🕰️ Time Machine
XLE — Energy Select Sector SPDR
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 18/09/2026
Last price (Close)
64.33 -0.23%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 5 days
25/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 120 · 17/09/2026
since -0.23%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 01/07/2026
52.62
Days: 55 trading / 79 calendar · return since: +22.25%
Last major high · 20/05/2026
61.70
Days: 83 trading / 121 calendar · return since: +4.26%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 01/07/2026 @ 52.62 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 03/09/2026 | -10 (±2) | Passed |
| High 20/05/2026 @ 61.70 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 17/09/2026 | -1 (±3) | In window |
| Low 01/07/2026 @ 52.62 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 25/09/2026 | +5 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 01/07/2026 @ 52.62 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 29/09/2026 | +11 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 20/05/2026 @ 61.70 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 29/09/2026 | +7 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 20/05/2026 @ 61.70 | Cycle 144 | Calendar | 📅 11/10/2026 | +23 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 01/07/2026 @ 52.62 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 29/10/2026 | +41 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 01/07/2026 @ 52.62 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 06/11/2026 | +35 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 20/05/2026 @ 61.70 | Cycle 120 | Trading | 📅 10/11/2026 | +37 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● NR7 Compression 18/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 17/09/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 14/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 17/09/2026
● Failed Breakout 09/09/2026
● Failed Breakout 03/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 03/09/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 02/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 03/09/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 26/08/2026
● Failed Breakout 20/08/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 03/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.12% · Win 56% · DD -2.17%20 days: Avg +1.39% · Win 67% · DD -4.56%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/09/2025 | 44.24 | neutral | +0.70% | +1.70% | +1.82% | -1.50% | +4.84% |
| 2024 | 03/09/2024 | 44.51 | volume x1.6 | -4.35% | -1.43% | +1.72% | -5.24% | +1.72% |
| 2023 | 01/09/2023 | 45.37 | near 52w high | +0.11% | +2.26% | -1.65% | -1.65% | +2.89% |
| 2022 | 02/09/2022 | 39.98 | neutral | +2.65% | -1.84% | -3.80% | -13.08% | +2.89% |
| 2021 | 03/09/2021 | 24.31 | neutral | +1.11% | -1.66% | +13.91% | -1.87% | +13.91% |
| 2020 | 03/09/2020 | 17.49 | volume x1.9 | -6.75% | -3.92% | -14.83% | -15.64% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 03/09/2019 | 28.60 | neutral | +6.50% | +8.83% | +2.03% | +0.00% | +10.37% |
| 2018 | 04/09/2018 | 37.14 | neutral | -1.10% | +0.79% | +4.20% | -2.03% | +4.20% |
| 2017 | 01/09/2017 | 31.79 | near 52w low | +2.25% | +5.36% | +9.09% | +0.00% | +9.14% |
In window 17/09/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.45% · Win 60% · DD -4.20%20 days: Avg +0.98% · Win 50% · DD -5.36%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 17/09/2025 | 44.99 | neutral | +1.25% | +0.12% | -3.26% | -4.49% | +3.09% |
| 2024 | 17/09/2024 | 43.87 | neutral | +2.16% | +3.19% | +3.17% | -1.81% | +7.46% |
| 2023 | 18/09/2023 | 46.06 | near 52w high | -1.82% | -3.82% | -2.08% | -7.48% | +0.15% |
| 2022 | 16/09/2022 | 39.22 | neutral | -9.17% | -7.18% | +3.46% | -11.40% | +7.47% |
| 2021 | 17/09/2021 | 24.66 | neutral | +4.46% | +10.49% | +17.65% | -3.05% | +17.65% |
| 2020 | 17/09/2020 | 17.00 | neutral | -9.69% | -13.19% | -7.63% | -13.19% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 17/09/2019 | 31.12 | volume x1.6 | -2.20% | -6.25% | -5.81% | -9.38% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 17/09/2018 | 37.19 | neutral | +3.15% | +3.95% | -2.01% | -2.01% | +5.30% |
| 2017 | 18/09/2017 | 33.06 | neutral | +3.10% | +3.54% | +3.28% | +0.00% | +3.83% |
| 2016 | 19/09/2016 | 33.71 | near 52w high | -0.10% | +4.67% | +3.04% | -0.77% | +6.39% |
Upcoming 25/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.04% · Win 70% · DD -2.48%20 days: Avg +3.12% · Win 50% · DD -3.75%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 25/09/2025 | 45.58 | neutral | -2.97% | -3.72% | -2.39% | -6.51% | +0.92% |
| 2024 | 25/09/2024 | 43.58 | neutral | +4.08% | +5.12% | +3.04% | -1.96% | +7.29% |
| 2023 | 25/09/2023 | 45.22 | near 52w high | -2.03% | -2.03% | -1.80% | -5.76% | +2.01% |
| 2022 | 26/09/2022 | 34.38 | far below SMA50 | +10.68% | +16.54% | +27.04% | +0.00% | +27.04% |
| 2021 | 24/09/2021 | 25.45 | neutral | +5.78% | +11.14% | +13.85% | +0.00% | +14.91% |
| 2020 | 25/09/2020 | 15.09 | far below SMA50 | -2.88% | +2.02% | +0.70% | -3.81% | +3.68% |
| 2019 | 25/09/2019 | 30.22 | neutral | -6.65% | -6.65% | -1.89% | -7.50% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 25/09/2018 | 38.35 | near 52w high | +0.23% | +1.43% | -10.17% | -10.17% | +1.43% |
| 2017 | 25/09/2017 | 34.08 | neutral | +0.43% | +0.06% | -1.10% | -1.10% | +0.70% |
| 2016 | 26/09/2016 | 33.67 | near 52w high | +4.78% | +6.50% | +3.92% | -0.67% | +6.50% |
Upcoming 29/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.74% · Win 50% · DD -2.71%20 days: Avg +0.63% · Win 30% · DD -3.86%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/09/2025 | 45.15 | neutral | -1.05% | -4.34% | -2.24% | -5.63% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 30/09/2024 | 43.90 | neutral | +6.50% | +5.66% | +1.59% | +0.00% | +6.50% |
| 2023 | 29/09/2023 | 45.19 | near 52w high | -5.16% | -0.89% | -6.37% | -6.37% | +1.74% |
| 2022 | 29/09/2022 | 36.30 | neutral | +13.55% | +14.86% | +22.51% | -0.80% | +22.51% |
| 2021 | 29/09/2021 | 26.44 | neutral | +2.97% | +6.56% | +8.60% | -1.51% | +11.82% |
| 2020 | 29/09/2020 | 15.02 | far below SMA50 | -1.00% | +1.17% | -3.73% | -3.73% | +4.16% |
| 2019 | 30/09/2019 | 29.60 | neutral | -3.94% | -2.26% | -0.03% | -5.57% | +0.54% |
| 2018 | 28/09/2018 | 37.87 | near 52w high | +1.87% | -3.62% | -12.23% | -12.64% | +2.71% |
| 2017 | 29/09/2017 | 34.24 | neutral | -0.60% | -0.50% | -1.66% | -2.04% | +0.25% |
| 2016 | 29/09/2016 | 34.83 | near 52w high | +1.95% | +0.79% | -0.14% | -0.29% | +2.96% |
Upcoming 11/10/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.02% · Win 40% · DD -2.32%20 days: Avg +2.80% · Win 70% · DD -3.93%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/10/2025 | 42.61 | neutral | +0.89% | +3.34% | +5.07% | +0.00% | +5.07% |
| 2024 | 11/10/2024 | 46.40 | neutral | -2.66% | -3.28% | +1.01% | -5.36% | +1.01% |
| 2023 | 11/10/2023 | 43.78 | neutral | +5.03% | -0.19% | -5.49% | -5.49% | +5.03% |
| 2022 | 11/10/2022 | 39.74 | neutral | +3.16% | +10.00% | +17.11% | +0.00% | +17.11% |
| 2021 | 11/10/2021 | 28.18 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +1.79% | +4.33% | +4.31% | +0.00% | +4.93% |
| 2020 | 12/10/2020 | 15.44 | neutral | -4.28% | -5.09% | +7.09% | -10.24% | +7.09% |
| 2019 | 11/10/2019 | 28.94 | neutral | -1.49% | +2.82% | +4.84% | -1.49% | +5.87% |
| 2018 | 11/10/2018 | 36.40 | volume x2.5 | -0.87% | -7.99% | -5.74% | -10.38% | +0.27% |
| 2017 | 11/10/2017 | 34.22 | neutral | -0.85% | -1.97% | +2.03% | -1.97% | +2.66% |
| 2016 | 11/10/2016 | 35.45 | near 52w high | -1.64% | -1.75% | -2.23% | -4.41% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 29/10/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.35% · Win 90% · DD -0.94%20 days: Avg +4.56% · Win 60% · DD -1.71%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/10/2025 | 44.01 | neutral | -0.67% | +2.55% | +1.44% | -0.93% | +4.56% |
| 2024 | 29/10/2024 | 43.92 | neutral | +2.65% | +6.76% | +8.40% | +0.00% | +10.74% |
| 2023 | 30/10/2023 | 42.46 | neutral | +0.93% | -1.06% | -0.31% | -2.84% | +3.12% |
| 2022 | 28/10/2022 | 44.62 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +2.43% | +4.35% | +0.11% | -0.81% | +5.41% |
| 2021 | 29/10/2021 | 28.74 | near 52w high | +1.37% | +0.14% | -2.73% | -4.87% | +2.71% |
| 2020 | 29/10/2020 | 14.28 | far below SMA50 | +3.54% | +14.46% | +36.24% | +0.00% | +41.14% |
| 2019 | 29/10/2019 | 29.71 | neutral | +3.15% | +1.04% | -0.13% | -2.46% | +3.15% |
| 2018 | 29/10/2018 | 32.62 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +5.29% | +2.82% | -0.84% | -2.04% | +7.51% |
| 2017 | 30/10/2017 | 33.85 | neutral | +3.78% | +2.32% | +0.03% | -0.87% | +3.78% |
| 2016 | 28/10/2016 | 34.69 | near 52w high | -2.31% | +0.13% | +3.37% | -2.31% | +5.35% |
Upcoming 06/11/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.09% · Win 40% · DD -2.81%20 days: Avg +2.35% · Win 30% · DD -3.60%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 06/11/2025 | 44.13 | neutral | +2.50% | +0.67% | +4.04% | +0.00% | +4.47% |
| 2024 | 06/11/2024 | 46.78 | volume x2.0 | +1.02% | +2.97% | -1.04% | -1.42% | +3.97% |
| 2023 | 06/11/2023 | 42.85 | neutral | -1.97% | -1.04% | -2.98% | -3.73% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 07/11/2022 | 46.49 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +0.12% | -2.80% | -8.25% | -8.25% | +1.17% |
| 2021 | 05/11/2021 | 29.13 | near 52w high | -1.22% | -6.16% | -3.95% | -7.29% | +1.32% |
| 2020 | 06/11/2020 | 14.47 | neutral | +17.11% | +23.78% | +37.16% | +0.00% | +40.44% |
| 2019 | 06/11/2019 | 30.02 | neutral | -0.43% | -1.63% | -2.40% | -3.38% | +1.50% |
| 2018 | 06/11/2018 | 34.51 | neutral | -5.03% | -5.87% | -6.64% | -7.39% | +1.64% |
| 2017 | 06/11/2017 | 35.12 | volume x1.8 | -1.41% | -4.24% | -1.28% | -4.48% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 07/11/2016 | 34.62 | near 52w high | +0.90% | +5.19% | +8.84% | +0.00% | +9.04% |
Upcoming 10/11/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.49% · Win 60% · DD -2.73%20 days: Avg +0.37% · Win 40% · DD -4.49%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/11/2025 | 45.17 | neutral | -0.01% | -1.31% | +1.16% | -1.93% | +2.07% |
| 2024 | 11/11/2024 | 47.14 | near 52w high | +1.81% | +1.13% | -4.27% | -4.27% | +3.17% |
| 2023 | 10/11/2023 | 41.71 | neutral | +1.53% | +1.46% | -1.29% | -2.47% | +1.93% |
| 2022 | 10/11/2022 | 45.25 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +2.06% | +1.51% | -8.64% | -8.64% | +3.96% |
| 2021 | 10/11/2021 | 28.74 | near 52w high | -0.42% | +0.77% | -1.13% | -6.02% | +1.13% |
| 2020 | 10/11/2020 | 17.07 | volume x2.0 | +6.89% | +18.11% | +18.25% | -4.22% | +19.04% |
| 2019 | 11/11/2019 | 30.17 | neutral | -1.66% | -0.76% | -0.96% | -3.88% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 09/11/2018 | 34.25 | neutral | -1.93% | -5.30% | -7.90% | -7.93% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 10/11/2017 | 34.83 | neutral | -3.20% | -3.55% | +0.17% | -3.68% | +0.17% |
| 2016 | 10/11/2016 | 35.38 | near 52w high | +0.13% | +2.78% | +8.27% | -1.82% | +8.27% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs SPY.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+5.2%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -2.8% · from 52w low: +51.9%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -1.24% · -0.45% · +0.91% · +20.09% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +0.35% · +5.15% · +15.44% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -2.78% · +51.90% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 1.33 · 0.96x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -0.57% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +1.05% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | -0.93% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 64.11 · 61.18 · 55.73 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 66.17 · 42.35 |
|---|
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