🕰️ Time Machine

XLU — Utilities Select Sector SPDR

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 18/06/2026

Last price (Close)
44.76 +0.67%
Next window · Cycle 90 · in window
18/06/2026
Last window · Cycle 60 · 16/06/2026
since -0.67%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 20/03/2026
44.43
Days: 62 trading / 90 calendar · return since: +0.74%
Last major high · 09/04/2026
47.71
Days: 49 trading / 70 calendar · return since: -6.18%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 09/04/2026 @ 47.71Cycle 60Calendar📅 08/06/2026-10 (±2)Passed
High 09/04/2026 @ 47.71Cycle 45Trading📅 12/06/2026-4 (±2)Passed
Low 20/03/2026 @ 44.43Cycle 60Trading📅 16/06/2026-2 (±2)In window
Low 20/03/2026 @ 44.43Cycle 90Calendar📅 18/06/2026+0 (±3)In window
High 09/04/2026 @ 47.71Cycle 60Trading📅 07/07/2026+11 (±2)Upcoming
High 09/04/2026 @ 47.71Cycle 90Calendar📅 08/07/2026+20 (±3)Upcoming
Low 20/03/2026 @ 44.43Cycle 120Calendar📅 18/07/2026+30 (±3)Upcoming
Low 20/03/2026 @ 44.43Cycle 90Trading📅 30/07/2026+28 (±3)Upcoming
High 09/04/2026 @ 47.71Cycle 90Trading📅 18/08/2026+41 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

NR7 Compression 09/06/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 08/06/2026
Hammer Reversal 04/06/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 08/06/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 08/06/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.80% · Win 56% · DD -2.98%20 days: Avg -0.84% · Win 44% · DD -3.93%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202509/06/202540.33near 52w high+0.43%+1.84%+2.23%-0.40%+2.37%
202407/06/202434.97near 52w high+0.00%+0.52%-0.81%-2.47%+1.29%
202308/06/202333.39neutral+0.24%-1.84%-1.72%-2.31%+0.78%
202208/06/202236.83near 52w high-9.35%-7.18%-4.45%-11.93%+0.00%
202108/06/202132.47near 52w high+2.31%-0.64%+0.40%-1.89%+2.31%
202008/06/202031.42neutral-5.98%-7.61%-8.59%-11.44%+0.00%
201907/06/201930.03near 52w high+1.25%+2.36%+1.99%-1.28%+2.39%
201808/06/201824.34near 52w low+2.66%+5.16%+6.78%-0.21%+10.18%
201708/06/201726.86near 52w high+1.08%+0.19%-3.37%-3.45%+1.54%
Passed 12/06/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.07% · Win 44% · DD -2.02%20 days: Avg +1.60% · Win 67% · DD -2.59%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202512/06/202540.94near 52w high-1.36%+0.01%+1.79%-1.88%+1.79%
202412/06/202434.97near 52w high-0.21%-0.69%+2.69%-2.48%+2.69%
202312/06/202333.13neutral+0.36%-0.08%+1.73%-1.55%+1.73%
202213/06/202234.03volume x1.9-2.87%+2.65%+3.13%-4.69%+6.41%
202111/06/202133.06near 52w high-3.04%-2.47%-1.21%-3.61%+0.51%
202012/06/202029.33neutral-2.01%-5.16%-0.61%-5.16%+1.14%
201912/06/201930.03near 52w high+1.32%-0.44%+2.39%-0.44%+2.39%
201812/06/201824.58near 52w low+3.03%+6.03%+7.75%-0.26%+9.15%
201712/06/201726.78near 52w high+1.49%+0.81%-3.23%-3.23%+1.83%
In window 16/06/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.83% · Win 40% · DD -2.08%20 days: Avg +1.43% · Win 70% · DD -2.18%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202516/06/202540.51near 52w high+1.40%+1.84%+1.95%-0.83%+2.88%
202417/06/202434.58neutral+0.68%-0.87%+2.18%-1.38%+3.85%
202316/06/202333.65neutral-1.64%-1.25%-1.79%-3.06%+0.52%
202216/06/202232.74near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x1.6+6.23%+10.61%+5.90%-0.93%+10.61%
202116/06/202132.72near 52w high · volume x2.2-2.44%-2.64%+1.02%-2.64%+1.02%
202016/06/202029.67neutral-3.16%-4.11%-1.20%-6.23%+0.00%
201917/06/201930.32near 52w high+1.41%-1.13%+0.57%-1.40%+1.41%
201815/06/201824.77near 52w low+2.44%+4.88%+5.95%+0.00%+7.33%
201716/06/201727.06near 52w high · volume x1.6-1.66%-3.97%-3.60%-4.97%+0.00%
201620/06/201625.18near 52w high+1.33%+4.98%+3.38%-0.34%+5.20%
In window 18/06/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.47% · Win 60% · DD -1.64%20 days: Avg +2.50% · Win 80% · DD -1.70%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202518/06/202540.28near 52w high+1.46%+2.29%+4.68%+0.00%+4.68%
202418/06/202434.60neutral+0.21%-0.32%+2.04%-1.42%+3.81%
202316/06/202333.65neutral-1.64%-1.25%-1.79%-3.06%+0.52%
202217/06/202232.44near 52w low · far below SMA50+8.10%+7.84%+7.58%+0.00%+11.65%
202118/06/202132.05volume x1.7+0.59%+0.65%+2.54%-0.59%+4.19%
202018/06/202029.58neutral-4.93%-1.30%+2.64%-5.93%+2.64%
201918/06/201930.19near 52w high+1.22%+0.63%+1.37%-0.99%+1.83%
201818/06/201824.85near 52w low+3.80%+5.29%+5.53%+0.00%+6.98%
201719/06/201726.97near 52w high · volume x1.5-0.67%-4.10%-3.00%-4.65%+0.06%
201620/06/201625.18near 52w high+1.33%+4.98%+3.38%-0.34%+5.20%
Upcoming 07/07/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.40% · Win 70% · DD -0.96%20 days: Avg +2.72% · Win 70% · DD -1.34%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202507/07/202541.01near 52w high+0.94%+2.45%+6.47%-1.06%+6.47%
202408/07/202434.31neutral+1.33%+3.06%+5.30%+0.00%+8.16%
202307/07/202332.69neutral+2.23%+4.69%-2.14%-2.14%+4.69%
202207/07/202235.03neutral-0.60%-2.23%+6.35%-2.48%+6.35%
202107/07/202132.35near 52w high+0.26%+0.11%+3.17%-0.60%+3.32%
202007/07/202028.48neutral+2.48%+4.79%+6.79%-0.46%+6.79%
201908/07/201930.39near 52w high+0.13%-0.87%-2.44%-2.44%+0.81%
201806/07/201826.58neutral-1.18%-1.66%+0.24%-3.08%+0.24%
201707/07/201725.75neutral+0.84%+3.50%+4.45%-0.14%+4.91%
201607/07/201626.00near 52w high-0.29%+0.13%-1.02%-1.02%+1.46%
Upcoming 08/07/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.18% · Win 80% · DD -0.67%20 days: Avg +2.71% · Win 70% · DD -1.20%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202508/07/202540.57near 52w high · volume x1.7+1.05%+4.82%+6.47%+0.00%+7.62%
202408/07/202434.31neutral+1.33%+3.06%+5.30%+0.00%+8.16%
202307/07/202332.69neutral+2.23%+4.69%-2.14%-2.14%+4.69%
202208/07/202234.91neutral-0.09%-0.56%+6.32%-2.16%+6.70%
202108/07/202132.26neutral+1.69%+0.56%+4.60%-0.31%+4.60%
202008/07/202028.74neutral+1.17%+5.46%+4.49%-1.34%+5.85%
201908/07/201930.39near 52w high+0.13%-0.87%-2.44%-2.44%+0.81%
201809/07/201825.76volume x1.7+1.86%+0.76%+3.51%+0.00%+3.51%
201707/07/201725.75neutral+0.84%+3.50%+4.45%-0.14%+4.91%
201608/07/201626.27near 52w high-1.03%+0.42%-3.44%-3.44%+0.42%
Upcoming 18/07/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.09% · Win 80% · DD -0.72%20 days: Avg +2.54% · Win 70% · DD -1.43%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202518/07/202541.88near 52w high+0.92%+2.45%+2.23%-0.16%+4.26%
202418/07/202435.03near 52w high+0.61%+5.78%+5.80%+0.00%+5.95%
202318/07/202332.78neutral+4.32%+1.04%-3.89%-3.89%+4.41%
202218/07/202234.40neutral+2.20%+7.62%+12.46%-0.70%+12.46%
202119/07/202132.61near 52w high · volume x2.0+0.78%+1.93%+5.95%-0.67%+5.95%
202017/07/202030.10neutral+0.12%+1.03%+0.28%-1.31%+2.13%
201918/07/201930.63near 52w high-2.45%-1.80%-0.31%-3.22%+0.00%
201818/07/201826.09neutral+0.13%+0.52%+2.84%-0.50%+2.84%
201718/07/201726.16near 52w high+0.34%+2.31%+3.90%+0.00%+3.90%
201618/07/201626.08near 52w high+1.00%+0.00%-3.89%-3.89%+1.17%
Upcoming 30/07/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.06% · Win 80% · DD -0.94%20 days: Avg +0.73% · Win 70% · DD -1.62%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202530/07/202542.60near 52w high+0.48%+1.48%+0.08%-0.16%+2.48%
202430/07/202435.93near 52w high+1.41%+3.21%+4.80%+0.00%+5.64%
202331/07/202333.53neutral-4.61%-4.49%-5.14%-6.04%+0.00%
202229/07/202236.97near 52w high+0.38%+3.75%+2.38%-0.09%+5.13%
202130/07/202132.99near 52w high+2.24%+4.11%+3.87%+0.00%+6.00%
202030/07/202030.36neutral-0.54%+0.30%-3.01%-3.33%+1.25%
201930/07/201929.92near 52w high+0.33%+1.60%+4.13%-0.90%+4.13%
201830/07/201826.16neutral+1.95%+1.41%+2.06%+0.00%+4.20%
201731/07/201726.61near 52w high+1.37%+1.56%+3.80%+0.00%+3.80%
201629/07/201626.06near 52w high-2.67%-2.34%-5.70%-5.70%+0.06%
Upcoming 18/08/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.76% · Win 40% · DD -1.66%20 days: Avg +0.09% · Win 50% · DD -2.24%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202518/08/202542.62near 52w high-0.21%-1.42%-1.30%-3.09%+1.08%
202419/08/202437.47near 52w high+1.31%+1.67%+5.54%-0.21%+5.62%
202318/08/202331.75neutral+0.22%-1.34%+2.21%-2.85%+2.72%
202218/08/202238.87near 52w high-1.09%-3.00%-4.21%-4.37%+0.49%
202118/08/202134.40near 52w high-0.12%+0.94%-1.96%-1.96%+1.86%
202018/08/202030.01neutral-1.10%-2.43%+0.05%-2.43%+0.60%
201919/08/201930.89near 52w high+0.68%+3.11%+2.87%-0.47%+3.21%
201817/08/201827.26near 52w high-1.45%-1.93%-0.07%-2.26%+0.46%
201718/08/201727.25near 52w high+1.17%+0.55%+0.19%+0.00%+2.44%
201618/08/201625.44near 52w high-1.38%-3.75%-2.38%-4.77%+0.00%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· If it holds above SMA50 (-0.9%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -6.4% · from 52w low: +11.7%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+1.61% · +1.87% · +0.56% · -0.73%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+0.81% · -0.87% · +0.47%
Distance from 52w high / low-6.36% · +11.70%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.78 · 1.77x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-3.29%
vs SPY (20d)-0.44%
vs SMH (20d)-16.30%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20044.40 · 45.15 · 44.55
52w high / low47.80 · 40.07