🕰️ Time Machine
XLY — Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 18/06/2026
Last price (Close)
117.16 +1.45%
Next window · Cycle 45 · in window · in 2 days
23/06/2026
Last window · Cycle 60 · 16/06/2026
since -1.10%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 30/03/2026
105.19
Days: 56 trading / 80 calendar · return since: +11.38%
Last major high · 17/04/2026
121.85
Days: 43 trading / 62 calendar · return since: -3.85%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 17/04/2026 @ 121.85 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 16/06/2026 | -2 (±2) | In window |
| High 17/04/2026 @ 121.85 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 23/06/2026 | +2 (±2) | In window |
| Low 30/03/2026 @ 105.19 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 25/06/2026 | +4 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 30/03/2026 @ 105.19 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 28/06/2026 | +10 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 17/04/2026 @ 121.85 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 15/07/2026 | +17 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 17/04/2026 @ 121.85 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 16/07/2026 | +28 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 30/03/2026 @ 105.19 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 28/07/2026 | +40 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 30/03/2026 @ 105.19 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 07/08/2026 | +34 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Shooting Star 16/06/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 16/06/2026
● NR7 Compression 15/06/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 16/06/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
In window 16/06/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.40% · Win 60% · DD -1.76%20 days: Avg +4.15% · Win 100% · DD -1.84%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/06/2025 | 107.01 | neutral | +0.95% | +2.20% | +2.76% | -1.72% | +4.07% |
| 2024 | 17/06/2024 | 90.73 | near 52w high | -0.20% | +3.04% | +5.73% | -0.34% | +7.53% |
| 2023 | 16/06/2023 | 83.19 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -1.64% | +3.50% | +6.21% | -1.64% | +6.21% |
| 2022 | 16/06/2022 | 67.32 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x1.7 | +9.43% | +4.24% | +8.15% | +0.00% | +9.43% |
| 2021 | 16/06/2021 | 86.21 | near 52w high | +2.35% | +3.71% | +4.68% | -0.15% | +6.72% |
| 2020 | 16/06/2020 | 64.60 | near 52w high | +0.40% | -0.92% | +4.61% | -3.99% | +4.61% |
| 2019 | 17/06/2019 | 59.27 | near 52w high | +0.63% | +1.79% | +5.24% | -0.33% | +5.37% |
| 2018 | 15/06/2018 | 56.06 | near 52w high · volume x1.8 | -0.70% | -2.51% | +0.68% | -3.43% | +0.68% |
| 2017 | 16/06/2017 | 45.08 | near 52w high · volume x1.7 | -0.70% | -0.58% | +0.29% | -1.93% | +0.77% |
| 2016 | 20/06/2016 | 39.31 | near 52w high | -4.91% | -0.51% | +3.19% | -4.91% | +3.54% |
In window 23/06/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.15% · Win 90% · DD -2.00%20 days: Avg +4.07% · Win 100% · DD -2.02%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 23/06/2025 | 107.20 | neutral | +1.37% | +1.52% | +5.17% | -0.63% | +5.17% |
| 2024 | 24/06/2024 | 90.72 | near 52w high | +0.87% | +4.73% | +4.18% | -0.40% | +7.31% |
| 2023 | 23/06/2023 | 82.72 | neutral | +2.64% | +2.68% | +4.02% | -1.28% | +6.96% |
| 2022 | 23/06/2022 | 70.79 | neutral | -2.90% | +3.38% | +9.29% | -2.90% | +9.93% |
| 2021 | 23/06/2021 | 88.11 | near 52w high | +1.33% | +2.60% | +3.09% | -0.14% | +4.27% |
| 2020 | 23/06/2020 | 64.70 | near 52w high | -1.31% | +1.92% | +6.15% | -4.37% | +6.15% |
| 2019 | 24/06/2019 | 59.44 | near 52w high | +1.15% | +2.61% | +3.52% | -0.96% | +4.71% |
| 2018 | 22/06/2018 | 55.66 | near 52w high | -1.81% | +0.27% | +0.64% | -2.75% | +1.49% |
| 2017 | 23/06/2017 | 44.76 | near 52w high | +0.12% | -0.15% | +1.45% | -1.24% | +1.94% |
| 2016 | 23/06/2016 | 39.56 | near 52w high | -1.33% | +1.91% | +3.15% | -5.49% | +3.15% |
Upcoming 25/06/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.25% · Win 80% · DD -1.28%20 days: Avg +4.18% · Win 100% · DD -1.39%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 25/06/2025 | 106.53 | neutral | +3.27% | +3.91% | +4.58% | +0.00% | +6.34% |
| 2024 | 25/06/2024 | 90.36 | near 52w high | +3.25% | +5.94% | +0.33% | +0.00% | +7.74% |
| 2023 | 26/06/2023 | 81.67 | neutral | +5.22% | +4.89% | +5.12% | +0.00% | +8.35% |
| 2022 | 24/06/2022 | 73.50 | neutral | -4.75% | -3.15% | +4.37% | -6.47% | +5.89% |
| 2021 | 25/06/2021 | 88.96 | near 52w high | +1.80% | +3.27% | +3.77% | -1.10% | +3.77% |
| 2020 | 25/06/2020 | 63.36 | near 52w high | +2.20% | +5.20% | +6.96% | -2.34% | +8.40% |
| 2019 | 25/06/2019 | 58.87 | near 52w high | +2.35% | +3.97% | +5.05% | +0.00% | +5.72% |
| 2018 | 25/06/2018 | 54.45 | near 52w high · volume x2.2 | +0.51% | +2.72% | +2.57% | -0.59% | +3.75% |
| 2017 | 26/06/2017 | 44.92 | near 52w high | -0.33% | -0.70% | +1.80% | -1.59% | +1.80% |
| 2016 | 24/06/2016 | 38.08 | near 52w high | +3.54% | +6.46% | +7.30% | -1.84% | +7.30% |
Upcoming 28/06/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.40% · Win 90% · DD -0.41%20 days: Avg +4.13% · Win 100% · DD -0.62%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 27/06/2025 | 109.29 | neutral | -0.09% | +1.67% | +3.47% | -0.58% | +3.64% |
| 2024 | 28/06/2024 | 91.20 | near 52w high | +3.83% | +4.86% | +1.79% | -0.99% | +6.74% |
| 2023 | 28/06/2023 | 83.75 | near 52w high | +0.99% | +4.16% | +1.42% | +0.00% | +5.65% |
| 2022 | 28/06/2022 | 69.82 | near 52w low | +2.17% | +2.16% | +10.36% | -1.55% | +11.47% |
| 2021 | 28/06/2021 | 88.99 | near 52w high | +1.90% | +2.01% | +2.69% | -1.12% | +3.74% |
| 2020 | 29/06/2020 | 63.05 | neutral | +3.49% | +5.42% | +7.08% | +0.00% | +8.93% |
| 2019 | 28/06/2019 | 59.60 | near 52w high · volume x1.6 | +2.22% | +4.43% | +3.15% | +0.00% | +4.43% |
| 2018 | 28/06/2018 | 54.56 | near 52w high | +1.09% | +3.19% | +2.32% | -0.19% | +3.55% |
| 2017 | 28/06/2017 | 45.01 | near 52w high | -1.80% | -0.14% | +2.29% | -1.80% | +2.29% |
| 2016 | 28/06/2016 | 38.13 | near 52w high | +3.46% | +6.23% | +6.71% | +0.00% | +7.17% |
Upcoming 15/07/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.32% · Win 60% · DD -1.53%20 days: Avg +1.01% · Win 50% · DD -3.01%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 15/07/2025 | 109.54 | neutral | +2.93% | +2.53% | +3.50% | -1.36% | +3.50% |
| 2024 | 15/07/2024 | 95.64 | near 52w high | -0.73% | -2.93% | -9.21% | -11.09% | +1.79% |
| 2023 | 14/07/2023 | 87.46 | near 52w high | -2.25% | -1.23% | -2.97% | -3.56% | +1.17% |
| 2022 | 15/07/2022 | 72.42 | neutral | +6.84% | +12.42% | +17.31% | +0.00% | +17.31% |
| 2021 | 15/07/2021 | 90.11 | near 52w high | +0.79% | +2.21% | +1.03% | -2.36% | +2.44% |
| 2020 | 15/07/2020 | 67.42 | near 52w high | +1.88% | +1.16% | +6.55% | -0.73% | +6.55% |
| 2019 | 15/07/2019 | 62.24 | near 52w high | -1.81% | -1.23% | -6.35% | -7.67% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 16/07/2018 | 56.44 | near 52w high | -0.74% | -1.88% | -0.64% | -1.90% | +0.71% |
| 2017 | 14/07/2017 | 45.10 | near 52w high | +1.04% | +1.33% | -0.37% | -0.88% | +2.11% |
| 2016 | 15/07/2016 | 40.49 | near 52w high | +0.77% | +0.79% | +1.26% | -0.56% | +1.31% |
Upcoming 16/07/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.88% · Win 60% · DD -1.58%20 days: Avg +1.52% · Win 60% · DD -3.09%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/07/2025 | 109.74 | volume x1.6 | +3.23% | +1.70% | +4.73% | -1.54% | +4.73% |
| 2024 | 16/07/2024 | 97.35 | near 52w high | -2.91% | -5.17% | -8.58% | -12.66% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 17/07/2023 | 87.82 | near 52w high | -2.01% | -1.08% | -3.07% | -3.95% | +0.76% |
| 2022 | 15/07/2022 | 72.42 | neutral | +6.84% | +12.42% | +17.31% | +0.00% | +17.31% |
| 2021 | 16/07/2021 | 89.00 | near 52w high | +2.95% | +1.36% | +1.99% | -1.15% | +3.72% |
| 2020 | 16/07/2020 | 67.24 | near 52w high | +0.62% | +1.35% | +6.79% | -0.47% | +6.83% |
| 2019 | 16/07/2019 | 62.16 | near 52w high | -1.01% | -1.77% | -4.69% | -7.55% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 16/07/2018 | 56.44 | near 52w high | -0.74% | -1.88% | -0.64% | -1.90% | +0.71% |
| 2017 | 17/07/2017 | 45.21 | near 52w high | +0.45% | +1.05% | +0.10% | -1.12% | +1.86% |
| 2016 | 15/07/2016 | 40.49 | near 52w high | +0.77% | +0.79% | +1.26% | -0.56% | +1.31% |
Upcoming 28/07/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.34% · Win 40% · DD -2.69%20 days: Avg +0.97% · Win 50% · DD -3.44%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/07/2025 | 113.09 | neutral | -3.34% | -0.80% | +2.85% | -4.46% | +3.06% |
| 2024 | 29/07/2024 | 92.83 | near 52w high | -7.80% | -6.47% | +0.40% | -8.41% | +1.19% |
| 2023 | 28/07/2023 | 86.38 | near 52w high | -0.70% | -1.76% | -4.69% | -5.85% | +0.57% |
| 2022 | 28/07/2022 | 78.38 | neutral | +6.64% | +6.00% | +5.90% | +0.00% | +10.35% |
| 2021 | 28/07/2021 | 91.08 | near 52w high | -0.91% | -0.09% | -0.16% | -3.43% | +1.13% |
| 2020 | 28/07/2020 | 67.51 | near 52w high | +2.06% | +5.00% | +10.26% | +0.00% | +10.26% |
| 2019 | 29/07/2019 | 61.47 | near 52w high | -6.52% | -5.19% | -4.32% | -6.80% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 27/07/2018 | 55.82 | near 52w high | +0.20% | +0.97% | +2.91% | -0.82% | +2.91% |
| 2017 | 28/07/2017 | 45.69 | near 52w high | -0.39% | -1.67% | -3.02% | -3.44% | +0.14% |
| 2016 | 28/07/2016 | 40.76 | near 52w high | -0.99% | +0.63% | -0.44% | -1.23% | +0.77% |
Upcoming 07/08/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.76% · Win 60% · DD -1.74%20 days: Avg +1.86% · Win 60% · DD -2.24%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 07/08/2025 | 111.69 | neutral | +2.78% | +1.27% | +5.25% | +0.00% | +5.27% |
| 2024 | 07/08/2024 | 85.03 | neutral | +4.12% | +10.29% | +10.04% | +0.00% | +10.48% |
| 2023 | 07/08/2023 | 86.65 | near 52w high | -1.77% | -5.07% | -2.03% | -6.15% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 08/08/2022 | 82.53 | far above SMA50 | +3.65% | -1.31% | -5.99% | -5.99% | +4.80% |
| 2021 | 06/08/2021 | 90.50 | near 52w high | +0.30% | -1.87% | +1.39% | -2.81% | +1.46% |
| 2020 | 07/08/2020 | 70.19 | near 52w high | +2.29% | +4.13% | +4.83% | +0.00% | +9.53% |
| 2019 | 07/08/2019 | 58.58 | volume x1.8 | -2.02% | +2.13% | +4.63% | -2.19% | +4.63% |
| 2018 | 07/08/2018 | 56.56 | near 52w high | +0.10% | +0.95% | +2.46% | -1.12% | +3.57% |
| 2017 | 07/08/2017 | 45.62 | near 52w high | -0.81% | -3.10% | -1.69% | -3.28% | +0.05% |
| 2016 | 08/08/2016 | 40.65 | near 52w high | +1.06% | +0.15% | -0.33% | -0.91% | +1.06% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· If it holds above SMA50 (-0.5%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -6.3% · from 52w low: +11.8%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +0.74% · -0.09% · -0.66% · +6.82% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -0.45% · -0.47% · -0.41% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -6.28% · +11.78% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 2.35 · 1.15x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -4.51% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -1.66% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | -17.52% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 117.69 · 117.71 · 117.65 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 125.01 · 104.81 |
|---|
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