🕰️ Time Machine
XLU — Utilities Select Sector SPDR
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 18/09/2026
Last price (Close)
41.10 -1.42%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 4 days
22/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 04/09/2026
since -4.60%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 01/06/2026
43.07
Days: 76 trading / 109 calendar · return since: -4.57%
Last major high · 24/07/2026
46.63
Days: 39 trading / 56 calendar · return since: -11.86%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 24/07/2026 @ 46.63 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 04/09/2026 | -9 (±2) | Passed |
| High 24/07/2026 @ 46.63 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 22/09/2026 | +4 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 24/07/2026 @ 46.63 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 28/09/2026 | +6 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 01/06/2026 @ 43.07 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 29/09/2026 | +11 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 01/06/2026 @ 43.07 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 08/10/2026 | +14 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 24/07/2026 @ 46.63 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 19/10/2026 | +21 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 24/07/2026 @ 46.63 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 22/10/2026 | +34 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 01/06/2026 @ 43.07 | Cycle 144 | Calendar | 📅 23/10/2026 | +35 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 01/06/2026 @ 43.07 | Cycle 120 | Trading | 📅 19/11/2026 | +44 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Failed Breakdown 16/09/2026
● NR7 Compression 03/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 04/09/2026
● Failed Breakdown 24/08/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 04/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.29% · Win 67% · DD -1.35%20 days: Avg -0.84% · Win 44% · DD -4.61%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/09/2025 | 41.87 | near 52w high | +1.60% | +0.81% | +5.67% | -1.33% | +5.87% |
| 2024 | 04/09/2024 | 38.42 | near 52w high · volume x1.6 | +0.59% | +2.15% | +6.76% | -1.20% | +6.76% |
| 2023 | 05/09/2023 | 30.84 | near 52w low | +2.98% | +4.63% | -7.10% | -8.16% | +5.74% |
| 2022 | 02/09/2022 | 37.30 | near 52w high | +4.72% | +1.16% | -9.00% | -11.59% | +4.72% |
| 2021 | 03/09/2021 | 34.74 | near 52w high | -1.67% | -4.62% | -6.10% | -7.84% | +0.45% |
| 2020 | 04/09/2020 | 29.68 | neutral | +0.62% | -2.04% | +4.39% | -2.95% | +4.39% |
| 2019 | 04/09/2019 | 31.88 | near 52w high | -0.86% | +0.09% | +0.74% | -1.96% | +2.64% |
| 2018 | 04/09/2018 | 26.85 | neutral | +0.97% | +1.25% | -0.10% | -3.52% | +1.97% |
| 2017 | 05/09/2017 | 27.47 | near 52w high | -0.07% | -0.81% | -2.81% | -2.98% | +1.62% |
Upcoming 22/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.37% · Win 60% · DD -3.87%20 days: Avg -0.06% · Win 70% · DD -4.58%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 22/09/2025 | 42.60 | near 52w high | +2.18% | +5.36% | +7.44% | +0.00% | +9.04% |
| 2024 | 23/09/2024 | 40.17 | near 52w high | +0.56% | -1.11% | +1.62% | -2.20% | +2.34% |
| 2023 | 22/09/2023 | 31.65 | near 52w low | -6.89% | -9.54% | -8.31% | -11.22% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 22/09/2022 | 36.30 | neutral | -7.99% | -10.32% | -14.38% | -15.26% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 22/09/2021 | 32.78 | neutral | -1.78% | +0.06% | +2.06% | -3.05% | +2.06% |
| 2020 | 22/09/2020 | 29.01 | neutral | +1.43% | +6.81% | +10.03% | -1.53% | +10.31% |
| 2019 | 23/09/2019 | 31.94 | near 52w high | +1.35% | +1.00% | +0.30% | -0.89% | +1.64% |
| 2018 | 21/09/2018 | 26.53 | volume x1.6 | -0.77% | +1.07% | +2.85% | -3.20% | +2.85% |
| 2017 | 22/09/2017 | 26.61 | near 52w high | -0.34% | +0.38% | +3.06% | -0.62% | +3.06% |
| 2016 | 22/09/2016 | 25.49 | near 52w high | -3.24% | -7.45% | -5.30% | -7.87% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 28/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.25% · Win 50% · DD -2.67%20 days: Avg +1.70% · Win 60% · DD -2.73%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/09/2025 | 43.53 | near 52w high | +3.11% | +4.40% | +5.26% | +0.00% | +6.71% |
| 2024 | 27/09/2024 | 40.21 | near 52w high | +1.11% | -1.45% | -0.05% | -2.31% | +2.23% |
| 2023 | 28/09/2023 | 29.42 | near 52w low · volume x2.4 | -4.05% | -0.32% | +1.75% | -4.49% | +1.84% |
| 2022 | 28/09/2022 | 34.79 | volume x1.5 | -3.25% | -11.60% | -6.47% | -11.60% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 28/09/2021 | 31.78 | volume x1.6 | +1.64% | +1.20% | +5.92% | +0.00% | +5.92% |
| 2020 | 28/09/2020 | 29.43 | neutral | +4.38% | +8.51% | +9.95% | -0.03% | +9.99% |
| 2019 | 27/09/2019 | 32.35 | near 52w high | +0.11% | -1.21% | -0.83% | -2.15% | +0.19% |
| 2018 | 28/09/2018 | 26.33 | neutral | +1.86% | +0.57% | +1.37% | -0.34% | +4.90% |
| 2017 | 28/09/2017 | 26.55 | neutral | +0.72% | +2.71% | +3.05% | -0.19% | +3.48% |
| 2016 | 28/09/2016 | 25.04 | near 52w high | -5.77% | -5.29% | -2.96% | -6.21% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 29/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.57% · Win 60% · DD -2.32%20 days: Avg +1.80% · Win 60% · DD -2.36%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/09/2025 | 43.53 | near 52w high | +3.11% | +4.40% | +5.26% | +0.00% | +6.71% |
| 2024 | 30/09/2024 | 40.39 | near 52w high | -1.66% | -0.66% | +0.28% | -2.75% | +1.77% |
| 2023 | 29/09/2023 | 29.47 | near 52w low | -2.85% | +0.63% | -0.34% | -4.65% | +1.66% |
| 2022 | 29/09/2022 | 33.40 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -2.53% | -5.60% | -1.78% | -7.90% | +3.08% |
| 2021 | 29/09/2021 | 32.19 | neutral | +1.88% | +1.06% | +3.85% | -0.79% | +4.55% |
| 2020 | 29/09/2020 | 29.42 | neutral | +5.30% | +7.80% | +9.91% | +0.00% | +10.03% |
| 2019 | 30/09/2019 | 32.37 | near 52w high | -0.34% | -1.90% | -2.26% | -2.26% | +0.12% |
| 2018 | 28/09/2018 | 26.33 | neutral | +1.86% | +0.57% | +1.37% | -0.34% | +4.90% |
| 2017 | 29/09/2017 | 26.52 | neutral | +0.72% | +2.07% | +3.77% | -0.11% | +3.77% |
| 2016 | 29/09/2016 | 24.67 | near 52w high | -4.36% | -2.66% | -2.07% | -4.78% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 08/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.16% · Win 70% · DD -1.08%20 days: Avg +1.56% · Win 60% · DD -1.66%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 08/10/2025 | 45.40 | near 52w high | +2.31% | -0.44% | -2.15% | -2.17% | +2.31% |
| 2024 | 08/10/2024 | 39.74 | near 52w high | +1.42% | +2.34% | -1.41% | -2.87% | +3.43% |
| 2023 | 09/10/2023 | 28.91 | neutral | +3.61% | -0.48% | +6.71% | -0.48% | +6.99% |
| 2022 | 07/10/2022 | 31.88 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -2.53% | -0.71% | +5.22% | -3.51% | +5.72% |
| 2021 | 08/10/2021 | 32.38 | neutral | +1.40% | +3.83% | +3.78% | -1.36% | +3.94% |
| 2020 | 08/10/2020 | 31.75 | neutral | -0.27% | +1.70% | +1.23% | -1.75% | +1.98% |
| 2019 | 08/10/2019 | 31.96 | near 52w high | -0.95% | +0.66% | -2.03% | -2.03% | +1.41% |
| 2018 | 08/10/2018 | 27.04 | neutral | -1.63% | +0.26% | -0.33% | -2.09% | +2.13% |
| 2017 | 09/10/2017 | 26.75 | near 52w high | +0.99% | +2.60% | +2.80% | +0.00% | +3.20% |
| 2016 | 07/10/2016 | 23.56 | near 52w low | +1.34% | +1.87% | +1.76% | -0.32% | +4.90% |
Upcoming 19/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.16% · Win 60% · DD -1.79%20 days: Avg +1.30% · Win 60% · DD -2.67%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 20/10/2025 | 45.77 | near 52w high | +0.11% | -2.61% | -2.16% | -3.36% | +0.11% |
| 2024 | 18/10/2024 | 40.97 | near 52w high | -1.92% | -4.66% | -3.29% | -5.80% | +0.21% |
| 2023 | 19/10/2023 | 29.32 | neutral | +2.08% | +4.88% | +5.93% | -1.88% | +5.93% |
| 2022 | 19/10/2022 | 31.89 | far below SMA50 | +2.07% | +4.11% | +7.61% | -2.52% | +7.97% |
| 2021 | 19/10/2021 | 32.94 | neutral | +2.20% | +2.03% | +2.03% | +0.00% | +2.52% |
| 2020 | 19/10/2020 | 31.73 | neutral | +2.00% | +0.46% | +5.20% | -1.70% | +5.20% |
| 2019 | 18/10/2019 | 31.91 | near 52w high | +0.53% | +0.42% | -1.52% | -3.84% | +1.57% |
| 2018 | 19/10/2018 | 27.28 | near 52w high | -2.20% | -2.60% | +0.57% | -2.60% | +1.21% |
| 2017 | 19/10/2017 | 27.41 | near 52w high | -0.20% | +0.35% | +2.52% | -0.22% | +3.74% |
| 2016 | 19/10/2016 | 24.16 | near 52w low | +0.60% | -0.81% | -3.91% | -4.78% | +2.32% |
Upcoming 22/10/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.41% · Win 30% · DD -1.64%20 days: Avg +0.90% · Win 50% · DD -2.33%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 22/10/2025 | 45.20 | near 52w high | -0.33% | -1.71% | -2.13% | -2.15% | +1.37% |
| 2024 | 22/10/2024 | 40.67 | near 52w high | -2.53% | -3.66% | -1.09% | -5.09% | +0.96% |
| 2023 | 23/10/2023 | 28.77 | neutral | +2.85% | +7.23% | +7.92% | +0.00% | +8.26% |
| 2022 | 21/10/2022 | 31.66 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +6.48% | +5.97% | +8.75% | +0.00% | +8.75% |
| 2021 | 22/10/2021 | 33.62 | near 52w high | -0.51% | -0.04% | +0.07% | -1.53% | +0.42% |
| 2020 | 22/10/2020 | 32.28 | neutral | -2.48% | -0.46% | -1.61% | -3.39% | +3.39% |
| 2019 | 22/10/2019 | 32.17 | near 52w high | -1.55% | -2.67% | -2.36% | -4.62% | +0.75% |
| 2018 | 22/10/2018 | 27.11 | neutral | -0.18% | -0.59% | +1.66% | -1.97% | +1.86% |
| 2017 | 23/10/2017 | 27.44 | near 52w high | +0.31% | +0.20% | +1.37% | -0.35% | +3.61% |
| 2016 | 21/10/2016 | 24.00 | near 52w low | +0.96% | -0.10% | -3.56% | -4.17% | +2.98% |
Upcoming 23/10/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.11% · Win 50% · DD -1.81%20 days: Avg +0.80% · Win 50% · DD -2.50%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 23/10/2025 | 45.17 | near 52w high | -0.68% | -2.07% | -2.56% | -2.56% | +1.45% |
| 2024 | 23/10/2024 | 41.06 | near 52w high | -3.69% | -5.57% | -1.98% | -5.99% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 23/10/2023 | 28.77 | neutral | +2.85% | +7.23% | +7.92% | +0.00% | +8.26% |
| 2022 | 24/10/2022 | 31.92 | far below SMA50 | +4.61% | +3.09% | +8.33% | +0.00% | +8.33% |
| 2021 | 22/10/2021 | 33.62 | near 52w high | -0.51% | -0.04% | +0.07% | -1.53% | +0.42% |
| 2020 | 23/10/2020 | 32.38 | neutral | -3.66% | -0.96% | -1.87% | -3.66% | +3.10% |
| 2019 | 23/10/2019 | 32.30 | near 52w high | -1.08% | -2.69% | -2.17% | -5.00% | +0.34% |
| 2018 | 23/10/2018 | 26.96 | neutral | +0.76% | +0.63% | +1.80% | -1.43% | +2.43% |
| 2017 | 23/10/2017 | 27.44 | near 52w high | +0.31% | +0.20% | +1.37% | -0.35% | +3.61% |
| 2016 | 24/10/2016 | 24.09 | near 52w low | +2.59% | +1.27% | -2.91% | -4.52% | +2.59% |
Upcoming 19/11/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.59% · Win 60% · DD -0.79%20 days: Avg +0.29% · Win 50% · DD -2.04%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 19/11/2025 | 44.24 | neutral | +1.72% | -1.19% | -2.38% | -3.42% | +2.44% |
| 2024 | 19/11/2024 | 40.22 | near 52w high | +3.05% | -0.01% | -6.91% | -6.91% | +3.08% |
| 2023 | 20/11/2023 | 31.05 | neutral | +1.43% | +1.18% | +3.36% | +0.00% | +6.22% |
| 2022 | 18/11/2022 | 34.42 | neutral | +1.98% | +2.59% | +1.96% | +0.00% | +5.55% |
| 2021 | 19/11/2021 | 33.65 | near 52w high | +0.67% | +1.68% | +4.13% | -2.27% | +5.62% |
| 2020 | 19/11/2020 | 31.76 | neutral | +0.36% | -1.76% | -1.95% | -2.53% | +1.37% |
| 2019 | 19/11/2019 | 31.41 | near 52w high | +0.29% | +0.75% | +2.88% | -0.29% | +2.88% |
| 2018 | 19/11/2018 | 27.56 | near 52w high | -0.51% | +1.94% | -1.07% | -1.89% | +3.28% |
| 2017 | 20/11/2017 | 27.82 | near 52w high | +1.33% | -0.47% | -3.09% | -3.09% | +1.73% |
| 2016 | 18/11/2016 | 23.15 | near 52w low | +3.85% | +1.23% | +5.98% | +0.00% | +5.98% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· If it holds above SMA50 (-6.2%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -14.0% · from 52w low: +0.0%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -3.04% · -4.49% · -6.10% · -9.75% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -3.39% · -6.21% · -7.75% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -14.02% · +0.05% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.62 · 1.05x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -7.58% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -5.96% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | -7.94% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 42.54 · 43.82 · 44.55 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 47.80 · 41.08 |
|---|
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