🕰️ Time Machine
XLF — Financial Select Sector SPDR
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 18/09/2026
Last price (Close)
55.86 -0.04%
Next window · Cycle 120 · in 13 days
01/10/2026
Last window · Cycle 144 · 12/09/2026
since -2.43%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 03/06/2026
50.52
Days: 74 trading / 107 calendar · return since: +10.57%
Last major high · 21/04/2026
53.19
Days: 104 trading / 150 calendar · return since: +5.02%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 21/04/2026 @ 53.19 | Cycle 144 | Calendar | 📅 12/09/2026 | -6 (±3) | Passed |
| Low 03/06/2026 @ 50.52 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 01/10/2026 | +13 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 03/06/2026 @ 50.52 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 12/10/2026 | +16 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 21/04/2026 @ 53.19 | Cycle 120 | Trading | 📅 12/10/2026 | +16 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 21/04/2026 @ 53.19 | Cycle 180 | Calendar | 📅 18/10/2026 | +30 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 03/06/2026 @ 50.52 | Cycle 144 | Calendar | 📅 25/10/2026 | +37 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 21/04/2026 @ 53.19 | Cycle 144 | Trading | 📅 13/11/2026 | +40 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Failed Breakdown 15/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 144 window · 12/09/2026
● NR7 Compression 10/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 144 window · 12/09/2026
● Failed Breakdown 09/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 144 window · 12/09/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 12/09/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.38% · Win 56% · DD -2.85%20 days: Avg -0.88% · Win 44% · DD -4.17%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 12/09/2025 | 53.80 | near 52w high | +0.84% | +0.44% | -2.73% | -2.73% | +0.94% |
| 2024 | 12/09/2024 | 44.38 | near 52w high | +2.95% | +1.81% | +3.19% | +0.00% | +3.51% |
| 2023 | 12/09/2023 | 34.69 | neutral | +0.56% | -3.61% | -3.58% | -6.27% | +0.92% |
| 2022 | 12/09/2022 | 34.64 | neutral | -3.48% | -11.31% | -10.76% | -11.89% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 13/09/2021 | 38.01 | near 52w high | -3.42% | +2.36% | +2.07% | -3.56% | +3.10% |
| 2020 | 11/09/2020 | 24.71 | neutral | -0.12% | -4.41% | +2.67% | -5.59% | +2.67% |
| 2019 | 12/09/2019 | 28.27 | near 52w high | +0.42% | -0.59% | -2.90% | -4.79% | +0.88% |
| 2018 | 12/09/2018 | 28.07 | neutral | +2.35% | +0.09% | -2.63% | -2.63% | +3.24% |
| 2017 | 12/09/2017 | 24.81 | near 52w high | +2.20% | +2.76% | +6.73% | -0.04% | +6.73% |
Upcoming 01/10/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.40% · Win 80% · DD -1.33%20 days: Avg +1.78% · Win 60% · DD -2.27%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 01/10/2025 | 53.39 | near 52w high | +0.22% | -0.28% | -2.43% | -3.05% | +0.71% |
| 2024 | 01/10/2024 | 45.08 | near 52w high | +0.60% | +4.04% | +4.08% | -0.42% | +5.63% |
| 2023 | 02/10/2023 | 32.89 | neutral | +0.52% | +2.04% | -2.68% | -4.38% | +2.52% |
| 2022 | 30/09/2022 | 30.36 | near 52w low | +1.75% | +2.14% | +12.62% | -0.23% | +12.62% |
| 2021 | 01/10/2021 | 38.15 | near 52w high | +2.28% | +3.56% | +5.53% | -0.87% | +6.47% |
| 2020 | 01/10/2020 | 24.11 | neutral | +4.52% | +3.57% | -1.33% | -2.07% | +5.81% |
| 2019 | 01/10/2019 | 27.41 | near 52w high | -2.30% | +2.48% | +5.29% | -2.30% | +5.29% |
| 2018 | 01/10/2018 | 27.69 | neutral | +1.81% | -4.98% | -7.98% | -8.85% | +1.81% |
| 2017 | 02/10/2017 | 26.08 | near 52w high | +0.65% | +0.84% | +2.26% | -0.12% | +2.80% |
| 2016 | 30/09/2016 | 19.30 | near 52w high | +1.66% | +0.62% | +2.44% | -0.47% | +2.90% |
Upcoming 12/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.28% · Win 70% · DD -1.47%20 days: Avg +4.66% · Win 100% · DD -2.08%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 13/10/2025 | 52.66 | near 52w high | +0.25% | +1.27% | +0.59% | -1.71% | +1.27% |
| 2024 | 11/10/2024 | 46.51 | near 52w high · volume x1.5 | +2.39% | +0.26% | +5.76% | -0.49% | +6.54% |
| 2023 | 12/10/2023 | 33.14 | neutral | -1.33% | -3.35% | +1.18% | -5.10% | +1.93% |
| 2022 | 12/10/2022 | 30.29 | near 52w low | +4.89% | +9.24% | +11.82% | +0.00% | +13.73% |
| 2021 | 12/10/2021 | 38.51 | near 52w high | +3.64% | +5.43% | +3.92% | -0.57% | +5.48% |
| 2020 | 12/10/2020 | 25.51 | neutral | -3.53% | -3.25% | +5.88% | -7.45% | +5.88% |
| 2019 | 11/10/2019 | 27.65 | near 52w high | +1.66% | +3.58% | +7.92% | +0.00% | +7.96% |
| 2018 | 12/10/2018 | 26.43 | near 52w low · volume x2.0 | +0.91% | -4.43% | +2.61% | -4.50% | +3.56% |
| 2017 | 12/10/2017 | 26.12 | near 52w high | +0.80% | +2.60% | +0.15% | +0.00% | +2.95% |
| 2016 | 12/10/2016 | 19.52 | near 52w high | +0.72% | +1.49% | +6.76% | -0.97% | +6.76% |
Upcoming 18/10/2026 · High Cycle 180/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.78% · Win 60% · DD -2.00%20 days: Avg +5.34% · Win 90% · DD -2.12%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 17/10/2025 | 52.18 | near 52w high | +1.78% | +0.36% | +0.52% | -0.17% | +2.86% |
| 2024 | 18/10/2024 | 47.62 | near 52w high | -2.08% | -2.06% | +4.72% | -2.81% | +4.77% |
| 2023 | 18/10/2023 | 33.14 | neutral | -3.14% | -1.72% | +4.68% | -5.10% | +4.68% |
| 2022 | 18/10/2022 | 32.30 | neutral | +2.20% | +5.48% | +9.72% | -3.22% | +11.05% |
| 2021 | 18/10/2021 | 39.52 | near 52w high | +2.66% | +1.92% | +1.59% | +0.00% | +2.78% |
| 2020 | 19/10/2020 | 24.61 | neutral | +0.28% | -1.22% | +12.27% | -4.06% | +12.27% |
| 2019 | 18/10/2019 | 28.11 | near 52w high | +1.89% | +3.59% | +5.83% | +0.00% | +6.19% |
| 2018 | 18/10/2018 | 26.57 | near 52w low | -3.54% | -0.64% | +0.72% | -5.01% | +3.01% |
| 2017 | 18/10/2017 | 26.31 | near 52w high | +1.29% | +1.25% | -0.49% | -0.87% | +2.20% |
| 2016 | 18/10/2016 | 19.49 | near 52w high | +1.03% | +0.87% | +13.80% | +0.00% | +13.90% |
Upcoming 25/10/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.38% · Win 70% · DD -1.46%20 days: Avg +5.16% · Win 70% · DD -1.93%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/10/2025 | 53.11 | near 52w high | -1.39% | -0.62% | -2.71% | -3.77% | +1.05% |
| 2024 | 25/10/2024 | 46.63 | near 52w high | +0.02% | +5.49% | +8.79% | -0.75% | +8.79% |
| 2023 | 25/10/2023 | 32.10 | neutral | +1.46% | +4.89% | +9.88% | -2.02% | +9.88% |
| 2022 | 25/10/2022 | 33.01 | neutral | +3.21% | +4.36% | +8.57% | +0.00% | +8.66% |
| 2021 | 25/10/2021 | 40.57 | near 52w high | -0.71% | -0.81% | -2.46% | -3.82% | +0.07% |
| 2020 | 26/10/2020 | 24.68 | neutral | -1.50% | +9.44% | +12.20% | -4.34% | +12.20% |
| 2019 | 25/10/2019 | 28.64 | near 52w high | +1.68% | +4.19% | +4.47% | +0.00% | +4.47% |
| 2018 | 25/10/2018 | 25.63 | near 52w low | +3.00% | +6.79% | +1.44% | -1.44% | +6.79% |
| 2017 | 25/10/2017 | 26.65 | near 52w high | -0.04% | -1.50% | -1.58% | -2.14% | +0.90% |
| 2016 | 25/10/2016 | 19.69 | near 52w high | -0.15% | +1.52% | +13.00% | -1.02% | +13.00% |
Upcoming 13/11/2026 · High Cycle 144/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.49% · Win 90% · DD -1.25%20 days: Avg +2.09% · Win 60% · DD -2.31%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 13/11/2025 | 52.98 | near 52w high | -3.53% | +0.66% | +3.72% | -3.53% | +3.72% |
| 2024 | 13/11/2024 | 49.77 | near 52w high | -0.46% | +2.99% | -0.38% | -0.46% | +3.15% |
| 2023 | 13/11/2023 | 33.86 | neutral | +3.81% | +4.11% | +8.12% | +0.00% | +8.12% |
| 2022 | 14/11/2022 | 35.36 | neutral | +0.34% | +0.96% | -0.79% | -2.35% | +2.69% |
| 2021 | 12/11/2021 | 40.15 | near 52w high | -2.81% | -3.14% | -3.79% | -6.50% | +0.10% |
| 2020 | 13/11/2020 | 27.03 | neutral | +0.55% | +3.14% | +4.07% | +0.00% | +7.21% |
| 2019 | 13/11/2019 | 29.61 | near 52w high | +0.41% | +1.99% | +4.09% | -0.24% | +4.09% |
| 2018 | 13/11/2018 | 26.73 | neutral | -2.02% | +1.23% | -8.42% | -8.42% | +1.53% |
| 2017 | 13/11/2017 | 26.12 | near 52w high | +0.61% | +2.91% | +8.04% | -0.04% | +8.04% |
| 2016 | 14/11/2016 | 22.20 | near 52w high · volume x3.0 | +0.18% | +0.05% | +6.22% | -1.53% | +6.98% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· If it holds above SMA50 (-2.3%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -4.7% · from 52w low: +17.2%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -2.43% · -4.61% · -1.91% · +3.98% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -2.64% · -2.31% · +4.04% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -4.68% · +17.18% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.76 · 1.17x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -3.39% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -2.04% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | -3.75% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 57.38 · 57.18 · 53.69 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 58.60 · 47.67 |
|---|
עבריתSign in with Google