🕰️ Time Machine
XLV — Health Care Select Sector SPDR
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 04/08/2026
Last price (Close)
162.10 -0.09%
Next window · Cycle 120 · in 12 days
20/08/2026
Last window · Cycle 60 · 27/07/2026
since -0.80%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 29/04/2026
141.97
Days: 66 trading / 97 calendar · return since: +14.18%
Last major high · 27/02/2026
160.24
Days: 108 trading / 158 calendar · return since: +1.16%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 29/04/2026 @ 141.97 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 27/07/2026 | -6 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 29/04/2026 @ 141.97 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 28/07/2026 | -7 (±3) | Passed |
| High 27/02/2026 @ 160.24 | Cycle 120 | Trading | 📅 20/08/2026 | +12 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 27/02/2026 @ 160.24 | Cycle 180 | Calendar | 📅 26/08/2026 | +22 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 29/04/2026 @ 141.97 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 27/08/2026 | +23 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 29/04/2026 @ 141.97 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 08/09/2026 | +24 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 27/02/2026 @ 160.24 | Cycle 144 | Trading | 📅 24/09/2026 | +36 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Bearish Engulfing 03/08/2026
● NR7 Compression 22/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 27/07/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 10/07/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 27/07/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.20% · Win 67% · DD -1.68%20 days: Avg +0.51% · Win 56% · DD -1.90%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/07/2025 | 135.29 | neutral | -1.69% | -3.70% | +0.67% | -4.64% | +2.13% |
| 2024 | 26/07/2024 | 149.96 | near 52w high | +0.60% | +0.01% | +3.66% | -2.63% | +3.66% |
| 2023 | 27/07/2023 | 134.79 | near 52w high | -1.42% | +0.03% | -1.74% | -1.77% | +0.96% |
| 2022 | 27/07/2022 | 132.00 | neutral | +0.11% | +0.60% | -1.89% | -2.01% | +1.73% |
| 2021 | 27/07/2021 | 131.24 | near 52w high | +2.23% | +1.45% | +3.38% | +0.00% | +4.24% |
| 2020 | 27/07/2020 | 105.89 | near 52w high | +0.69% | +0.15% | +0.42% | -0.48% | +1.45% |
| 2019 | 26/07/2019 | 92.07 | near 52w high | -1.11% | -0.73% | -3.60% | -3.60% | +0.41% |
| 2018 | 27/07/2018 | 87.96 | near 52w high | +2.10% | +1.90% | +4.47% | +0.00% | +4.47% |
| 2017 | 27/07/2017 | 79.56 | near 52w high · volume x1.8 | +0.13% | -1.48% | -0.79% | -1.96% | +0.50% |
Passed 28/07/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.74% · Win 33% · DD -1.89%20 days: Avg +0.63% · Win 56% · DD -2.09%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/07/2025 | 135.29 | neutral | -1.69% | -3.70% | +0.67% | -4.64% | +2.13% |
| 2024 | 29/07/2024 | 150.05 | near 52w high | -2.15% | -0.43% | +3.55% | -2.69% | +3.60% |
| 2023 | 28/07/2023 | 135.19 | near 52w high | -2.06% | +0.36% | -1.32% | -2.06% | +0.66% |
| 2022 | 28/07/2022 | 132.84 | neutral | -1.01% | -0.69% | -1.43% | -2.63% | +1.09% |
| 2021 | 28/07/2021 | 131.71 | near 52w high | +1.43% | +0.08% | +2.73% | +0.00% | +3.87% |
| 2020 | 28/07/2020 | 105.77 | near 52w high | +0.36% | -0.37% | +1.21% | -0.37% | +1.57% |
| 2019 | 29/07/2019 | 92.45 | near 52w high | -3.83% | -2.10% | -2.99% | -3.99% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 27/07/2018 | 87.96 | near 52w high | +2.10% | +1.90% | +4.47% | +0.00% | +4.47% |
| 2017 | 28/07/2017 | 79.96 | near 52w high | -0.60% | -1.70% | -1.26% | -2.45% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 20/08/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.43% · Win 40% · DD -1.41%20 days: Avg -0.42% · Win 40% · DD -2.08%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 20/08/2025 | 137.50 | neutral | -0.39% | -0.05% | -0.02% | -0.95% | +1.61% |
| 2024 | 20/08/2024 | 154.42 | near 52w high | +0.77% | +1.43% | +0.61% | -0.30% | +1.83% |
| 2023 | 21/08/2023 | 133.67 | neutral | +0.04% | -1.11% | -1.17% | -1.65% | +0.94% |
| 2022 | 19/08/2022 | 132.92 | neutral | -4.24% | -5.97% | -4.63% | -6.14% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 20/08/2021 | 136.11 | near 52w high | -1.09% | +0.54% | -3.30% | -3.30% | +0.54% |
| 2020 | 20/08/2020 | 106.71 | near 52w high | +0.98% | -0.23% | -1.10% | -2.58% | +2.56% |
| 2019 | 20/08/2019 | 90.64 | neutral | -1.63% | -0.56% | +0.88% | -2.07% | +1.05% |
| 2018 | 20/08/2018 | 91.39 | near 52w high | +0.91% | +0.71% | +2.56% | +0.00% | +2.68% |
| 2017 | 21/08/2017 | 78.35 | near 52w high · volume x1.5 | +1.30% | +3.23% | +4.94% | +0.00% | +6.39% |
| 2016 | 19/08/2016 | 74.36 | near 52w high | -1.73% | -2.30% | -3.00% | -3.83% | +0.30% |
Upcoming 26/08/2026 · High Cycle 180/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.54% · Win 60% · DD -1.17%20 days: Avg -0.59% · Win 30% · DD -1.76%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 26/08/2025 | 137.05 | neutral | -0.10% | +0.20% | -0.03% | -0.45% | +1.95% |
| 2024 | 26/08/2024 | 155.37 | near 52w high | +0.98% | +0.24% | -0.45% | -0.91% | +1.20% |
| 2023 | 25/08/2023 | 133.41 | neutral | +0.12% | -0.33% | -1.51% | -2.04% | +1.13% |
| 2022 | 26/08/2022 | 127.29 | neutral | -1.81% | +3.21% | -4.12% | -4.12% | +3.21% |
| 2021 | 26/08/2021 | 134.78 | near 52w high | +1.42% | -1.18% | -1.73% | -2.35% | +1.54% |
| 2020 | 26/08/2020 | 106.92 | near 52w high | +2.36% | -2.56% | -4.80% | -4.80% | +2.36% |
| 2019 | 26/08/2019 | 89.69 | neutral | +0.42% | +1.11% | +1.51% | -0.59% | +3.00% |
| 2018 | 27/08/2018 | 92.22 | near 52w high | -0.20% | +0.01% | +2.51% | -0.20% | +2.83% |
| 2017 | 25/08/2017 | 78.95 | near 52w high | +2.89% | +5.36% | +3.41% | +0.00% | +5.59% |
| 2016 | 26/08/2016 | 73.07 | near 52w high | -0.57% | -0.68% | -0.73% | -2.13% | +0.76% |
Upcoming 27/08/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.68% · Win 50% · DD -1.27%20 days: Avg -1.08% · Win 30% · DD -2.08%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 27/08/2025 | 136.97 | neutral | +0.34% | +2.01% | -1.63% | -1.63% | +2.01% |
| 2024 | 27/08/2024 | 155.61 | near 52w high | +0.66% | -0.21% | -1.58% | -1.58% | +1.05% |
| 2023 | 28/08/2023 | 133.72 | neutral | -1.14% | -0.69% | -2.57% | -2.57% | +0.90% |
| 2022 | 26/08/2022 | 127.29 | neutral | -1.81% | +3.21% | -4.12% | -4.12% | +3.21% |
| 2021 | 27/08/2021 | 134.63 | near 52w high | +1.65% | -1.68% | -3.02% | -3.02% | +1.65% |
| 2020 | 27/08/2020 | 107.76 | near 52w high | -1.21% | -2.94% | -4.02% | -5.54% | +1.56% |
| 2019 | 27/08/2019 | 89.16 | neutral | +1.09% | +2.73% | +1.62% | +0.00% | +3.61% |
| 2018 | 27/08/2018 | 92.22 | near 52w high | -0.20% | +0.01% | +2.51% | -0.20% | +2.83% |
| 2017 | 28/08/2017 | 79.37 | near 52w high | +1.90% | +5.03% | +2.69% | +0.00% | +5.03% |
| 2016 | 26/08/2016 | 73.07 | near 52w high | -0.57% | -0.68% | -0.73% | -2.13% | +0.76% |
Upcoming 08/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.53% · Win 30% · DD -1.34%20 days: Avg -0.52% · Win 40% · DD -2.92%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 08/09/2025 | 137.85 | neutral | -0.67% | -0.43% | +5.03% | -2.25% | +5.54% |
| 2024 | 09/09/2024 | 155.03 | near 52w high | +1.43% | -0.03% | -2.26% | -2.26% | +1.43% |
| 2023 | 08/09/2023 | 132.06 | neutral | +0.10% | -1.04% | -1.15% | -3.12% | +0.89% |
| 2022 | 08/09/2022 | 129.36 | neutral | -1.20% | -4.26% | -2.78% | -6.00% | +1.55% |
| 2021 | 08/09/2021 | 135.99 | near 52w high | -2.04% | -2.91% | -7.09% | -7.47% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 08/09/2020 | 103.96 | neutral | +2.18% | -0.57% | +1.30% | -2.08% | +2.66% |
| 2019 | 09/09/2019 | 90.43 | neutral | +0.97% | +1.61% | -0.25% | -2.34% | +2.16% |
| 2018 | 07/09/2018 | 92.55 | near 52w high | +1.06% | +2.26% | +2.28% | -0.35% | +3.72% |
| 2017 | 08/09/2017 | 82.54 | near 52w high | +0.43% | -0.80% | +0.79% | -1.29% | +0.99% |
| 2016 | 08/09/2016 | 72.97 | near 52w high | -0.86% | +0.90% | -1.06% | -2.00% | +0.90% |
Upcoming 24/09/2026 · High Cycle 144/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.27% · Win 30% · DD -1.85%20 days: Avg +0.68% · Win 50% · DD -2.61%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/09/2025 | 136.39 | neutral | +5.19% | +5.95% | +7.02% | -1.66% | +7.02% |
| 2024 | 24/09/2024 | 154.09 | near 52w high | -0.57% | -1.49% | -1.93% | -2.02% | +0.42% |
| 2023 | 25/09/2023 | 130.86 | neutral | -1.76% | -0.31% | -2.75% | -2.75% | +0.24% |
| 2022 | 23/09/2022 | 122.73 | near 52w low · volume x1.7 | -1.32% | -0.09% | +3.10% | -1.32% | +3.39% |
| 2021 | 24/09/2021 | 131.98 | near 52w high | -3.52% | -3.82% | -0.23% | -5.03% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 24/09/2020 | 101.39 | neutral | +3.68% | +5.92% | +5.95% | +0.00% | +7.60% |
| 2019 | 24/09/2019 | 90.67 | neutral | -1.57% | -2.81% | +1.31% | -3.00% | +1.58% |
| 2018 | 24/09/2018 | 94.46 | near 52w high | +1.23% | -0.22% | -3.92% | -5.05% | +1.23% |
| 2017 | 25/09/2017 | 81.34 | near 52w high · volume x1.9 | +1.50% | +1.27% | +2.86% | -0.20% | +3.12% |
| 2016 | 23/09/2016 | 73.11 | near 52w high | -1.37% | -1.70% | -4.65% | -5.09% | +0.00% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+3.3%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -3.8% · from 52w low: +26.7%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -3.09% · +1.15% · -1.42% · +12.50% |
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +0.17% · +3.31% · +6.20% |
| Distance from 52w high / low | -3.82% · +26.68% |
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 2.92 · 1.56x |
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -3.46% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -4.57% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | -0.44% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 161.82 · 156.91 · 152.63 |
| 52w high / low | 168.53 · 127.96 |