🕰️ Time Machine

WAL — Western Alliance Bancorporation

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026

Last price (Close)
76.12 -0.72%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 3 days
28/10/2026
Last window
—
Trend
Downtrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 15/05/2026
73.93
Days: 111 trading / 161 calendar · return since: +2.96%
Last major high · 04/08/2026
85.48
Days: 57 trading / 80 calendar · return since: -10.95%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 04/08/2026 @ 85.48Cycle 60Trading📅 28/10/2026+3 (±2)Upcoming
High 04/08/2026 @ 85.48Cycle 90Calendar📅 02/11/2026+10 (±3)Upcoming
Low 15/05/2026 @ 73.93Cycle 120Trading📅 05/11/2026+9 (±3)Upcoming
Low 15/05/2026 @ 73.93Cycle 180Calendar📅 11/11/2026+19 (±3)Upcoming
High 04/08/2026 @ 85.48Cycle 120Calendar📅 02/12/2026+40 (±3)Upcoming
Low 15/05/2026 @ 73.93Cycle 144Trading📅 10/12/2026+33 (±3)Upcoming
High 04/08/2026 @ 85.48Cycle 90Trading📅 10/12/2026+33 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

● Doji After Run 23/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 28/10/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 13/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 08/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 07/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 01/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 29/09/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Upcoming 28/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +8.83% · Win 90% · DD -1.88%20 days: Avg +10.16% · Win 60% · DD -2.59%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202528/10/202578.76neutral-1.66%+1.51%+3.45%-5.73%+3.45%
202428/10/202484.76neutral-2.77%+10.18%+13.33%-2.77%+13.38%
202327/10/202340.10far below SMA50+20.37%+10.30%+22.02%+0.00%+24.38%
202228/10/202267.10neutral-1.06%+14.22%-0.52%-3.65%+14.22%
202128/10/2021116.13far above SMA50+2.01%+1.44%-3.14%-3.14%+5.73%
202028/10/202038.67neutral+4.53%+33.20%+43.39%+0.00%+45.81%
201928/10/201949.80near 52w high+3.55%+4.66%+5.93%-0.94%+5.93%
201829/10/201847.18near 52w low · far below SMA50+4.11%+1.12%-0.25%-2.18%+4.41%
201727/10/201756.25near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.76%-5.03%-2.72%-5.03%+0.76%
201628/10/201637.37near 52w high-1.34%+16.72%+20.07%-2.46%+22.56%
Upcoming 02/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +6.77% · Win 60% · DD -2.65%20 days: Avg +9.30% · Win 80% · DD -3.45%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/11/202576.91neutral+3.51%-3.46%+6.84%-3.46%+7.26%
202401/11/202483.31neutral+7.87%+8.94%+12.32%-1.08%+15.35%
202302/11/202345.87neutral-4.25%+5.55%+20.51%-5.21%+20.51%
202202/11/202264.65neutral+3.00%+12.79%+4.55%+0.00%+18.55%
202102/11/2021118.98near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.87%-1.03%-8.43%-8.43%+3.19%
202002/11/202042.68far above SMA50+21.34%+28.95%+23.26%-5.30%+32.11%
201901/11/201950.48near 52w high · far above SMA50+4.14%+2.60%+4.01%+0.00%+5.24%
201802/11/201848.88far below SMA50-0.70%-3.21%-4.07%-5.59%+0.78%
201702/11/201756.51near 52w high · far above SMA50-5.03%-4.02%+2.99%-5.47%+4.03%
201602/11/201636.45near 52w high+10.32%+20.55%+31.06%+0.00%+31.06%
Upcoming 05/11/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.93% · Win 50% · DD -2.83%20 days: Avg +7.54% · Win 70% · DD -4.89%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202505/11/202578.52neutral+2.43%-3.29%+9.04%-5.44%+9.04%
202405/11/202484.63neutral+9.89%+5.79%+9.59%+0.00%+13.55%
202306/11/202346.96neutral-7.41%+6.21%+15.24%-7.41%+18.33%
202204/11/202266.39neutral+15.44%+3.01%-5.77%-5.77%+15.44%
202105/11/2021117.40neutral+0.62%-2.25%-7.36%-9.82%+2.23%
202005/11/202042.84far above SMA50+19.02%+26.57%+30.79%-2.22%+31.61%
201905/11/201951.78near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.91%-0.08%+2.12%-1.07%+2.60%
201805/11/201849.12far below SMA50-2.87%-3.99%-11.77%-11.77%+0.29%
201706/11/201756.45near 52w high-4.78%-2.02%+2.99%-5.37%+4.38%
201604/11/201636.87near 52w high+18.31%+19.31%+30.49%+0.00%+30.49%
Upcoming 11/11/2026 · Low Cycle 180/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.08% · Win 70% · DD -3.64%20 days: Avg +3.12% · Win 60% · DD -6.37%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202511/11/202579.95neutral-6.99%+1.91%+9.16%-7.13%+9.16%
202411/11/202493.39near 52w high · far above SMA50-4.01%+2.86%-2.98%-4.13%+2.86%
202310/11/202344.23neutral+12.38%+10.62%+28.89%-1.70%+28.89%
202211/11/202276.64far above SMA50-10.77%-12.91%-18.61%-21.17%+0.00%
202111/11/2021117.80neutral-2.21%-4.51%-8.82%-10.13%+1.82%
202011/11/202051.51far above SMA50+4.47%+7.65%+13.85%-1.01%+13.85%
201911/11/201952.12near 52w high · far above SMA50-1.11%+1.22%+4.30%-1.71%+4.30%
201812/11/201847.71near 52w low · far below SMA50-1.15%-1.36%-12.62%-16.68%+0.71%
201710/11/201753.42neutral+2.43%+2.43%+8.46%+0.00%+10.39%
201611/11/201643.62near 52w high+0.85%+2.87%+9.56%+0.00%+15.54%
Upcoming 02/12/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.46% · Win 50% · DD -4.54%20 days: Avg +0.38% · Win 50% · DD -6.25%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202502/12/202581.74neutral+1.37%+5.46%+2.85%+0.00%+7.49%
202402/12/202493.19neutral-1.64%-2.25%-10.36%-11.08%+0.59%
202301/12/202354.86far above SMA50 · volume x1.8+3.14%+16.17%+17.90%-2.10%+22.49%
202202/12/202265.64neutral-7.43%-13.77%-10.85%-13.95%+0.00%
202102/12/2021111.51neutral-3.54%-6.03%-3.46%-11.42%+0.00%
202002/12/202053.72far above SMA50+5.29%+11.04%+11.60%+0.00%+12.68%
201902/12/201952.25near 52w high+3.08%+7.89%+9.09%-0.94%+9.68%
201803/12/201846.89near 52w low · volume x2.1-15.23%-15.53%-15.16%-19.79%+0.00%
201701/12/201758.20near 52w high · volume x1.7+1.32%-1.37%-2.29%-3.26%+1.32%
201602/12/201647.20near 52w high+5.36%+3.03%+4.51%+0.00%+6.78%
Upcoming 10/12/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.81% · Win 40% · DD -3.99%20 days: Avg +4.87% · Win 80% · DD -4.73%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/12/202586.82neutral-0.70%-0.20%+3.79%-3.17%+3.79%
202410/12/202490.23neutral-2.11%-6.07%-13.11%-13.11%+0.95%
202311/12/202356.58far above SMA50+12.37%+18.58%+14.05%-1.38%+18.77%
202209/12/202260.76neutral-6.85%-4.34%+6.30%-7.04%+6.30%
202110/12/2021107.09neutral-5.34%+0.43%+9.33%-7.76%+13.55%
202010/12/202058.36near 52w high · far above SMA50+1.15%+2.67%+17.67%-0.39%+17.67%
201910/12/201954.10near 52w high+5.75%+5.55%+6.45%-0.22%+6.75%
201810/12/201840.45near 52w low · far below SMA50-1.41%-7.02%+3.83%-7.02%+3.83%
201711/12/201757.94near 52w high+0.40%-1.38%+1.45%-2.83%+1.45%
201609/12/201649.73near 52w high-2.21%-0.12%-1.07%-4.34%+0.42%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-1.8%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -21.7% · from 52w low: +15.6%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+2.16% · +2.49% · -1.92% · -5.84%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+1.33% · -1.80% · -5.10%
Distance from 52w high / low-21.71% · +15.65%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg2.14 · 0.72x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+3.47%
vs SPY (20d)-0.44%
vs SMH (20d)+11.16%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20075.12 · 77.52 · 80.21
52w high / low97.23 · 65.82