🕰️ Time Machine
XLB — Materials Select Sector SPDR
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 18/09/2026
Last price (Close)
49.99 -1.42%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in window · in 1 days
19/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 90 · 15/09/2026
since -1.46%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 21/07/2026
49.85
Days: 42 trading / 59 calendar · return since: +0.28%
Last major high · 17/06/2026
53.31
Days: 64 trading / 93 calendar · return since: -6.23%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 17/06/2026 @ 53.31 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 14/09/2026 | -4 (±2) | Passed |
| High 17/06/2026 @ 53.31 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 15/09/2026 | -3 (±3) | In window |
| Low 21/07/2026 @ 49.85 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 19/09/2026 | +1 (±2) | In window |
| Low 21/07/2026 @ 49.85 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 23/09/2026 | +3 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 21/07/2026 @ 49.85 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 14/10/2026 | +18 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 17/06/2026 @ 53.31 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 15/10/2026 | +27 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 21/07/2026 @ 49.85 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 19/10/2026 | +31 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 17/06/2026 @ 53.31 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 26/10/2026 | +26 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Bearish Engulfing 16/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 15/09/2026
● Failed Breakdown 15/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 15/09/2026
● NR7 Compression 11/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 14/09/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 28/08/2026
● Shooting Star 26/08/2026
● Failed Breakout 21/08/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 14/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.84% · Win 22% · DD -3.64%20 days: Avg -2.30% · Win 33% · DD -5.15%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 15/09/2025 | 45.47 | neutral | -0.16% | -1.47% | -2.52% | -4.04% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 13/09/2024 | 46.35 | near 52w high | +1.49% | +5.03% | +3.91% | +0.00% | +5.21% |
| 2023 | 14/09/2023 | 41.31 | near 52w high | -4.60% | -4.32% | -5.23% | -6.05% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 14/09/2022 | 37.53 | neutral | -5.26% | -7.27% | -8.16% | -9.80% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 14/09/2021 | 41.53 | neutral | -4.21% | -2.44% | -1.70% | -4.35% | +1.06% |
| 2020 | 14/09/2020 | 33.01 | near 52w high | -3.79% | -3.40% | +1.06% | -6.44% | +1.30% |
| 2019 | 13/09/2019 | 29.57 | near 52w high | -0.86% | -1.93% | -2.54% | -6.31% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 14/09/2018 | 29.70 | neutral | +2.42% | -2.03% | -9.08% | -9.33% | +2.64% |
| 2017 | 14/09/2017 | 28.18 | near 52w high | +1.22% | +1.31% | +3.57% | +0.00% | +3.57% |
In window 15/09/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.56% · Win 40% · DD -3.08%20 days: Avg -1.77% · Win 20% · DD -4.56%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 15/09/2025 | 45.47 | neutral | -0.16% | -1.47% | -2.52% | -4.04% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 16/09/2024 | 46.78 | near 52w high | +1.43% | +3.48% | +3.55% | -0.24% | +4.25% |
| 2023 | 15/09/2023 | 40.85 | near 52w high | -3.63% | -3.40% | -4.52% | -4.99% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 15/09/2022 | 37.03 | neutral | -5.15% | -7.42% | -4.20% | -8.60% | +0.05% |
| 2021 | 15/09/2021 | 41.97 | neutral | -4.23% | -3.86% | -2.00% | -5.35% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 15/09/2020 | 33.17 | near 52w high | -4.07% | -4.57% | -0.32% | -6.89% | +0.81% |
| 2019 | 16/09/2019 | 29.08 | near 52w high | +0.55% | +0.55% | -1.62% | -4.75% | +1.03% |
| 2018 | 14/09/2018 | 29.70 | neutral | +2.42% | -2.03% | -9.08% | -9.33% | +2.64% |
| 2017 | 15/09/2017 | 28.03 | near 52w high | +0.86% | +1.30% | +4.07% | +0.00% | +4.07% |
| 2016 | 19/09/2016 | 23.42 | near 52w high | +0.56% | +1.84% | -1.00% | -1.41% | +2.01% |
In window 19/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.53% · Win 40% · DD -3.19%20 days: Avg -0.96% · Win 40% · DD -4.26%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 19/09/2025 | 45.42 | neutral | -1.73% | -0.60% | -2.79% | -3.93% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 19/09/2024 | 47.37 | near 52w high | +2.94% | +0.41% | +3.10% | -0.71% | +3.10% |
| 2023 | 19/09/2023 | 40.46 | neutral | -3.78% | -4.46% | -2.15% | -4.51% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 19/09/2022 | 36.85 | neutral | -8.64% | -4.71% | -5.17% | -8.64% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 20/09/2021 | 39.71 | volume x1.5 | +2.87% | +0.76% | +5.88% | -0.39% | +5.96% |
| 2020 | 18/09/2020 | 32.86 | near 52w high | -4.51% | -3.23% | +1.31% | -6.03% | +1.68% |
| 2019 | 19/09/2019 | 29.39 | near 52w high | -1.04% | -4.22% | -1.48% | -5.72% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 19/09/2018 | 30.17 | neutral | -2.06% | -2.84% | -9.92% | -10.77% | +1.08% |
| 2017 | 19/09/2017 | 28.33 | near 52w high | -0.48% | +1.75% | +2.63% | -0.48% | +2.96% |
| 2016 | 19/09/2016 | 23.42 | near 52w high | +0.56% | +1.84% | -1.00% | -1.41% | +2.01% |
Upcoming 23/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.19% · Win 50% · DD -1.69%20 days: Avg +0.38% · Win 50% · DD -3.14%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 23/09/2025 | 45.04 | neutral | -0.51% | -0.73% | -1.65% | -3.59% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 23/09/2024 | 47.24 | near 52w high | +2.02% | +0.44% | +2.55% | -0.02% | +3.34% |
| 2023 | 22/09/2023 | 39.19 | neutral | +0.23% | -0.48% | -3.92% | -3.92% | +1.02% |
| 2022 | 23/09/2022 | 34.22 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -0.61% | +1.51% | +5.68% | -1.62% | +6.39% |
| 2021 | 23/09/2021 | 40.60 | neutral | -2.56% | +0.54% | +4.68% | -2.56% | +4.95% |
| 2020 | 23/09/2020 | 30.74 | neutral | +3.53% | +6.30% | +6.39% | +0.00% | +8.20% |
| 2019 | 23/09/2019 | 29.10 | near 52w high | +0.00% | -3.59% | -1.49% | -5.27% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 24/09/2018 | 29.85 | neutral | -2.01% | -3.52% | -11.77% | -11.77% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 22/09/2017 | 28.27 | near 52w high | +0.44% | +2.39% | +3.87% | -0.27% | +3.87% |
| 2016 | 23/09/2016 | 23.66 | near 52w high | +0.93% | -0.95% | -0.53% | -2.41% | +0.97% |
Upcoming 14/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.03% · Win 50% · DD -2.05%20 days: Avg +3.63% · Win 60% · DD -2.51%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 14/10/2025 | 44.56 | neutral | -0.58% | -0.02% | -1.77% | -4.93% | +0.30% |
| 2024 | 14/10/2024 | 48.22 | near 52w high | +0.46% | -1.76% | -2.47% | -3.43% | +1.23% |
| 2023 | 13/10/2023 | 38.82 | neutral | -3.01% | -3.46% | -0.36% | -4.10% | +1.97% |
| 2022 | 14/10/2022 | 34.09 | near 52w low | +6.07% | +9.64% | +19.17% | +0.00% | +19.17% |
| 2021 | 14/10/2021 | 41.95 | neutral | +1.30% | +1.94% | +6.59% | +0.00% | +6.59% |
| 2020 | 14/10/2020 | 33.00 | near 52w high | -0.91% | -6.15% | +5.00% | -6.15% | +6.59% |
| 2019 | 14/10/2019 | 28.47 | near 52w high | +0.68% | +2.63% | +5.51% | +0.00% | +5.67% |
| 2018 | 15/10/2018 | 26.79 | near 52w low | -1.68% | -5.30% | +1.10% | -5.73% | +4.52% |
| 2017 | 13/10/2017 | 29.17 | near 52w high | +0.67% | +1.32% | -0.41% | -0.57% | +1.85% |
| 2016 | 14/10/2016 | 23.16 | near 52w high | +1.60% | +0.89% | +3.95% | -0.19% | +5.40% |
Upcoming 15/10/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.14% · Win 50% · DD -2.17%20 days: Avg +3.37% · Win 70% · DD -2.64%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 15/10/2025 | 44.35 | neutral | -0.44% | -1.54% | -0.63% | -4.50% | +0.76% |
| 2024 | 15/10/2024 | 48.17 | near 52w high | -0.36% | -2.29% | -4.03% | -4.03% | +1.34% |
| 2023 | 16/10/2023 | 39.20 | neutral | -5.03% | -3.42% | -1.47% | -5.03% | +0.98% |
| 2022 | 14/10/2022 | 34.09 | near 52w low | +6.07% | +9.64% | +19.17% | +0.00% | +19.17% |
| 2021 | 15/10/2021 | 42.08 | neutral | +0.81% | +1.15% | +7.07% | -0.07% | +7.07% |
| 2020 | 15/10/2020 | 32.90 | near 52w high | -0.08% | -3.94% | +3.08% | -5.88% | +6.90% |
| 2019 | 15/10/2019 | 28.67 | near 52w high | -0.44% | +2.55% | +5.32% | -0.44% | +5.32% |
| 2018 | 15/10/2018 | 26.79 | near 52w low | -1.68% | -5.30% | +1.10% | -5.73% | +4.52% |
| 2017 | 16/10/2017 | 29.16 | near 52w high | +0.55% | +0.91% | +0.17% | -0.50% | +1.92% |
| 2016 | 14/10/2016 | 23.16 | near 52w high | +1.60% | +0.89% | +3.95% | -0.19% | +5.40% |
Upcoming 19/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.08% · Win 60% · DD -2.48%20 days: Avg +3.35% · Win 70% · DD -2.84%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 20/10/2025 | 44.47 | neutral | +0.04% | -4.26% | -3.91% | -4.73% | +0.51% |
| 2024 | 18/10/2024 | 48.81 | near 52w high | -3.76% | -4.61% | -6.50% | -6.50% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 19/10/2023 | 38.11 | neutral | -1.63% | +1.77% | +5.12% | -2.31% | +5.12% |
| 2022 | 19/10/2022 | 35.21 | neutral | +5.38% | +2.74% | +13.95% | -0.72% | +15.40% |
| 2021 | 19/10/2021 | 42.26 | neutral | +1.64% | +2.08% | +5.81% | +0.00% | +6.59% |
| 2020 | 19/10/2020 | 32.75 | near 52w high | -1.76% | -0.34% | +7.44% | -5.44% | +7.44% |
| 2019 | 18/10/2019 | 28.75 | near 52w high | +1.30% | +2.61% | +4.96% | -0.73% | +5.04% |
| 2018 | 19/10/2018 | 26.55 | near 52w low | -4.22% | +1.62% | +4.03% | -4.88% | +5.46% |
| 2017 | 19/10/2017 | 29.12 | near 52w high | +2.04% | +1.06% | -0.02% | -1.22% | +2.04% |
| 2016 | 19/10/2016 | 23.56 | near 52w high | -0.96% | -1.89% | +2.65% | -1.89% | +3.61% |
Upcoming 26/10/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.71% · Win 80% · DD -1.68%20 days: Avg +4.17% · Win 80% · DD -2.01%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 27/10/2025 | 44.49 | neutral | -4.30% | -2.63% | -2.75% | -5.07% | +0.13% |
| 2024 | 25/10/2024 | 46.98 | near 52w high | -0.88% | +0.54% | +0.14% | -2.85% | +1.47% |
| 2023 | 26/10/2023 | 37.49 | neutral | +3.45% | +1.97% | +8.19% | -0.04% | +8.19% |
| 2022 | 26/10/2022 | 37.10 | neutral | -2.51% | +2.52% | +11.05% | -2.51% | +11.05% |
| 2021 | 26/10/2021 | 42.96 | near 52w high | +0.43% | +3.97% | +3.05% | -1.43% | +4.86% |
| 2020 | 26/10/2020 | 32.17 | near 52w high | +1.45% | +8.05% | +9.31% | -3.75% | +9.36% |
| 2019 | 25/10/2019 | 29.13 | near 52w high | +1.29% | +3.28% | +1.84% | -0.12% | +3.69% |
| 2018 | 26/10/2018 | 25.43 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x2.3 | +6.10% | +8.10% | +6.02% | -0.24% | +10.11% |
| 2017 | 26/10/2017 | 29.72 | near 52w high · volume x1.8 | -0.96% | -2.07% | -0.99% | -3.20% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 26/10/2016 | 23.33 | near 52w high | -0.94% | +3.41% | +5.87% | -0.94% | +5.87% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· If it holds above SMA50 (-3.4%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -7.8% · from 52w low: +18.9%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -1.88% · -5.00% · -4.64% · -2.29% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -3.95% · -3.44% · -0.81% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -7.75% · +18.92% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.77 · 0.86x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -6.12% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -4.50% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | -6.48% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 52.04 · 51.77 · 50.40 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 54.19 · 42.03 |
|---|
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