🕰️ Time Machine

VLO — Valero Energy

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/07/2026

Last price (Close)
305.26 -1.82%
Next window · Cycle 120 · in 5 days
28/07/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 21/07/2026
since -3.03%
Trend
Strong uptrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 18/06/2026
232.72
Days: 23 trading / 35 calendar · return since: +31.17%
Last major high · 30/03/2026
258.43
Days: 79 trading / 115 calendar · return since: +18.12%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 18/06/2026 @ 232.72Fib 13Trading📅 09/07/2026-10 (±1)Passed
Low 18/06/2026 @ 232.72Cycle 30Calendar📅 18/07/2026-5 (±2)Passed
Low 18/06/2026 @ 232.72Fib 21Trading📅 21/07/2026-2 (±1)Passed
High 30/03/2026 @ 258.43Cycle 120Calendar📅 28/07/2026+5 (±3)Upcoming
Low 18/06/2026 @ 232.72Cycle 45Calendar📅 02/08/2026+10 (±2)Upcoming
Low 18/06/2026 @ 232.72Cycle 30Trading📅 03/08/2026+7 (±2)Upcoming
High 30/03/2026 @ 258.43Cycle 90Trading📅 07/08/2026+11 (±3)Upcoming
Low 18/06/2026 @ 232.72Cycle 60Calendar📅 17/08/2026+25 (±2)Upcoming
High 30/03/2026 @ 258.43Cycle 144Calendar📅 21/08/2026+29 (±3)Upcoming
Low 18/06/2026 @ 232.72Cycle 45Trading📅 24/08/2026+22 (±2)Upcoming
Low 18/06/2026 @ 232.72Cycle 60Trading📅 15/09/2026+37 (±2)Upcoming
High 30/03/2026 @ 258.43Cycle 120Trading📅 21/09/2026+41 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Gap Day 23/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 21/07/2026
Failed Breakout 21/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 21/07/2026
Gap Day 17/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 18/07/2026
Failed Breakout 16/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 18/07/2026
Doji After Run 09/07/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 09/07/2026
Failed Breakout 09/07/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 09/07/2026
NR7 Compression 09/07/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 09/07/2026
Gap Day 08/07/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 09/07/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 09/07/2026 · Low Fib 13/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.21% · Win 44% · DD -3.22%20 days: Avg +0.69% · Win 56% · DD -4.76%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202509/07/2025149.07far above SMA50-3.94%-1.03%-9.74%-9.93%+3.85%
202409/07/2024146.30neutral+1.73%+0.39%+2.42%-0.96%+11.74%
202310/07/2023112.61neutral+0.98%+11.63%+15.73%+0.00%+15.73%
202208/07/2022107.03far below SMA50-2.28%-2.81%-1.05%-5.84%+5.57%
202109/07/202172.30neutral-10.26%-11.88%-6.70%-14.36%+0.00%
202009/07/202050.22far below SMA50+12.66%+14.83%+4.33%+0.00%+18.86%
201909/07/201982.24neutral+2.40%+3.08%-5.53%-6.83%+4.78%
201809/07/2018109.27neutral-2.72%-2.74%+5.88%-2.91%+8.31%
201710/07/201768.09near 52w high-0.97%-0.60%+0.90%-2.06%+1.29%
Passed 18/07/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.92% · Win 89% · DD -1.62%20 days: Avg +2.37% · Win 67% · DD -3.01%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202518/07/2025146.15neutral-2.86%-8.13%-5.63%-9.10%+0.95%
202418/07/2024147.78neutral+6.24%+6.57%+1.70%-0.62%+10.62%
202318/07/2023115.42neutral+7.90%+11.57%+14.53%+0.00%+21.44%
202218/07/2022106.31far below SMA50+2.83%+4.08%+6.23%-2.15%+9.30%
202119/07/202161.92far below SMA50+5.85%+7.24%+5.73%+0.00%+11.45%
202017/07/202055.47far below SMA50+4.52%+1.37%-0.08%-5.55%+7.61%
201918/07/201983.35neutral+0.12%+1.19%-6.93%-8.07%+3.38%
201818/07/2018106.65neutral+2.51%+9.50%+5.30%-0.41%+10.97%
201718/07/201767.51neutral+1.38%+1.94%+0.49%-1.21%+2.16%
Passed 21/07/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.02% · Win 60% · DD -2.90%20 days: Avg +1.97% · Win 50% · DD -3.54%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/07/2025146.28neutral-1.05%-6.93%-5.71%-9.18%+0.86%
202422/07/2024149.02neutral+5.66%-0.27%+0.13%-1.44%+9.70%
202321/07/2023122.99neutral+4.94%+3.99%+9.48%+0.00%+13.97%
202221/07/2022104.15far below SMA50+5.15%+1.05%+15.05%-0.12%+15.05%
202121/07/202164.91far below SMA50+3.68%+0.30%-2.73%-2.73%+6.32%
202021/07/202057.58neutral-1.20%-6.29%-3.25%-9.01%+3.66%
201922/07/201984.35neutral-0.38%-9.16%-4.47%-9.16%+2.16%
201820/07/2018106.21neutral+9.55%+8.63%+5.24%+0.00%+11.43%
201721/07/201767.78neutral-1.61%+1.11%-3.48%-3.78%+1.76%
201625/07/201650.29near 52w high+2.66%+7.76%+9.44%+0.00%+10.93%
Upcoming 28/07/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.21% · Win 50% · DD -4.10%20 days: Avg +1.14% · Win 60% · DD -5.88%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202528/07/2025144.75neutral-5.95%-8.22%+2.46%-8.22%+2.46%
202429/07/2024157.45neutral-5.61%-3.14%-8.52%-9.69%+3.83%
202328/07/2023129.07far above SMA50-0.90%+8.60%+3.96%-1.91%+8.60%
202228/07/2022109.51volume x1.7-3.90%+5.09%+13.63%-3.90%+13.63%
202128/07/202167.30far below SMA50-3.26%+0.75%-0.01%-9.26%+2.54%
202028/07/202056.89neutral-5.15%-4.02%-2.95%-7.90%+4.92%
201929/07/201984.03neutral-8.82%-7.17%-11.31%-11.31%+1.45%
201827/07/2018116.35neutral-0.83%-0.15%+4.33%-3.93%+4.33%
201728/07/201766.69volume x2.1+2.76%+0.21%+2.52%-2.21%+3.42%
201628/07/201651.87near 52w high+2.81%+5.95%+7.26%-0.46%+8.59%
Upcoming 02/08/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.62% · Win 60% · DD -2.77%20 days: Avg +2.61% · Win 70% · DD -4.57%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202501/08/2025133.18neutral+0.08%+2.72%+14.14%-1.06%+14.14%
202402/08/2024148.56neutral+1.70%+0.85%-1.23%-5.14%+2.05%
202302/08/2023126.31neutral+6.05%+3.67%+4.07%-0.56%+10.09%
202202/08/2022112.99neutral-1.20%+1.16%+5.37%-6.86%+10.19%
202102/08/202166.40far below SMA50+0.83%-1.40%+0.86%-8.03%+3.93%
202003/08/202053.91far below SMA50-0.67%+3.13%-2.45%-4.51%+3.13%
201902/08/201982.07neutral-2.86%-3.76%-7.26%-11.65%+0.00%
201802/08/2018115.33neutral+0.53%-2.80%+3.95%-3.08%+5.83%
201702/08/201768.50near 52w high-1.28%-2.67%+0.90%-4.79%+0.91%
201602/08/201652.35near 52w high+1.39%+5.27%+7.78%+0.00%+7.78%
Upcoming 03/08/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.33% · Win 60% · DD -3.50%20 days: Avg +1.85% · Win 60% · DD -4.94%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/08/2025135.04neutral-2.42%+1.31%+14.25%-2.42%+14.25%
202402/08/2024148.56neutral+1.70%+0.85%-1.23%-5.14%+2.05%
202303/08/2023125.60neutral+7.37%+5.11%+3.42%+0.00%+10.72%
202203/08/2022107.81neutral+3.66%+9.22%+8.64%-3.23%+14.48%
202103/08/202169.01neutral-1.66%-6.64%-2.53%-11.51%+0.00%
202003/08/202053.91far below SMA50-0.67%+3.13%-2.45%-4.51%+3.13%
201902/08/201982.07neutral-2.86%-3.76%-7.26%-11.65%+0.00%
201803/08/2018115.38neutral+0.69%-3.12%+2.88%-3.12%+5.79%
201703/08/201768.50near 52w high-2.36%-4.79%+0.44%-4.79%+0.91%
201603/08/201654.71near 52w high-2.19%+1.97%+2.30%-2.98%+3.13%
Upcoming 07/08/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.46% · Win 50% · DD -2.69%20 days: Avg +1.76% · Win 60% · DD -3.89%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202507/08/2025132.59neutral+2.44%+5.81%+18.24%-0.62%+18.24%
202407/08/2024148.27neutral-0.30%-2.97%-8.60%-8.60%+2.25%
202307/08/2023129.29far above SMA50+5.58%+1.45%+2.96%+0.00%+7.56%
202208/08/2022106.39neutral+5.23%+11.97%+6.01%+0.00%+16.01%
202106/08/202166.50far below SMA50-0.38%-9.47%-2.71%-9.47%+1.13%
202007/08/202052.66far below SMA50+3.42%-0.08%-2.73%-2.73%+5.58%
201907/08/201975.81neutral+0.25%+3.42%+1.29%-5.41%+5.13%
201807/08/2018116.71neutral-1.42%-2.20%+0.17%-4.89%+3.86%
201707/08/201768.00near 52w high-1.78%-4.85%-0.13%-5.07%+1.76%
201608/08/201654.19near 52w high+1.74%+1.57%+3.13%-2.05%+4.12%
Upcoming 17/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.59% · Win 50% · DD -2.86%20 days: Avg +1.63% · Win 70% · DD -5.69%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202518/08/2025136.81neutral+7.53%+12.77%+18.88%+0.00%+18.88%
202416/08/2024149.82neutral-2.64%-2.06%-10.73%-11.29%+0.00%
202317/08/2023132.02neutral-1.94%-1.61%+8.83%-2.01%+10.79%
202217/08/2022117.75neutral+3.71%-0.54%-10.69%-10.69%+4.82%
202117/08/202163.51far below SMA50+2.71%+4.41%+4.72%-5.21%+5.67%
202017/08/202055.60neutral-1.10%-5.41%-16.26%-17.93%+0.00%
201916/08/201978.12neutral-5.04%-3.64%+5.47%-8.21%+9.49%
201817/08/2018111.00neutral+8.60%+6.20%+4.02%+0.00%+9.20%
201717/08/201764.55neutral+4.48%+5.50%+10.19%+0.00%+10.19%
201617/08/201655.17near 52w high+0.96%+0.33%+1.85%-1.60%+1.85%
Upcoming 21/08/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.38% · Win 60% · DD -2.57%20 days: Avg +2.28% · Win 60% · DD -4.73%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/08/2025140.29neutral+7.75%+11.75%+15.92%+0.00%+16.79%
202421/08/2024143.87neutral-1.96%-5.80%-3.60%-7.62%+1.99%
202321/08/2023131.16neutral+0.34%+1.49%+8.77%-1.36%+11.53%
202222/08/2022119.13neutral+3.60%-5.33%-9.83%-12.31%+3.60%
202120/08/202160.20far below SMA50+11.48%+7.48%+4.60%+0.00%+11.48%
202021/08/202052.62neutral+4.31%-2.66%-10.00%-13.28%+4.50%
201921/08/201978.40neutral-7.19%-2.05%+6.57%-8.53%+9.09%
201821/08/2018114.14neutral+5.48%+2.43%-3.89%-3.89%+6.19%
201721/08/201764.70neutral+5.75%+4.96%+12.38%+0.00%+12.38%
201622/08/201654.43near 52w high+2.20%+1.54%+1.87%-0.26%+4.98%
Upcoming 24/08/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.38% · Win 50% · DD -4.17%20 days: Avg +1.39% · Win 50% · DD -5.88%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202525/08/2025147.11neutral+4.87%+10.01%+15.82%-0.11%+15.82%
202423/08/2024145.87neutral+0.59%-8.03%-7.33%-8.89%+0.59%
202324/08/2023129.46neutral+0.34%+9.73%+12.21%+0.00%+13.01%
202224/08/2022122.12far above SMA50-4.09%-8.34%-11.90%-14.46%+1.06%
202124/08/202165.23neutral+1.66%-2.35%+0.14%-3.46%+2.88%
202024/08/202054.99neutral-4.36%-11.38%-13.77%-17.02%+0.00%
201923/08/201974.18neutral+1.48%+7.01%+13.43%-3.33%+15.30%
201824/08/2018120.55neutral-2.21%-4.40%-4.64%-9.00%+0.55%
201724/08/201767.44neutral+0.98%+3.11%+10.16%+0.00%+10.16%
201624/08/201655.70near 52w high-0.63%+0.81%-0.18%-2.53%+2.59%
Upcoming 15/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.05% · Win 60% · DD -3.55%20 days: Avg +2.26% · Win 60% · DD -5.54%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202515/09/2025157.57near 52w high+5.63%+9.25%+2.44%+0.00%+11.46%
202416/09/2024133.75neutral+1.07%+0.96%+5.55%-0.70%+7.69%
202315/09/2023143.68near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x2.1+1.11%-1.37%-12.27%-12.27%+2.44%
202215/09/2022105.16volume x1.8+2.31%+1.98%+14.93%-6.91%+14.93%
202115/09/202166.51neutral-1.79%+5.71%+17.49%-5.32%+18.66%
202015/09/202046.56far below SMA50+1.85%-6.77%-11.02%-13.49%+5.46%
201916/09/201982.39volume x2.9+2.12%+3.46%+7.45%+0.00%+7.45%
201814/09/2018117.13neutral-4.17%-2.89%-7.58%-8.74%+2.44%
201715/09/201771.13near 52w high · volume x1.7+4.44%+8.15%+9.77%+0.00%+9.77%
201615/09/201656.19near 52w high-1.05%-7.97%-4.16%-7.97%+1.69%
Upcoming 21/09/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.15% · Win 60% · DD -4.71%20 days: Avg +1.20% · Win 50% · DD -6.99%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202522/09/2025166.44near 52w high · far above SMA50+3.42%-1.81%-3.77%-6.04%+5.52%
202420/09/2024134.46volume x2.5+1.12%+5.92%+1.92%-1.23%+7.12%
202321/09/2023146.30near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.6+0.60%-12.86%-9.49%-13.84%+0.60%
202221/09/2022105.53neutral+3.10%+11.90%+17.46%-7.24%+17.46%
202121/09/202163.32neutral+12.40%+17.34%+26.58%+0.00%+26.58%
202021/09/202047.36far below SMA50-5.36%-9.06%-17.04%-17.04%+0.13%
201920/09/201982.85neutral+1.92%+2.02%+9.91%-0.06%+9.91%
201821/09/2018112.24neutral+1.35%+4.34%-17.36%-17.36%+6.90%
201721/09/201773.36near 52w high+4.61%+5.33%+5.82%+0.00%+6.43%
201621/09/201655.68near 52w high-1.02%-1.58%-2.05%-7.13%+0.00%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+15.7%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -4.7% · from 52w low: +133.4%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+1.67% · +8.54% · +25.92% · +28.73%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+7.04% · +15.69% · +42.47%
Distance from 52w high / low-4.68% · +133.41%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg11.34 · 0.77x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+28.54%
vs SPY (20d)+25.24%
vs SMH (20d)+32.18%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200285.19 · 263.87 · 214.27
52w high / low320.24 · 130.78