🕰️ Time Machine
XLU — Utilities Select Sector SPDR
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 04/08/2026
Last price (Close)
44.11 -0.56%
Next window · Cycle 45 · in window · in 1 days
05/08/2026
Last window · Cycle 60 · 31/07/2026
since -0.54%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 01/06/2026
43.07
Days: 44 trading / 64 calendar · return since: +2.41%
Last major high · 09/04/2026
47.71
Days: 80 trading / 117 calendar · return since: -7.55%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 01/06/2026 @ 43.07 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 31/07/2026 | -4 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 01/06/2026 @ 43.07 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 05/08/2026 | +1 (±2) | In window |
| High 09/04/2026 @ 47.71 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 07/08/2026 | +3 (±3) | In window |
| High 09/04/2026 @ 47.71 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 18/08/2026 | +10 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 01/06/2026 @ 43.07 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 26/08/2026 | +16 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 01/06/2026 @ 43.07 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 30/08/2026 | +26 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 09/04/2026 @ 47.71 | Cycle 144 | Calendar | 📅 31/08/2026 | +27 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 09/04/2026 @ 47.71 | Cycle 120 | Trading | 📅 30/09/2026 | +40 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Hammer Reversal 04/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 05/08/2026
● Failed Breakdown 04/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 05/08/2026
● NR7 Compression 31/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 31/07/2026
● Failed Breakdown 30/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 31/07/2026
● Failed Breakout 23/07/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 17/07/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 08/07/2026
● Failed Breakout 07/07/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 31/07/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.00% · Win 78% · DD -0.88%20 days: Avg +1.08% · Win 67% · DD -1.42%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 31/07/2025 | 42.83 | near 52w high | +1.03% | +0.23% | -1.21% | -1.21% | +1.93% |
| 2024 | 31/07/2024 | 36.40 | near 52w high | +0.67% | +1.83% | +3.46% | -0.73% | +4.29% |
| 2023 | 31/07/2023 | 33.53 | neutral | -4.61% | -4.49% | -5.14% | -6.04% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 01/08/2022 | 37.01 | near 52w high | +0.42% | +4.50% | +2.58% | -0.20% | +5.01% |
| 2021 | 30/07/2021 | 32.99 | near 52w high | +2.24% | +4.11% | +3.87% | +0.00% | +6.00% |
| 2020 | 31/07/2020 | 30.42 | neutral | +1.08% | -0.74% | -2.89% | -3.49% | +1.08% |
| 2019 | 31/07/2019 | 29.77 | near 52w high · volume x1.6 | +1.06% | +1.24% | +4.33% | -0.44% | +4.62% |
| 2018 | 31/07/2018 | 26.40 | neutral | +0.89% | +0.72% | +0.95% | -0.64% | +3.28% |
| 2017 | 31/07/2017 | 26.61 | near 52w high | +1.37% | +1.56% | +3.80% | +0.00% | +3.80% |
In window 05/08/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.57% · Win 60% · DD -0.64%20 days: Avg +1.31% · Win 70% · DD -1.18%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 05/08/2025 | 43.19 | near 52w high | -0.13% | -0.36% | -2.96% | -2.96% | +0.19% |
| 2024 | 05/08/2024 | 36.13 | near 52w high · volume x1.8 | +2.05% | +3.69% | +5.42% | +0.00% | +5.58% |
| 2023 | 04/08/2023 | 32.00 | neutral | +0.91% | -0.78% | -2.11% | -2.11% | +0.91% |
| 2022 | 05/08/2022 | 37.12 | near 52w high | +3.35% | +4.67% | +0.50% | +0.00% | +4.73% |
| 2021 | 05/08/2021 | 33.74 | near 52w high | +1.05% | +2.34% | +3.82% | -0.09% | +3.82% |
| 2020 | 05/08/2020 | 30.02 | neutral | +1.60% | -0.33% | +0.57% | -2.46% | +2.40% |
| 2019 | 05/08/2019 | 29.65 | near 52w high · volume x1.6 | +2.46% | +4.18% | +7.42% | +0.00% | +7.42% |
| 2018 | 06/08/2018 | 26.67 | neutral | -0.52% | +1.86% | +0.69% | -0.67% | +2.21% |
| 2017 | 04/08/2017 | 26.89 | near 52w high · volume x1.7 | -0.07% | +1.34% | +1.90% | -0.07% | +2.71% |
| 2016 | 05/08/2016 | 25.36 | near 52w high | +0.34% | -0.91% | -2.17% | -3.45% | +0.34% |
In window 07/08/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.89% · Win 60% · DD -0.98%20 days: Avg +0.54% · Win 60% · DD -1.63%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 07/08/2025 | 43.28 | near 52w high | -0.79% | -1.12% | -3.56% | -3.56% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 07/08/2024 | 36.64 | near 52w high | +1.15% | +2.76% | +4.59% | +0.00% | +4.84% |
| 2023 | 07/08/2023 | 31.99 | neutral | +0.13% | -1.39% | -3.59% | -3.59% | +0.92% |
| 2022 | 08/08/2022 | 37.17 | near 52w high | +4.06% | +3.09% | +0.61% | +0.00% | +4.57% |
| 2021 | 06/08/2021 | 33.72 | near 52w high | +1.82% | +3.68% | +3.02% | -0.03% | +3.88% |
| 2020 | 07/08/2020 | 30.75 | neutral | -1.81% | -3.37% | -3.45% | -4.75% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 07/08/2019 | 30.09 | near 52w high | +0.18% | +3.16% | +4.79% | +0.00% | +5.93% |
| 2018 | 07/08/2018 | 26.63 | neutral | -0.17% | +1.28% | +2.25% | -0.53% | +2.37% |
| 2017 | 07/08/2017 | 26.98 | near 52w high | +0.19% | +1.39% | +1.84% | -0.39% | +2.39% |
| 2016 | 08/08/2016 | 25.35 | near 52w high | -1.16% | -0.61% | -1.06% | -3.41% | +0.37% |
Upcoming 18/08/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.76% · Win 40% · DD -1.66%20 days: Avg +0.09% · Win 50% · DD -2.24%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 18/08/2025 | 42.62 | near 52w high | -0.21% | -1.42% | -1.30% | -3.09% | +1.08% |
| 2024 | 19/08/2024 | 37.47 | near 52w high | +1.31% | +1.67% | +5.54% | -0.21% | +5.62% |
| 2023 | 18/08/2023 | 31.75 | neutral | +0.22% | -1.34% | +2.21% | -2.85% | +2.72% |
| 2022 | 18/08/2022 | 38.87 | near 52w high | -1.09% | -3.00% | -4.21% | -4.37% | +0.49% |
| 2021 | 18/08/2021 | 34.40 | near 52w high | -0.12% | +0.94% | -1.96% | -1.96% | +1.86% |
| 2020 | 18/08/2020 | 30.01 | neutral | -1.10% | -2.43% | +0.05% | -2.43% | +0.60% |
| 2019 | 19/08/2019 | 30.89 | near 52w high | +0.68% | +3.11% | +2.87% | -0.47% | +3.21% |
| 2018 | 17/08/2018 | 27.26 | near 52w high | -1.45% | -1.93% | -0.07% | -2.26% | +0.46% |
| 2017 | 18/08/2017 | 27.25 | near 52w high | +1.17% | +0.55% | +0.19% | +0.00% | +2.44% |
| 2016 | 18/08/2016 | 25.44 | near 52w high | -1.38% | -3.75% | -2.38% | -4.78% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 26/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.74% · Win 70% · DD -1.17%20 days: Avg +0.10% · Win 50% · DD -2.61%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 26/08/2025 | 42.63 | near 52w high | -1.68% | -0.75% | +1.84% | -3.10% | +1.84% |
| 2024 | 26/08/2024 | 37.96 | near 52w high | +0.36% | +1.49% | +5.78% | -0.79% | +6.54% |
| 2023 | 25/08/2023 | 31.82 | neutral | -1.56% | -0.30% | +0.13% | -3.06% | +2.50% |
| 2022 | 26/08/2022 | 37.85 | near 52w high | -1.47% | +3.18% | -6.88% | -6.88% | +3.18% |
| 2021 | 26/08/2021 | 34.27 | near 52w high | +2.23% | -0.13% | -4.24% | -4.24% | +2.23% |
| 2020 | 26/08/2020 | 29.35 | neutral | +2.86% | +0.14% | -0.75% | -1.85% | +2.86% |
| 2019 | 26/08/2019 | 31.09 | near 52w high | +2.41% | +0.63% | +4.73% | -0.10% | +4.73% |
| 2018 | 27/08/2018 | 26.70 | neutral | +0.58% | +1.55% | -1.99% | -1.99% | +2.57% |
| 2017 | 25/08/2017 | 27.57 | near 52w high | -0.62% | +1.25% | -1.83% | -2.73% | +1.25% |
| 2016 | 26/08/2016 | 24.58 | near 52w high | +0.98% | +0.35% | +4.26% | -1.40% | +4.61% |
Upcoming 30/08/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.28% · Win 80% · DD -1.04%20 days: Avg -0.55% · Win 50% · DD -3.38%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/08/2025 | 42.16 | near 52w high | -2.02% | +1.64% | +3.94% | -2.02% | +3.94% |
| 2024 | 30/08/2024 | 38.15 | near 52w high | +0.51% | +3.74% | +6.60% | -0.50% | +6.60% |
| 2023 | 30/08/2023 | 31.78 | neutral | -1.48% | +2.60% | -6.71% | -6.71% | +2.60% |
| 2022 | 30/08/2022 | 37.42 | near 52w high | +3.07% | +2.45% | -6.37% | -7.37% | +4.40% |
| 2021 | 30/08/2021 | 34.31 | near 52w high | -0.07% | -0.76% | -6.67% | -6.67% | +2.11% |
| 2020 | 31/08/2020 | 29.62 | neutral | -0.35% | +1.50% | +0.18% | -2.75% | +1.92% |
| 2019 | 30/08/2019 | 31.29 | near 52w high | -0.13% | +0.66% | +4.25% | -0.13% | +4.56% |
| 2018 | 30/08/2018 | 26.85 | neutral | +0.74% | +1.12% | -1.07% | -3.50% | +1.99% |
| 2017 | 30/08/2017 | 27.48 | near 52w high | +0.25% | +0.24% | -2.67% | -3.01% | +1.58% |
| 2016 | 30/08/2016 | 24.51 | near 52w high | +2.35% | -0.41% | +3.01% | -1.16% | +4.86% |
Upcoming 31/08/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.26% · Win 80% · DD -0.88%20 days: Avg -0.82% · Win 50% · DD -3.50%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/08/2025 | 42.16 | near 52w high | -2.02% | +1.64% | +3.94% | -2.02% | +3.94% |
| 2024 | 30/08/2024 | 38.15 | near 52w high | +0.51% | +3.74% | +6.60% | -0.50% | +6.60% |
| 2023 | 31/08/2023 | 31.48 | near 52w low | +0.35% | +3.14% | -5.64% | -5.80% | +3.59% |
| 2022 | 31/08/2022 | 37.17 | near 52w high | +3.67% | +0.55% | -9.53% | -9.53% | +5.08% |
| 2021 | 31/08/2021 | 34.27 | near 52w high | +1.84% | -0.77% | -5.34% | -6.56% | +2.23% |
| 2020 | 31/08/2020 | 29.62 | neutral | -0.35% | +1.50% | +0.18% | -2.75% | +1.92% |
| 2019 | 30/08/2019 | 31.29 | near 52w high | -0.13% | +0.66% | +4.25% | -0.13% | +4.56% |
| 2018 | 31/08/2018 | 26.74 | neutral | +1.68% | +1.89% | -0.99% | -3.08% | +2.43% |
| 2017 | 31/08/2017 | 27.49 | near 52w high | +0.71% | +0.36% | -2.76% | -3.03% | +1.56% |
| 2016 | 31/08/2016 | 24.61 | near 52w high | +2.28% | -0.06% | +1.06% | -1.56% | +4.44% |
Upcoming 30/09/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.88% · Win 60% · DD -1.96%20 days: Avg +2.09% · Win 70% · DD -2.00%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 30/09/2025 | 43.60 | near 52w high | +3.41% | +5.15% | +3.35% | +0.00% | +6.52% |
| 2024 | 30/09/2024 | 40.39 | near 52w high | -1.66% | -0.66% | +0.28% | -2.75% | +1.77% |
| 2023 | 29/09/2023 | 29.47 | near 52w low | -2.85% | +0.63% | -0.34% | -4.65% | +1.66% |
| 2022 | 30/09/2022 | 32.76 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -2.67% | -5.13% | +2.90% | -6.09% | +5.11% |
| 2021 | 30/09/2021 | 31.94 | neutral | +2.14% | +3.12% | +5.37% | +0.00% | +5.39% |
| 2020 | 30/09/2020 | 29.69 | neutral | +5.00% | +6.70% | +5.76% | +0.00% | +9.04% |
| 2019 | 30/09/2019 | 32.37 | near 52w high | -0.34% | -1.90% | -2.26% | -2.26% | +0.12% |
| 2018 | 01/10/2018 | 26.24 | neutral | +3.07% | +1.39% | +3.14% | +0.00% | +5.26% |
| 2017 | 29/09/2017 | 26.52 | neutral | +0.72% | +2.07% | +3.77% | -0.11% | +3.77% |
| 2016 | 30/09/2016 | 24.50 | near 52w high | -3.82% | -2.53% | -1.08% | -4.12% | +0.00% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· If it holds above SMA50 (-1.9%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -7.7% · from 52w low: +7.2%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -3.10% · -1.80% · -3.48% · -1.61% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -2.52% · -1.90% · -1.65% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -7.72% · +7.19% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.76 · 1.38x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -5.51% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -6.62% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | -2.49% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 45.25 · 44.97 · 44.85 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 47.80 · 41.15 |
|---|
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