🕰️ Time Machine
AVB — AvalonBay Communities
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 27/07/2026
Last price (Close)
188.85 -1.02%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in 7 days
05/08/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 22/07/2026
since -0.75%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 22/06/2026
176.13
Days: 23 trading / 35 calendar · return since: +7.22%
Last major high · 07/01/2026
186.77
Days: 136 trading / 201 calendar · return since: +1.11%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 22/06/2026 @ 176.13 | Fib 13 | Trading | 📅 10/07/2026 | -10 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 22/06/2026 @ 176.13 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 22/07/2026 | -2 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 22/06/2026 @ 176.13 | Cycle 30 | Calendar | 📅 22/07/2026 | -5 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 22/06/2026 @ 176.13 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 05/08/2026 | +7 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 22/06/2026 @ 176.13 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 06/08/2026 | +10 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 07/01/2026 @ 186.77 | Cycle 144 | Trading | 📅 06/08/2026 | +8 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 22/06/2026 @ 176.13 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 21/08/2026 | +25 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 22/06/2026 @ 176.13 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 26/08/2026 | +22 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 22/06/2026 @ 176.13 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 17/09/2026 | +37 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 07/01/2026 @ 186.77 | Cycle 180 | Trading | 📅 28/09/2026 | +44 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Bearish Engulfing 27/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 22/07/2026
● NR7 Compression 27/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 22/07/2026
● NR7 Compression 20/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 22/07/2026
● NR7 Compression 09/07/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 10/07/2026
● Shooting Star 01/07/2026
● Failed Breakout 01/07/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 10/07/2026 · Low Fib 13/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.18% · Win 56% · DD -1.47%20 days: Avg +0.55% · Win 67% · DD -3.16%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/07/2025 | 202.70 | neutral | -0.28% | -0.55% | -7.13% | -9.86% | +0.89% |
| 2024 | 10/07/2024 | 203.72 | near 52w high | +2.11% | +1.15% | +2.05% | -0.89% | +4.57% |
| 2023 | 10/07/2023 | 192.31 | neutral | +0.92% | +2.17% | -2.31% | -4.12% | +2.91% |
| 2022 | 11/07/2022 | 190.55 | near 52w low | +0.36% | +3.67% | +8.34% | -0.74% | +12.27% |
| 2021 | 09/07/2021 | 220.83 | near 52w high | +2.28% | +2.70% | +3.66% | +0.00% | +4.12% |
| 2020 | 10/07/2020 | 152.74 | neutral | +0.75% | -3.86% | +0.73% | -4.60% | +1.18% |
| 2019 | 10/07/2019 | 213.77 | near 52w high | -1.31% | -3.24% | -4.44% | -6.15% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 10/07/2018 | 173.52 | neutral | -1.24% | -1.69% | +3.21% | -1.83% | +3.86% |
| 2017 | 10/07/2017 | 186.84 | neutral | +1.71% | +1.24% | +0.86% | -0.28% | +3.03% |
Passed 22/07/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.12% · Win 44% · DD -3.08%20 days: Avg +0.52% · Win 56% · DD -3.50%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 22/07/2025 | 204.51 | neutral | -0.68% | -8.90% | -6.39% | -10.65% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 22/07/2024 | 209.27 | near 52w high | -0.45% | -2.48% | +3.24% | -3.08% | +3.24% |
| 2023 | 21/07/2023 | 197.37 | neutral | -5.69% | -6.34% | -9.15% | -9.30% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 22/07/2022 | 198.25 | neutral | +7.91% | +3.36% | +8.44% | -0.36% | +11.08% |
| 2021 | 22/07/2021 | 224.45 | near 52w high | +2.44% | +2.11% | -0.22% | -1.00% | +2.44% |
| 2020 | 22/07/2020 | 150.41 | volume x2.4 | +0.78% | +0.35% | +1.16% | -3.12% | +3.30% |
| 2019 | 22/07/2019 | 205.15 | near 52w high | +2.58% | -2.21% | +1.25% | -2.21% | +2.78% |
| 2018 | 23/07/2018 | 170.35 | neutral | +1.07% | +5.79% | +7.47% | +0.00% | +7.54% |
| 2017 | 21/07/2017 | 191.15 | near 52w high | +0.71% | -1.72% | -1.13% | -1.75% | +0.71% |
Upcoming 05/08/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.12% · Win 70% · DD -1.22%20 days: Avg +2.37% · Win 70% · DD -1.71%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 05/08/2025 | 186.31 | near 52w low · volume x2.3 | +0.33% | +2.76% | +2.55% | -0.66% | +5.12% |
| 2024 | 05/08/2024 | 204.07 | volume x1.9 | +2.59% | +5.87% | +11.30% | +0.00% | +11.30% |
| 2023 | 04/08/2023 | 184.85 | neutral | +1.31% | -3.00% | -1.89% | -3.93% | +1.63% |
| 2022 | 05/08/2022 | 204.91 | neutral | +6.47% | +4.91% | -1.17% | -1.95% | +7.47% |
| 2021 | 05/08/2021 | 229.19 | near 52w high | -3.01% | -2.29% | +1.67% | -3.23% | +1.67% |
| 2020 | 05/08/2020 | 150.93 | neutral | +1.31% | +0.81% | +6.87% | -0.15% | +6.87% |
| 2019 | 05/08/2019 | 200.62 | neutral | +2.46% | +3.53% | +6.71% | +0.00% | +6.71% |
| 2018 | 06/08/2018 | 180.21 | neutral | -1.41% | +1.59% | +1.47% | -1.67% | +2.38% |
| 2017 | 04/08/2017 | 187.87 | neutral | +0.34% | +0.60% | +0.07% | -0.51% | +2.24% |
| 2016 | 05/08/2016 | 182.62 | near 52w high | -1.00% | -3.54% | -3.92% | -4.97% | +1.84% |
Upcoming 06/08/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.59% · Win 70% · DD -1.59%20 days: Avg +1.74% · Win 60% · DD -2.04%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 06/08/2025 | 186.50 | near 52w low | +2.45% | +2.21% | +3.34% | -0.76% | +5.01% |
| 2024 | 06/08/2024 | 209.16 | near 52w high | +1.24% | +3.55% | +8.61% | -0.60% | +8.61% |
| 2023 | 07/08/2023 | 187.86 | neutral | -2.73% | -5.47% | -4.30% | -5.47% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 05/08/2022 | 204.91 | neutral | +6.47% | +4.91% | -1.17% | -1.95% | +7.47% |
| 2021 | 06/08/2021 | 228.92 | near 52w high | -1.91% | -1.87% | +1.72% | -3.11% | +1.79% |
| 2020 | 06/08/2020 | 150.97 | neutral | -0.18% | +1.81% | +6.19% | -0.18% | +6.84% |
| 2019 | 06/08/2019 | 203.09 | neutral | +0.55% | +1.70% | +6.44% | -0.74% | +6.44% |
| 2018 | 06/08/2018 | 180.21 | neutral | -1.41% | +1.59% | +1.47% | -1.67% | +2.38% |
| 2017 | 07/08/2017 | 188.44 | neutral | +1.66% | +0.99% | -0.93% | -0.93% | +1.93% |
| 2016 | 05/08/2016 | 182.62 | near 52w high | -1.00% | -3.54% | -3.92% | -4.97% | +1.84% |
Upcoming 21/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.13% · Win 80% · DD -1.06%20 days: Avg -0.72% · Win 60% · DD -2.48%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 21/08/2025 | 190.43 | neutral | +2.20% | +2.62% | +1.33% | -0.74% | +3.36% |
| 2024 | 21/08/2024 | 217.04 | near 52w high | +2.78% | +4.37% | +6.22% | +0.00% | +8.16% |
| 2023 | 21/08/2023 | 177.59 | neutral | +2.65% | +1.23% | +2.06% | +0.00% | +4.26% |
| 2022 | 22/08/2022 | 210.33 | neutral | -2.21% | -1.52% | -8.30% | -8.30% | +1.96% |
| 2021 | 20/08/2021 | 224.63 | near 52w high | +0.44% | +3.66% | -1.85% | -2.11% | +3.74% |
| 2020 | 21/08/2020 | 152.41 | neutral | +4.73% | +6.36% | -4.25% | -4.25% | +6.36% |
| 2019 | 21/08/2019 | 207.95 | near 52w high | +0.72% | +3.25% | +1.35% | -0.86% | +3.95% |
| 2018 | 21/08/2018 | 181.03 | neutral | +1.91% | +1.59% | +0.59% | +0.00% | +2.59% |
| 2017 | 21/08/2017 | 190.31 | near 52w high | -1.04% | -1.91% | -4.51% | -4.51% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 22/08/2016 | 175.95 | near 52w low | -0.23% | +1.64% | +0.11% | -4.00% | +2.20% |
Upcoming 26/08/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.54% · Win 50% · DD -1.24%20 days: Avg -1.15% · Win 50% · DD -3.28%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 26/08/2025 | 192.01 | neutral | -0.49% | +0.33% | +0.40% | -1.56% | +2.51% |
| 2024 | 26/08/2024 | 219.92 | near 52w high | +3.28% | +4.29% | +4.65% | +0.00% | +6.74% |
| 2023 | 25/08/2023 | 181.45 | neutral | -0.06% | -1.06% | -2.13% | -2.13% | +2.04% |
| 2022 | 26/08/2022 | 209.32 | neutral | -3.25% | +2.34% | -12.01% | -12.01% | +2.46% |
| 2021 | 26/08/2021 | 224.39 | near 52w high | +3.85% | -0.37% | +0.90% | -2.01% | +3.85% |
| 2020 | 26/08/2020 | 153.85 | neutral | +4.84% | -0.86% | -4.48% | -5.15% | +5.36% |
| 2019 | 26/08/2019 | 208.71 | near 52w high | +2.58% | +0.74% | +1.27% | -0.77% | +3.57% |
| 2018 | 27/08/2018 | 182.47 | near 52w high | +0.21% | +0.79% | -0.73% | -0.96% | +1.78% |
| 2017 | 25/08/2017 | 188.99 | neutral | -0.52% | -0.23% | -5.12% | -5.54% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 26/08/2016 | 173.55 | near 52w low | +1.10% | -0.58% | +5.72% | -2.67% | +5.72% |
Upcoming 17/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.18% · Win 50% · DD -3.26%20 days: Avg -2.12% · Win 30% · DD -4.95%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 17/09/2025 | 192.54 | neutral | +0.12% | +0.30% | -3.56% | -3.56% | +1.24% |
| 2024 | 17/09/2024 | 230.79 | near 52w high | -0.28% | -2.99% | -2.36% | -5.30% | +1.03% |
| 2023 | 18/09/2023 | 181.98 | neutral | -2.41% | -6.74% | -1.09% | -7.12% | +0.38% |
| 2022 | 16/09/2022 | 201.98 | volume x2.4 | -6.52% | -8.02% | -15.32% | -15.32% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 17/09/2021 | 219.89 | volume x2.3 | +2.97% | +2.04% | +5.64% | +0.00% | +6.45% |
| 2020 | 17/09/2020 | 153.50 | neutral | -4.26% | +2.44% | +0.84% | -4.93% | +5.62% |
| 2019 | 17/09/2019 | 211.51 | near 52w high | -0.07% | +1.90% | +3.50% | -1.16% | +4.37% |
| 2018 | 17/09/2018 | 184.73 | near 52w high | -2.17% | -1.77% | -5.63% | -5.69% | +0.25% |
| 2017 | 18/09/2017 | 183.17 | neutral | -2.11% | -2.27% | -1.38% | -2.74% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 16/09/2016 | 173.33 | near 52w low · volume x1.5 | +5.45% | +3.37% | -1.81% | -3.73% | +5.86% |
Upcoming 28/09/2026 · High Cycle 180/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.98% · Win 50% · DD -3.25%20 days: Avg -1.29% · Win 40% · DD -3.75%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/09/2025 | 193.56 | neutral | -2.21% | -3.72% | -1.79% | -4.07% | +0.71% |
| 2024 | 27/09/2024 | 225.23 | near 52w high | -1.12% | -1.75% | +1.26% | -2.97% | +2.79% |
| 2023 | 28/09/2023 | 171.29 | neutral | -0.60% | +3.13% | -2.05% | -3.57% | +4.66% |
| 2022 | 28/09/2022 | 186.41 | near 52w low | -1.25% | -7.12% | -5.55% | -8.25% | +1.81% |
| 2021 | 28/09/2021 | 222.15 | near 52w high | +1.77% | +2.69% | +6.28% | -0.23% | +6.28% |
| 2020 | 28/09/2020 | 151.45 | neutral | +7.05% | +6.17% | -4.32% | -4.32% | +7.05% |
| 2019 | 27/09/2019 | 214.27 | near 52w high | +2.21% | +1.78% | +2.40% | -0.13% | +3.63% |
| 2018 | 28/09/2018 | 181.15 | near 52w high · volume x1.6 | -2.12% | -4.61% | -3.46% | -4.61% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 28/09/2017 | 178.60 | neutral | +1.03% | +1.32% | +1.15% | -0.57% | +1.89% |
| 2016 | 28/09/2016 | 181.59 | near 52w high | -7.98% | -7.67% | -6.86% | -8.79% | +0.00% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+0.8%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -7.1% · from 52w low: +18.0%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -1.91% · -1.56% · +2.40% · +3.87% |
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -1.46% · +0.79% · +4.97% |
| Distance from 52w high / low | -7.11% · +17.95% |
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 3.55 · 0.01x |
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +7.54% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +1.95% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +17.31% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 191.65 · 187.36 · 179.90 |
| 52w high / low | 203.29 · 160.10 |