🕰️ Time Machine

XLRE — Real Estate Select Sector SPDR

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 18/06/2026

Last price (Close)
43.86 -0.25%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 3 days
24/06/2026
Last window
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 27/03/2026
39.94
Days: 57 trading / 83 calendar · return since: +9.81%
Last major high · 02/03/2026
44.07
Days: 76 trading / 108 calendar · return since: -0.48%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 27/03/2026 @ 39.94Cycle 60Trading📅 24/06/2026+3 (±2)Upcoming
Low 27/03/2026 @ 39.94Cycle 90Calendar📅 25/06/2026+7 (±3)Upcoming
High 02/03/2026 @ 44.07Cycle 120Calendar📅 30/06/2026+12 (±3)Upcoming
High 02/03/2026 @ 44.07Cycle 90Trading📅 10/07/2026+14 (±3)Upcoming
High 02/03/2026 @ 44.07Cycle 144Calendar📅 24/07/2026+36 (±3)Upcoming
Low 27/03/2026 @ 39.94Cycle 120Calendar📅 25/07/2026+37 (±3)Upcoming
Low 27/03/2026 @ 39.94Cycle 90Trading📅 06/08/2026+33 (±3)Upcoming
High 02/03/2026 @ 44.07Cycle 120Trading📅 21/08/2026+44 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Failed Breakout 15/06/2026
Failed Breakout 10/06/2026
Failed Breakout 05/06/2026
Failed Breakdown 02/06/2026
Failed Breakout 27/05/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Upcoming 24/06/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.61% · Win 70% · DD -1.43%20 days: Avg +3.12% · Win 80% · DD -1.56%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202524/06/202542.26neutral-1.33%-2.04%+1.40%-3.05%+1.40%
202424/06/202438.35neutral-0.81%+0.13%+6.49%-1.54%+6.68%
202323/06/202335.86neutral+5.10%+5.74%+8.67%+0.00%+8.67%
202224/06/202241.81neutral-0.53%-1.39%+1.15%-3.49%+1.15%
202124/06/202144.37near 52w high+0.32%+3.47%+4.30%-0.09%+4.42%
202024/06/202033.96neutral+5.30%+2.94%+2.89%-0.68%+5.30%
201924/06/201937.58near 52w high-2.34%+1.25%-1.22%-3.27%+1.81%
201825/06/201832.23volume x2.4+0.90%+2.79%+0.28%+0.00%+3.26%
201723/06/201732.49volume x3.4-0.89%-3.17%-0.22%-3.32%+0.46%
201624/06/201632.16near 52w high+4.38%+6.31%+7.43%-0.16%+7.59%
Upcoming 25/06/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.06% · Win 80% · DD -1.15%20 days: Avg +2.90% · Win 90% · DD -1.26%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202525/06/202541.23volume x2.0+1.33%+0.92%+3.78%-0.63%+3.93%
202425/06/202437.81neutral+1.03%+2.27%+6.53%-0.13%+8.20%
202326/06/202336.66neutral+3.63%+4.61%+5.51%+0.00%+6.30%
202224/06/202241.81neutral-0.53%-1.39%+1.15%-3.49%+1.15%
202125/06/202144.69near 52w high+0.07%+3.62%+3.56%-0.81%+3.67%
202025/06/202034.32neutral+3.85%+1.98%+1.40%-1.72%+4.20%
201925/06/201937.07near 52w high+0.84%+3.21%+0.05%-1.94%+3.21%
201825/06/201832.23volume x2.4+0.90%+2.79%+0.28%+0.00%+3.26%
201726/06/201732.64neutral-0.43%-3.77%-0.67%-3.77%+0.00%
201624/06/201632.16near 52w high+4.38%+6.31%+7.43%-0.16%+7.59%
Upcoming 30/06/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.81% · Win 90% · DD -0.63%20 days: Avg +3.69% · Win 90% · DD -0.69%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202530/06/202541.42neutral+0.00%-0.27%+3.21%-0.27%+3.45%
202401/07/202438.04neutral+0.95%+6.57%+8.54%+0.00%+8.54%
202330/06/202337.69neutral+0.61%+2.04%+1.33%+0.00%+3.40%
202230/06/202240.86neutral+0.91%+0.34%+8.52%-1.25%+8.52%
202130/06/202144.33near 52w high+2.21%+4.17%+4.29%+0.00%+5.23%
202030/06/202034.81neutral+0.78%+0.40%+5.14%-1.03%+5.14%
201901/07/201936.70near 52w high · volume x1.6+3.68%+2.48%+2.34%+0.00%+4.25%
201829/06/201832.71near 52w high+0.79%+0.34%-0.89%-1.19%+1.74%
201730/06/201732.20neutral-2.30%+0.22%+1.21%-2.45%+1.52%
201630/06/201633.59near 52w high+1.01%+1.75%+3.24%-0.71%+3.24%
Upcoming 10/07/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.12% · Win 70% · DD -1.19%20 days: Avg +2.11% · Win 60% · DD -1.49%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/07/202541.61neutral+0.26%+2.84%-0.05%-0.77%+2.98%
202410/07/202438.67neutral+5.77%+4.16%+6.67%+0.00%+8.25%
202310/07/202337.92neutral+1.42%+2.77%-1.00%-2.24%+2.77%
202211/07/202241.23neutral-1.53%+2.57%+6.82%-2.13%+7.54%
202109/07/202145.91near 52w high+0.70%+0.81%+1.79%-0.87%+1.96%
202010/07/202035.00neutral+0.06%-0.57%+4.29%-1.57%+4.57%
201910/07/201938.26near 52w high · volume x1.8-2.20%-3.06%-0.99%-3.92%+0.00%
201810/07/201833.13near 52w high-1.60%-2.44%+0.81%-2.44%+1.24%
201710/07/201731.46neutral+2.57%+3.05%+3.53%-0.16%+4.04%
201611/07/201634.19near 52w high+0.00%+1.05%-0.76%-0.76%+1.75%
Upcoming 24/07/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.01% · Win 70% · DD -1.13%20 days: Avg +0.82% · Win 60% · DD -1.90%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202524/07/202542.79neutral-3.23%-2.80%-2.59%-4.32%+0.00%
202424/07/202440.28near 52w high+2.26%+2.41%+4.99%-0.55%+4.99%
202324/07/202338.97neutral-2.00%-3.67%-7.93%-7.93%+0.00%
202225/07/202242.29neutral+3.90%+4.14%+3.45%+0.00%+8.16%
202123/07/202146.28near 52w high+0.22%+0.97%+1.56%-0.56%+1.56%
202024/07/202034.80neutral+4.20%+4.89%+3.16%+0.00%+5.17%
201924/07/201937.09near 52w high+0.86%+2.13%+4.83%-0.43%+5.18%
201824/07/201832.32neutral+2.26%+3.34%+4.12%+0.00%+5.07%
201724/07/201732.42neutral+0.52%+0.46%-0.09%-1.42%+0.96%
201625/07/201634.55near 52w high+0.69%-1.79%-3.33%-3.79%+0.69%
Upcoming 25/07/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.04% · Win 60% · DD -1.03%20 days: Avg +1.08% · Win 60% · DD -1.80%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202525/07/202542.79neutral-3.51%-3.60%-1.05%-4.32%+0.00%
202425/07/202440.06near 52w high · volume x1.6+4.42%+3.84%+6.22%+0.00%+6.22%
202325/07/202338.68neutral-1.45%-3.44%-6.95%-7.24%+0.36%
202225/07/202242.29neutral+3.90%+4.14%+3.45%+0.00%+8.16%
202126/07/202146.28near 52w high+0.26%+0.52%+1.17%-0.56%+1.56%
202024/07/202034.80neutral+4.20%+4.89%+3.16%+0.00%+5.17%
201925/07/201936.93near 52w high+1.54%+4.20%+5.79%+0.00%+5.79%
201825/07/201832.64near 52w high+1.93%+1.69%+2.45%-0.67%+4.04%
201725/07/201732.42neutral+0.96%+0.00%-0.15%-1.42%+0.96%
201625/07/201634.55near 52w high+0.69%-1.79%-3.33%-3.79%+0.69%
Upcoming 06/08/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.21% · Win 60% · DD -1.51%20 days: Avg +1.04% · Win 70% · DD -2.11%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202506/08/202541.43neutral-0.19%+0.97%+0.80%-1.18%+2.20%
202406/08/202441.55near 52w high · volume x1.6+0.72%+1.44%+5.29%-0.72%+5.29%
202307/08/202337.54neutral-0.93%-4.42%-2.42%-4.42%+0.00%
202205/08/202243.72neutral+4.16%+2.20%-5.58%-5.58%+4.62%
202106/08/202146.73near 52w high+0.02%+0.58%+4.28%-1.52%+4.28%
202006/08/202036.01neutral-0.67%-0.64%+1.03%-1.69%+2.75%
201906/08/201937.53near 52w high+2.48%+3.17%+6.85%+0.00%+6.85%
201806/08/201833.47near 52w high-1.64%+1.46%+0.24%-1.64%+1.46%
201707/08/201732.57near 52w high-0.25%-0.55%+0.98%-1.87%+1.07%
201605/08/201633.94near 52w high-0.18%-2.06%-1.03%-2.47%+0.65%
Upcoming 21/08/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.20% · Win 90% · DD -1.02%20 days: Avg -0.90% · Win 50% · DD -2.21%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/08/202541.68neutral+0.96%+1.20%+0.41%-0.48%+2.06%
202421/08/202442.29near 52w high+2.39%+3.17%+5.84%+0.00%+7.26%
202321/08/202335.88neutral+2.40%+2.09%+1.11%+0.00%+3.93%
202222/08/202243.75neutral-2.61%-4.66%-10.37%-10.37%+0.80%
202120/08/202147.00near 52w high-0.36%+3.68%-1.00%-1.23%+3.68%
202021/08/202035.90neutral+1.87%+0.97%-3.49%-3.49%+3.45%
201921/08/201938.88near 52w high+0.10%+2.24%+1.72%-0.77%+3.14%
201821/08/201833.65near 52w high+0.89%+0.33%-1.19%-1.19%+0.89%
201721/08/201732.39near 52w high+0.74%+1.54%+1.15%-0.06%+3.24%
201622/08/201633.40near 52w high+0.09%+1.41%-3.14%-4.53%+1.91%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· If it holds above SMA50 (-0.6%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -3.9% · from 52w low: +10.4%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-2.36% · -1.22% · -1.28% · +8.86%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-1.26% · -0.59% · +3.89%
Distance from 52w high / low-3.92% · +10.41%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.72 · 1.09x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-5.13%
vs SPY (20d)-2.28%
vs SMH (20d)-18.15%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20044.42 · 44.12 · 42.22
52w high / low45.65 · 39.72