🕰️ Time Machine

XLI — Industrial Select Sector SPDR

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 18/06/2026

Last price (Close)
180.91 +0.73%
Next window · Fib 21 · in window
18/06/2026
Last window · Fib 13 · 08/06/2026
since +4.19%
Trend
Strong uptrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 19/05/2026
168.11
Days: 21 trading / 30 calendar · return since: +7.61%
Last major high · 07/05/2026
177.72
Days: 29 trading / 42 calendar · return since: +1.79%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 19/05/2026 @ 168.11Fib 13Trading📅 08/06/2026-8 (±1)Passed
High 07/05/2026 @ 177.72Fib 21Trading📅 08/06/2026-8 (±1)Passed
Low 19/05/2026 @ 168.11Fib 21Calendar📅 09/06/2026-9 (±1)Passed
Low 19/05/2026 @ 168.11Fib 21Trading📅 18/06/2026+0 (±1)In window
Low 19/05/2026 @ 168.11Cycle 30Calendar📅 18/06/2026+0 (±2)In window
High 07/05/2026 @ 177.72Cycle 45Calendar📅 21/06/2026+3 (±2)Upcoming
High 07/05/2026 @ 177.72Cycle 30Trading📅 22/06/2026+1 (±2)In window
Low 19/05/2026 @ 168.11Cycle 30Trading📅 02/07/2026+9 (±2)Upcoming
Low 19/05/2026 @ 168.11Cycle 45Calendar📅 03/07/2026+15 (±2)Upcoming
High 07/05/2026 @ 177.72Cycle 60Calendar📅 06/07/2026+18 (±2)Upcoming
High 07/05/2026 @ 177.72Cycle 45Trading📅 14/07/2026+16 (±2)Upcoming
Low 19/05/2026 @ 168.11Cycle 60Calendar📅 18/07/2026+30 (±2)Upcoming
Low 19/05/2026 @ 168.11Cycle 45Trading📅 24/07/2026+24 (±2)Upcoming
High 07/05/2026 @ 177.72Cycle 60Trading📅 04/08/2026+31 (±2)Upcoming
Low 19/05/2026 @ 168.11Cycle 60Trading📅 14/08/2026+39 (±2)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Shooting Star 17/06/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 18/06/2026
Failed Breakout 16/06/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 18/06/2026
NR7 Compression 12/06/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 09/06/2026
Failed Breakout 09/06/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 09/06/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 08/06/2026 · Low Fib 13/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.33% · Win 56% · DD -3.96%20 days: Avg -1.06% · Win 44% · DD -4.28%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202509/06/2025144.80near 52w high-0.81%+0.48%+3.84%-1.79%+3.84%
202407/06/2024122.33near 52w high-0.96%+0.95%-0.88%-1.11%+0.95%
202308/06/2023102.67near 52w high+2.87%+1.00%+5.33%-0.26%+5.33%
202208/06/202295.48neutral-7.06%-9.72%-7.52%-10.39%+0.00%
202108/06/2021104.88near 52w high-1.33%-2.83%-1.18%-5.02%+0.00%
202008/06/202076.29far above SMA50-8.90%-9.10%-9.64%-12.92%+0.00%
201907/06/201975.72neutral-0.41%+2.24%+1.96%-0.75%+3.22%
201808/06/201876.44neutral-1.33%-4.63%-3.46%-6.25%+0.20%
201708/06/201767.65near 52w high+1.67%+0.64%+1.97%+0.00%+2.63%
Passed 09/06/2026 · Low Fib 21/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.47% · Win 44% · DD -3.42%20 days: Avg -0.53% · Win 44% · DD -3.75%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202509/06/2025144.80near 52w high-0.81%+0.48%+3.84%-1.79%+3.84%
202410/06/2024122.71near 52w high-0.18%-0.22%-0.30%-1.41%+0.64%
202309/06/2023102.40near 52w high+2.98%+2.11%+6.85%+0.00%+6.85%
202209/06/202293.60neutral-8.35%-4.69%-6.30%-8.59%+0.00%
202109/06/2021103.81near 52w high-1.26%-2.05%-1.55%-4.05%+0.00%
202009/06/202074.39far above SMA50-4.75%-6.77%-7.33%-10.70%+0.00%
201910/06/201975.82neutral-0.88%+1.91%+1.60%-0.88%+3.08%
201808/06/201876.44neutral-1.33%-4.63%-3.46%-6.25%+0.20%
201709/06/201767.91near 52w high+1.61%+0.62%+1.88%-0.10%+2.23%
In window 18/06/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.71% · Win 50% · DD -2.12%20 days: Avg +2.60% · Win 90% · DD -2.12%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202518/06/2025142.21near 52w high+2.51%+5.39%+6.83%+0.00%+7.07%
202418/06/2024123.15near 52w high-0.85%-0.87%+2.31%-1.77%+4.45%
202316/06/2023105.45near 52w high-0.85%+2.20%+4.38%-1.67%+4.38%
202217/06/202285.56near 52w low+4.02%+1.87%+4.95%+0.00%+4.95%
202118/06/202199.61volume x2.0+3.08%+4.02%+0.49%+0.00%+4.36%
202018/06/202070.09neutral-3.43%-1.15%+3.18%-5.22%+3.18%
201918/06/201976.61neutral+0.09%+1.46%+0.80%-0.08%+3.00%
201818/06/201874.81neutral-4.17%-4.04%-1.43%-4.58%+0.00%
201719/06/201769.10near 52w high-1.55%-0.82%+0.19%-2.29%+0.48%
201620/06/201656.24near 52w high-5.58%-1.00%+4.32%-5.58%+4.37%
Upcoming 21/06/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.52% · Win 50% · DD -1.69%20 days: Avg +3.29% · Win 100% · DD -1.88%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202520/06/2025142.37near 52w high+3.42%+4.90%+6.14%+0.00%+6.95%
202421/06/2024122.97near 52w high-0.55%-0.96%+2.93%-1.62%+4.60%
202321/06/2023104.83near 52w high+0.53%+1.08%+5.00%-1.48%+5.00%
202221/06/202286.74near 52w low+0.97%+0.62%+3.86%-1.43%+3.86%
202121/06/2021101.48near 52w high+0.33%+0.81%+1.07%-1.68%+2.12%
202022/06/202069.04neutral-1.06%-0.59%+4.37%-4.20%+4.37%
201921/06/201977.08neutral+0.44%-0.27%+0.56%-0.95%+1.93%
201821/06/201872.36neutral-1.22%-0.28%+2.87%-1.35%+3.03%
201721/06/201767.90near 52w high+0.34%+0.34%+1.49%-0.56%+2.25%
201621/06/201656.20near 52w high-3.91%-0.43%+4.59%-5.52%+4.59%
In window 22/06/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.05% · Win 70% · DD -1.56%20 days: Avg +3.24% · Win 100% · DD -1.75%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202523/06/2025143.86near 52w high+2.54%+3.48%+4.98%-0.06%+5.52%
202421/06/2024122.97near 52w high-0.55%-0.96%+2.93%-1.62%+4.60%
202322/06/2023104.07near 52w high+2.25%+2.05%+5.27%-0.76%+5.77%
202222/06/202286.26near 52w low+0.94%+2.38%+5.19%-0.88%+5.19%
202122/06/2021101.59near 52w high+0.02%+1.70%+1.93%-1.78%+2.01%
202022/06/202069.04neutral-1.06%-0.59%+4.37%-4.20%+4.37%
201921/06/201977.08neutral+0.44%-0.27%+0.56%-0.95%+1.93%
201822/06/201872.61neutral-1.35%+1.23%+1.89%-1.69%+2.67%
201722/06/201767.76near 52w high-0.31%+1.33%+1.51%-0.35%+2.46%
201622/06/201656.04near 52w high-1.93%+0.12%+3.82%-5.25%+4.89%
Upcoming 02/07/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.54% · Win 70% · DD -1.36%20 days: Avg +3.35% · Win 80% · DD -1.36%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202502/07/2025148.16near 52w high+1.74%+2.46%+2.60%+0.00%+4.61%
202402/07/2024121.22near 52w high+0.58%+4.40%+5.48%-0.31%+5.75%
202303/07/2023107.34near 52w high+1.53%+2.13%+3.18%-1.29%+3.18%
202201/07/202288.10near 52w low-0.89%-2.02%+8.67%-2.95%+8.67%
202102/07/2021103.29near 52w high+0.33%-3.40%-0.62%-3.40%+0.33%
202002/07/202068.98neutral-1.41%+4.38%+3.99%-2.67%+5.44%
201902/07/201977.39neutral-1.12%-0.65%+0.56%-1.12%+1.86%
201802/07/201871.79neutral+2.70%+2.72%+7.15%-0.32%+7.15%
201703/07/201768.53near 52w high+0.39%+1.02%-0.61%-0.61%+1.31%
201601/07/201656.19near 52w high+2.49%+4.36%+3.17%-0.91%+4.61%
Upcoming 03/07/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.42% · Win 70% · DD -1.45%20 days: Avg +2.52% · Win 70% · DD -1.48%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/07/2025149.42near 52w high+0.52%+1.37%+0.21%-0.37%+3.73%
202403/07/2024121.66near 52w high+1.49%+3.21%+3.15%-0.67%+5.37%
202303/07/2023107.34near 52w high+1.53%+2.13%+3.18%-1.29%+3.18%
202201/07/202288.10near 52w low-0.89%-2.02%+8.67%-2.95%+8.67%
202102/07/2021103.29near 52w high+0.33%-3.40%-0.62%-3.40%+0.33%
202002/07/202068.98neutral-1.41%+4.38%+3.99%-2.67%+5.44%
201903/07/201977.82neutral-1.00%-1.02%-1.94%-1.94%+1.30%
201803/07/201871.56neutral+1.34%+4.18%+6.04%+0.00%+7.49%
201703/07/201768.53near 52w high+0.39%+1.02%-0.61%-0.61%+1.31%
201601/07/201656.19near 52w high+2.49%+4.36%+3.17%-0.91%+4.61%
Upcoming 06/07/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.25% · Win 90% · DD -1.02%20 days: Avg +2.66% · Win 90% · DD -1.11%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202507/07/2025148.90near 52w high+1.42%+1.18%+1.49%-0.03%+4.09%
202405/07/2024121.22near 52w high+2.44%+3.01%+1.25%-0.31%+5.75%
202306/07/2023105.96near 52w high+2.80%+3.88%+2.77%+0.00%+4.52%
202206/07/202287.28near 52w low-1.48%+3.22%+9.56%-2.04%+9.69%
202106/07/2021102.30near 52w high+0.32%+0.26%+1.65%-2.46%+1.65%
202006/07/202069.97neutral-2.40%+1.64%+2.94%-4.04%+3.94%
201905/07/201977.51neutral+1.14%-0.08%-2.18%-2.18%+1.70%
201806/07/201872.16neutral+2.20%+3.16%+5.11%+0.00%+6.60%
201706/07/201768.13near 52w high+1.47%+1.14%+0.91%-0.03%+1.91%
201606/07/201655.96near 52w high+4.11%+5.04%+3.13%+0.00%+5.04%
Upcoming 14/07/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.81% · Win 80% · DD -0.99%20 days: Avg +2.23% · Win 60% · DD -1.80%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202514/07/2025151.01near 52w high-0.23%+2.32%-0.44%-0.84%+2.64%
202415/07/2024125.07near 52w high+0.86%+0.81%-1.14%-3.57%+2.49%
202314/07/2023108.61near 52w high+0.87%+1.43%+0.26%-0.34%+1.97%
202214/07/202285.50near 52w low+6.13%+9.60%+15.04%+0.00%+15.04%
202114/07/2021102.62near 52w high+0.91%+0.13%+2.84%-2.77%+2.84%
202014/07/202069.77neutral+3.28%+2.68%+10.92%+0.00%+10.92%
201915/07/201978.07neutral-0.72%+0.37%-4.73%-5.57%+0.97%
201813/07/201873.75neutral+0.94%+3.06%+1.79%-0.41%+4.30%
201714/07/201769.43near 52w high-0.94%-1.48%-2.26%-2.32%+0.00%
201614/07/201658.70near 52w high-0.89%-0.83%+0.03%-2.16%+0.14%
Upcoming 18/07/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.13% · Win 40% · DD -0.88%20 days: Avg +2.23% · Win 60% · DD -1.85%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202518/07/2025151.46near 52w high+2.33%-1.14%-0.67%-1.14%+2.33%
202418/07/2024125.56near 52w high-1.10%-0.06%+1.27%-3.95%+1.83%
202318/07/2023109.63near 52w high+0.03%+1.02%-1.91%-1.91%+1.02%
202218/07/202286.32near 52w low+5.28%+10.91%+15.94%+0.00%+15.94%
202119/07/202199.78volume x1.8+3.79%+2.88%+5.59%+0.00%+5.76%
202017/07/202072.00neutral-0.22%-0.38%+7.68%-1.22%+7.83%
201918/07/201977.03neutral+2.13%-0.93%-5.37%-5.37%+2.34%
201818/07/201874.55neutral+1.17%+1.78%+0.43%-0.76%+3.18%
201718/07/201769.23near 52w high-1.00%-1.62%-1.17%-2.04%+0.10%
201618/07/201658.64near 52w high-1.13%-1.14%+0.53%-2.06%+0.53%
Upcoming 24/07/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.58% · Win 50% · DD -1.60%20 days: Avg +1.00% · Win 50% · DD -2.06%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202524/07/2025153.47near 52w high-0.95%-1.80%-1.82%-2.43%+0.99%
202424/07/2024123.19near 52w high+3.79%-1.40%+4.03%-2.10%+4.03%
202324/07/2023109.80near 52w high+0.56%-0.21%-3.36%-3.42%+0.87%
202225/07/202290.88neutral+5.35%+5.73%+6.69%-0.54%+10.62%
202123/07/2021103.61near 52w high-0.24%-0.07%-0.95%-1.21%+1.85%
202024/07/202071.84neutral-0.15%+4.58%+6.42%-0.28%+8.07%
201924/07/201978.83near 52w high-1.28%-5.12%-4.83%-7.54%+0.00%
201824/07/201874.29neutral+3.54%+2.97%+4.13%+0.00%+4.13%
201724/07/201768.63near 52w high-0.47%+0.36%-2.00%-2.16%+0.36%
201625/07/201657.98near 52w high-0.02%+0.71%+1.71%-0.95%+1.83%
Upcoming 04/08/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.72% · Win 70% · DD -0.79%20 days: Avg +1.81% · Win 70% · DD -1.14%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/08/2025151.12near 52w high-0.52%-0.06%-0.37%-0.52%+1.52%
202405/08/2024120.60volume x1.8+2.53%+5.92%+6.59%+0.00%+9.00%
202304/08/2023108.24near 52w high+0.60%-1.85%+0.52%-2.39%+1.23%
202204/08/202295.97neutral+2.49%+4.33%-3.03%-3.17%+4.75%
202104/08/2021102.58near 52w high+2.88%+0.49%+1.49%-0.21%+2.88%
202004/08/202072.21neutral+7.17%+6.29%+8.85%+0.00%+9.11%
201905/08/201973.72volume x1.5+0.90%+1.74%+1.37%-1.13%+3.17%
201803/08/201875.85neutral-1.03%+0.57%+1.65%-1.50%+2.43%
201704/08/201768.88near 52w high-1.48%-2.51%-0.52%-2.51%+0.00%
201604/08/201657.73near 52w high+1.71%+2.27%+1.58%+0.00%+2.34%
Upcoming 14/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.29% · Win 60% · DD -1.59%20 days: Avg +0.07% · Win 60% · DD -2.28%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202514/08/2025151.13near 52w high-0.30%+1.52%+0.30%-0.88%+1.52%
202414/08/2024125.46near 52w high+2.15%+2.95%+3.03%+0.00%+4.78%
202314/08/2023108.93near 52w high-2.59%-1.40%-3.35%-3.35%+0.00%
202215/08/2022100.08neutral-3.12%-4.99%-7.82%-7.91%+0.45%
202113/08/2021105.00near 52w high-2.26%-0.08%-2.64%-2.90%+0.34%
202014/08/202077.53neutral-1.39%+1.63%+1.46%-1.79%+3.06%
201914/08/201972.97neutral+2.81%+1.66%+8.15%-0.11%+8.15%
201814/08/201875.23neutral+2.83%+3.06%+3.96%-0.48%+3.96%
201714/08/201768.57near 52w high-1.91%-1.62%+0.90%-2.07%+0.90%
201615/08/201658.95near 52w high+0.03%+0.22%-3.31%-3.31%+0.22%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY.
· Sharp rally recently — watch for follow-through.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+4.3%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· Distance from 52w high: -1.1% · from 52w low: +28.1%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+3.29% · +2.70% · +5.96% · +10.31%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+3.43% · +4.29% · +10.90%
Distance from 52w high / low-1.10% · +28.05%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg3.33 · 0.96x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+2.11%
vs SPY (20d)+4.96%
vs SMH (20d)-10.90%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200174.90 · 173.47 · 163.13
52w high / low182.92 · 141.28