🕰️ Time Machine

XLC — Communication Services Select Sector SPDR

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 04/08/2026

Last price (Close)
112.04 +0.63%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in 3 days
07/08/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 27/07/2026
since +4.07%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 25/06/2026
105.03
Days: 27 trading / 40 calendar · return since: +6.67%
Last major high · 17/04/2026
119.48
Days: 74 trading / 109 calendar · return since: -6.23%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 25/06/2026 @ 105.03Cycle 30Calendar📅 25/07/2026-10 (±2)Passed
Low 25/06/2026 @ 105.03Fib 21Trading📅 27/07/2026-6 (±1)Passed
Low 25/06/2026 @ 105.03Cycle 30Trading📅 07/08/2026+3 (±2)Upcoming
Low 25/06/2026 @ 105.03Cycle 45Calendar📅 09/08/2026+5 (±2)Upcoming
High 17/04/2026 @ 119.48Cycle 120Calendar📅 15/08/2026+11 (±3)Upcoming
Low 25/06/2026 @ 105.03Cycle 60Calendar📅 24/08/2026+20 (±2)Upcoming
High 17/04/2026 @ 119.48Cycle 90Trading📅 26/08/2026+16 (±3)Upcoming
Low 25/06/2026 @ 105.03Cycle 45Trading📅 28/08/2026+18 (±2)Upcoming
High 17/04/2026 @ 119.48Cycle 144Calendar📅 08/09/2026+35 (±3)Upcoming
Low 25/06/2026 @ 105.03Cycle 60Trading📅 21/09/2026+33 (±2)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Gap Day 30/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 27/07/2026
Doji After Run 29/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 27/07/2026
Gap Day 23/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 25/07/2026
NR7 Compression 21/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 25/07/2026
Failed Breakout 16/07/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 25/07/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Calendar · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.00% · Win 62% · DD -2.13%20 days: Avg +1.01% · Win 50% · DD -2.38%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202525/07/2025107.62near 52w high-1.39%+0.01%+3.43%-1.39%+3.59%
202425/07/202482.16volume x1.9+4.84%+2.84%+5.76%+0.00%+6.56%
202325/07/202365.89near 52w high+4.26%+3.11%-0.55%-1.26%+4.43%
202225/07/202255.80neutral+0.88%+2.90%+0.43%-2.01%+7.33%
202126/07/202183.93near 52w high-2.05%-1.50%-0.24%-2.49%+0.00%
202024/07/202056.85near 52w high+2.25%+5.42%+6.86%-0.35%+7.34%
201925/07/201950.28near 52w high+0.52%-0.20%-2.05%-4.46%+2.86%
201825/07/201851.81near 52w high · volume x2.3-6.85%-4.61%-5.56%-7.08%+0.00%
Passed 27/07/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.79% · Win 62% · DD -1.85%20 days: Avg +0.75% · Win 62% · DD -2.49%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202528/07/2025107.04near 52w high+1.05%+1.07%+4.16%-0.86%+4.16%
202426/07/202483.70near 52w high · volume x1.6+1.24%+1.80%+4.54%-1.66%+4.60%
202327/07/202367.48near 52w high · volume x1.7-0.36%-0.06%-3.22%-3.59%+1.97%
202227/07/202256.99neutral+0.98%+2.58%-1.93%-2.51%+5.09%
202127/07/202182.93near 52w high-1.31%-0.12%+1.29%-1.31%+1.29%
202027/07/202057.24near 52w high+1.64%+4.35%+7.42%-1.03%+7.42%
201926/07/201951.72near 52w high · volume x1.7-3.23%-4.06%-7.39%-7.39%+0.00%
201827/07/201848.91near 52w low · volume x3.3+0.00%+0.74%+1.08%-1.57%+1.59%
Upcoming 07/08/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.30% · Win 50% · DD -1.72%20 days: Avg +0.98% · Win 62% · DD -2.55%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202507/08/2025107.27near 52w high+3.66%+2.29%+6.92%+0.00%+6.92%
202407/08/202482.84neutral+2.89%+5.69%+3.28%+0.00%+5.87%
202307/08/202368.13near 52w high-0.76%-3.82%-1.53%-4.51%+0.00%
202208/08/202257.42neutral+4.09%-2.40%-7.40%-7.40%+4.30%
202106/08/202182.82near 52w high+0.45%-0.11%+3.20%-0.98%+3.90%
202007/08/202059.93near 52w high-0.17%+1.37%+3.09%-1.82%+8.69%
201907/08/201949.19neutral-2.34%+0.35%+3.35%-2.62%+3.35%
201807/08/201849.46near 52w low+0.18%-0.95%-3.07%-3.07%+1.05%
Upcoming 09/08/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.22% · Win 50% · DD -1.76%20 days: Avg +0.37% · Win 50% · DD -2.67%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202508/08/2025107.63near 52w high+3.58%+3.42%+6.68%+0.00%+6.68%
202409/08/202485.21near 52w high+1.23%+2.69%-1.27%-1.69%+2.92%
202309/08/202367.21near 52w high-1.49%-0.92%-0.67%-3.20%+0.77%
202209/08/202256.86neutral+5.33%-2.29%-4.61%-6.49%+5.33%
202109/08/202182.67near 52w high+0.80%+1.28%+3.63%-0.80%+4.09%
202010/08/202059.73near 52w high · volume x1.7+0.28%+2.95%+0.70%-1.49%+9.06%
201909/08/201949.62near 52w high-1.77%-3.47%+2.56%-3.47%+2.56%
201809/08/201849.69near 52w high-1.71%-1.93%-4.05%-4.25%+0.58%
Upcoming 15/08/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.91% · Win 75% · DD -1.93%20 days: Avg +0.43% · Win 75% · DD -2.93%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202515/08/2025111.48near 52w high-0.15%-0.08%+6.75%-1.57%+6.75%
202415/08/202486.00near 52w high+1.03%+0.86%+1.01%-2.59%+1.98%
202315/08/202367.01near 52w high-2.21%+0.96%+0.70%-2.91%+1.43%
202215/08/202259.77neutral-6.24%-8.43%-11.59%-11.59%+0.20%
202116/08/202183.33near 52w high+0.48%+2.36%+0.49%-1.58%+3.26%
202014/08/202059.83near 52w high+1.54%+6.23%+0.30%-0.08%+8.88%
201915/08/201948.12neutral+2.35%+3.05%+6.59%-0.46%+6.77%
201815/08/201848.86near 52w low+0.14%+2.29%-0.82%-2.62%+2.29%
Upcoming 24/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.15% · Win 50% · DD -2.03%20 days: Avg -0.52% · Win 50% · DD -3.47%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202525/08/2025111.49near 52w high-0.26%+3.57%+6.58%-0.44%+7.10%
202423/08/202487.50near 52w high-0.21%-3.85%+1.83%-4.26%+1.83%
202324/08/202365.31neutral+3.71%+2.53%+0.73%+0.00%+4.76%
202224/08/202255.89neutral-2.70%-3.18%-10.21%-10.21%+1.95%
202124/08/202184.00near 52w high+1.93%+1.46%-3.47%-3.47%+2.44%
202024/08/202061.49near 52w high+2.88%-2.18%-3.76%-5.59%+5.94%
201923/08/201947.90neutral+3.40%+6.24%+5.69%+0.00%+7.27%
201824/08/201849.44near 52w low-0.53%-3.36%-1.53%-3.76%+1.09%
Upcoming 26/08/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.05% · Win 62% · DD -2.42%20 days: Avg -1.73% · Win 50% · DD -4.27%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202526/08/2025111.00near 52w high+1.86%+3.26%+6.16%+0.00%+7.58%
202426/08/202487.70near 52w high-2.26%-4.09%+2.08%-4.48%+2.08%
202325/08/202365.38neutral+2.63%+3.96%+0.86%+0.00%+4.65%
202226/08/202255.16near 52w low-2.39%+1.36%-12.23%-12.23%+1.36%
202126/08/202183.40near 52w high+2.48%+1.03%-0.97%-2.77%+3.18%
202026/08/202064.19near 52w high · far above SMA50+1.48%-6.57%-9.84%-10.01%+1.48%
201926/08/201948.62neutral+0.86%+4.81%+2.56%+0.00%+5.68%
201827/08/201849.92near 52w high-2.70%-3.33%-2.44%-4.69%+0.12%
Upcoming 28/08/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.19% · Win 38% · DD -2.28%20 days: Avg -1.54% · Win 38% · DD -4.39%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202528/08/2025111.61near 52w high+2.76%+5.14%+6.25%-0.37%+6.99%
202428/08/202486.92near 52w high-1.56%-1.01%+3.25%-3.62%+3.25%
202328/08/202366.18near 52w high+1.38%+1.63%-1.46%-1.46%+3.38%
202229/08/202254.73near 52w low-2.85%-3.45%-12.02%-12.02%+2.16%
202127/08/202184.72near 52w high+0.89%-0.30%-2.52%-4.29%+1.57%
202028/08/202063.56near 52w high-2.80%-5.59%-6.50%-9.12%+2.49%
201928/08/201948.83neutral+4.12%+5.22%+2.29%+0.00%+5.22%
201828/08/201849.70near 52w high-3.54%-3.18%-1.63%-4.27%+0.56%
Upcoming 08/09/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.55% · Win 38% · DD -2.26%20 days: Avg -0.92% · Win 50% · DD -3.67%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202508/09/2025114.82near 52w high+3.64%+3.63%+1.83%-0.17%+4.00%
202409/09/202484.13near 52w high+4.34%+5.91%+6.90%-0.02%+8.35%
202308/09/202366.96near 52w high+0.82%-1.76%+0.17%-2.61%+2.18%
202208/09/202254.11near 52w low · volume x2.3-2.61%-7.25%-7.25%-11.31%+3.33%
202108/09/202185.23near 52w high-1.27%-4.86%-4.77%-6.33%+0.00%
202008/09/202060.15volume x2.0+1.55%-1.62%-2.09%-3.97%+1.55%
201909/09/201950.89near 52w high · volume x2.1+0.41%-0.52%-2.68%-4.91%+0.96%
201807/09/201847.68near 52w low · volume x2.2+1.45%+2.10%+0.57%+0.00%+3.43%
Upcoming 21/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.06% · Win 38% · DD -1.99%20 days: Avg +0.18% · Win 50% · DD -3.17%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202522/09/2025118.58near 52w high-0.03%-1.75%-1.97%-4.87%+0.00%
202420/09/202488.90near 52w high+1.56%+2.54%+2.93%+0.00%+2.93%
202321/09/202365.70neutral+0.37%+0.00%+2.19%-0.99%+4.47%
202221/09/202250.26near 52w low-1.13%+0.18%-1.09%-5.23%+0.96%
202121/09/202180.99neutral-0.69%-0.12%+0.90%-2.43%+1.80%
202021/09/202057.93volume x1.6+2.36%+3.63%+3.04%-0.50%+6.99%
201920/09/201950.69near 52w high · volume x1.8-2.80%-2.53%-0.77%-4.75%+0.39%
201821/09/201848.55near 52w low · volume x6.7+0.93%-1.50%-3.77%-6.57%+1.30%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+1.3%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -6.9% · from 52w low: +6.7%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+2.16% · +1.83% · +0.92% · -4.30%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+1.94% · +1.26% · -1.99%
Distance from 52w high / low-6.95% · +6.67%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg2.25 · 0.83x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-1.11%
vs SPY (20d)-2.23%
vs SMH (20d)+1.91%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200109.90 · 110.65 · 114.31
52w high / low120.40 · 105.03