🕰️ Time Machine
XLF — Financial Select Sector SPDR
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 03/11/2026
Last price (Close)
57.19 -0.64%
Next window · Cycle 45 · in 3 days
06/11/2026
Last window · Cycle 60 · 02/11/2026
since -0.64%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 01/10/2026
52.81
Days: 23 trading / 33 calendar · return since: +8.29%
Last major high · 03/09/2026
58.60
Days: 42 trading / 61 calendar · return since: -2.41%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 01/10/2026 @ 52.81 | Fib 13 | Trading | 📅 20/10/2026 | -10 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 01/10/2026 @ 52.81 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 30/10/2026 | -2 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 01/10/2026 @ 52.81 | Cycle 30 | Calendar | 📅 31/10/2026 | -3 (±2) | Passed |
| High 03/09/2026 @ 58.60 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 02/11/2026 | -1 (±2) | In window |
| High 03/09/2026 @ 58.60 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 06/11/2026 | +3 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 01/10/2026 @ 52.81 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 12/11/2026 | +7 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 01/10/2026 @ 52.81 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 15/11/2026 | +12 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 01/10/2026 @ 52.81 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 30/11/2026 | +27 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 03/09/2026 @ 58.60 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 30/11/2026 | +18 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 03/09/2026 @ 58.60 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 02/12/2026 | +29 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 01/10/2026 @ 52.81 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 04/12/2026 | +22 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 01/10/2026 @ 52.81 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 28/12/2026 | +37 (±2) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Bearish Engulfing 27/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 30/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 26/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 30/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 22/10/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 20/10/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 13/10/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 20/10/2026 · Low Fib 13/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.29% · Win 67% · DD -1.90%20 days: Avg +4.14% · Win 67% · DD -2.32%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 20/10/2025 | 52.79 | near 52w high | +1.02% | -1.21% | -2.54% | -2.54% | +1.67% |
| 2024 | 21/10/2024 | 47.24 | near 52w high | -0.06% | -2.03% | +5.88% | -2.03% | +5.88% |
| 2023 | 20/10/2023 | 32.20 | neutral | -2.33% | +4.91% | +8.73% | -2.33% | +8.73% |
| 2022 | 20/10/2022 | 31.26 | neutral | +6.72% | +6.53% | +12.22% | +0.00% | +14.75% |
| 2021 | 20/10/2021 | 40.23 | near 52w high | -0.75% | +0.75% | -1.44% | -1.44% | +0.97% |
| 2020 | 20/10/2020 | 24.81 | neutral | -2.34% | +0.16% | +11.21% | -4.84% | +11.37% |
| 2019 | 21/10/2019 | 28.50 | near 52w high | +1.02% | +3.05% | +4.60% | -0.28% | +4.74% |
| 2018 | 19/10/2018 | 26.67 | near 52w low | -5.29% | -1.09% | +0.45% | -5.36% | +2.62% |
| 2017 | 20/10/2017 | 26.64 | near 52w high | +0.53% | +0.53% | -1.80% | -2.10% | +0.94% |
Passed 30/10/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.74% · Win 78% · DD -0.83%20 days: Avg +5.49% · Win 89% · DD -1.37%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 30/10/2025 | 52.23 | near 52w high | +0.34% | +1.44% | +2.11% | -2.14% | +2.76% |
| 2024 | 30/10/2024 | 47.13 | near 52w high | +5.13% | +5.60% | +8.76% | -1.80% | +8.76% |
| 2023 | 30/10/2023 | 32.01 | neutral | +5.22% | +5.78% | +10.12% | +0.00% | +10.53% |
| 2022 | 31/10/2022 | 33.98 | neutral | +0.79% | +4.06% | +5.06% | -2.00% | +6.27% |
| 2021 | 29/10/2021 | 40.26 | near 52w high | -0.60% | -0.27% | -3.40% | -3.70% | +0.67% |
| 2020 | 30/10/2020 | 23.86 | neutral | +4.61% | +13.29% | +16.85% | +0.00% | +20.12% |
| 2019 | 30/10/2019 | 28.84 | near 52w high | +2.74% | +2.67% | +4.72% | -0.49% | +4.72% |
| 2018 | 30/10/2018 | 25.92 | near 52w low | +3.94% | +3.12% | +4.40% | +0.00% | +5.59% |
| 2017 | 30/10/2017 | 26.67 | near 52w high | +0.30% | -2.06% | +0.79% | -2.21% | +0.82% |
Passed 31/10/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.62% · Win 80% · DD -0.56%20 days: Avg +6.48% · Win 90% · DD -1.36%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 31/10/2025 | 52.37 | near 52w high | +0.78% | +0.15% | +0.99% | -2.41% | +2.48% |
| 2024 | 31/10/2024 | 46.48 | near 52w high · volume x1.6 | +4.88% | +6.80% | +10.46% | -0.43% | +10.46% |
| 2023 | 31/10/2023 | 32.36 | neutral | +3.92% | +6.61% | +9.70% | +0.00% | +9.70% |
| 2022 | 31/10/2022 | 33.98 | neutral | +0.79% | +4.06% | +5.06% | -2.00% | +6.27% |
| 2021 | 01/11/2021 | 40.28 | near 52w high | -0.10% | -0.32% | -5.76% | -5.76% | +0.62% |
| 2020 | 30/10/2020 | 23.86 | neutral | +4.61% | +13.29% | +16.85% | +0.00% | +20.12% |
| 2019 | 31/10/2019 | 28.70 | near 52w high | +4.01% | +3.38% | +5.05% | +0.00% | +5.23% |
| 2018 | 31/10/2018 | 26.28 | neutral | +3.84% | +0.34% | +2.09% | -1.07% | +4.15% |
| 2017 | 31/10/2017 | 26.60 | near 52w high | -0.83% | -1.84% | +2.78% | -1.95% | +2.78% |
| 2016 | 04/11/2016 | 19.49 | near 52w high | +11.19% | +13.70% | +17.60% | +0.00% | +17.60% |
In window 02/11/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.27% · Win 70% · DD -0.72%20 days: Avg +6.15% · Win 90% · DD -1.53%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/11/2025 | 52.15 | near 52w high | +1.57% | -1.34% | +1.32% | -1.99% | +2.91% |
| 2024 | 01/11/2024 | 46.64 | near 52w high | +5.47% | +6.93% | +8.98% | -0.77% | +10.08% |
| 2023 | 02/11/2023 | 33.34 | neutral | +0.57% | +4.47% | +8.49% | +0.00% | +8.49% |
| 2022 | 02/11/2022 | 33.64 | neutral | +0.68% | +4.85% | +7.31% | -1.01% | +7.94% |
| 2021 | 02/11/2021 | 40.38 | near 52w high | -0.89% | -0.67% | -7.03% | -7.03% | +0.37% |
| 2020 | 02/11/2020 | 24.31 | neutral | +11.11% | +13.66% | +16.45% | +0.00% | +17.89% |
| 2019 | 01/11/2019 | 29.12 | near 52w high | +2.47% | +2.16% | +2.88% | +0.00% | +3.71% |
| 2018 | 02/11/2018 | 26.38 | neutral | +2.81% | +1.55% | +2.88% | -1.44% | +3.75% |
| 2017 | 02/11/2017 | 26.89 | near 52w high | -2.71% | -2.60% | +2.57% | -3.01% | +2.57% |
| 2016 | 04/11/2016 | 19.49 | near 52w high | +11.19% | +13.70% | +17.60% | +0.00% | +17.60% |
Upcoming 06/11/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.90% · Win 50% · DD -1.35%20 days: Avg +4.00% · Win 80% · DD -1.96%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 06/11/2025 | 52.41 | near 52w high | +1.09% | -2.48% | +2.42% | -2.48% | +2.42% |
| 2024 | 06/11/2024 | 49.55 | near 52w high · volume x3.7 | +0.44% | -0.02% | +1.74% | -1.61% | +3.61% |
| 2023 | 06/11/2023 | 33.68 | neutral | +0.53% | +4.36% | +6.74% | -0.45% | +7.39% |
| 2022 | 07/11/2022 | 34.25 | neutral | +3.24% | +3.59% | +1.40% | -1.11% | +6.01% |
| 2021 | 05/11/2021 | 40.02 | near 52w high | +0.32% | -2.50% | -3.52% | -6.20% | +0.55% |
| 2020 | 06/11/2020 | 24.96 | neutral | +8.29% | +8.89% | +15.30% | +0.00% | +16.11% |
| 2019 | 06/11/2019 | 29.63 | near 52w high | -0.07% | +0.34% | +1.11% | -0.30% | +1.92% |
| 2018 | 06/11/2018 | 26.94 | neutral | -0.78% | -2.78% | -4.97% | -4.97% | +1.60% |
| 2017 | 06/11/2017 | 26.75 | near 52w high | -2.36% | -1.76% | +4.11% | -2.50% | +4.67% |
| 2016 | 07/11/2016 | 19.98 | near 52w high | +11.11% | +11.31% | +15.72% | +0.00% | +15.72% |
Upcoming 12/11/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.44% · Win 60% · DD -1.37%20 days: Avg +2.21% · Win 70% · DD -2.41%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 12/11/2025 | 53.67 | near 52w high | -3.93% | -1.34% | +2.24% | -4.77% | +2.24% |
| 2024 | 12/11/2024 | 49.74 | near 52w high | -0.10% | +2.85% | +0.12% | -0.40% | +3.22% |
| 2023 | 13/11/2023 | 33.86 | neutral | +3.81% | +4.11% | +8.12% | +0.00% | +8.12% |
| 2022 | 11/11/2022 | 35.87 | far above SMA50 | -1.39% | -1.06% | -2.45% | -3.74% | +1.23% |
| 2021 | 12/11/2021 | 40.15 | near 52w high | -2.81% | -3.14% | -3.79% | -6.50% | +0.10% |
| 2020 | 12/11/2020 | 26.59 | neutral | +3.12% | +7.07% | +7.03% | +0.00% | +8.99% |
| 2019 | 12/11/2019 | 29.80 | near 52w high | +0.23% | +0.94% | +1.44% | -0.87% | +1.88% |
| 2018 | 12/11/2018 | 26.58 | neutral | +0.75% | -0.11% | -7.22% | -7.75% | +2.11% |
| 2017 | 13/11/2017 | 26.12 | near 52w high | +0.61% | +2.91% | +8.04% | -0.04% | +8.04% |
| 2016 | 11/11/2016 | 21.67 | near 52w high | +2.26% | +2.22% | +8.54% | +0.00% | +9.60% |
Upcoming 15/11/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.38% · Win 90% · DD -1.58%20 days: Avg +1.52% · Win 60% · DD -2.66%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 14/11/2025 | 52.45 | near 52w high | -1.49% | +0.84% | +4.84% | -2.55% | +4.84% |
| 2024 | 15/11/2024 | 49.87 | near 52w high | +1.72% | +1.93% | -0.84% | -0.84% | +2.95% |
| 2023 | 15/11/2023 | 34.69 | neutral | +1.67% | +3.49% | +8.30% | +0.00% | +8.30% |
| 2022 | 15/11/2022 | 35.44 | neutral | +1.13% | +2.45% | -2.26% | -2.57% | +2.45% |
| 2021 | 15/11/2021 | 40.15 | near 52w high | -1.44% | -5.45% | -3.21% | -6.50% | +0.10% |
| 2020 | 16/11/2020 | 27.63 | far above SMA50 | +0.22% | +2.46% | +3.55% | -1.63% | +4.89% |
| 2019 | 15/11/2019 | 29.75 | near 52w high | +0.57% | +0.71% | +3.60% | -0.71% | +3.60% |
| 2018 | 15/11/2018 | 26.76 | neutral | -2.84% | +0.78% | -10.31% | -10.31% | +1.42% |
| 2017 | 15/11/2017 | 26.18 | near 52w high | +0.19% | +5.12% | +5.77% | -0.08% | +7.79% |
| 2016 | 15/11/2016 | 22.18 | near 52w high | +0.32% | +1.49% | +5.82% | -1.44% | +7.08% |
Upcoming 30/11/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.05% · Win 70% · DD -2.30%20 days: Avg +0.50% · Win 70% · DD -3.50%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 01/12/2025 | 52.89 | near 52w high | +1.12% | +3.97% | +4.69% | -0.09% | +5.74% |
| 2024 | 29/11/2024 | 51.34 | near 52w high | -1.83% | -3.51% | -5.56% | -7.23% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 30/11/2023 | 35.90 | near 52w high | +0.11% | +4.65% | +5.25% | -0.36% | +5.59% |
| 2022 | 30/11/2022 | 36.31 | neutral | -4.74% | -4.60% | -4.97% | -7.44% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 30/11/2021 | 37.96 | volume x2.2 | +3.53% | +2.37% | +3.73% | -1.11% | +3.95% |
| 2020 | 30/11/2020 | 27.88 | neutral | +3.23% | +0.90% | +4.54% | +0.00% | +4.90% |
| 2019 | 29/11/2019 | 30.15 | near 52w high | +0.70% | +1.86% | +2.28% | -2.02% | +2.84% |
| 2018 | 30/11/2018 | 26.97 | neutral | -8.19% | -11.01% | -10.38% | -16.76% | +0.63% |
| 2017 | 30/11/2017 | 27.52 | near 52w high · volume x2.3 | +1.16% | +0.62% | +1.89% | +0.00% | +2.69% |
| 2016 | 30/11/2016 | 22.51 | near 52w high | +4.31% | +4.26% | +3.53% | +0.00% | +5.59% |
Upcoming 02/12/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.42% · Win 70% · DD -2.67%20 days: Avg +0.19% · Win 70% · DD -3.64%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 02/12/2025 | 52.84 | near 52w high | +0.83% | +3.41% | +4.01% | +0.00% | +5.84% |
| 2024 | 02/12/2024 | 50.83 | near 52w high | -2.20% | -2.71% | -4.51% | -6.30% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 01/12/2023 | 36.17 | near 52w high | -0.11% | +3.26% | +4.91% | -1.11% | +4.91% |
| 2022 | 02/12/2022 | 35.93 | neutral | -3.90% | -6.21% | -3.88% | -6.46% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 02/12/2021 | 38.66 | volume x1.6 | +0.91% | +2.07% | +1.49% | -2.12% | +2.07% |
| 2020 | 02/12/2020 | 28.62 | far above SMA50 | +0.28% | +0.14% | +3.56% | -1.71% | +3.56% |
| 2019 | 02/12/2019 | 29.96 | near 52w high | +1.10% | +2.87% | +3.26% | -1.40% | +3.49% |
| 2018 | 03/12/2018 | 27.14 | neutral | -9.65% | -11.90% | -12.95% | -17.28% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 01/12/2017 | 27.58 | near 52w high · volume x2.3 | +1.56% | +1.30% | +1.70% | +0.00% | +2.47% |
| 2016 | 02/12/2016 | 22.65 | near 52w high | +4.86% | +3.60% | +4.27% | +0.00% | +4.93% |
Upcoming 04/12/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.68% · Win 60% · DD -2.41%20 days: Avg +1.44% · Win 80% · DD -2.91%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/12/2025 | 53.66 | near 52w high | +2.25% | +1.64% | +4.97% | -0.71% | +4.97% |
| 2024 | 04/12/2024 | 50.26 | near 52w high | -0.92% | -5.23% | -2.91% | -5.23% | +0.30% |
| 2023 | 04/12/2023 | 36.13 | near 52w high | +0.61% | +3.72% | +4.14% | -1.00% | +5.03% |
| 2022 | 05/12/2022 | 35.04 | neutral | -0.14% | -4.08% | +0.14% | -4.08% | +0.14% |
| 2021 | 03/12/2021 | 38.03 | volume x1.5 | +2.68% | +1.47% | +4.44% | -0.50% | +4.44% |
| 2020 | 04/12/2020 | 28.98 | far above SMA50 | -1.79% | -1.69% | +1.33% | -2.93% | +2.27% |
| 2019 | 04/12/2019 | 29.82 | near 52w high | +1.37% | +3.32% | +3.64% | +0.00% | +4.76% |
| 2018 | 04/12/2018 | 25.96 | near 52w low · volume x1.8 | -5.01% | -9.05% | -5.97% | -13.52% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 04/12/2017 | 28.00 | near 52w high | -0.21% | +0.68% | +0.72% | -1.11% | +0.93% |
| 2016 | 05/12/2016 | 22.92 | near 52w high | +2.62% | +2.43% | +3.87% | +0.00% | +3.87% |
Upcoming 28/12/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.49% · Win 70% · DD -0.92%20 days: Avg +2.48% · Win 60% · DD -1.71%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/12/2025 | 55.32 | near 52w high | +1.95% | -1.97% | -4.21% | -4.21% | +1.95% |
| 2024 | 27/12/2024 | 48.75 | neutral | -0.64% | -1.03% | +5.19% | -2.93% | +5.46% |
| 2023 | 28/12/2023 | 37.72 | near 52w high | +0.08% | -0.32% | +2.73% | -1.19% | +2.73% |
| 2022 | 28/12/2022 | 33.82 | neutral | +2.34% | +6.00% | +7.19% | +0.00% | +7.19% |
| 2021 | 28/12/2021 | 39.24 | near 52w high | +3.39% | +5.48% | -1.71% | -2.65% | +5.56% |
| 2020 | 28/12/2020 | 29.09 | neutral | +0.41% | +7.73% | -0.31% | -0.34% | +8.15% |
| 2019 | 27/12/2019 | 30.77 | near 52w high | -0.13% | +0.42% | -1.62% | -2.76% | +1.01% |
| 2018 | 28/12/2018 | 23.59 | neutral | +2.97% | +4.58% | +9.50% | -0.47% | +10.22% |
| 2017 | 28/12/2017 | 28.11 | near 52w high | +1.07% | +3.98% | +6.90% | -0.71% | +7.33% |
| 2016 | 28/12/2016 | 23.37 | near 52w high | +0.39% | +0.04% | +1.20% | -1.80% | +1.58% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+2.3%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -2.4% · from 52w low: +20.0%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +2.34% · +2.64% · +5.89% · -0.72% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +2.72% · +2.26% · +6.40% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -2.41% · +19.97% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.75 · 0.90x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +15.68% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +9.05% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +23.91% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 55.67 · 55.93 · 53.75 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 58.60 · 47.67 |
|---|
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