🕰️ Time Machine

XLF — Financial Select Sector SPDR

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 18/06/2026

Last price (Close)
53.57 -0.89%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in window · in 2 days
20/06/2026
Last window
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 27/03/2026
47.67
Days: 57 trading / 83 calendar · return since: +12.38%
Last major high · 21/04/2026
53.19
Days: 41 trading / 58 calendar · return since: +0.71%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 21/04/2026 @ 53.19Cycle 60Calendar📅 20/06/2026+2 (±2)In window
Low 27/03/2026 @ 47.67Cycle 60Trading📅 24/06/2026+3 (±2)Upcoming
Low 27/03/2026 @ 47.67Cycle 90Calendar📅 25/06/2026+7 (±3)Upcoming
High 21/04/2026 @ 53.19Cycle 45Trading📅 25/06/2026+4 (±2)Upcoming
High 21/04/2026 @ 53.19Cycle 60Trading📅 17/07/2026+19 (±2)Upcoming
High 21/04/2026 @ 53.19Cycle 90Calendar📅 20/07/2026+32 (±3)Upcoming
Low 27/03/2026 @ 47.67Cycle 120Calendar📅 25/07/2026+37 (±3)Upcoming
Low 27/03/2026 @ 47.67Cycle 90Trading📅 06/08/2026+33 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Shooting Star 17/06/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 20/06/2026
Failed Breakout 17/06/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 20/06/2026
Failed Breakout 09/06/2026
Failed Breakout 04/06/2026
Failed Breakdown 03/06/2026
Failed Breakdown 20/05/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

In window 20/06/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.00% · Win 70% · DD -2.02%20 days: Avg +2.75% · Win 100% · DD -2.39%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202520/06/202550.36near 52w high+3.49%+4.97%+4.39%+0.00%+5.98%
202420/06/202441.49near 52w high-0.86%+0.52%+3.69%-0.86%+6.03%
202320/06/202333.18neutral-0.75%+1.96%+5.85%-1.54%+5.85%
202221/06/202231.38near 52w low+1.69%+0.99%+4.30%-2.04%+4.30%
202121/06/202135.91volume x1.6+2.09%+1.25%+0.19%-2.23%+3.23%
202019/06/202023.98neutral-5.24%-1.75%+0.05%-5.24%+1.35%
201920/06/201927.42neutral-0.26%+3.22%+2.42%-1.14%+3.81%
201820/06/201827.28neutral-3.37%-2.71%+0.84%-3.37%+2.38%
201720/06/201724.33near 52w high-0.78%+3.04%+1.97%-1.81%+3.04%
201620/06/201618.47near 52w high-5.67%-1.50%+3.83%-5.67%+3.83%
Upcoming 24/06/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.69% · Win 80% · DD -1.37%20 days: Avg +4.29% · Win 90% · DD -1.74%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202524/06/202551.58near 52w high+2.09%+1.59%+2.95%-0.33%+3.12%
202424/06/202441.59near 52w high-0.94%+0.38%+3.80%-1.49%+5.36%
202323/06/202332.74neutral+2.96%+3.05%+8.74%-0.21%+8.74%
202224/06/202232.34neutral-1.42%-1.61%+1.92%-4.95%+1.92%
202124/06/202136.49neutral+1.34%+0.60%-0.63%-3.78%+1.59%
202024/06/202022.98neutral-0.17%-1.31%+5.87%-1.74%+5.87%
201924/06/201927.11neutral+3.02%+3.54%+4.35%-0.52%+4.46%
201825/06/201826.78neutral-0.22%+1.49%+4.63%-1.57%+4.63%
201723/06/201723.89neutral+3.26%+4.73%+4.27%+0.00%+4.94%
201624/06/201617.94near 52w low+2.99%+4.39%+7.02%-2.85%+7.25%
Upcoming 25/06/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.94% · Win 80% · DD -1.58%20 days: Avg +4.06% · Win 90% · DD -1.95%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202525/06/202551.41near 52w high+2.35%+2.53%+3.23%+0.00%+3.46%
202425/06/202441.28near 52w high+0.97%+1.53%+3.15%-0.75%+6.15%
202326/06/202332.67neutral+3.76%+4.50%+8.26%+0.00%+8.97%
202224/06/202232.34neutral-1.42%-1.61%+1.92%-4.95%+1.92%
202125/06/202136.93near 52w high+0.03%+0.38%-1.25%-4.93%+0.38%
202025/06/202023.59neutral-2.63%-0.55%+2.88%-4.28%+3.14%
201925/06/201927.02neutral+3.11%+3.52%+5.77%-0.19%+5.77%
201825/06/201826.78neutral-0.22%+1.49%+4.63%-1.57%+4.63%
201726/06/201724.02neutral+4.20%+3.25%+5.00%+0.00%+5.00%
201624/06/201617.94near 52w low+2.99%+4.39%+7.02%-2.85%+7.25%
Upcoming 17/07/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.28% · Win 70% · DD -0.68%20 days: Avg +2.19% · Win 80% · DD -2.03%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202517/07/202552.51near 52w high+1.07%-0.27%+0.95%-2.17%+1.77%
202417/07/202443.82near 52w high-2.83%-0.18%-1.76%-6.80%+0.07%
202317/07/202334.58neutral+2.95%+2.17%+0.78%+0.00%+2.95%
202218/07/202231.66near 52w low+4.11%+5.59%+12.29%+0.00%+12.32%
202116/07/202136.12neutral+0.39%+1.11%+6.81%-2.80%+7.61%
202017/07/202023.95neutral+1.34%+0.33%+5.14%-0.46%+5.68%
201917/07/201927.85near 52w high+2.62%+1.44%-6.71%-6.71%+3.02%
201817/07/201827.49neutral+1.93%+1.67%+1.71%+0.00%+3.56%
201717/07/201724.84near 52w high+0.28%+1.01%+0.93%-0.44%+2.21%
201618/07/201619.17near 52w high+0.13%-0.04%+1.78%-0.89%+1.99%
Upcoming 20/07/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.50% · Win 50% · DD -0.77%20 days: Avg +1.55% · Win 70% · DD -2.01%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/07/202552.39near 52w high+1.30%-0.92%+0.21%-1.95%+2.00%
202419/07/202442.85near 52w high+1.31%-1.84%+2.15%-4.69%+2.33%
202320/07/202335.38near 52w high-0.71%-0.93%-3.93%-3.93%+0.62%
202220/07/202232.73neutral+0.82%+2.54%+8.86%-0.70%+9.41%
202120/07/202135.98neutral+1.33%+2.67%+6.20%+0.00%+8.03%
202020/07/202023.84neutral+0.96%+1.09%+3.86%+0.00%+6.17%
201919/07/201927.94near 52w high+2.68%-1.22%-4.90%-7.02%+2.68%
201820/07/201827.56neutral+2.07%+2.03%+2.21%+0.00%+3.30%
201720/07/201724.80near 52w high+0.44%+1.69%-0.77%-0.77%+2.38%
201620/07/201619.21near 52w high-0.04%-0.08%+1.65%-1.10%+1.78%
Upcoming 25/07/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.30% · Win 60% · DD -2.10%20 days: Avg +0.15% · Win 70% · DD -2.94%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202525/07/202553.44near 52w high-3.82%-2.98%+0.24%-3.87%+0.24%
202425/07/202442.74near 52w high+0.89%-1.22%+3.07%-4.45%+3.07%
202325/07/202335.37near 52w high-0.11%-0.82%-4.95%-4.95%+0.59%
202225/07/202232.96neutral+1.43%+2.15%+3.73%-1.40%+8.65%
202126/07/202136.47neutral+0.16%+4.09%+4.20%-0.16%+6.58%
202024/07/202024.27neutral-0.99%+2.35%+0.16%-1.11%+4.29%
201925/07/201928.38near 52w high-2.71%-3.95%-5.64%-8.46%+1.09%
201825/07/201828.08neutral-0.46%+1.39%+0.68%-1.35%+1.39%
201725/07/201725.22near 52w high+0.20%+0.24%-1.59%-2.66%+0.67%
201625/07/201619.20near 52w high-0.17%+1.78%+1.61%-1.02%+1.86%
Upcoming 06/08/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.13% · Win 40% · DD -1.64%20 days: Avg +0.98% · Win 60% · DD -2.08%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202506/08/202551.95near 52w high+1.56%+1.77%+4.06%-1.12%+4.06%
202406/08/202441.50neutral+2.48%+5.71%+9.52%+0.00%+10.22%
202307/08/202335.40near 52w high-1.55%-4.12%-2.99%-5.03%+0.00%
202205/08/202233.69neutral+5.55%+3.77%-2.37%-2.37%+6.29%
202106/08/202137.86near 52w high+1.90%-0.45%+0.55%-1.06%+3.01%
202006/08/202024.32neutral+3.12%+0.16%+3.21%-0.04%+4.81%
201906/08/201927.11neutral-0.48%-2.32%-0.77%-4.17%+0.55%
201806/08/201828.27neutral-2.02%-0.04%+0.71%-2.02%+1.24%
201707/08/201725.35near 52w high-1.10%-3.16%-4.38%-4.38%+0.00%
201605/08/201619.51near 52w high-0.67%-0.04%+2.29%-0.67%+2.29%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs SPY.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+3.1%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -5.2% · from 52w low: +12.4%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+1.81% · +2.64% · +3.70% · +8.71%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+2.41% · +3.15% · +1.94%
Distance from 52w high / low-5.22% · +12.38%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.79 · 0.97x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-0.15%
vs SPY (20d)+2.70%
vs SMH (20d)-13.17%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20052.31 · 51.94 · 52.55
52w high / low56.52 · 47.67