🕰️ Time Machine

XLY — Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 03/11/2026

Last price (Close)
117.33 -0.70%
Next window · Cycle 90 · in window · in 2 days
05/11/2026
Last window · Cycle 60 · 02/11/2026
since -0.70%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 01/10/2026
107.99
Days: 23 trading / 33 calendar · return since: +8.65%
Last major high · 07/08/2026
120.44
Days: 61 trading / 88 calendar · return since: -2.58%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 01/10/2026 @ 107.99Fib 13Trading📅 20/10/2026-10 (±1)Passed
Low 01/10/2026 @ 107.99Fib 21Trading📅 30/10/2026-2 (±1)Passed
Low 01/10/2026 @ 107.99Cycle 30Calendar📅 31/10/2026-3 (±2)Passed
High 07/08/2026 @ 120.44Cycle 60Trading📅 02/11/2026-1 (±2)In window
High 07/08/2026 @ 120.44Cycle 90Calendar📅 05/11/2026+2 (±3)In window
Low 01/10/2026 @ 107.99Cycle 30Trading📅 12/11/2026+7 (±2)Upcoming
Low 01/10/2026 @ 107.99Cycle 45Calendar📅 15/11/2026+12 (±2)Upcoming
Low 01/10/2026 @ 107.99Cycle 60Calendar📅 30/11/2026+27 (±2)Upcoming
Low 01/10/2026 @ 107.99Cycle 45Trading📅 04/12/2026+22 (±2)Upcoming
High 07/08/2026 @ 120.44Cycle 120Calendar📅 05/12/2026+32 (±3)Upcoming
High 07/08/2026 @ 120.44Cycle 90Trading📅 15/12/2026+29 (±3)Upcoming
Low 01/10/2026 @ 107.99Cycle 60Trading📅 28/12/2026+37 (±2)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

● Failed Breakout 29/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 30/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 28/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 30/10/2026
● Failed Breakout 16/10/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 20/10/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 20/10/2026 · Low Fib 13/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.55% · Win 67% · DD -2.10%20 days: Avg +3.36% · Win 78% · DD -2.69%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202520/10/2025118.14near 52w high+2.03%+2.50%-3.20%-3.20%+2.50%
202421/10/202498.98near 52w high+1.68%+0.73%+8.81%-1.97%+10.86%
202320/10/202375.85neutral-1.38%+5.62%+10.19%-2.41%+10.59%
202220/10/202269.18near 52w low · far below SMA50+4.67%-1.45%+1.76%-4.57%+5.93%
202120/10/202195.32near 52w high+3.86%+8.64%+9.18%+0.00%+10.82%
202020/10/202076.09near 52w high-1.45%-3.30%+1.72%-6.05%+2.16%
201921/10/201961.30near 52w high-0.95%-0.73%-0.66%-1.61%+0.00%
201819/10/201853.17neutral-2.76%+1.53%+0.03%-3.61%+4.92%
201720/10/201745.68near 52w high+1.14%+0.37%+2.39%-0.82%+2.39%
Passed 30/10/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.03% · Win 67% · DD -1.34%20 days: Avg +4.85% · Win 89% · DD -2.24%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202530/10/2025116.88near 52w high+0.74%-0.75%+1.16%-5.39%+3.61%
202430/10/202499.97near 52w high+4.74%+9.22%+10.05%-1.53%+10.59%
202330/10/202375.48neutral+6.27%+7.37%+12.27%+0.00%+12.27%
202231/10/202272.01neutral-5.20%-0.86%-1.90%-8.32%+0.74%
202129/10/2021100.57near 52w high+5.03%+1.31%+3.03%+0.00%+5.11%
202030/10/202071.49volume x1.6+6.85%+7.33%+10.00%+0.00%+10.67%
201930/10/201960.75near 52w high+0.43%-0.72%+1.44%-1.65%+1.44%
201830/10/201852.02neutral+4.38%+3.58%+3.53%-2.52%+7.24%
201730/10/201745.99near 52w high+0.42%+0.76%+4.10%-0.71%+4.10%
Passed 31/10/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.00% · Win 70% · DD -1.38%20 days: Avg +4.54% · Win 70% · DD -2.26%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202531/10/2025119.96near 52w high-1.70%-3.77%-1.39%-7.82%+0.94%
202431/10/202498.44near 52w high+7.73%+9.34%+12.91%+0.00%+12.91%
202331/10/202376.05neutral+6.65%+10.16%+11.12%+0.00%+11.43%
202231/10/202272.01neutral-5.20%-0.86%-1.90%-8.32%+0.74%
202101/11/2021102.42near 52w high · far above SMA50+1.67%-0.60%-0.20%-0.84%+3.21%
202030/10/202071.49volume x1.6+6.85%+7.33%+10.00%+0.00%+10.67%
201931/10/201960.42near 52w high+0.36%+0.25%+1.32%-1.13%+1.99%
201831/10/201852.69neutral+5.85%+1.49%+1.74%-3.76%+5.87%
201731/10/201745.99near 52w high-0.18%+0.84%+4.53%-0.72%+4.53%
201604/11/201638.37near 52w high+3.90%+5.83%+7.30%+0.00%+8.15%
In window 02/11/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.58% · Win 70% · DD -1.21%20 days: Avg +4.80% · Win 70% · DD -2.19%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/11/2025121.09near 52w high-1.33%-5.56%-2.37%-8.68%+0.00%
202401/11/2024100.04near 52w high · volume x1.6+7.51%+6.67%+12.07%-0.34%+12.07%
202302/11/202379.00neutral+0.48%+5.08%+8.28%+0.00%+8.28%
202202/11/202268.59near 52w low · volume x1.6-3.75%+3.90%+6.54%-3.75%+6.55%
202102/11/2021101.73near 52w high+0.47%+1.66%-1.33%-1.33%+3.91%
202002/11/202072.00neutral+5.74%+7.97%+10.03%+0.00%+10.03%
201901/11/201960.83near 52w high-0.25%-0.23%-0.17%-1.78%+1.32%
201802/11/201853.99neutral+1.90%-1.48%+1.89%-6.07%+3.33%
201702/11/201745.67near 52w high+0.80%+1.97%+5.78%+0.00%+5.83%
201604/11/201638.37near 52w high+3.90%+5.83%+7.30%+0.00%+8.15%
In window 05/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.96% · Win 70% · DD -2.30%20 days: Avg +2.82% · Win 60% · DD -2.90%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202505/11/2025120.53near 52w high-1.29%-6.87%-1.21%-8.26%+0.00%
202405/11/2024101.46near 52w high+6.70%+6.23%+11.44%+0.00%+11.44%
202306/11/202380.21neutral+1.04%+4.73%+6.43%-1.03%+6.65%
202204/11/202268.75near 52w low+5.52%+2.54%+3.09%-3.97%+6.31%
202105/11/2021105.63near 52w high · far above SMA50-3.54%+0.08%-4.42%-5.50%+0.08%
202005/11/202076.61near 52w high-1.45%+0.84%+3.14%-1.45%+3.40%
201905/11/201960.94near 52w high-0.72%-1.18%-0.82%-1.97%+1.12%
201805/11/201854.06neutral-0.29%-4.02%-1.91%-6.20%+3.19%
201706/11/201746.19near 52w high+0.34%+1.46%+5.20%-0.60%+5.80%
201604/11/201638.37near 52w high+3.90%+5.83%+7.30%+0.00%+8.15%
Upcoming 12/11/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.42% · Win 70% · DD -2.03%20 days: Avg +2.35% · Win 70% · DD -2.24%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202512/11/2025118.97near 52w high-5.64%-1.24%+1.02%-7.05%+1.02%
202412/11/2024108.26near 52w high · volume x1.8-0.44%+2.12%+9.23%-1.43%+9.23%
202313/11/202381.04neutral+3.65%+4.56%+7.47%+0.00%+7.47%
202211/11/202272.54neutral-2.83%-2.30%-3.66%-4.40%+0.74%
202112/11/2021101.89near 52w high+3.74%+1.69%-2.00%-2.03%+3.74%
202012/11/202075.50near 52w high+2.32%+4.78%+3.51%+0.00%+4.92%
201912/11/201960.51near 52w high-0.46%+0.98%+0.81%-1.26%+1.85%
201812/11/201853.90neutral-3.75%-2.96%-3.00%-5.93%+2.04%
201713/11/201746.34near 52w high+1.12%+3.31%+5.20%-0.35%+5.45%
201611/11/201639.86near 52w high+1.86%+3.26%+4.88%+0.00%+5.76%
Upcoming 15/11/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.95% · Win 100% · DD -1.70%20 days: Avg +2.53% · Win 70% · DD -2.12%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202514/11/2025115.44neutral-2.33%+2.47%+5.44%-4.21%+5.44%
202415/11/2024106.72near 52w high+2.18%+5.06%+11.83%+0.00%+11.83%
202315/11/202383.88neutral+0.20%+0.61%+6.61%-1.03%+6.61%
202215/11/202272.37neutral-2.92%+0.99%-4.15%-4.17%+0.99%
202115/11/2021101.81near 52w high+3.57%+0.40%-2.49%-2.49%+3.83%
202016/11/202077.73near 52w high-0.05%+1.91%+2.05%-1.14%+2.05%
201915/11/201960.69near 52w high-0.87%+0.06%+1.93%-1.55%+1.93%
201815/11/201853.40neutral-4.47%+1.12%-6.61%-6.61%+3.02%
201715/11/201746.18near 52w high+2.20%+4.64%+5.98%+0.00%+5.98%
201615/11/201640.02near 52w high+3.32%+2.26%+4.69%+0.00%+5.40%
Upcoming 30/11/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.29% · Win 60% · DD -1.90%20 days: Avg +0.00% · Win 80% · DD -3.72%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202501/12/2025118.30near 52w high-0.26%+2.90%+1.94%-0.27%+3.83%
202429/11/2024111.15near 52w high+4.72%+5.93%+1.88%+0.00%+7.71%
202330/11/202384.39neutral+2.14%+5.96%+6.13%+0.00%+7.68%
202230/11/202273.08volume x1.6-5.11%-5.08%-11.15%-13.38%+0.00%
202130/11/2021102.22near 52w high · volume x1.6+1.08%-2.88%+0.75%-6.02%+1.33%
202030/11/202078.63near 52w high+0.26%-0.46%+1.76%-0.61%+2.23%
201929/11/201961.22near 52w high-0.58%+0.59%+2.62%-1.82%+3.29%
201830/11/201853.99neutral-4.20%-7.65%-7.26%-14.49%+1.87%
201730/11/201748.33near 52w high · volume x1.8+0.14%+1.27%+2.46%-0.11%+3.06%
201630/11/201640.92near 52w high+2.77%+2.37%+0.89%-0.50%+3.07%
Upcoming 04/12/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.02% · Win 70% · DD -1.97%20 days: Avg +0.74% · Win 80% · DD -3.32%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/12/2025119.07near 52w high+0.93%+2.75%+1.23%-0.92%+3.16%
202404/12/2024113.07near 52w high+4.59%+1.10%+0.07%-1.91%+5.87%
202304/12/202385.22near 52w high · volume x1.7+1.88%+5.80%+2.02%+0.00%+6.63%
202205/12/202270.88neutral-1.39%-7.05%-7.86%-10.68%+0.00%
202103/12/202199.82volume x1.5+2.67%-2.18%+5.50%-3.76%+5.50%
202004/12/202079.01near 52w high-1.09%+1.24%+1.82%-1.09%+1.93%
201904/12/201960.44near 52w high+0.91%+2.89%+4.43%-0.10%+5.33%
201804/12/201853.03neutral-1.39%-7.10%-4.55%-12.93%+0.48%
201704/12/201748.87near 52w high-0.28%+1.49%+3.34%-1.22%+3.34%
201605/12/201641.17near 52w high+1.55%+1.30%+1.37%-0.54%+2.47%
Upcoming 05/12/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.28% · Win 70% · DD -2.22%20 days: Avg +0.56% · Win 70% · DD -3.49%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202505/12/2025119.73near 52w high+0.81%+1.77%+1.32%-1.46%+2.59%
202405/12/2024114.00near 52w high · far above SMA50+2.88%+0.14%-0.35%-2.71%+5.01%
202305/12/202385.37near 52w high+2.02%+6.44%+1.12%+0.00%+6.44%
202205/12/202270.88neutral-1.39%-7.05%-7.86%-10.68%+0.00%
202106/12/2021100.96neutral-1.10%-4.85%+3.67%-4.85%+4.31%
202004/12/202079.01near 52w high-1.09%+1.24%+1.82%-1.09%+1.93%
201905/12/201960.38near 52w high+1.90%+3.31%+4.82%+0.00%+5.43%
201804/12/201853.03neutral-1.39%-7.10%-4.55%-12.93%+0.48%
201705/12/201748.58near 52w high · volume x1.6+0.34%+1.94%+4.27%-0.65%+4.27%
201605/12/201641.17near 52w high+1.55%+1.30%+1.37%-0.54%+2.47%
Upcoming 15/12/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.02% · Win 40% · DD -3.20%20 days: Avg +1.20% · Win 70% · DD -3.78%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202515/12/2025121.73near 52w high+0.70%-0.93%+0.63%-2.58%+2.49%
202416/12/2024119.34near 52w high · far above SMA50-3.80%-5.83%-5.11%-7.31%+0.31%
202315/12/202389.61near 52w high+0.33%-0.97%-3.72%-3.72%+1.41%
202215/12/202268.23near 52w low-5.54%-5.09%+2.73%-7.22%+2.73%
202115/12/2021100.54neutral-0.18%+2.07%-1.66%-4.44%+4.75%
202015/12/202079.32near 52w high-0.72%+1.48%+5.52%-0.72%+6.60%
201916/12/201961.85near 52w high+0.78%+1.72%+2.52%+0.00%+3.02%
201814/12/201851.17neutral-8.02%-2.87%+2.89%-9.76%+2.89%
201715/12/201748.99near 52w high+1.03%+2.27%+6.95%+0.00%+7.21%
201615/12/201641.79near 52w high-0.56%-2.04%+1.21%-2.04%+1.21%
Upcoming 28/12/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.26% · Win 70% · DD -1.63%20 days: Avg +2.61% · Win 70% · DD -2.76%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/12/2025120.85near 52w high+0.18%+2.78%+0.76%-2.07%+3.04%
202427/12/2024114.87near 52w high-1.29%-3.53%+0.52%-3.88%+0.81%
202328/12/202389.96near 52w high-4.06%-3.31%-3.18%-5.01%+0.00%
202228/12/202263.13near 52w low+2.20%+9.62%+17.13%+0.00%+17.13%
202128/12/2021102.63near 52w high+1.84%-2.48%-12.97%-12.97%+2.46%
202028/12/202079.84near 52w high+0.58%+5.32%+3.56%-0.16%+6.92%
201927/12/201963.03near 52w high+0.10%+0.55%-0.61%-1.57%+1.54%
201828/12/201848.98neutral+5.26%+6.10%+7.92%-0.37%+9.26%
201728/12/201749.63near 52w high+2.53%+5.80%+9.50%-0.58%+9.80%
201628/12/201641.10near 52w high+0.86%+1.76%+3.48%-0.97%+3.81%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+3.6%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -6.1% · from 52w low: +11.5%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+1.63% · +1.58% · +5.02% · -1.74%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+2.76% · +3.63% · +1.58%
Distance from 52w high / low-6.14% · +11.54%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg1.95 · 1.35x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+14.81%
vs SPY (20d)+8.19%
vs SMH (20d)+23.04%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200114.18 · 113.22 · 115.51
52w high / low125.01 · 105.19