🕰️ Time Machine

XLV — Health Care Select Sector SPDR

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 03/11/2026

Last price (Close)
184.04 -0.30%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 7 days
10/11/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 23/10/2026
since +2.66%
Trend
Strong uptrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 11/09/2026
165.11
Days: 37 trading / 53 calendar · return since: +11.47%
Last major high · 19/08/2026
176.60
Days: 53 trading / 76 calendar · return since: +4.21%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 19/08/2026 @ 176.60Cycle 45Trading📅 22/10/2026-8 (±2)Passed
Low 11/09/2026 @ 165.11Cycle 30Trading📅 23/10/2026-7 (±2)Passed
Low 11/09/2026 @ 165.11Cycle 45Calendar📅 26/10/2026-8 (±2)Passed
Low 11/09/2026 @ 165.11Cycle 60Calendar📅 10/11/2026+7 (±2)Upcoming
High 19/08/2026 @ 176.60Cycle 60Trading📅 12/11/2026+7 (±2)Upcoming
Low 11/09/2026 @ 165.11Cycle 45Trading📅 13/11/2026+8 (±2)Upcoming
High 19/08/2026 @ 176.60Cycle 90Calendar📅 17/11/2026+14 (±3)Upcoming
Low 11/09/2026 @ 165.11Cycle 60Trading📅 07/12/2026+23 (±2)Upcoming
Low 11/09/2026 @ 165.11Cycle 90Calendar📅 10/12/2026+37 (±3)Upcoming
High 19/08/2026 @ 176.60Cycle 120Calendar📅 17/12/2026+44 (±3)Upcoming
High 19/08/2026 @ 176.60Cycle 90Trading📅 28/12/2026+37 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

● Shooting Star 03/11/2026
● NR7 Compression 27/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 26/10/2026
● Doji After Run 19/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 22/10/2026
● Shooting Star 15/10/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 13/10/2026
● Failed Breakout 13/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 09/10/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 22/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.41% · Win 56% · DD -2.23%20 days: Avg +1.26% · Win 78% · DD -2.67%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202522/10/2025145.96near 52w high-1.36%-0.21%+4.36%-1.36%+4.70%
202422/10/2024151.11neutral-1.79%-2.16%-6.55%-6.55%+0.00%
202323/10/2023127.26near 52w low-2.70%+0.79%+1.39%-3.24%+1.39%
202221/10/2022126.54neutral+4.99%+3.37%+6.35%+0.00%+6.51%
202122/10/2021131.67near 52w high+1.63%+0.90%+0.99%-0.18%+2.75%
202022/10/2020107.42near 52w high-5.33%+2.29%+1.52%-5.36%+4.38%
201922/10/201991.86near 52w high+2.69%+2.23%+6.46%+0.00%+6.46%
201822/10/201890.76neutral-3.44%-0.78%+0.12%-3.82%+2.71%
201723/10/201783.67near 52w high-2.88%-2.76%-3.31%-3.53%+0.00%
Passed 23/10/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.44% · Win 67% · DD -2.23%20 days: Avg +0.94% · Win 67% · DD -2.67%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202523/10/2025146.04near 52w high-1.19%-0.07%+3.68%-1.41%+4.64%
202423/10/2024150.40neutral-1.52%-1.57%-5.00%-6.11%+0.00%
202323/10/2023127.26near 52w low-2.70%+0.79%+1.39%-3.24%+1.39%
202224/10/2022128.98neutral+2.92%+2.50%+4.38%+0.00%+4.50%
202122/10/2021131.67near 52w high+1.63%+0.90%+0.99%-0.18%+2.75%
202023/10/2020107.82near 52w high-5.71%+1.95%+0.91%-5.71%+3.99%
201923/10/201992.43near 52w high+2.63%+1.95%+5.66%-0.51%+5.80%
201823/10/201890.27neutral-1.87%+0.27%-0.28%-3.30%+3.27%
201723/10/201783.67near 52w high-2.88%-2.76%-3.31%-3.53%+0.00%
Passed 26/10/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.74% · Win 89% · DD -1.39%20 days: Avg +2.57% · Win 78% · DD -1.84%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/10/2025146.37near 52w high-1.31%+0.62%+6.07%-1.63%+6.07%
202425/10/2024148.59neutral-0.57%+1.07%-2.98%-4.97%+1.07%
202326/10/2023125.26near 52w low+1.21%+0.21%+4.69%-1.69%+4.69%
202226/10/2022131.40neutral-0.63%+0.03%+3.76%-1.05%+3.76%
202126/10/2021132.48near 52w high+1.52%+0.51%+0.02%-0.79%+2.12%
202026/10/2020106.62near 52w high-2.94%+4.06%+1.78%-4.65%+5.16%
201925/10/201992.06near 52w high+3.05%+3.33%+6.73%+0.00%+6.73%
201826/10/201887.42volume x1.7+2.10%+6.33%+3.53%+0.00%+6.63%
201726/10/201782.16near 52w high · volume x2.0-1.48%-0.52%-0.47%-1.75%+0.00%
Upcoming 10/11/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.50% · Win 50% · DD -1.81%20 days: Avg +0.98% · Win 70% · DD -2.18%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/11/2025147.28near 52w high+3.00%+5.42%+1.82%+0.00%+7.80%
202411/11/2024149.30neutral-4.93%-2.62%-3.48%-5.42%+0.00%
202310/11/2023126.27near 52w low+1.57%+3.20%+5.28%+0.00%+5.28%
202210/11/2022134.78neutral-1.35%+1.76%+2.37%-1.35%+3.71%
202110/11/2021133.54near 52w high+0.14%-0.81%+0.43%-3.03%+0.43%
202010/11/2020111.27near 52w high-0.06%-2.18%+0.93%-2.54%+1.29%
201911/11/201994.74near 52w high+2.52%+4.93%+5.48%+0.00%+5.98%
201809/11/201892.95near 52w high-0.98%-2.63%-1.89%-3.70%+3.14%
201710/11/201781.20near 52w high+0.05%+0.79%+2.66%-0.59%+2.80%
201610/11/201671.56near 52w high-1.55%-2.91%-3.79%-5.13%+0.00%
Upcoming 12/11/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.82% · Win 50% · DD -1.38%20 days: Avg +1.57% · Win 80% · DD -1.81%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202512/11/2025152.82near 52w high · volume x1.6-0.32%+3.66%+0.50%-1.87%+3.89%
202412/11/2024147.22neutral-4.08%-0.71%-3.45%-4.08%+0.13%
202313/11/2023127.00near 52w low+1.60%+2.08%+5.13%+0.00%+5.13%
202211/11/2022133.13neutral+1.08%+2.25%+4.75%-0.13%+5.00%
202112/11/2021133.81near 52w high-0.63%-1.11%+1.52%-3.22%+1.52%
202012/11/2020110.72near 52w high-1.51%-1.16%+0.87%-2.06%+1.79%
201912/11/201995.31near 52w high · volume x1.5+2.60%+4.22%+4.94%+0.00%+5.35%
201812/11/201891.69near 52w high-0.89%-0.26%+0.31%-2.38%+4.56%
201713/11/201781.28near 52w high-0.47%+1.43%+2.97%-0.69%+2.97%
201611/11/201670.49near 52w high-1.12%-2.17%-1.86%-3.69%+0.00%
Upcoming 13/11/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.17% · Win 70% · DD -1.38%20 days: Avg +1.65% · Win 70% · DD -1.83%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202513/11/2025152.74near 52w high · volume x1.9-0.86%+3.21%+0.86%-1.82%+3.95%
202413/11/2024146.83neutral-2.69%+0.08%-3.96%-3.96%+0.40%
202313/11/2023127.00near 52w low+1.60%+2.08%+5.13%+0.00%+5.13%
202214/11/2022133.25neutral+1.04%+1.90%+4.98%-0.22%+4.98%
202112/11/2021133.81near 52w high-0.63%-1.11%+1.52%-3.22%+1.52%
202013/11/2020112.12near 52w high-2.96%-2.12%-1.14%-3.28%+0.52%
201913/11/201995.42near 52w high+2.35%+4.63%+5.80%+0.00%+5.80%
201813/11/201891.05neutral-1.13%+2.86%+1.11%-1.69%+5.29%
201713/11/201781.28near 52w high-0.47%+1.43%+2.97%-0.69%+2.97%
201614/11/201670.27near 52w high-0.46%-1.22%-0.75%-3.39%+0.28%
Upcoming 17/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.47% · Win 80% · DD -1.26%20 days: Avg +1.21% · Win 70% · DD -1.89%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202517/11/2025151.70near 52w high+2.35%+1.75%+1.56%-1.15%+4.66%
202418/11/2024141.94neutral+2.43%+3.44%-1.92%-1.92%+3.85%
202317/11/2023128.25near 52w low+1.61%+2.99%+4.78%+0.00%+6.02%
202217/11/2022132.96neutral+3.15%+5.13%+1.93%+0.00%+5.37%
202117/11/2021133.73near 52w high-0.95%-2.69%+3.86%-3.16%+3.86%
202017/11/2020111.20near 52w high-2.12%+0.26%+0.46%-2.48%+1.35%
201918/11/201997.13near 52w high+2.35%+1.75%+4.87%+0.00%+4.98%
201816/11/201892.04near 52w high-1.66%+3.66%-6.10%-6.10%+4.16%
201717/11/201781.24near 52w high+0.74%+1.28%+3.49%-0.42%+3.49%
201617/11/201670.45near 52w high-1.38%-2.90%-0.80%-3.63%+0.00%
Upcoming 07/12/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.14% · Win 70% · DD -1.89%20 days: Avg +2.29% · Win 70% · DD -2.12%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202508/12/2025151.43near 52w high+3.08%+2.99%+5.88%-0.97%+5.88%
202406/12/2024144.28neutral-2.28%-4.35%-2.73%-5.54%+0.29%
202307/12/2023131.85neutral+2.62%+2.35%+6.92%+0.00%+6.92%
202207/12/2022138.52near 52w high+1.14%-1.26%-1.65%-2.55%+1.14%
202107/12/2021132.80near 52w high+1.88%+3.66%+3.27%+0.00%+6.95%
202007/12/2020111.85near 52w high-0.90%+0.02%+3.54%-0.90%+3.54%
201906/12/2019100.41near 52w high+0.47%+2.70%+2.34%-0.70%+3.11%
201807/12/201890.56neutral-1.77%-8.29%-3.54%-10.48%+1.66%
201707/12/201782.09near 52w high+1.27%+1.73%+3.89%+0.00%+4.26%
201607/12/201667.89near 52w low+2.19%+1.86%+4.97%+0.00%+4.97%
Upcoming 10/12/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.01% · Win 50% · DD -1.98%20 days: Avg +2.05% · Win 70% · DD -2.07%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/12/2025152.14near 52w high+1.08%+2.84%+3.84%+0.00%+5.39%
202410/12/2024144.10neutral-3.39%-2.88%-2.66%-5.43%+0.00%
202311/12/2023132.94neutral+1.08%+2.25%+6.52%+0.00%+6.52%
202209/12/2022137.98near 52w high-1.78%-0.96%-2.11%-2.92%+1.54%
202110/12/2021134.58near 52w high+2.48%+5.00%+1.24%+0.00%+5.54%
202010/12/2020112.12near 52w high+0.70%-0.17%+5.62%-1.14%+5.62%
201910/12/201999.93near 52w high+1.93%+3.48%+3.94%+0.00%+3.94%
201810/12/201890.91neutral-4.09%-10.83%-3.48%-10.83%+1.26%
201711/12/201783.36near 52w high+0.86%-0.12%+3.33%-0.42%+3.51%
201609/12/201668.85near 52w high+1.50%+1.33%+4.30%+0.00%+4.30%
Upcoming 17/12/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.74% · Win 80% · DD -1.45%20 days: Avg +1.84% · Win 80% · DD -1.88%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202517/12/2025153.79near 52w high+1.74%+1.55%+1.70%+0.00%+4.26%
202417/12/2024139.21near 52w low+0.53%-0.70%+1.15%-2.10%+2.08%
202318/12/2023133.78near 52w high+1.15%+3.57%+4.19%-0.78%+5.37%
202216/12/2022135.53neutral+0.83%+0.36%-1.52%-1.52%+1.01%
202117/12/2021137.92near 52w high+2.46%+1.49%-3.79%-3.79%+2.98%
202017/12/2020112.91near 52w high-0.87%+0.45%+4.81%-1.22%+4.89%
201917/12/2019101.86near 52w high+1.52%+1.34%+3.68%+0.00%+3.68%
201817/12/201887.19volume x1.7-7.02%-1.84%+1.66%-7.02%+1.85%
201718/12/201783.74near 52w high-0.97%+0.80%+5.22%-1.27%+5.22%
201616/12/201669.58near 52w high-0.17%+0.37%+1.28%-1.05%+2.76%
Upcoming 28/12/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.53% · Win 80% · DD -1.12%20 days: Avg +1.27% · Win 60% · DD -1.67%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/12/2025155.81near 52w high+1.46%+0.60%-0.96%-0.96%+2.47%
202427/12/2024138.95near 52w low+0.05%+0.76%+4.83%-1.23%+6.19%
202328/12/2023136.24near 52w high+2.11%+3.14%+2.94%+0.00%+3.47%
202228/12/2022134.87neutral-0.33%-0.01%-1.49%-1.49%+1.09%
202128/12/2021140.40near 52w high-1.99%-2.56%-9.16%-9.16%+0.78%
202028/12/2020111.75near 52w high+1.81%+4.39%+2.32%+0.00%+6.04%
201927/12/2019102.94near 52w high-0.40%+0.16%-0.09%-1.01%+2.40%
201828/12/201885.25neutral+1.22%+1.87%+3.62%-2.09%+5.67%
201728/12/201783.19near 52w high+2.48%+4.36%+9.74%-0.61%+10.04%
201628/12/201669.07near 52w high+2.43%+2.58%+0.98%-0.19%+3.52%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+6.6%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -2.1% · from 52w low: +29.6%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+2.71% · +2.35% · +10.14% · +9.68%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+3.74% · +6.63% · +15.79%
Distance from 52w high / low-2.10% · +29.63%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg3.11 · 1.14x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+19.94%
vs SPY (20d)+13.31%
vs SMH (20d)+28.16%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200177.40 · 172.60 · 158.95
52w high / low187.99 · 141.97