🕰️ Time Machine

XLB — Materials Select Sector SPDR

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 04/08/2026

Last price (Close)
52.00 +1.94%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 8 days
14/08/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 31/07/2026
since +3.11%
Trend
Uptrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 19/05/2026
48.89
Days: 52 trading / 77 calendar · return since: +6.36%
Last major high · 17/06/2026
53.31
Days: 32 trading / 48 calendar · return since: -2.46%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 19/05/2026 @ 48.89Cycle 45Trading📅 24/07/2026-7 (±2)Passed
High 17/06/2026 @ 53.31Cycle 30Trading📅 31/07/2026-2 (±2)In window
High 17/06/2026 @ 53.31Cycle 45Calendar📅 01/08/2026-3 (±2)Passed
Low 19/05/2026 @ 48.89Cycle 60Trading📅 14/08/2026+8 (±2)Upcoming
High 17/06/2026 @ 53.31Cycle 60Calendar📅 16/08/2026+12 (±2)Upcoming
Low 19/05/2026 @ 48.89Cycle 90Calendar📅 17/08/2026+13 (±3)Upcoming
High 17/06/2026 @ 53.31Cycle 45Trading📅 21/08/2026+13 (±2)Upcoming
High 17/06/2026 @ 53.31Cycle 60Trading📅 14/09/2026+28 (±2)Upcoming
High 17/06/2026 @ 53.31Cycle 90Calendar📅 15/09/2026+42 (±3)Upcoming
Low 19/05/2026 @ 48.89Cycle 120Calendar📅 16/09/2026+43 (±3)Upcoming
Low 19/05/2026 @ 48.89Cycle 90Trading📅 28/09/2026+38 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Bearish Engulfing 29/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 31/07/2026
NR7 Compression 27/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 24/07/2026
Failed Breakdown 20/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 24/07/2026
Bullish Engulfing 16/07/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 24/07/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.41% · Win 56% · DD -2.01%20 days: Avg -0.28% · Win 56% · DD -2.86%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202524/07/202545.65neutral-3.90%-3.70%-0.99%-5.01%+1.18%
202424/07/202444.81near 52w high+2.82%-2.60%+2.34%-2.60%+2.82%
202324/07/202342.01near 52w high+2.04%+0.13%-3.77%-3.79%+2.04%
202225/07/202237.69neutral+2.83%+2.88%+3.37%-0.68%+8.16%
202123/07/202140.87neutral+2.80%+2.95%+2.51%+0.00%+5.85%
202024/07/202030.74near 52w high-1.81%+0.39%+0.68%-2.36%+2.34%
201924/07/201929.71near 52w high-1.82%-3.90%-4.59%-6.40%+0.00%
201824/07/201829.36neutral+1.72%+1.28%+0.60%-1.82%+1.72%
201724/07/201727.60near 52w high-1.03%-1.09%-2.63%-3.13%+1.07%
In window 31/07/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.06% · Win 44% · DD -2.48%20 days: Avg +0.46% · Win 56% · DD -2.97%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202531/07/202543.87volume x1.6+0.21%+2.62%+5.04%-1.15%+5.07%
202431/07/202446.07near 52w high-5.27%-3.35%+0.66%-5.27%+1.10%
202331/07/202342.86near 52w high-1.87%-3.29%-5.05%-6.02%+0.00%
202201/08/202238.75neutral+0.05%+4.61%+0.15%-1.02%+5.19%
202130/07/202142.01neutral+0.14%+2.89%+2.30%-1.29%+2.96%
202031/07/202030.18near 52w high+2.24%+3.76%+5.98%-0.56%+5.98%
201931/07/201929.17near 52w high · volume x1.5-2.13%-4.66%-4.70%-5.81%+0.00%
201831/07/201829.86neutral-0.44%-1.93%-0.03%-3.48%+0.35%
201731/07/201727.32near 52w high-0.05%-1.21%-0.24%-2.12%+0.16%
Passed 01/08/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.26% · Win 50% · DD -2.05%20 days: Avg +1.36% · Win 70% · DD -2.28%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202501/08/202543.36volume x1.9+1.88%+3.82%+6.41%+0.00%+6.41%
202401/08/202445.88near 52w high · volume x1.9-3.42%-1.43%+1.62%-4.89%+1.62%
202301/08/202342.67near 52w high-2.47%-4.44%-3.05%-5.60%+0.00%
202201/08/202238.75neutral+0.05%+4.61%+0.15%-1.02%+5.19%
202102/08/202141.50neutral+1.25%+3.64%+3.45%-0.07%+4.23%
202031/07/202030.18near 52w high+2.24%+3.76%+5.98%-0.56%+5.98%
201901/08/201929.00volume x1.7+0.31%-4.09%-2.93%-5.27%+0.31%
201801/08/201829.56neutral+0.17%-2.49%+1.76%-2.49%+1.76%
201701/08/201727.34near 52w high · volume x2.7-0.91%-1.26%-0.79%-2.19%+0.09%
201605/08/201624.39near 52w high-0.72%+0.45%+0.98%-0.72%+1.17%
Upcoming 14/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.54% · Win 60% · DD -1.64%20 days: Avg +0.66% · Win 60% · DD -2.40%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202514/08/202545.01neutral+0.40%+2.35%+1.83%-0.58%+2.87%
202414/08/202444.53near 52w high+2.99%+4.15%+3.16%+0.00%+5.87%
202314/08/202341.45near 52w high-2.48%-1.82%-1.13%-2.82%+1.11%
202215/08/202240.53neutral-3.90%-4.26%-6.27%-8.57%+0.56%
202113/08/202143.22near 52w high-3.09%-0.58%-2.85%-3.66%+0.00%
202014/08/202031.32near 52w high-1.18%+2.14%+5.40%-1.18%+5.75%
201914/08/201927.81neutral+1.92%-0.04%+5.18%-1.20%+5.18%
201814/08/201829.29neutral+0.84%+1.93%+1.06%-1.59%+2.70%
201714/08/201726.99near 52w high-0.41%+0.98%+4.11%-0.54%+4.11%
201615/08/201624.45near 52w high+0.02%+0.53%-3.91%-3.91%+0.88%
Upcoming 16/08/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.63% · Win 80% · DD -1.68%20 days: Avg +0.53% · Win 70% · DD -2.41%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202515/08/202545.01neutral+2.39%+2.50%+1.01%-0.58%+2.87%
202416/08/202445.28near 52w high+2.38%+4.10%+3.29%-0.75%+4.10%
202316/08/202340.50neutral-0.12%+2.38%+2.01%-0.54%+3.48%
202216/08/202240.76neutral-3.48%-6.34%-7.92%-9.08%+0.00%
202116/08/202143.01near 52w high-1.77%-0.19%-3.43%-3.43%+0.00%
202017/08/202031.45near 52w high+0.11%+0.13%+5.44%-1.62%+5.44%
201916/08/201928.31neutral-2.95%+0.12%+2.74%-2.95%+4.45%
201816/08/201829.00neutral+0.64%+2.50%+2.43%+0.00%+3.72%
201716/08/201727.26near 52w high-0.29%+0.24%+3.39%-1.52%+3.39%
201616/08/201624.33near 52w high+1.42%+0.82%-3.62%-3.62%+1.42%
Upcoming 17/08/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.76% · Win 80% · DD -1.34%20 days: Avg +0.88% · Win 70% · DD -1.95%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202518/08/202544.76neutral+2.41%+2.32%+1.28%+0.00%+3.46%
202416/08/202445.28near 52w high+2.38%+4.10%+3.29%-0.75%+4.10%
202317/08/202340.42neutral-0.35%+2.54%+1.08%-0.35%+3.69%
202217/08/202240.20neutral-1.93%-6.21%-7.87%-7.87%+0.31%
202117/08/202142.51near 52w high+0.00%+0.68%-1.27%-2.31%+1.08%
202017/08/202031.45near 52w high+0.11%+0.13%+5.44%-1.62%+5.44%
201916/08/201928.31neutral-2.95%+0.12%+2.74%-2.95%+4.45%
201817/08/201829.22neutral+1.20%+1.44%+2.04%-0.10%+2.96%
201717/08/201726.84near 52w high+1.06%+2.57%+5.00%+0.00%+5.00%
201617/08/201624.31near 52w high+0.33%-0.10%-2.92%-3.54%+1.50%
Upcoming 21/08/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.72% · Win 80% · DD -1.09%20 days: Avg +0.32% · Win 70% · DD -2.22%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/08/202545.19neutral+1.95%+1.74%+0.49%+0.00%+2.46%
202421/08/202445.85near 52w high+1.13%-0.73%+3.30%-1.98%+3.30%
202321/08/202340.42neutral+0.68%+1.77%+0.57%-0.35%+3.69%
202222/08/202238.96neutral-0.37%-4.86%-6.69%-6.69%+3.50%
202120/08/202141.89neutral+2.59%+1.90%-4.79%-4.79%+2.59%
202021/08/202030.94near 52w high+3.36%+4.12%+2.61%+0.00%+8.05%
201921/08/201928.34neutral-1.92%+0.58%+3.67%-3.07%+4.32%
201821/08/201829.53neutral+1.08%+0.30%+2.13%-1.19%+2.13%
201721/08/201726.88near 52w high+1.40%+1.93%+5.98%+0.00%+5.98%
201622/08/201624.46near 52w high+0.51%+0.45%-4.07%-4.15%+0.86%
Upcoming 14/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.41% · Win 30% · DD -3.27%20 days: Avg -2.12% · Win 30% · DD -4.68%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202515/09/202545.47neutral-0.16%-1.47%-2.52%-4.04%+0.00%
202413/09/202446.35near 52w high+1.49%+5.03%+3.91%+0.00%+5.21%
202314/09/202341.31near 52w high-4.60%-4.32%-5.23%-6.05%+0.00%
202214/09/202237.53neutral-5.26%-7.27%-8.16%-9.80%+0.00%
202114/09/202141.53neutral-4.21%-2.44%-1.70%-4.35%+1.06%
202014/09/202033.01near 52w high-3.79%-3.40%+1.06%-6.44%+1.30%
201913/09/201929.57near 52w high-0.86%-1.93%-2.54%-6.31%+0.00%
201814/09/201829.70neutral+2.42%-2.03%-9.08%-9.33%+2.64%
201714/09/201728.18near 52w high+1.22%+1.31%+3.57%+0.00%+3.57%
201614/09/201623.44near 52w low · volume x1.6+1.61%+2.40%-0.51%-0.51%+2.40%
Upcoming 15/09/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.64% · Win 40% · DD -3.11%20 days: Avg -1.83% · Win 20% · DD -4.59%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202515/09/202545.47neutral-0.16%-1.47%-2.52%-4.04%+0.00%
202416/09/202446.78near 52w high+1.43%+3.48%+3.55%-0.24%+4.25%
202315/09/202340.85near 52w high-3.63%-3.40%-4.52%-4.99%+0.00%
202215/09/202237.03neutral-5.15%-7.42%-4.20%-8.60%+0.05%
202115/09/202141.97neutral-4.23%-3.86%-2.00%-5.35%+0.00%
202015/09/202033.17near 52w high-4.07%-4.57%-0.32%-6.89%+0.81%
201916/09/201929.08near 52w high+0.55%+0.55%-1.62%-4.75%+1.03%
201814/09/201829.70neutral+2.42%-2.03%-9.08%-9.33%+2.64%
201715/09/201728.03near 52w high+0.86%+1.30%+4.07%+0.00%+4.07%
201615/09/201623.59near 52w high+1.28%+0.96%-1.66%-1.66%+1.75%
Upcoming 16/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.22% · Win 40% · DD -2.84%20 days: Avg -1.50% · Win 30% · DD -4.31%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202516/09/202545.33neutral-0.17%-0.68%-1.24%-3.75%+0.23%
202416/09/202446.78near 52w high+1.43%+3.48%+3.55%-0.24%+4.25%
202315/09/202340.85near 52w high-3.63%-3.40%-4.52%-4.99%+0.00%
202216/09/202236.45near 52w low · volume x1.7-5.60%-6.18%-5.95%-7.13%+1.66%
202116/09/202141.52neutral-1.80%-4.32%+1.48%-4.32%+1.48%
202016/09/202033.19near 52w high · volume x1.5-6.96%-3.68%-0.10%-6.96%+0.74%
201916/09/201929.08near 52w high+0.55%+0.55%-1.62%-4.75%+1.03%
201817/09/201829.81neutral+0.63%-1.39%-9.70%-9.70%+2.28%
201715/09/201728.03near 52w high+0.86%+1.30%+4.07%+0.00%+4.07%
201616/09/201623.38near 52w low · volume x1.6+1.18%+2.12%-0.94%-1.26%+2.16%
Upcoming 28/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.71% · Win 30% · DD -2.66%20 days: Avg -0.18% · Win 50% · DD -3.65%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/09/202544.59neutral+0.67%-1.07%-0.24%-2.61%+0.81%
202427/09/202448.46near 52w high-1.81%-1.06%-3.05%-3.05%+0.73%
202328/09/202339.34neutral-1.80%-0.95%-4.70%-5.36%+0.62%
202228/09/202234.60near 52w low+4.00%-0.95%+7.21%-1.73%+7.21%
202128/09/202140.35neutral+0.05%+0.76%+6.48%-1.96%+6.48%
202028/09/202031.74neutral+1.64%+4.62%+1.39%-1.15%+4.79%
201927/09/201928.85near 52w high-2.43%-0.62%+0.95%-4.47%+0.95%
201828/09/201828.97near 52w low-0.50%-7.20%-12.20%-12.81%+1.43%
201728/09/201728.40near 52w high+2.17%+2.24%+4.63%+0.00%+4.63%
201628/09/201623.89near 52w high-0.86%-2.85%-2.30%-3.35%+0.00%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+1.7%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· Distance from 52w high: -4.0% · from 52w low: +23.7%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-0.65% · +3.79% · +0.95% · +1.55%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+2.21% · +1.69% · +6.09%
Distance from 52w high / low-3.95% · +23.71%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.94 · 1.45x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-1.08%
vs SPY (20d)-2.19%
vs SMH (20d)+1.94%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20050.87 · 51.13 · 49.01
52w high / low54.14 · 42.03