🕰️ Time Machine
TMHC — Taylor Morrison
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 17/07/2026
Last price (Close)
72.13 -0.07%
Next window · Fib 21 · in window
17/07/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 16/07/2026
since -0.07%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 19/05/2026
54.15
Days: 40 trading / 59 calendar · return since: +33.20%
Last major high · 16/06/2026
72.26
Days: 21 trading / 31 calendar · return since: -0.18%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 19/05/2026 @ 54.15 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 02/07/2026 | -10 (±2) | Passed |
| High 16/06/2026 @ 72.26 | Fib 13 | Trading | 📅 07/07/2026 | -8 (±1) | Passed |
| High 16/06/2026 @ 72.26 | Fib 21 | Calendar | 📅 07/07/2026 | -10 (±1) | Passed |
| High 16/06/2026 @ 72.26 | Cycle 30 | Calendar | 📅 16/07/2026 | -1 (±2) | In window |
| High 16/06/2026 @ 72.26 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 17/07/2026 | +0 (±1) | In window |
| Low 19/05/2026 @ 54.15 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 18/07/2026 | +1 (±2) | In window |
| Low 19/05/2026 @ 54.15 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 24/07/2026 | +5 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 16/06/2026 @ 72.26 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 30/07/2026 | +9 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 16/06/2026 @ 72.26 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 31/07/2026 | +14 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 19/05/2026 @ 54.15 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 14/08/2026 | +20 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 16/06/2026 @ 72.26 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 15/08/2026 | +29 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 19/05/2026 @ 54.15 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 17/08/2026 | +31 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 16/06/2026 @ 72.26 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 20/08/2026 | +24 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 16/06/2026 @ 72.26 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 11/09/2026 | +39 (±2) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Failed Breakout 17/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 17/07/2026
● NR7 Compression 13/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 16/07/2026
● NR7 Compression 06/07/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 07/07/2026
● NR7 Compression 30/06/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 02/07/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 02/07/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.19% · Win 78% · DD -2.76%20 days: Avg +6.51% · Win 67% · DD -4.66%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 02/07/2025 | 64.93 | far above SMA50 | +1.11% | -2.91% | -8.70% | -8.70% | +2.91% |
| 2024 | 02/07/2024 | 53.89 | neutral | +2.38% | +19.45% | +24.48% | -0.67% | +26.33% |
| 2023 | 03/07/2023 | 48.76 | near 52w high | -0.23% | +5.74% | +1.23% | -5.48% | +5.91% |
| 2022 | 01/07/2022 | 24.60 | neutral | +4.92% | +4.84% | +16.46% | +0.00% | +16.67% |
| 2021 | 02/07/2021 | 26.74 | neutral | -7.48% | -14.21% | +1.16% | -14.21% | +1.16% |
| 2020 | 02/07/2020 | 18.67 | neutral | +15.16% | +25.01% | +25.60% | +0.00% | +34.28% |
| 2019 | 02/07/2019 | 21.14 | near 52w high | +0.76% | +1.51% | +6.53% | -0.28% | +6.53% |
| 2018 | 02/07/2018 | 20.80 | neutral | +2.60% | +5.63% | -6.11% | -7.45% | +5.63% |
| 2017 | 03/07/2017 | 23.84 | near 52w high | +2.06% | +1.64% | -2.06% | -5.12% | +3.06% |
Passed 07/07/2026 · High Fib 13/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +6.34% · Win 56% · DD -1.87%20 days: Avg +4.61% · Win 78% · DD -3.97%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 07/07/2025 | 62.59 | neutral | +3.10% | -0.67% | +0.75% | -5.29% | +6.76% |
| 2024 | 08/07/2024 | 53.83 | neutral | +14.14% | +21.62% | +14.19% | +0.00% | +26.47% |
| 2023 | 07/07/2023 | 46.70 | neutral | +10.13% | +5.67% | +3.06% | +0.00% | +10.58% |
| 2022 | 07/07/2022 | 25.13 | neutral | +3.62% | +9.75% | +11.50% | +0.00% | +14.21% |
| 2021 | 07/07/2021 | 25.99 | neutral | -7.81% | -5.58% | +1.92% | -11.74% | +5.16% |
| 2020 | 07/07/2020 | 18.92 | neutral | +12.53% | +27.06% | +22.30% | +0.00% | +32.51% |
| 2019 | 08/07/2019 | 21.27 | near 52w high | +0.52% | +2.40% | +4.14% | -0.89% | +7.62% |
| 2018 | 06/07/2018 | 21.23 | neutral | -0.28% | -0.47% | -7.91% | -9.33% | +3.49% |
| 2017 | 07/07/2017 | 24.40 | near 52w high | +0.16% | -2.75% | -8.48% | -8.48% | +0.70% |
In window 16/07/2026 · High Cycle 30/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.98% · Win 56% · DD -4.19%20 days: Avg +2.16% · Win 56% · DD -5.69%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/07/2025 | 63.02 | neutral | +2.05% | -4.92% | +10.01% | -5.93% | +10.01% |
| 2024 | 16/07/2024 | 65.29 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +0.98% | +4.27% | -7.26% | -9.96% | +4.27% |
| 2023 | 17/07/2023 | 51.54 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -4.25% | -6.05% | -5.59% | -8.21% | +0.19% |
| 2022 | 15/07/2022 | 26.26 | neutral | +5.52% | +9.29% | +9.98% | -1.79% | +9.98% |
| 2021 | 16/07/2021 | 23.32 | far below SMA50 | +8.49% | +15.01% | +20.80% | -1.63% | +20.93% |
| 2020 | 16/07/2020 | 22.72 | far above SMA50 | +7.70% | +5.24% | +7.35% | +0.00% | +10.34% |
| 2019 | 16/07/2019 | 21.60 | near 52w high | -1.71% | +3.84% | +5.74% | -1.71% | +5.97% |
| 2018 | 16/07/2018 | 21.38 | neutral | -1.92% | -9.96% | -10.80% | -10.80% | +2.76% |
| 2017 | 17/07/2017 | 24.57 | near 52w high | -5.01% | -7.94% | -10.83% | -11.19% | +0.00% |
In window 17/07/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.52% · Win 56% · DD -4.19%20 days: Avg +1.29% · Win 56% · DD -5.64%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 17/07/2025 | 63.04 | neutral | -3.68% | -5.96% | +7.87% | -5.96% | +9.98% |
| 2024 | 17/07/2024 | 64.37 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +1.88% | +4.21% | -6.26% | -8.67% | +5.76% |
| 2023 | 17/07/2023 | 51.54 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -4.25% | -6.05% | -5.59% | -8.21% | +0.19% |
| 2022 | 18/07/2022 | 25.79 | neutral | +5.74% | +11.09% | +10.16% | +0.00% | +11.98% |
| 2021 | 16/07/2021 | 23.32 | far below SMA50 | +8.49% | +15.01% | +20.80% | -1.63% | +20.93% |
| 2020 | 17/07/2020 | 23.34 | far above SMA50 | +2.83% | +0.47% | +4.03% | -0.86% | +7.41% |
| 2019 | 17/07/2019 | 21.46 | near 52w high | +1.03% | +4.94% | +4.01% | -1.07% | +6.66% |
| 2018 | 17/07/2018 | 21.97 | neutral | -6.65% | -11.11% | -12.61% | -13.20% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 17/07/2017 | 24.57 | near 52w high | -5.01% | -7.94% | -10.83% | -11.19% | +0.00% |
In window 18/07/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.35% · Win 56% · DD -4.19%20 days: Avg +1.65% · Win 44% · DD -5.64%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 18/07/2025 | 62.65 | neutral | -3.03% | -1.50% | +8.51% | -5.38% | +10.66% |
| 2024 | 18/07/2024 | 64.63 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +1.38% | +1.01% | -4.44% | -9.04% | +5.34% |
| 2023 | 18/07/2023 | 51.56 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -2.97% | -4.27% | -5.95% | -8.24% | +0.16% |
| 2022 | 18/07/2022 | 25.79 | neutral | +5.74% | +11.09% | +10.16% | +0.00% | +11.98% |
| 2021 | 19/07/2021 | 22.94 | far below SMA50 | +8.67% | +17.92% | +24.89% | +0.00% | +24.89% |
| 2020 | 17/07/2020 | 23.34 | far above SMA50 | +2.83% | +0.47% | +4.03% | -0.86% | +7.41% |
| 2019 | 18/07/2019 | 22.30 | near 52w high · volume x1.6 | -0.40% | +2.65% | -0.76% | -4.80% | +2.65% |
| 2018 | 18/07/2018 | 21.80 | neutral | -7.80% | -11.56% | -12.39% | -12.52% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 18/07/2017 | 24.23 | near 52w high | -2.93% | -3.63% | -9.20% | -9.95% | +0.08% |
Upcoming 24/07/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.33% · Win 40% · DD -4.07%20 days: Avg +0.92% · Win 50% · DD -5.42%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/07/2025 | 60.72 | volume x1.5 | -2.37% | +5.93% | +8.40% | -2.37% | +14.18% |
| 2024 | 24/07/2024 | 65.58 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.6 | +2.29% | -10.35% | -1.04% | -10.35% | +3.81% |
| 2023 | 24/07/2023 | 49.35 | neutral | -1.88% | -1.30% | -8.37% | -8.37% | +1.38% |
| 2022 | 25/07/2022 | 27.27 | neutral | +5.06% | +2.20% | -4.91% | -4.91% | +5.90% |
| 2021 | 23/07/2021 | 25.30 | neutral | +6.01% | +5.93% | +9.25% | -1.46% | +13.24% |
| 2020 | 24/07/2020 | 24.00 | far above SMA50 | -2.29% | -3.58% | +7.00% | -3.58% | +7.00% |
| 2019 | 24/07/2019 | 21.68 | near 52w high | +3.87% | +5.17% | +8.12% | +0.00% | +8.12% |
| 2018 | 24/07/2018 | 20.51 | near 52w low | -4.78% | -2.63% | -1.66% | -7.02% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 24/07/2017 | 23.34 | neutral | -3.08% | -3.64% | -8.78% | -8.78% | +0.77% |
| 2016 | 27/07/2016 | 17.21 | near 52w high | -2.79% | -0.99% | +1.16% | -7.32% | +2.79% |
Upcoming 30/07/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.45% · Win 70% · DD -3.41%20 days: Avg +0.53% · Win 60% · DD -5.21%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 30/07/2025 | 59.92 | neutral | +7.73% | +15.70% | +12.35% | -1.07% | +15.89% |
| 2024 | 30/07/2024 | 68.08 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -9.53% | -11.06% | -1.45% | -13.65% | +0.85% |
| 2023 | 31/07/2023 | 48.42 | neutral | +0.60% | +0.50% | -6.94% | -8.53% | +1.94% |
| 2022 | 29/07/2022 | 28.70 | far above SMA50 | -3.03% | +0.63% | -8.78% | -9.65% | +0.63% |
| 2021 | 30/07/2021 | 26.82 | neutral | -0.07% | +5.03% | +6.45% | -1.23% | +6.82% |
| 2020 | 30/07/2020 | 23.91 | far above SMA50 | -2.34% | +2.01% | +1.63% | -3.22% | +8.70% |
| 2019 | 30/07/2019 | 22.43 | near 52w high | +0.27% | +1.83% | +2.81% | -1.69% | +5.71% |
| 2018 | 30/07/2018 | 19.25 | near 52w low | +0.88% | -0.94% | +3.43% | -0.94% | +4.78% |
| 2017 | 31/07/2017 | 22.62 | neutral | -0.57% | -3.14% | -10.30% | -10.30% | +3.23% |
| 2016 | 29/07/2016 | 16.25 | near 52w low | +6.95% | +3.94% | +6.15% | -1.85% | +8.86% |
Upcoming 31/07/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.38% · Win 50% · DD -3.12%20 days: Avg +0.95% · Win 60% · DD -4.92%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 31/07/2025 | 59.28 | neutral | +8.50% | +14.71% | +13.55% | +0.00% | +17.14% |
| 2024 | 31/07/2024 | 67.08 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -12.36% | -10.05% | -0.98% | -12.36% | +2.36% |
| 2023 | 31/07/2023 | 48.42 | neutral | +0.60% | +0.50% | -6.94% | -8.53% | +1.94% |
| 2022 | 01/08/2022 | 28.65 | volume x1.5 | -2.72% | -0.84% | -8.76% | -9.49% | +0.80% |
| 2021 | 30/07/2021 | 26.82 | neutral | -0.07% | +5.03% | +6.45% | -1.23% | +6.82% |
| 2020 | 31/07/2020 | 23.45 | far above SMA50 | -1.32% | +3.54% | +3.58% | -1.32% | +10.83% |
| 2019 | 31/07/2019 | 22.52 | near 52w high · volume x1.6 | +1.24% | -0.89% | +4.00% | -2.09% | +5.28% |
| 2018 | 31/07/2018 | 19.53 | near 52w low · volume x3.6 | +2.25% | -1.69% | +1.18% | -2.36% | +3.28% |
| 2017 | 31/07/2017 | 22.62 | neutral | -0.57% | -3.14% | -10.30% | -10.30% | +3.23% |
| 2016 | 01/08/2016 | 16.20 | near 52w low | +7.22% | +6.60% | +7.78% | -1.54% | +9.20% |
Upcoming 14/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.34% · Win 60% · DD -3.42%20 days: Avg -1.25% · Win 50% · DD -5.59%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 14/08/2025 | 68.00 | neutral | -3.21% | -1.01% | +2.43% | -3.21% | +5.74% |
| 2024 | 14/08/2024 | 60.34 | neutral | +7.56% | +10.08% | +8.22% | +0.00% | +13.79% |
| 2023 | 14/08/2023 | 48.66 | neutral | -7.07% | -7.40% | -5.98% | -8.98% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 15/08/2022 | 28.41 | neutral | -8.73% | -7.99% | -17.35% | -17.35% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 13/08/2021 | 28.17 | neutral | -1.88% | +1.35% | -5.64% | -5.86% | +1.70% |
| 2020 | 14/08/2020 | 24.28 | far above SMA50 | +5.77% | +0.04% | +1.94% | -5.85% | +7.04% |
| 2019 | 14/08/2019 | 22.32 | near 52w high | +5.02% | +4.93% | +9.81% | -0.85% | +9.81% |
| 2018 | 14/08/2018 | 19.20 | near 52w low | +5.05% | +2.92% | +1.87% | -0.63% | +5.05% |
| 2017 | 14/08/2017 | 21.91 | neutral | -2.83% | -7.39% | -4.15% | -9.49% | +0.91% |
| 2016 | 15/08/2016 | 17.27 | near 52w high | -0.41% | +1.10% | -3.65% | -3.65% | +4.52% |
Upcoming 15/08/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.62% · Win 50% · DD -3.61%20 days: Avg -1.48% · Win 50% · DD -5.78%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 15/08/2025 | 67.98 | neutral | +2.15% | -0.90% | +1.10% | -3.18% | +5.77% |
| 2024 | 15/08/2024 | 61.76 | neutral | +5.68% | +7.82% | +11.17% | -0.31% | +11.17% |
| 2023 | 15/08/2023 | 48.49 | neutral | -5.71% | -4.95% | -5.94% | -8.66% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 15/08/2022 | 28.41 | neutral | -8.73% | -7.99% | -17.35% | -17.35% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 16/08/2021 | 28.65 | neutral | -4.92% | -1.36% | -8.87% | -8.87% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 14/08/2020 | 24.28 | far above SMA50 | +5.77% | +0.04% | +1.94% | -5.85% | +7.04% |
| 2019 | 15/08/2019 | 22.13 | near 52w high | +7.14% | +6.28% | +10.21% | +0.00% | +10.75% |
| 2018 | 15/08/2018 | 19.10 | near 52w low | +3.72% | +2.88% | +1.99% | -0.10% | +5.60% |
| 2017 | 15/08/2017 | 22.00 | neutral | -3.55% | -9.09% | -5.45% | -9.86% | +0.50% |
| 2016 | 15/08/2016 | 17.27 | near 52w high | -0.41% | +1.10% | -3.65% | -3.65% | +4.52% |
Upcoming 17/08/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.38% · Win 60% · DD -3.00%20 days: Avg -1.01% · Win 30% · DD -4.62%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 18/08/2025 | 68.11 | neutral | -0.16% | -2.04% | +0.21% | -3.36% | +5.56% |
| 2024 | 16/08/2024 | 61.57 | neutral | +11.52% | +9.36% | +11.74% | +0.00% | +11.74% |
| 2023 | 17/08/2023 | 45.28 | neutral | -0.18% | +4.68% | -1.28% | -2.19% | +6.45% |
| 2022 | 17/08/2022 | 27.37 | neutral | -1.75% | -8.26% | -14.98% | -14.98% | +0.47% |
| 2021 | 17/08/2021 | 27.40 | neutral | +1.75% | +2.52% | -4.42% | -4.71% | +4.23% |
| 2020 | 17/08/2020 | 25.26 | far above SMA50 | +2.89% | -6.85% | -3.72% | -9.50% | +2.89% |
| 2019 | 16/08/2019 | 22.47 | near 52w high | +2.67% | +6.19% | +9.48% | +0.00% | +9.48% |
| 2018 | 17/08/2018 | 19.08 | near 52w low | +3.04% | +1.99% | -0.05% | -0.05% | +5.71% |
| 2017 | 17/08/2017 | 21.65 | neutral | -3.93% | -6.61% | -4.94% | -8.41% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 17/08/2016 | 17.15 | near 52w high | +1.52% | +2.86% | -2.10% | -2.97% | +5.25% |
Upcoming 20/08/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.04% · Win 60% · DD -2.47%20 days: Avg +0.72% · Win 40% · DD -4.05%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 20/08/2025 | 66.69 | neutral | +0.94% | +5.11% | +3.76% | -1.30% | +7.81% |
| 2024 | 20/08/2024 | 62.99 | neutral | +6.51% | +2.75% | +10.65% | +0.00% | +10.72% |
| 2023 | 21/08/2023 | 45.22 | neutral | -0.35% | -0.49% | -0.66% | -2.06% | +6.59% |
| 2022 | 19/08/2022 | 26.36 | neutral | -0.68% | -7.32% | -6.07% | -11.72% | +4.32% |
| 2021 | 20/08/2021 | 27.64 | neutral | +3.29% | +0.69% | -5.28% | -5.54% | +3.33% |
| 2020 | 20/08/2020 | 24.81 | far above SMA50 | -2.06% | -3.67% | -0.48% | -7.86% | +4.76% |
| 2019 | 20/08/2019 | 23.22 | near 52w high | -0.69% | +5.08% | +7.84% | -0.69% | +7.84% |
| 2018 | 20/08/2018 | 19.15 | near 52w low | +3.97% | +1.36% | +0.10% | -0.42% | +5.33% |
| 2017 | 21/08/2017 | 21.29 | neutral | -4.70% | -6.15% | +0.00% | -6.86% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 19/08/2016 | 17.16 | near 52w high | +0.52% | +3.03% | -2.68% | -4.08% | +5.19% |
Upcoming 11/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.92% · Win 40% · DD -4.35%20 days: Avg +0.02% · Win 70% · DD -6.52%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 11/09/2025 | 71.13 | neutral | -2.71% | -8.46% | -12.82% | -12.82% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 11/09/2024 | 63.63 | volume x1.6 | +9.54% | +6.93% | +6.35% | +0.00% | +12.93% |
| 2023 | 11/09/2023 | 46.85 | neutral | -3.99% | -7.96% | -9.93% | -13.04% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 12/09/2022 | 25.42 | neutral | -2.60% | -10.27% | +1.49% | -10.27% | +3.38% |
| 2021 | 10/09/2021 | 26.52 | neutral | +1.21% | +0.19% | +0.41% | -2.79% | +2.07% |
| 2020 | 11/09/2020 | 24.72 | neutral | -0.12% | -5.14% | +10.72% | -6.35% | +10.72% |
| 2019 | 11/09/2019 | 24.17 | near 52w high | +3.60% | +5.34% | +6.21% | +0.00% | +8.56% |
| 2018 | 11/09/2018 | 19.48 | near 52w low | -1.59% | -1.59% | -13.19% | -13.19% | +0.41% |
| 2017 | 11/09/2017 | 20.74 | neutral | +1.16% | +2.12% | +9.98% | -0.77% | +10.51% |
| 2016 | 12/09/2016 | 17.35 | volume x1.7 | -3.75% | -0.35% | +0.98% | -5.99% | +2.31% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+7.5%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -0.5% · from 52w low: +33.2%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +0.39% · +0.38% · +0.75% · +16.45% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +0.40% · +7.54% · +14.57% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -0.51% · +33.20% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.16 · 0.94x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +5.89% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +0.30% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +15.66% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 71.84 · 67.07 · 62.96 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 72.50 · 54.15 |
|---|
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