🕰️ Time Machine
VLY — Valley Bank
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026
Last price (Close)
14.06 +1.81%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 11 days
09/11/2026
Last window · Cycle 90 · 21/10/2026
since +7.99%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 23/07/2026
14.01
Days: 65 trading / 92 calendar · return since: +0.36%
Last major high · 14/08/2026
15.15
Days: 49 trading / 70 calendar · return since: -7.19%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 14/08/2026 @ 15.15 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 13/10/2026 | -10 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 23/07/2026 @ 14.01 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 16/10/2026 | -5 (±2) | Passed |
| High 14/08/2026 @ 15.15 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 19/10/2026 | -4 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 23/07/2026 @ 14.01 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 21/10/2026 | -2 (±3) | In window |
| High 14/08/2026 @ 15.15 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 09/11/2026 | +11 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 14/08/2026 @ 15.15 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 12/11/2026 | +20 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 23/07/2026 @ 14.01 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 20/11/2026 | +28 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 23/07/2026 @ 14.01 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 30/11/2026 | +25 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 14/08/2026 @ 15.15 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 22/12/2026 | +41 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Failed Breakdown 14/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 13/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 09/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 13/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 08/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 13/10/2026
● Hammer Reversal 29/09/2026
● Failed Breakdown 29/09/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 13/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.10% · Win 44% · DD -4.01%20 days: Avg +5.33% · Win 67% · DD -4.71%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 13/10/2025 | 10.55 | neutral | -3.13% | +5.31% | +4.45% | -7.87% | +6.07% |
| 2024 | 14/10/2024 | 9.21 | neutral | -2.93% | +3.69% | +11.18% | -2.93% | +14.22% |
| 2023 | 13/10/2023 | 8.12 | neutral | -3.69% | -4.43% | -2.71% | -5.05% | +5.54% |
| 2022 | 13/10/2022 | 11.59 | volume x1.6 | -5.44% | -1.47% | +11.48% | -5.44% | +11.48% |
| 2021 | 13/10/2021 | 13.61 | neutral | +1.84% | -1.40% | +6.32% | -2.57% | +6.32% |
| 2020 | 13/10/2020 | 7.43 | neutral | +2.69% | +1.75% | +22.21% | -1.62% | +22.21% |
| 2019 | 14/10/2019 | 11.17 | near 52w high | +4.30% | +6.00% | +7.34% | +0.00% | +7.79% |
| 2018 | 12/10/2018 | 10.63 | near 52w low · volume x1.6 | -2.35% | -9.31% | -5.27% | -9.69% | +0.75% |
| 2017 | 13/10/2017 | 11.86 | neutral | +0.51% | -1.01% | -7.00% | -7.25% | +0.67% |
Passed 16/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.32% · Win 56% · DD -4.09%20 days: Avg +4.30% · Win 67% · DD -4.78%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/10/2025 | 9.72 | volume x2.0 | +8.64% | +11.63% | +10.80% | +0.00% | +15.12% |
| 2024 | 16/10/2024 | 9.41 | neutral | -3.08% | +2.98% | +8.18% | -4.99% | +11.80% |
| 2023 | 16/10/2023 | 8.34 | neutral | -6.00% | -7.55% | -6.12% | -7.55% | +2.76% |
| 2022 | 17/10/2022 | 11.71 | neutral | -2.82% | +1.37% | +8.45% | -6.40% | +10.33% |
| 2021 | 15/10/2021 | 13.62 | neutral | +1.32% | -2.64% | +5.73% | -2.64% | +6.68% |
| 2020 | 16/10/2020 | 7.57 | neutral | +6.74% | +0.92% | +18.76% | -3.43% | +19.95% |
| 2019 | 16/10/2019 | 11.27 | near 52w high | +2.84% | +5.32% | +5.86% | +0.00% | +7.10% |
| 2018 | 16/10/2018 | 10.69 | near 52w low | -5.71% | -5.52% | -6.36% | -10.20% | +0.19% |
| 2017 | 16/10/2017 | 11.93 | neutral | -0.84% | -3.60% | -6.62% | -7.80% | +0.08% |
Passed 19/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.72% · Win 78% · DD -3.11%20 days: Avg +5.95% · Win 78% · DD -3.79%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 20/10/2025 | 10.22 | neutral | +8.71% | +7.04% | +2.05% | -0.88% | +9.49% |
| 2024 | 18/10/2024 | 9.38 | neutral | -1.17% | +0.43% | +8.64% | -4.69% | +12.15% |
| 2023 | 19/10/2023 | 8.09 | neutral | -2.60% | +2.10% | +6.80% | -4.70% | +9.39% |
| 2022 | 19/10/2022 | 11.57 | neutral | +0.43% | +0.86% | +6.74% | -5.27% | +11.67% |
| 2021 | 19/10/2021 | 13.52 | neutral | +2.74% | +3.18% | +8.06% | -1.92% | +8.06% |
| 2020 | 19/10/2020 | 7.48 | neutral | +5.75% | +4.68% | +25.94% | -2.27% | +25.94% |
| 2019 | 18/10/2019 | 11.47 | near 52w high · volume x1.5 | +1.31% | +2.35% | +3.84% | +0.00% | +5.23% |
| 2018 | 19/10/2018 | 10.38 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -7.13% | -3.56% | -2.99% | -7.51% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 19/10/2017 | 11.81 | neutral | -1.35% | -1.61% | -5.50% | -6.86% | +1.10% |
In window 21/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.58% · Win 70% · DD -2.11%20 days: Avg +7.66% · Win 80% · DD -2.52%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 21/10/2025 | 10.26 | neutral | +9.06% | +4.68% | +1.95% | -1.27% | +9.06% |
| 2024 | 21/10/2024 | 8.94 | neutral | +6.82% | +4.70% | +14.43% | +0.00% | +17.67% |
| 2023 | 20/10/2023 | 7.82 | far below SMA50 | -0.77% | +9.59% | +14.19% | -1.41% | +14.19% |
| 2022 | 21/10/2022 | 11.15 | volume x1.7 | +7.35% | +8.61% | +10.13% | +0.00% | +15.87% |
| 2021 | 21/10/2021 | 13.62 | neutral | -0.44% | +3.01% | +5.95% | -2.64% | +7.27% |
| 2020 | 21/10/2020 | 7.64 | neutral | -2.36% | -4.32% | +20.42% | -4.32% | +23.30% |
| 2019 | 21/10/2019 | 11.65 | near 52w high | +1.63% | +2.15% | +1.63% | -0.60% | +3.61% |
| 2018 | 22/10/2018 | 10.11 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +0.49% | -1.29% | -0.10% | -5.04% | +0.49% |
| 2017 | 20/10/2017 | 11.92 | neutral | -1.51% | -2.27% | -5.45% | -7.72% | +0.17% |
| 2016 | 24/10/2016 | 9.85 | near 52w high | +0.10% | +0.91% | +13.40% | -2.23% | +14.21% |
Upcoming 09/11/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.69% · Win 90% · DD -1.03%20 days: Avg +5.11% · Win 60% · DD -3.22%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/11/2025 | 11.02 | near 52w high | -5.35% | +0.91% | +3.99% | -5.35% | +5.17% |
| 2024 | 08/11/2024 | 9.96 | far above SMA50 · volume x5.7 | +2.31% | +6.02% | +4.32% | +0.00% | +8.23% |
| 2023 | 09/11/2023 | 7.85 | neutral | +10.06% | +11.72% | +26.75% | -0.25% | +26.75% |
| 2022 | 09/11/2022 | 12.19 | neutral | +1.31% | +2.63% | -4.84% | -6.81% | +5.99% |
| 2021 | 09/11/2021 | 14.47 | near 52w high | +0.97% | +2.42% | -2.42% | -7.46% | +2.42% |
| 2020 | 09/11/2020 | 8.64 | far above SMA50 · volume x3.0 | +9.03% | +9.03% | +12.27% | +0.00% | +14.00% |
| 2019 | 08/11/2019 | 11.97 | near 52w high | -0.50% | -1.17% | -5.60% | -7.60% | +0.84% |
| 2018 | 09/11/2018 | 10.07 | neutral | +0.00% | +2.48% | -4.67% | -4.67% | +7.45% |
| 2017 | 09/11/2017 | 11.00 | neutral | +1.45% | +2.73% | +5.27% | +0.00% | +10.64% |
| 2016 | 09/11/2016 | 10.32 | near 52w high | +7.75% | +10.17% | +15.99% | +0.00% | +15.99% |
Upcoming 12/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.70% · Win 70% · DD -1.89%20 days: Avg +3.38% · Win 60% · DD -3.63%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 12/11/2025 | 11.08 | near 52w high | -5.05% | +2.44% | +6.95% | -5.87% | +6.95% |
| 2024 | 12/11/2024 | 10.14 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.8 | +0.49% | +5.42% | +2.37% | +0.00% | +6.31% |
| 2023 | 13/11/2023 | 7.83 | neutral | +14.43% | +10.47% | +25.29% | +0.00% | +27.33% |
| 2022 | 11/11/2022 | 12.89 | far above SMA50 | -4.73% | -4.34% | -8.30% | -11.87% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 12/11/2021 | 14.40 | near 52w high | -0.49% | -4.10% | -5.83% | -7.01% | +2.92% |
| 2020 | 12/11/2020 | 8.80 | far above SMA50 | +4.89% | +7.95% | +10.34% | +0.00% | +11.93% |
| 2019 | 12/11/2019 | 12.07 | near 52w high | -1.49% | -2.49% | -4.89% | -8.37% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 12/11/2018 | 9.92 | neutral | +1.81% | +4.23% | -1.01% | -3.23% | +9.07% |
| 2017 | 13/11/2017 | 11.14 | near 52w low | +1.97% | +5.75% | +4.67% | +0.00% | +9.25% |
| 2016 | 11/11/2016 | 11.00 | near 52w high | +2.27% | +1.64% | +4.18% | +0.00% | +8.82% |
Upcoming 20/11/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.02% · Win 70% · DD -2.59%20 days: Avg +1.88% · Win 50% · DD -5.01%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 20/11/2025 | 10.48 | neutral | +8.02% | +10.21% | +15.76% | +0.00% | +15.76% |
| 2024 | 20/11/2024 | 10.15 | neutral | +5.22% | +2.66% | -10.26% | -10.26% | +6.21% |
| 2023 | 20/11/2023 | 8.96 | neutral | -3.46% | +7.25% | +25.29% | -3.79% | +25.29% |
| 2022 | 21/11/2022 | 12.31 | neutral | +0.89% | -7.72% | -7.99% | -8.97% | +2.84% |
| 2021 | 19/11/2021 | 14.33 | near 52w high | -3.63% | -1.12% | -8.26% | -8.26% | +3.42% |
| 2020 | 20/11/2020 | 9.20 | far above SMA50 | -0.65% | +6.30% | +5.54% | -0.65% | +10.93% |
| 2019 | 20/11/2019 | 11.85 | near 52w high | -0.51% | -6.41% | -0.14% | -6.67% | +0.68% |
| 2018 | 20/11/2018 | 10.06 | neutral | +4.27% | +0.99% | -10.33% | -10.93% | +7.55% |
| 2017 | 20/11/2017 | 11.36 | neutral | +3.70% | +2.73% | +1.58% | -0.53% | +7.13% |
| 2016 | 21/11/2016 | 11.17 | near 52w high | +0.98% | +5.28% | +7.57% | +0.00% | +7.57% |
Upcoming 30/11/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.33% · Win 60% · DD -3.79%20 days: Avg -0.54% · Win 50% · DD -5.90%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 01/12/2025 | 11.48 | near 52w high | +0.96% | +4.71% | +3.57% | -0.35% | +6.21% |
| 2024 | 29/11/2024 | 10.64 | far above SMA50 | -1.22% | -3.76% | -13.35% | -14.40% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 30/11/2023 | 9.10 | neutral | +9.23% | +22.58% | +20.69% | +0.00% | +23.36% |
| 2022 | 30/11/2022 | 12.66 | neutral | -8.53% | -10.29% | -8.85% | -11.49% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 30/11/2021 | 13.44 | neutral | +4.61% | +0.97% | +3.52% | -2.18% | +5.43% |
| 2020 | 30/11/2020 | 9.14 | far above SMA50 | +7.00% | +6.35% | +6.46% | +0.00% | +11.66% |
| 2019 | 29/11/2019 | 11.58 | near 52w high · volume x2.2 | -2.33% | +0.18% | -0.60% | -4.49% | +2.19% |
| 2018 | 30/11/2018 | 10.82 | neutral | -9.98% | -13.35% | -15.41% | -21.02% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 30/11/2017 | 11.90 | neutral | -2.10% | -4.96% | -4.80% | -4.96% | +0.17% |
| 2016 | 30/11/2016 | 11.34 | near 52w high | +4.76% | +0.88% | +3.37% | -0.10% | +6.04% |
Upcoming 22/12/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.45% · Win 40% · DD -2.47%20 days: Avg +5.14% · Win 60% · DD -3.51%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 22/12/2025 | 12.08 | near 52w high | -2.48% | -0.08% | +2.65% | -3.48% | +2.65% |
| 2024 | 23/12/2024 | 9.11 | neutral | -0.55% | -1.32% | +11.64% | -5.38% | +11.64% |
| 2023 | 22/12/2023 | 10.91 | far above SMA50 | -1.10% | -2.84% | -1.01% | -8.43% | +1.74% |
| 2022 | 22/12/2022 | 11.38 | neutral | -0.62% | -2.46% | -2.90% | -4.92% | +0.88% |
| 2021 | 22/12/2021 | 13.60 | neutral | +1.10% | +8.16% | +4.41% | -0.29% | +10.44% |
| 2020 | 22/12/2020 | 9.46 | neutral | +2.43% | +14.90% | +16.17% | +0.00% | +16.17% |
| 2019 | 23/12/2019 | 11.46 | neutral | -0.09% | -2.18% | -0.96% | -3.40% | +0.09% |
| 2018 | 21/12/2018 | 8.64 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x2.3 | +2.78% | +12.04% | +18.87% | -2.20% | +20.02% |
| 2017 | 22/12/2017 | 11.41 | neutral | -1.40% | +2.02% | +6.66% | -1.67% | +7.98% |
| 2016 | 22/12/2016 | 11.91 | near 52w high | -2.27% | -3.69% | -4.11% | -5.29% | +0.17% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp rally recently — watch for follow-through.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+4.6%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -7.5% · from 52w low: +44.8%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +11.06% · +11.41% · +7.49% · -1.03% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +9.75% · +4.63% · +4.94% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -7.50% · +44.80% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.31 · 1.33x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +12.88% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +8.97% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +20.58% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 12.81 · 13.44 · 13.40 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 15.20 · 9.71 |
|---|
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