🕰️ Time Machine
VLY — Valley Bank
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 27/07/2026
Last price (Close)
14.41 -0.28%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 13 days
13/08/2026
Last window · Cycle 45 · 22/07/2026
since -0.76%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 15/05/2026
12.77
Days: 47 trading / 73 calendar · return since: +12.84%
Last major high · 23/04/2026
14.12
Days: 63 trading / 95 calendar · return since: +2.05%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 23/04/2026 @ 14.12 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 21/07/2026 | -3 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 15/05/2026 @ 12.77 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 22/07/2026 | -2 (±2) | In window |
| High 23/04/2026 @ 14.12 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 22/07/2026 | -5 (±3) | Passed |
| Low 15/05/2026 @ 12.77 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 13/08/2026 | +13 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 15/05/2026 @ 12.77 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 13/08/2026 | +17 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 23/04/2026 @ 14.12 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 21/08/2026 | +25 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 23/04/2026 @ 14.12 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 02/09/2026 | +27 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 15/05/2026 @ 12.77 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 25/09/2026 | +43 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● NR7 Compression 27/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 22/07/2026
● Failed Breakdown 23/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 22/07/2026
● Gap Day 23/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 22/07/2026
● Failed Breakout 07/07/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 02/07/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 21/07/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.73% · Win 33% · DD -3.01%20 days: Avg +0.78% · Win 56% · DD -4.32%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 21/07/2025 | 9.53 | neutral | -0.10% | -1.89% | +2.94% | -3.67% | +5.56% |
| 2024 | 22/07/2024 | 8.12 | far above SMA50 | -1.11% | -2.83% | +3.69% | -4.56% | +3.69% |
| 2023 | 21/07/2023 | 9.41 | far above SMA50 | +7.97% | +7.12% | -3.61% | -3.61% | +9.46% |
| 2022 | 21/07/2022 | 11.00 | neutral | +5.45% | +5.27% | +16.82% | -0.55% | +17.73% |
| 2021 | 21/07/2021 | 12.96 | neutral | +0.85% | -0.85% | +0.31% | -2.24% | +4.48% |
| 2020 | 21/07/2020 | 7.51 | neutral | -0.67% | -2.13% | +1.73% | -2.13% | +10.92% |
| 2019 | 22/07/2019 | 10.66 | neutral | +3.19% | -2.53% | -1.69% | -5.82% | +5.16% |
| 2018 | 20/07/2018 | 12.91 | near 52w high | -8.13% | -9.68% | -7.44% | -10.15% | +1.01% |
| 2017 | 21/07/2017 | 11.80 | neutral | -1.36% | +0.93% | -5.76% | -6.19% | +5.08% |
In window 22/07/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.26% · Win 44% · DD -2.97%20 days: Avg +0.66% · Win 56% · DD -4.25%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 22/07/2025 | 9.64 | neutral | -1.66% | -3.53% | +1.24% | -4.77% | +4.36% |
| 2024 | 22/07/2024 | 8.12 | far above SMA50 | -1.11% | -2.83% | +3.69% | -4.56% | +3.69% |
| 2023 | 21/07/2023 | 9.41 | far above SMA50 | +7.97% | +7.12% | -3.61% | -3.61% | +9.46% |
| 2022 | 22/07/2022 | 10.94 | neutral | +6.86% | +7.22% | +15.81% | +0.00% | +18.37% |
| 2021 | 22/07/2021 | 12.67 | neutral | +3.16% | +2.60% | +1.34% | +0.00% | +6.87% |
| 2020 | 22/07/2020 | 7.52 | volume x1.9 | +2.53% | -0.27% | +2.93% | -2.26% | +10.77% |
| 2019 | 22/07/2019 | 10.66 | neutral | +3.19% | -2.53% | -1.69% | -5.82% | +5.16% |
| 2018 | 23/07/2018 | 13.04 | near 52w high | -9.59% | -11.04% | -7.98% | -11.04% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 21/07/2017 | 11.80 | neutral | -1.36% | +0.93% | -5.76% | -6.19% | +5.08% |
Upcoming 13/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.08% · Win 50% · DD -3.94%20 days: Avg -0.57% · Win 40% · DD -5.67%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 13/08/2025 | 10.00 | volume x1.6 | -2.50% | +4.90% | +7.80% | -3.20% | +7.80% |
| 2024 | 13/08/2024 | 8.11 | far above SMA50 | +0.86% | +5.55% | -0.12% | -1.23% | +9.62% |
| 2023 | 14/08/2023 | 9.67 | far above SMA50 | -7.45% | -6.20% | -5.69% | -11.58% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 12/08/2022 | 12.65 | far above SMA50 | +0.16% | -4.11% | -4.03% | -10.83% | +2.37% |
| 2021 | 13/08/2021 | 13.23 | neutral | -0.98% | +1.28% | -6.88% | -8.09% | +1.28% |
| 2020 | 13/08/2020 | 8.04 | neutral | -7.21% | -2.36% | -9.20% | -9.58% | +0.37% |
| 2019 | 13/08/2019 | 10.52 | neutral | -1.90% | -3.90% | +6.27% | -4.56% | +6.27% |
| 2018 | 13/08/2018 | 11.61 | neutral | +3.36% | +3.70% | +4.39% | +0.00% | +4.65% |
| 2017 | 14/08/2017 | 11.60 | neutral | -4.14% | -3.45% | -3.62% | -7.67% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 12/08/2016 | 9.17 | near 52w high | +1.96% | +3.82% | +5.34% | +0.00% | +6.87% |
Upcoming 21/08/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.15% · Win 60% · DD -2.00%20 days: Avg +1.84% · Win 60% · DD -4.04%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 21/08/2025 | 9.68 | neutral | +7.95% | +10.85% | +14.28% | +0.00% | +15.85% |
| 2024 | 21/08/2024 | 8.23 | neutral | +4.74% | +0.12% | +15.04% | -1.58% | +15.04% |
| 2023 | 21/08/2023 | 8.95 | neutral | +1.34% | +3.80% | +0.43% | -4.47% | +5.47% |
| 2022 | 22/08/2022 | 12.34 | far above SMA50 | -3.89% | -8.59% | -2.65% | -8.59% | +0.97% |
| 2021 | 20/08/2021 | 13.10 | neutral | +2.29% | -1.76% | -8.57% | -8.65% | +2.29% |
| 2020 | 21/08/2020 | 7.49 | neutral | +2.67% | +4.81% | -7.96% | -7.96% | +4.81% |
| 2019 | 21/08/2019 | 10.38 | neutral | -2.12% | +1.35% | +7.22% | -2.60% | +9.07% |
| 2018 | 21/08/2018 | 12.15 | neutral | -1.32% | -0.66% | -0.98% | -2.89% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 21/08/2017 | 11.12 | neutral | +0.72% | -0.90% | +1.18% | -3.69% | +1.35% |
| 2016 | 22/08/2016 | 9.36 | near 52w high | +2.67% | +2.46% | +0.40% | +0.00% | +4.70% |
Upcoming 02/09/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.49% · Win 40% · DD -3.38%20 days: Avg -0.10% · Win 50% · DD -5.57%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 02/09/2025 | 10.41 | neutral | +2.98% | +2.68% | +2.87% | +0.00% | +7.73% |
| 2024 | 03/09/2024 | 8.45 | neutral | -3.55% | +7.00% | +4.37% | -4.14% | +12.04% |
| 2023 | 01/09/2023 | 9.44 | neutral | -4.03% | -5.11% | -11.11% | -11.11% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 02/09/2022 | 11.51 | neutral | +5.47% | +5.25% | -1.68% | -5.28% | +5.47% |
| 2021 | 02/09/2021 | 12.92 | neutral | -5.88% | -5.42% | +5.98% | -7.85% | +6.29% |
| 2020 | 02/09/2020 | 7.66 | neutral | -5.09% | -4.17% | -8.54% | -12.52% | +2.48% |
| 2019 | 03/09/2019 | 10.21 | neutral | +7.44% | +8.91% | +5.54% | +0.00% | +10.89% |
| 2018 | 31/08/2018 | 12.05 | neutral | +0.08% | -0.82% | -6.35% | -6.35% | +0.77% |
| 2017 | 01/09/2017 | 11.25 | neutral | -3.47% | -0.35% | +8.63% | -4.80% | +8.63% |
| 2016 | 02/09/2016 | 9.75 | near 52w high | -0.92% | -3.10% | -0.72% | -3.62% | +0.94% |
Upcoming 25/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.94% · Win 70% · DD -2.13%20 days: Avg +2.04% · Win 70% · DD -3.90%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 25/09/2025 | 10.65 | near 52w high | -0.75% | +2.25% | -0.85% | -8.73% | +2.44% |
| 2024 | 25/09/2024 | 8.66 | neutral | +0.92% | +3.23% | +5.31% | +0.00% | +9.82% |
| 2023 | 25/09/2023 | 8.57 | neutral | -3.27% | -3.85% | -8.52% | -8.75% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 26/09/2022 | 11.12 | neutral | +0.81% | +0.27% | +2.34% | -2.88% | +6.29% |
| 2021 | 24/09/2021 | 13.18 | neutral | +2.96% | +4.86% | +4.70% | +0.00% | +5.16% |
| 2020 | 25/09/2020 | 6.75 | far below SMA50 | +5.04% | +12.30% | +19.70% | +0.00% | +19.70% |
| 2019 | 25/09/2019 | 11.06 | neutral | -3.71% | -2.71% | +4.79% | -4.16% | +5.33% |
| 2018 | 25/09/2018 | 11.78 | neutral | -4.67% | -3.40% | -14.43% | -14.43% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 25/09/2017 | 11.53 | neutral | +4.94% | +3.21% | +2.60% | +0.00% | +4.94% |
| 2016 | 26/09/2016 | 9.40 | near 52w high | +1.81% | +3.19% | +4.79% | +0.00% | +4.79% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+1.8%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs SPY.
· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -5.2% · from 52w low: +61.0%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -3.61% · -1.57% · -2.50% · +6.60% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -1.87% · +1.81% · +14.42% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -5.20% · +61.01% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.31 · 0.05x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +2.09% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -3.40% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +11.41% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 14.68 · 14.15 · 12.59 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 15.20 · 8.95 |
|---|
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