🕰️ Time Machine

XLP — Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 04/11/2026

Last price (Close)
91.94 +3.36%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in window
04/11/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 03/11/2026
since +3.36%
Trend
Strong uptrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 05/10/2026
80.10
Days: 22 trading / 30 calendar · return since: +14.78%
Last major high · 28/07/2026
88.78
Days: 70 trading / 99 calendar · return since: +3.56%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 28/07/2026 @ 88.78Cycle 60Trading📅 21/10/2026-10 (±2)Passed
Low 05/10/2026 @ 80.10Fib 13Trading📅 22/10/2026-9 (±1)Passed
Low 05/10/2026 @ 80.10Fib 21Calendar📅 26/10/2026-9 (±1)Passed
High 28/07/2026 @ 88.78Cycle 90Calendar📅 26/10/2026-9 (±3)Passed
Low 05/10/2026 @ 80.10Fib 21Trading📅 03/11/2026-1 (±1)In window
Low 05/10/2026 @ 80.10Cycle 30Calendar📅 04/11/2026+0 (±2)In window
Low 05/10/2026 @ 80.10Cycle 30Trading📅 16/11/2026+8 (±2)Upcoming
Low 05/10/2026 @ 80.10Cycle 45Calendar📅 19/11/2026+15 (±2)Upcoming
High 28/07/2026 @ 88.78Cycle 120Calendar📅 25/11/2026+21 (±3)Upcoming
High 28/07/2026 @ 88.78Cycle 90Trading📅 03/12/2026+20 (±3)Upcoming
Low 05/10/2026 @ 80.10Cycle 60Calendar📅 04/12/2026+30 (±2)Upcoming
Low 05/10/2026 @ 80.10Cycle 45Trading📅 08/12/2026+23 (±2)Upcoming
High 28/07/2026 @ 88.78Cycle 144Calendar📅 19/12/2026+45 (±3)Upcoming
Low 05/10/2026 @ 80.10Cycle 60Trading📅 30/12/2026+38 (±2)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

● Failed Breakout 30/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 26/10/2026
● Gap Day 30/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 26/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 21/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 21/10/2026
● Failed Breakout 13/10/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 21/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.30% · Win 44% · DD -1.75%20 days: Avg +1.99% · Win 78% · DD -1.86%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/10/202579.29near 52w low-1.08%-4.16%-2.76%-4.65%+0.57%
202421/10/202481.55near 52w high-0.42%-1.45%-1.26%-2.44%+0.56%
202320/10/202367.27near 52w low-1.03%+2.20%+3.30%-1.03%+4.73%
202221/10/202268.91near 52w low+6.18%+4.27%+8.37%+0.00%+8.37%
202121/10/202170.74near 52w high+0.82%+2.60%+2.22%+0.00%+3.46%
202021/10/202065.30near 52w high-4.29%-1.50%+2.21%-4.66%+4.36%
201921/10/201960.94near 52w high+0.05%-0.62%+1.17%-0.62%+1.17%
201822/10/201854.28neutral+0.31%+2.80%+3.11%-0.83%+4.68%
201720/10/201753.90neutral-1.48%-1.41%+1.60%-2.47%+1.95%
Passed 22/10/2026 · Low Fib 13/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.27% · Win 44% · DD -1.89%20 days: Avg +1.70% · Win 78% · DD -1.98%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202522/10/202579.74neutral-3.96%-4.77%-4.05%-5.19%+0.00%
202422/10/202482.01near 52w high-1.95%-1.38%-1.68%-2.99%+0.00%
202323/10/202367.14near 52w low+0.71%+2.56%+3.43%-0.83%+4.93%
202221/10/202268.91near 52w low+6.18%+4.27%+8.37%+0.00%+8.37%
202122/10/202171.29near 52w high-0.06%+2.40%+1.07%-0.31%+2.67%
202022/10/202065.27near 52w high-4.27%-0.74%+2.53%-4.61%+4.41%
201922/10/201960.96near 52w high+0.02%-0.33%+1.00%-0.66%+1.13%
201822/10/201854.28neutral+0.31%+2.80%+3.11%-0.83%+4.68%
201723/10/201753.86neutral-2.25%-2.40%+1.56%-2.40%+2.02%
Passed 26/10/2026 · Low Fib 21/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.64% · Win 67% · DD -1.71%20 days: Avg +2.09% · Win 89% · DD -1.71%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/10/202579.22near 52w low-4.47%-3.52%-2.80%-4.57%+0.00%
202425/10/202481.06near 52w high-1.12%-0.30%+0.96%-1.85%+0.96%
202326/10/202367.50near 52w low+1.73%+1.45%+4.31%-1.36%+4.37%
202226/10/202271.54neutral-0.41%+0.52%+6.51%-0.74%+6.51%
202126/10/202171.49near 52w high+0.49%+1.65%+2.25%-0.59%+2.38%
202026/10/202064.55near 52w high-2.01%+0.60%+3.05%-3.55%+5.58%
201925/10/201961.09near 52w high+0.10%-0.54%+0.34%-0.87%+1.01%
201826/10/201853.83volume x1.8+2.38%+5.55%+1.91%+0.00%+5.55%
201726/10/201753.56neutral-0.80%+0.32%+2.26%-1.85%+2.60%
In window 03/11/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.55% · Win 90% · DD -0.66%20 days: Avg +2.87% · Win 80% · DD -1.13%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/11/202575.68near 52w low+0.99%+1.44%+4.08%-0.11%+4.88%
202404/11/202480.37near 52w high+0.21%+0.19%+2.89%-1.01%+3.55%
202303/11/202368.75neutral+0.31%+1.08%+3.33%-0.39%+3.33%
202203/11/202271.01neutral+3.65%+4.06%+8.70%+0.00%+8.70%
202103/11/202172.51near 52w high+0.52%+0.08%-2.51%-3.53%+0.94%
202003/11/202064.29near 52w high · volume x2.4+3.00%+5.26%+4.12%+0.00%+6.00%
201904/11/201960.56near 52w high · volume x1.6+0.18%+1.80%+2.44%+0.00%+2.61%
201802/11/201855.11neutral+3.10%+1.72%+2.18%-0.93%+3.10%
201703/11/201753.14neutral+2.15%+3.05%+6.74%-1.07%+6.74%
201607/11/201652.48near 52w high-3.87%-3.13%-3.24%-4.25%+0.42%
In window 04/11/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.21% · Win 80% · DD -0.72%20 days: Avg +2.41% · Win 70% · DD -1.30%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/11/202575.99near 52w low+1.89%+1.46%+3.74%-0.51%+4.45%
202404/11/202480.37near 52w high+0.21%+0.19%+2.89%-1.01%+3.55%
202303/11/202368.75neutral+0.31%+1.08%+3.33%-0.39%+3.33%
202204/11/202271.85neutral+2.32%+3.94%+6.08%+0.00%+7.43%
202104/11/202172.58near 52w high+0.36%-0.37%-1.39%-3.62%+0.84%
202004/11/202064.32near 52w high · volume x2.7+3.84%+3.76%+4.34%+0.00%+5.95%
201904/11/201960.56near 52w high · volume x1.6+0.18%+1.80%+2.44%+0.00%+2.61%
201805/11/201855.80neutral+1.29%+0.30%-0.79%-2.15%+1.83%
201703/11/201753.14neutral+2.15%+3.05%+6.74%-1.07%+6.74%
201607/11/201652.48near 52w high-3.87%-3.13%-3.24%-4.25%+0.42%
Upcoming 16/11/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.07% · Win 70% · DD -1.09%20 days: Avg +1.61% · Win 80% · DD -1.45%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202517/11/202576.77near 52w low+0.30%+2.61%+3.27%-0.34%+3.74%
202415/11/202479.96neutral+2.35%+3.95%+2.06%+0.00%+4.08%
202316/11/202369.58neutral+1.19%+1.97%+2.39%-0.20%+3.91%
202216/11/202273.91neutral+3.10%+3.96%+1.79%-0.03%+4.44%
202116/11/202172.73near 52w high+0.51%-3.82%+4.45%-3.82%+4.45%
202016/11/202068.15near 52w high-2.39%-0.95%-1.36%-2.42%+0.00%
201915/11/201961.33near 52w high-0.05%+1.32%+2.72%-0.05%+2.72%
201816/11/201856.06near 52w high-2.14%+0.45%-6.15%-6.15%+0.45%
201716/11/201754.95near 52w high-0.33%+2.26%+4.28%-0.45%+4.28%
201616/11/201650.77near 52w high+0.10%-1.02%+2.70%-1.02%+3.39%
Upcoming 19/11/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.46% · Win 90% · DD -0.74%20 days: Avg +1.69% · Win 80% · DD -1.19%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202519/11/202576.51near 52w low+3.14%+2.54%+3.50%+0.00%+4.10%
202419/11/202480.63near 52w high+2.48%+2.27%-0.50%-0.51%+3.21%
202320/11/202369.44neutral+1.57%+1.50%+3.86%+0.00%+4.12%
202218/11/202274.68neutral+1.71%+2.06%+0.18%+0.00%+3.36%
202119/11/202172.05near 52w high+0.12%+1.08%+4.40%-2.91%+6.19%
202019/11/202066.92near 52w high+0.00%+1.06%+1.51%-0.63%+1.51%
201919/11/201961.57near 52w high+0.49%+1.43%+2.00%-0.44%+2.32%
201819/11/201855.97neutral-1.11%-1.09%-6.91%-6.91%+0.61%
201720/11/201754.70near 52w high+1.01%+3.53%+4.83%+0.00%+4.83%
201618/11/201650.50near 52w high+1.64%+0.26%+4.04%-0.50%+4.04%
Upcoming 25/11/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.76% · Win 80% · DD -0.80%20 days: Avg +0.63% · Win 70% · DD -2.29%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202525/11/202578.06near 52w low+0.99%+0.20%+0.88%-0.32%+2.04%
202425/11/202482.29near 52w high+0.49%+0.43%-2.73%-3.37%+1.13%
202324/11/202370.41neutral+0.77%-0.43%+1.92%-0.64%+2.68%
202225/11/202276.25neutral+1.23%-0.47%-0.70%-1.96%+1.23%
202124/11/202172.88near 52w high-3.00%+0.11%+3.96%-4.02%+4.98%
202025/11/202066.93near 52w high+0.27%+0.36%+0.52%-0.31%+1.49%
201925/11/201961.37near 52w high+1.09%+1.87%+3.35%+0.00%+3.66%
201826/11/201854.86neutral+2.64%+0.57%-7.86%-10.36%+2.64%
201724/11/201754.77near 52w high+2.59%+3.32%+4.61%+0.00%+4.70%
201625/11/201651.22near 52w high-1.27%+1.60%+2.40%-1.89%+2.58%
Upcoming 03/12/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.34% · Win 70% · DD -1.42%20 days: Avg -0.18% · Win 60% · DD -2.40%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/12/202578.83near 52w low-0.77%+1.04%-0.66%-1.29%+1.04%
202403/12/202482.69near 52w high-0.06%-1.48%-4.51%-4.51%+0.12%
202304/12/202371.04neutral-0.37%+1.33%+2.50%-1.31%+3.31%
202202/12/202277.19neutral-1.68%-3.02%-3.09%-3.16%+0.00%
202103/12/202171.57near 52w high · volume x1.8+3.66%+5.07%+8.47%+0.00%+8.48%
202003/12/202067.11near 52w high+0.09%+1.00%+0.25%-0.58%+1.35%
201903/12/201962.04near 52w high · volume x2.2+0.77%+1.39%+1.53%+0.00%+2.79%
201803/12/201856.31near 52w high-2.02%-6.57%-10.05%-12.67%+0.00%
201704/12/201756.72near 52w high · volume x2.0-0.25%+0.97%+0.39%-0.49%+1.24%
201602/12/201650.57near 52w high+2.91%+3.69%+3.40%+0.00%+3.89%
Upcoming 04/12/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.26% · Win 70% · DD -1.39%20 days: Avg +0.19% · Win 50% · DD -2.14%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/12/202578.45near 52w low+0.45%+0.94%-0.61%-0.82%+1.53%
202404/12/202482.46near 52w high-0.55%-2.70%-4.29%-4.29%+0.40%
202304/12/202371.04neutral-0.37%+1.33%+2.50%-1.31%+3.31%
202205/12/202276.22neutral+0.62%-1.85%-1.48%-1.93%+0.62%
202103/12/202171.57near 52w high · volume x1.8+3.66%+5.07%+8.47%+0.00%+8.48%
202004/12/202067.63near 52w high-0.46%+0.44%-0.52%-1.34%+0.57%
201904/12/201962.45near 52w high · volume x1.9+0.26%+0.56%+0.71%-0.03%+2.11%
201804/12/201855.36volume x1.5-0.47%-5.89%-6.56%-11.17%+0.14%
201704/12/201756.72near 52w high · volume x2.0-0.25%+0.97%+0.39%-0.49%+1.24%
201605/12/201650.63near 52w high+3.20%+3.77%+3.27%+0.00%+3.77%
Upcoming 08/12/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.24% · Win 60% · DD -1.49%20 days: Avg +0.19% · Win 50% · DD -2.09%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202508/12/202577.81near 52w low+2.35%+0.89%-0.74%-0.74%+2.36%
202409/12/202482.25near 52w high-0.78%-3.32%-5.21%-5.38%+0.47%
202308/12/202370.11neutral+1.61%+2.35%+4.52%+0.00%+4.68%
202208/12/202276.48neutral-1.63%-1.51%-1.18%-2.80%+0.27%
202108/12/202172.76near 52w high+4.41%+3.90%+7.02%+0.00%+7.41%
202008/12/202067.74near 52w high-0.77%-1.50%-0.90%-1.50%+0.41%
201909/12/201962.72near 52w high+0.45%+1.00%+0.08%-0.32%+1.67%
201807/12/201854.72neutral-0.40%-7.46%-4.73%-10.13%+1.32%
201708/12/201756.59near 52w high+1.26%+1.24%+1.46%-0.02%+1.60%
201608/12/201651.30near 52w high+1.64%+2.04%+1.53%+0.00%+2.42%
Upcoming 19/12/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.05% · Win 30% · DD -1.45%20 days: Avg +0.62% · Win 70% · DD -2.22%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202519/12/202578.78near 52w low+0.16%-0.87%+5.49%-1.96%+5.49%
202419/12/202479.66volume x1.7+0.30%-1.96%-2.33%-3.58%+0.80%
202319/12/202371.58neutral+0.38%+0.82%+0.66%-1.94%+1.76%
202219/12/202274.28neutral+1.70%+0.38%-2.99%-2.99%+2.02%
202120/12/202174.71near 52w high+2.37%+3.90%+2.26%-0.13%+3.90%
202018/12/202067.93near 52w high-0.17%-0.96%-2.83%-3.01%+0.12%
201919/12/201963.14near 52w high+0.99%-0.19%+2.26%-0.95%+2.26%
201819/12/201852.10volume x2.0-2.05%-0.71%+1.59%-5.61%+1.59%
201719/12/201756.92near 52w high+0.12%-0.42%+1.95%-0.70%+1.95%
201619/12/201652.15near 52w high-0.19%-0.48%+0.17%-1.36%+0.54%
Upcoming 30/12/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.56% · Win 80% · DD -1.11%20 days: Avg +0.96% · Win 70% · DD -1.97%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202530/12/202578.15near 52w low-1.96%+5.22%+5.09%-1.96%+6.41%
202430/12/202478.37neutral-1.44%-2.73%+1.74%-2.73%+2.09%
202329/12/202372.03neutral+0.71%+0.51%+1.99%-0.61%+1.99%
202230/12/202274.55neutral+0.66%+0.32%-1.09%-3.34%+1.65%
202130/12/202176.59near 52w high+0.98%+0.39%-1.19%-2.99%+1.34%
202030/12/202066.98near 52w high-0.61%-1.67%-4.31%-4.31%+0.70%
201930/12/201962.92near 52w high-1.41%+0.27%+0.37%-1.41%+1.86%
201831/12/201850.78neutral+1.73%+2.19%+3.23%-1.16%+3.56%
201729/12/201756.89near 52w high+0.32%+0.04%+2.11%-0.65%+3.20%
201630/12/201651.71near 52w high-0.02%+1.04%+1.70%-0.52%+2.32%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp rally recently — watch for follow-through.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+8.4%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· Distance from 52w high: -0.6% · from 52w low: +22.3%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+5.87% · +5.54% · +12.53% · +9.27%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+5.23% · +8.37% · +8.69%
Distance from 52w high / low-0.59% · +22.33%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg1.59 · 1.38x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+21.21%
vs SPY (20d)+13.87%
vs SMH (20d)+31.85%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20087.37 · 84.84 · 84.59
52w high / low92.49 · 75.16