🕰️ Time Machine

XLV — Health Care Select Sector SPDR

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 18/09/2026

Last price (Close)
168.39 -0.25%
Next window · Fib 21 · in window
18/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 90 · 08/09/2026
since +0.75%
Trend
Uptrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 29/04/2026
141.97
Days: 98 trading / 142 calendar · return since: +18.61%
Last major high · 19/08/2026
176.60
Days: 21 trading / 30 calendar · return since: -4.65%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 29/04/2026 @ 141.97Cycle 90Trading📅 08/09/2026-8 (±3)Passed
High 19/08/2026 @ 176.60Fib 13Trading📅 08/09/2026-8 (±1)Passed
High 19/08/2026 @ 176.60Fib 21Calendar📅 09/09/2026-9 (±1)Passed
High 19/08/2026 @ 176.60Fib 21Trading📅 18/09/2026+0 (±1)In window
High 19/08/2026 @ 176.60Cycle 30Calendar📅 18/09/2026+0 (±2)In window
Low 29/04/2026 @ 141.97Cycle 144Calendar📅 20/09/2026+2 (±3)In window
High 19/08/2026 @ 176.60Cycle 30Trading📅 01/10/2026+9 (±2)Upcoming
High 19/08/2026 @ 176.60Cycle 45Calendar📅 03/10/2026+15 (±2)Upcoming
High 19/08/2026 @ 176.60Cycle 60Calendar📅 18/10/2026+30 (±2)Upcoming
Low 29/04/2026 @ 141.97Cycle 120Trading📅 20/10/2026+22 (±3)Upcoming
High 19/08/2026 @ 176.60Cycle 45Trading📅 22/10/2026+24 (±2)Upcoming
Low 29/04/2026 @ 141.97Cycle 180Calendar📅 26/10/2026+38 (±3)Upcoming
High 19/08/2026 @ 176.60Cycle 60Trading📅 12/11/2026+39 (±2)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

NR7 Compression 18/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 18/09/2026
NR7 Compression 09/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 09/09/2026
Hammer Reversal 31/08/2026
Bullish Engulfing 21/08/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 08/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.69% · Win 22% · DD -1.27%20 days: Avg -0.46% · Win 44% · DD -3.02%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202508/09/2025137.85neutral-0.67%-0.43%+5.03%-2.25%+5.54%
202409/09/2024155.03near 52w high+1.43%-0.03%-2.26%-2.26%+1.43%
202308/09/2023132.06neutral+0.10%-1.04%-1.15%-3.12%+0.89%
202208/09/2022129.36neutral-1.20%-4.26%-2.78%-6.00%+1.55%
202108/09/2021135.99near 52w high-2.04%-2.91%-7.09%-7.47%+0.00%
202008/09/2020103.96neutral+2.18%-0.57%+1.30%-2.08%+2.66%
201909/09/201990.43neutral+0.97%+1.61%-0.25%-2.34%+2.16%
201807/09/201892.55near 52w high+1.06%+2.26%+2.28%-0.35%+3.72%
201708/09/201782.54near 52w high+0.43%-0.80%+0.79%-1.29%+0.99%
Passed 09/09/2026 · High Fib 21/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.91% · Win 22% · DD -1.57%20 days: Avg -0.54% · Win 44% · DD -3.21%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202509/09/2025138.59neutral-1.20%-0.74%+4.55%-2.78%+4.97%
202409/09/2024155.03near 52w high+1.43%-0.03%-2.26%-2.26%+1.43%
202308/09/2023132.06neutral+0.10%-1.04%-1.15%-3.12%+0.89%
202209/09/2022130.50neutral-2.34%-5.58%-5.66%-6.83%+0.67%
202109/09/2021134.42near 52w high-1.15%-1.07%-4.75%-6.39%+0.00%
202009/09/2020105.80near 52w high+0.24%-3.30%+1.41%-3.79%+1.41%
201909/09/201990.43neutral+0.97%+1.61%-0.25%-2.34%+2.16%
201810/09/201892.31near 52w high+0.95%+2.73%+2.50%-0.09%+3.99%
201708/09/201782.54near 52w high+0.43%-0.80%+0.79%-1.29%+0.99%
In window 18/09/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.66% · Win 30% · DD -2.31%20 days: Avg -0.24% · Win 30% · DD -3.30%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202518/09/2025137.47neutral-1.98%+4.64%+4.00%-1.98%+5.83%
202418/09/2024155.36near 52w high-1.42%-1.22%-0.97%-2.46%+0.36%
202318/09/2023131.45neutral-0.45%-2.20%-0.21%-3.07%+0.09%
202219/09/2022126.26neutral-3.72%-2.11%-0.29%-4.08%+0.50%
202117/09/2021133.00near 52w high · volume x1.6-0.42%-3.93%-3.44%-5.43%+0.00%
202018/09/2020105.54near 52w high-2.00%-0.92%+2.66%-3.55%+3.78%
201918/09/201991.44near 52w high-0.91%-3.42%+0.39%-3.42%+1.03%
201818/09/201893.73near 52w high+0.86%+2.30%-0.48%-3.94%+2.41%
201718/09/201782.57near 52w high-1.49%-0.01%-0.62%-1.68%+0.52%
201619/09/201671.85near 52w high+0.57%+0.28%-3.42%-3.42%+2.07%
In window 20/09/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.04% · Win 50% · DD -2.25%20 days: Avg +0.06% · Win 40% · DD -3.04%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202519/09/2025137.29neutral-0.85%+5.97%+4.83%-1.85%+5.97%
202420/09/2024155.28near 52w high-1.09%-1.98%-1.02%-2.41%+0.02%
202320/09/2023131.57neutral-1.88%-2.74%-1.31%-3.15%+0.00%
202220/09/2022124.78neutral-2.88%+1.35%+1.45%-2.94%+1.69%
202120/09/2021131.15near 52w high · volume x1.9-0.80%-4.39%-3.09%-4.43%+1.04%
202021/09/2020103.18neutral+0.75%+3.02%+2.94%-1.73%+5.74%
201920/09/201992.00near 52w high-2.90%-2.03%-0.26%-4.40%+0.11%
201820/09/201894.51near 52w high+0.76%+0.27%-1.90%-4.73%+1.57%
201720/09/201782.00near 52w high-1.00%+1.15%+1.56%-1.00%+1.56%
201620/09/201672.07near 52w high+0.97%-0.22%-2.57%-3.72%+1.76%
Upcoming 01/10/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.13% · Win 50% · DD -1.76%20 days: Avg -0.52% · Win 40% · DD -3.10%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202501/10/2025143.47volume x1.8+0.72%-0.63%+0.36%-1.06%+2.02%
202401/10/2024153.21near 52w high · volume x1.6-0.93%-0.23%-3.14%-3.14%+1.00%
202302/10/2023128.56volume x1.8+1.48%+2.03%-3.68%-4.22%+2.03%
202230/09/2022121.11near 52w low+1.25%+2.30%+9.70%+0.00%+9.70%
202101/10/2021127.33volume x1.9-0.31%+0.50%+5.10%-1.56%+5.10%
202001/10/2020105.12near 52w high+2.16%+1.66%-3.26%-3.26%+3.79%
201901/10/201989.25volume x1.6-1.27%+2.57%+5.69%-1.46%+5.69%
201801/10/201895.62near 52w high-1.43%-5.42%-8.35%-8.71%+0.00%
201702/10/201782.56near 52w high-0.23%-0.61%-1.57%-1.57%+1.60%
201630/09/201672.11near 52w high-0.33%-3.45%-6.00%-6.00%+0.12%
Upcoming 03/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.80% · Win 70% · DD -1.47%20 days: Avg -0.25% · Win 30% · DD -2.96%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/10/2025144.82neutral-1.87%-1.07%-0.39%-1.98%+1.07%
202403/10/2024151.52neutral+0.82%+0.57%-3.07%-3.07%+2.13%
202303/10/2023127.42neutral+2.87%+2.80%-2.26%-3.36%+2.94%
202203/10/2022123.60near 52w low-1.42%+1.85%+7.40%-1.42%+7.49%
202104/10/2021125.39volume x2.1+0.45%+1.36%+6.60%-0.04%+6.72%
202002/10/2020104.16neutral+4.03%+3.61%-2.40%-2.40%+4.74%
201903/10/201988.74neutral+0.52%+3.79%+6.77%-0.70%+6.90%
201803/10/201895.33near 52w high-3.30%-2.01%-6.95%-8.43%+0.00%
201703/10/201782.54near 52w high+0.02%+0.75%-1.73%-1.73%+1.62%
201603/10/201672.05near 52w high+0.21%-3.69%-6.51%-6.51%+0.21%
Upcoming 18/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.55% · Win 40% · DD -2.86%20 days: Avg +1.44% · Win 60% · DD -3.37%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202517/10/2025143.27neutral+1.93%+0.68%+5.97%+0.00%+6.67%
202418/10/2024153.13near 52w high-2.96%-3.52%-7.37%-7.37%+0.00%
202318/10/2023129.85neutral-2.57%-3.89%-1.46%-5.17%+0.00%
202218/10/2022126.59neutral+2.66%+4.93%+5.13%-2.24%+6.47%
202118/10/2021127.10neutral+3.72%+5.16%+4.63%+0.00%+6.44%
202019/10/2020106.21near 52w high+0.39%-2.56%+5.39%-4.28%+5.56%
201918/10/201991.76near 52w high+0.33%+3.39%+6.21%-0.11%+6.21%
201818/10/201892.35near 52w high-4.26%-2.74%-1.33%-5.48%+0.94%
201718/10/201783.28near 52w high-0.35%-2.37%-3.07%-3.07%+0.72%
201618/10/201670.22near 52w high-1.20%-4.59%+0.36%-5.98%+1.91%
Upcoming 20/10/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.44% · Win 30% · DD -2.60%20 days: Avg +1.67% · Win 80% · DD -2.95%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202520/10/2025144.79neutral+1.09%-0.23%+4.77%-0.56%+5.55%
202421/10/2024151.33neutral-1.67%-3.01%-6.20%-6.27%+0.00%
202320/10/2023128.06near 52w low-3.84%-0.51%+0.15%-3.84%+0.35%
202220/10/2022123.76near 52w low+5.62%+5.06%+7.43%+0.00%+8.90%
202120/10/2021130.61near 52w high+0.63%+3.58%+2.39%+0.00%+3.58%
202020/10/2020106.35near 52w high-0.43%-1.27%+4.56%-4.41%+5.43%
201921/10/201991.66near 52w high+1.47%+3.19%+5.97%+0.00%+6.33%
201819/10/201891.51near 52w high-4.47%-2.46%+0.58%-4.61%+1.87%
201720/10/201783.88near 52w high-2.07%-2.71%-3.15%-3.77%+0.00%
201620/10/201670.29near 52w high-1.44%-6.07%+0.23%-6.07%+1.81%
Upcoming 22/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.10% · Win 50% · DD -2.54%20 days: Avg +1.13% · Win 70% · DD -2.93%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202522/10/2025145.96near 52w high-1.36%-0.21%+4.36%-1.36%+4.70%
202422/10/2024151.11neutral-1.79%-2.16%-6.55%-6.55%+0.00%
202323/10/2023127.26near 52w low-2.70%+0.79%+1.39%-3.24%+1.39%
202221/10/2022126.54neutral+4.99%+3.37%+6.35%+0.00%+6.51%
202122/10/2021131.67near 52w high+1.63%+0.90%+0.99%-0.18%+2.75%
202022/10/2020107.42near 52w high-5.33%+2.29%+1.52%-5.36%+4.38%
201922/10/201991.86near 52w high+2.69%+2.23%+6.46%+0.00%+6.46%
201822/10/201890.76neutral-3.44%-0.78%+0.12%-3.82%+2.71%
201723/10/201783.67near 52w high-2.88%-2.76%-3.31%-3.53%+0.00%
201621/10/201669.71near 52w low-2.77%-4.63%-0.01%-5.29%+2.65%
Upcoming 26/10/2026 · Low Cycle 180/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.83% · Win 90% · DD -1.68%20 days: Avg +2.35% · Win 80% · DD -2.08%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/10/2025146.37near 52w high-1.31%+0.62%+6.07%-1.63%+6.07%
202425/10/2024148.59neutral-0.57%+1.07%-2.98%-4.97%+1.07%
202326/10/2023125.26near 52w low+1.21%+0.21%+4.69%-1.69%+4.69%
202226/10/2022131.40neutral-0.63%+0.03%+3.76%-1.05%+3.76%
202126/10/2021132.48near 52w high+1.52%+0.51%+0.02%-0.79%+2.12%
202026/10/2020106.62near 52w high-2.94%+4.06%+1.78%-4.65%+5.16%
201925/10/201992.06near 52w high+3.05%+3.33%+6.73%+0.00%+6.73%
201826/10/201887.42volume x1.7+2.10%+6.33%+3.53%+0.00%+6.63%
201726/10/201782.16near 52w high · volume x2.0-1.48%-0.52%-0.47%-1.75%+0.00%
201626/10/201668.96near 52w low-3.35%+2.64%+0.36%-4.26%+3.77%
Upcoming 12/11/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.82% · Win 50% · DD -1.38%20 days: Avg +1.57% · Win 80% · DD -1.81%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202512/11/2025152.82near 52w high · volume x1.6-0.32%+3.66%+0.50%-1.87%+3.89%
202412/11/2024147.22neutral-4.08%-0.71%-3.45%-4.08%+0.13%
202313/11/2023127.00near 52w low+1.60%+2.08%+5.13%+0.00%+5.13%
202211/11/2022133.13neutral+1.08%+2.25%+4.75%-0.13%+5.00%
202112/11/2021133.81near 52w high-0.63%-1.11%+1.52%-3.22%+1.52%
202012/11/2020110.72near 52w high-1.51%-1.16%+0.87%-2.06%+1.79%
201912/11/201995.31near 52w high · volume x1.5+2.60%+4.22%+4.94%+0.00%+5.35%
201812/11/201891.69near 52w high-0.89%-0.26%+0.31%-2.38%+4.56%
201713/11/201781.28near 52w high-0.47%+1.43%+2.97%-0.69%+2.97%
201611/11/201670.49near 52w high-1.12%-2.17%-1.86%-3.69%+0.00%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+1.0%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· Distance from 52w high: -4.6% · from 52w low: +25.9%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+1.83% · -2.81% · -2.32% · +9.81%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-1.12% · +0.98% · +8.00%
Distance from 52w high / low-4.65% · +25.92%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg2.22 · 1.54x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-3.80%
vs SPY (20d)-2.45%
vs SMH (20d)-4.16%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200170.29 · 166.75 · 155.92
52w high / low176.60 · 133.73