🕰️ Time Machine

XLK — Technology Select Sector SPDR

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 03/11/2026

Last price (Close)
176.87 +1.52%
Next window · Fib 21 · in window · in 1 days
04/11/2026
Last window · Fib 13 · 23/10/2026
since -3.47%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 29/07/2026
166.46
Days: 68 trading / 97 calendar · return since: +6.25%
Last major high · 06/10/2026
203.25
Days: 20 trading / 28 calendar · return since: -12.98%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 29/07/2026 @ 166.46Cycle 60Trading📅 22/10/2026-8 (±2)Passed
High 06/10/2026 @ 203.25Fib 13Trading📅 23/10/2026-7 (±1)Passed
Low 29/07/2026 @ 166.46Cycle 90Calendar📅 27/10/2026-7 (±3)Passed
High 06/10/2026 @ 203.25Fib 21Calendar📅 27/10/2026-7 (±1)Passed
High 06/10/2026 @ 203.25Fib 21Trading📅 04/11/2026+1 (±1)In window
High 06/10/2026 @ 203.25Cycle 30Calendar📅 05/11/2026+2 (±2)In window
High 06/10/2026 @ 203.25Cycle 30Trading📅 17/11/2026+10 (±2)Upcoming
High 06/10/2026 @ 203.25Cycle 45Calendar📅 20/11/2026+17 (±2)Upcoming
Low 29/07/2026 @ 166.46Cycle 120Calendar📅 26/11/2026+23 (±3)Upcoming
Low 29/07/2026 @ 166.46Cycle 90Trading📅 04/12/2026+22 (±3)Upcoming
High 06/10/2026 @ 203.25Cycle 60Calendar📅 05/12/2026+32 (±2)Upcoming
High 06/10/2026 @ 203.25Cycle 45Trading📅 09/12/2026+25 (±2)Upcoming
High 06/10/2026 @ 203.25Cycle 60Trading📅 31/12/2026+40 (±2)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

● Gap Day 30/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 27/10/2026
● Doji After Run 28/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 27/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 28/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 27/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 20/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 22/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 15/10/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 22/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.09% · Win 67% · DD -2.54%20 days: Avg +3.79% · Win 67% · DD -3.00%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202522/10/2025142.74near 52w high+6.53%+3.36%-1.58%-2.26%+6.53%
202422/10/2024115.88near 52w high+0.68%-2.10%-0.18%-4.10%+2.45%
202323/10/202382.07neutral-0.78%+5.34%+12.99%-2.40%+12.99%
202221/10/202262.17neutral+4.21%-2.69%+6.23%-4.44%+7.45%
202122/10/202179.21near 52w high+1.97%+5.47%+8.14%+0.00%+8.14%
202022/10/202059.28neutral-4.39%+2.18%+2.35%-6.50%+3.20%
201922/10/201940.34near 52w high+3.14%+5.37%+8.66%+0.00%+8.66%
201822/10/201835.29neutral-5.17%-2.72%-7.05%-7.05%+0.76%
201723/10/201730.41near 52w high+3.08%+4.64%+4.57%-0.26%+5.26%
Passed 23/10/2026 · High Fib 13/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.37% · Win 78% · DD -2.48%20 days: Avg +2.81% · Win 78% · DD -3.56%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202523/10/2025144.54near 52w high+3.91%+0.02%-5.86%-5.86%+5.20%
202423/10/2024114.21near 52w high+0.52%+2.15%+1.18%-2.71%+3.94%
202323/10/202382.07neutral-0.78%+5.34%+12.99%-2.40%+12.99%
202224/10/202263.03neutral+1.44%-2.42%+3.66%-5.74%+5.98%
202122/10/202179.21near 52w high+1.97%+5.47%+8.14%+0.00%+8.14%
202023/10/202059.22neutral-6.40%+2.65%+1.41%-6.40%+3.32%
201923/10/201940.38near 52w high+3.68%+5.23%+7.91%+0.00%+8.57%
201823/10/201835.16neutral-3.74%-1.73%-8.70%-8.70%+1.15%
201723/10/201730.41near 52w high+3.08%+4.64%+4.57%-0.26%+5.26%
Passed 27/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.32% · Win 89% · DD -2.09%20 days: Avg +3.61% · Win 78% · DD -3.15%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/10/2025149.50near 52w high+0.97%-1.16%-6.45%-8.98%+1.72%
202428/10/2024115.11near 52w high-2.81%+2.45%+1.46%-3.47%+3.13%
202327/10/202380.56neutral+6.60%+11.42%+14.45%+0.00%+15.10%
202227/10/202262.09neutral-4.32%+5.41%+7.59%-4.32%+8.21%
202127/10/202179.62near 52w high+2.78%+3.32%+6.91%+0.00%+7.58%
202027/10/202058.22neutral-2.88%+1.72%+4.55%-4.80%+5.08%
201928/10/201941.99near 52w high+1.36%+2.61%+4.62%-0.91%+4.62%
201826/10/201834.04volume x1.7+0.95%+2.57%-3.76%-5.89%+4.46%
201727/10/201731.27near 52w high · volume x2.0+1.52%+1.54%+3.13%+0.00%+3.13%
In window 04/11/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.85% · Win 70% · DD -1.20%20 days: Avg +2.58% · Win 60% · DD -1.72%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/11/2025146.97near 52w high-0.32%-5.07%-1.34%-7.41%+0.54%
202404/11/2024111.87neutral+5.41%+2.55%+5.84%+0.00%+6.11%
202303/11/202385.88neutral+4.52%+6.43%+6.73%+0.00%+8.05%
202204/11/202260.49neutral+10.04%+9.17%+10.02%-0.02%+12.53%
202104/11/202183.11near 52w high · volume x1.7-0.55%+2.32%-0.66%-1.02%+3.06%
202004/11/202058.75volume x1.7+3.20%+2.46%+6.20%+0.00%+6.43%
201904/11/201942.56near 52w high+1.23%+2.81%+1.20%-0.16%+3.89%
201805/11/201834.33neutral-1.88%-4.46%-2.71%-6.68%+3.58%
201703/11/201731.75near 52w high+0.02%-0.22%-1.58%-1.58%+1.92%
201604/11/201623.09near 52w high+1.19%+2.56%+2.08%-0.35%+4.09%
In window 05/11/2026 · High Cycle 30/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.75% · Win 70% · DD -1.53%20 days: Avg +2.47% · Win 60% · DD -2.04%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202505/11/2025147.54near 52w high-0.40%-4.78%-1.36%-7.77%+0.15%
202405/11/2024113.44near 52w high+4.08%+1.96%+6.28%+0.00%+6.28%
202306/11/202386.44near 52w high+3.23%+7.26%+6.67%+0.00%+7.34%
202204/11/202260.49neutral+10.04%+9.17%+10.02%-0.02%+12.53%
202105/11/202183.54near 52w high+0.14%+2.53%-0.23%-1.53%+2.53%
202005/11/202060.58neutral-0.80%+0.17%+4.04%-2.23%+4.04%
201905/11/201942.51near 52w high+1.69%+3.13%+1.73%-0.05%+4.01%
201805/11/201834.33neutral-1.88%-4.46%-2.71%-6.68%+3.58%
201706/11/201731.82near 52w high-0.24%-0.06%-1.76%-1.79%+1.70%
201604/11/201623.09near 52w high+1.19%+2.56%+2.08%-0.35%+4.09%
Upcoming 17/11/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.78% · Win 60% · DD -1.95%20 days: Avg +1.47% · Win 80% · DD -2.28%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202517/11/2025141.82neutral-1.39%+2.00%+0.52%-4.05%+4.87%
202418/11/2024114.72near 52w high+1.80%+3.20%+4.59%+0.00%+5.23%
202317/11/202391.40near 52w high+0.88%+0.28%+5.18%+0.00%+5.18%
202217/11/202265.97neutral+1.26%+2.59%-3.38%-3.38%+3.19%
202117/11/202184.19near 52w high+1.10%-0.27%+0.37%-1.94%+3.85%
202017/11/202060.85near 52w high+0.05%+2.61%+4.93%-1.32%+4.93%
201918/11/201943.75near 52w high+0.40%-1.57%+2.95%-1.57%+3.19%
201816/11/201834.10neutral-3.93%+1.80%-6.61%-7.34%+1.80%
201717/11/201731.67near 52w high+1.82%-1.36%+3.19%-1.36%+3.19%
201617/11/201623.70near 52w high+1.27%-1.50%+2.96%-1.86%+3.71%
Upcoming 20/11/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.43% · Win 40% · DD -1.15%20 days: Avg +1.60% · Win 70% · DD -1.89%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202520/11/2025136.07volume x2.6+5.17%+7.73%+6.26%+0.00%+9.30%
202420/11/2024115.57near 52w high+0.19%+3.80%+0.59%+0.00%+4.46%
202320/11/202392.72near 52w high-0.38%-0.56%+4.07%-1.40%+4.07%
202221/11/202265.33neutral-0.93%-0.31%-3.60%-3.74%+4.19%
202119/11/202185.65near 52w high-0.68%-2.69%-3.17%-3.61%+2.08%
202020/11/202060.06neutral+2.81%+5.24%+6.88%-0.02%+7.15%
201920/11/201943.57near 52w high+1.47%-0.39%+4.11%-1.16%+4.11%
201820/11/201832.10neutral+5.86%+4.30%-4.49%-4.49%+8.16%
201720/11/201731.80near 52w high+1.76%-1.70%+2.17%-1.73%+2.80%
201621/11/201623.92near 52w high+0.48%-1.17%+3.13%-2.76%+3.13%
Upcoming 26/11/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.47% · Win 80% · DD -1.55%20 days: Avg +1.79% · Win 70% · DD -3.10%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202526/11/2025141.89neutral+2.57%+4.29%+3.43%-1.76%+4.82%
202426/11/2024117.38near 52w high+2.71%+1.96%+2.69%-1.35%+2.85%
202327/11/202392.20near 52w high-0.59%+2.11%+4.81%-0.84%+4.81%
202225/11/202266.80neutral+1.32%-2.01%-6.47%-6.57%+1.91%
202126/11/202183.00near 52w high-0.52%+5.36%+6.62%-0.52%+6.62%
202025/11/202061.01near 52w high+2.28%+2.09%+6.02%+0.00%+6.13%
201926/11/201943.97near 52w high-1.65%+0.03%+4.88%-2.05%+4.88%
201826/11/201832.76neutral+5.97%+0.06%-6.36%-11.69%+5.97%
201727/11/201732.25near 52w high-3.12%-0.54%-0.23%-3.12%+1.35%
201625/11/201624.00near 52w high-2.73%+1.35%+2.47%-3.08%+2.78%
Upcoming 04/12/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.29% · Win 60% · DD -2.16%20 days: Avg +0.96% · Win 60% · DD -3.14%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/12/2025145.54near 52w high+1.67%-2.75%-0.48%-4.22%+2.20%
202404/12/2024120.57near 52w high-0.73%-3.69%-2.07%-3.69%+0.13%
202304/12/202391.66near 52w high+2.71%+4.88%+1.43%-0.25%+5.55%
202205/12/202266.56neutral+0.50%-5.51%-6.89%-8.51%+1.68%
202103/12/202182.57volume x2.0+5.90%+1.67%+6.49%+0.00%+7.18%
202004/12/202063.02near 52w high-1.38%+1.75%+2.37%-1.38%+3.80%
201904/12/201943.24near 52w high+1.71%+4.15%+7.12%+0.00%+8.34%
201804/12/201833.40neutral-1.09%-6.54%-7.55%-13.38%+0.22%
201704/12/201731.25near 52w high · volume x1.6+2.66%+4.61%+4.85%+0.00%+4.85%
201605/12/201623.57near 52w high+2.88%+4.28%+4.32%+0.00%+4.77%
Upcoming 05/12/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.21% · Win 50% · DD -2.29%20 days: Avg +0.89% · Win 70% · DD -3.27%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202505/12/2025146.60near 52w high-1.98%-1.36%+0.19%-4.92%+1.45%
202405/12/2024119.96near 52w high-0.78%-3.09%-0.32%-3.20%+0.64%
202305/12/202392.21near 52w high+2.78%+4.66%+0.08%-0.85%+4.92%
202205/12/202266.56neutral+0.50%-5.51%-6.89%-8.51%+1.68%
202106/12/202183.35near 52w high+3.35%-0.49%+4.37%-0.49%+6.17%
202004/12/202063.02near 52w high-1.38%+1.75%+2.37%-1.38%+3.80%
201905/12/201943.40near 52w high+2.42%+4.52%+6.98%+0.00%+7.94%
201804/12/201833.40neutral-1.09%-6.54%-7.55%-13.38%+0.22%
201705/12/201731.25near 52w high+2.59%+3.94%+5.35%+0.00%+5.35%
201605/12/201623.57near 52w high+2.88%+4.28%+4.32%+0.00%+4.77%
Upcoming 09/12/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.25% · Win 60% · DD -2.87%20 days: Avg +0.80% · Win 50% · DD -3.23%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202509/12/2025148.02near 52w high-3.69%-1.25%-2.41%-5.83%+0.48%
202409/12/2024119.64near 52w high+0.91%-0.34%-2.09%-2.94%+0.91%
202308/12/202393.33near 52w high+2.70%+3.11%+1.50%-1.14%+3.66%
202209/12/202265.46neutral-2.62%-4.55%-2.74%-7.17%+3.39%
202109/12/202185.72near 52w high-1.42%+1.07%-3.03%-3.24%+3.23%
202009/12/202062.19near 52w high+2.66%+3.32%+5.37%-0.06%+5.37%
201909/12/201943.65near 52w high+3.42%+4.82%+7.46%+0.00%+7.46%
201810/12/201832.74neutral-3.50%-11.64%-2.80%-11.64%+1.07%
201708/12/201731.80near 52w high+1.89%+1.86%+4.76%+0.00%+5.03%
201609/12/201624.33near 52w high+0.32%+1.10%+1.99%-0.31%+1.99%
Upcoming 31/12/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.23% · Win 70% · DD -2.24%20 days: Avg +3.19% · Win 70% · DD -3.14%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202531/12/2025143.97neutral+0.19%+1.03%-0.06%-1.48%+3.65%
202431/12/2024116.26near 52w high+0.58%-0.87%-0.74%-2.31%+4.00%
202329/12/202396.24near 52w high-1.94%+0.12%+4.90%-4.34%+6.04%
202230/12/202262.22neutral+1.40%+5.34%+9.26%-2.62%+9.85%
202131/12/202186.93near 52w high-4.57%-4.66%-6.84%-12.93%+0.95%
202031/12/202065.01near 52w high+0.57%-2.00%+1.65%-2.70%+3.08%
201931/12/201945.83near 52w high+2.01%+3.84%+6.93%+0.00%+6.93%
201831/12/201830.99neutral+0.95%+3.10%+7.05%-4.99%+7.05%
201729/12/201731.98near 52w high+4.07%+4.07%+6.24%+0.00%+8.19%
201630/12/201624.18near 52w high+2.13%+2.30%+3.56%+0.00%+4.92%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-6.6%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY.
· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -13.0% · from 52w low: +39.6%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-6.66% · -4.62% · -12.44% · -4.96%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-6.05% · -6.64% · +4.14%
Distance from 52w high / low-12.98% · +39.62%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg4.92 · 0.14x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-2.78%
vs SPY (20d)-9.40%
vs SMH (20d)+5.17%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200188.27 · 189.44 · 169.84
52w high / low203.25 · 126.68