🕰️ Time Machine
XLF — Financial Select Sector SPDR
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 18/06/2026
Last price (Close)
53.57 -0.89%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in window · in 2 days
20/06/2026
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 27/03/2026
47.67
Days: 57 trading / 83 calendar · return since: +12.38%
Last major high · 21/04/2026
53.19
Days: 41 trading / 58 calendar · return since: +0.71%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 21/04/2026 @ 53.19 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 20/06/2026 | +2 (±2) | In window |
| Low 27/03/2026 @ 47.67 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 24/06/2026 | +3 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 27/03/2026 @ 47.67 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 25/06/2026 | +7 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 21/04/2026 @ 53.19 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 25/06/2026 | +4 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 21/04/2026 @ 53.19 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 17/07/2026 | +19 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 21/04/2026 @ 53.19 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 20/07/2026 | +32 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 27/03/2026 @ 47.67 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 25/07/2026 | +37 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 27/03/2026 @ 47.67 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 06/08/2026 | +33 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Shooting Star 17/06/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 20/06/2026
● Failed Breakout 17/06/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 20/06/2026
● Failed Breakout 09/06/2026
● Failed Breakout 04/06/2026
● Failed Breakdown 03/06/2026
● Failed Breakdown 20/05/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
In window 20/06/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.00% · Win 70% · DD -2.02%20 days: Avg +2.75% · Win 100% · DD -2.39%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 20/06/2025 | 50.36 | near 52w high | +3.49% | +4.97% | +4.39% | +0.00% | +5.98% |
| 2024 | 20/06/2024 | 41.49 | near 52w high | -0.86% | +0.52% | +3.69% | -0.86% | +6.03% |
| 2023 | 20/06/2023 | 33.18 | neutral | -0.75% | +1.96% | +5.85% | -1.54% | +5.85% |
| 2022 | 21/06/2022 | 31.38 | near 52w low | +1.69% | +0.99% | +4.30% | -2.04% | +4.30% |
| 2021 | 21/06/2021 | 35.91 | volume x1.6 | +2.09% | +1.25% | +0.19% | -2.23% | +3.23% |
| 2020 | 19/06/2020 | 23.98 | neutral | -5.24% | -1.75% | +0.05% | -5.24% | +1.35% |
| 2019 | 20/06/2019 | 27.42 | neutral | -0.26% | +3.22% | +2.42% | -1.14% | +3.81% |
| 2018 | 20/06/2018 | 27.28 | neutral | -3.37% | -2.71% | +0.84% | -3.37% | +2.38% |
| 2017 | 20/06/2017 | 24.33 | near 52w high | -0.78% | +3.04% | +1.97% | -1.81% | +3.04% |
| 2016 | 20/06/2016 | 18.47 | near 52w high | -5.67% | -1.50% | +3.83% | -5.67% | +3.83% |
Upcoming 24/06/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.69% · Win 80% · DD -1.37%20 days: Avg +4.29% · Win 90% · DD -1.74%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/06/2025 | 51.58 | near 52w high | +2.09% | +1.59% | +2.95% | -0.33% | +3.12% |
| 2024 | 24/06/2024 | 41.59 | near 52w high | -0.94% | +0.38% | +3.80% | -1.49% | +5.36% |
| 2023 | 23/06/2023 | 32.74 | neutral | +2.96% | +3.05% | +8.74% | -0.21% | +8.74% |
| 2022 | 24/06/2022 | 32.34 | neutral | -1.42% | -1.61% | +1.92% | -4.95% | +1.92% |
| 2021 | 24/06/2021 | 36.49 | neutral | +1.34% | +0.60% | -0.63% | -3.78% | +1.59% |
| 2020 | 24/06/2020 | 22.98 | neutral | -0.17% | -1.31% | +5.87% | -1.74% | +5.87% |
| 2019 | 24/06/2019 | 27.11 | neutral | +3.02% | +3.54% | +4.35% | -0.52% | +4.46% |
| 2018 | 25/06/2018 | 26.78 | neutral | -0.22% | +1.49% | +4.63% | -1.57% | +4.63% |
| 2017 | 23/06/2017 | 23.89 | neutral | +3.26% | +4.73% | +4.27% | +0.00% | +4.94% |
| 2016 | 24/06/2016 | 17.94 | near 52w low | +2.99% | +4.39% | +7.02% | -2.85% | +7.25% |
Upcoming 25/06/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.94% · Win 80% · DD -1.58%20 days: Avg +4.06% · Win 90% · DD -1.95%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 25/06/2025 | 51.41 | near 52w high | +2.35% | +2.53% | +3.23% | +0.00% | +3.46% |
| 2024 | 25/06/2024 | 41.28 | near 52w high | +0.97% | +1.53% | +3.15% | -0.75% | +6.15% |
| 2023 | 26/06/2023 | 32.67 | neutral | +3.76% | +4.50% | +8.26% | +0.00% | +8.97% |
| 2022 | 24/06/2022 | 32.34 | neutral | -1.42% | -1.61% | +1.92% | -4.95% | +1.92% |
| 2021 | 25/06/2021 | 36.93 | near 52w high | +0.03% | +0.38% | -1.25% | -4.93% | +0.38% |
| 2020 | 25/06/2020 | 23.59 | neutral | -2.63% | -0.55% | +2.88% | -4.28% | +3.14% |
| 2019 | 25/06/2019 | 27.02 | neutral | +3.11% | +3.52% | +5.77% | -0.19% | +5.77% |
| 2018 | 25/06/2018 | 26.78 | neutral | -0.22% | +1.49% | +4.63% | -1.57% | +4.63% |
| 2017 | 26/06/2017 | 24.02 | neutral | +4.20% | +3.25% | +5.00% | +0.00% | +5.00% |
| 2016 | 24/06/2016 | 17.94 | near 52w low | +2.99% | +4.39% | +7.02% | -2.85% | +7.25% |
Upcoming 17/07/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.28% · Win 70% · DD -0.68%20 days: Avg +2.19% · Win 80% · DD -2.03%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 17/07/2025 | 52.51 | near 52w high | +1.07% | -0.27% | +0.95% | -2.17% | +1.77% |
| 2024 | 17/07/2024 | 43.82 | near 52w high | -2.83% | -0.18% | -1.76% | -6.80% | +0.07% |
| 2023 | 17/07/2023 | 34.58 | neutral | +2.95% | +2.17% | +0.78% | +0.00% | +2.95% |
| 2022 | 18/07/2022 | 31.66 | near 52w low | +4.11% | +5.59% | +12.29% | +0.00% | +12.32% |
| 2021 | 16/07/2021 | 36.12 | neutral | +0.39% | +1.11% | +6.81% | -2.80% | +7.61% |
| 2020 | 17/07/2020 | 23.95 | neutral | +1.34% | +0.33% | +5.14% | -0.46% | +5.68% |
| 2019 | 17/07/2019 | 27.85 | near 52w high | +2.62% | +1.44% | -6.71% | -6.71% | +3.02% |
| 2018 | 17/07/2018 | 27.49 | neutral | +1.93% | +1.67% | +1.71% | +0.00% | +3.56% |
| 2017 | 17/07/2017 | 24.84 | near 52w high | +0.28% | +1.01% | +0.93% | -0.44% | +2.21% |
| 2016 | 18/07/2016 | 19.17 | near 52w high | +0.13% | -0.04% | +1.78% | -0.89% | +1.99% |
Upcoming 20/07/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.50% · Win 50% · DD -0.77%20 days: Avg +1.55% · Win 70% · DD -2.01%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 21/07/2025 | 52.39 | near 52w high | +1.30% | -0.92% | +0.21% | -1.95% | +2.00% |
| 2024 | 19/07/2024 | 42.85 | near 52w high | +1.31% | -1.84% | +2.15% | -4.69% | +2.33% |
| 2023 | 20/07/2023 | 35.38 | near 52w high | -0.71% | -0.93% | -3.93% | -3.93% | +0.62% |
| 2022 | 20/07/2022 | 32.73 | neutral | +0.82% | +2.54% | +8.86% | -0.70% | +9.41% |
| 2021 | 20/07/2021 | 35.98 | neutral | +1.33% | +2.67% | +6.20% | +0.00% | +8.03% |
| 2020 | 20/07/2020 | 23.84 | neutral | +0.96% | +1.09% | +3.86% | +0.00% | +6.17% |
| 2019 | 19/07/2019 | 27.94 | near 52w high | +2.68% | -1.22% | -4.90% | -7.02% | +2.68% |
| 2018 | 20/07/2018 | 27.56 | neutral | +2.07% | +2.03% | +2.21% | +0.00% | +3.30% |
| 2017 | 20/07/2017 | 24.80 | near 52w high | +0.44% | +1.69% | -0.77% | -0.77% | +2.38% |
| 2016 | 20/07/2016 | 19.21 | near 52w high | -0.04% | -0.08% | +1.65% | -1.10% | +1.78% |
Upcoming 25/07/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.30% · Win 60% · DD -2.10%20 days: Avg +0.15% · Win 70% · DD -2.94%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 25/07/2025 | 53.44 | near 52w high | -3.82% | -2.98% | +0.24% | -3.87% | +0.24% |
| 2024 | 25/07/2024 | 42.74 | near 52w high | +0.89% | -1.22% | +3.07% | -4.45% | +3.07% |
| 2023 | 25/07/2023 | 35.37 | near 52w high | -0.11% | -0.82% | -4.95% | -4.95% | +0.59% |
| 2022 | 25/07/2022 | 32.96 | neutral | +1.43% | +2.15% | +3.73% | -1.40% | +8.65% |
| 2021 | 26/07/2021 | 36.47 | neutral | +0.16% | +4.09% | +4.20% | -0.16% | +6.58% |
| 2020 | 24/07/2020 | 24.27 | neutral | -0.99% | +2.35% | +0.16% | -1.11% | +4.29% |
| 2019 | 25/07/2019 | 28.38 | near 52w high | -2.71% | -3.95% | -5.64% | -8.46% | +1.09% |
| 2018 | 25/07/2018 | 28.08 | neutral | -0.46% | +1.39% | +0.68% | -1.35% | +1.39% |
| 2017 | 25/07/2017 | 25.22 | near 52w high | +0.20% | +0.24% | -1.59% | -2.66% | +0.67% |
| 2016 | 25/07/2016 | 19.20 | near 52w high | -0.17% | +1.78% | +1.61% | -1.02% | +1.86% |
Upcoming 06/08/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.13% · Win 40% · DD -1.64%20 days: Avg +0.98% · Win 60% · DD -2.08%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 06/08/2025 | 51.95 | near 52w high | +1.56% | +1.77% | +4.06% | -1.12% | +4.06% |
| 2024 | 06/08/2024 | 41.50 | neutral | +2.48% | +5.71% | +9.52% | +0.00% | +10.22% |
| 2023 | 07/08/2023 | 35.40 | near 52w high | -1.55% | -4.12% | -2.99% | -5.03% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 05/08/2022 | 33.69 | neutral | +5.55% | +3.77% | -2.37% | -2.37% | +6.29% |
| 2021 | 06/08/2021 | 37.86 | near 52w high | +1.90% | -0.45% | +0.55% | -1.06% | +3.01% |
| 2020 | 06/08/2020 | 24.32 | neutral | +3.12% | +0.16% | +3.21% | -0.04% | +4.81% |
| 2019 | 06/08/2019 | 27.11 | neutral | -0.48% | -2.32% | -0.77% | -4.17% | +0.55% |
| 2018 | 06/08/2018 | 28.27 | neutral | -2.02% | -0.04% | +0.71% | -2.02% | +1.24% |
| 2017 | 07/08/2017 | 25.35 | near 52w high | -1.10% | -3.16% | -4.38% | -4.38% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 05/08/2016 | 19.51 | near 52w high | -0.67% | -0.04% | +2.29% | -0.67% | +2.29% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs SPY.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+3.1%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -5.2% · from 52w low: +12.4%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +1.81% · +2.64% · +3.70% · +8.71% |
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +2.41% · +3.15% · +1.94% |
| Distance from 52w high / low | -5.22% · +12.38% |
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.79 · 0.97x |
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -0.15% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +2.70% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | -13.17% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 52.31 · 51.94 · 52.55 |
| 52w high / low | 56.52 · 47.67 |