🕰️ Time Machine

VLO — Valero Energy

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 11/09/2026

Last price (Close)
394.81 +2.43%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in window · in 2 days
15/09/2026
Last window
Trend
Strong uptrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 18/06/2026
232.72
Days: 58 trading / 85 calendar · return since: +69.65%
Last major high · 30/03/2026
258.43
Days: 114 trading / 165 calendar · return since: +52.77%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 18/06/2026 @ 232.72Cycle 60Trading📅 15/09/2026+2 (±2)In window
Low 18/06/2026 @ 232.72Cycle 90Calendar📅 16/09/2026+5 (±3)Upcoming
High 30/03/2026 @ 258.43Cycle 120Trading📅 21/09/2026+6 (±3)Upcoming
High 30/03/2026 @ 258.43Cycle 180Calendar📅 26/09/2026+15 (±3)Upcoming
Low 18/06/2026 @ 232.72Cycle 120Calendar📅 16/10/2026+35 (±3)Upcoming
High 30/03/2026 @ 258.43Cycle 144Trading📅 23/10/2026+30 (±3)Upcoming
Low 18/06/2026 @ 232.72Cycle 90Trading📅 27/10/2026+32 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Bearish Engulfing 10/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 15/09/2026
Failed Breakout 10/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 15/09/2026
Bullish Engulfing 02/09/2026
Failed Breakout 01/09/2026
Bullish Engulfing 26/08/2026
Failed Breakout 20/08/2026
Failed Breakout 14/08/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

In window 15/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.05% · Win 60% · DD -3.55%20 days: Avg +2.26% · Win 60% · DD -5.54%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202515/09/2025157.57near 52w high+5.63%+9.25%+2.44%+0.00%+11.46%
202416/09/2024133.75neutral+1.07%+0.96%+5.55%-0.70%+7.69%
202315/09/2023143.68near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x2.1+1.11%-1.37%-12.27%-12.27%+2.44%
202215/09/2022105.16volume x1.8+2.31%+1.98%+14.93%-6.91%+14.93%
202115/09/202166.51neutral-1.79%+5.71%+17.49%-5.32%+18.66%
202015/09/202046.56far below SMA50+1.85%-6.77%-11.02%-13.49%+5.46%
201916/09/201982.39volume x2.9+2.12%+3.46%+7.45%+0.00%+7.45%
201814/09/2018117.13neutral-4.17%-2.89%-7.58%-8.74%+2.44%
201715/09/201771.13near 52w high · volume x1.7+4.44%+8.15%+9.77%+0.00%+9.77%
201615/09/201656.19near 52w high-1.05%-7.97%-4.16%-7.97%+1.69%
Upcoming 16/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.63% · Win 60% · DD -3.79%20 days: Avg +1.01% · Win 50% · DD -6.28%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202516/09/2025162.64near 52w high · far above SMA50+4.77%+4.69%-0.28%-2.84%+7.99%
202416/09/2024133.75neutral+1.07%+0.96%+5.55%-0.70%+7.69%
202315/09/2023143.68near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x2.1+1.11%-1.37%-12.27%-12.27%+2.44%
202216/09/2022104.46volume x2.7-3.72%+2.29%+9.25%-6.29%+15.70%
202116/09/202165.46neutral+2.61%+7.81%+20.94%-3.80%+20.94%
202016/09/202049.10volume x1.5-9.35%-11.77%-15.05%-17.96%+0.00%
201916/09/201982.39volume x2.9+2.12%+3.46%+7.45%+0.00%+7.45%
201817/09/2018115.46neutral-0.43%-1.37%-10.11%-10.11%+3.92%
201715/09/201771.13near 52w high · volume x1.7+4.44%+8.15%+9.77%+0.00%+9.77%
201616/09/201656.73near 52w high-1.87%-6.58%-5.18%-8.85%+0.72%
Upcoming 21/09/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.15% · Win 60% · DD -4.71%20 days: Avg +1.20% · Win 50% · DD -6.99%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202522/09/2025166.44near 52w high · far above SMA50+3.42%-1.81%-3.77%-6.04%+5.52%
202420/09/2024134.46volume x2.5+1.12%+5.92%+1.92%-1.23%+7.12%
202321/09/2023146.30near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.6+0.60%-12.86%-9.49%-13.84%+0.60%
202221/09/2022105.53neutral+3.10%+11.90%+17.46%-7.24%+17.46%
202121/09/202163.32neutral+12.40%+17.34%+26.58%+0.00%+26.58%
202021/09/202047.36far below SMA50-5.36%-9.06%-17.04%-17.04%+0.13%
201920/09/201982.85neutral+1.92%+2.02%+9.91%-0.06%+9.91%
201821/09/2018112.24neutral+1.35%+4.34%-17.36%-17.36%+6.90%
201721/09/201773.36near 52w high+4.61%+5.33%+5.82%+0.00%+6.43%
201621/09/201655.68near 52w high-1.02%-1.58%-2.05%-7.13%+0.00%
Upcoming 26/09/2026 · High Cycle 180/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.13% · Win 60% · DD -4.08%20 days: Avg +2.70% · Win 50% · DD -6.77%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202526/09/2025175.63near 52w high · far above SMA50-8.67%-10.03%-2.61%-10.95%+0.00%
202426/09/2024136.62volume x1.9+5.42%+4.46%-3.85%-3.85%+5.42%
202326/09/2023141.58neutral-5.65%-8.03%-9.03%-10.97%+3.96%
202226/09/202297.89far below SMA50+14.73%+13.25%+32.01%+0.00%+32.01%
202127/09/202170.78neutral+5.99%+9.92%+16.83%-0.66%+16.83%
202025/09/202043.92far below SMA50-7.26%-0.64%-4.44%-10.54%+2.05%
201926/09/201983.12neutral+0.51%+3.22%+16.59%-0.38%+16.59%
201826/09/2018116.52neutral+2.98%-4.87%-25.60%-25.60%+2.98%
201726/09/201774.96near 52w high+3.48%+3.22%+3.64%+0.00%+4.16%
201626/09/201654.29near 52w low-2.56%+0.83%+3.44%-4.75%+3.44%
Upcoming 16/10/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.96% · Win 50% · DD -4.22%20 days: Avg +6.52% · Win 70% · DD -4.90%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202516/10/2025156.39neutral+10.70%+8.77%+12.40%+0.00%+15.65%
202416/10/2024135.52neutral-1.94%-5.01%+2.98%-5.64%+2.98%
202316/10/2023129.20neutral+1.18%-3.84%-3.82%-7.18%+3.74%
202217/10/2022115.50neutral+11.88%+8.70%+18.44%+0.00%+18.44%
202115/10/202178.66far above SMA50+2.96%-1.69%-2.64%-3.56%+5.12%
202016/10/202040.22far below SMA50+4.35%-4.00%+26.60%-10.02%+26.60%
201916/10/201989.09far above SMA50+5.34%+10.91%+12.53%+0.00%+13.82%
201816/10/2018105.91neutral-13.45%-14.93%-21.09%-21.09%+0.00%
201716/10/201777.42near 52w high-0.03%+1.27%+4.20%-1.46%+5.70%
201617/10/201654.15neutral+3.71%+9.40%+15.57%+0.00%+16.27%
Upcoming 23/10/2026 · High Cycle 144/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.74% · Win 60% · DD -4.24%20 days: Avg +3.21% · Win 60% · DD -5.95%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202523/10/2025173.13near 52w high · volume x1.9-1.75%+1.66%-0.71%-2.32%+7.10%
202423/10/2024132.89neutral-3.13%+4.38%+7.06%-3.77%+8.37%
202323/10/2023130.73neutral-4.96%-3.76%-3.82%-8.27%+0.00%
202224/10/2022129.22far above SMA50-2.84%+1.98%+5.95%-2.84%+8.89%
202122/10/202180.99near 52w high · far above SMA50-4.52%-3.79%-13.63%-13.63%+2.10%
202023/10/202041.97far below SMA50-8.01%-9.05%+23.26%-13.77%+32.64%
201923/10/201993.85near 52w high · far above SMA50+5.29%+6.93%+4.49%+0.00%+8.04%
201823/10/201891.66far below SMA50 · volume x1.7-1.70%-0.41%-13.41%-13.41%+1.01%
201723/10/201777.40near 52w high+1.29%+5.23%+6.96%-1.43%+7.08%
201624/10/201656.16near 52w high+5.48%+4.20%+16.00%+0.00%+16.00%
Upcoming 27/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.24% · Win 80% · DD -2.51%20 days: Avg +7.65% · Win 70% · DD -4.19%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/10/2025174.35near 52w high-1.58%+2.77%+0.64%-3.01%+6.36%
202428/10/2024132.26neutral-1.75%+4.36%+6.52%-3.31%+8.88%
202327/10/2023123.56neutral+2.32%-0.72%+2.48%-2.95%+4.37%
202227/10/2022128.27far above SMA50+1.12%+3.26%+8.65%-2.12%+11.46%
202127/10/202178.67far above SMA50-3.55%-2.30%-6.09%-11.08%+0.00%
202027/10/202038.26far below SMA50+3.19%+30.58%+55.61%-5.41%+55.61%
201928/10/2019100.07near 52w high · far above SMA50+1.17%+0.61%-1.84%-3.09%+1.33%
201826/10/201885.79far below SMA50 · volume x1.7+7.04%+2.09%-7.29%-9.35%+7.93%
201727/10/201777.75near 52w high · volume x1.8+4.03%+4.66%+6.52%+0.00%+8.70%
201627/10/201658.81near 52w high-1.62%+7.06%+11.32%-1.62%+11.99%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp rally recently — watch for follow-through.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+21.5%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· Distance from 52w high: -1.1% · from 52w low: +154.2%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+6.51% · +13.91% · +15.13% · +62.35%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+9.83% · +21.50% · +61.89%
Distance from 52w high / low-1.11% · +154.24%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg10.88 · 0.75x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+17.23%
vs SPY (20d)+16.68%
vs SMH (20d)+18.06%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200359.47 · 324.94 · 243.88
52w high / low399.26 · 155.29