🕰️ Time Machine

AVB — AvalonBay Communities

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 27/07/2026

Last price (Close)
188.85 -1.02%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in 7 days
05/08/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 22/07/2026
since -0.75%
Trend
Uptrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 22/06/2026
176.13
Days: 23 trading / 35 calendar · return since: +7.22%
Last major high · 07/01/2026
186.77
Days: 136 trading / 201 calendar · return since: +1.11%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 22/06/2026 @ 176.13Fib 13Trading📅 10/07/2026-10 (±1)Passed
Low 22/06/2026 @ 176.13Fib 21Trading📅 22/07/2026-2 (±1)Passed
Low 22/06/2026 @ 176.13Cycle 30Calendar📅 22/07/2026-5 (±2)Passed
Low 22/06/2026 @ 176.13Cycle 30Trading📅 05/08/2026+7 (±2)Upcoming
Low 22/06/2026 @ 176.13Cycle 45Calendar📅 06/08/2026+10 (±2)Upcoming
High 07/01/2026 @ 186.77Cycle 144Trading📅 06/08/2026+8 (±3)Upcoming
Low 22/06/2026 @ 176.13Cycle 60Calendar📅 21/08/2026+25 (±2)Upcoming
Low 22/06/2026 @ 176.13Cycle 45Trading📅 26/08/2026+22 (±2)Upcoming
Low 22/06/2026 @ 176.13Cycle 60Trading📅 17/09/2026+37 (±2)Upcoming
High 07/01/2026 @ 186.77Cycle 180Trading📅 28/09/2026+44 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Bearish Engulfing 27/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 22/07/2026
NR7 Compression 27/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 22/07/2026
NR7 Compression 20/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 22/07/2026
NR7 Compression 09/07/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 10/07/2026
Shooting Star 01/07/2026
Failed Breakout 01/07/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 10/07/2026 · Low Fib 13/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.18% · Win 56% · DD -1.47%20 days: Avg +0.55% · Win 67% · DD -3.16%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/07/2025202.70neutral-0.28%-0.55%-7.13%-9.86%+0.89%
202410/07/2024203.72near 52w high+2.11%+1.15%+2.05%-0.89%+4.57%
202310/07/2023192.31neutral+0.92%+2.17%-2.31%-4.12%+2.91%
202211/07/2022190.55near 52w low+0.36%+3.67%+8.34%-0.74%+12.27%
202109/07/2021220.83near 52w high+2.28%+2.70%+3.66%+0.00%+4.12%
202010/07/2020152.74neutral+0.75%-3.86%+0.73%-4.60%+1.18%
201910/07/2019213.77near 52w high-1.31%-3.24%-4.44%-6.15%+0.00%
201810/07/2018173.52neutral-1.24%-1.69%+3.21%-1.83%+3.86%
201710/07/2017186.84neutral+1.71%+1.24%+0.86%-0.28%+3.03%
Passed 22/07/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.12% · Win 44% · DD -3.08%20 days: Avg +0.52% · Win 56% · DD -3.50%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202522/07/2025204.51neutral-0.68%-8.90%-6.39%-10.65%+0.00%
202422/07/2024209.27near 52w high-0.45%-2.48%+3.24%-3.08%+3.24%
202321/07/2023197.37neutral-5.69%-6.34%-9.15%-9.30%+0.00%
202222/07/2022198.25neutral+7.91%+3.36%+8.44%-0.36%+11.08%
202122/07/2021224.45near 52w high+2.44%+2.11%-0.22%-1.00%+2.44%
202022/07/2020150.41volume x2.4+0.78%+0.35%+1.16%-3.12%+3.30%
201922/07/2019205.15near 52w high+2.58%-2.21%+1.25%-2.21%+2.78%
201823/07/2018170.35neutral+1.07%+5.79%+7.47%+0.00%+7.54%
201721/07/2017191.15near 52w high+0.71%-1.72%-1.13%-1.75%+0.71%
Upcoming 05/08/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.12% · Win 70% · DD -1.22%20 days: Avg +2.37% · Win 70% · DD -1.71%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202505/08/2025186.31near 52w low · volume x2.3+0.33%+2.76%+2.55%-0.66%+5.12%
202405/08/2024204.07volume x1.9+2.59%+5.87%+11.30%+0.00%+11.30%
202304/08/2023184.85neutral+1.31%-3.00%-1.89%-3.93%+1.63%
202205/08/2022204.91neutral+6.47%+4.91%-1.17%-1.95%+7.47%
202105/08/2021229.19near 52w high-3.01%-2.29%+1.67%-3.23%+1.67%
202005/08/2020150.93neutral+1.31%+0.81%+6.87%-0.15%+6.87%
201905/08/2019200.62neutral+2.46%+3.53%+6.71%+0.00%+6.71%
201806/08/2018180.21neutral-1.41%+1.59%+1.47%-1.67%+2.38%
201704/08/2017187.87neutral+0.34%+0.60%+0.07%-0.51%+2.24%
201605/08/2016182.62near 52w high-1.00%-3.54%-3.92%-4.97%+1.84%
Upcoming 06/08/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.59% · Win 70% · DD -1.59%20 days: Avg +1.74% · Win 60% · DD -2.04%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202506/08/2025186.50near 52w low+2.45%+2.21%+3.34%-0.76%+5.01%
202406/08/2024209.16near 52w high+1.24%+3.55%+8.61%-0.60%+8.61%
202307/08/2023187.86neutral-2.73%-5.47%-4.30%-5.47%+0.00%
202205/08/2022204.91neutral+6.47%+4.91%-1.17%-1.95%+7.47%
202106/08/2021228.92near 52w high-1.91%-1.87%+1.72%-3.11%+1.79%
202006/08/2020150.97neutral-0.18%+1.81%+6.19%-0.18%+6.84%
201906/08/2019203.09neutral+0.55%+1.70%+6.44%-0.74%+6.44%
201806/08/2018180.21neutral-1.41%+1.59%+1.47%-1.67%+2.38%
201707/08/2017188.44neutral+1.66%+0.99%-0.93%-0.93%+1.93%
201605/08/2016182.62near 52w high-1.00%-3.54%-3.92%-4.97%+1.84%
Upcoming 21/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.13% · Win 80% · DD -1.06%20 days: Avg -0.72% · Win 60% · DD -2.48%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/08/2025190.43neutral+2.20%+2.62%+1.33%-0.74%+3.36%
202421/08/2024217.04near 52w high+2.78%+4.37%+6.22%+0.00%+8.16%
202321/08/2023177.59neutral+2.65%+1.23%+2.06%+0.00%+4.26%
202222/08/2022210.33neutral-2.21%-1.52%-8.30%-8.30%+1.96%
202120/08/2021224.63near 52w high+0.44%+3.66%-1.85%-2.11%+3.74%
202021/08/2020152.41neutral+4.73%+6.36%-4.25%-4.25%+6.36%
201921/08/2019207.95near 52w high+0.72%+3.25%+1.35%-0.86%+3.95%
201821/08/2018181.03neutral+1.91%+1.59%+0.59%+0.00%+2.59%
201721/08/2017190.31near 52w high-1.04%-1.91%-4.51%-4.51%+0.00%
201622/08/2016175.95near 52w low-0.23%+1.64%+0.11%-4.00%+2.20%
Upcoming 26/08/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.54% · Win 50% · DD -1.24%20 days: Avg -1.15% · Win 50% · DD -3.28%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202526/08/2025192.01neutral-0.49%+0.33%+0.40%-1.56%+2.51%
202426/08/2024219.92near 52w high+3.28%+4.29%+4.65%+0.00%+6.74%
202325/08/2023181.45neutral-0.06%-1.06%-2.13%-2.13%+2.04%
202226/08/2022209.32neutral-3.25%+2.34%-12.01%-12.01%+2.46%
202126/08/2021224.39near 52w high+3.85%-0.37%+0.90%-2.01%+3.85%
202026/08/2020153.85neutral+4.84%-0.86%-4.48%-5.15%+5.36%
201926/08/2019208.71near 52w high+2.58%+0.74%+1.27%-0.77%+3.57%
201827/08/2018182.47near 52w high+0.21%+0.79%-0.73%-0.96%+1.78%
201725/08/2017188.99neutral-0.52%-0.23%-5.12%-5.54%+0.00%
201626/08/2016173.55near 52w low+1.10%-0.58%+5.72%-2.67%+5.72%
Upcoming 17/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.18% · Win 50% · DD -3.26%20 days: Avg -2.12% · Win 30% · DD -4.95%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202517/09/2025192.54neutral+0.12%+0.30%-3.56%-3.56%+1.24%
202417/09/2024230.79near 52w high-0.28%-2.99%-2.36%-5.30%+1.03%
202318/09/2023181.98neutral-2.41%-6.74%-1.09%-7.12%+0.38%
202216/09/2022201.98volume x2.4-6.52%-8.02%-15.32%-15.32%+0.00%
202117/09/2021219.89volume x2.3+2.97%+2.04%+5.64%+0.00%+6.45%
202017/09/2020153.50neutral-4.26%+2.44%+0.84%-4.93%+5.62%
201917/09/2019211.51near 52w high-0.07%+1.90%+3.50%-1.16%+4.37%
201817/09/2018184.73near 52w high-2.17%-1.77%-5.63%-5.69%+0.25%
201718/09/2017183.17neutral-2.11%-2.27%-1.38%-2.74%+0.00%
201616/09/2016173.33near 52w low · volume x1.5+5.45%+3.37%-1.81%-3.73%+5.86%
Upcoming 28/09/2026 · High Cycle 180/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.98% · Win 50% · DD -3.25%20 days: Avg -1.29% · Win 40% · DD -3.75%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/09/2025193.56neutral-2.21%-3.72%-1.79%-4.07%+0.71%
202427/09/2024225.23near 52w high-1.12%-1.75%+1.26%-2.97%+2.79%
202328/09/2023171.29neutral-0.60%+3.13%-2.05%-3.57%+4.66%
202228/09/2022186.41near 52w low-1.25%-7.12%-5.55%-8.25%+1.81%
202128/09/2021222.15near 52w high+1.77%+2.69%+6.28%-0.23%+6.28%
202028/09/2020151.45neutral+7.05%+6.17%-4.32%-4.32%+7.05%
201927/09/2019214.27near 52w high+2.21%+1.78%+2.40%-0.13%+3.63%
201828/09/2018181.15near 52w high · volume x1.6-2.12%-4.61%-3.46%-4.61%+0.00%
201728/09/2017178.60neutral+1.03%+1.32%+1.15%-0.57%+1.89%
201628/09/2016181.59near 52w high-7.98%-7.67%-6.86%-8.79%+0.00%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+0.8%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -7.1% · from 52w low: +18.0%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-1.91% · -1.56% · +2.40% · +3.87%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-1.46% · +0.79% · +4.97%
Distance from 52w high / low-7.11% · +17.95%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg3.55 · 0.01x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+7.54%
vs SPY (20d)+1.95%
vs SMH (20d)+17.31%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200191.65 · 187.36 · 179.90
52w high / low203.29 · 160.10