🕰️ Time Machine

XLP — Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 05/08/2026

Last price (Close)
84.96 -0.47%
Next window · Cycle 45 · in window · in 1 days
06/08/2026
Last window · Cycle 60 · 01/08/2026
since -0.10%
Trend
Strong uptrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 02/06/2026
81.48
Days: 44 trading / 64 calendar · return since: +4.28%
Last major high · 19/05/2026
86.70
Days: 53 trading / 78 calendar · return since: -2.00%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 19/05/2026 @ 86.70Cycle 45Trading📅 24/07/2026-8 (±2)Passed
Low 02/06/2026 @ 81.48Cycle 60Calendar📅 01/08/2026-4 (±2)Passed
Low 02/06/2026 @ 81.48Cycle 45Trading📅 06/08/2026+1 (±2)In window
High 19/05/2026 @ 86.70Cycle 60Trading📅 14/08/2026+7 (±2)Upcoming
High 19/05/2026 @ 86.70Cycle 90Calendar📅 17/08/2026+12 (±3)Upcoming
Low 02/06/2026 @ 81.48Cycle 60Trading📅 27/08/2026+16 (±2)Upcoming
Low 02/06/2026 @ 81.48Cycle 90Calendar📅 31/08/2026+26 (±3)Upcoming
High 19/05/2026 @ 86.70Cycle 120Calendar📅 16/09/2026+42 (±3)Upcoming
High 19/05/2026 @ 86.70Cycle 90Trading📅 28/09/2026+37 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

NR7 Compression 05/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 06/08/2026
Bullish Engulfing 29/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 01/08/2026
Failed Breakout 28/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 24/07/2026
Gap Day 28/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 24/07/2026
NR7 Compression 20/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 24/07/2026
Failed Breakout 17/07/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 24/07/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.69% · Win 67% · DD -0.92%20 days: Avg +1.85% · Win 89% · DD -1.23%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202524/07/202581.36near 52w high-1.94%+1.08%+1.36%-1.94%+2.29%
202424/07/202477.79near 52w high+0.08%+0.68%+5.06%-0.12%+5.06%
202324/07/202375.92near 52w high-0.22%-0.87%-4.47%-4.47%+0.24%
202225/07/202273.56neutral+2.53%+1.41%+3.49%-0.23%+4.89%
202123/07/202171.40near 52w high+0.15%-0.64%+1.90%-1.12%+2.20%
202024/07/202062.13near 52w high+0.92%+2.22%+3.49%+0.00%+4.27%
201924/07/201959.62near 52w high-0.32%-1.22%+1.16%-3.24%+2.00%
201824/07/201852.63neutral+1.79%+2.62%+3.74%+0.00%+4.54%
201724/07/201754.90near 52w high+0.77%+0.97%+0.91%+0.00%+1.75%
Passed 01/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.13% · Win 90% · DD -0.89%20 days: Avg +1.02% · Win 70% · DD -1.26%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202501/08/202580.16volume x1.8+2.89%+2.32%+0.77%+0.00%+3.82%
202401/08/202478.57near 52w high · volume x1.6+0.59%+2.19%+4.19%-1.11%+5.15%
202301/08/202375.34near 52w high-0.82%-2.27%-3.09%-4.41%+0.36%
202201/08/202275.42neutral-1.09%+1.11%-1.45%-1.45%+2.31%
202102/08/202171.21near 52w high-0.01%+2.42%+1.25%-0.86%+2.47%
202031/07/202062.70near 52w high+1.29%+2.33%+4.90%-0.27%+4.90%
201901/08/201959.22near 52w high · volume x2.6+0.73%+0.52%+2.67%-2.58%+2.68%
201801/08/201853.12neutral+0.90%+1.34%+1.60%+0.00%+3.58%
201701/08/201755.26near 52w high · volume x1.9-0.07%+0.74%-1.01%-1.39%+1.09%
201605/08/201654.59near 52w high+0.92%+0.60%+0.42%-0.51%+0.92%
In window 06/08/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.43% · Win 80% · DD -0.66%20 days: Avg +0.88% · Win 50% · DD -1.37%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202506/08/202581.62near 52w high+1.24%+1.96%-1.20%-1.67%+1.96%
202406/08/202478.24near 52w high+1.11%+3.76%+6.70%+0.00%+6.70%
202307/08/202375.26near 52w high-1.10%-3.63%-4.97%-4.97%+0.00%
202205/08/202274.64neutral+1.17%+3.04%-2.79%-2.79%+3.38%
202106/08/202170.94near 52w high+2.21%+2.57%+2.66%+0.00%+2.86%
202006/08/202063.17near 52w high+1.58%+1.54%+3.99%+0.00%+5.81%
201906/08/201958.21near 52w high+2.37%+3.33%+5.86%+0.00%+5.86%
201806/08/201854.34neutral-2.02%+1.20%-1.16%-2.02%+1.25%
201707/08/201755.43near 52w high-0.07%-0.05%-0.69%-1.70%+0.78%
201605/08/201654.59near 52w high+0.92%+0.60%+0.42%-0.51%+0.92%
Upcoming 14/08/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.03% · Win 40% · DD -1.19%20 days: Avg -0.18% · Win 50% · DD -1.94%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202514/08/202581.89near 52w high+0.71%-1.99%-1.92%-2.38%+1.62%
202414/08/202479.47near 52w high+2.84%+3.52%+4.87%+0.00%+5.23%
202314/08/202374.43near 52w high-2.55%-2.26%-3.67%-4.02%+0.00%
202215/08/202276.26neutral-0.17%-2.53%-5.86%-5.86%+1.18%
202113/08/202172.51near 52w high+0.34%-1.01%-0.62%-1.35%+0.63%
202014/08/202064.16near 52w high+0.22%+2.51%+1.42%-0.03%+4.18%
201914/08/201958.65near 52w high+2.83%+3.61%+4.67%+0.00%+5.06%
201814/08/201853.61neutral+1.85%+0.56%+2.57%+0.00%+2.63%
201714/08/201755.39near 52w high+0.02%-1.59%+0.29%-1.62%+0.85%
201615/08/201654.95near 52w high+0.09%-0.58%-3.51%-4.11%+0.18%
Upcoming 17/08/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.67% · Win 40% · DD -1.63%20 days: Avg -0.92% · Win 40% · DD -2.38%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202518/08/202581.91near 52w high-1.04%-1.54%-2.62%-3.06%+1.60%
202416/08/202480.51near 52w high+1.65%+2.48%+4.66%+0.00%+4.66%
202317/08/202372.75neutral-1.00%+0.01%-0.96%-1.80%+0.52%
202217/08/202276.90neutral-1.18%-4.93%-7.46%-7.46%+0.34%
202117/08/202172.97near 52w high · volume x1.6-1.36%-0.97%-1.34%-1.97%+0.00%
202017/08/202064.52near 52w high+0.51%+1.64%+0.71%-0.59%+3.60%
201916/08/201960.21near 52w high-0.98%+0.85%+0.40%-0.98%+2.34%
201817/08/201855.02neutral-1.74%-2.25%-0.11%-2.38%+0.00%
201717/08/201755.35near 52w high-1.55%-1.16%+0.39%-1.55%+0.42%
201617/08/201654.86near 52w high-0.11%-0.87%-2.86%-3.96%+0.35%
Upcoming 27/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.07% · Win 50% · DD -1.21%20 days: Avg -1.63% · Win 40% · DD -2.40%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/08/202580.77near 52w high-0.16%-0.22%-3.05%-3.05%+0.12%
202427/08/202482.62near 52w high+1.04%+0.25%+0.60%-0.92%+1.98%
202328/08/202372.75neutral-1.69%-1.44%-4.00%-4.00%+0.52%
202226/08/202274.45neutral-2.54%-0.24%-6.14%-6.20%+0.00%
202127/08/202171.78near 52w high+1.46%+0.39%-1.45%-1.69%+1.59%
202027/08/202065.19near 52w high+0.77%-0.83%-2.72%-3.94%+2.53%
201927/08/201960.19near 52w high+2.38%+1.58%+1.69%+0.00%+2.38%
201827/08/201854.09neutral-0.70%+0.50%+0.28%-0.70%+2.44%
201728/08/201754.51near 52w high+0.99%+1.91%+0.50%-0.46%+2.09%
201626/08/201654.31near 52w high+0.94%-1.16%-2.01%-2.98%+1.16%
Upcoming 31/08/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.32% · Win 30% · DD -1.28%20 days: Avg -1.86% · Win 30% · DD -2.67%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/08/202580.78near 52w high-0.26%-1.71%-2.64%-3.07%+0.11%
202430/08/202482.51near 52w high+1.36%+2.12%+1.13%+0.00%+2.12%
202331/08/202372.76neutral-1.46%-0.98%-4.79%-4.80%+0.00%
202231/08/202273.11neutral+0.21%-2.67%-6.51%-6.51%+1.59%
202131/08/202172.26near 52w high+0.48%-0.37%-2.38%-3.26%+0.91%
202031/08/202065.58near 52w high-2.17%-0.91%-2.86%-4.51%+1.92%
201930/08/201960.72near 52w high+0.96%-0.44%+1.75%-0.44%+1.75%
201831/08/201853.78neutral+1.45%+2.19%+0.91%-0.13%+3.03%
201731/08/201754.71near 52w high+0.69%+1.57%-0.71%-0.83%+1.71%
201631/08/201654.38near 52w high-0.40%-2.00%-2.53%-3.11%+1.03%
Upcoming 16/09/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.60% · Win 20% · DD -2.40%20 days: Avg -1.60% · Win 20% · DD -3.52%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202516/09/202579.76neutral-1.09%-1.07%-0.16%-2.22%+0.60%
202416/09/202484.26near 52w high-0.86%-0.97%-2.20%-3.76%+0.00%
202315/09/202372.05neutral-1.99%-3.85%-6.66%-7.47%+0.00%
202216/09/202271.33near 52w low-2.10%-5.84%-4.71%-6.16%+0.66%
202116/09/202171.75near 52w high-1.00%-3.46%-0.46%-3.51%+0.00%
202016/09/202064.69near 52w high-3.20%-0.32%+2.80%-3.20%+3.41%
201916/09/201960.45near 52w high+0.77%+2.21%+0.74%-0.11%+2.21%
201817/09/201854.96neutral-0.72%-1.25%-3.43%-4.55%+0.82%
201715/09/201755.22near 52w high-2.35%-2.25%-1.18%-2.83%+0.14%
201616/09/201652.79near 52w high+1.04%+0.80%-0.80%-1.38%+1.50%
Upcoming 28/09/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.70% · Win 30% · DD -2.10%20 days: Avg +0.26% · Win 40% · DD -2.15%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/09/202578.11near 52w low-0.83%-0.35%+1.42%-0.83%+2.09%
202427/09/202483.02near 52w high-1.87%-1.66%-2.36%-2.84%+0.00%
202328/09/202369.01near 52w low-2.85%-4.04%-2.19%-4.04%+0.00%
202228/09/202269.05near 52w low-0.78%-2.03%+3.61%-3.69%+3.61%
202128/09/202169.47volume x1.5-0.46%+0.85%+2.91%-0.96%+2.91%
202028/09/202063.75neutral+1.22%+4.31%+1.25%-0.66%+4.31%
201927/09/201961.12near 52w high+0.46%-0.46%-0.05%-1.78%+0.54%
201828/09/201853.93neutral-0.91%-2.87%-0.19%-3.41%+1.76%
201728/09/201754.02neutral+0.61%+0.83%-0.85%-0.93%+1.06%
201628/09/201653.20near 52w high-1.56%-1.60%-0.96%-2.35%+0.02%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+0.8%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -5.7% · from 52w low: +13.0%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-2.74% · +0.69% · +0.68% · +1.63%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+0.20% · +0.84% · +3.05%
Distance from 52w high / low-5.74% · +13.05%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg1.60 · 0.12x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-1.49%
vs SPY (20d)-3.49%
vs SMH (20d)+3.20%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20084.80 · 84.26 · 82.45
52w high / low90.14 · 75.16