🕰️ Time Machine
XLK — Technology Select Sector SPDR
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 04/08/2026
Last price (Close)
186.90 +4.98%
Next window · Cycle 90 · in window · in 3 days
07/08/2026
Last window · Cycle 60 · 02/08/2026
since +4.98%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 30/03/2026
126.68
Days: 87 trading / 127 calendar · return since: +47.54%
Last major high · 03/06/2026
198.73
Days: 42 trading / 62 calendar · return since: -5.95%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 30/03/2026 @ 126.68 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 28/07/2026 | -7 (±3) | Passed |
| High 03/06/2026 @ 198.73 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 02/08/2026 | -2 (±2) | In window |
| Low 30/03/2026 @ 126.68 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 07/08/2026 | +3 (±3) | In window |
| High 03/06/2026 @ 198.73 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 07/08/2026 | +3 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 30/03/2026 @ 126.68 | Cycle 144 | Calendar | 📅 21/08/2026 | +17 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 03/06/2026 @ 198.73 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 28/08/2026 | +18 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 03/06/2026 @ 198.73 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 01/09/2026 | +28 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 30/03/2026 @ 126.68 | Cycle 120 | Trading | 📅 21/09/2026 | +33 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Gap Day 04/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 02/08/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 03/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 02/08/2026
● Gap Day 30/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 28/07/2026
● Hammer Reversal 28/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 28/07/2026
● Doji After Run 28/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 28/07/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 08/07/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 28/07/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.59% · Win 56% · DD -3.14%20 days: Avg +1.60% · Win 67% · DD -3.32%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/07/2025 | 132.04 | near 52w high | -0.68% | +0.02% | -0.85% | -2.65% | +1.60% |
| 2024 | 29/07/2024 | 107.66 | neutral | -8.09% | -3.72% | +2.71% | -8.35% | +4.77% |
| 2023 | 28/07/2023 | 88.97 | near 52w high | -3.81% | -6.20% | -5.19% | -7.44% | +0.40% |
| 2022 | 28/07/2022 | 71.02 | neutral | +3.75% | +3.96% | +2.87% | +0.00% | +6.70% |
| 2021 | 28/07/2021 | 76.39 | near 52w high | +0.88% | +0.31% | +3.07% | -0.34% | +3.25% |
| 2020 | 28/07/2020 | 52.81 | near 52w high | +7.41% | +5.46% | +13.21% | +0.00% | +13.21% |
| 2019 | 29/07/2019 | 41.27 | near 52w high | -8.23% | -6.15% | -5.21% | -8.23% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 27/07/2018 | 35.92 | near 52w high · volume x2.8 | +1.21% | +1.64% | +3.38% | -1.56% | +3.38% |
| 2017 | 28/07/2017 | 28.72 | near 52w high | +0.30% | -0.59% | +0.45% | -1.27% | +1.44% |
In window 02/08/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.68% · Win 70% · DD -1.56%20 days: Avg +2.63% · Win 90% · DD -2.14%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 01/08/2025 | 128.54 | near 52w high · volume x1.5 | +3.44% | +3.36% | +2.09% | +0.00% | +4.37% |
| 2024 | 02/08/2024 | 102.36 | volume x1.6 | +0.44% | +8.15% | +7.63% | -3.60% | +10.19% |
| 2023 | 02/08/2023 | 87.11 | near 52w high | -3.51% | -4.56% | +0.33% | -5.46% | +0.33% |
| 2022 | 02/08/2022 | 71.44 | neutral | +0.99% | +5.78% | -4.41% | -4.41% | +6.07% |
| 2021 | 02/08/2021 | 76.43 | near 52w high | +0.99% | +1.86% | +4.48% | -0.38% | +4.48% |
| 2020 | 03/08/2020 | 56.58 | near 52w high | +0.24% | +1.32% | +9.19% | -1.56% | +9.19% |
| 2019 | 02/08/2019 | 39.53 | near 52w high · volume x2.1 | -0.71% | -0.97% | +0.61% | -4.17% | +1.20% |
| 2018 | 02/08/2018 | 36.23 | near 52w high | +1.60% | +0.80% | +4.25% | +0.00% | +4.57% |
| 2017 | 02/08/2017 | 28.81 | near 52w high | +0.42% | +1.15% | +1.51% | -1.56% | +1.51% |
| 2016 | 05/08/2016 | 23.52 | near 52w high | +0.13% | -0.06% | +0.64% | -0.26% | +0.64% |
In window 07/08/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.49% · Win 40% · DD -1.48%20 days: Avg +1.45% · Win 80% · DD -2.31%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 07/08/2025 | 131.65 | near 52w high | +1.69% | -1.66% | -0.16% | -1.66% | +1.91% |
| 2024 | 07/08/2024 | 98.67 | far below SMA50 | +8.87% | +14.31% | +6.09% | +0.00% | +14.31% |
| 2023 | 07/08/2023 | 85.82 | neutral | -1.21% | -2.06% | +3.02% | -4.04% | +3.02% |
| 2022 | 08/08/2022 | 72.89 | neutral | +3.97% | -1.23% | -9.47% | -9.47% | +3.97% |
| 2021 | 06/08/2021 | 77.43 | near 52w high | +0.08% | +0.57% | +2.91% | -1.67% | +3.13% |
| 2020 | 07/08/2020 | 56.87 | near 52w high | +0.12% | +3.69% | +3.85% | -2.07% | +11.68% |
| 2019 | 07/08/2019 | 38.74 | volume x1.6 | -0.68% | +3.24% | +5.27% | -0.86% | +5.27% |
| 2018 | 07/08/2018 | 36.69 | near 52w high | -0.01% | -0.31% | +1.34% | -0.91% | +3.24% |
| 2017 | 07/08/2017 | 28.98 | near 52w high | +0.09% | -1.57% | +0.52% | -2.16% | +1.50% |
| 2016 | 08/08/2016 | 23.52 | near 52w high | +0.64% | -0.04% | +1.17% | -0.23% | +1.17% |
Upcoming 21/08/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.06% · Win 80% · DD -1.99%20 days: Avg -0.13% · Win 60% · DD -3.35%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 21/08/2025 | 129.46 | near 52w high | +2.95% | +1.53% | +7.73% | +0.00% | +7.73% |
| 2024 | 21/08/2024 | 112.79 | neutral | -2.73% | -7.19% | -0.87% | -9.60% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 21/08/2023 | 84.06 | neutral | +1.18% | +5.19% | +0.90% | -0.65% | +5.19% |
| 2022 | 22/08/2022 | 71.99 | neutral | -4.13% | -8.34% | -10.41% | -10.61% | +1.49% |
| 2021 | 20/08/2021 | 77.87 | near 52w high | +1.45% | +2.32% | -1.99% | -1.99% | +2.54% |
| 2020 | 21/08/2020 | 58.97 | near 52w high | +4.43% | +0.15% | -4.45% | -5.24% | +7.71% |
| 2019 | 21/08/2019 | 40.00 | near 52w high | -2.26% | +1.96% | +1.83% | -3.54% | +2.20% |
| 2018 | 21/08/2018 | 36.58 | near 52w high | +2.64% | +1.65% | +1.53% | +0.00% | +3.57% |
| 2017 | 21/08/2017 | 28.52 | near 52w high | +1.33% | +2.12% | +3.88% | +0.00% | +3.88% |
| 2016 | 22/08/2016 | 23.51 | near 52w high | +0.45% | +1.21% | +0.56% | -1.83% | +1.47% |
Upcoming 28/08/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.57% · Win 40% · DD -2.76%20 days: Avg -0.83% · Win 50% · DD -4.25%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/08/2025 | 133.27 | near 52w high | -1.38% | +1.63% | +4.75% | -2.53% | +6.18% |
| 2024 | 28/08/2024 | 109.71 | neutral | -4.59% | -0.04% | +3.74% | -7.06% | +3.74% |
| 2023 | 28/08/2023 | 85.04 | neutral | +3.96% | +0.26% | -4.57% | -4.57% | +3.96% |
| 2022 | 29/08/2022 | 69.01 | neutral | -4.39% | -4.37% | -10.64% | -10.76% | +0.99% |
| 2021 | 27/08/2021 | 79.00 | near 52w high | +0.86% | -0.84% | -1.61% | -3.39% | +1.08% |
| 2020 | 28/08/2020 | 61.58 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -4.09% | -6.36% | -5.51% | -9.95% | +3.14% |
| 2019 | 28/08/2019 | 39.10 | neutral | +4.32% | +4.57% | +3.62% | +0.00% | +4.57% |
| 2018 | 28/08/2018 | 37.54 | near 52w high | -0.96% | -1.28% | -0.30% | -2.01% | +0.91% |
| 2017 | 28/08/2017 | 28.91 | near 52w high | +0.78% | +2.04% | +0.76% | +0.00% | +2.51% |
| 2016 | 29/08/2016 | 23.61 | near 52w high | +0.76% | -1.36% | +1.48% | -2.27% | +1.86% |
Upcoming 01/09/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.25% · Win 40% · DD -3.52%20 days: Avg -1.41% · Win 60% · DD -5.19%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 02/09/2025 | 129.90 | near 52w high | +2.13% | +4.84% | +8.63% | +0.00% | +8.94% |
| 2024 | 30/08/2024 | 110.17 | neutral | -5.93% | -0.33% | +2.65% | -7.45% | +3.31% |
| 2023 | 01/09/2023 | 88.10 | near 52w high | -1.42% | -3.68% | -5.76% | -7.88% | +0.36% |
| 2022 | 01/09/2022 | 67.30 | neutral | +1.93% | -4.38% | -11.54% | -11.54% | +3.57% |
| 2021 | 01/09/2021 | 79.45 | near 52w high · volume x1.7 | -0.45% | -0.60% | -5.86% | -5.86% | +0.31% |
| 2020 | 01/09/2020 | 62.96 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.6 | -7.51% | -8.93% | -7.11% | -11.92% | +0.89% |
| 2019 | 30/08/2019 | 39.76 | near 52w high | +1.71% | +1.80% | +1.57% | -1.22% | +2.80% |
| 2018 | 31/08/2018 | 37.80 | near 52w high | -2.37% | -2.12% | +0.46% | -2.67% | +0.46% |
| 2017 | 01/09/2017 | 29.39 | near 52w high | +0.12% | +0.37% | +1.06% | -1.28% | +1.06% |
| 2016 | 01/09/2016 | 23.57 | near 52w high | -2.08% | +0.56% | +1.78% | -2.08% | +2.05% |
Upcoming 21/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.85% · Win 80% · DD -2.02%20 days: Avg +1.14% · Win 70% · DD -2.87%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 22/09/2025 | 141.33 | near 52w high | -0.82% | +1.75% | +1.96% | -1.65% | +2.84% |
| 2024 | 20/09/2024 | 111.26 | neutral | +1.34% | +1.42% | +3.95% | -0.84% | +5.26% |
| 2023 | 21/09/2023 | 82.03 | neutral | -0.42% | +0.65% | +1.65% | -1.27% | +4.28% |
| 2022 | 21/09/2022 | 63.33 | near 52w low | -1.84% | +0.25% | -4.45% | -7.98% | +0.25% |
| 2021 | 21/09/2021 | 76.22 | near 52w high | -1.21% | -1.49% | +4.17% | -2.87% | +4.17% |
| 2020 | 21/09/2020 | 56.22 | neutral | +3.27% | +4.46% | +5.75% | -1.58% | +9.80% |
| 2019 | 20/09/2019 | 40.13 | near 52w high | -0.71% | +0.36% | +0.81% | -2.47% | +2.69% |
| 2018 | 21/09/2018 | 37.31 | near 52w high · volume x1.8 | +0.97% | -1.33% | -6.17% | -8.02% | +1.77% |
| 2017 | 21/09/2017 | 29.25 | near 52w high | +0.36% | +2.34% | +3.76% | -1.13% | +4.07% |
| 2016 | 21/09/2016 | 23.81 | near 52w high | +0.42% | +0.04% | +0.00% | -0.90% | +0.69% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp rally recently — watch for follow-through.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+2.0%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -6.0% · from 52w low: +47.5%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +9.24% · +3.39% · +4.31% · +10.27% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +4.67% · +2.05% · +19.95% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -5.95% · +47.54% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 5.79 · 1.40x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +2.28% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +1.16% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +5.30% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 178.56 · 183.15 · 155.81 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 198.73 · 126.68 |
|---|
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