🕰️ Time Machine

XLB — Materials Select Sector SPDR

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 03/11/2026

Last price (Close)
52.86 -1.51%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in 7 days
12/11/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 30/10/2026
since +0.23%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 01/10/2026
47.81
Days: 23 trading / 33 calendar · return since: +10.56%
Last major high · 24/08/2026
54.19
Days: 50 trading / 71 calendar · return since: -2.45%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 01/10/2026 @ 47.81Fib 13Trading📅 20/10/2026-10 (±1)Passed
High 24/08/2026 @ 54.19Cycle 45Trading📅 27/10/2026-5 (±2)Passed
Low 01/10/2026 @ 47.81Fib 21Trading📅 30/10/2026-2 (±1)Passed
Low 01/10/2026 @ 47.81Cycle 30Calendar📅 31/10/2026-3 (±2)Passed
Low 01/10/2026 @ 47.81Cycle 30Trading📅 12/11/2026+7 (±2)Upcoming
Low 01/10/2026 @ 47.81Cycle 45Calendar📅 15/11/2026+12 (±2)Upcoming
High 24/08/2026 @ 54.19Cycle 60Trading📅 17/11/2026+10 (±2)Upcoming
High 24/08/2026 @ 54.19Cycle 90Calendar📅 22/11/2026+19 (±3)Upcoming
Low 01/10/2026 @ 47.81Cycle 60Calendar📅 30/11/2026+27 (±2)Upcoming
Low 01/10/2026 @ 47.81Cycle 45Trading📅 04/12/2026+22 (±2)Upcoming
Low 01/10/2026 @ 47.81Cycle 60Trading📅 28/12/2026+37 (±2)Upcoming
High 24/08/2026 @ 54.19Cycle 90Trading📅 31/12/2026+40 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

● Failed Breakout 28/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 27/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 27/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 27/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 26/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 27/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 20/10/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 20/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 19/10/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 20/10/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 20/10/2026 · Low Fib 13/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.11% · Win 78% · DD -2.33%20 days: Avg +3.41% · Win 67% · DD -2.81%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202520/10/202544.47neutral+0.04%-4.26%-3.91%-4.73%+0.51%
202421/10/202448.44near 52w high-2.21%-3.45%-5.05%-5.78%+0.00%
202320/10/202337.65neutral-0.46%+4.63%+6.60%-1.12%+6.60%
202220/10/202234.95near 52w low+5.88%+4.28%+13.68%+0.00%+16.24%
202120/10/202142.60near 52w high-0.61%+2.32%+4.27%-0.61%+5.74%
202020/10/202032.83near 52w high-2.91%+0.99%+6.79%-5.65%+7.19%
201921/10/201928.67near 52w high+1.94%+3.73%+5.02%-0.42%+5.37%
201819/10/201826.55near 52w low-4.22%+1.62%+4.03%-4.88%+5.46%
201720/10/201729.37near 52w high+0.65%+0.15%-0.73%-2.06%+1.17%
Passed 27/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.63% · Win 67% · DD -1.55%20 days: Avg +4.56% · Win 78% · DD -1.91%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/10/202544.49neutral-4.30%-2.63%-2.75%-5.07%+0.13%
202428/10/202447.37near 52w high-1.27%-0.72%+0.34%-3.65%+0.63%
202327/10/202337.47neutral+5.12%+3.22%+8.10%+0.00%+8.23%
202227/10/202237.01neutral-1.51%+8.47%+11.30%-2.26%+11.34%
202127/10/202142.35neutral+2.95%+4.76%+3.80%+0.00%+6.39%
202027/10/202031.87neutral+4.02%+10.37%+13.10%-2.82%+13.10%
201928/10/201929.22near 52w high+1.76%+2.81%+2.19%-0.43%+3.37%
201826/10/201825.43near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x2.3+6.10%+8.10%+6.02%-0.24%+10.11%
201727/10/201729.56near 52w high-0.49%-1.71%-1.07%-2.69%+0.29%
Passed 30/10/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.62% · Win 80% · DD -0.87%20 days: Avg +4.92% · Win 90% · DD -1.12%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202530/10/202543.08volume x1.6-1.59%+1.62%+3.75%-1.98%+3.75%
202430/10/202447.32near 52w high+0.35%-2.07%-0.36%-3.55%+0.74%
202330/10/202337.86neutral+3.54%+2.02%+7.21%+0.00%+7.21%
202231/10/202237.04neutral+2.61%+9.53%+9.07%-2.35%+11.23%
202129/10/202142.56near 52w high+3.17%+5.85%+1.97%+0.00%+5.85%
202030/10/202031.59neutral+7.63%+9.23%+12.36%+0.00%+14.10%
201930/10/201929.42near 52w high+1.16%+2.02%+2.40%-1.12%+2.65%
201830/10/201825.95near 52w low · volume x1.9+5.99%+4.07%+4.20%+0.00%+7.90%
201730/10/201729.42near 52w high-0.44%-0.73%+0.51%-2.23%+0.76%
201603/11/201623.12near 52w high+5.58%+4.65%+8.09%+0.00%+8.09%
Passed 31/10/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.73% · Win 80% · DD -0.69%20 days: Avg +4.87% · Win 90% · DD -0.93%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202531/10/202542.83neutral+0.18%+1.28%+4.10%-1.41%+4.35%
202431/10/202446.69near 52w high+2.09%-1.57%+1.49%-2.26%+2.09%
202331/10/202338.03neutral+1.08%+4.56%+7.28%+0.00%+7.28%
202231/10/202237.04neutral+2.61%+9.53%+9.07%-2.35%+11.23%
202101/11/202142.66near 52w high+4.22%+5.12%-0.79%-0.79%+5.60%
202030/10/202031.59neutral+7.63%+9.23%+12.36%+0.00%+14.10%
201931/10/201929.09near 52w high+2.99%+3.82%+3.18%+0.00%+3.82%
201831/10/201826.31neutral+6.44%+2.55%+3.54%+0.00%+6.44%
201731/10/201729.50near 52w high-0.61%-1.90%+0.39%-2.49%+0.49%
201603/11/201623.12near 52w high+5.58%+4.65%+8.09%+0.00%+8.09%
Upcoming 12/11/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.06% · Win 60% · DD -1.69%20 days: Avg +1.47% · Win 60% · DD -2.33%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202512/11/202544.08neutral-2.73%+0.84%+2.37%-4.19%+2.37%
202412/11/202446.23neutral-0.83%+2.04%-1.98%-1.98%+2.81%
202313/11/202338.62near 52w low+4.09%+5.09%+7.43%+0.00%+7.90%
202211/11/202240.62far above SMA50-1.55%-0.89%+0.53%-2.20%+3.09%
202112/11/202145.05near 52w high-1.99%-3.66%-2.59%-7.00%+0.00%
202012/11/202033.92neutral+2.92%+5.70%+4.51%+0.00%+6.26%
201912/11/201930.19near 52w high-0.51%-0.61%-0.53%-2.20%+0.03%
201812/11/201827.08neutral+0.52%-1.68%-3.40%-4.23%+2.58%
201713/11/201729.20near 52w high-0.03%+1.25%+1.90%-1.51%+2.17%
201611/11/201624.08near 52w high+0.35%+2.51%+6.48%+0.00%+6.96%
Upcoming 15/11/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.31% · Win 70% · DD -1.62%20 days: Avg +0.77% · Win 70% · DD -2.57%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202514/11/202543.38neutral-0.48%+2.78%+4.00%-2.66%+4.07%
202415/11/202445.64neutral+3.08%+3.77%-3.11%-3.11%+4.14%
202315/11/202339.94neutral+1.11%+3.17%+6.90%+0.00%+6.90%
202215/11/202240.51far above SMA50+1.31%+2.14%+1.11%-1.93%+3.38%
202115/11/202144.85near 52w high-1.38%-5.62%-2.24%-6.58%+0.00%
202016/11/202035.19near 52w high-0.04%+1.99%+1.28%-1.19%+2.44%
201915/11/201930.18near 52w high-1.71%-1.52%+0.56%-2.15%+0.91%
201815/11/201827.34neutral-2.52%-0.15%-7.77%-7.77%+1.61%
201715/11/201728.76near 52w high+1.76%+3.53%+2.59%+0.00%+3.74%
201615/11/201624.23near 52w high+1.51%+3.05%+4.37%-0.29%+6.27%
Upcoming 17/11/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.57% · Win 80% · DD -1.36%20 days: Avg +0.90% · Win 60% · DD -2.33%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202517/11/202542.72neutral+1.25%+3.42%+5.32%-1.16%+5.68%
202418/11/202445.99neutral+3.34%+2.64%-4.39%-4.39%+3.34%
202317/11/202340.13neutral+0.93%+2.63%+6.27%+0.00%+6.38%
202217/11/202239.73neutral+3.66%+5.41%-0.48%-0.48%+5.41%
202117/11/202144.42near 52w high-1.06%-3.77%-0.09%-5.69%+0.00%
202017/11/202035.06near 52w high+2.82%+1.06%+1.37%-0.83%+2.82%
201918/11/201930.10near 52w high-0.81%-1.91%+0.96%-1.91%+1.16%
201816/11/201827.62neutral-2.39%+0.60%-8.18%-8.69%+0.60%
201717/11/201729.16near 52w high+0.31%+2.35%+3.32%+0.00%+3.32%
201617/11/201624.19near 52w high+2.42%+3.29%+4.88%-0.14%+6.43%
Upcoming 22/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.26% · Win 60% · DD -1.37%20 days: Avg +0.04% · Win 60% · DD -3.06%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/11/202543.17neutral+3.28%+0.71%+6.32%+0.00%+6.32%
202422/11/202447.04near 52w high+0.67%-2.34%-9.12%-10.16%+1.03%
202322/11/202340.38neutral+2.03%+1.06%+6.06%+0.00%+6.58%
202222/11/202241.04far above SMA50+0.82%-1.08%-3.45%-4.91%+2.05%
202122/11/202144.22near 52w high-4.30%-0.64%-1.44%-5.27%+0.36%
202023/11/202035.17near 52w high+2.03%+1.95%+1.49%-0.48%+2.66%
201922/11/201929.67near 52w high+0.19%+1.10%+3.47%-0.46%+3.47%
201821/11/201826.94neutral+1.08%-3.67%-9.23%-9.23%+3.12%
201722/11/201729.27near 52w high+1.74%+1.52%+3.19%-0.09%+3.19%
201622/11/201624.59near 52w high+1.52%+3.98%+3.10%+0.00%+4.70%
Upcoming 30/11/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.65% · Win 50% · DD -2.49%20 days: Avg -0.15% · Win 70% · DD -3.90%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202501/12/202544.59neutral-2.49%+1.19%+3.09%-2.69%+3.94%
202429/11/202447.39near 52w high-3.03%-5.86%-11.12%-11.12%+0.00%
202330/11/202341.21near 52w high-0.95%+3.62%+4.52%-1.61%+5.34%
202230/11/202241.38far above SMA50-1.89%-1.00%-4.85%-5.87%+1.22%
202130/11/202142.33volume x1.9+3.82%+3.58%+7.49%-1.02%+7.49%
202030/11/202035.49near 52w high+0.45%-1.39%+0.70%-1.39%+1.72%
201929/11/201930.02near 52w high+0.10%+0.67%+2.11%-1.63%+2.81%
201830/11/201827.31neutral-4.69%-7.64%-6.41%-12.75%+1.76%
201730/11/201729.78near 52w high · volume x1.8-0.22%-0.91%+2.13%-0.91%+2.31%
201630/11/201624.97near 52w high+2.42%+1.28%+0.84%+0.00%+3.12%
Upcoming 04/12/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.77% · Win 70% · DD -2.78%20 days: Avg +0.60% · Win 70% · DD -3.51%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/12/202544.24neutral+2.00%+2.11%+5.84%-1.91%+5.84%
202404/12/202446.75near 52w high-3.07%-8.61%-10.56%-10.56%+0.00%
202304/12/202341.19near 52w high · volume x2.2+0.16%+3.55%+3.25%-1.58%+5.38%
202205/12/202241.05neutral-0.51%-4.93%-3.21%-5.13%+0.86%
202103/12/202142.65neutral+3.50%+2.75%+5.36%+0.00%+6.75%
202004/12/202035.89near 52w high-1.23%+0.60%+2.64%-2.48%+2.64%
201904/12/201929.59near 52w high+1.49%+2.57%+1.45%+0.00%+4.34%
201804/12/201826.96neutral-2.95%-7.21%-4.28%-11.63%+0.00%
201704/12/201729.84near 52w high · volume x1.6-0.28%+0.94%+4.09%-1.11%+4.09%
201605/12/201625.18near 52w high+1.79%+0.56%+1.36%-0.68%+2.24%
Upcoming 28/12/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.92% · Win 70% · DD -1.33%20 days: Avg +2.23% · Win 60% · DD -2.39%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/12/202545.74near 52w high+3.85%+6.54%+9.20%-0.85%+9.38%
202427/12/202442.47neutral-1.40%+1.51%+4.31%-2.06%+5.32%
202328/12/202342.94near 52w high-1.79%-2.83%-3.45%-4.96%+0.00%
202228/12/202238.69neutral+0.40%+7.61%+7.77%+0.00%+8.27%
202128/12/202145.08near 52w high+0.41%-0.89%-8.54%-8.54%+0.50%
202028/12/202035.65near 52w high+2.82%+8.67%-0.67%-0.67%+8.67%
201927/12/201930.58near 52w high-2.78%-1.32%-3.35%-4.43%+0.43%
201828/12/201825.05neutral+2.71%+3.53%+6.97%-1.52%+6.97%
201728/12/201730.32near 52w high+3.66%+4.53%+4.49%-0.18%+5.69%
201628/12/201625.01near 52w high+1.08%+1.84%+5.56%-0.66%+5.94%
Upcoming 31/12/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.35% · Win 70% · DD -1.38%20 days: Avg +2.41% · Win 60% · DD -2.44%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202531/12/202545.35near 52w high+4.74%+7.96%+8.64%+0.00%+10.32%
202431/12/202442.07near 52w low+0.02%+4.30%+5.53%-1.13%+6.32%
202329/12/202342.77near 52w high-0.98%-3.57%-2.62%-4.58%+0.00%
202230/12/202238.84neutral+4.12%+6.78%+8.97%-0.10%+8.97%
202131/12/202145.31near 52w high-1.45%-2.00%-6.80%-8.99%+0.00%
202031/12/202036.19near 52w high+5.69%+4.08%-1.27%-2.42%+7.03%
201931/12/201930.71near 52w high-2.96%-1.48%-4.05%-4.84%+0.00%
201831/12/201825.26neutral+2.93%+2.00%+7.21%-2.34%+7.21%
201729/12/201730.26near 52w high+4.00%+3.50%+3.92%+0.00%+5.88%
201630/12/201624.85near 52w high+1.83%+1.89%+4.55%+0.00%+6.64%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+3.7%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -2.5% · from 52w low: +25.8%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+2.09% · +3.18% · +6.29% · -0.14%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+3.51% · +3.69% · +3.40%
Distance from 52w high / low-2.45% · +25.75%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.75 · 0.13x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+15.95%
vs SPY (20d)+9.33%
vs SMH (20d)+23.90%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20051.07 · 50.98 · 51.12
52w high / low54.19 · 42.03