🕰️ Time Machine

XLP — Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 18/09/2026

Last price (Close)
82.80 -0.83%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 8 days
26/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 09/09/2026
since -0.30%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 02/06/2026
81.48
Days: 75 trading / 108 calendar · return since: +1.62%
Last major high · 28/07/2026
88.78
Days: 37 trading / 52 calendar · return since: -6.74%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 28/07/2026 @ 88.78Cycle 30Trading📅 09/09/2026-7 (±2)Passed
High 28/07/2026 @ 88.78Cycle 45Calendar📅 11/09/2026-7 (±2)Passed
High 28/07/2026 @ 88.78Cycle 60Calendar📅 26/09/2026+8 (±2)Upcoming
Low 02/06/2026 @ 81.48Cycle 120Calendar📅 30/09/2026+12 (±3)Upcoming
High 28/07/2026 @ 88.78Cycle 45Trading📅 30/09/2026+8 (±2)Upcoming
Low 02/06/2026 @ 81.48Cycle 90Trading📅 09/10/2026+15 (±3)Upcoming
High 28/07/2026 @ 88.78Cycle 60Trading📅 21/10/2026+23 (±2)Upcoming
Low 02/06/2026 @ 81.48Cycle 144Calendar📅 24/10/2026+36 (±3)Upcoming
High 28/07/2026 @ 88.78Cycle 90Calendar📅 26/10/2026+38 (±3)Upcoming
Low 02/06/2026 @ 81.48Cycle 120Trading📅 20/11/2026+45 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

NR7 Compression 11/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 11/09/2026
Failed Breakdown 08/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 09/09/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 09/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.89% · Win 11% · DD -2.26%20 days: Avg -2.81% · Win 22% · DD -3.87%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202509/09/202580.73near 52w high-1.20%-2.28%-2.49%-3.39%+0.00%
202409/09/202483.63near 52w high+0.75%-0.12%-3.04%-3.04%+0.75%
202308/09/202371.70neutral+0.49%-1.51%-6.39%-6.39%+1.32%
202209/09/202273.98volume x1.5-3.58%-5.61%-9.53%-9.53%+0.39%
202109/09/202172.19near 52w high-0.61%-1.61%-2.25%-4.10%+0.00%
202009/09/202065.09near 52w high-0.61%-3.79%+0.15%-3.79%+0.15%
201909/09/201961.30near 52w high · volume x1.9-1.39%-0.62%-0.06%-1.49%+0.79%
201810/09/201854.56neutral+0.73%+0.00%+0.00%-1.36%+1.56%
201708/09/201755.09near 52w high+0.87%-1.51%-1.71%-1.71%+1.01%
Passed 11/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.74% · Win 22% · DD -2.24%20 days: Avg -2.47% · Win 22% · DD -3.78%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202511/09/202580.59near 52w high-1.30%-2.84%-2.50%-3.22%+0.00%
202411/09/202482.83near 52w high · volume x1.5+0.37%+0.35%-1.02%-2.10%+1.73%
202311/09/202372.32neutral-0.41%-2.71%-7.10%-7.19%+0.46%
202212/09/202274.27neutral-3.32%-5.91%-9.55%-9.88%+0.00%
202110/09/202171.88near 52w high-0.72%-1.14%-1.94%-3.69%+0.25%
202011/09/202064.65near 52w high-1.48%-1.91%+2.29%-3.14%+2.29%
201911/09/201961.14near 52w high-0.43%+0.11%-0.00%-1.23%+1.05%
201811/09/201854.36neutral+0.68%-0.22%+0.15%-1.00%+1.93%
201711/09/201755.43near 52w high+0.39%-1.41%-2.59%-2.59%+0.39%
Upcoming 26/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.77% · Win 20% · DD -1.89%20 days: Avg +0.37% · Win 60% · DD -2.27%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202526/09/202577.96near 52w low+0.09%+0.18%+1.45%-0.64%+2.28%
202426/09/202482.87near 52w high-2.02%-2.03%-1.36%-2.67%+0.18%
202326/09/202369.37near 52w low-2.19%-2.83%-2.39%-4.54%+0.00%
202226/09/202269.43near 52w low-2.23%-3.87%+1.04%-4.22%+1.04%
202127/09/202170.30near 52w high-2.13%-0.38%+1.34%-2.13%+1.41%
202025/09/202063.04neutral+1.68%+4.28%+3.73%+0.00%+5.49%
201926/09/201961.19near 52w high-1.21%-0.47%+0.42%-1.90%+0.42%
201826/09/201853.92neutral-0.56%-0.95%+1.54%-3.39%+1.54%
201726/09/201754.44volume x1.6-0.92%-0.57%-1.41%-1.43%+0.28%
201626/09/201652.89near 52w high-0.04%-1.06%-0.61%-1.78%+0.61%
Upcoming 30/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.01% · Win 50% · DD -1.65%20 days: Avg +0.31% · Win 40% · DD -2.02%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202530/09/202578.37near 52w low-0.24%+0.92%+0.08%-1.16%+1.75%
202430/09/202483.00near 52w high-2.82%-1.24%-2.16%-2.82%+0.00%
202329/09/202368.81near 52w low-3.11%-2.92%-3.24%-3.76%+0.00%
202230/09/202266.73near 52w low-0.34%+1.20%+9.65%-0.34%+9.65%
202130/09/202168.84volume x1.5+1.87%+3.11%+3.60%-0.06%+3.85%
202030/09/202064.10neutral+1.09%+3.14%-2.50%-2.50%+3.74%
201930/09/201961.42near 52w high-0.85%-1.43%-0.73%-2.26%+0.05%
201801/10/201853.89neutral+0.54%-2.21%+1.04%-3.34%+1.84%
201729/09/201753.98neutral-0.31%+1.09%-1.63%-1.63%+1.13%
201630/09/201653.21near 52w high-1.65%-1.58%-1.01%-2.37%+0.00%
Upcoming 09/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.14% · Win 90% · DD -0.74%20 days: Avg +1.19% · Win 60% · DD -1.95%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202509/10/202578.04near 52w low+0.82%+1.68%-3.13%-3.13%+2.18%
202409/10/202481.55near 52w high+1.08%+0.37%-2.44%-2.44%+1.15%
202309/10/202366.73near 52w low+1.14%+0.61%+3.19%-0.76%+3.19%
202210/10/202266.74near 52w low+2.28%+5.11%+8.62%+0.00%+9.63%
202108/10/202170.05near 52w high+1.08%+1.77%+4.21%-0.03%+4.21%
202009/10/202065.74near 52w high+0.65%-0.53%-0.99%-5.29%+1.16%
201909/10/201960.78near 52w high-0.72%+0.76%+0.38%-0.82%+1.10%
201809/10/201854.06neutral-1.42%+0.85%+3.85%-3.64%+3.85%
201709/10/201753.66neutral+1.73%+0.37%-2.03%-2.03%+1.73%
201610/10/201652.33near 52w high-0.40%+0.46%+0.29%-1.38%+0.90%
Upcoming 21/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.15% · Win 40% · DD -1.69%20 days: Avg +1.46% · Win 70% · DD -2.01%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/10/202579.29near 52w low-1.08%-4.16%-2.76%-4.65%+0.57%
202421/10/202481.55near 52w high-0.42%-1.45%-1.26%-2.44%+0.56%
202320/10/202367.27near 52w low-1.03%+2.20%+3.30%-1.03%+4.73%
202221/10/202268.91near 52w low+6.18%+4.27%+8.37%+0.00%+8.37%
202121/10/202170.74near 52w high+0.82%+2.60%+2.22%+0.00%+3.46%
202021/10/202065.30near 52w high-4.29%-1.50%+2.21%-4.66%+4.36%
201921/10/201960.94near 52w high+0.05%-0.62%+1.17%-0.62%+1.17%
201822/10/201854.28neutral+0.31%+2.80%+3.11%-0.83%+4.68%
201720/10/201753.90neutral-1.48%-1.41%+1.60%-2.47%+1.95%
201621/10/201652.23near 52w high+0.84%-1.19%-3.31%-3.41%+1.09%
Upcoming 24/10/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.21% · Win 40% · DD -2.08%20 days: Avg +1.03% · Win 50% · DD -2.30%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202524/10/202579.09near 52w low-3.55%-3.01%-1.50%-4.41%+0.16%
202424/10/202481.74near 52w high-1.98%-2.31%-0.80%-2.67%+0.00%
202324/10/202367.71near 52w low+0.22%+1.95%+2.87%-1.67%+4.05%
202224/10/202270.15neutral+3.69%+3.34%+7.47%+0.00%+7.47%
202125/10/202171.24near 52w high+0.17%+1.66%+1.94%-0.24%+2.74%
202023/10/202065.39near 52w high-4.79%-0.46%+1.70%-4.79%+4.22%
201924/10/201961.45near 52w high-0.47%-1.06%-0.08%-1.45%+0.42%
201824/10/201854.75volume x1.9+0.47%+3.12%-0.27%-1.68%+3.78%
201724/10/201753.67neutral-1.08%-0.95%+2.25%-2.05%+2.38%
201624/10/201652.57near 52w high+0.44%-0.17%-3.29%-4.03%+0.44%
Upcoming 26/10/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.44% · Win 60% · DD -1.74%20 days: Avg +1.53% · Win 80% · DD -1.96%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/10/202579.22near 52w low-4.47%-3.52%-2.80%-4.57%+0.00%
202425/10/202481.06near 52w high-1.12%-0.30%+0.96%-1.85%+0.96%
202326/10/202367.50near 52w low+1.73%+1.45%+4.31%-1.36%+4.37%
202226/10/202271.54neutral-0.41%+0.52%+6.51%-0.74%+6.51%
202126/10/202171.49near 52w high+0.49%+1.65%+2.25%-0.59%+2.38%
202026/10/202064.55near 52w high-2.01%+0.60%+3.05%-3.55%+5.58%
201925/10/201961.09near 52w high+0.10%-0.54%+0.34%-0.87%+1.01%
201826/10/201853.83volume x1.8+2.38%+5.55%+1.91%+0.00%+5.55%
201726/10/201753.56neutral-0.80%+0.32%+2.26%-1.85%+2.60%
201626/10/201652.69near 52w high-0.47%-1.35%-3.55%-4.25%+0.21%
Upcoming 20/11/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.47% · Win 90% · DD -0.56%20 days: Avg +1.33% · Win 70% · DD -1.34%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202520/11/202577.06near 52w low+3.00%+1.82%+2.23%-0.08%+3.36%
202420/11/202480.22neutral+3.22%+3.20%-0.70%-0.70%+3.74%
202320/11/202369.44neutral+1.57%+1.50%+3.86%+0.00%+4.12%
202221/11/202275.39neutral+0.37%+0.48%-0.85%-0.85%+2.39%
202119/11/202172.05near 52w high+0.12%+1.08%+4.40%-2.91%+6.19%
202020/11/202066.50near 52w high+0.62%+1.31%+1.05%+0.00%+2.15%
201920/11/201961.71near 52w high+0.50%+1.17%+2.32%-0.66%+2.32%
201820/11/201855.04neutral+1.40%+0.69%-7.03%-7.03%+2.31%
201720/11/201754.70near 52w high+1.01%+3.53%+4.83%+0.00%+4.83%
201621/11/201650.84near 52w low+1.10%-0.12%+3.14%-1.16%+3.34%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· If it holds above SMA50 (-2.5%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -8.1% · from 52w low: +10.2%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-0.70% · -2.89% · -2.95% · -1.94%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-2.22% · -2.49% · -0.93%
Distance from 52w high / low-8.14% · +10.16%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.88 · 1.09x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-4.43%
vs SPY (20d)-3.08%
vs SMH (20d)-4.79%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20084.68 · 84.92 · 83.58
52w high / low90.14 · 75.16