🕰️ Time Machine

XLRE — Real Estate Select Sector SPDR

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 03/11/2026

Last price (Close)
43.38 -0.61%
Next window · Cycle 120 · in 13 days
20/11/2026
Last window · Cycle 90 · 26/10/2026
since +1.34%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 02/06/2026
43.08
Days: 107 trading / 154 calendar · return since: +0.70%
Last major high · 28/07/2026
46.46
Days: 69 trading / 98 calendar · return since: -6.63%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 28/07/2026 @ 46.46Cycle 60Trading📅 21/10/2026-9 (±2)Passed
Low 02/06/2026 @ 43.08Cycle 144Calendar📅 24/10/2026-10 (±3)Passed
High 28/07/2026 @ 46.46Cycle 90Calendar📅 26/10/2026-8 (±3)Passed
Low 02/06/2026 @ 43.08Cycle 120Trading📅 20/11/2026+13 (±3)Upcoming
High 28/07/2026 @ 46.46Cycle 120Calendar📅 25/11/2026+22 (±3)Upcoming
Low 02/06/2026 @ 43.08Cycle 180Calendar📅 29/11/2026+26 (±3)Upcoming
High 28/07/2026 @ 46.46Cycle 90Trading📅 03/12/2026+21 (±3)Upcoming
Low 02/06/2026 @ 43.08Cycle 144Trading📅 28/12/2026+37 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

● Bullish Engulfing 02/11/2026
● Failed Breakout 30/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 26/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 26/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 26/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 22/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 21/10/2026
● Failed Breakout 21/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 21/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 08/10/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 07/10/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 21/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.95% · Win 56% · DD -2.02%20 days: Avg +3.05% · Win 67% · DD -2.38%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/10/202542.35neutral-1.32%-3.33%-3.59%-4.01%+0.92%
202421/10/202443.82near 52w high+0.89%-1.37%-1.05%-2.69%+1.37%
202320/10/202332.75near 52w low-1.22%+7.21%+9.83%-1.71%+9.98%
202221/10/202234.67near 52w low · far below SMA50+6.20%+4.38%+9.75%-0.06%+11.80%
202121/10/202147.35near 52w high+2.22%+1.61%+2.37%+0.00%+2.77%
202021/10/202035.65neutral-4.68%-0.03%+4.15%-4.68%+5.95%
201921/10/201940.18near 52w high-2.76%-3.46%-3.53%-6.42%+0.00%
201822/10/201831.37neutral+2.01%+3.51%+6.95%+0.00%+6.95%
201720/10/201732.73near 52w high-1.65%+0.06%+2.54%-1.80%+3.61%
Passed 24/10/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.58% · Win 56% · DD -2.59%20 days: Avg +2.45% · Win 67% · DD -2.73%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202524/10/202542.65neutral-4.10%-3.24%-4.10%-5.35%+0.21%
202424/10/202444.42near 52w high-2.75%-2.81%-1.49%-4.01%+0.00%
202324/10/202332.88near 52w low+0.67%+4.44%+9.70%-2.10%+10.25%
202224/10/202234.65near 52w low · far below SMA50+6.00%+4.42%+10.59%+0.00%+11.86%
202125/10/202147.83near 52w high+0.21%+0.79%+0.29%-0.27%+1.74%
202023/10/202035.63neutral-4.15%+0.00%+3.68%-4.63%+6.01%
201924/10/201939.98near 52w high-1.63%-5.33%-4.10%-5.95%+0.00%
201824/10/201831.94neutral+0.47%+3.35%+3.60%-1.44%+5.04%
201724/10/201732.40near 52w high+0.31%+3.58%+3.89%-0.80%+4.66%
Passed 26/10/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.16% · Win 67% · DD -2.11%20 days: Avg +2.82% · Win 78% · DD -2.23%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/10/202542.74neutral-4.47%-3.51%-4.16%-5.55%+0.00%
202425/10/202444.07near 52w high-3.02%-0.36%+0.05%-3.24%+0.32%
202326/10/202332.87near 52w low+4.35%+3.47%+10.50%-1.58%+10.50%
202226/10/202235.95neutral-0.67%+0.14%+7.29%-0.72%+7.82%
202126/10/202148.05near 52w high · volume x1.5+0.69%+0.71%+0.89%-0.73%+1.27%
202026/10/202035.20neutral-0.60%+3.89%+4.60%-3.47%+7.30%
201925/10/201939.49near 52w high-0.66%-4.33%-3.47%-4.79%+0.00%
201826/10/201831.48volume x2.0+1.46%+5.21%+4.96%+0.00%+6.58%
201726/10/201732.14near 52w high+1.90%+5.20%+4.76%+0.00%+5.51%
Upcoming 20/11/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.08% · Win 70% · DD -1.09%20 days: Avg -0.07% · Win 30% · DD -2.69%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202520/11/202540.37neutral+3.22%+1.54%-0.10%-0.10%+3.22%
202420/11/202443.47near 52w high+4.00%+0.83%-7.84%-7.84%+4.00%
202320/11/202336.25neutral+1.10%+4.99%+10.79%-0.50%+11.70%
202221/11/202238.32neutral+0.05%-0.78%-3.51%-3.51%+3.00%
202119/11/202148.21near 52w high+0.39%+0.60%+3.14%-2.99%+4.17%
202020/11/202036.94neutral-1.19%+0.05%-2.24%-2.52%+1.06%
201920/11/201938.86near 52w high · volume x1.7-0.15%-0.90%-1.29%-3.58%+0.00%
201820/11/201833.11near 52w high+1.15%+4.14%-3.96%-3.96%+4.14%
201720/11/201733.48near 52w high+0.03%-1.61%-1.34%-1.61%+0.57%
201621/11/201629.63near 52w high+2.53%+1.92%+5.62%-0.27%+5.87%
Upcoming 25/11/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.04% · Win 40% · DD -1.91%20 days: Avg -0.52% · Win 40% · DD -4.00%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202525/11/202541.29neutral-0.53%-1.72%-0.99%-2.33%+0.92%
202425/11/202444.68near 52w high-1.39%-3.42%-7.68%-10.34%+1.19%
202324/11/202336.32neutral+4.65%+4.35%+10.55%+0.00%+11.48%
202225/11/202238.80neutral+0.44%-1.29%-3.35%-4.70%+1.73%
202124/11/202149.13near 52w high-2.20%-0.39%+2.48%-4.80%+2.79%
202025/11/202036.89neutral-0.14%-1.73%-1.40%-2.39%+1.19%
201925/11/201938.15neutral+0.26%+0.39%+0.85%-1.78%+1.70%
201826/11/201833.04near 52w high+2.94%+2.57%-5.81%-8.72%+4.36%
201724/11/201733.67near 52w high-0.48%-1.40%-2.65%-3.28%+0.00%
201625/11/201630.06near 52w high-0.77%+3.03%+2.75%-1.70%+4.36%
Upcoming 29/11/2026 · Low Cycle 180/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.45% · Win 50% · DD -2.10%20 days: Avg -0.28% · Win 40% · DD -4.11%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202528/11/202541.67neutral-1.63%-2.21%-1.43%-3.22%+0.00%
202429/11/202445.00near 52w high-2.73%-4.82%-9.37%-10.98%+0.00%
202329/11/202336.93neutral+2.71%+6.69%+10.83%+0.00%+10.83%
202229/11/202238.34neutral-0.83%+2.95%-3.82%-3.82%+2.95%
202129/11/202148.40near 52w high+0.21%+3.00%+6.61%-3.37%+6.61%
202030/11/202036.50neutral+1.26%-1.34%-0.31%-1.34%+2.27%
201929/11/201938.65near 52w high-0.34%-2.74%+0.43%-3.05%+0.51%
201829/11/201833.53near 52w high+1.28%-0.33%-6.46%-10.05%+2.83%
201729/11/201733.41near 52w high-1.26%+0.03%-0.41%-2.53%+0.77%
201629/11/201630.38near 52w high-0.59%+3.26%+1.17%-2.73%+3.26%
Upcoming 03/12/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.06% · Win 50% · DD -1.98%20 days: Avg -0.50% · Win 50% · DD -3.47%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/12/202541.07neutral-1.19%-0.83%-0.61%-1.80%+0.23%
202403/12/202444.06near 52w high-2.07%-3.72%-7.57%-9.08%+0.00%
202304/12/202338.22far above SMA50 · volume x1.7-0.50%+4.37%+4.37%-0.84%+7.09%
202202/12/202238.97neutral-1.72%-3.77%-3.80%-5.38%+1.28%
202103/12/202147.81near 52w high · volume x1.7+2.89%+4.69%+8.28%+0.00%+9.29%
202003/12/202036.84neutral-1.60%+0.65%-2.72%-2.72%+1.33%
201903/12/201938.25neutral+0.13%-2.04%+1.01%-2.04%+2.20%
201803/12/201834.01near 52w high-0.35%-4.47%-9.48%-11.32%+1.38%
201704/12/201733.07near 52w high+0.63%+1.81%+0.16%-1.53%+1.81%
201602/12/201629.83near 52w high+3.82%+3.92%+5.32%+0.00%+5.32%
Upcoming 28/12/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.02% · Win 50% · DD -2.35%20 days: Avg +1.14% · Win 70% · DD -3.17%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/12/202540.63neutral+0.17%+0.74%+0.54%-1.21%+3.89%
202427/12/202440.54neutral-0.64%-1.28%+1.06%-3.35%+3.50%
202328/12/202340.50near 52w high · far above SMA50-2.99%-2.37%-4.27%-5.83%+0.00%
202228/12/202236.46neutral+0.96%+9.13%+10.67%+0.00%+10.67%
202128/12/202151.16near 52w high-0.06%-4.42%-9.93%-9.93%+1.27%
202028/12/202036.20neutral-2.38%-3.07%+2.35%-3.15%+3.67%
201927/12/201938.43near 52w high+0.21%+1.77%+3.88%-0.88%+4.22%
201828/12/201830.94neutral+0.19%+3.01%+8.99%-2.10%+8.99%
201728/12/201732.91near 52w high-1.94%-5.23%-3.40%-5.23%+0.09%
201628/12/201630.18near 52w high+4.04%+1.92%+1.49%+0.00%+4.04%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+1.9%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -6.6% · from 52w low: +9.2%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+2.20% · +2.35% · +5.54% · -1.49%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+2.76% · +1.86% · +0.04%
Distance from 52w high / low-6.63% · +9.19%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.62 · 0.12x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+15.20%
vs SPY (20d)+8.57%
vs SMH (20d)+23.14%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20042.21 · 42.58 · 43.36
52w high / low46.46 · 39.72