🕰️ Time Machine

XLU — Utilities Select Sector SPDR

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 03/11/2026

Last price (Close)
43.36 -0.71%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in 5 days
10/11/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 28/10/2026
since +2.05%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 29/09/2026
39.03
Days: 25 trading / 35 calendar · return since: +11.09%
Last major high · 24/07/2026
46.63
Days: 71 trading / 102 calendar · return since: -7.01%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 29/09/2026 @ 39.03Fib 21Trading📅 28/10/2026-4 (±1)Passed
Low 29/09/2026 @ 39.03Cycle 30Calendar📅 29/10/2026-5 (±2)Passed
Low 29/09/2026 @ 39.03Cycle 30Trading📅 10/11/2026+5 (±2)Upcoming
Low 29/09/2026 @ 39.03Cycle 45Calendar📅 13/11/2026+10 (±2)Upcoming
High 24/07/2026 @ 46.63Cycle 120Calendar📅 21/11/2026+18 (±3)Upcoming
Low 29/09/2026 @ 39.03Cycle 60Calendar📅 28/11/2026+25 (±2)Upcoming
High 24/07/2026 @ 46.63Cycle 90Trading📅 01/12/2026+19 (±3)Upcoming
Low 29/09/2026 @ 39.03Cycle 45Trading📅 02/12/2026+20 (±2)Upcoming
High 24/07/2026 @ 46.63Cycle 144Calendar📅 15/12/2026+42 (±3)Upcoming
Low 29/09/2026 @ 39.03Cycle 60Trading📅 23/12/2026+35 (±2)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

● Bullish Engulfing 02/11/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 29/10/2026
● Failed Breakout 27/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 28/10/2026
● Shooting Star 26/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 28/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 26/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 28/10/2026
● Failed Breakout 15/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 09/10/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 28/10/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.60% · Win 56% · DD -1.84%20 days: Avg +1.62% · Win 67% · DD -1.89%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202528/10/202545.06near 52w high-1.44%-0.47%-1.46%-2.34%+0.00%
202428/10/202440.51near 52w high-4.70%-1.99%+0.73%-4.70%+1.09%
202327/10/202329.36neutral+5.33%+2.71%+6.91%+0.00%+6.91%
202228/10/202233.71neutral-0.47%+0.99%+4.15%-2.46%+5.24%
202128/10/202133.65near 52w high-1.07%-0.92%-0.82%-1.62%+0.76%
202028/10/202031.40volume x1.5+1.43%+5.91%+2.55%-0.67%+6.31%
201928/10/201931.64near 52w high · volume x1.5-0.02%-3.02%-0.77%-3.02%+1.53%
201829/10/201827.06neutral-0.41%+1.33%+1.33%-1.79%+1.85%
201727/10/201727.52near 52w high+0.29%+0.84%+1.94%-0.44%+3.31%
Passed 29/10/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.50% · Win 56% · DD -1.58%20 days: Avg +2.30% · Win 78% · DD -1.64%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/10/202545.05near 52w high-1.39%-0.20%-0.12%-2.31%+0.00%
202429/10/202439.64near 52w high-1.16%-1.00%+4.57%-2.62%+4.57%
202330/10/202329.59neutral+4.26%+0.71%+6.44%+0.00%+6.44%
202228/10/202233.71neutral-0.47%+0.99%+4.15%-2.46%+5.24%
202129/10/202133.46near 52w high+0.46%-0.39%+1.26%-1.03%+1.36%
202029/10/202031.49neutral+2.06%+3.92%+1.25%-0.94%+6.02%
201929/10/201931.67near 52w high-1.14%-2.87%-0.54%-3.11%+1.44%
201829/10/201827.06neutral-0.41%+1.33%+1.33%-1.79%+1.85%
201730/10/201727.53near 52w high-0.11%+2.02%+2.40%-0.45%+3.29%
Upcoming 10/11/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.20% · Win 70% · DD -1.37%20 days: Avg +1.04% · Win 70% · DD -1.99%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/11/202544.83near 52w high-0.11%-0.57%-4.64%-4.71%+1.08%
202411/11/202439.70near 52w high+0.68%+2.77%-1.61%-1.66%+4.45%
202310/11/202330.16neutral+3.27%+4.09%+5.80%-1.19%+5.80%
202210/11/202234.42neutral-2.08%+3.04%+2.88%-2.29%+3.75%
202110/11/202133.55near 52w high+0.25%+1.07%+2.50%-1.98%+2.74%
202010/11/202033.13neutral-1.22%-3.06%-5.74%-5.81%+0.75%
201911/11/201930.68neutral+2.62%+2.31%+2.62%+0.00%+3.31%
201809/11/201827.43near 52w high+0.02%-0.80%+3.52%-1.49%+3.52%
201710/11/201727.75near 52w high+0.54%+1.10%+1.26%-0.23%+2.45%
201610/11/201623.11near 52w low+0.45%+2.03%+3.76%-0.48%+4.44%
Upcoming 13/11/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.99% · Win 80% · DD -0.88%20 days: Avg +1.79% · Win 60% · DD -1.57%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202513/11/202544.34neutral-0.74%+2.20%-3.41%-3.65%+2.20%
202413/11/202439.17neutral+2.73%+5.81%-0.97%-0.97%+5.85%
202313/11/202329.80neutral+4.19%+5.69%+6.64%+0.00%+7.08%
202214/11/202233.63neutral+2.81%+3.60%+8.03%+0.00%+8.03%
202112/11/202133.33near 52w high+0.98%+1.65%+5.03%-1.32%+5.03%
202013/11/202033.04neutral-3.86%-4.92%-6.31%-6.31%+1.01%
201913/11/201931.22near 52w high+1.23%+1.09%+0.72%+0.00%+1.55%
201813/11/201827.53near 52w high-0.33%-0.49%+3.38%-1.85%+3.38%
201713/11/201728.08near 52w high-0.94%+0.37%-1.64%-1.64%+1.25%
201614/11/201623.00near 52w low+1.70%+4.93%+6.43%+0.00%+6.43%
Upcoming 21/11/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.43% · Win 50% · DD -1.25%20 days: Avg -0.22% · Win 60% · DD -2.34%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/11/202544.08neutral+0.41%-3.07%-2.92%-3.28%+2.81%
202421/11/202440.94near 52w high+1.27%-2.69%-6.67%-8.55%+1.27%
202321/11/202331.11neutral+0.42%+2.31%+1.06%+0.00%+5.99%
202221/11/202234.58neutral+0.77%+2.76%+1.53%+0.00%+5.08%
202122/11/202133.85near 52w high-2.87%+1.82%+3.35%-2.87%+4.98%
202020/11/202031.77neutral-1.10%-1.23%-3.15%-3.15%+1.35%
201921/11/201931.49near 52w high+0.11%+0.37%+3.36%-0.54%+3.36%
201821/11/201827.04near 52w high+1.29%+4.40%+0.35%+0.00%+5.27%
201721/11/201727.90near 52w high+1.11%-0.36%-4.12%-4.12%+1.45%
201621/11/201623.39near 52w low+3.19%-0.02%+5.00%-0.86%+5.00%
Upcoming 28/11/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.45% · Win 50% · DD -2.54%20 days: Avg -1.05% · Win 50% · DD -3.99%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202528/11/202545.31near 52w high-4.45%-5.48%-4.71%-5.93%+0.00%
202427/11/202441.45near 52w high-2.67%-6.41%-7.47%-9.66%+0.04%
202328/11/202331.50neutral-0.25%+0.90%+0.89%-0.79%+4.72%
202228/11/202235.10neutral+0.60%+3.19%+2.46%-0.74%+3.50%
202129/11/202133.88near 52w high+1.00%+3.32%+5.16%-2.92%+5.16%
202027/11/202031.88neutral-2.12%-2.38%-2.76%-3.87%+0.00%
201927/11/201931.56near 52w high+0.46%-0.36%+2.81%-0.74%+3.14%
201828/11/201827.40near 52w high+2.65%+3.89%-2.78%-5.11%+3.89%
201728/11/201728.19near 52w high-1.77%-2.00%-6.26%-6.66%+0.39%
201628/11/201624.03near 52w high-2.52%+0.81%+2.19%-3.52%+2.19%
Upcoming 01/12/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.47% · Win 50% · DD -1.60%20 days: Avg -0.15% · Win 40% · DD -3.04%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202501/12/202544.26neutral-3.47%-2.34%-2.20%-3.67%+0.00%
202402/12/202440.58near 52w high-3.03%-5.09%-5.96%-7.71%+0.00%
202301/12/202331.76neutral-0.19%+0.69%+2.09%-1.10%+3.82%
202201/12/202235.69neutral-0.24%+0.46%-0.41%-1.64%+1.82%
202101/12/202132.94volume x2.0+4.52%+7.33%+9.11%+0.00%+9.11%
202001/12/202031.64neutral-1.12%-0.22%-1.55%-3.14%+0.66%
201902/12/201931.32near 52w high+0.56%+2.43%+3.97%+0.00%+3.97%
201830/11/201827.80near 52w high+1.76%-1.08%-5.65%-6.46%+2.41%
201701/12/201728.20near 52w high · volume x2.1-0.96%-1.55%-6.62%-6.71%+0.00%
201601/12/201623.19near 52w low+2.33%+4.12%+5.74%+0.00%+6.32%
Upcoming 02/12/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.01% · Win 40% · DD -1.74%20 days: Avg -0.33% · Win 50% · DD -3.09%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202502/12/202543.94neutral-2.71%-2.05%-2.12%-2.98%+0.00%
202402/12/202440.58near 52w high-3.03%-5.09%-5.96%-7.71%+0.00%
202301/12/202331.76neutral-0.19%+0.69%+2.09%-1.10%+3.82%
202202/12/202235.51neutral-0.28%-0.77%+0.07%-1.17%+2.31%
202102/12/202133.37near 52w high+3.07%+6.52%+8.11%+0.00%+8.11%
202002/12/202031.85neutral-1.95%-2.03%-0.74%-3.78%+0.00%
201902/12/201931.32near 52w high+0.56%+2.43%+3.97%+0.00%+3.97%
201803/12/201828.08near 52w high+1.16%-2.72%-6.60%-7.39%+1.39%
201701/12/201728.20near 52w high · volume x2.1-0.96%-1.55%-6.62%-6.71%+0.00%
201602/12/201623.40near 52w low+2.48%+4.44%+4.53%-0.06%+5.37%
Upcoming 15/12/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.81% · Win 50% · DD -2.56%20 days: Avg -0.83% · Win 50% · DD -3.14%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202515/12/202543.22neutral-1.00%+0.14%+0.63%-2.40%+0.66%
202416/12/202438.51neutral-0.43%-0.91%+3.07%-2.77%+3.07%
202315/12/202331.99volume x1.8-1.19%+1.38%-2.61%-2.61%+2.57%
202215/12/202235.85neutral-1.31%-0.87%+0.16%-2.13%+1.35%
202115/12/202135.36near 52w high · volume x1.6-0.62%+1.66%-0.41%-1.21%+2.01%
202015/12/202031.57neutral-2.73%-1.33%-0.37%-2.92%+0.14%
201916/12/201932.08near 52w high+0.51%+1.50%+3.50%+0.00%+3.50%
201814/12/201828.41near 52w high-4.49%-6.07%-6.52%-8.49%+0.00%
201715/12/201727.51near 52w high-4.67%-5.14%-8.29%-8.85%+0.00%
201615/12/201624.15near 52w high+1.66%+1.55%+2.54%+0.00%+2.54%
Upcoming 23/12/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.45% · Win 50% · DD -0.77%20 days: Avg +0.69% · Win 40% · DD -1.93%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202523/12/202542.62neutral+0.16%-1.48%-0.14%-1.76%+2.32%
202423/12/202438.03neutral-0.49%-0.07%+4.51%-1.79%+5.25%
202322/12/202331.31neutral+2.60%+2.95%-4.26%-4.26%+3.80%
202223/12/202235.46neutral-0.58%+0.83%-3.17%-3.17%+1.65%
202123/12/202134.86near 52w high+2.67%+0.99%-2.21%-2.21%+2.67%
202023/12/202030.39neutral+3.16%+2.55%+5.46%+0.00%+5.46%
201923/12/201932.00near 52w high+0.98%-0.17%+6.55%-0.28%+6.55%
201824/12/201825.78neutral+0.87%+2.29%+4.85%+0.00%+4.85%
201722/12/201726.23neutral-0.50%-2.19%-4.23%-4.69%+0.44%
201623/12/201624.31near 52w high-0.33%-1.17%-0.47%-1.17%+0.88%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+3.8%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -9.3% · from 52w low: +11.1%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+1.19% · +3.53% · +5.34% · +1.27%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+2.64% · +3.80% · -2.13%
Distance from 52w high / low-9.29% · +11.09%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.59 · 0.06x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+15.01%
vs SPY (20d)+8.38%
vs SMH (20d)+22.95%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20042.24 · 41.77 · 44.30
52w high / low47.80 · 39.03