🕰️ Time Machine
XLI — Industrial Select Sector SPDR
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 03/11/2026
Last price (Close)
170.51 +0.47%
Next window · Cycle 90 · in window
03/11/2026
Last window · Cycle 60 · 29/10/2026
since +0.22%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 30/07/2026
175.96
Days: 67 trading / 96 calendar · return since: -3.10%
Last major high · 05/08/2026
188.19
Days: 63 trading / 90 calendar · return since: -9.39%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 30/07/2026 @ 175.96 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 23/10/2026 | -7 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 30/07/2026 @ 175.96 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 28/10/2026 | -6 (±3) | Passed |
| High 05/08/2026 @ 188.19 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 29/10/2026 | -3 (±2) | Passed |
| High 05/08/2026 @ 188.19 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 03/11/2026 | +0 (±3) | In window |
| Low 30/07/2026 @ 175.96 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 27/11/2026 | +24 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 05/08/2026 @ 188.19 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 03/12/2026 | +30 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 30/07/2026 @ 175.96 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 07/12/2026 | +23 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 05/08/2026 @ 188.19 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 11/12/2026 | +27 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● NR7 Compression 03/11/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 03/11/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 29/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 29/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 27/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 28/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 21/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 23/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 15/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 14/10/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 23/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.98% · Win 78% · DD -2.37%20 days: Avg +2.47% · Win 67% · DD -2.90%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 23/10/2025 | 154.78 | near 52w high | -0.06% | -1.41% | -4.49% | -4.49% | +0.65% |
| 2024 | 23/10/2024 | 136.70 | near 52w high | -0.96% | +3.46% | +1.65% | -2.10% | +4.75% |
| 2023 | 23/10/2023 | 98.24 | neutral | -0.61% | +3.15% | +7.83% | -1.83% | +7.83% |
| 2022 | 24/10/2022 | 89.87 | neutral | +4.98% | +6.92% | +11.00% | +0.00% | +11.00% |
| 2021 | 22/10/2021 | 104.80 | near 52w high | -0.30% | +1.52% | +0.89% | -1.56% | +2.21% |
| 2020 | 23/10/2020 | 81.17 | near 52w high | -6.53% | +0.21% | +6.76% | -7.76% | +8.23% |
| 2019 | 23/10/2019 | 78.00 | neutral | +1.74% | +4.32% | +4.21% | +0.00% | +5.53% |
| 2018 | 23/10/2018 | 71.73 | near 52w low | -3.32% | +0.53% | -3.28% | -5.27% | +2.16% |
| 2017 | 23/10/2017 | 72.50 | near 52w high | -0.94% | -0.87% | -2.32% | -3.13% | +0.57% |
Passed 28/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.23% · Win 78% · DD -0.80%20 days: Avg +4.75% · Win 67% · DD -1.39%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/10/2025 | 154.68 | near 52w high | -1.34% | -0.28% | -1.78% | -4.43% | +0.26% |
| 2024 | 28/10/2024 | 135.80 | near 52w high | -1.43% | +5.44% | +5.70% | -1.45% | +5.70% |
| 2023 | 27/10/2023 | 96.44 | neutral | +5.35% | +6.34% | +9.64% | +0.00% | +10.27% |
| 2022 | 28/10/2022 | 94.62 | neutral | +0.48% | +5.19% | +5.12% | -2.13% | +7.06% |
| 2021 | 28/10/2021 | 104.46 | near 52w high | +0.82% | +1.53% | -1.20% | -1.20% | +2.55% |
| 2020 | 28/10/2020 | 74.87 | volume x1.6 | +6.04% | +13.36% | +18.83% | +0.00% | +19.74% |
| 2019 | 28/10/2019 | 78.82 | near 52w high | +2.96% | +3.78% | +4.36% | -0.39% | +4.43% |
| 2018 | 29/10/2018 | 67.95 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +5.02% | +4.47% | +3.19% | +0.00% | +7.84% |
| 2017 | 27/10/2017 | 72.32 | near 52w high | -0.68% | -1.74% | -1.09% | -2.89% | +0.00% |
Passed 29/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.76% · Win 78% · DD -0.81%20 days: Avg +4.68% · Win 78% · DD -1.38%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/10/2025 | 155.08 | near 52w high · volume x1.5 | -1.21% | -0.44% | -1.47% | -4.67% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 29/10/2024 | 135.62 | near 52w high · volume x1.7 | +0.35% | +4.67% | +5.97% | -1.32% | +5.97% |
| 2023 | 30/10/2023 | 97.64 | neutral | +3.78% | +5.12% | +8.04% | +0.00% | +8.91% |
| 2022 | 28/10/2022 | 94.62 | neutral | +0.48% | +5.19% | +5.12% | -2.13% | +7.06% |
| 2021 | 29/10/2021 | 104.49 | near 52w high | +1.82% | +2.31% | -1.05% | -1.22% | +2.52% |
| 2020 | 29/10/2020 | 75.96 | neutral | +6.98% | +10.45% | +16.93% | -0.12% | +18.02% |
| 2019 | 29/10/2019 | 79.08 | near 52w high | +2.83% | +3.43% | +4.32% | -0.72% | +4.32% |
| 2018 | 29/10/2018 | 67.95 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +5.02% | +4.47% | +3.19% | +0.00% | +7.84% |
| 2017 | 30/10/2017 | 71.82 | near 52w high | +0.07% | -1.39% | +1.11% | -2.21% | +1.11% |
In window 03/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.07% · Win 80% · DD -0.63%20 days: Avg +4.51% · Win 70% · DD -1.72%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/11/2025 | 154.40 | near 52w high | -0.13% | -2.51% | -1.06% | -4.26% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 04/11/2024 | 133.86 | near 52w high | +6.97% | +3.78% | +6.10% | +0.00% | +7.57% |
| 2023 | 03/11/2023 | 101.60 | neutral | +0.94% | +3.95% | +7.20% | -0.51% | +7.20% |
| 2022 | 03/11/2022 | 93.57 | neutral | +6.43% | +5.49% | +9.36% | +0.00% | +9.36% |
| 2021 | 03/11/2021 | 104.90 | near 52w high | +1.53% | +1.51% | -2.46% | -5.27% | +2.12% |
| 2020 | 03/11/2020 | 80.22 | neutral | +6.69% | +9.22% | +9.61% | -1.03% | +11.76% |
| 2019 | 04/11/2019 | 81.15 | near 52w high · volume x1.5 | +0.80% | +1.05% | -1.65% | -1.65% | +1.66% |
| 2018 | 02/11/2018 | 70.99 | neutral | +2.01% | +1.41% | +3.37% | -2.27% | +3.37% |
| 2017 | 03/11/2017 | 71.83 | near 52w high | -1.07% | -1.85% | +3.31% | -2.23% | +3.73% |
| 2016 | 03/11/2016 | 56.42 | near 52w high | +8.01% | +8.68% | +11.33% | +0.00% | +11.34% |
Upcoming 27/11/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.00% · Win 60% · DD -1.66%20 days: Avg +0.62% · Win 50% · DD -3.23%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 26/11/2025 | 152.80 | near 52w high | +1.45% | +3.23% | +3.24% | -0.89% | +3.43% |
| 2024 | 27/11/2024 | 143.18 | near 52w high | -1.58% | -3.76% | -6.46% | -7.62% | +0.57% |
| 2023 | 27/11/2023 | 105.74 | near 52w high | +3.01% | +4.03% | +8.33% | -0.24% | +8.33% |
| 2022 | 28/11/2022 | 99.46 | neutral | +1.17% | +1.32% | -0.30% | -1.89% | +2.89% |
| 2021 | 26/11/2021 | 103.21 | near 52w high | -0.98% | +2.07% | +2.14% | -3.72% | +2.14% |
| 2020 | 27/11/2020 | 88.82 | near 52w high | +0.44% | -0.06% | -0.39% | -1.35% | +0.66% |
| 2019 | 27/11/2019 | 82.42 | near 52w high | -2.77% | -0.59% | -0.14% | -3.17% | +0.12% |
| 2018 | 27/11/2018 | 70.12 | near 52w low | +0.20% | -2.77% | -8.25% | -13.42% | +4.65% |
| 2017 | 27/11/2017 | 71.53 | near 52w high | +3.75% | +4.21% | +6.10% | +0.00% | +6.10% |
| 2016 | 28/11/2016 | 62.28 | near 52w high | +0.77% | +2.36% | +1.97% | +0.00% | +2.84% |
Upcoming 03/12/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.94% · Win 60% · DD -2.13%20 days: Avg -0.90% · Win 60% · DD -3.45%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/12/2025 | 154.21 | near 52w high | +1.20% | -0.44% | +2.80% | -0.62% | +2.80% |
| 2024 | 03/12/2024 | 142.03 | near 52w high | -2.13% | -4.04% | -7.09% | -7.09% | +0.44% |
| 2023 | 04/12/2023 | 108.92 | near 52w high | +0.99% | +3.76% | +2.61% | -0.81% | +5.36% |
| 2022 | 02/12/2022 | 102.33 | far above SMA50 | -3.19% | -4.13% | -3.36% | -4.64% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 03/12/2021 | 102.20 | volume x1.6 | +3.08% | +0.23% | +3.07% | -1.37% | +3.92% |
| 2020 | 03/12/2020 | 88.16 | near 52w high | +0.45% | +0.76% | -1.58% | -1.58% | +1.42% |
| 2019 | 03/12/2019 | 79.81 | near 52w high · volume x2.1 | +1.12% | +2.23% | +4.53% | +0.00% | +4.53% |
| 2018 | 03/12/2018 | 73.38 | neutral | -7.60% | -9.68% | -13.93% | -17.26% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 04/12/2017 | 74.21 | near 52w high · volume x2.0 | +0.44% | +1.68% | +3.69% | -0.85% | +3.69% |
| 2016 | 02/12/2016 | 62.81 | near 52w high | +1.86% | +0.24% | +0.26% | -0.33% | +1.97% |
Upcoming 07/12/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.69% · Win 50% · DD -2.38%20 days: Avg +1.18% · Win 70% · DD -2.84%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 08/12/2025 | 154.39 | near 52w high | +1.68% | +2.07% | +3.32% | -0.73% | +5.30% |
| 2024 | 06/12/2024 | 140.56 | near 52w high | -2.23% | -4.80% | -5.40% | -6.12% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 07/12/2023 | 108.62 | near 52w high | +4.19% | +4.22% | +3.82% | +0.00% | +5.65% |
| 2022 | 07/12/2022 | 99.30 | neutral | +1.67% | +0.24% | +2.11% | -1.73% | +2.11% |
| 2021 | 07/12/2021 | 104.99 | near 52w high | -1.64% | -2.08% | +1.37% | -3.99% | +2.35% |
| 2020 | 07/12/2020 | 88.78 | near 52w high | -1.31% | -0.54% | +1.05% | -2.27% | +1.05% |
| 2019 | 06/12/2019 | 81.11 | near 52w high | +0.74% | +0.91% | +2.48% | -0.51% | +2.85% |
| 2018 | 07/12/2018 | 68.03 | near 52w low | -1.44% | -7.93% | -1.53% | -10.76% | +0.25% |
| 2017 | 07/12/2017 | 74.37 | near 52w high | +0.04% | +1.91% | +5.37% | +0.00% | +5.37% |
| 2016 | 07/12/2016 | 64.05 | near 52w high | -1.61% | -0.96% | -0.82% | -2.26% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 11/12/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.38% · Win 50% · DD -2.79%20 days: Avg +1.60% · Win 80% · DD -2.97%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 11/12/2025 | 157.73 | near 52w high | -2.03% | +0.01% | +3.80% | -2.66% | +3.80% |
| 2024 | 11/12/2024 | 138.68 | near 52w high | -4.50% | -2.70% | -3.71% | -4.85% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 11/12/2023 | 110.00 | near 52w high | +2.74% | +4.14% | +2.72% | +0.00% | +4.32% |
| 2022 | 12/12/2022 | 100.77 | neutral | -3.16% | -1.60% | +1.68% | -3.16% | +1.68% |
| 2021 | 10/12/2021 | 105.35 | near 52w high | -2.76% | +0.06% | +0.32% | -4.32% | +2.00% |
| 2020 | 11/12/2020 | 88.77 | near 52w high | +0.08% | -0.33% | +2.34% | -2.26% | +2.34% |
| 2019 | 11/12/2019 | 81.21 | near 52w high | +0.05% | +1.44% | +2.40% | +0.00% | +3.13% |
| 2018 | 11/12/2018 | 67.80 | near 52w low | -2.24% | -6.28% | +0.83% | -10.45% | +0.83% |
| 2017 | 11/12/2017 | 74.54 | near 52w high | +1.23% | +1.81% | +5.79% | -0.19% | +5.80% |
| 2016 | 12/12/2016 | 63.75 | near 52w high | -0.68% | -0.38% | -0.19% | -1.80% | +0.00% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+0.1%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -9.4% · from 52w low: +15.9%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +1.54% · +2.23% · -0.62% · -7.38% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +1.49% · +0.12% · -1.63% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -9.39% · +15.88% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 2.72 · 0.10x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +9.07% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +2.42% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +17.52% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 168.01 · 170.31 · 173.34 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 188.19 · 147.14 |
|---|
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