🕰️ Time Machine
VSEC — VSE Corporation
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 11/09/2026
Last price (Close)
196.01 +1.75%
Next window · Fib 21 · in window
11/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 10/09/2026
since +1.75%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 29/07/2026
183.20
Days: 31 trading / 44 calendar · return since: +6.99%
Last major high · 12/08/2026
247.85
Days: 21 trading / 30 calendar · return since: -20.92%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 29/07/2026 @ 183.20 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 27/08/2026 | -10 (±1) | Passed |
| High 12/08/2026 @ 247.85 | Fib 13 | Trading | 📅 31/08/2026 | -8 (±1) | Passed |
| High 12/08/2026 @ 247.85 | Fib 21 | Calendar | 📅 02/09/2026 | -9 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 29/07/2026 @ 183.20 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 10/09/2026 | -1 (±2) | In window |
| High 12/08/2026 @ 247.85 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 11/09/2026 | +0 (±1) | In window |
| High 12/08/2026 @ 247.85 | Cycle 30 | Calendar | 📅 11/09/2026 | +0 (±2) | In window |
| Low 29/07/2026 @ 183.20 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 12/09/2026 | +1 (±2) | In window |
| High 12/08/2026 @ 247.85 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 24/09/2026 | +9 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 12/08/2026 @ 247.85 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 26/09/2026 | +15 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 29/07/2026 @ 183.20 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 27/09/2026 | +16 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 29/07/2026 @ 183.20 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 01/10/2026 | +14 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 12/08/2026 @ 247.85 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 11/10/2026 | +30 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 12/08/2026 @ 247.85 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 15/10/2026 | +24 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 29/07/2026 @ 183.20 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 22/10/2026 | +29 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 12/08/2026 @ 247.85 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 05/11/2026 | +39 (±2) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● NR7 Compression 11/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 11/09/2026
● Gap Day 10/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 10/09/2026
● NR7 Compression 04/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 02/09/2026
● Failed Breakdown 03/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 02/09/2026
● Gap Day 01/09/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 31/08/2026
● NR7 Compression 24/08/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 27/08/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 27/08/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.86% · Win 44% · DD -4.05%20 days: Avg -2.04% · Win 44% · DD -6.74%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 27/08/2025 | 165.07 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -0.21% | +1.73% | -2.39% | -2.50% | +4.60% |
| 2024 | 27/08/2024 | 89.03 | neutral | -3.02% | -5.86% | -7.04% | -8.24% | +4.49% |
| 2023 | 28/08/2023 | 54.10 | neutral | +3.33% | +4.95% | +6.30% | +0.00% | +7.97% |
| 2022 | 26/08/2022 | 43.32 | far above SMA50 | -7.04% | -5.42% | -19.46% | -20.82% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 27/08/2021 | 49.76 | neutral | -1.59% | -3.64% | -1.91% | -9.22% | +0.46% |
| 2020 | 27/08/2020 | 29.56 | neutral | -0.71% | -4.16% | +0.64% | -5.14% | +3.11% |
| 2019 | 27/08/2019 | 31.22 | far above SMA50 | +0.38% | +19.63% | +8.94% | -0.64% | +22.13% |
| 2018 | 27/08/2018 | 38.46 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -3.95% | -7.98% | -14.04% | -14.04% | +0.31% |
| 2017 | 28/08/2017 | 49.98 | neutral | +3.88% | +8.46% | +10.60% | +0.00% | +10.60% |
Passed 31/08/2026 · High Fib 13/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.14% · Win 56% · DD -4.95%20 days: Avg -3.41% · Win 44% · DD -8.25%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/08/2025 | 162.40 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +3.05% | +1.90% | +1.13% | -0.90% | +6.32% |
| 2024 | 30/08/2024 | 93.03 | near 52w high | -10.97% | -6.04% | -11.07% | -12.19% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 31/08/2023 | 56.75 | near 52w high | -0.70% | +2.40% | -11.12% | -11.15% | +3.65% |
| 2022 | 31/08/2022 | 41.85 | neutral | -5.38% | -8.10% | -15.63% | -18.04% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 31/08/2021 | 49.99 | volume x1.5 | -4.62% | -3.76% | -1.72% | -9.64% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 31/08/2020 | 29.03 | neutral | -2.48% | +0.72% | +7.44% | -3.41% | +8.72% |
| 2019 | 30/08/2019 | 31.84 | far above SMA50 | +3.11% | +8.48% | +7.07% | -2.58% | +19.76% |
| 2018 | 31/08/2018 | 38.58 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -2.26% | -8.14% | -15.84% | -15.84% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 31/08/2017 | 52.15 | near 52w high | -0.52% | +2.26% | +9.03% | -0.52% | +11.16% |
Passed 02/09/2026 · High Fib 21/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.32% · Win 33% · DD -4.67%20 days: Avg -2.91% · Win 44% · DD -7.83%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 02/09/2025 | 163.80 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -0.30% | +5.24% | +1.49% | -1.75% | +5.41% |
| 2024 | 03/09/2024 | 87.66 | neutral | -4.91% | -0.10% | -4.96% | -6.81% | +1.68% |
| 2023 | 01/09/2023 | 57.52 | near 52w high | -3.30% | -1.91% | -13.40% | -13.40% | +2.26% |
| 2022 | 02/09/2022 | 40.27 | neutral | +1.74% | -1.07% | -9.31% | -14.82% | +1.74% |
| 2021 | 02/09/2021 | 49.85 | neutral | -5.06% | -7.60% | -1.18% | -9.39% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 02/09/2020 | 30.48 | neutral | -8.01% | -2.00% | +0.89% | -8.01% | +3.54% |
| 2019 | 03/09/2019 | 31.02 | neutral | +12.86% | +11.15% | +4.77% | +0.00% | +22.92% |
| 2018 | 31/08/2018 | 38.58 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -2.26% | -8.14% | -15.84% | -15.84% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 01/09/2017 | 52.13 | near 52w high | +3.34% | +1.57% | +11.36% | -0.48% | +11.36% |
In window 10/09/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.60% · Win 40% · DD -4.72%20 days: Avg -1.40% · Win 40% · DD -6.94%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/09/2025 | 167.02 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -0.43% | -3.28% | -1.48% | -3.64% | +3.38% |
| 2024 | 10/09/2024 | 83.36 | neutral | +5.05% | -2.00% | +3.30% | -2.00% | +6.92% |
| 2023 | 11/09/2023 | 55.62 | neutral | +1.44% | +3.65% | -1.85% | -12.86% | +5.75% |
| 2022 | 09/09/2022 | 40.84 | neutral | -4.53% | -16.01% | -10.55% | -16.01% | +0.32% |
| 2021 | 10/09/2021 | 47.33 | neutral | -2.68% | +0.63% | +2.24% | -4.56% | +4.08% |
| 2020 | 10/09/2020 | 28.04 | neutral | +6.53% | +6.38% | +11.77% | +0.00% | +12.55% |
| 2019 | 10/09/2019 | 35.01 | far above SMA50 | -1.51% | -4.40% | -7.46% | -8.03% | +8.91% |
| 2018 | 10/09/2018 | 37.71 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -6.02% | -11.83% | -16.02% | -16.02% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 11/09/2017 | 53.87 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -1.71% | +1.80% | +8.13% | -2.28% | +9.34% |
| 2016 | 12/09/2016 | 34.03 | near 52w high | -0.82% | -0.94% | -2.12% | -3.97% | +1.85% |
In window 11/09/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.55% · Win 40% · DD -4.92%20 days: Avg -1.57% · Win 40% · DD -7.20%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 11/09/2025 | 167.92 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +2.82% | -4.05% | -5.25% | -5.25% | +2.82% |
| 2024 | 11/09/2024 | 83.81 | neutral | +5.45% | -1.25% | +4.33% | -2.53% | +6.35% |
| 2023 | 11/09/2023 | 55.62 | neutral | +1.44% | +3.65% | -1.85% | -12.86% | +5.75% |
| 2022 | 12/09/2022 | 40.97 | neutral | -2.76% | -14.84% | -7.44% | -16.28% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 10/09/2021 | 47.33 | neutral | -2.68% | +0.63% | +2.24% | -4.56% | +4.08% |
| 2020 | 11/09/2020 | 28.33 | neutral | +7.38% | +5.01% | +8.19% | +0.00% | +11.40% |
| 2019 | 11/09/2019 | 37.35 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -7.15% | -8.94% | -12.16% | -13.79% | +2.09% |
| 2018 | 11/09/2018 | 35.39 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x2.0 | -1.19% | -6.58% | -9.78% | -10.51% | +1.07% |
| 2017 | 11/09/2017 | 53.87 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -1.71% | +1.80% | +8.13% | -2.28% | +9.34% |
| 2016 | 12/09/2016 | 34.03 | near 52w high | -0.82% | -0.94% | -2.12% | -3.97% | +1.85% |
In window 12/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.92% · Win 40% · DD -5.53%20 days: Avg -2.64% · Win 30% · DD -8.28%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 12/09/2025 | 164.51 | near 52w high | -2.17% | -0.02% | -5.81% | -5.81% | +4.95% |
| 2024 | 12/09/2024 | 85.40 | neutral | +4.37% | -3.34% | +1.90% | -4.34% | +4.37% |
| 2023 | 12/09/2023 | 56.78 | near 52w high | -0.92% | +1.29% | -1.59% | -14.64% | +3.59% |
| 2022 | 12/09/2022 | 40.97 | neutral | -2.76% | -14.84% | -7.44% | -16.28% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 13/09/2021 | 47.95 | neutral | -4.88% | +1.79% | -0.17% | -5.80% | +2.73% |
| 2020 | 11/09/2020 | 28.33 | neutral | +7.38% | +5.01% | +8.19% | +0.00% | +11.40% |
| 2019 | 12/09/2019 | 38.13 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -9.00% | -11.99% | -13.30% | -15.55% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 12/09/2018 | 35.45 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -2.68% | -8.10% | -13.51% | -13.51% | +0.90% |
| 2017 | 12/09/2017 | 54.21 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -2.16% | +1.97% | +7.45% | -2.90% | +8.65% |
| 2016 | 12/09/2016 | 34.03 | near 52w high | -0.82% | -0.94% | -2.12% | -3.97% | +1.85% |
Upcoming 24/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.84% · Win 60% · DD -3.09%20 days: Avg +4.78% · Win 70% · DD -4.65%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/09/2025 | 161.55 | neutral | +2.97% | +1.85% | +5.20% | -4.08% | +5.25% |
| 2024 | 24/09/2024 | 81.69 | neutral | +1.98% | +5.41% | +24.52% | +0.00% | +29.51% |
| 2023 | 25/09/2023 | 57.65 | near 52w high | -13.60% | -5.31% | -6.04% | -15.92% | +2.03% |
| 2022 | 23/09/2022 | 34.30 | far below SMA50 | +3.21% | +6.50% | +28.45% | +0.00% | +28.45% |
| 2021 | 24/09/2021 | 47.63 | neutral | +3.42% | +1.60% | +4.51% | -0.84% | +4.51% |
| 2020 | 24/09/2020 | 29.83 | neutral | +3.08% | +5.06% | +4.43% | -0.27% | +5.80% |
| 2019 | 24/09/2019 | 33.47 | neutral | -2.90% | -3.20% | +1.49% | -3.79% | +3.05% |
| 2018 | 24/09/2018 | 33.25 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -2.35% | -4.75% | -9.86% | -11.55% | +0.03% |
| 2017 | 25/09/2017 | 54.84 | near 52w high | +5.85% | +6.22% | +4.92% | +0.00% | +7.82% |
| 2016 | 23/09/2016 | 34.41 | near 52w high | -1.22% | -5.03% | -9.82% | -10.08% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 26/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.34% · Win 40% · DD -3.90%20 days: Avg +4.10% · Win 60% · DD -5.07%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 26/09/2025 | 164.48 | neutral | -0.12% | -5.79% | +11.32% | -5.79% | +11.32% |
| 2024 | 26/09/2024 | 82.55 | neutral | +1.73% | +5.41% | +23.33% | +0.00% | +28.16% |
| 2023 | 26/09/2023 | 57.51 | near 52w high | -15.72% | -2.83% | -5.91% | -15.72% | +2.28% |
| 2022 | 26/09/2022 | 34.89 | far below SMA50 | +4.67% | +8.68% | +20.32% | -1.29% | +26.28% |
| 2021 | 27/09/2021 | 48.81 | neutral | -2.15% | -1.93% | +3.75% | -3.24% | +3.75% |
| 2020 | 25/09/2020 | 29.75 | neutral | +5.21% | +3.03% | +5.48% | +0.00% | +6.08% |
| 2019 | 26/09/2019 | 33.56 | neutral | -3.46% | -1.49% | -2.29% | -4.05% | +2.77% |
| 2018 | 26/09/2018 | 32.58 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +0.58% | -5.89% | -12.37% | -12.37% | +2.09% |
| 2017 | 26/09/2017 | 55.28 | near 52w high | +3.85% | +5.37% | +4.96% | +0.00% | +6.96% |
| 2016 | 26/09/2016 | 33.71 | near 52w high | -0.50% | -1.19% | -7.62% | -8.22% | +0.83% |
Upcoming 27/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.99% · Win 30% · DD -5.32%20 days: Avg +3.10% · Win 50% · DD -6.05%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 26/09/2025 | 164.48 | neutral | -0.12% | -5.79% | +11.32% | -5.79% | +11.32% |
| 2024 | 27/09/2024 | 83.07 | neutral | +3.73% | +7.78% | +23.90% | -0.41% | +27.36% |
| 2023 | 27/09/2023 | 58.82 | near 52w high | -9.83% | -5.56% | -9.10% | -17.60% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 27/09/2022 | 34.44 | far below SMA50 · volume x1.6 | +10.54% | +12.69% | +25.93% | +0.00% | +27.93% |
| 2021 | 27/09/2021 | 48.81 | neutral | -2.15% | -1.93% | +3.75% | -3.24% | +3.75% |
| 2020 | 28/09/2020 | 31.56 | volume x1.7 | -1.05% | -0.19% | -1.90% | -2.92% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 27/09/2019 | 34.49 | far above SMA50 | -4.26% | -2.70% | -4.96% | -6.64% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 27/09/2018 | 32.85 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +1.25% | -9.32% | -9.28% | -13.09% | +1.25% |
| 2017 | 27/09/2017 | 57.97 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x2.2 | -0.17% | +0.48% | +0.07% | -1.91% | +2.00% |
| 2016 | 27/09/2016 | 33.95 | near 52w high | -1.62% | -5.42% | -8.72% | -8.87% | +0.12% |
Upcoming 01/10/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.69% · Win 60% · DD -3.10%20 days: Avg +4.34% · Win 60% · DD -6.05%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 01/10/2025 | 166.34 | near 52w high | -1.08% | -5.32% | +8.53% | -6.84% | +10.08% |
| 2024 | 01/10/2024 | 83.31 | neutral | +3.36% | +8.03% | +27.87% | +0.00% | +27.87% |
| 2023 | 02/10/2023 | 49.81 | neutral | +9.60% | +9.46% | +7.51% | -2.69% | +12.77% |
| 2022 | 30/09/2022 | 35.40 | far below SMA50 · volume x1.5 | +3.19% | +14.77% | +27.06% | +0.00% | +27.06% |
| 2021 | 01/10/2021 | 49.26 | neutral | -1.77% | -2.52% | +12.77% | -4.12% | +13.68% |
| 2020 | 01/10/2020 | 30.75 | volume x2.9 | +1.92% | +1.98% | -4.07% | -4.07% | +2.47% |
| 2019 | 01/10/2019 | 32.50 | neutral | -0.31% | +3.88% | +3.94% | -0.92% | +5.35% |
| 2018 | 01/10/2018 | 32.47 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -2.46% | -7.48% | -12.07% | -12.07% | +2.43% |
| 2017 | 02/10/2017 | 58.05 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +0.34% | +0.65% | -14.28% | -14.28% | +1.86% |
| 2016 | 30/09/2016 | 33.99 | near 52w high | -3.85% | -6.59% | -13.89% | -15.50% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 11/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.90% · Win 50% · DD -1.86%20 days: Avg +9.52% · Win 80% · DD -4.95%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/10/2025 | 154.96 | neutral | +2.97% | +18.16% | +14.12% | +0.00% | +18.16% |
| 2024 | 11/10/2024 | 89.53 | near 52w high | +16.25% | +14.96% | +31.70% | +0.00% | +31.70% |
| 2023 | 11/10/2023 | 55.55 | neutral | +0.92% | -3.74% | +5.04% | -4.95% | +5.58% |
| 2022 | 11/10/2022 | 38.81 | neutral | +9.71% | +11.75% | +24.05% | +0.00% | +24.05% |
| 2021 | 11/10/2021 | 47.87 | neutral | +1.36% | +5.79% | +25.90% | -1.23% | +26.17% |
| 2020 | 12/10/2020 | 31.50 | neutral | -0.79% | -1.71% | +0.29% | -8.06% | +0.29% |
| 2019 | 11/10/2019 | 33.56 | neutral | -0.69% | -2.32% | +16.86% | -2.32% | +19.97% |
| 2018 | 11/10/2018 | 29.79 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +3.83% | +0.03% | +2.51% | -4.16% | +7.35% |
| 2017 | 11/10/2017 | 58.25 | near 52w high | -0.07% | -0.41% | -18.10% | -18.10% | +1.51% |
| 2016 | 11/10/2016 | 32.11 | near 52w low · volume x1.7 | +0.87% | -3.49% | -7.19% | -10.71% | +0.87% |
Upcoming 15/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.41% · Win 50% · DD -4.21%20 days: Avg +12.69% · Win 90% · DD -5.09%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 15/10/2025 | 157.40 | neutral | +7.91% | +14.63% | +9.28% | -0.70% | +16.26% |
| 2024 | 15/10/2024 | 90.00 | near 52w high | +13.02% | +18.37% | +34.75% | +0.00% | +34.75% |
| 2023 | 16/10/2023 | 54.52 | neutral | -0.64% | -1.78% | +8.25% | -3.15% | +9.15% |
| 2022 | 14/10/2022 | 40.63 | neutral | +8.44% | +10.71% | +25.01% | +0.00% | +25.72% |
| 2021 | 15/10/2021 | 48.02 | neutral | +3.67% | +15.68% | +32.76% | -0.04% | +32.76% |
| 2020 | 15/10/2020 | 31.36 | neutral | -0.67% | -5.93% | +1.79% | -7.65% | +4.96% |
| 2019 | 15/10/2019 | 33.76 | neutral | +0.62% | +0.06% | +13.85% | -2.90% | +19.26% |
| 2018 | 15/10/2018 | 30.04 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -0.23% | -4.96% | +0.46% | -4.96% | +6.46% |
| 2017 | 16/10/2017 | 58.43 | near 52w high | -1.52% | -14.84% | -21.76% | -21.76% | +1.20% |
| 2016 | 14/10/2016 | 31.75 | near 52w low | -2.27% | -7.81% | +22.52% | -9.70% | +22.52% |
Upcoming 22/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.26% · Win 70% · DD -4.65%20 days: Avg +9.47% · Win 70% · DD -5.52%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 22/10/2025 | 169.85 | near 52w high | +6.22% | +3.59% | -0.27% | -3.99% | +7.74% |
| 2024 | 22/10/2024 | 101.72 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +4.73% | +4.51% | +13.55% | -0.37% | +19.42% |
| 2023 | 23/10/2023 | 54.17 | neutral | -1.14% | +8.27% | +16.02% | -2.53% | +16.02% |
| 2022 | 21/10/2022 | 44.06 | neutral | +2.09% | +7.65% | +8.54% | -4.72% | +15.93% |
| 2021 | 22/10/2021 | 49.78 | neutral | +11.59% | +21.33% | +22.01% | +0.00% | +28.07% |
| 2020 | 22/10/2020 | 31.15 | neutral | -5.30% | -1.16% | +11.56% | -7.03% | +11.56% |
| 2019 | 22/10/2019 | 33.97 | neutral | -0.56% | +18.52% | +15.72% | -3.50% | +18.52% |
| 2018 | 22/10/2018 | 29.97 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x1.8 | -4.74% | +3.20% | -0.38% | -4.74% | +4.64% |
| 2017 | 23/10/2017 | 57.54 | near 52w high | -13.52% | -15.68% | -16.37% | -20.74% | +0.83% |
| 2016 | 21/10/2016 | 31.03 | near 52w low | -5.67% | -7.61% | +24.30% | -7.61% | +25.37% |
Upcoming 05/11/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.42% · Win 60% · DD -2.68%20 days: Avg +5.52% · Win 50% · DD -4.14%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 05/11/2025 | 175.94 | neutral | -2.23% | -3.72% | -2.65% | -7.31% | +3.44% |
| 2024 | 05/11/2024 | 106.31 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +14.08% | +8.64% | +10.06% | +0.00% | +14.26% |
| 2023 | 06/11/2023 | 58.54 | near 52w high | +0.63% | +7.16% | +2.97% | -1.01% | +7.23% |
| 2022 | 04/11/2022 | 47.33 | far above SMA50 | +7.08% | +0.82% | +5.32% | +0.00% | +7.69% |
| 2021 | 05/11/2021 | 60.30 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x2.7 | +5.56% | +0.56% | -5.39% | -9.32% | +5.56% |
| 2020 | 05/11/2020 | 30.70 | neutral | +3.68% | +12.87% | +18.96% | -0.65% | +18.96% |
| 2019 | 05/11/2019 | 40.17 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -4.53% | -2.36% | -1.49% | -5.55% | +1.54% |
| 2018 | 05/11/2018 | 30.93 | neutral | -2.43% | -3.47% | -8.14% | -11.54% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 06/11/2017 | 48.52 | far below SMA50 | -5.78% | -0.83% | -2.97% | -6.01% | +1.51% |
| 2016 | 04/11/2016 | 28.67 | neutral | +35.69% | +34.53% | +38.48% | +0.00% | +38.66% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· If it holds above SMA50 (-7.5%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -20.9% · from 52w low: +26.7%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -3.24% · -11.31% · -15.11% · -1.51% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -8.47% · -7.52% · -1.15% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -20.92% · +26.73% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 8.71 · 0.03x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -12.84% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -13.40% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | -11.75% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 214.15 · 211.94 · 198.30 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 247.85 · 154.67 |
|---|
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