🕰️ Time Machine
XLE — Energy Select Sector SPDR
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 18/06/2026
Last price (Close)
53.77 -1.65%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in window · in 1 days
19/06/2026
Last window · Cycle 60 · 16/06/2026
since -2.87%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 17/04/2026
53.41
Days: 43 trading / 62 calendar · return since: +0.67%
Last major high · 20/05/2026
61.70
Days: 20 trading / 29 calendar · return since: -12.85%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 20/05/2026 @ 61.70 | Fib 13 | Trading | 📅 09/06/2026 | -7 (±1) | Passed |
| High 20/05/2026 @ 61.70 | Fib 21 | Calendar | 📅 10/06/2026 | -8 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 17/04/2026 @ 53.41 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 16/06/2026 | -2 (±2) | In window |
| High 20/05/2026 @ 61.70 | Cycle 30 | Calendar | 📅 19/06/2026 | +1 (±2) | In window |
| High 20/05/2026 @ 61.70 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 22/06/2026 | +1 (±1) | In window |
| Low 17/04/2026 @ 53.41 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 23/06/2026 | +2 (±2) | In window |
| High 20/05/2026 @ 61.70 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 04/07/2026 | +16 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 20/05/2026 @ 61.70 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 06/07/2026 | +10 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 17/04/2026 @ 53.41 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 15/07/2026 | +17 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 17/04/2026 @ 53.41 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 16/07/2026 | +28 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 20/05/2026 @ 61.70 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 19/07/2026 | +31 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 20/05/2026 @ 61.70 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 27/07/2026 | +25 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 20/05/2026 @ 61.70 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 17/08/2026 | +40 (±2) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Failed Breakdown 16/06/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 16/06/2026
● NR7 Compression 16/06/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 16/06/2026
● Gap Day 15/06/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 16/06/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 11/06/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 10/06/2026
● Failed Breakout 20/05/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 09/06/2026 · High Fib 13/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -3.47% · Win 33% · DD -6.14%20 days: Avg -3.93% · Win 44% · DD -6.97%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 09/06/2025 | 41.78 | neutral | +5.11% | +2.43% | +6.23% | +0.00% | +6.77% |
| 2024 | 10/06/2024 | 45.33 | neutral | -2.65% | +1.71% | -0.65% | -2.90% | +1.76% |
| 2023 | 09/06/2023 | 40.67 | neutral | -0.58% | -2.32% | +3.21% | -4.04% | +3.21% |
| 2022 | 09/06/2022 | 45.12 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -13.85% | -19.78% | -21.26% | -23.23% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 09/06/2021 | 27.82 | near 52w high | +0.45% | -0.90% | -6.04% | -6.04% | +0.99% |
| 2020 | 09/06/2020 | 22.55 | far above SMA50 | -8.89% | -11.77% | -18.64% | -18.64% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 10/06/2019 | 30.73 | neutral | +0.11% | +3.44% | +3.84% | -1.22% | +4.72% |
| 2018 | 08/06/2018 | 38.45 | near 52w high | -2.90% | -1.62% | +0.54% | -3.59% | +0.54% |
| 2017 | 09/06/2017 | 33.21 | near 52w low · volume x1.5 | +0.51% | -2.40% | -2.65% | -3.06% | +1.46% |
Passed 10/06/2026 · High Fib 21/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -3.53% · Win 44% · DD -5.87%20 days: Avg -3.82% · Win 44% · DD -6.87%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/06/2025 | 42.53 | volume x1.6 | +4.23% | +0.20% | +5.16% | +0.00% | +5.16% |
| 2024 | 10/06/2024 | 45.33 | neutral | -2.65% | +1.71% | -0.65% | -2.90% | +1.76% |
| 2023 | 09/06/2023 | 40.67 | neutral | -0.58% | -2.32% | +3.21% | -4.04% | +3.21% |
| 2022 | 10/06/2022 | 44.35 | near 52w high | -17.16% | -16.00% | -21.46% | -21.90% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 10/06/2021 | 27.78 | near 52w high | -2.84% | +0.08% | -3.92% | -5.92% | +1.12% |
| 2020 | 10/06/2020 | 21.44 | far above SMA50 | -7.44% | -12.35% | -18.65% | -18.65% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 10/06/2019 | 30.73 | neutral | +0.11% | +3.44% | +3.84% | -1.22% | +4.72% |
| 2018 | 11/06/2018 | 38.65 | near 52w high | -2.44% | -4.09% | +0.77% | -4.09% | +0.77% |
| 2017 | 09/06/2017 | 33.21 | near 52w low · volume x1.5 | +0.51% | -2.40% | -2.65% | -3.06% | +1.46% |
In window 16/06/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.67% · Win 40% · DD -3.93%20 days: Avg -1.24% · Win 50% · DD -5.17%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/06/2025 | 43.92 | volume x2.0 | -2.55% | -1.92% | -1.15% | -2.97% | +2.29% |
| 2024 | 17/06/2024 | 44.13 | neutral | +4.48% | +4.07% | +6.46% | +0.00% | +6.46% |
| 2023 | 16/06/2023 | 40.43 | neutral | -1.75% | +1.50% | +2.44% | -3.49% | +4.77% |
| 2022 | 16/06/2022 | 38.87 | volume x1.9 | -6.88% | -5.59% | -8.74% | -12.21% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 16/06/2021 | 27.94 | near 52w high | -1.35% | -2.63% | -9.44% | -9.44% | +0.03% |
| 2020 | 16/06/2020 | 20.55 | neutral | -3.15% | -6.70% | -7.86% | -15.11% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 17/06/2019 | 30.76 | neutral | +3.32% | +4.60% | +3.64% | +0.00% | +5.70% |
| 2018 | 15/06/2018 | 37.08 | neutral | +1.32% | +2.39% | +1.63% | -0.71% | +4.31% |
| 2017 | 16/06/2017 | 33.15 | near 52w low | -2.90% | -2.08% | -1.48% | -3.54% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 20/06/2016 | 33.74 | near 52w high | -4.19% | -0.37% | +2.10% | -4.19% | +3.04% |
In window 19/06/2026 · High Cycle 30/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.70% · Win 60% · DD -2.38%20 days: Avg -0.51% · Win 50% · DD -4.15%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 18/06/2025 | 44.04 | volume x1.8 | -1.85% | -0.39% | -1.61% | -3.24% | +2.02% |
| 2024 | 18/06/2024 | 44.32 | neutral | +3.02% | +4.09% | +6.20% | +0.00% | +6.20% |
| 2023 | 20/06/2023 | 39.18 | neutral | +0.73% | +3.25% | +5.40% | -1.28% | +7.17% |
| 2022 | 17/06/2022 | 36.74 | volume x2.0 | +1.40% | -4.09% | -0.49% | -7.13% | +5.18% |
| 2021 | 18/06/2021 | 26.19 | volume x2.0 | +6.71% | +5.46% | -9.45% | -9.45% | +6.71% |
| 2020 | 19/06/2020 | 19.78 | neutral | -6.55% | -4.14% | -7.65% | -11.85% | +0.57% |
| 2019 | 19/06/2019 | 31.15 | neutral | +2.78% | +2.05% | +1.19% | +0.00% | +4.38% |
| 2018 | 19/06/2018 | 37.37 | neutral | -0.23% | +0.74% | +0.52% | -1.47% | +3.52% |
| 2017 | 19/06/2017 | 32.94 | near 52w low | -2.49% | +0.44% | -1.32% | -2.93% | +0.44% |
| 2016 | 20/06/2016 | 33.74 | near 52w high | -4.19% | -0.37% | +2.10% | -4.19% | +3.04% |
In window 22/06/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.80% · Win 50% · DD -2.96%20 days: Avg -0.31% · Win 40% · DD -4.53%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 23/06/2025 | 43.01 | volume x2.3 | -1.42% | +2.88% | -0.65% | -1.73% | +3.60% |
| 2024 | 21/06/2024 | 44.88 | neutral | +2.38% | +0.58% | +3.09% | -0.31% | +4.89% |
| 2023 | 22/06/2023 | 38.96 | neutral | +3.50% | +3.68% | +8.19% | -0.72% | +8.19% |
| 2022 | 22/06/2022 | 36.69 | neutral | -0.45% | -3.27% | -2.23% | -8.03% | +3.13% |
| 2021 | 22/06/2021 | 27.22 | near 52w high | -2.24% | -4.37% | -9.52% | -13.72% | +1.67% |
| 2020 | 22/06/2020 | 19.62 | neutral | -5.73% | -7.62% | -2.52% | -12.25% | +0.10% |
| 2019 | 21/06/2019 | 31.78 | neutral | +0.24% | -0.60% | -0.80% | -1.73% | +1.38% |
| 2018 | 22/06/2018 | 37.58 | volume x1.8 | +1.05% | +2.20% | -0.79% | -2.01% | +2.95% |
| 2017 | 22/06/2017 | 31.98 | near 52w low | +1.06% | +0.09% | +1.81% | +0.00% | +3.47% |
| 2016 | 22/06/2016 | 33.94 | near 52w high | -0.28% | -1.58% | +0.32% | -4.79% | +2.40% |
In window 23/06/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.67% · Win 50% · DD -3.02%20 days: Avg -0.53% · Win 40% · DD -4.50%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 23/06/2025 | 43.01 | volume x2.3 | -1.42% | +2.88% | -0.65% | -1.73% | +3.60% |
| 2024 | 24/06/2024 | 45.64 | neutral | -0.09% | -2.76% | -1.04% | -2.76% | +2.31% |
| 2023 | 23/06/2023 | 38.68 | neutral | +4.93% | +5.25% | +10.73% | +0.00% | +10.73% |
| 2022 | 23/06/2022 | 35.33 | far below SMA50 · volume x1.7 | +1.20% | +0.41% | +0.69% | -4.49% | +7.10% |
| 2021 | 23/06/2021 | 27.29 | near 52w high | -1.30% | -5.19% | -10.77% | -13.96% | +1.39% |
| 2020 | 23/06/2020 | 19.65 | neutral | -3.67% | -7.79% | -3.82% | -12.34% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 24/06/2019 | 31.50 | neutral | +1.24% | +0.38% | +0.37% | -0.84% | +2.30% |
| 2018 | 22/06/2018 | 37.58 | volume x1.8 | +1.05% | +2.20% | -0.79% | -2.01% | +2.95% |
| 2017 | 23/06/2017 | 32.19 | near 52w low | +0.84% | -0.25% | +0.95% | -0.57% | +2.78% |
| 2016 | 23/06/2016 | 34.51 | near 52w high | -1.12% | -1.88% | -1.00% | -6.33% | +0.74% |
Upcoming 04/07/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.07% · Win 40% · DD -3.71%20 days: Avg -0.27% · Win 40% · DD -4.32%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/07/2025 | 43.51 | neutral | +2.41% | -1.23% | -1.65% | -2.25% | +2.41% |
| 2024 | 03/07/2024 | 45.76 | neutral | -1.35% | +2.03% | -0.86% | -3.03% | +2.03% |
| 2023 | 03/07/2023 | 40.68 | neutral | +2.27% | +0.92% | +7.02% | -2.79% | +7.52% |
| 2022 | 05/07/2022 | 34.85 | far below SMA50 | -1.15% | +3.76% | +9.93% | -3.17% | +12.51% |
| 2021 | 02/07/2021 | 27.34 | near 52w high | -3.51% | -14.13% | -10.37% | -14.13% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 02/07/2020 | 18.67 | neutral | -4.82% | -1.74% | -3.51% | -7.77% | +2.46% |
| 2019 | 03/07/2019 | 31.50 | neutral | +1.86% | -0.84% | -2.73% | -2.73% | +2.29% |
| 2018 | 03/07/2018 | 37.65 | neutral | +0.58% | -0.21% | +1.01% | -0.97% | +2.76% |
| 2017 | 03/07/2017 | 33.08 | near 52w low | -2.42% | -1.75% | +0.66% | -3.26% | +0.68% |
| 2016 | 05/07/2016 | 33.61 | near 52w high | +3.42% | +2.48% | -2.19% | -3.06% | +3.42% |
Upcoming 06/07/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.27% · Win 50% · DD -2.68%20 days: Avg +0.29% · Win 30% · DD -3.33%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 07/07/2025 | 43.10 | neutral | +2.27% | -1.30% | -0.92% | -1.30% | +3.41% |
| 2024 | 05/07/2024 | 45.05 | neutral | +0.47% | +2.52% | -1.89% | -1.89% | +3.65% |
| 2023 | 06/07/2023 | 39.54 | neutral | +5.78% | +5.65% | +9.75% | +0.00% | +10.61% |
| 2022 | 06/07/2022 | 34.26 | far below SMA50 | +0.41% | +6.58% | +8.63% | -1.49% | +14.47% |
| 2021 | 06/07/2021 | 26.45 | neutral | -1.02% | -10.05% | -5.76% | -11.25% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 06/07/2020 | 18.73 | neutral | -5.61% | -3.66% | -3.44% | -8.04% | +2.16% |
| 2019 | 05/07/2019 | 31.55 | neutral | +2.14% | -0.52% | -4.26% | -4.26% | +2.14% |
| 2018 | 06/07/2018 | 37.83 | near 52w high | +0.78% | -1.03% | -0.57% | -1.47% | +2.25% |
| 2017 | 06/07/2017 | 32.06 | near 52w low | +1.40% | +2.57% | +2.06% | -0.16% | +3.92% |
| 2016 | 06/07/2016 | 33.76 | near 52w high | +2.09% | +1.90% | -0.73% | -3.48% | +2.98% |
Upcoming 15/07/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.14% · Win 70% · DD -2.17%20 days: Avg +1.01% · Win 30% · DD -3.76%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 15/07/2025 | 43.44 | neutral | -1.62% | +2.38% | -2.56% | -3.03% | +2.38% |
| 2024 | 15/07/2024 | 45.94 | neutral | -0.11% | -0.53% | -2.22% | -5.92% | +1.63% |
| 2023 | 14/07/2023 | 40.72 | neutral | +3.50% | +5.40% | +10.37% | -0.20% | +10.37% |
| 2022 | 15/07/2022 | 34.29 | far below SMA50 | +3.73% | +14.33% | +14.40% | +0.00% | +14.40% |
| 2021 | 15/07/2021 | 25.05 | neutral | -2.79% | +0.18% | -0.18% | -6.27% | +0.18% |
| 2020 | 15/07/2020 | 18.69 | neutral | +1.10% | +0.80% | +3.21% | -3.61% | +3.21% |
| 2019 | 15/07/2019 | 31.93 | neutral | -1.27% | -2.60% | -8.55% | -9.04% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 16/07/2018 | 37.69 | neutral | -1.09% | +2.49% | -1.39% | -1.39% | +2.49% |
| 2017 | 14/07/2017 | 32.70 | near 52w low | -0.44% | +1.64% | -2.23% | -2.23% | +1.87% |
| 2016 | 15/07/2016 | 34.62 | near 52w high | -1.31% | -2.67% | -0.77% | -5.88% | +0.07% |
Upcoming 16/07/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.44% · Win 70% · DD -1.67%20 days: Avg +1.23% · Win 40% · DD -3.30%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/07/2025 | 43.06 | neutral | +0.79% | +1.80% | -0.57% | -2.18% | +3.27% |
| 2024 | 16/07/2024 | 46.15 | neutral | -2.13% | +0.56% | -3.60% | -6.34% | +1.18% |
| 2023 | 17/07/2023 | 40.65 | neutral | +5.38% | +7.61% | +10.12% | +0.00% | +10.59% |
| 2022 | 15/07/2022 | 34.29 | far below SMA50 | +3.73% | +14.33% | +14.40% | +0.00% | +14.40% |
| 2021 | 16/07/2021 | 24.34 | neutral | -0.33% | +1.46% | +1.52% | -3.53% | +3.10% |
| 2020 | 16/07/2020 | 18.60 | neutral | +1.37% | -2.71% | +1.67% | -3.17% | +3.68% |
| 2019 | 16/07/2019 | 31.59 | neutral | +0.06% | -0.44% | -6.71% | -8.06% | +0.49% |
| 2018 | 16/07/2018 | 37.69 | neutral | -1.09% | +2.49% | -1.39% | -1.39% | +2.49% |
| 2017 | 17/07/2017 | 32.66 | near 52w low | -0.51% | +1.99% | -2.40% | -2.40% | +1.99% |
| 2016 | 15/07/2016 | 34.62 | near 52w high | -1.31% | -2.67% | -0.77% | -5.88% | +0.07% |
Upcoming 19/07/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.28% · Win 60% · DD -1.85%20 days: Avg +0.07% · Win 50% · DD -3.48%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 18/07/2025 | 42.98 | neutral | +1.33% | -0.43% | -0.47% | -1.99% | +3.48% |
| 2024 | 19/07/2024 | 46.19 | neutral | -0.19% | -4.30% | -2.06% | -6.41% | +0.91% |
| 2023 | 19/07/2023 | 41.29 | neutral | +4.30% | +4.04% | +5.22% | +0.00% | +8.85% |
| 2022 | 19/07/2022 | 36.16 | neutral | +1.06% | +5.95% | +6.14% | -1.62% | +8.50% |
| 2021 | 19/07/2021 | 23.48 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.1 | +5.88% | +4.39% | +3.30% | +0.00% | +6.88% |
| 2020 | 20/07/2020 | 18.04 | neutral | +4.07% | +0.22% | +5.24% | -0.14% | +6.93% |
| 2019 | 19/07/2019 | 31.38 | neutral | -0.49% | -3.76% | -9.15% | -10.33% | +1.16% |
| 2018 | 19/07/2018 | 37.58 | neutral | +2.41% | +0.64% | -3.62% | -4.31% | +2.81% |
| 2017 | 19/07/2017 | 32.98 | near 52w low · volume x1.5 | -0.12% | +0.61% | -4.64% | -4.64% | +1.00% |
| 2016 | 19/07/2016 | 34.44 | near 52w high | -2.24% | -4.56% | +0.68% | -5.41% | +0.68% |
Upcoming 27/07/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.97% · Win 50% · DD -3.52%20 days: Avg -0.63% · Win 40% · DD -5.15%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/07/2025 | 44.04 | neutral | -3.05% | -4.36% | +0.32% | -4.36% | +0.98% |
| 2024 | 26/07/2024 | 46.10 | neutral | -4.11% | -3.02% | -1.95% | -6.23% | +1.11% |
| 2023 | 27/07/2023 | 42.79 | neutral | +1.41% | +3.45% | +1.36% | +0.00% | +5.04% |
| 2022 | 27/07/2022 | 37.37 | neutral | -0.43% | +0.74% | +11.29% | -4.12% | +11.29% |
| 2021 | 27/07/2021 | 24.63 | neutral | +1.22% | +0.83% | -1.75% | -7.04% | +1.89% |
| 2020 | 27/07/2020 | 18.77 | neutral | -3.70% | +2.08% | -1.41% | -4.05% | +2.74% |
| 2019 | 26/07/2019 | 31.23 | neutral | -3.28% | -5.36% | -10.39% | -10.39% | +0.72% |
| 2018 | 27/07/2018 | 38.31 | near 52w high | -1.81% | -1.75% | -2.73% | -6.16% | +0.82% |
| 2017 | 27/07/2017 | 33.28 | neutral | -1.68% | -3.29% | -5.76% | -6.84% | +0.11% |
| 2016 | 27/07/2016 | 33.35 | near 52w high | +0.49% | +0.96% | +4.68% | -2.29% | +6.46% |
Upcoming 17/08/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.05% · Win 80% · DD -1.77%20 days: Avg +1.91% · Win 70% · DD -3.19%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 18/08/2025 | 42.53 | neutral | +3.90% | +6.43% | +5.56% | +0.00% | +6.43% |
| 2024 | 16/08/2024 | 45.24 | neutral | -0.09% | +0.90% | -4.31% | -6.76% | +0.90% |
| 2023 | 17/08/2023 | 43.97 | neutral | -1.35% | +1.11% | +4.63% | -1.35% | +6.16% |
| 2022 | 17/08/2022 | 38.70 | neutral | +7.47% | +4.01% | +3.55% | +0.00% | +8.64% |
| 2021 | 17/08/2021 | 24.00 | neutral | +0.81% | +0.81% | +4.69% | -4.62% | +4.69% |
| 2020 | 17/08/2020 | 18.99 | neutral | -2.50% | -6.11% | -14.06% | -14.17% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 16/08/2019 | 28.51 | neutral | -1.86% | +0.81% | +10.72% | -2.05% | +10.72% |
| 2018 | 17/08/2018 | 36.31 | neutral | +2.66% | +2.52% | +2.44% | +0.00% | +3.61% |
| 2017 | 17/08/2017 | 31.00 | near 52w low | +1.14% | +1.55% | +7.57% | -0.02% | +7.57% |
| 2016 | 17/08/2016 | 34.78 | near 52w high | +0.34% | -1.52% | -1.67% | -2.87% | +3.26% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· If it holds above SMA50 (-6.4%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -15.3% · from 52w low: +27.9%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -5.86% · -8.48% · -10.08% · -11.62% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -6.09% · -6.39% · +5.62% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -15.27% · +27.87% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 1.38 · 1.02x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -13.94% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -11.08% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | -26.95% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 57.25 · 57.44 · 50.91 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 63.46 · 42.05 |
|---|
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