🕰️ Time Machine
XLF — Financial Select Sector SPDR
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 04/08/2026
Last price (Close)
57.87 +0.85%
Next window · Cycle 45 · in 3 days
07/08/2026
Last window · Cycle 60 · 02/08/2026
since +0.85%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 03/06/2026
50.52
Days: 42 trading / 62 calendar · return since: +14.55%
Last major high · 21/04/2026
53.19
Days: 72 trading / 105 calendar · return since: +8.80%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 03/06/2026 @ 50.52 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 02/08/2026 | -2 (±2) | In window |
| Low 03/06/2026 @ 50.52 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 07/08/2026 | +3 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 21/04/2026 @ 53.19 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 19/08/2026 | +15 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 03/06/2026 @ 50.52 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 28/08/2026 | +18 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 21/04/2026 @ 53.19 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 28/08/2026 | +18 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 03/06/2026 @ 50.52 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 01/09/2026 | +28 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 21/04/2026 @ 53.19 | Cycle 144 | Calendar | 📅 12/09/2026 | +39 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Failed Breakout 27/07/2026
● Failed Breakout 14/07/2026
● Failed Breakout 07/07/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
In window 02/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.57% · Win 60% · DD -1.56%20 days: Avg +2.10% · Win 70% · DD -1.79%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 01/08/2025 | 51.40 | near 52w high · volume x1.7 | +0.88% | +2.06% | +5.04% | -0.06% | +5.04% |
| 2024 | 02/08/2024 | 42.06 | near 52w high · volume x1.9 | +0.81% | +4.07% | +8.75% | -2.90% | +8.75% |
| 2023 | 02/08/2023 | 35.03 | neutral | -0.60% | -2.48% | -1.48% | -4.03% | +1.06% |
| 2022 | 02/08/2022 | 33.06 | neutral | +2.36% | +8.32% | +0.73% | +0.00% | +8.32% |
| 2021 | 02/08/2021 | 36.53 | neutral | +3.91% | +5.34% | +5.26% | +0.00% | +6.76% |
| 2020 | 03/08/2020 | 24.10 | neutral | +3.82% | +2.74% | +3.98% | -0.41% | +5.23% |
| 2019 | 02/08/2019 | 27.60 | volume x1.6 | -1.56% | -3.73% | -2.46% | -5.87% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 02/08/2018 | 27.96 | neutral | +1.22% | +0.54% | +1.43% | -0.93% | +2.36% |
| 2017 | 02/08/2017 | 25.31 | near 52w high | -0.12% | -1.07% | -2.53% | -3.00% | +0.32% |
| 2016 | 05/08/2016 | 19.51 | near 52w high | -0.67% | -0.04% | +2.29% | -0.67% | +2.29% |
Upcoming 07/08/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.11% · Win 30% · DD -1.66%20 days: Avg +0.89% · Win 70% · DD -2.13%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 07/08/2025 | 51.37 | near 52w high | +3.19% | +2.59% | +3.31% | +0.00% | +5.24% |
| 2024 | 07/08/2024 | 41.55 | neutral | +3.61% | +5.42% | +8.18% | +0.00% | +10.08% |
| 2023 | 07/08/2023 | 35.40 | near 52w high | -1.55% | -4.12% | -2.99% | -5.03% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 08/08/2022 | 33.67 | neutral | +5.58% | +1.54% | -2.55% | -2.55% | +6.36% |
| 2021 | 06/08/2021 | 37.86 | near 52w high | +1.90% | -0.45% | +0.55% | -1.06% | +3.01% |
| 2020 | 07/08/2020 | 24.84 | neutral | +1.37% | -2.13% | +1.81% | -2.13% | +2.62% |
| 2019 | 07/08/2019 | 26.75 | volume x1.7 | -2.88% | -0.56% | +2.62% | -2.88% | +2.62% |
| 2018 | 07/08/2018 | 28.40 | neutral | -1.55% | -0.11% | +0.32% | -2.46% | +0.77% |
| 2017 | 07/08/2017 | 25.35 | near 52w high | -1.10% | -3.16% | -4.38% | -4.38% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 08/08/2016 | 19.54 | near 52w high | -0.12% | -0.17% | +2.00% | -0.79% | +2.16% |
Upcoming 19/08/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.99% · Win 80% · DD -1.21%20 days: Avg +1.27% · Win 70% · DD -1.66%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 19/08/2025 | 52.60 | near 52w high | +2.03% | +1.71% | +2.81% | +0.00% | +2.81% |
| 2024 | 19/08/2024 | 44.01 | near 52w high | +1.27% | +3.16% | +3.00% | -0.48% | +3.93% |
| 2023 | 18/08/2023 | 33.98 | neutral | +0.03% | +2.09% | +2.78% | -1.06% | +3.03% |
| 2022 | 19/08/2022 | 34.96 | neutral | -3.55% | -5.92% | -4.36% | -6.15% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 19/08/2021 | 37.46 | near 52w high | +2.75% | +2.27% | +0.32% | +0.00% | +4.11% |
| 2020 | 19/08/2020 | 24.59 | neutral | +1.02% | +3.66% | +0.57% | -1.14% | +3.66% |
| 2019 | 19/08/2019 | 26.84 | neutral | -1.83% | -0.75% | +5.89% | -2.76% | +6.15% |
| 2018 | 20/08/2018 | 28.26 | neutral | +1.27% | +0.74% | -0.04% | -0.81% | +1.27% |
| 2017 | 18/08/2017 | 24.62 | near 52w high | +0.77% | +0.61% | +2.21% | -3.01% | +2.21% |
| 2016 | 19/08/2016 | 19.50 | near 52w high | +0.42% | +2.33% | -0.52% | -1.15% | +2.33% |
Upcoming 28/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.01% · Win 30% · DD -1.85%20 days: Avg -0.89% · Win 40% · DD -3.58%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/08/2025 | 53.85 | near 52w high | -1.45% | -0.09% | +0.35% | -1.45% | +0.74% |
| 2024 | 28/08/2024 | 44.91 | near 52w high | +0.09% | -1.18% | +0.61% | -1.40% | +1.85% |
| 2023 | 28/08/2023 | 34.18 | neutral | +0.47% | +1.49% | -2.17% | -2.17% | +2.43% |
| 2022 | 29/08/2022 | 33.48 | neutral | -2.00% | -0.39% | -8.63% | -8.63% | +3.46% |
| 2021 | 27/08/2021 | 39.00 | near 52w high | -2.38% | -2.54% | -0.24% | -6.01% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 28/08/2020 | 25.36 | neutral | -0.28% | -1.22% | -4.64% | -8.01% | +0.51% |
| 2019 | 28/08/2019 | 26.43 | neutral | +3.86% | +6.96% | +6.33% | +0.00% | +7.91% |
| 2018 | 28/08/2018 | 28.59 | neutral | -0.35% | -1.82% | -1.73% | -1.96% | +1.36% |
| 2017 | 28/08/2017 | 24.65 | near 52w high | -1.66% | +0.65% | +3.43% | -3.12% | +3.72% |
| 2016 | 29/08/2016 | 19.76 | near 52w high | +0.86% | -1.81% | -2.25% | -3.01% | +1.03% |
Upcoming 01/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.06% · Win 30% · DD -1.93%20 days: Avg -1.13% · Win 30% · DD -3.86%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 02/09/2025 | 53.59 | near 52w high | -0.47% | -0.06% | +0.85% | -0.97% | +1.34% |
| 2024 | 30/08/2024 | 45.74 | near 52w high | -1.73% | -1.42% | -0.56% | -3.19% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 01/09/2023 | 34.69 | neutral | -0.66% | +0.68% | -4.76% | -4.76% | +0.92% |
| 2022 | 01/09/2022 | 33.15 | neutral | +3.65% | -0.27% | -7.93% | -7.93% | +4.49% |
| 2021 | 01/09/2021 | 38.18 | near 52w high | -0.84% | -1.13% | -1.28% | -3.99% | +1.91% |
| 2020 | 01/09/2020 | 25.13 | neutral | -0.96% | -0.56% | -3.69% | -7.17% | +1.43% |
| 2019 | 30/08/2019 | 26.92 | neutral | +3.49% | +5.46% | +4.54% | -1.04% | +5.94% |
| 2018 | 31/08/2018 | 28.33 | neutral | -0.11% | -0.78% | -1.83% | -2.22% | +2.29% |
| 2017 | 01/09/2017 | 24.77 | near 52w high | -1.01% | +1.59% | +5.73% | -3.59% | +5.73% |
| 2016 | 01/09/2016 | 19.87 | near 52w high · volume x1.7 | -1.72% | -2.97% | -2.40% | -3.72% | +0.45% |
Upcoming 12/09/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.54% · Win 50% · DD -2.86%20 days: Avg -0.76% · Win 50% · DD -4.06%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 12/09/2025 | 53.80 | near 52w high | +0.84% | +0.44% | -2.73% | -2.73% | +0.94% |
| 2024 | 12/09/2024 | 44.38 | near 52w high | +2.95% | +1.81% | +3.19% | +0.00% | +3.51% |
| 2023 | 12/09/2023 | 34.69 | neutral | +0.56% | -3.61% | -3.58% | -6.27% | +0.92% |
| 2022 | 12/09/2022 | 34.64 | neutral | -3.48% | -11.31% | -10.76% | -11.89% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 13/09/2021 | 38.01 | near 52w high | -3.42% | +2.36% | +2.07% | -3.56% | +3.10% |
| 2020 | 11/09/2020 | 24.71 | neutral | -0.12% | -4.41% | +2.67% | -5.59% | +2.67% |
| 2019 | 12/09/2019 | 28.27 | near 52w high | +0.42% | -0.59% | -2.90% | -4.79% | +0.88% |
| 2018 | 12/09/2018 | 28.07 | neutral | +2.35% | +0.09% | -2.63% | -2.63% | +3.24% |
| 2017 | 12/09/2017 | 24.81 | near 52w high | +2.20% | +2.76% | +6.73% | -0.04% | +6.73% |
| 2016 | 12/09/2016 | 19.75 | near 52w high · volume x1.9 | -1.75% | -2.97% | +0.33% | -3.13% | +0.33% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+6.3%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -0.2% · from 52w low: +21.4%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +0.47% · +3.14% · +3.25% · +12.65% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +2.54% · +6.32% · +9.43% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -0.25% · +21.40% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.67 · 0.91x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +1.21% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +0.10% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +4.23% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 56.44 · 54.43 · 52.88 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 58.01 · 47.67 |
|---|
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