🕰️ Time Machine
XLRE — Real Estate Select Sector SPDR
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 04/08/2026
Last price (Close)
45.17 -0.02%
Next window · Cycle 45 · in window · in 2 days
06/08/2026
Last window · Cycle 60 · 01/08/2026
since +0.22%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 02/06/2026
43.08
Days: 43 trading / 63 calendar · return since: +4.86%
Last major high · 15/06/2026
45.65
Days: 34 trading / 50 calendar · return since: -1.05%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 15/06/2026 @ 45.65 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 29/07/2026 | -4 (±2) | Passed |
| High 15/06/2026 @ 45.65 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 30/07/2026 | -5 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 02/06/2026 @ 43.08 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 01/08/2026 | -3 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 02/06/2026 @ 43.08 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 06/08/2026 | +2 (±2) | In window |
| High 15/06/2026 @ 45.65 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 14/08/2026 | +10 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 15/06/2026 @ 45.65 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 19/08/2026 | +11 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 02/06/2026 @ 43.08 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 27/08/2026 | +17 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 02/06/2026 @ 43.08 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 31/08/2026 | +27 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 15/06/2026 @ 45.65 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 10/09/2026 | +26 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 15/06/2026 @ 45.65 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 13/09/2026 | +40 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Failed Breakout 24/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 29/07/2026
● Failed Breakout 17/07/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 14/07/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 29/07/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.11% · Win 56% · DD -1.63%20 days: Avg +0.46% · Win 56% · DD -2.17%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/07/2025 | 42.75 | neutral | -2.27% | -3.91% | -1.73% | -4.23% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 29/07/2024 | 40.99 | near 52w high | -0.83% | +1.39% | +5.73% | -0.83% | +5.81% |
| 2023 | 28/07/2023 | 37.89 | neutral | -2.16% | -1.32% | -3.80% | -5.30% | +0.79% |
| 2022 | 29/07/2022 | 44.34 | neutral | -1.40% | +2.71% | -3.07% | -3.07% | +3.16% |
| 2021 | 29/07/2021 | 46.23 | near 52w high · volume x1.6 | +1.25% | +0.43% | +0.48% | -0.45% | +1.67% |
| 2020 | 29/07/2020 | 36.60 | neutral | -1.80% | -1.12% | -2.16% | -3.28% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 29/07/2019 | 37.19 | near 52w high | -0.32% | +3.36% | +4.71% | -0.32% | +5.06% |
| 2018 | 30/07/2018 | 32.42 | near 52w high | +3.24% | +1.54% | +3.45% | +0.00% | +4.75% |
| 2017 | 28/07/2017 | 32.64 | near 52w high | -0.15% | -2.08% | +0.49% | -2.08% | +0.49% |
Passed 30/07/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.28% · Win 56% · DD -1.68%20 days: Avg +0.70% · Win 67% · DD -2.23%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 30/07/2025 | 42.15 | volume x1.5 | -1.71% | -1.90% | +0.09% | -2.87% | +0.45% |
| 2024 | 30/07/2024 | 41.29 | near 52w high | +0.63% | +1.36% | +5.23% | -1.55% | +5.23% |
| 2023 | 31/07/2023 | 38.19 | neutral | -1.70% | -2.62% | -3.80% | -6.05% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 29/07/2022 | 44.34 | neutral | -1.40% | +2.71% | -3.07% | -3.07% | +3.16% |
| 2021 | 30/07/2021 | 46.38 | near 52w high | +0.75% | +0.78% | +0.97% | -0.78% | +1.34% |
| 2020 | 30/07/2020 | 36.30 | neutral | -0.80% | -1.46% | -0.03% | -2.48% | +0.55% |
| 2019 | 30/07/2019 | 37.56 | near 52w high | -0.08% | +2.40% | +3.33% | -1.30% | +4.02% |
| 2018 | 30/07/2018 | 32.42 | near 52w high | +3.24% | +1.54% | +3.45% | +0.00% | +4.75% |
| 2017 | 31/07/2017 | 32.59 | near 52w high | -0.06% | -0.31% | +0.12% | -1.93% | +0.64% |
Passed 01/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.02% · Win 60% · DD -1.73%20 days: Avg +0.81% · Win 60% · DD -2.28%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 01/08/2025 | 41.29 | neutral | -0.10% | +0.10% | +2.47% | -0.85% | +2.54% |
| 2024 | 01/08/2024 | 41.83 | near 52w high · volume x1.7 | -0.55% | +0.12% | +3.11% | -2.82% | +3.87% |
| 2023 | 01/08/2023 | 38.12 | neutral | -2.02% | -3.44% | -2.52% | -5.88% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 01/08/2022 | 43.94 | neutral | +0.23% | +4.10% | -3.03% | -3.03% | +4.10% |
| 2021 | 02/08/2021 | 46.40 | near 52w high | +0.26% | +0.84% | +2.16% | -0.82% | +2.16% |
| 2020 | 31/07/2020 | 36.26 | neutral | +0.66% | -1.10% | +0.85% | -2.37% | +0.85% |
| 2019 | 01/08/2019 | 37.50 | near 52w high · volume x2.3 | +2.61% | +2.37% | +4.53% | -1.15% | +4.53% |
| 2018 | 01/08/2018 | 33.27 | near 52w high | -0.24% | +0.21% | +1.89% | -1.05% | +2.07% |
| 2017 | 01/08/2017 | 32.73 | near 52w high | -0.95% | -0.92% | -0.37% | -2.35% | +0.21% |
| 2016 | 05/08/2016 | 33.94 | near 52w high | -0.18% | -2.06% | -1.03% | -2.47% | +0.65% |
In window 06/08/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.21% · Win 60% · DD -1.51%20 days: Avg +1.04% · Win 70% · DD -2.11%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 06/08/2025 | 41.43 | neutral | -0.19% | +0.97% | +0.80% | -1.18% | +2.20% |
| 2024 | 06/08/2024 | 41.55 | near 52w high · volume x1.6 | +0.72% | +1.44% | +5.29% | -0.72% | +5.29% |
| 2023 | 07/08/2023 | 37.54 | neutral | -0.93% | -4.42% | -2.42% | -4.42% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 05/08/2022 | 43.72 | neutral | +4.16% | +2.20% | -5.58% | -5.58% | +4.62% |
| 2021 | 06/08/2021 | 46.73 | near 52w high | +0.02% | +0.58% | +4.28% | -1.52% | +4.28% |
| 2020 | 06/08/2020 | 36.01 | neutral | -0.67% | -0.64% | +1.03% | -1.69% | +2.75% |
| 2019 | 06/08/2019 | 37.53 | near 52w high | +2.48% | +3.17% | +6.85% | +0.00% | +6.85% |
| 2018 | 06/08/2018 | 33.47 | near 52w high | -1.64% | +1.46% | +0.24% | -1.64% | +1.46% |
| 2017 | 07/08/2017 | 32.57 | near 52w high | -0.25% | -0.55% | +0.98% | -1.87% | +1.07% |
| 2016 | 05/08/2016 | 33.94 | near 52w high | -0.18% | -2.06% | -1.03% | -2.47% | +0.65% |
Upcoming 14/08/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.44% · Win 70% · DD -1.65%20 days: Avg +0.32% · Win 70% · DD -2.30%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 14/08/2025 | 41.06 | neutral | +1.51% | +2.48% | +3.14% | -0.29% | +3.60% |
| 2024 | 14/08/2024 | 42.00 | near 52w high | +0.69% | +3.10% | +6.88% | -0.33% | +6.98% |
| 2023 | 14/08/2023 | 37.19 | neutral | -3.52% | -1.21% | -1.48% | -3.52% | +0.27% |
| 2022 | 15/08/2022 | 45.74 | neutral | -4.35% | -6.84% | -8.72% | -9.75% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 13/08/2021 | 46.74 | near 52w high | +0.56% | +0.19% | +0.79% | -0.75% | +4.26% |
| 2020 | 14/08/2020 | 35.86 | neutral | +0.11% | +1.98% | +1.56% | -1.28% | +3.18% |
| 2019 | 14/08/2019 | 37.86 | near 52w high | +2.69% | +2.80% | +3.17% | +0.00% | +5.92% |
| 2018 | 14/08/2018 | 33.05 | near 52w high | +1.82% | +2.72% | +1.85% | +0.00% | +2.75% |
| 2017 | 14/08/2017 | 32.49 | near 52w high | -0.31% | +0.43% | +1.82% | -1.32% | +2.92% |
| 2016 | 15/08/2016 | 33.84 | near 52w high | -1.30% | -1.21% | -5.77% | -5.77% | +0.59% |
Upcoming 19/08/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.10% · Win 70% · DD -1.30%20 days: Avg +0.23% · Win 70% · DD -1.89%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 19/08/2025 | 41.67 | neutral | +0.82% | -0.46% | +0.86% | -0.46% | +2.09% |
| 2024 | 19/08/2024 | 42.11 | near 52w high | +2.92% | +3.66% | +6.86% | +0.00% | +7.72% |
| 2023 | 18/08/2023 | 36.19 | neutral | +0.72% | +2.24% | +0.77% | -0.86% | +3.04% |
| 2022 | 19/08/2022 | 44.68 | neutral | -3.80% | -7.61% | -9.86% | -9.86% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 19/08/2021 | 46.78 | near 52w high | -0.71% | +4.17% | +0.15% | -0.77% | +4.17% |
| 2020 | 19/08/2020 | 35.40 | neutral | +1.16% | +4.52% | +2.60% | +0.00% | +4.92% |
| 2019 | 19/08/2019 | 39.01 | near 52w high | -0.18% | +1.95% | +1.36% | -1.10% | +2.79% |
| 2018 | 20/08/2018 | 33.96 | near 52w high | -1.24% | -1.21% | -1.15% | -1.77% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 18/08/2017 | 32.06 | neutral | +2.31% | +2.68% | +3.23% | +0.00% | +4.30% |
| 2016 | 19/08/2016 | 33.24 | near 52w high | -0.42% | +1.05% | -2.50% | -4.07% | +2.40% |
Upcoming 27/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.30% · Win 70% · DD -1.16%20 days: Avg -2.54% · Win 30% · DD -4.03%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 27/08/2025 | 42.19 | neutral | -1.02% | +0.83% | -0.96% | -1.68% | +0.83% |
| 2024 | 27/08/2024 | 43.45 | near 52w high | +0.69% | +3.13% | +3.53% | -0.74% | +4.40% |
| 2023 | 28/08/2023 | 36.74 | neutral | -0.30% | -0.27% | -6.99% | -6.99% | +1.50% |
| 2022 | 26/08/2022 | 42.98 | neutral | -3.96% | +0.98% | -14.42% | -14.42% | +0.98% |
| 2021 | 27/08/2021 | 46.83 | near 52w high | +4.06% | +0.60% | -3.05% | -3.05% | +4.06% |
| 2020 | 27/08/2020 | 36.29 | neutral | +0.25% | -2.04% | -3.89% | -6.16% | +2.34% |
| 2019 | 27/08/2019 | 38.81 | near 52w high | +3.32% | +0.05% | +1.60% | -0.57% | +3.32% |
| 2018 | 27/08/2018 | 33.54 | near 52w high | +0.03% | +0.27% | -2.17% | -2.17% | +1.22% |
| 2017 | 28/08/2017 | 32.63 | near 52w high | +0.80% | +1.38% | -0.43% | -0.89% | +2.48% |
| 2016 | 26/08/2016 | 33.10 | near 52w high | +1.48% | -1.93% | +1.41% | -3.66% | +2.84% |
Upcoming 31/08/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.26% · Win 30% · DD -1.86%20 days: Avg -3.01% · Win 20% · DD -4.83%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/08/2025 | 42.31 | neutral | -0.97% | -0.02% | -0.07% | -1.96% | +0.54% |
| 2024 | 30/08/2024 | 43.55 | near 52w high | +1.38% | +4.16% | +3.29% | +0.00% | +4.16% |
| 2023 | 31/08/2023 | 37.02 | neutral | -1.08% | -0.62% | -7.23% | -8.51% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 31/08/2022 | 41.85 | volume x1.5 | +1.86% | -3.61% | -14.09% | -14.09% | +3.70% |
| 2021 | 31/08/2021 | 47.68 | near 52w high | +1.68% | -1.03% | -4.73% | -5.35% | +2.20% |
| 2020 | 31/08/2020 | 36.25 | neutral | -1.27% | +1.79% | -2.62% | -6.06% | +2.46% |
| 2019 | 30/08/2019 | 39.21 | near 52w high | +0.74% | -0.56% | +1.00% | -1.58% | +2.27% |
| 2018 | 31/08/2018 | 33.85 | near 52w high | -0.68% | -0.24% | -3.39% | -4.14% | +0.06% |
| 2017 | 31/08/2017 | 32.92 | near 52w high | +0.85% | +1.11% | -1.36% | -2.13% | +1.58% |
| 2016 | 31/08/2016 | 33.38 | near 52w high | +0.68% | -3.57% | -0.86% | -4.47% | +1.97% |
Upcoming 10/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.24% · Win 40% · DD -3.16%20 days: Avg -3.65% · Win 20% · DD -5.41%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/09/2025 | 41.86 | neutral | +0.41% | +0.07% | -0.54% | -0.54% | +1.62% |
| 2024 | 10/09/2024 | 44.93 | near 52w high · volume x1.5 | +0.16% | +0.54% | -2.89% | -3.18% | +0.96% |
| 2023 | 11/09/2023 | 36.64 | neutral | -0.47% | -5.06% | -6.47% | -9.66% | +0.79% |
| 2022 | 09/09/2022 | 43.04 | neutral | -6.25% | -12.17% | -19.04% | -19.04% | +0.84% |
| 2021 | 10/09/2021 | 46.85 | near 52w high | +0.00% | -1.46% | -4.23% | -4.59% | +0.92% |
| 2020 | 10/09/2020 | 35.67 | neutral | +1.82% | -4.08% | +4.44% | -4.53% | +4.44% |
| 2019 | 10/09/2019 | 38.92 | near 52w high | +1.59% | +1.42% | +1.24% | -0.85% | +2.30% |
| 2018 | 10/09/2018 | 33.62 | near 52w high | +0.45% | -2.31% | -3.33% | -4.60% | +0.74% |
| 2017 | 11/09/2017 | 33.44 | near 52w high | -1.03% | -2.93% | -2.20% | -3.65% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 09/09/2016 | 32.16 | near 52w low · volume x7.0 | -0.78% | +3.61% | -3.48% | -3.48% | +3.82% |
Upcoming 13/09/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.68% · Win 20% · DD -3.90%20 days: Avg -3.67% · Win 20% · DD -5.80%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 12/09/2025 | 42.35 | neutral | -1.18% | -0.36% | -3.21% | -3.21% | +0.24% |
| 2024 | 13/09/2024 | 45.21 | near 52w high | -1.17% | -1.35% | -3.26% | -4.24% | +0.33% |
| 2023 | 13/09/2023 | 36.27 | neutral | +0.21% | -6.62% | -3.26% | -8.73% | +1.82% |
| 2022 | 13/09/2022 | 41.75 | neutral | -6.07% | -13.06% | -16.71% | -17.48% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 13/09/2021 | 47.11 | near 52w high | -1.23% | -3.62% | -4.63% | -5.12% | +0.36% |
| 2020 | 14/09/2020 | 36.42 | neutral | -4.87% | -2.57% | +2.54% | -6.50% | +2.54% |
| 2019 | 13/09/2019 | 38.59 | near 52w high | +2.05% | +2.50% | +2.34% | +0.00% | +3.17% |
| 2018 | 13/09/2018 | 33.87 | near 52w high | -1.09% | -3.90% | -8.01% | -8.01% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 13/09/2017 | 32.94 | near 52w high | -0.81% | -2.19% | -0.02% | -2.19% | +1.05% |
| 2016 | 13/09/2016 | 31.72 | near 52w low · volume x2.2 | +1.45% | +4.35% | -2.52% | -2.52% | +5.26% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+1.0%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -2.8% · from 52w low: +13.7%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -1.83% · -0.07% · +0.62% · +2.63% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +0.13% · +1.00% · +5.78% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -2.77% · +13.71% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.66 · 1.29x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -1.41% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -2.52% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +1.61% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 45.11 · 44.72 · 42.70 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 46.46 · 39.72 |
|---|
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