🕰️ Time Machine
WING — Wingstop
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026
Last price (Close)
119.54 -1.10%
Next window · Fib 21 · in window · in 1 days
26/10/2026
Last window · Fib 13 · 14/10/2026
since -2.73%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 25/09/2026
95.82
Days: 20 trading / 28 calendar · return since: +24.75%
Last major high · 06/07/2026
179.73
Days: 78 trading / 109 calendar · return since: -33.49%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 25/09/2026 @ 95.82 | Fib 13 | Trading | 📅 14/10/2026 | -7 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 25/09/2026 @ 95.82 | Fib 21 | Calendar | 📅 16/10/2026 | -7 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 25/09/2026 @ 95.82 | Cycle 30 | Calendar | 📅 25/10/2026 | +2 (±2) | In window |
| Low 25/09/2026 @ 95.82 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 26/10/2026 | +1 (±1) | In window |
| High 06/07/2026 @ 179.73 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 03/11/2026 | +11 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 25/09/2026 @ 95.82 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 06/11/2026 | +10 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 25/09/2026 @ 95.82 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 09/11/2026 | +17 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 06/07/2026 @ 179.73 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 10/11/2026 | +12 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 25/09/2026 @ 95.82 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 24/11/2026 | +32 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 06/07/2026 @ 179.73 | Cycle 144 | Calendar | 📅 27/11/2026 | +35 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 25/09/2026 @ 95.82 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 30/11/2026 | +25 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 25/09/2026 @ 95.82 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 21/12/2026 | +40 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 06/07/2026 @ 179.73 | Cycle 120 | Trading | 📅 23/12/2026 | +42 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Bullish Engulfing 19/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 16/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 19/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 16/10/2026
● Shooting Star 16/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 16/10/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 14/10/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 14/10/2026
● Doji After Run 13/10/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 14/10/2026
● Failed Breakout 13/10/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 14/10/2026
● Failed Breakout 08/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 02/10/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 14/10/2026 · Low Fib 13/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.48% · Win 33% · DD -4.80%20 days: Avg +4.65% · Win 44% · DD -10.88%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 14/10/2025 | 254.99 | far below SMA50 | +4.67% | -2.99% | -6.23% | -16.05% | +4.67% |
| 2024 | 14/10/2024 | 399.05 | neutral | -7.67% | -7.64% | -13.92% | -27.91% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 13/10/2023 | 175.35 | neutral | +2.27% | +1.55% | +20.30% | -0.73% | +20.30% |
| 2022 | 14/10/2022 | 113.36 | far below SMA50 | +11.04% | +41.80% | +47.42% | +0.00% | +47.70% |
| 2021 | 14/10/2021 | 174.23 | neutral | -2.66% | -3.23% | -1.43% | -13.06% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 14/10/2020 | 130.43 | far below SMA50 | -8.71% | -6.04% | +0.01% | -10.81% | +2.48% |
| 2019 | 14/10/2019 | 88.50 | neutral | +2.46% | -3.45% | -13.99% | -14.15% | +2.90% |
| 2018 | 15/10/2018 | 72.30 | near 52w high · volume x2.1 | -2.96% | -10.03% | -7.57% | -13.68% | +2.68% |
| 2017 | 13/10/2017 | 32.49 | neutral | +0.89% | +3.35% | +17.27% | -1.54% | +17.27% |
Passed 16/10/2026 · Low Fib 21/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -3.80% · Win 33% · DD -8.78%20 days: Avg +3.63% · Win 44% · DD -11.05%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/10/2025 | 246.27 | far below SMA50 | +5.23% | -12.44% | -4.58% | -13.08% | +8.37% |
| 2024 | 16/10/2024 | 377.89 | volume x1.7 | -2.99% | -23.26% | -10.09% | -23.87% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 16/10/2023 | 180.82 | neutral | -1.63% | -1.24% | +18.68% | -3.73% | +18.68% |
| 2022 | 17/10/2022 | 122.33 | neutral | +4.68% | +29.48% | +36.17% | -4.18% | +36.87% |
| 2021 | 15/10/2021 | 171.82 | neutral | +0.42% | +0.38% | -1.17% | -11.84% | +1.11% |
| 2020 | 16/10/2020 | 129.91 | far below SMA50 | -2.62% | -10.45% | +0.05% | -10.45% | +1.82% |
| 2019 | 16/10/2019 | 89.02 | neutral | -5.28% | -4.56% | -15.75% | -15.75% | +2.30% |
| 2018 | 16/10/2018 | 74.24 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.6 | -6.20% | -15.60% | -11.69% | -15.93% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 16/10/2017 | 32.19 | neutral | -0.12% | +3.54% | +21.00% | -0.62% | +21.00% |
In window 25/10/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.88% · Win 40% · DD -8.64%20 days: Avg +5.88% · Win 50% · DD -9.06%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/10/2025 | 258.99 | neutral | -16.36% | -8.04% | -4.89% | -17.34% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 25/10/2024 | 360.38 | neutral | -17.60% | -5.66% | -6.24% | -20.17% | +2.38% |
| 2023 | 25/10/2023 | 175.95 | neutral | +11.68% | +17.99% | +33.61% | -1.07% | +33.61% |
| 2022 | 25/10/2022 | 134.85 | neutral | +14.91% | +16.80% | +17.33% | +0.00% | +24.16% |
| 2021 | 25/10/2021 | 173.63 | neutral | +0.06% | -1.91% | -1.35% | -12.76% | +1.97% |
| 2020 | 26/10/2020 | 126.50 | far below SMA50 | -7.87% | -1.42% | +4.25% | -8.04% | +8.29% |
| 2019 | 25/10/2019 | 87.55 | neutral | -7.16% | -13.22% | -14.95% | -17.38% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 25/10/2018 | 66.18 | neutral | -3.73% | +2.39% | -0.24% | -5.70% | +2.39% |
| 2017 | 25/10/2017 | 31.99 | neutral | +3.06% | +16.57% | +23.57% | +0.00% | +24.07% |
| 2016 | 25/10/2016 | 28.42 | near 52w high | -8.09% | -4.68% | +7.67% | -8.09% | +7.67% |
In window 26/10/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.70% · Win 50% · DD -8.58%20 days: Avg +5.03% · Win 50% · DD -8.99%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 27/10/2025 | 254.97 | neutral | -16.04% | -6.66% | -4.68% | -16.04% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 25/10/2024 | 360.38 | neutral | -17.60% | -5.66% | -6.24% | -20.17% | +2.38% |
| 2023 | 26/10/2023 | 174.07 | neutral | +14.16% | +18.48% | +35.52% | +0.00% | +35.52% |
| 2022 | 26/10/2022 | 155.45 | far above SMA50 · volume x4.2 | -4.27% | +0.48% | +2.09% | -4.27% | +7.71% |
| 2021 | 26/10/2021 | 172.16 | neutral | -2.20% | -2.57% | -1.99% | -12.01% | +2.84% |
| 2020 | 26/10/2020 | 126.50 | far below SMA50 | -7.87% | -1.42% | +4.25% | -8.04% | +8.29% |
| 2019 | 25/10/2019 | 87.55 | neutral | -7.16% | -13.22% | -14.95% | -17.38% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 26/10/2018 | 67.19 | neutral | -7.11% | +0.31% | -0.40% | -7.11% | +0.85% |
| 2017 | 26/10/2017 | 32.74 | neutral | -1.68% | +15.49% | +19.67% | -1.68% | +21.23% |
| 2016 | 26/10/2016 | 26.99 | near 52w low | +0.67% | +1.74% | +17.01% | -3.22% | +17.01% |
Upcoming 03/11/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +7.77% · Win 90% · DD -0.62%20 days: Avg +11.42% · Win 100% · DD -0.79%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/11/2025 | 214.07 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x2.3 | +11.18% | +6.18% | +28.59% | +0.00% | +28.59% |
| 2024 | 04/11/2024 | 297.18 | far below SMA50 | +15.59% | +10.00% | +10.31% | +0.00% | +15.59% |
| 2023 | 03/11/2023 | 206.84 | far above SMA50 | +1.98% | +11.36% | +18.57% | -0.29% | +18.57% |
| 2022 | 03/11/2022 | 152.39 | far above SMA50 | +9.87% | +5.04% | +7.10% | +0.00% | +9.87% |
| 2021 | 03/11/2021 | 151.48 | far below SMA50 · volume x6.8 | +12.93% | +9.65% | +5.36% | +0.00% | +16.88% |
| 2020 | 03/11/2020 | 118.21 | far below SMA50 | +4.43% | +15.89% | +10.86% | +0.00% | +15.89% |
| 2019 | 04/11/2019 | 77.02 | far below SMA50 · volume x1.6 | -1.18% | -4.35% | +2.68% | -6.09% | +5.33% |
| 2018 | 02/11/2018 | 62.41 | neutral | +8.00% | +4.92% | +4.55% | +0.00% | +10.36% |
| 2017 | 03/11/2017 | 36.41 | volume x6.6 | +4.64% | +5.41% | +9.20% | -1.54% | +9.45% |
| 2016 | 03/11/2016 | 26.35 | near 52w low | +1.94% | +13.62% | +17.00% | +0.00% | +20.11% |
Upcoming 06/11/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.35% · Win 70% · DD -2.37%20 days: Avg +5.48% · Win 70% · DD -3.38%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 06/11/2025 | 244.60 | volume x1.6 | -3.92% | -6.59% | +5.44% | -7.08% | +12.54% |
| 2024 | 06/11/2024 | 315.51 | far below SMA50 | +7.68% | +5.69% | +6.99% | +0.00% | +8.87% |
| 2023 | 06/11/2023 | 206.62 | far above SMA50 | +3.86% | +12.30% | +17.87% | -0.18% | +18.70% |
| 2022 | 07/11/2022 | 155.77 | far above SMA50 | +6.94% | +1.12% | -3.77% | -3.77% | +7.49% |
| 2021 | 05/11/2021 | 166.72 | volume x1.5 | +1.85% | +6.20% | -2.88% | -6.68% | +6.20% |
| 2020 | 06/11/2020 | 132.28 | neutral | -1.74% | +1.45% | -2.80% | -6.68% | +3.56% |
| 2019 | 06/11/2019 | 77.49 | far below SMA50 | -3.21% | -5.81% | +3.63% | -6.66% | +4.69% |
| 2018 | 06/11/2018 | 64.56 | neutral | +1.55% | -1.05% | +3.67% | -1.05% | +6.69% |
| 2017 | 06/11/2017 | 36.47 | neutral | +6.80% | +7.46% | +9.38% | -1.70% | +9.38% |
| 2016 | 07/11/2016 | 26.81 | near 52w low | +4.55% | +12.72% | +17.27% | +0.00% | +18.05% |
Upcoming 09/11/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.98% · Win 70% · DD -2.55%20 days: Avg +6.65% · Win 70% · DD -3.58%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/11/2025 | 238.00 | neutral | -4.50% | +2.12% | +4.12% | -4.50% | +15.66% |
| 2024 | 08/11/2024 | 339.98 | far below SMA50 | -6.78% | -0.62% | -3.29% | -6.78% | +1.04% |
| 2023 | 09/11/2023 | 206.24 | far above SMA50 | +10.52% | +14.38% | +19.97% | +0.00% | +19.97% |
| 2022 | 09/11/2022 | 156.00 | far above SMA50 | +5.21% | +1.60% | -0.74% | -4.03% | +7.20% |
| 2021 | 09/11/2021 | 167.74 | neutral | +0.42% | +0.59% | +3.79% | -7.24% | +5.55% |
| 2020 | 09/11/2020 | 124.70 | volume x1.6 | +8.40% | +5.75% | +4.69% | -1.00% | +9.86% |
| 2019 | 08/11/2019 | 75.98 | far below SMA50 | -0.49% | -2.00% | +11.05% | -4.80% | +11.05% |
| 2018 | 09/11/2018 | 67.40 | neutral | -2.85% | -0.71% | -1.26% | -5.22% | +2.19% |
| 2017 | 09/11/2017 | 37.81 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +3.04% | +3.62% | +7.84% | +0.00% | +7.84% |
| 2016 | 09/11/2016 | 27.46 | neutral | +8.49% | +15.00% | +20.32% | -2.18% | +20.32% |
Upcoming 10/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.97% · Win 60% · DD -3.24%20 days: Avg +5.15% · Win 60% · DD -4.20%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/11/2025 | 238.00 | neutral | -4.50% | +2.12% | +4.12% | -4.50% | +15.66% |
| 2024 | 11/11/2024 | 343.51 | neutral | -4.83% | -1.77% | -4.50% | -7.74% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 10/11/2023 | 210.94 | far above SMA50 | +9.20% | +14.11% | +16.77% | +0.00% | +17.30% |
| 2022 | 10/11/2022 | 167.23 | far above SMA50 | -4.40% | -7.04% | -8.49% | -10.48% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 10/11/2021 | 171.06 | neutral | -2.90% | -1.48% | -1.80% | -9.04% | +3.50% |
| 2020 | 10/11/2020 | 123.45 | neutral | +10.97% | +3.58% | +6.01% | +0.00% | +10.97% |
| 2019 | 11/11/2019 | 76.11 | far below SMA50 | -3.21% | +1.19% | +10.01% | -4.97% | +10.86% |
| 2018 | 09/11/2018 | 67.40 | neutral | -2.85% | -0.71% | -1.26% | -5.22% | +2.19% |
| 2017 | 10/11/2017 | 38.10 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +0.73% | +1.81% | +8.99% | +0.00% | +8.99% |
| 2016 | 10/11/2016 | 26.86 | near 52w low | +11.47% | +17.83% | +21.59% | +0.00% | +23.01% |
Upcoming 24/11/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.35% · Win 70% · DD -2.63%20 days: Avg +0.19% · Win 50% · DD -5.41%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/11/2025 | 242.73 | neutral | +13.26% | +1.96% | +3.63% | -3.09% | +13.26% |
| 2024 | 25/11/2024 | 337.16 | neutral | -2.85% | -2.78% | -13.47% | -16.63% | +0.87% |
| 2023 | 24/11/2023 | 235.67 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +2.98% | +4.88% | +9.55% | +0.00% | +9.55% |
| 2022 | 23/11/2022 | 158.50 | far above SMA50 | +3.99% | -2.30% | -8.30% | -8.30% | +4.42% |
| 2021 | 24/11/2021 | 168.35 | neutral | -5.29% | -0.32% | +2.74% | -7.67% | +3.31% |
| 2020 | 24/11/2020 | 122.92 | neutral | +2.48% | +2.34% | +14.04% | -1.18% | +18.64% |
| 2019 | 25/11/2019 | 77.02 | neutral | +2.68% | +8.72% | +10.89% | +0.00% | +14.33% |
| 2018 | 23/11/2018 | 62.90 | neutral | +4.32% | +2.27% | -8.68% | -8.68% | +4.32% |
| 2017 | 24/11/2017 | 39.18 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -0.95% | +4.07% | -1.94% | -1.94% | +9.23% |
| 2016 | 23/11/2016 | 31.58 | near 52w high | -0.32% | +4.62% | -6.59% | -6.59% | +4.62% |
Upcoming 27/11/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.76% · Win 70% · DD -3.17%20 days: Avg +0.47% · Win 50% · DD -5.73%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 26/11/2025 | 259.08 | neutral | +1.47% | -9.20% | -1.12% | -9.20% | +6.11% |
| 2024 | 27/11/2024 | 331.27 | neutral | +1.82% | -2.53% | -13.86% | -15.15% | +2.66% |
| 2023 | 27/11/2023 | 240.47 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +1.89% | +2.33% | +7.69% | -1.03% | +7.69% |
| 2022 | 28/11/2022 | 152.67 | neutral | +3.39% | +4.27% | -5.93% | -5.93% | +8.41% |
| 2021 | 26/11/2021 | 167.56 | neutral | -7.24% | -2.28% | +3.28% | -7.24% | +3.80% |
| 2020 | 27/11/2020 | 126.01 | neutral | -1.17% | +4.10% | +13.73% | -1.91% | +15.73% |
| 2019 | 27/11/2019 | 81.01 | neutral | -1.01% | +7.60% | +6.42% | -2.52% | +8.54% |
| 2018 | 27/11/2018 | 62.43 | neutral | +0.62% | +3.55% | -2.81% | -7.99% | +5.11% |
| 2017 | 27/11/2017 | 38.79 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +2.50% | +7.05% | +1.01% | -0.96% | +10.33% |
| 2016 | 28/11/2016 | 31.19 | near 52w high | +0.32% | +2.69% | -3.75% | -5.42% | +5.93% |
Upcoming 30/11/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.14% · Win 60% · DD -4.63%20 days: Avg -1.61% · Win 40% · DD -6.74%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 01/12/2025 | 269.23 | neutral | -8.65% | -10.97% | -10.73% | -12.62% | +2.11% |
| 2024 | 29/11/2024 | 328.77 | neutral | +3.44% | -8.35% | -12.66% | -14.50% | +3.44% |
| 2023 | 30/11/2023 | 240.36 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +2.25% | +2.00% | +6.75% | +0.00% | +8.33% |
| 2022 | 30/11/2022 | 165.51 | far above SMA50 | -7.05% | -3.05% | -13.33% | -14.30% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 30/11/2021 | 160.60 | neutral | +3.14% | +2.19% | +7.19% | -3.22% | +8.29% |
| 2020 | 30/11/2020 | 127.31 | neutral | -2.91% | +5.05% | +8.79% | -2.91% | +14.55% |
| 2019 | 29/11/2019 | 80.00 | neutral | +0.34% | +9.91% | +7.49% | -1.29% | +9.91% |
| 2018 | 30/11/2018 | 65.62 | volume x1.6 | -1.97% | -7.43% | -5.98% | -12.47% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 30/11/2017 | 39.19 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +1.15% | +6.19% | -0.36% | -1.97% | +9.20% |
| 2016 | 30/11/2016 | 30.69 | near 52w high · volume x2.3 | +5.73% | +3.06% | -3.26% | -4.14% | +7.66% |
Upcoming 21/12/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.61% · Win 40% · DD -5.53%20 days: Avg +3.79% · Win 60% · DD -7.41%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 22/12/2025 | 254.35 | neutral | -5.51% | +1.49% | +5.51% | -6.24% | +11.92% |
| 2024 | 20/12/2024 | 290.67 | far below SMA50 | -1.21% | -2.90% | -0.74% | -6.23% | +2.53% |
| 2023 | 21/12/2023 | 256.05 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +0.21% | -2.99% | +10.60% | -5.02% | +10.60% |
| 2022 | 21/12/2022 | 151.11 | neutral | -5.08% | -9.19% | -0.89% | -12.44% | +0.13% |
| 2021 | 21/12/2021 | 170.15 | neutral | +1.18% | -2.35% | -17.80% | -17.80% | +3.67% |
| 2020 | 21/12/2020 | 143.91 | far above SMA50 | -3.76% | -1.04% | +7.07% | -9.41% | +7.07% |
| 2019 | 20/12/2019 | 86.44 | neutral | -0.52% | +4.05% | +8.33% | -1.97% | +8.33% |
| 2018 | 21/12/2018 | 59.93 | neutral | +7.11% | +17.25% | +15.70% | -4.29% | +18.71% |
| 2017 | 21/12/2017 | 39.36 | volume x2.1 | -0.97% | +9.83% | +18.19% | -2.57% | +18.19% |
| 2016 | 21/12/2016 | 30.76 | neutral | -3.48% | -8.09% | -8.09% | -8.09% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 23/12/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.36% · Win 60% · DD -4.25%20 days: Avg +5.51% · Win 70% · DD -5.83%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 23/12/2025 | 251.53 | neutral | -5.18% | +6.82% | +7.90% | -5.18% | +13.17% |
| 2024 | 23/12/2024 | 290.75 | far below SMA50 | -2.25% | -4.22% | -3.76% | -6.26% | +2.50% |
| 2023 | 22/12/2023 | 258.17 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -2.24% | -1.65% | +8.64% | -5.80% | +9.69% |
| 2022 | 23/12/2022 | 145.67 | neutral | -8.40% | +1.25% | +3.13% | -9.17% | +3.86% |
| 2021 | 23/12/2021 | 172.97 | neutral | -0.10% | -5.33% | -15.15% | -19.14% | +1.98% |
| 2020 | 23/12/2020 | 140.18 | neutral | -5.44% | +4.72% | +11.81% | -7.00% | +11.81% |
| 2019 | 23/12/2019 | 85.77 | neutral | +0.54% | +5.70% | +8.78% | -1.20% | +9.18% |
| 2018 | 24/12/2018 | 57.36 | far below SMA50 | +7.41% | +24.02% | +18.17% | +0.00% | +24.02% |
| 2017 | 22/12/2017 | 38.35 | neutral | +2.37% | +15.88% | +19.97% | +0.00% | +21.30% |
| 2016 | 23/12/2016 | 29.62 | neutral | -0.14% | -3.58% | -4.36% | -4.56% | +1.35% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+5.5%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -60.5% · from 52w low: +24.8%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -9.25% · -2.22% · +20.66% · -10.76% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +1.12% · +5.51% · -28.36% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -60.52% · +24.75% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 6.42 · 0.76x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +26.05% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +22.14% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +33.75% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 118.22 · 113.30 · 166.87 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 302.80 · 95.82 |
|---|
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