📡 TSM — Taiwan Semiconductor

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/06/2026

Last price (Close)
408.75 -4.48%
Next window · Gann 60 · in 10 days
24/06/2026
Last window · Gann 45 · 03/06/2026
since -6.40%
Trend
Uptrend

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 30/03/2026
313.80
Days: 50 trading / 72 calendar · return since: +30.26%
Last major high · 25/02/2026
390.21
Days: 73 trading / 105 calendar · return since: +4.75%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 30/03/2026 @ 313.80Gann 45Trading03/06/2026-5 (±2)Passed
Low 30/03/2026 @ 313.80Gann 60Trading24/06/2026+10 (±2)Upcoming
High 25/02/2026 @ 390.21Gann 120Calendar25/06/2026+15 (±3)Upcoming
Low 30/03/2026 @ 313.80Gann 90Calendar28/06/2026+18 (±3)Upcoming
High 25/02/2026 @ 390.21Gann 90Trading03/07/2026+17 (±3)Upcoming
High 25/02/2026 @ 390.21Gann 144Calendar19/07/2026+39 (±3)Upcoming
Low 30/03/2026 @ 313.80Gann 90Trading05/08/2026+40 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 03/06/2026 · Low Gann 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.39% · Win 56% · DD -2.51%20 days: Avg +3.66% · Win 67% · DD -4.04%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/06/2025197.61far above SMA50+7.51%+8.64%+18.64%+0.00%+18.64%
202403/06/2024154.95near 52w high+8.53%+14.75%+13.75%-1.60%+16.33%
202302/06/202398.94far above SMA50+3.90%+6.13%+4.69%-0.90%+8.56%
202203/06/202293.77neutral-5.43%-8.88%-18.41%-18.41%+0.07%
202103/06/2021116.82neutral+1.22%+2.36%+1.76%-1.92%+3.57%
202003/06/202053.06neutral+8.46%+6.67%+7.89%+0.00%+8.46%
201903/06/201938.82neutral+2.06%-2.99%+10.06%-2.99%+10.06%
201804/06/201839.97neutral-3.03%-4.30%-5.24%-7.91%+0.00%
201702/06/201736.18near 52w high-1.08%-0.86%-0.22%-2.60%+3.12%
Upcoming 24/06/2026 · Low Gann 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.40% · Win 60% · DD -2.40%20 days: Avg +6.20% · Win 80% · DD -2.83%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202524/06/2025220.09near 52w high · far above SMA50+2.09%+5.34%+9.20%+0.00%+11.59%
202424/06/2024167.81far above SMA50+2.69%+9.96%+1.20%-1.22%+13.85%
202323/06/2023101.91neutral-0.97%-2.10%-3.59%-4.57%+3.59%
202224/06/202285.92near 52w low-10.38%-7.93%+0.44%-12.06%+2.18%
202124/06/2021117.24neutral+1.01%+2.83%-0.38%-1.61%+6.10%
202024/06/202056.58neutral+0.42%+14.49%+19.07%-0.44%+21.12%
201924/06/201939.98neutral+3.50%-0.78%+11.11%-2.65%+11.56%
201825/06/201836.51neutral+0.08%+3.89%+10.63%-2.74%+11.59%
201723/06/201736.73near 52w high-1.72%-1.61%+1.82%-3.01%+2.36%
201624/06/201625.68near 52w high+7.19%+9.89%+12.56%+0.00%+12.56%
Upcoming 25/06/2026 · High Gann 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.05% · Win 80% · DD -2.18%20 days: Avg +6.81% · Win 70% · DD -3.18%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202525/06/2025222.74near 52w high · far above SMA50+4.88%+3.15%+8.47%+0.00%+10.26%
202425/06/2024172.60far above SMA50+1.80%+10.69%-7.42%-7.42%+10.69%
202326/06/2023100.11neutral+3.04%+1.15%+0.21%-2.86%+5.45%
202224/06/202285.92near 52w low-10.38%-7.93%+0.44%-12.06%+2.18%
202125/06/2021116.53neutral+2.04%+5.23%-0.76%-1.01%+6.75%
202025/06/202057.04neutral+2.77%+11.94%+29.56%-1.24%+29.56%
201925/06/201938.92neutral+4.83%+4.60%+14.44%+0.00%+14.59%
201825/06/201836.51neutral+0.08%+3.89%+10.63%-2.74%+11.59%
201726/06/201736.13near 52w high · volume x1.5-3.46%-2.08%-0.08%-4.51%+0.77%
201624/06/201625.68near 52w high+7.19%+9.89%+12.56%+0.00%+12.56%
Upcoming 28/06/2026 · Low Gann 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.05% · Win 90% · DD -1.83%20 days: Avg +7.30% · Win 70% · DD -3.13%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/06/2025228.57near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.26%+0.04%+6.20%-1.70%+7.45%
202428/06/2024173.81far above SMA50+7.38%+6.56%-7.94%-8.06%+9.92%
202328/06/2023100.92neutral-1.50%+4.61%-1.56%-3.64%+4.61%
202228/06/202284.34near 52w low-10.41%-3.62%+3.90%-10.41%+4.09%
202128/06/2021119.61neutral+0.37%+3.59%-5.07%-5.07%+4.00%
202029/06/202056.39neutral+7.66%+18.74%+36.41%+0.00%+47.63%
201928/06/201939.17neutral+0.38%+6.77%+12.18%+0.00%+13.86%
201828/06/201835.94near 52w low+3.70%+5.09%+15.33%+0.00%+15.33%
201728/06/201735.35near 52w high-2.40%+2.26%+2.35%-2.40%+3.00%
201628/06/201625.26near 52w low+3.52%+6.45%+11.24%+0.00%+12.15%
Upcoming 03/07/2026 · High Gann 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.51% · Win 70% · DD -2.27%20 days: Avg +5.63% · Win 70% · DD -3.54%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/07/2025234.80near 52w high · far above SMA50-1.87%+2.39%+0.17%-2.96%+4.60%
202403/07/2024182.49near 52w high · far above SMA50+1.10%-5.82%-13.32%-15.32%+4.69%
202303/07/2023103.15neutral-1.83%+0.00%-4.60%-5.72%+2.35%
202201/07/202277.00near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x1.9+2.74%+8.55%+12.09%-1.87%+15.08%
202102/07/2021118.91neutral+3.13%-2.99%-1.72%-4.52%+4.61%
202002/07/202058.62near 52w high+8.92%+13.27%+34.58%+0.00%+42.02%
201903/07/201940.33neutral+1.41%+7.09%+3.82%-2.50%+10.59%
201803/07/201836.39neutral+1.59%+5.55%+14.62%+0.00%+14.62%
201703/07/201734.88neutral+1.43%+2.84%+2.75%-1.09%+4.39%
201601/07/201626.53near 52w high+2.53%+4.18%+7.88%-1.43%+7.88%
Upcoming 19/07/2026 · High Gann 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.21% · Win 40% · DD -2.93%20 days: Avg +2.01% · Win 50% · DD -4.11%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202518/07/2025240.40near 52w high · far above SMA50+2.16%-2.16%-0.63%-3.76%+2.16%
202419/07/2024165.77neutral-2.31%-9.60%+5.29%-10.75%+5.29%
202319/07/2023103.06neutral-3.54%-7.14%-10.95%-11.04%+0.00%
202219/07/202286.15neutral-2.01%-0.12%+4.41%-2.01%+6.29%
202119/07/2021115.35neutral+0.26%+1.31%-0.62%-1.57%+3.36%
202020/07/202066.89near 52w high · far above SMA50+24.46%+18.03%+19.88%+0.00%+24.46%
201919/07/201943.83near 52w high · volume x1.5-0.84%-4.97%-5.22%-9.03%+1.76%
201819/07/201839.81volume x2.2+2.54%+4.37%+1.51%+0.00%+5.43%
201719/07/201736.41near 52w high-0.52%-0.93%-0.19%-2.94%+1.04%
201619/07/201627.27near 52w high+3.89%+3.26%+6.64%+0.00%+7.81%
Upcoming 05/08/2026 · Low Gann 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.09% · Win 30% · DD -2.75%20 days: Avg +1.36% · Win 70% · DD -3.82%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202505/08/2025232.47neutral+5.08%+0.10%-0.46%-2.21%+5.08%
202405/08/2024147.95far below SMA50+13.30%+18.59%+8.48%+0.00%+18.59%
202304/08/202396.16neutral-4.34%-5.26%-3.09%-5.26%+0.20%
202205/08/202289.77neutral+1.21%-2.86%-9.88%-9.88%+2.01%
202105/08/2021119.22neutral-2.95%-7.30%+1.32%-9.31%+1.32%
202005/08/202081.63near 52w high · far above SMA50-2.74%-3.79%+0.66%-5.90%+0.66%
201905/08/201939.87neutral+2.73%+4.79%+4.64%+0.00%+6.92%
201806/08/201841.07neutral-0.88%-2.36%+7.40%-2.36%+7.45%
201704/08/201736.03near 52w high+0.31%-0.47%+3.30%-1.92%+3.30%
201605/08/201628.79near 52w high+1.56%-0.52%+1.22%-1.39%+2.12%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+3.5%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -9.2% · from 52w low: +98.2%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-6.40% · -3.31% · +2.89% · +20.48%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-2.03% · +3.50% · +24.18%
Distance from 52w high / low-9.20% · +98.23%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg18.55 · 0.95x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+4.80%
vs SPY (20d)+4.61%
vs SMH (20d)+1.17%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200417.23 · 394.91 · 329.17
52w high / low450.16 · 206.20