04% |
| 2020 | 20/11/2020 | 30.32 | far above SMA50 · volume x2.2 | -9.70% | -8.97% | -12.99% | -13.98% | +4.42% |
| 2019 | 20/11/2019 | 24.41 | far below SMA50 · volume x5.0 | +6.06% | +3.93% | +13.44% | -0.41% | +14.75% |
| 2018 | 20/11/2018 | 36.58 | volume x2.5 | +3.80% | +3.44% | -10.42% | -10.42% | +7.46% |
| 2017 | 20/11/2017 | 28.27 | far above SMA50 · volume x3.7 | +11.67% | +14.29% | +22.32% | +0.00% | +22.32% |
| 2016 | 21/11/2016 | 37.17 | neutral | -12.78% | -9.50% | -18.21% | -19.16% | +4.95% |
Upcoming 22/11/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.72% · Win 60% · DD -6.22%20 days: Avg +1.55% · Win 50% · DD -10.11%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 21/11/2025 | 64.11 | volume x1.6 | +22.15% | +18.34% | +24.97% | -2.95% | +29.00% |
| 2024 | 22/11/2024 | 38.98 | neutral | +30.96% | +26.27% | +40.20% | +0.00% | +41.46% |
| 2023 | 22/11/2023 | 31.82 | volume x4.6 | +12.19% | +13.14% | +15.59% | +0.00% | +18.70% |
| 2022 | 22/11/2022 | 27.80 | far above SMA50 · volume x3.2 | +4.10% | +4.46% | -9.24% | -9.68% | +6.22% |
| 2021 | 22/11/2021 | 37.27 | far above SMA50 · volume x2.6 | -15.03% | -12.07% | -24.17% | -27.02% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 23/11/2020 | 31.66 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.8 | -13.55% | -13.93% | -18.64% | -18.64% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 22/11/2019 | 25.53 | neutral | -0.86% | +4.62% | +7.36% | -4.78% | +9.71% |
| 2018 | 21/11/2018 | 37.40 | neutral | -0.86% | -0.96% | -14.76% | -14.76% | +5.11% |
| 2017 | 22/11/2017 | 29.80 | far above SMA50 | +4.43% | +9.16% | +17.45% | +0.00% | +17.45% |
| 2016 | 22/11/2016 | 39.01 | near 52w high · volume x2.2 | -19.00% | -11.84% | -23.30% | -23.30% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 25/11/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.74% · Win 60% · DD -3.65%20 days: Avg +2.11% · Win 50% · DD -8.19%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 25/11/2025 | 68.31 | volume x2.8 | +15.93% | +15.69% | +14.46% | +0.00% | +21.07% |
| 2024 | 25/11/2024 | 40.46 | volume x2.3 | +25.31% | +24.94% | +34.82% | -0.79% | +36.28% |
| 2023 | 24/11/2023 | 32.55 | neutral | +16.04% | +10.94% | +11.43% | +0.00% | +16.04% |
| 2022 | 25/11/2022 | 28.29 | far above SMA50 | +4.38% | -3.29% | -14.74% | -14.74% | +4.38% |
| 2021 | 24/11/2021 | 33.04 | neutral | -4.51% | -4.93% | -11.86% | -17.68% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 25/11/2020 | 29.76 | far above SMA50 | -5.14% | -8.64% | -10.08% | -13.44% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 25/11/2019 | 25.84 | neutral | -5.92% | +5.80% | +4.99% | -5.92% | +8.40% |
| 2018 | 26/11/2018 | 36.90 | neutral | +6.53% | -4.74% | -7.70% | -14.01% | +6.53% |
| 2017 | 24/11/2017 | 30.16 | far above SMA50 | +3.85% | +9.71% | +15.12% | +0.00% | +16.05% |
| 2016 | 25/11/2016 | 33.56 | near 52w low | -5.63% | +1.88% | -15.32% | -15.32% | +5.30% |
Upcoming 17/12/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.46% · Win 40% · DD -5.43%20 days: Avg -2.56% · Win 30% · DD -7.68%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 17/12/2025 | 80.91 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -3.36% | -6.88% | -14.13% | -14.13% | +1.42% |
| 2024 | 17/12/2024 | 55.14 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -1.07% | +3.08% | -0.24% | -3.81% | +5.98% |
| 2023 | 18/12/2023 | 37.15 | near 52w high | -2.75% | -6.84% | +5.22% | -7.46% | +5.76% |
| 2022 | 16/12/2022 | 26.27 | neutral | -8.18% | -7.65% | +3.43% | -10.20% | +9.29% |
| 2021 | 17/12/2021 | 28.43 | far below SMA50 | +3.45% | +4.82% | -1.34% | -4.33% | +5.70% |
| 2020 | 17/12/2020 | 26.94 | neutral | -0.67% | -8.87% | +1.30% | -8.87% | +12.51% |
| 2019 | 17/12/2019 | 27.41 | neutral | -1.02% | +1.53% | -1.86% | -4.82% | +6.02% |
| 2018 | 17/12/2018 | 33.40 | far below SMA50 | -5.00% | -0.63% | -4.40% | -5.00% | +1.98% |
| 2017 | 18/12/2017 | 34.50 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +3.28% | +3.28% | -1.91% | -6.17% | +3.88% |
| 2016 | 16/12/2016 | 30.56 | near 52w low | -7.00% | -6.48% | -11.71% | -11.98% | +0.00% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+9.1%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -4.5% · from 52w low: +45.4%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -0.02% · +5.32% · +14.86% · +14.27% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +4.66% · +9.13% · +19.03% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -4.46% · +45.36% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 2.63 · 0.76x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +20.25% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +16.34% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +27.95% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 82.70 · 79.31 · 72.71 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 90.59 · 59.54 |
|---|
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