🕰️ Time Machine
XLY — Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 04/08/2026
Last price (Close)
118.29 +0.07%
Next window · Cycle 90 · in window · in 3 days
07/08/2026
Last window · Cycle 45 · 03/08/2026
since +0.07%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 30/03/2026
105.19
Days: 87 trading / 127 calendar · return since: +12.45%
Last major high · 28/05/2026
122.19
Days: 46 trading / 68 calendar · return since: -3.19%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 28/05/2026 @ 122.19 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 27/07/2026 | -8 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 30/03/2026 @ 105.19 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 28/07/2026 | -7 (±3) | Passed |
| High 28/05/2026 @ 122.19 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 03/08/2026 | -1 (±2) | In window |
| Low 30/03/2026 @ 105.19 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 07/08/2026 | +3 (±3) | In window |
| Low 30/03/2026 @ 105.19 | Cycle 144 | Calendar | 📅 21/08/2026 | +17 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 28/05/2026 @ 122.19 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 24/08/2026 | +14 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 28/05/2026 @ 122.19 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 26/08/2026 | +22 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 30/03/2026 @ 105.19 | Cycle 120 | Trading | 📅 21/09/2026 | +33 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 28/05/2026 @ 122.19 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 06/10/2026 | +44 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Gap Day 31/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 28/07/2026
● Doji After Run 27/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 27/07/2026
● Gap Day 23/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 27/07/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 22/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 27/07/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 09/07/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 07/07/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 27/07/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.06% · Win 44% · DD -2.78%20 days: Avg +1.02% · Win 56% · DD -3.62%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/07/2025 | 113.09 | neutral | -3.34% | -0.80% | +2.85% | -4.46% | +3.06% |
| 2024 | 26/07/2024 | 91.31 | neutral | -3.53% | -4.53% | +2.88% | -6.88% | +2.88% |
| 2023 | 27/07/2023 | 84.94 | near 52w high | -0.47% | +0.25% | -4.14% | -4.25% | +2.27% |
| 2022 | 27/07/2022 | 77.05 | neutral | +8.03% | +8.37% | +6.45% | +0.00% | +12.25% |
| 2021 | 27/07/2021 | 91.38 | near 52w high | -0.26% | -0.71% | -0.86% | -3.74% | +0.80% |
| 2020 | 27/07/2020 | 68.19 | near 52w high | +0.24% | +4.16% | +8.81% | -0.99% | +8.81% |
| 2019 | 26/07/2019 | 61.78 | near 52w high | -4.41% | -4.26% | -5.71% | -7.25% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 27/07/2018 | 55.82 | near 52w high | +0.20% | +0.97% | +2.91% | -0.82% | +2.91% |
| 2017 | 27/07/2017 | 46.04 | near 52w high · volume x1.8 | -1.16% | -2.92% | -4.00% | -4.17% | +0.00% |
Passed 28/07/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.45% · Win 33% · DD -2.86%20 days: Avg +1.13% · Win 56% · DD -3.69%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/07/2025 | 113.09 | neutral | -3.34% | -0.80% | +2.85% | -4.46% | +3.06% |
| 2024 | 29/07/2024 | 92.83 | near 52w high | -7.80% | -6.47% | +0.40% | -8.41% | +1.19% |
| 2023 | 28/07/2023 | 86.38 | near 52w high | -0.70% | -1.76% | -4.69% | -5.85% | +0.57% |
| 2022 | 28/07/2022 | 78.38 | neutral | +6.64% | +6.00% | +5.90% | +0.00% | +10.35% |
| 2021 | 28/07/2021 | 91.08 | near 52w high | -0.91% | -0.09% | -0.16% | -3.43% | +1.13% |
| 2020 | 28/07/2020 | 67.51 | near 52w high | +2.06% | +5.00% | +10.26% | +0.00% | +10.26% |
| 2019 | 29/07/2019 | 61.47 | near 52w high | -6.52% | -5.19% | -4.32% | -6.80% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 27/07/2018 | 55.82 | near 52w high | +0.20% | +0.97% | +2.91% | -0.82% | +2.91% |
| 2017 | 28/07/2017 | 45.69 | near 52w high | -0.39% | -1.67% | -3.02% | -3.44% | +0.14% |
In window 03/08/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.76% · Win 50% · DD -1.89%20 days: Avg +1.98% · Win 70% · DD -2.46%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/08/2025 | 109.32 | neutral | +2.62% | +5.18% | +5.21% | +0.00% | +7.10% |
| 2024 | 02/08/2024 | 88.08 | volume x2.1 | -1.03% | +3.96% | +6.22% | -3.47% | +6.65% |
| 2023 | 03/08/2023 | 84.54 | near 52w high | +0.72% | -3.58% | +0.96% | -3.80% | +2.50% |
| 2022 | 03/08/2022 | 83.24 | far above SMA50 | +0.31% | +2.78% | -6.59% | -6.59% | +3.90% |
| 2021 | 03/08/2021 | 91.14 | near 52w high | -0.45% | -3.21% | +0.75% | -3.49% | +0.75% |
| 2020 | 03/08/2020 | 68.36 | near 52w high | +3.91% | +6.39% | +9.79% | +0.00% | +10.11% |
| 2019 | 02/08/2019 | 59.05 | volume x2.0 | +0.16% | -1.87% | +1.25% | -2.97% | +1.86% |
| 2018 | 03/08/2018 | 55.93 | near 52w high | +0.77% | +0.58% | +4.55% | +0.00% | +4.74% |
| 2017 | 03/08/2017 | 45.51 | near 52w high | -1.78% | -2.56% | -1.49% | -3.04% | +0.30% |
| 2016 | 05/08/2016 | 40.78 | near 52w high | +0.53% | -0.09% | -0.85% | -1.24% | +0.72% |
In window 07/08/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.76% · Win 60% · DD -1.74%20 days: Avg +1.86% · Win 60% · DD -2.24%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 07/08/2025 | 111.69 | neutral | +2.78% | +1.27% | +5.25% | +0.00% | +5.27% |
| 2024 | 07/08/2024 | 85.03 | neutral | +4.12% | +10.29% | +10.04% | +0.00% | +10.48% |
| 2023 | 07/08/2023 | 86.65 | near 52w high | -1.77% | -5.07% | -2.03% | -6.15% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 08/08/2022 | 82.53 | far above SMA50 | +3.65% | -1.31% | -5.99% | -5.99% | +4.80% |
| 2021 | 06/08/2021 | 90.50 | near 52w high | +0.30% | -1.87% | +1.39% | -2.81% | +1.46% |
| 2020 | 07/08/2020 | 70.19 | near 52w high | +2.29% | +4.13% | +4.83% | +0.00% | +9.53% |
| 2019 | 07/08/2019 | 58.58 | volume x1.8 | -2.02% | +2.13% | +4.63% | -2.19% | +4.63% |
| 2018 | 07/08/2018 | 56.56 | near 52w high | +0.10% | +0.95% | +2.46% | -1.12% | +3.57% |
| 2017 | 07/08/2017 | 45.62 | near 52w high | -0.81% | -3.10% | -1.69% | -3.28% | +0.05% |
| 2016 | 08/08/2016 | 40.65 | near 52w high | +1.06% | +0.15% | -0.33% | -0.91% | +1.06% |
Upcoming 21/08/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.11% · Win 70% · DD -1.13%20 days: Avg +1.22% · Win 70% · DD -1.78%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 21/08/2025 | 113.11 | neutral | +3.50% | +3.93% | +6.70% | +0.00% | +7.05% |
| 2024 | 21/08/2024 | 93.78 | near 52w high | -1.83% | -0.22% | +5.11% | -2.75% | +5.11% |
| 2023 | 21/08/2023 | 82.26 | neutral | +0.48% | +3.20% | +2.76% | -1.03% | +6.23% |
| 2022 | 22/08/2022 | 81.44 | neutral | -2.49% | -4.73% | -3.33% | -4.73% | +2.28% |
| 2021 | 20/08/2021 | 88.81 | near 52w high | +2.38% | +3.32% | +1.29% | +0.00% | +4.02% |
| 2020 | 21/08/2020 | 73.09 | near 52w high | +2.98% | +0.67% | -2.99% | -2.99% | +5.19% |
| 2019 | 21/08/2019 | 59.82 | near 52w high | -0.94% | +2.45% | +2.13% | -2.63% | +3.37% |
| 2018 | 21/08/2018 | 57.10 | near 52w high | +1.44% | +1.49% | +2.43% | +0.00% | +2.76% |
| 2017 | 21/08/2017 | 44.21 | near 52w high · volume x2.4 | +0.31% | +1.46% | +1.30% | +0.00% | +2.58% |
| 2016 | 22/08/2016 | 40.71 | near 52w high | -0.25% | -0.48% | -3.21% | -3.71% | +0.50% |
Upcoming 24/08/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.78% · Win 60% · DD -1.34%20 days: Avg +0.29% · Win 60% · DD -2.24%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 25/08/2025 | 116.32 | near 52w high | -1.13% | +1.32% | +2.45% | -1.13% | +4.11% |
| 2024 | 23/08/2024 | 93.93 | near 52w high | -0.40% | -1.50% | +5.97% | -2.91% | +5.97% |
| 2023 | 24/08/2023 | 81.42 | neutral | +4.83% | +3.63% | -1.00% | -1.00% | +7.33% |
| 2022 | 24/08/2022 | 82.02 | neutral | -5.20% | -1.60% | -8.45% | -8.45% | +1.56% |
| 2021 | 24/08/2021 | 90.59 | near 52w high | +1.36% | +1.71% | +0.80% | -0.70% | +1.98% |
| 2020 | 24/08/2020 | 74.20 | near 52w high | +1.14% | -2.14% | -2.42% | -4.44% | +3.61% |
| 2019 | 23/08/2019 | 58.24 | volume x1.7 | +2.65% | +5.88% | +4.05% | +0.00% | +6.16% |
| 2018 | 24/08/2018 | 57.44 | near 52w high | +1.79% | +0.97% | +1.41% | +0.00% | +2.52% |
| 2017 | 24/08/2017 | 44.21 | near 52w high | +1.41% | +0.86% | +1.64% | +0.00% | +2.58% |
| 2016 | 24/08/2016 | 40.72 | near 52w high | -1.08% | -1.31% | -1.58% | -3.73% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 26/08/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.31% · Win 70% · DD -1.36%20 days: Avg +0.01% · Win 60% · DD -2.38%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 26/08/2025 | 116.85 | near 52w high | -1.18% | -0.36% | +2.71% | -1.58% | +3.63% |
| 2024 | 26/08/2024 | 93.21 | near 52w high | -1.00% | +0.41% | +7.73% | -2.15% | +7.73% |
| 2023 | 25/08/2023 | 82.33 | neutral | +3.04% | +5.24% | -1.49% | -2.09% | +6.15% |
| 2022 | 26/08/2022 | 79.84 | neutral | -2.62% | +4.33% | -8.32% | -8.32% | +4.33% |
| 2021 | 26/08/2021 | 90.10 | near 52w high | +1.90% | +1.50% | +2.76% | -0.16% | +2.76% |
| 2020 | 26/08/2020 | 75.18 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +2.26% | -3.00% | -5.31% | -5.69% | +2.26% |
| 2019 | 26/08/2019 | 58.82 | neutral | +1.23% | +4.43% | +1.94% | -0.49% | +5.13% |
| 2018 | 27/08/2018 | 57.81 | near 52w high | +1.33% | +1.13% | +1.18% | -0.14% | +1.87% |
| 2017 | 25/08/2017 | 44.31 | near 52w high | +1.62% | +1.14% | +1.17% | -0.03% | +2.32% |
| 2016 | 26/08/2016 | 40.47 | near 52w high | -0.07% | -1.74% | -2.29% | -3.14% | +0.35% |
Upcoming 21/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.07% · Win 50% · DD -1.98%20 days: Avg -0.63% · Win 50% · DD -3.55%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 22/09/2025 | 120.09 | near 52w high | +0.24% | -0.12% | -1.62% | -4.76% | +0.40% |
| 2024 | 20/09/2024 | 98.35 | near 52w high | +2.32% | +0.96% | +1.64% | -0.61% | +2.32% |
| 2023 | 21/09/2023 | 81.26 | neutral | -1.48% | -1.87% | -5.20% | -5.20% | +0.36% |
| 2022 | 21/09/2022 | 76.71 | neutral | -1.89% | -4.37% | -8.02% | -11.82% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 21/09/2021 | 89.96 | near 52w high | +1.33% | +0.10% | +6.04% | -0.30% | +6.34% |
| 2020 | 21/09/2020 | 70.75 | neutral | +3.83% | +6.16% | +6.69% | +0.00% | +9.84% |
| 2019 | 20/09/2019 | 60.19 | near 52w high | -0.60% | -0.97% | +1.48% | -2.44% | +1.68% |
| 2018 | 21/09/2018 | 58.46 | near 52w high · volume x1.7 | +0.26% | -4.00% | -9.05% | -9.05% | +0.34% |
| 2017 | 21/09/2017 | 44.69 | near 52w high | +0.39% | +2.48% | +1.96% | -0.04% | +2.61% |
| 2016 | 21/09/2016 | 39.63 | near 52w high | +0.68% | +0.97% | -0.20% | -1.30% | +1.05% |
Upcoming 06/10/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.57% · Win 40% · DD -2.70%20 days: Avg +0.57% · Win 40% · DD -3.81%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 06/10/2025 | 119.95 | near 52w high | -2.52% | -1.51% | +0.95% | -4.65% | +0.95% |
| 2024 | 07/10/2024 | 97.54 | near 52w high | +1.20% | +1.47% | +2.21% | -0.53% | +3.17% |
| 2023 | 06/10/2023 | 80.31 | neutral | -1.02% | -5.55% | -0.24% | -7.83% | +1.56% |
| 2022 | 06/10/2022 | 72.83 | neutral | -3.53% | -5.00% | -6.38% | -7.13% | +0.62% |
| 2021 | 06/10/2021 | 90.33 | near 52w high | +1.98% | +5.52% | +14.65% | +0.00% | +14.65% |
| 2020 | 06/10/2020 | 73.72 | near 52w high | +5.39% | +3.21% | -0.20% | -3.04% | +5.41% |
| 2019 | 07/10/2019 | 59.35 | near 52w high | +1.54% | +3.29% | +2.54% | -1.05% | +3.29% |
| 2018 | 05/10/2018 | 56.12 | near 52w high | -3.35% | -5.26% | -3.80% | -8.68% | +0.26% |
| 2017 | 06/10/2017 | 45.86 | near 52w high | -0.55% | -0.39% | -0.02% | -1.21% | +0.74% |
| 2016 | 06/10/2016 | 40.05 | near 52w high | -1.40% | -1.42% | -4.02% | -4.02% | +0.07% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs SMH.
· Sharp rally recently — watch for follow-through.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+1.9%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -5.4% · from 52w low: +12.5%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +5.17% · +2.98% · +0.77% · -1.13% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +3.19% · +1.90% · +1.02% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -5.38% · +12.45% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 2.15 · 0.99x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -1.27% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -2.38% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +1.75% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 114.63 · 116.09 · 117.10 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 125.01 · 105.19 |
|---|
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