🕰️ Time Machine

VLO — Valero Energy

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 26/10/2026

Last price (Close)
426.33 +1.68%
Next window · Cycle 90 · in window · in 1 days
27/10/2026
Last window · Cycle 144 · 23/10/2026
since +1.68%
Trend
Uptrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 18/06/2026
232.72
Days: 89 trading / 130 calendar · return since: +83.20%
Last major high · 30/03/2026
258.43
Days: 145 trading / 210 calendar · return since: +64.97%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 18/06/2026 @ 232.72Cycle 120Calendar📅 16/10/2026-10 (±3)Passed
High 30/03/2026 @ 258.43Cycle 144Trading📅 23/10/2026-1 (±3)In window
Low 18/06/2026 @ 232.72Cycle 90Trading📅 27/10/2026+1 (±3)In window
Low 18/06/2026 @ 232.72Cycle 144Calendar📅 09/11/2026+14 (±3)Upcoming
Low 18/06/2026 @ 232.72Cycle 120Trading📅 09/12/2026+31 (±3)Upcoming
High 30/03/2026 @ 258.43Cycle 180Trading📅 15/12/2026+35 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

● Bearish Engulfing 22/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 144 window · 23/10/2026
● Hammer Reversal 21/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 144 window · 23/10/2026
● Doji After Run 20/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 144 window · 23/10/2026
● Failed Breakout 06/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 01/10/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 16/10/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.02% · Win 44% · DD -4.69%20 days: Avg +5.51% · Win 67% · DD -5.44%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202516/10/2025156.39neutral+10.70%+8.77%+12.40%+0.00%+15.65%
202416/10/2024135.52neutral-1.94%-5.01%+2.98%-5.64%+2.98%
202316/10/2023129.20neutral+1.18%-3.84%-3.82%-7.18%+3.74%
202217/10/2022115.50neutral+11.88%+8.70%+18.44%+0.00%+18.44%
202115/10/202178.66far above SMA50+2.96%-1.69%-2.64%-3.56%+5.12%
202016/10/202040.22far below SMA50+4.35%-4.00%+26.60%-10.02%+26.60%
201916/10/201989.09far above SMA50+5.34%+10.91%+12.53%+0.00%+13.82%
201816/10/2018105.91neutral-13.45%-14.93%-21.09%-21.09%+0.00%
201716/10/201777.42near 52w high-0.03%+1.27%+4.20%-1.46%+5.70%
In window 23/10/2026 · High Cycle 144/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.74% · Win 60% · DD -4.51%20 days: Avg +2.59% · Win 60% · DD -6.22%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202523/10/2025173.13near 52w high · volume x1.9-1.75%+1.66%-0.71%-2.32%+7.10%
202423/10/2024132.89neutral-3.13%+4.38%+7.06%-3.77%+8.37%
202323/10/2023130.73neutral-4.96%-3.76%-3.82%-8.27%+0.00%
202224/10/2022129.22far above SMA50-2.84%+1.98%+5.95%-2.84%+8.89%
202122/10/202180.99near 52w high · far above SMA50-4.52%-3.79%-13.63%-13.63%+2.10%
202023/10/202041.97far below SMA50-8.01%-9.05%+23.26%-13.77%+32.64%
201923/10/201993.85near 52w high · far above SMA50+5.28%+6.93%+4.49%+0.00%+8.04%
201823/10/201891.66far below SMA50 · volume x1.7-1.70%-0.41%-13.41%-13.41%+1.01%
201723/10/201777.40near 52w high+1.29%+5.23%+6.96%-1.43%+7.08%
201626/10/201659.52near 52w high-1.83%+4.22%+9.75%-2.79%+10.65%
In window 27/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.24% · Win 80% · DD -2.51%20 days: Avg +7.65% · Win 70% · DD -4.19%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/10/2025174.35near 52w high-1.58%+2.77%+0.64%-3.01%+6.36%
202428/10/2024132.26neutral-1.75%+4.36%+6.52%-3.31%+8.88%
202327/10/2023123.56neutral+2.32%-0.72%+2.48%-2.95%+4.37%
202227/10/2022128.27far above SMA50+1.12%+3.26%+8.65%-2.12%+11.46%
202127/10/202178.67far above SMA50-3.55%-2.30%-6.09%-11.08%+0.00%
202027/10/202038.26far below SMA50+3.19%+30.58%+55.61%-5.41%+55.61%
201928/10/2019100.07near 52w high · far above SMA50+1.17%+0.61%-1.84%-3.09%+1.33%
201826/10/201885.79far below SMA50 · volume x1.7+7.04%+2.09%-7.29%-9.35%+7.93%
201727/10/201777.75near 52w high · volume x1.8+4.03%+4.66%+6.52%+0.00%+8.70%
201627/10/201658.81near 52w high-1.62%+7.06%+11.32%-1.62%+11.99%
Upcoming 09/11/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.00% · Win 60% · DD -3.50%20 days: Avg +0.12% · Win 40% · DD -5.93%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/11/2025179.18near 52w high-0.44%-2.07%-1.54%-4.06%+3.49%
202408/11/2024136.69neutral+2.54%+3.87%-0.82%-3.05%+5.36%
202309/11/2023119.92far below SMA50+2.49%+5.05%+3.18%+0.00%+6.31%
202209/11/2022128.00far above SMA50+6.63%+9.52%-8.03%-8.03%+11.70%
202109/11/202178.25neutral-0.40%-6.10%-8.47%-13.36%+0.00%
202009/11/202050.08far above SMA50 · volume x3.3+11.16%+14.01%+19.88%-5.59%+24.54%
201908/11/2019100.86near 52w high · far above SMA50-0.25%-2.45%-7.44%-7.44%+0.20%
201809/11/201887.58far below SMA50-4.14%-9.18%-15.53%-15.53%+0.00%
201709/11/201781.28near 52w high+1.03%+2.06%+8.69%-0.75%+8.69%
201609/11/201662.03near 52w high+2.58%+5.31%+11.25%-1.50%+11.25%
Upcoming 09/12/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.24% · Win 60% · DD -4.17%20 days: Avg +4.55% · Win 70% · DD -4.30%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202509/12/2025175.32neutral-7.13%-6.02%+9.13%-7.63%+9.13%
202409/12/2024134.55neutral-7.05%-11.82%-6.96%-11.86%+0.00%
202308/12/2023122.74neutral+4.75%+7.71%+3.61%-1.50%+8.96%
202209/12/2022114.65neutral+4.12%+8.48%+15.14%+0.00%+15.14%
202109/12/202170.31neutral-2.22%+2.02%+15.20%-3.02%+15.20%
202009/12/202058.80far above SMA50-3.20%-5.12%-1.85%-8.67%+1.82%
201909/12/201992.52neutral+2.83%+2.94%+0.62%-1.08%+3.42%
201810/12/201873.38near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x1.6-1.09%-6.05%+5.33%-6.05%+5.42%
201708/12/201787.60near 52w high+0.67%+4.03%+7.42%-0.75%+7.56%
201609/12/201668.00near 52w high+0.00%+1.41%-2.16%-2.40%+3.56%
Upcoming 15/12/2026 · High Cycle 180/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.81% · Win 60% · DD -2.45%20 days: Avg +7.54% · Win 70% · DD -3.08%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202515/12/2025167.90neutral-2.59%-1.81%+11.08%-3.55%+13.95%
202416/12/2024125.07near 52w low · volume x1.8-5.13%-1.98%+11.43%-5.18%+11.43%
202315/12/2023128.57volume x2.9+2.82%+1.63%-1.76%-2.96%+4.02%
202215/12/2022119.92neutral-0.25%+5.79%+14.75%-0.46%+14.75%
202115/12/202168.24neutral+4.48%+8.85%+22.16%+0.00%+23.64%
202015/12/202057.48far above SMA50-6.58%-1.32%+4.85%-6.58%+4.85%
201916/12/201995.14neutral+0.11%-1.57%-3.03%-3.80%+1.84%
201814/12/201873.30near 52w low · far below SMA50-2.26%+2.28%+7.46%-5.95%+7.71%
201715/12/201788.19near 52w high · volume x1.9+3.33%+5.23%+10.62%-0.14%+10.62%
201615/12/201667.64near 52w high+1.60%+1.01%-2.14%-2.14%+4.11%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+8.2%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· Distance from 52w high: -7.6% · from 52w low: +166.6%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-1.61% · -2.22% · +9.44% · +36.25%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-0.23% · +8.18% · +51.41%
Distance from 52w high / low-7.62% · +166.63%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg17.68 · 0.69x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+12.76%
vs SPY (20d)+9.50%
vs SMH (20d)+19.15%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200427.33 · 394.10 · 281.58
52w high / low461.52 · 159.90