🕰️ Time Machine

XLK — Technology Select Sector SPDR

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 18/09/2026

Last price (Close)
189.60 +0.82%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in 7 days
29/09/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 16/09/2026
since +3.08%
Trend
Strong uptrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 29/07/2026
166.46
Days: 36 trading / 51 calendar · return since: +13.90%
Last major high · 17/08/2026
191.75
Days: 23 trading / 32 calendar · return since: -1.12%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 17/08/2026 @ 191.75Fib 13Trading📅 03/09/2026-10 (±1)Passed
Low 29/07/2026 @ 166.46Cycle 30Trading📅 10/09/2026-6 (±2)Passed
Low 29/07/2026 @ 166.46Cycle 45Calendar📅 12/09/2026-6 (±2)Passed
High 17/08/2026 @ 191.75Fib 21Trading📅 16/09/2026-2 (±1)Passed
High 17/08/2026 @ 191.75Cycle 30Calendar📅 16/09/2026-2 (±2)In window
Low 29/07/2026 @ 166.46Cycle 60Calendar📅 27/09/2026+9 (±2)Upcoming
High 17/08/2026 @ 191.75Cycle 30Trading📅 29/09/2026+7 (±2)Upcoming
Low 29/07/2026 @ 166.46Cycle 45Trading📅 01/10/2026+9 (±2)Upcoming
High 17/08/2026 @ 191.75Cycle 45Calendar📅 01/10/2026+13 (±2)Upcoming
High 17/08/2026 @ 191.75Cycle 60Calendar📅 16/10/2026+28 (±2)Upcoming
High 17/08/2026 @ 191.75Cycle 45Trading📅 20/10/2026+22 (±2)Upcoming
Low 29/07/2026 @ 166.46Cycle 60Trading📅 22/10/2026+24 (±2)Upcoming
Low 29/07/2026 @ 166.46Cycle 90Calendar📅 27/10/2026+39 (±3)Upcoming
High 17/08/2026 @ 191.75Cycle 60Trading📅 10/11/2026+37 (±2)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

NR7 Compression 15/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 16/09/2026
Gap Day 14/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 12/09/2026
Shooting Star 09/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 10/09/2026
NR7 Compression 31/08/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 03/09/2026
Bullish Engulfing 26/08/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 03/09/2026 · High Fib 13/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.67% · Win 44% · DD -2.75%20 days: Avg -0.70% · Win 56% · DD -4.35%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/09/2025130.68near 52w high+3.37%+3.86%+9.04%+0.00%+9.04%
202403/09/2024105.11neutral+0.07%+4.26%+4.97%-2.99%+8.29%
202301/09/202388.10near 52w high-1.42%-3.68%-5.76%-7.88%+0.36%
202202/09/202266.43neutral+4.93%-2.33%-7.59%-10.37%+4.93%
202103/09/202179.68near 52w high · volume x1.6-1.68%-4.21%-6.93%-6.93%+0.03%
202003/09/202059.90volume x2.9-5.70%-6.70%-3.84%-7.42%+0.00%
201903/09/201939.28neutral+2.44%+3.48%+1.87%+0.00%+4.07%
201804/09/201837.65near 52w high-1.16%-1.12%+0.86%-2.30%+0.86%
201701/09/201729.39near 52w high+0.12%+0.37%+1.06%-1.28%+1.06%
Passed 10/09/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.73% · Win 44% · DD -2.45%20 days: Avg +0.34% · Win 44% · DD -3.61%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/09/2025135.07near 52w high+0.47%+3.22%+7.74%+0.00%+7.74%
202410/09/2024105.18neutral+4.19%+6.49%+8.54%+0.00%+8.54%
202311/09/202386.85near 52w high-2.29%-4.83%-2.44%-6.55%+0.00%
202209/09/202268.60neutral-6.19%-9.59%-11.76%-13.21%+1.60%
202110/09/202178.32near 52w high-0.73%+0.23%-2.81%-5.31%+0.84%
202010/09/202056.92neutral-0.10%-2.02%+4.22%-2.57%+4.22%
201910/09/201940.24near 52w high+1.01%-0.62%-1.86%-2.43%+1.59%
201810/09/201836.90near 52w high · volume x1.5+0.26%+1.93%-1.05%-1.05%+3.22%
201711/09/201729.42near 52w high+0.25%-1.38%+2.49%-1.38%+2.49%
Passed 12/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.16% · Win 44% · DD -2.87%20 days: Avg -0.95% · Win 44% · DD -4.34%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202512/09/2025135.44near 52w high+2.97%+3.07%+2.90%+0.00%+7.45%
202412/09/2024109.67neutral+1.95%+3.78%+5.24%-0.99%+5.26%
202312/09/202385.27neutral-0.54%-4.82%-0.49%-4.82%+0.98%
202212/09/202269.70neutral-6.92%-11.63%-14.61%-14.61%+0.00%
202113/09/202178.34near 52w high-2.57%-0.78%-3.38%-5.34%+0.80%
202011/09/202056.48neutral-1.06%+1.09%+6.63%-1.82%+6.63%
201912/09/201940.88near 52w high-0.37%-0.90%-1.28%-3.96%+0.00%
201812/09/201837.06near 52w high+0.20%+0.99%-5.91%-5.91%+2.78%
201712/09/201729.50near 52w high+0.46%-1.26%+2.35%-1.62%+2.35%
Passed 16/09/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.28% · Win 60% · DD -2.43%20 days: Avg +0.47% · Win 70% · DD -3.55%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202516/09/2025136.18near 52w high+3.01%+3.62%+3.49%-0.35%+6.86%
202416/09/2024109.80neutral+1.32%+2.99%+6.67%-1.11%+6.67%
202315/09/202384.45neutral-2.45%-2.74%+0.05%-3.90%+1.51%
202216/09/202264.36volume x1.6-3.62%-7.49%-9.03%-9.22%+0.82%
202116/09/202178.97near 52w high-0.67%-5.29%-1.90%-6.09%+0.00%
202016/09/202057.33neutral-3.28%+2.00%+6.65%-3.28%+7.90%
201916/09/201940.48near 52w high-0.25%-0.22%+1.01%-3.01%+1.07%
201817/09/201837.00near 52w high+1.67%+2.63%-5.53%-6.94%+2.96%
201715/09/201729.37near 52w high-0.37%+0.61%+3.00%-1.55%+3.00%
201619/09/201623.56near 52w high+0.19%+1.10%+0.32%-0.06%+1.76%
Upcoming 27/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.25% · Win 50% · DD -2.39%20 days: Avg +1.51% · Win 80% · DD -2.66%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202526/09/2025139.42near 52w high+2.11%-0.16%+5.29%-0.16%+5.29%
202427/09/2024112.55neutral+0.08%+2.54%+2.31%-2.15%+3.87%
202327/09/202381.11neutral+1.66%+5.36%+0.67%+0.00%+5.46%
202227/09/202261.52near 52w low · far below SMA50+2.87%-4.97%+4.41%-5.27%+4.41%
202127/09/202177.60near 52w high-4.59%-2.62%+2.41%-4.59%+2.43%
202028/09/202058.06neutral+1.15%+6.32%-0.22%-1.02%+6.32%
201927/09/201939.85near 52w high+1.08%+2.36%+4.05%-1.77%+4.05%
201827/09/201837.53near 52w high-0.65%-8.55%-7.42%-10.50%+1.17%
201727/09/201729.32near 52w high+1.13%+2.95%+3.45%+0.00%+4.21%
201627/09/201623.86near 52w high-0.54%-0.67%+0.19%-1.13%+0.54%
Upcoming 29/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.09% · Win 70% · DD -2.22%20 days: Avg +1.64% · Win 70% · DD -2.57%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/09/2025140.16near 52w high+2.59%+1.73%+6.66%-0.69%+6.66%
202430/09/2024112.88neutral-0.89%+3.57%+1.98%-2.44%+3.57%
202329/09/202381.96neutral+2.62%+2.87%-1.71%-2.28%+4.36%
202229/09/202260.55near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x1.9+4.00%-0.76%+2.54%-3.75%+6.09%
202129/09/202175.20neutral+0.50%+0.57%+5.88%-1.56%+5.97%
202029/09/202057.87neutral-0.08%+6.00%+0.62%-0.68%+6.68%
201930/09/201940.26near 52w high-0.40%+1.23%+4.27%-2.79%+4.27%
201828/09/201837.67near 52w high-2.27%-5.97%-9.61%-10.83%+0.80%
201729/09/201729.55near 52w high+1.44%+2.37%+5.82%+0.00%+5.82%
201629/09/201623.76near 52w high+0.46%-0.72%-0.08%-0.72%+0.97%
Upcoming 01/10/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.77% · Win 60% · DD -2.30%20 days: Avg +2.08% · Win 60% · DD -2.98%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202501/10/2025142.31near 52w high+2.13%-0.11%+6.85%-2.19%+6.85%
202401/10/2024110.13neutral+3.48%+3.82%+5.93%+0.00%+6.16%
202302/10/202382.85neutral+2.05%+2.75%-1.71%-3.32%+3.25%
202230/09/202259.39near 52w low · far below SMA50+1.68%-1.67%+9.09%-1.87%+9.09%
202101/10/202175.79volume x2.0+0.26%+2.86%+6.57%-2.32%+6.57%
202001/10/202058.97neutral+0.37%+3.00%-3.87%-5.44%+4.69%
201901/10/201939.89near 52w high-1.30%+3.31%+4.30%-1.88%+5.25%
201801/10/201837.85near 52w high-3.83%-7.95%-11.56%-11.56%+0.32%
201702/10/201729.59near 52w high+1.54%+2.58%+5.90%+0.00%+5.90%
201630/09/201623.89near 52w high-0.33%-0.86%-0.71%-1.23%+0.44%
Upcoming 16/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.28% · Win 70% · DD -2.31%20 days: Avg +2.69% · Win 80% · DD -2.97%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202516/10/2025142.26near 52w high+1.61%+5.58%+0.73%+0.00%+6.90%
202416/10/2024114.69near 52w high-0.42%+0.10%+2.59%-3.12%+3.50%
202316/10/202385.12neutral-3.59%-4.35%+4.83%-5.91%+5.44%
202217/10/202260.18neutral+4.74%+6.24%+9.67%-1.28%+10.62%
202115/10/202177.96near 52w high+1.60%+3.60%+7.31%+0.00%+7.74%
202016/10/202060.56neutral-2.21%-8.47%+0.07%-8.47%+0.38%
201916/10/201940.92near 52w high-1.34%+2.28%+5.85%-1.43%+5.85%
201816/10/201835.88neutral-2.02%-5.68%-6.01%-6.73%+0.00%
201716/10/201730.36near 52w high+0.15%+3.23%+4.55%-0.12%+5.42%
201617/10/201623.64near 52w high+1.52%+0.32%-2.64%-2.64%+1.52%
Upcoming 20/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.60% · Win 50% · DD -2.53%20 days: Avg +3.42% · Win 60% · DD -2.68%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202520/10/2025144.10near 52w high+3.75%+4.76%-1.58%-1.58%+5.53%
202421/10/2024116.00near 52w high-0.76%-3.56%-1.09%-4.20%+2.34%
202320/10/202381.97neutral-1.72%+4.77%+11.50%-2.29%+11.74%
202220/10/202260.55neutral+2.54%-1.88%+8.95%-1.88%+10.32%
202120/10/202179.18near 52w high+0.56%+3.35%+6.34%+0.00%+6.66%
202020/10/202059.65neutral-2.40%-5.20%+1.99%-7.08%+2.56%
201921/10/201940.89near 52w high+2.68%+4.07%+6.99%-1.35%+6.99%
201819/10/201835.01neutral-2.74%-1.81%-2.57%-4.80%+1.60%
201720/10/201730.55near 52w high+2.36%+3.91%+3.68%-0.74%+4.76%
201620/10/201623.70near 52w high+0.19%-2.41%+0.00%-2.91%+1.24%
Upcoming 22/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.60% · Win 60% · DD -2.57%20 days: Avg +3.38% · Win 60% · DD -3.02%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202522/10/2025142.74near 52w high+6.53%+3.36%-1.58%-2.26%+6.53%
202422/10/2024115.88near 52w high+0.68%-2.10%-0.18%-4.10%+2.45%
202323/10/202382.07neutral-0.78%+5.34%+12.99%-2.40%+12.99%
202221/10/202262.17neutral+4.21%-2.69%+6.23%-4.44%+7.45%
202122/10/202179.21near 52w high+1.97%+5.47%+8.14%+0.00%+8.14%
202022/10/202059.28neutral-4.39%+2.18%+2.35%-6.50%+3.20%
201922/10/201940.34near 52w high+3.14%+5.37%+8.66%+0.00%+8.66%
201822/10/201835.29neutral-5.17%-2.72%-7.05%-7.05%+0.77%
201723/10/201730.41near 52w high+3.08%+4.64%+4.57%-0.26%+5.26%
201621/10/201623.76near 52w high-0.19%-2.84%-0.36%-3.18%+0.97%
Upcoming 27/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.80% · Win 80% · DD -2.16%20 days: Avg +3.36% · Win 80% · DD -3.15%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/10/2025149.50near 52w high+0.97%-1.16%-6.45%-8.98%+1.72%
202428/10/2024115.11near 52w high-2.81%+2.45%+1.46%-3.47%+3.13%
202327/10/202380.56neutral+6.60%+11.42%+14.45%+0.00%+15.10%
202227/10/202262.09neutral-4.32%+5.41%+7.59%-4.32%+8.21%
202127/10/202179.62near 52w high+2.78%+3.32%+6.91%+0.00%+7.58%
202027/10/202058.22neutral-2.88%+1.72%+4.55%-4.80%+5.08%
201928/10/201941.99near 52w high+1.36%+2.61%+4.62%-0.91%+4.62%
201826/10/201834.04volume x1.7+0.95%+2.57%-3.76%-5.89%+4.46%
201727/10/201731.27near 52w high · volume x2.0+1.52%+1.54%+3.13%+0.00%+3.13%
201627/10/201623.75near 52w high-2.59%-1.90%+1.07%-3.10%+1.07%
Upcoming 10/11/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.51% · Win 70% · DD -2.21%20 days: Avg +1.50% · Win 90% · DD -2.37%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/11/2025147.76near 52w high-4.02%-5.35%+0.17%-7.91%+0.17%
202411/11/2024117.93near 52w high-2.71%-0.96%+0.04%-3.03%+2.24%
202310/11/202389.76near 52w high+1.83%+2.72%+4.89%-0.58%+4.89%
202210/11/202265.45volume x1.9+0.79%+2.06%+0.01%-1.10%+4.01%
202110/11/202182.26near 52w high+2.35%+3.47%+4.20%+0.00%+5.34%
202010/11/202059.22neutral+2.74%+2.79%+5.01%+0.00%+7.06%
201911/11/201943.08near 52w high+1.56%+1.96%+1.40%-0.03%+2.62%
201809/11/201834.92neutral-2.33%-6.17%-6.11%-8.25%+0.00%
201710/11/201731.75near 52w high-0.24%+1.57%+1.02%-1.59%+1.91%
201610/11/201623.30near 52w high · volume x3.9+1.74%+3.03%+4.42%-1.22%+4.42%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+3.5%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· Distance from 52w high: -4.6% · from 52w low: +49.7%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+1.03% · +1.95% · +3.55% · +3.58%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+2.28% · +3.54% · +16.72%
Distance from 52w high / low-4.59% · +49.67%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg2.93 · 1.08x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+2.07%
vs SPY (20d)+3.42%
vs SMH (20d)+1.71%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200185.37 · 183.12 · 162.44
52w high / low198.73 · 126.68