🕰️ Time Machine

VLY — Valley Bank

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026

Last price (Close)
13.73 -0.22%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 4 days
14/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 03/09/2026
since -1.22%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 23/07/2026
14.01
Days: 34 trading / 49 calendar · return since: -2.00%
Last major high · 16/07/2026
15.20
Days: 39 trading / 56 calendar · return since: -9.67%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 16/07/2026 @ 15.20Cycle 30Trading📅 27/08/2026-9 (±2)Passed
Low 23/07/2026 @ 14.01Cycle 30Trading📅 03/09/2026-4 (±2)Passed
Low 23/07/2026 @ 14.01Cycle 45Calendar📅 06/09/2026-4 (±2)Passed
High 16/07/2026 @ 15.20Cycle 60Calendar📅 14/09/2026+4 (±2)Upcoming
High 16/07/2026 @ 15.20Cycle 45Trading📅 18/09/2026+6 (±2)Upcoming
Low 23/07/2026 @ 14.01Cycle 60Calendar📅 21/09/2026+11 (±2)Upcoming
Low 23/07/2026 @ 14.01Cycle 45Trading📅 25/09/2026+11 (±2)Upcoming
High 16/07/2026 @ 15.20Cycle 60Trading📅 09/10/2026+21 (±2)Upcoming
High 16/07/2026 @ 15.20Cycle 90Calendar📅 14/10/2026+34 (±3)Upcoming
Low 23/07/2026 @ 14.01Cycle 60Trading📅 16/10/2026+26 (±2)Upcoming
Low 23/07/2026 @ 14.01Cycle 90Calendar📅 21/10/2026+41 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

NR7 Compression 08/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 06/09/2026
Bearish Engulfing 28/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 27/08/2026
NR7 Compression 26/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 27/08/2026
Hammer Reversal 25/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 27/08/2026
Failed Breakdown 21/08/2026
Shooting Star 17/08/2026
Failed Breakout 14/08/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 27/08/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.66% · Win 56% · DD -3.99%20 days: Avg -0.50% · Win 56% · DD -5.80%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/08/202510.49far above SMA50+1.53%+2.76%+2.57%-0.76%+6.90%
202427/08/20248.56far above SMA50-2.10%-5.37%+2.55%-5.37%+10.60%
202328/08/20239.07neutral+2.43%+0.55%-5.36%-6.48%+4.08%
202226/08/202212.13neutral-5.11%+0.08%-7.45%-7.45%+0.08%
202127/08/202113.40neutral-3.96%-8.06%+1.80%-11.15%+1.80%
202027/08/20207.85neutral-2.68%-7.01%-12.70%-14.64%+0.00%
201927/08/201910.11neutral+1.19%+10.58%+10.48%+0.00%+11.98%
201827/08/201812.04neutral-0.17%+0.66%-1.24%-2.00%+0.85%
201728/08/201711.20neutral-1.61%-0.18%+4.87%-4.38%+4.87%
Passed 03/09/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.51% · Win 44% · DD -3.40%20 days: Avg +0.33% · Win 56% · DD -5.69%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/09/202510.51neutral+1.90%+3.05%+1.70%+0.00%+6.70%
202403/09/20248.45neutral-3.55%+7.00%+4.37%-4.14%+12.04%
202301/09/20239.44neutral-4.03%-5.11%-11.11%-11.11%+0.00%
202202/09/202211.51neutral+5.47%+5.25%-1.68%-5.28%+5.47%
202103/09/202112.87neutral-4.27%-6.94%+7.02%-7.49%+7.02%
202003/09/20207.64neutral-4.45%-5.65%-5.78%-12.29%+2.75%
201903/09/201910.21neutral+7.44%+8.91%+5.54%+0.00%+10.89%
201804/09/201812.02neutral+0.83%-1.58%-5.70%-6.12%+1.02%
201701/09/201711.25neutral-3.47%-0.35%+8.63%-4.80%+8.63%
Passed 06/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.58% · Win 67% · DD -2.75%20 days: Avg +1.89% · Win 67% · DD -4.99%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202505/09/202510.73near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.56%+3.10%+0.18%-0.48%+4.51%
202406/09/20248.12neutral+6.36%+13.10%+10.85%-0.25%+16.60%
202306/09/20238.95neutral+0.88%-1.27%-11.22%-11.22%+3.26%
202206/09/202211.28neutral+3.55%+6.50%+3.90%-3.35%+7.62%
202107/09/202112.72neutral-5.92%-6.40%+8.04%-6.40%+8.28%
202004/09/20207.85neutral-4.29%-12.18%-4.42%-14.64%+0.00%
201906/09/201910.40neutral+8.86%+6.63%+4.59%+0.00%+8.86%
201806/09/201812.03neutral-1.92%+0.94%-3.93%-6.20%+0.94%
201706/09/201710.97neutral+1.64%+3.76%+9.01%-2.37%+11.40%
Upcoming 14/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.22% · Win 40% · DD -3.65%20 days: Avg +1.43% · Win 50% · DD -5.27%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202515/09/202510.65near 52w high+0.75%-0.56%-0.94%-3.19%+4.23%
202413/09/20248.52volume x1.9+6.34%+2.93%+8.57%+0.00%+9.62%
202314/09/20239.13neutral-8.21%-7.34%-9.31%-14.02%+0.00%
202214/09/202211.67neutral+0.43%-4.71%-5.31%-7.46%+2.83%
202114/09/202111.86volume x1.5-0.51%+12.48%+15.26%-0.51%+16.69%
202014/09/20207.40neutral-8.24%-6.62%+4.32%-10.81%+4.32%
201913/09/201911.21neutral-2.05%-2.59%-0.18%-5.44%+0.00%
201814/09/201811.85neutral+1.43%-5.06%-10.30%-10.30%+1.52%
201714/09/201710.91neutral+3.67%+9.99%+9.07%+0.00%+10.91%
201614/09/20169.38near 52w high-0.75%+3.73%+3.09%-0.96%+3.73%
Upcoming 18/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.60% · Win 30% · DD -4.43%20 days: Avg +0.47% · Win 60% · DD -6.20%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202518/09/202511.10near 52w high · far above SMA50-4.05%-4.77%-12.43%-12.43%+0.00%
202418/09/20249.04far above SMA50 · volume x2.2-4.20%-3.32%+4.09%-4.20%+4.09%
202318/09/20238.85neutral-3.16%-6.33%-5.76%-11.30%+0.34%
202219/09/202212.00neutral-7.33%-6.58%-2.42%-10.00%+0.00%
202117/09/202112.11volume x4.1+8.84%+12.06%+12.47%-2.56%+14.29%
202018/09/20207.10volume x2.9-4.93%-0.14%+6.62%-7.04%+8.73%
201918/09/201911.12neutral-0.54%-4.23%+1.35%-4.68%+1.53%
201818/09/201811.72neutral+0.51%-4.18%-8.79%-9.30%+2.65%
201718/09/201711.10neutral+3.87%+9.01%+7.48%+0.00%+9.01%
201619/09/20169.34near 52w high+0.64%+2.46%+2.14%-0.54%+4.18%
Upcoming 21/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.02% · Win 50% · DD -3.30%20 days: Avg +1.90% · Win 60% · DD -4.79%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202522/09/202510.73near 52w high-1.30%+1.68%-4.75%-9.41%+1.68%
202420/09/20249.06far above SMA50 · volume x3.0-3.20%-1.99%+3.53%-4.42%+4.97%
202321/09/20238.38far below SMA50 · volume x1.6+0.95%-3.70%-3.46%-6.32%+2.27%
202221/09/202211.72neutral-5.12%-1.88%-1.28%-7.85%+0.85%
202121/09/202111.80neutral+13.05%+15.42%+14.58%+0.00%+17.29%
202021/09/20206.79far below SMA50 · volume x2.0+1.77%+8.84%+10.16%-2.80%+13.70%
201920/09/201910.98volume x2.2-0.55%-1.91%+4.46%-3.46%+4.46%
201821/09/201812.02volume x6.0-6.41%-5.99%-13.64%-13.64%+0.00%
201721/09/201711.31neutral+6.10%+5.92%+4.42%+0.00%+6.98%
201621/09/20169.31near 52w high+4.51%+3.76%+4.94%+0.00%+4.94%
Upcoming 25/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.94% · Win 70% · DD -2.13%20 days: Avg +2.04% · Win 70% · DD -3.90%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202525/09/202510.65near 52w high-0.75%+2.25%-0.85%-8.73%+2.44%
202425/09/20248.66neutral+0.92%+3.23%+5.31%+0.00%+9.82%
202325/09/20238.57neutral-3.27%-3.85%-8.52%-8.75%+0.00%
202226/09/202211.12neutral+0.81%+0.27%+2.34%-2.88%+6.29%
202124/09/202113.18neutral+2.96%+4.86%+4.70%+0.00%+5.16%
202025/09/20206.75far below SMA50+5.04%+12.30%+19.70%+0.00%+19.70%
201925/09/201911.06neutral-3.71%-2.71%+4.79%-4.16%+5.33%
201825/09/201811.78neutral-4.67%-3.40%-14.43%-14.43%+0.00%
201725/09/201711.53neutral+4.94%+3.21%+2.60%+0.00%+4.94%
201626/09/20169.40near 52w high+1.81%+3.19%+4.79%+0.00%+4.79%
Upcoming 09/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.01% · Win 50% · DD -3.93%20 days: Avg +2.97% · Win 60% · DD -4.89%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202509/10/202510.89near 52w high-10.74%-3.03%-0.83%-10.74%+2.75%
202409/10/20248.94neutral+5.26%+2.01%+17.67%-0.89%+17.67%
202309/10/20238.24neutral+1.21%-4.85%+1.33%-6.43%+4.00%
202210/10/202211.15neutral+5.02%+2.06%+9.06%-1.70%+9.06%
202108/10/202113.82neutral-1.45%-0.14%+4.20%-4.05%+4.20%
202009/10/20207.58neutral-0.13%+6.60%-1.06%-3.56%+6.60%
201909/10/201910.76neutral+4.74%+7.71%+11.34%+0.00%+11.90%
201809/10/201811.38near 52w low-6.06%-11.42%-11.34%-15.64%+0.00%
201709/10/201711.90neutral+0.25%-0.59%-3.11%-3.45%+0.84%
201610/10/20169.70near 52w high-1.65%+1.55%+2.47%-2.47%+2.58%
Upcoming 14/10/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.32% · Win 60% · DD -3.52%20 days: Avg +6.29% · Win 70% · DD -4.16%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202514/10/202510.79near 52w high · volume x1.9-4.91%+3.71%+2.97%-9.92%+3.71%
202414/10/20249.21neutral-2.93%+3.69%+11.18%-2.93%+14.22%
202313/10/20238.12neutral-3.69%-4.43%-2.71%-5.05%+5.54%
202214/10/202211.34neutral-1.68%+5.56%+13.67%-3.35%+13.93%
202114/10/202113.67neutral-0.37%-0.80%+6.29%-3.00%+6.29%
202014/10/20207.32neutral+4.37%+1.91%+22.81%-0.14%+24.04%
201914/10/201911.17near 52w high+4.30%+6.00%+7.34%+0.00%+7.79%
201815/10/201810.66near 52w low-5.16%-4.69%-6.94%-9.94%+0.47%
201713/10/201711.86neutral+0.51%-1.01%-7.00%-7.25%+0.67%
201614/10/20169.54near 52w high+2.20%+3.25%+15.30%+0.00%+15.30%
Upcoming 16/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.62% · Win 60% · DD -3.69%20 days: Avg +5.53% · Win 70% · DD -4.30%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202516/10/20259.72volume x2.0+8.64%+11.63%+10.80%+0.00%+15.12%
202416/10/20249.41neutral-3.08%+2.98%+8.18%-4.99%+11.80%
202316/10/20238.34neutral-6.00%-7.55%-6.12%-7.55%+2.76%
202217/10/202211.71neutral-2.82%+1.37%+8.45%-6.40%+10.33%
202115/10/202113.62neutral+1.32%-2.64%+5.73%-2.64%+6.68%
202016/10/20207.57neutral+6.74%+0.92%+18.76%-3.43%+19.95%
201916/10/201911.27near 52w high+2.84%+5.32%+5.86%+0.00%+7.10%
201816/10/201810.69near 52w low-5.71%-5.52%-6.36%-10.20%+0.19%
201716/10/201711.93neutral-0.84%-3.60%-6.62%-7.80%+0.08%
201617/10/20169.54near 52w high+3.25%+3.35%+16.67%+0.00%+16.67%
Upcoming 21/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.39% · Win 60% · DD -2.01%20 days: Avg +7.85% · Win 80% · DD -2.42%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/10/202510.26neutral+9.06%+4.68%+1.95%-1.27%+9.06%
202421/10/20248.94neutral+6.82%+4.70%+14.43%+0.00%+17.67%
202320/10/20237.82far below SMA50-0.77%+9.59%+14.19%-1.41%+14.19%
202221/10/202211.15volume x1.7+7.35%+8.61%+10.13%+0.00%+15.87%
202121/10/202113.62neutral-0.44%+3.01%+5.95%-2.64%+7.27%
202021/10/20207.64neutral-2.36%-4.32%+20.42%-4.32%+23.30%
201921/10/201911.65near 52w high+1.63%+2.15%+1.63%-0.60%+3.61%
201822/10/201810.11near 52w low · far below SMA50+0.49%-1.29%-0.10%-5.04%+0.49%
201720/10/201711.92neutral-1.51%-2.27%-5.45%-7.72%+0.17%
201621/10/20169.75near 52w high+1.03%-0.92%+15.38%-1.23%+15.38%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· If it holds above SMA50 (-4.9%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -9.7% · from 52w low: +42.4%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-0.58% · -2.56% · -8.04% · -3.92%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-2.93% · -4.88% · +4.08%
Distance from 52w high / low-9.67% · +42.43%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.26 · 0.04x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-6.06%
vs SPY (20d)-6.15%
vs SMH (20d)-4.11%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20014.14 · 14.43 · 13.19
52w high / low15.20 · 9.64